Why politicians can’t fix potholes permanently

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Ali Rahman, Assistant Professor of Civil Engineering, University of Leeds

David Michael Bellis/Shutterstock

Potholes are a safety risk, source of vehicle damage and recurring annoyance in the UK. They gain special visibility at times of local elections, given that the vast majority of roads are maintained by local authorities. A survey conducted in April found that road condition was the top local issue for voters throughout Britain ahead of the May 7 elections.

The Asphalt Industry Alliance’s (AIA) 2025 report indicates that 17% of the local road network in England and Wales is in poor condition. It estimates that the backlog of repairs would take a staggering 12 years to clear, costing £16.81 billion.

While it’s easy for politicians to point to numbers of potholes filled as a way to gain votes from frustrated drivers, this does nothing to solve the problem in the long run.

Where do potholes come from?

Potholes are not isolated road surface defects, but rather the end-product of a hidden road deterioration process. In typical asphalt roads, bitumen ages, stiffens and becomes brittle over time. Traffic passage causes the road surface to crack.

Once cracks form, water enters the road structure. The weight of vehicles and freeze-thaw cycles over winter cause these cracks to expand and widen, eventually resulting in a pothole. By the time it appears on the road surface, the structural integrity of the subsurface is already compromised.

In the wake of climate change, the UK’s increasingly wet winters accelerate this process, especially on roads that have reached the end of their structural life.

The UK’s approach to repairing potholes is largely reactive: a short-term, localised patch job after the road has failed. Experimental studies show that while this approach is relatively inexpensive per intervention, it suffers from severe underperformance.

These repair jobs often last for just weeks or months in wet or winter conditions before needing to be done again. This “patch and repeat” cycle leads to escalating costs, network disruption and inconsistent road quality.

A much better approach would be preventative maintenance – intervening before failure occurs. Preventative treatments, including surface dressing and crack sealing, yield superior cost-effectiveness because they substantially reduce the frequency of patch failure and replacement.

It’s important to note that filling potholes, in itself, does not add life to roads, apart from temporarily keeping them safe. It is the construction equivalent of throwing good money after bad.

More ambitious would be to establish a predictive and proactive road management system that spans the road’s entire lifecycle. This includes designing and constructing resilient road structures, conducting frequent monitoring, and applying targeted, timely preventive maintenance.

Emerging technology such as advances in data analytics, AI, automation, digital twins and non-destructive testing may make this approach increasingly feasible.

Economics of potholes

Evidence suggests that preventative maintenance would be longer lasting, and significantly more cost-efficient. Spending £1 today on preventative maintenance leads to £4.20 saved within 10 years.

This payback reflects the current poor condition of the local road network in Britain. More sustainable road maintenance would have a rapid effect.

Similar evidence exists for the climate impact. Traditionally, potholes are fixed again and again using cold-mix or hot-mix asphalt – a mixture of stones and petroleum-based bitumen derived from crude oil. This makes the process incredibly carbon-intensive.

Preventative maintenance reduces the long-term carbon costs because roads stay in good condition for longer. As extreme weather such as floods or heatwaves becomes more frequent, the risk of damage to road surfaces increases, making resilience a crucial factor in highway maintenance.

Put another way, preventative road maintenance could be a key part of local authority’s net zero ambitions – whereas the current approach is a liability to this goal.

The electoral focus on fixing potholes therefore seems odd, since the medium- to long-term solution (from a cost, road quality and carbon perspective) is more preventative maintenance.

road maintenance
Preventative maintenance is a cost-effective alternative to the UK’s ‘patch and repeat’ approach.
Daz Hopper Photography/Shutterstock

Why are Britain’s roads so pothole-plagued?

The simple reason that local authorities can’t fix potholes permanently is a lack of funding. However, like many political issues, it is more nuanced.

Our work with the National Highways & Transport Network has found that the public’s satisfaction with roads is substantially driven by the condition of roads within a one-kilometre radius of where they live.

Politically, potholes are obviously visible – they are also classed as safety defects, so there are legal requirements for local authorities to “fix” them in a timely manner. But underlying road condition, while crucial to the emergence of potholes, is more hidden and does not get as much political bandwidth.

Local authorities receive various funding pots for road maintenance, but this funding can sometimes be reallocated to other authority services, such as adult social care. This seriously constrains funding that is spent on road maintenance, although the UK government has recently announced new rules to stop councils from diverting road maintenance funds.

Taken together, this means that preventative maintenance is crowded out by limited funds and the need to repeatedly fix holes that result from a lack of preventative maintenance.

A review of current local road maintenance budget allocations reveals that reactive maintenance consumes 25% of budgets. But the pothole problem is getting worse, which suggests this figure will rise over time.

The relatively recent extra money for road maintenance (£0.5 billion annually) allocated could help, but it won’t go very far unless put into preventative treatments.

Changing to a longer-term solution requires different approaches to government funding and policymaking. But this demands political will at all levels of government, at a time when local authority budgets are already very constrained.

The Conversation

Professor Phill Wheat receives funding from the NHT CQC Network to which he is affiliated as the academic lead.

Ali Rahman does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Why politicians can’t fix potholes permanently – https://theconversation.com/why-politicians-cant-fix-potholes-permanently-281797

Our Land: who owns the countryside? New documentary explores the access divide in England and Wales

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Ben Mayfield, Lecturer in Law, Lancaster University

Directed by Orban Wallace, Our Land explores the countryside access debate in England and Wales through interviews, pastoral shots, lavish illustrations and a walk in the country where the sun always seems to shine.

One percent of landowners own 50% of English and Welsh land. But the right of open access to land by the public, or the “right to roam”, extends to only 8% of this land.

Our Land follows the path of earlier activists such as Marion Shoard and Tom Stevenson who once advanced the access campaign through their experiences and storytelling. Here, the documentary’s star is naturalist and conservationist Nadia Shaikh.

Shaikh explores the teaching power of the English countryside by leading a group of trespassers on a nature walk. She describes her own complex and deep-felt attachment to the countryside as a place of education and personal identity.

Our Land is a title with two meanings – private land ownership for the landowners v the campaign for shared rights in land. The film explores different attitudes to ownership as well as the physical borders between landowners and, in the words of access campaigner and contributor Guy Shrubsole, “the peasants”.

The documentary was filmed during the Darwall v Dartmoor (2023) legal dispute. Landowner Alexander Darwall successfully challenged and outlawed the longstanding right to wild camp on Dartmoor National Park in the High Court. Later overturned by the Court of Appeal and Supreme Court, the High Court ruling in favour of the landowner caused ripples of protest among walkers and campers. They temporarily lost the right to wild camp in Dartmoor – the only place in England where this was allowed by law.

Hedge fund manager Darwall is the most controversial landowner to feature in Our Land, but he is not interviewed in person. Instead, veteran documentary star Francis Fulford (he’s appeared in nine shows, including one about his estate and family) fills the role of aristocratic landowner and pantomime villain.

Fulford provides an insight into the landowner outlook: proud of his family’s place in English and colonial history as well as its roots on the Great Fulford estate. Fulford describes his family as having owned the estate since “time immemorial” and his love of the English countryside is unquestionable.

Indeed, many of the landowners interviewed have a paternal view of the countryside in which they view themselves as temporary guardians. Where opinions differ is how the countryside is best preserved and the extent to which the public should be allowed access to it.

Access and trespass

Trespass itself is a civil matter rather than a criminal offence, which is just as well because the documentary features trespass aplenty.

For instance, campaigning author Nick Hayes crosses the fences of the Drax estate in Dorset to deliver a copy of his Book of Trespass. He discusses the colonial history of the great estates and the role of wider access as a response to the decolonisation movement.

The documentary explains how the English and Welsh culture of access differs from that of close neighbours like Scotland. The Land Reform (Scotland) Act (2003) is celebrated, and contrasted with the exclusionary laws of England and Wales. Shrubsole stands over the border with one foot trespassing in England, the other “lawfully” in Scotland.

The Land Reform Act provides a much wider right to roam the Scottish countryside than the Countryside and Rights of Way Act in England (2000). It has a presumption in favour of public access and only minor exclusions such as private gardens and some industrial land. By contrast, the English “right to roam” supplements our existing network of footpaths, but extends only to mountain, moor, heath, down and common land. Great swathes of land are left inaccessible to the public.

The law is a central character in the access debate but exists only in the background of this documentary. We learn about the Norman conquest and enclosure of the commons in the 12th to 19th century. It was a process of consolidating, privatising and fencing off shared agricultural land (common land) in Britain, transforming it into individually owned, fenced fields. This change abolished traditional communal rights for grazing and farming.

However, there is less about the mixed success of earlier attempts to open countryside such as the Access to Mountains Act (1939), post-war National Parks Act (1949) or the Countryside and Rights of Way Act. English legislative failures might be able to teach us as much as Scotland’s successes.

Disagreement and concession

As the documentary draws to its conclusions there are some limitations to the format of landowners and campaigners being interviewed separately. We hear from both sides of the access debate but there are few opportunities to see the two sides in conversation.

Fulford is goaded from behind the camera on his views about sharing his land with visitors, but no representatives from either side have the opportunity to join one another in debate.

This leaves some assertions unchallenged, such as those of the affable Hugh Inge-Innes-Lillingston, owner of the Thorpe estate in Staffordshire. On the topic of rewilding, he contends that land cannot be truly rewilded if public access is allowed. But this reductive position ignores the nuanced ways that visitors and wilderness can coexist.

Throughout, many of the featured landowners and access campaigners agree on the artificial nature of landownership, their individual powerlessness to effect change and on the social and legal constructs that trap us all in an uncomfortable standoff.

As the documentary closes with trespassers talking and singing around a fire, I was left wishing that the cast of landowners could have joined them in their conversation.


The climate crisis has a communications problem. How do we tell stories that move people – not just to fear the future, but to imagine and build a better one? This article is part of Climate Storytelling, a series exploring how arts and science can join forces to spark understanding, hope and action.


The Conversation

Ben Mayfield does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Our Land: who owns the countryside? New documentary explores the access divide in England and Wales – https://theconversation.com/our-land-who-owns-the-countryside-new-documentary-explores-the-access-divide-in-england-and-wales-282001

How a repurposed medical device is helping us investigate ancient climate tipping points

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Edward Forman, PhD Candidate, Climate Tipping Points, University of Southampton

Asja Radja / wiki, CC BY-SA

Imagine being tasked with counting every blade of grass in a field, noting every single species as you go. This is not far from the challenge many scientists face when analysing microscopic samples packed with thousands of tiny particles.

Imaging flow cytometry (IFC) solves this by guiding particles single-file past a camera and lasers, capturing detailed images of tens of thousands per second. It records the particles’ size, shape and optical properties, turning what was once painstaking manual work into automated analysis.

IFC has become a staple of biomedical research, with scientists using it to study blood viruses or classify tumour cells. It’s also increasingly used in environmental science – for example, to monitor water quality and detect microplastics.

Now, we’re using this medical tech on ancient mud, peat and lake sediments. It may help us identify exactly when ancient climate tipping points were crossed.

Blood to mud

To predict future climate change, we need to understand how things changed in the past. To do this, scientists use natural archives such as sediment found at the bottom of lakes or oceans, long “cores” drilled into peat or ice, or stalagmites and stalactites found in caves.

Under the hood of the IFC machine.
Nisha Lamichhane, CC BY

These archives effectively work as layered climate logbooks, recording environmental change over hundreds to thousands of years. As researchers dig deeper into sediment, peat or ice, they move further back in time. Each layer captures conditions at the time it was formed, from temperature and precipitation to the strength of ocean currents and wind belts.

Microscopic fossils and climate change

The abundance of certain microscopic fossils can be used to reconstruct these past conditions. For instance, the presence of certain species of pollen in peat or algae in lake sediments reflects changes in the climate system.

Pollen preserved in Amazon rainforest mud today is very different from that in Arctic tundra. In the far future, geologists will be able to tell from the fossilised form of this pollen which region once had tropical trees, and which had cold-weather shrubs.

Example of peat sample images including pollen and spores under three different wavelengths of light.
Edward Forman, CC BY

This approach to reconstruction underpins a large portion of palaeoclimate research. Traditionally, however, it has involved counting thousands of particles by eye under a microscope. Because this is so time-consuming, only a small fraction of the total sample is analysed, while the rest is estimated by scaling up those results.

IFC dramatically speeds up counting, meaning climate reconstructions that previously took months can now be done much faster.

This makes it possible to produce higher-resolution records by analysing more samples, and to quantify rare species. Scientists using this technology can focus on questions that were previously too time-consuming to address, such as exactly when a certain environmental change occurred in the deep past.

Also, IFC digitises each sample, making results easier to share, reproduce and reanalyse, promoting more robust, open science.

Hidden patterns and tipping points

As IFC makes it feasible to count a much larger fraction of any given sample, it allows us to detect subtle changes that would have taken too long to detect manually.

Uncovering these small shifts in the particles found in a given place could provide early warning signals of abrupt climate change. For example, we can trace the migration of wind belts via the abundance of non-native pollen species at particular locations. Such movement of the winds may be responsible for triggering sudden change, perhaps by melting ice sheets or drying out a rainforest.

As a result, we may be able to precisely date the timing of past climate tipping points – and with that, the order in which these thresholds were crossed. This could let us distinguish between cause and consequence, as we can determine which changes happened first.

This approach also has the potential to uncover entirely new data, such as the presence of rare species at particular sites. These new records can then act as novel proxies for climate change – leading to more detailed reconstructions and deeper insights into how the climate works.

A tool designed to scan blood now offers us an exciting opportunity to read Earth’s history in finer detail and decipher hidden mechanisms. It could also help us predict abrupt changes in the near future.

The Conversation

Edward Forman is affiliated with Climate:Change.

Zoë Thomas receives funding from a UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship.

ref. How a repurposed medical device is helping us investigate ancient climate tipping points – https://theconversation.com/how-a-repurposed-medical-device-is-helping-us-investigate-ancient-climate-tipping-points-281417

The ocean is fighting climate change and we’re trying to help it – here’s how

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Katryna Niva, Cassar Lab, Duke University

Diliana Nikolova / shutterstock

We replaced the stove with plywood, turning the kitchen of the dive boat into an impromptu research lab. Plugging in wires and connecting tubing, we assembled a scientific instrument within the cramped cabin.

Then we cast off into Halifax Harbour, Canada, surveying the turquoise waters for signs of an unusual test: could we use the ocean itself to remove carbon dioxide from the air?

Carbon dioxide (CO₂) is the most important driver of climate change, but it cannot be seen. Its build-up in the atmosphere is gradual. Its worst consequences take time to emerge. Even if emissions fell sharply tomorrow, the CO₂ already released would continue to warm the planet.

That is why scientists and policymakers are increasingly turning to carbon dioxide removal (CDR): taking CO₂ that has already been released back out of the air. So far, most large-scale CDR has focused on land, such as reforestation. But land is finite, competes with food production and biodiversity, and stored carbon can be lost through fire or deforestation. As emissions continue to outpace what these approaches alone can manage, attention has turned toward the ocean.

The overlooked role of the ocean in carbon storage

The ocean covers about 70% of the Earth’s surface and holds roughly 50 times the amount of carbon found in the atmosphere. Before the industrial revolution, carbon moved between air and sea in near balance. As industrial activity increased atmospheric CO₂, more of it dissolved into seawater and the ocean became more acidic.

Person on board small scientific boat, large bridge in background
Katryna Niva sailing through Halifax Harbour, investigating the effects of enhancing ocean carbon storage.
Katryna Niva

All that dissolved carbon has resulted in the ocean storing about a third of human CO₂ emissions since the industrial revolution — substantially slowing the pace of climate change. The emerging question is whether we can build on this natural service. The field exploring that possibility is known as marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR).

All mCDR approaches aim to reduce the amount of dissolved CO₂ at the ocean surface, converting it into more stable forms. When surface CO₂ is reduced, more CO₂ from the atmosphere dissolves into the sea.

Reducing surface CO₂ – so the sea absorbs more

One approach involves adding alkaline minerals – often crushed or processed rocks like limestone or basalt – to seawater. This reduces acidity and increases the capacity of seawater to absorb more carbon and store it for centuries to come. This is the strategy under development by Planetary Technologies in Halifax Harbour, Canada. There, alkaline minerals have been introduced to seawater through the cooling water discharge pipe of a natural gas burning power plant.

Another approach relies on biology. The ocean is filled with microscopic organisms that photosynthesise, using dissolved CO₂ to grow and reproduce. Some of this carbon sinks into deeper waters, through a process known as the “biological carbon pump”. By adding the nutrients that these organisms need to thrive, this effort hopes to increase microorganism populations and, ultimately, strengthening the biological carbon pump.

How do we know it works?

Whether chemical or biological, these approaches face the same questions: how much additional CO₂ is actually being removed from the atmosphere? And what are the ecological consequences?

The processes involved are invisible to the naked eye. The organisms are microscopic. The carbon transformations are chemical. Yet if marine carbon removal is to scale to climate-relevant levels, it will require rigorous measurement, transparency and public trust.

In the Cassar Lab at Duke University, we develop instruments to detect subtle changes in seawater chemistry. They continuously measure dissolved gases and other tracers, allowing us to reconstruct what microorganisms are doing and how carbon is moving through the system.

In August 2025, we deployed one of these tools in the turbulent waters surrounding one of the world’s first coastal ocean alkalinity enhancement projects, off Nova Scotia, Canada. This instrument was a mass spectrometer that extracts and quantifies dissolved gases from seawater. These readings give us insight into the ecosystem’s balance between photosynthesis and respiration – and therein, an understanding of how stressed or healthy the surrounding ecosystem is. Working alongside researchers tracking the chemical changes of the mCDR work underway, we focused on understanding how marine microorganisms were responding.

Another instrument, known as the Gopticas, allows a precise quantification of how much photosynthesis is happening in a seawater sample. The Gopticas was recently exhibited Prototypes for Humanity, an international innovation initiative based in Dubai, highlighting how tools developed for fundamental oceanography can also underpin climate accountability. This allows stronger quantification of ecosystem health as well as carbon influx.

A scalable approach to mCDR monitoring

We are now forming a team that can deploy these tools to directly quantify the amount of CO₂ being converted into longer-lived forms – and to spot early signs of ecological disruption.

This kind of monitoring is crucial. It allows us to distinguish between carbon that is briefly cycled near the surface and carbon converted into forms likely to remain stored for centuries. It also provides early warning if an intervention begins to disrupt marine biology. The work in Halifax marked the first application of our instruments to mCDR initiatives, but we look forward to applying these same approaches across regions and mCDR approaches.

Plume of whiteish material in blue-green sea
The alkalinity plume in the waters of Halifax Harbor, Canada.
Katryna Niva

Developing robust methods to quantify both carbon removal and ecological impact before large-scale deployment is essential. Without credible verification, claims of carbon removal risk outpacing evidence. And without clear evidence of environmental safety, public support will falter.

If marine carbon dioxide removal is to make a meaningful contribution to climate mitigation, it must rest on precise measurement and accountability. Governments, regulators and investors will need confidence that reported carbon removal is real and durable – and that marine ecosystems are protected.

Standing on the deck of the dive boat, staring out at the plume of alkaline waters emerging from the pipe, it’s easy to be struck by a feeling of awe. This experiment is tiny compared to global climate change – a drop in the ocean. But it offers a glimpse into a more optimistic future.


This article was commissioned in conjunction with Prototypes for Humanity, a global initiative that showcases and accelerates academic innovation to solve social and environmental challenges. The Conversation was a media partner of Prototypes for Humanity 2025.

The Conversation

Katryna Niva works for Duke University. Her research is also supported in part by the Carbon to Sea Initiative.

This article was commissioned in conjunction with Prototypes for Humanity, a global initiative that showcases and accelerates academic innovation to solve social and environmental challenges. The Conversation was a media partner of Prototypes for Humanity 2025

Alireza Merikhi does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The ocean is fighting climate change and we’re trying to help it – here’s how – https://theconversation.com/the-ocean-is-fighting-climate-change-and-were-trying-to-help-it-heres-how-271554

Sept penseurs francophones pour comprendre la condition intellectuelle contemporaine

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Christophe Premat, Professor, Canadian and Cultural Studies, Stockholm University

Qu’est-ce qu’être intellectuel aujourd’hui depuis l’Afrique ou ses diasporas, sinon occuper une position instable, prise entre héritages coloniaux, contraintes globales et luttes pour une autonomie critique, au prix fréquent d’une marginalisation sociale ?

Comme le montre l’ouvrage Sensibilités intellectuelles africaines, auquel j’ai contribué, l’intellectualité africaine ne peut être comprise sans prendre en compte les formes sensibles, éthiques et cognitives par lesquelles les penseurs habitent leur époque. L’intellectuel n’est pas seulement producteur de savoir, il est un sujet situé, traversé par des contradictions, engagé dans un monde qu’il contribue à transformer.


Sortir de l’« intellectuel exotique »

  • Penser la rupture critique – Jean-Godefroy Bidima

La philosophie de Bidima ouvre sur une autre manière de penser, plus relationnelle, plus située, attentive aux formes concrètes de production du sens. Elle s’enracine dans une revalorisation d’une éthique de la palabre.

Loin d’une vision folklorisante, la palabre est chez Bidima une véritable figure philosophique du débat et du jugement. Elle désigne un espace de parole où la vérité ne se décrète pas, mais se construit collectivement, dans la confrontation des points de vue, dans la temporalité longue de l’échange, dans l’attention aux voix multiples.

La palabre est ainsi une pratique épistémique et politique mettant en jeu une rationalité qui ne se réduit pas à l’argument abstrait, mais qui intègre les affects, les expériences, les positions sociales. Elle permet de penser autrement la délibération, en dehors des modèles strictement occidentaux de la raison discursive, tout en évitant toute idéalisation naïve.

Dans cette perspective, l’intellectuel n’est plus celui qui parle de manière surplombante, mais celui qui participe à des dispositifs de co-élaboration du sens. Il doit apprendre à écouter, à se décentrer, à inscrire sa parole dans un tissu relationnel.

Seloua Luste Boulbina radicalise cette exigence en montrant que la colonisation a produit une infrastructure mentale durable. Dans la perspective de Boulbina, penser ne consiste jamais à habiter une langue comme un sol stable, mais à se tenir dans l’écart entre les langues, là où les concepts vacillent et où leur prétendue universalité se fissure.

Sa philosophie relève ainsi d’une déconstruction active : penser “entre les langues”, c’est dès lors assumer une position de discontinuité, de déplacement et d’hybridité, où aucune appartenance linguistique ou conceptuelle ne peut être tenue pour évidente.

Avec Diagne, la sortie de l’aliénation ne passe ni par le rejet ni par la pure déconstruction, mais par la traduction. Celle-ci est pensée comme une opération philosophique majeure : traduire, c’est faire circuler les idées, mais aussi les transformer.

Il défend une conception relationnelle du savoir, où les traditions philosophiques ne sont pas closes, mais en dialogue. L’Afrique n’est pas en périphérie : elle participe activement à la reconfiguration des savoirs. Dans cette optique, l’intellectuel devient un passeur, capable de naviguer entre plusieurs univers linguistiques et conceptuels.

L’intellectuel face au pouvoir : entre critique et marginalité

La pensée de Mbembe s’ancre dans une interrogation radicale sur les formes historiques de la violence. Esclavage, colonisation, postcolonie : ces expériences ne sont pas seulement des événements passés, mais des structures qui continuent d’informer le présent.

Le concept de postcolonie occupe ici une place centrale. Il ne désigne pas simplement la période qui suit les indépendances, mais un régime de pouvoir spécifique, caractérisé par l’imbrication du passé colonial et des formes contemporaines de domination. La postcolonie est un espace où s’entrelacent continuités et transformations. Les logiques de commandement, de violence et de dépendance héritées de la colonisation y sont reconfigurées plutôt que dépassées. Mbembe insiste notamment sur la dimension quotidienne et diffuse du pouvoir postcolonial. Celui-ci ne s’exerce pas seulement de manière coercitive, mais aussi à travers des formes de complicité, de théâtralisation et d’intériorisation.

Le pouvoir et les sujets qu’il gouverne sont pris dans une relation ambivalente, faite à la fois de soumission, de détournement et de participation. Cette ambivalence produit une condition marquée par ce que Mbembe décrit comme une « convivialité » paradoxale avec le pouvoir, où domination et adhésion coexistent.

La postcolonie est ainsi un espace où le politique se mêle à l’affectif, au symbolique, au corporel, produisant une expérience du monde marquée par l’excès, la précarité et l’incertitude. L’intellectuel, chez Mbembe, est celui qui affronte cette configuration complexe. Il travaille à partir d’un monde marqué par ce qu’il appelle une « grande nuit », c’est-à-dire une histoire dense de dépossession et de violence, mais aussi de résistances et de réinventions.

Avec Jean-Marc Ela, la réflexion sur l’intellectuel s’ancre dans une exigence théologique et politique forte : penser à partir du vécu concret des populations, en particulier des mondes ruraux africains longtemps marginalisés par les savoirs dominants.

Sa théologie, proche de la théologie de la libération, rompt avec une approche abstraite et désincarnée du religieux comme du savoir. Elle affirme au contraire que toute pensée authentique doit émerger des conditions réelles d’existence, des expériences de précarité, des luttes pour la dignité et des formes ordinaires de résistance.

Critiquer le développement comme injonction

  • Dénoncer l’injonction au développement – Aminata Traoré

Aminata Traoré propose une critique frontale du discours du développement, qu’elle analyse comme une nouvelle forme de domination. Les politiques économiques globales imposent des normes qui dépossèdent les sociétés de leur capacité d’autodéfinition. Le développement devient une injonction, un cadre contraignant qui reproduit des dépendances.

Son travail met en évidence la dimension politique, culturelle et symbolique de ces processus. L’intellectuel est ici une figure de résistance, qui travaille à restaurer des marges d’autonomie et à redonner sens à la notion de souveraineté. Cette critique s’inscrit pleinement dans les analyses du livre sur la marginalisation structurelle de l’Afrique dans les dynamiques globales.

Pour une habitation poétique du monde

  • Habiter le déphasage – Felwine Sarr

Chez Felwine Sarr, l’intellectuel se caractérise par un décalage avec son environnement. Ce déphasage tient à une lucidité particulière qui lui fait percevoir les contradictions et les non-dits du monde. Une telle perception rend difficile toute adhésion simple et installe une tension intérieure. Cette tension n’est pas seulement inconfortable, elle est aussi la condition d’une pensée critique exigeante.

Cependant, cette lucidité ne conduit pas uniquement à une forme de malaise. Elle ouvre un espace de création. L’intellectuel ne se limite pas à analyser ou à dénoncer, il imagine d’autres possibles et esquisse de nouveaux horizons. Sa clairvoyance devient alors une ressource qui permet de transformer la critique en invention.

Il en résulte une figure à la fois exposée et créatrice, dont la force tient précisément à cette capacité à faire de la lucidité un principe d’ouverture plutôt qu’un simple constat.

  • Une condition plus qu’une école

Ces penseurs ne forment pas une école au sens strict, mais donnent à voir une condition partagée. Ils tracent un espace de pensée où l’exigence intellectuelle naît du rapport concret au monde et d’un refus des solutions toutes faites. Leur diversité ne fragilise pas leur portée, elle en constitue la force, en montrant que la figure de l’intellectuel africain ne se laisse pas réduire à un modèle unique. Cette pluralité apparaît comme une manière d’habiter le réel plutôt que comme une doctrine à suivre. Elle engage aussi un rapport singulier à l’Afrique, non pas comme une essence figée ou un simple objet d’étude, mais comme un horizon de pensée.

The Conversation

Christophe Premat est directeur du Centre d’études canadiennes de l’Université de Stockholm et professeur en études culturelles francophones. Il a codirigé avec Buata B. Malela l’ouvrage Sensibilités intellectuelles africaines (éditions Hermann, 2025), consacré aux formes contemporaines de l’intellectualité africaine.

ref. Sept penseurs francophones pour comprendre la condition intellectuelle contemporaine – https://theconversation.com/sept-penseurs-francophones-pour-comprendre-la-condition-intellectuelle-contemporaine-281903

English local elections 2026: a story of a new kind of politics

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Stephen Coleman, Professor of Political Communication, University of Leeds

Every election is a storytelling contest, with campaigning parties competing to frame the plot. This year’s local elections, the largest test of voters’ mood since the 2024 general election, have been dominated by two master-narratives.

The first is about the demise of the old two-party system under which Labour and Conservatives have been the battling giants for almost 100 years. Vast regions of England have long been regarded as safe electoral zones. They have been disrupted only occasionally by strategic incursions by the Liberal Democrats or mid-term revolts against whoever formed the Westminster government.

The story of the 2026 local elections is one of a conspicuous public impulse to punish the old incumbents, resulting in the ascendancy of the new kids on the political block – Reform UK and the Greens.

In the 2024 general election, Reform won 15.3% of the vote in English constituencies and the Green Party won 7.3%. Since then, Labour’s poll ratings have fallen and the Tories have hardly recovered from their devastating result when they lost 238 seats.

But the story amounts to more than numbers. We are witnessing a pervasive and powerful expression of desire by the electorate – not just for radical political alternatives, but for a radical alternative to politics itself.

The rise of the outsider

This is a story about the rejection of anyone who looks or speaks like a conventional politician. Both Reform leader Nigel Farage and Zack Polanski, the leader of the Greens in England and Wales, have cultivated images of themselves as outsiders who eschew the caution and attachment to well-rehearsed cliche that has so discredited their opponents.

It was an election in which voters came to believe that what these political mavericks say is what they actually mean. Left-inclined voters might feel repelled by Farage’s strident nationalism and right-inclined voters might regard Polanski as a dangerous dreamer. But neither doubts that they are up against genuine commitments.

Meanwhile, Labour and Conservative candidates have continued to campaign in the way they have been for decades. This means they have often actually been talking about local policies relating to refuse collection, libraries and care services. The newcomers have tended to ignore the rules of the game and fought their campaigns on headline values rather than policy detail.

Reform UK has said that it planned to open migrant detention centres in areas where the vote for the Green Party is high, while Green candidates in Haringey produced an election video stating that if elected they would uphold the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people.

The fact that elected local councillors lack any power to place detention centres in other areas or determine UK foreign policy was ignored. Local elections were turned into a showcase for a style of politics in which cultural symbolism outweighed the prudential technicalities of local governance.




Read more:
After a year of Reform UK in local government, the cracks are starting to show


However, as Reform politicians are learning in the few areas where they already hold local power, attention to policy complexity calls for rather more than the repetition of populist slogans, leading several of their councillors to leave the party as the responsibility of hard policy choices has dawned upon them.

For many voters, these local elections present a chance to gamble on the promise of the untried. And this brings us to the second story of this campaign, which is taking place almost exactly a decade after the Brexit referendum.

That was a moment when the politics of “anything must be better than this” appealed to electoral gamblers. As an insurgency of the unheard, Brexit reflected a feeling that the political establishment needed a good poke in the eye. This was regardless of the consequences for the assailants.

crowd of people on a march in support of remain ahead of the brexit vote in 2016.
Unfinished business from 2016.
Ms Jane Campbell/Shutterstock

A key story of this year’s local elections is that the division between Leavers and Remainers, far from fading into the distance, has hardened over the past decade. Socially liberal Remainers and culturally conservative Leavers have each sought political homes in which to complete what they see as unfinished business.

YouGov polling in early 2026 suggested that how people voted on Brexit is a key predictor of how they would vote in this year’s elections. Some 50% of those who voted Leave in 2016 intended to back Reform this year. Among Remainers, the largest number (28%) say that they will vote Labour, but both the Greens and the Liberal Democrats each have around a fifth of the Remainer vote, making them the largest political home for those who opposed Brexit ten years ago.

The results of these elections say a lot about how much voters are tired of the old incumbents and continue to dwell on changes that Brexit promised or threatened. In terms of how councils will be run between now and the next local elections, during a period of constrained public spending, hollowing out of services and energy insecurity, this election campaign has had precious little to say.

The Conversation

Stephen Coleman does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. English local elections 2026: a story of a new kind of politics – https://theconversation.com/english-local-elections-2026-a-story-of-a-new-kind-of-politics-282409

From fossicking for fossils to a champion for life on Earth: Sir David Attenborough at 100

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Euan Ritchie, Professor in Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, School of Life & Environmental Sciences, Deakin University

BBC, CC BY-NC-ND

Sir David Attenborough turns 100 this week.

Very few people have the good fortune to live for a century. Fewer still achieve so much and touch so many lives.

Across his seven decade career with the BBC, Attenborough ushered in the transition from black and white to colour television. He gave the now legendary comedy troupe Monty Python their lucky break, greenlighting their Flying Circus. His keen eye and care for viewers is in part why tennis balls are yellow, not white – they’re much easier to see on screen.

But Attenborough is, of course, most famous for his nature documentaries. For decades, he has fronted the camera to educate, entertain and inspire billions of people about the complexity, wonder and majesty of the natural world, and the many threats it faces. It wasn’t a given – Attenborough was told early in his career his teeth were too big for television!

For ecologists like myself, Attenborough’s work has been a source of deep inspiration. It was instrumental in my decision to pursue a life and a career dedicated to understanding, caring and fighting for the protection of nature. For this gift, I am eternally grateful.

A career driven by curiosity

Attenborough’s connection with nature came early, forged in no small part through an insatiable fascination with fossils – including his childhood joy at discovering an ammonite in the Leicestershire countryside.

He went on to study geology and zoology at Cambridge University, graduating in 1947. He served in the navy and worked in an educational publishing house. Notably, the BBC rejected his first job application as a radio producer in 1950. But he tried again, and joined the BBC as a trainee producer in 1952.

His career in nature documentaries began to bud almost immediately, with his Zoo Quest series beginning in 1954. But it burst into full bloom with the landmark Life on Earth series in 1979, which brought distant locations, extraordinary wildlife and evolution and ecology to TV. It instilled a sense of wonder and awe in audiences, while maintaining and respecting scientific accuracy.

two men, black and white image, TV interview
Early in his career, Attenborough (right) interviewed Edmund Hillary.
Wikimedia, CC BY-NC-ND

The master storyteller

One reason Attenborough has had such success as a communicator is his understated, calm but authoritative demeanour. When you sit down to watch an Attenborough documentary, you feel in safe hands.

His approach isn’t the norm. In other nature documentaries, wildlife can often seem secondary, as props for the presenter.

Some of Sir David’s documentaries didn’t always go to script.

In series such as The Living Planet, The Trials of Life, The Blue Planet, The Planet Earth, and scores of others, Attenborough took us across the globe, revealing nature’s beauty, oddities and extraordinary complexity, as well as its macabre and brutal aspects. The habitats home to the world’s species are brought to life in extraordinary detail. We watch with laughter, trepidation, sadness, anger, excitement and awe, ebbing and flowing as nature’s stories unfold.

Who can forget the first time they saw and heard the extraordinary vocal repertoire and mimicry of a lyrebird, or a curious mountain gorilla’s desire to connect with a fellow great ape? The epic battle for survival between a hatchling iguana and hungry hordes of racer snakes? Or the breathtaking explosion of colour and complexity of a coral reef? Each of these was captured by master cinematographers and the story told to us by Attenborough.

A truly epic chase and battle for survival between iguanas and snakes.

Over his long career, Attenborough has become an icon. He was voted the UK’s best TV presenter of all time. But his prodigious output has come at a personal cost too. One of his regrets is how much time he has spent away from his family.

He is also not off limits to criticism. For a long time, Attenborough focused on the glory of nature, largely omitting the damage humans do through overfishing, deforestation, pollution, spreading exotic species, and other threats. He has also shied away from assigning blame to those most responsible for the harms inflicted on nature.

In 2018, he said too much focus on why so much wildlife is threatened was a “turn-off” for some viewers. Ecologists and conservation scientists can sympathise. We know bombarding people with doom and gloom invites apathy and despair, not a desire to act. It’s a hard line to walk between harsh realities and hope.

To his credit, Attenborough has belatedly focused on these issues in recent years. Footage of plastic pollution in Blue Planet II and the ravages of industrial fishing in Ocean have brought a sharp focus on these issues.

In 2020, he released A Life On Our Planet, which he describes as a “witness statement” to the startling losses of biodiversity he has seen over his lifetime. Rather than just spell out the problems, Attenborough laid out how to solve them – and the role we can all play in fixing the two biggest and deeply interwoven problems nature faces: climate change and biodiversity declines and extinctions.

While Attenborough’s earlier work largely avoided these difficult conversations, they succeeded in bringing nature’s wonder to millions of people. This shouldn’t be overlooked. At a time when more and more of us are cut off from nature, Attenborough’s documentaries forged a new connection. For people to care about losing nature, they first have to know and love it.

Conservation relies on stories

Scientific research rarely leads to the behavioural changes we might hope for. Accumulating facts and evidence is vital. But it’s not enough. What humans respond to is stories.

Alongside other globally renowned voices such as the late, great Jane Goodall, Attenborough’s work telling the stories of nature has shaped public opinion. In turn, it has galvanised conservation efforts such as the push to protect 30% of the world’s oceans by 2030.

As he celebrates his centenary, it’s encouraging to see a new generation and diversity of voices in the media and science communication, advocacy, and scientific community. They speak and share their messages with great clarity, confidence, and passion.

Attenborough is just one person. He can’t replace the vital role of scientists, community leaders, conservationists and policymakers in conserving nature. But no one will ever replace David’s distinctive voice. As he has said:

it seems to me that the natural world is the greatest source of excitement; the greatest source of visual beauty; the greatest source of intellectual interest. It is the greatest source of so much in life that makes life worth living

Hear, hear. Happy birthday for May 8th, David Attenborough.

The Conversation

Euan Ritchie receives funding from the Australian Research Council and the Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action. Euan is a Councillor with the Biodiversity Council.

ref. From fossicking for fossils to a champion for life on Earth: Sir David Attenborough at 100 – https://theconversation.com/from-fossicking-for-fossils-to-a-champion-for-life-on-earth-sir-david-attenborough-at-100-281229

Russia doesn’t have much to celebrate on Victory Day, as Ukraine brings the war home to Putin

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Jon Richardson, Visiting Fellow, Centre for European Studies, Australian National University

Russia has dramatically scaled back its annual Victory Day parade in Red Square on May 9, with no heavy military hardware for the first time in 20 years. There will also be fewer foreign or Russian dignitaries present.

In addition, the government has shut down airports and temporarily suspended mobile internet access ahead of the holiday.

The Kremlin says the security measures are intended to guard against Ukrainian “terrorism”. It has declared a unilateral “truce” for May 8-9, warning that any Ukrainian attacks during the celebrations could trigger a massive strike on Kyiv. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has rejected the proposal, calling it a “theatrical performance”.

As the war grinds on in Ukraine, the Kremlin’s precautions at home are remarkable – a sign that Ukraine’s long-range strike capabilities have punctured one of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s most important political rituals, as well as the country’s seeming impregnability from the war.

Ukraine’s momentum

Under Putin’s rule, Victory Day has become more than just a commemoration of the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany. The parade, a showcase of Russian military might, has been elevated into a core ritual of legitimising his regime.

The symbolism has taken on even greater meaning since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The defeat of Nazi Germany has been fused with Putin’s bogus claim that Russia needs to defeat fictitious Nazis in Ukraine.

Last year, Putin welcomed two dozen world leaders, including Xi Jinping of China, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil, Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela and Abdel Fattah el-Sisi of Egypt.

It was seen as an attempt to project Russia’s global power and show the West’s attempts to isolate Moscow were failing.

What a difference a year makes.

Ukraine has steadily expanded its ability to hit targets far inside Russia, including oil terminals, refineries, military infrastructure and defence industries. Some targets in the Baltic Sea near St. Petersburg and in the Ural Mountains are hundreds of kilometres from Ukraine.

The mere threat of drones has prompted dozens of airport closures and hundreds of flight delays in recent months, especially in Moscow.

At the same time, Ukraine has become much more adept at repelling Russian drone attacks on its own territory, reportedly shooting down 33,000 Russian drones in March of this year alone – a record for one month.

The expansion of its unmanned ground robotic systems and deep-strike capabilities – including its Flamingo missile, which hit a defence plant 1,500 kilometres from Ukraine on May 5 – have helped Ukraine offset its disadvantages in manpower (which remains a big constraint) and ammunition.

Ukraine’s defence industrial base is a big part of the story. Kyiv says its capacity has grown 50-fold since 2022, and now accounts for 70% of its weapons procurement.

Its successes have won the admiration of its European partners and others around the world. In recent days, for example, it signed a 10-year defence export deal with Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, all three of which were attacked by Iran.

And there are signs Ukraine is gaining momentum on the frontlines. Analysts say Ukrainian forces actually gained more territory than they lost in February, for the first month since 2023.

Estimates of Russian death tolls are difficult to come by, but NATO chief Mark Rutte said Russia is losing 30-35,000 soldiers per month, while Zelensky said 35,000 Russian troops were either killed or wounded in the month of March.

Cracks at home

Meanwhile, Putin has only grown more paranoid about a potential coup or assassination attempt with drones. He has reportedly sharply reduced his movements, spends more time in bunkers, and is surrounded by tighter security.

Domestic strains are growing, as well. Russia’s rate of recruitment has begun to fall short of its battlefield losses. The quality of recruits has plummeted, as well, with alcoholics reportedly being duped or pressured into signing up.

It is becoming harder to sustain recruitment without another politically risky mobilisation. That matters because Putin has long tried to convince Russians the war can be fought at a distance, without demanding too much from society at large.

Russia’s economy is suffering, too, from chronic labour shortages, negative growth, and high inflation and interest rates.

And there are increasing signs of discontent. One critic, Ilya Remeslo, a former Kremlin propagandist, for instance, publicly accused Putin of being a “war criminal”. He was arrested, but in a surprise move, was released after just 30 days and has vowed to continue his campaign against the Russian leader.

Gennady Zyuganov, the leader of Russia’s Communist Party (loyal to Putin), has warned the country’s faltering economy risks stoking a 1917-style revolution. And an anonymous former senior official wrote in The Economist that grumbling among the elite shows Putin is losing his grip on Russia.

Rising popular anger has also been triggered by the tightening of controls on the internet, including WhatsApp and Telegram, aimed at curbing dissent and criticism.

It’s too early to claim the war has turned decisively in Kyiv’s favour. The current stalemate may prevail for some time.

But the recent trends suggest Russia can no longer assume it can simply outlast Ukraine through attrition. This may well cause Putin to adjust his calculations about peace talks and his unwavering pursuit of maximalist goals.

Despite US President Donald Trump’s unfounded recent claim that Ukraine has been “militarily defeated”, Kyiv is more than holding its own. It continues to have Europe’s backing, as well, with the EU recently finalising a massive 90 billion euro (A$145 billion) loan.

As eminent strategic analyst Lawrence Freedman argues, Ukraine is succeeding by not losing. He argues Ukraine’s “Micawber strategy” – hoping that something will turn up, like the character Wilkins Micawber in Charles Dickens’ David Copperfield – could very well pay off.

The Conversation

Jon Richardson does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Russia doesn’t have much to celebrate on Victory Day, as Ukraine brings the war home to Putin – https://theconversation.com/russia-doesnt-have-much-to-celebrate-on-victory-day-as-ukraine-brings-the-war-home-to-putin-282254

Trump and Lula at the White House: a relationship built on pragmatism and a broader regional calculus

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Guilherme Casarões, Associate Professor of Brazilian Studies, Florida International University

Brazilian President Lula da Silva greets US President Donald Trump upon his arrival at the White House: the trip also serves a second, equally important function for Lula, as each item on the bilateral agenda maps directly onto a domestic electoral fault line. Ricardo Stuckert/PR, CC BY

For about three hours of closed-door talks between Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and US President Donald Trump at the White House on May 7, 2026, many observers in the two countries held their breath. Since there was no official joint statement or press conference, they did not know what to expect. Despite the reported “chemistry” between both presidents at the United Nations General Assembly last September, bilateral tensions were far from resolved.

The meeting between both presidents could have gone many ways: on the surface, Brazil and the US currently stand more as geopolitical rivals than allies. Over the last few months, Lula has made several criticisms to what he saw as a renewed US unilateralism. The Trump administration, in turn, seems to be responsive to the former President Jair Bolsonaro family’s demands regarding free speech or organized crime.

But Lula wanted the conversation to succeed, not so much because of diplomatic concerns, but because he faces an uphill battle ahead of the October elections. His trip to Washington was, above all, a domestic political operation. Even if the meeting lacked specific results, the positive atmosphere reported by both presidents was a victory for Lula in the context of a presidential race that is already shaping up to be one of the most consequential in Brazil’s recent history.

Flávio Bolsonaro, the eldest son of the jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro, has mounted a formidable electoral challenge. Polls now show him in a statistical tie with Lula in a hypothetical runoff, which is a remarkable position for a candidate whose political inheritance includes a father convicted of attempting a coup d’état.

The far-right senator has made several trips to the United States over recent months, including an appearance at the conservative CPAC summit, projecting himself as the candidate who can restore Brazil’s relationship with Washington after years of what he characterizes as Lula’s anti-American drift. His pitch to Brazilian voters is simple and powerful: only a Bolsonaro can work with Trump.

That narrative has found purchase in a Brazilian electorate that is increasingly attentive to geopolitical alignments. This is not the Brazil of previous electoral cycles, where foreign policy was a footnote.

Trump as a lifeline

Since Trump’s return to the White House, the Bolsonarist movement has portrayed the U.S. president as a lifeline, not only capable of keeping Jair Bolsonaro out of jail but also helping his movement’s political comeback. Flávio has reportedly pledged significant concessions to Washington on rare earth minerals, narcoterrorism designations, and trade, presenting these as proof of loyalty to an administration that the Bolsonaro family views as friendly and like-minded.

Whether or not Trump reciprocates that loyalty in any meaningful way is almost beside the point. The image of members of the Bolsonaro dynasty in Washington, welcomed by the MAGA establishment, is itself an electoral asset.

This is precisely the vulnerability that Lula traveled to Washington to neutralize. By securing a White House meeting, the Brazilian president sent a clear signal to his domestic audience: the relationship with Washington is not broken, and it does not require a Bolsonaro to fix it. The Brazilian-only press conference that followed the meeting only served to reinforce this point.

But the trip serves a second, equally important function. Each item on the bilateral agenda maps directly onto a domestic electoral fault line for Lula. On trade and tariffs, Lula returns home able to claim that he is fighting to protect Brazilian exporters and consumers from the inflationary pressures of a trade war. On organized crime – specifically the potential US designation of drug gangs PCC and Comando Vermelho as foreign terrorist organizations – the president can portray himself as a defender of Brazilian sovereignty and judicial autonomy, resisting external interference in domestic security policy. On rare earth minerals and strategic resources, Lula can reframe what is, in essence, a negotiation over economic dependency as a story of Brazil’s rising geopolitical clout.

And on democracy itself, the contrast with the Bolsonaro family could not be starker: while the father languishes under house arrest for plotting a coup, they were not able to prevent Lula from being welcomed in Washington as a legitimate (and friendly) head of state.

Political pragmatism

It would be a mistake, however, to reduce Trump’s willingness to meet Lula to a mere diplomatic courtesy. The Trump administration has shown a consistent pragmatism beneath its ideological posturing. Its management of relations with Claudia Sheinbaum’s Mexico, its intermittent engagement with Venezuela, and now its reception of Lula all suggest that the White House can work with ideological opponents when strategic interests demand it.

Brazil, the largest economy in South America and a country with substantial reserves of the critical minerals that Washington covets for its industrial and defense supply chains, is too significant to be held hostage to electoral sympathies for the Bolsonaro family. There is also a broader regional calculus: as the United States asserts primacy across Latin America through what has become known as the “Trump Corollary”, having a cooperative Brazilian government is considerably more useful than a destabilized one.

None of this means that Lula’s Washington gambit will succeed electorally. Flávio Bolsonaro has proven to be a more disciplined and adaptable candidate than his father, and the transnational networks that animate the Bolsonarist movement extend well beyond Washington. A single White House photo-op carries only so much weight.

What the trip does illustrate, however, is the degree to which Brazilian electoral politics has become inseparable from the global contest over alignment, sovereignty, and great-power patronage. In that contest, Lula has made his move. It will hardly change the minds of those who, left or right, have already made up their minds about their candidates. But it shows to the centrist voter, if anything, that a pragmatic defense of Brazilian sovereignty can be much more efficient than ideological submission to foreign interests.

The Conversation

Guilherme Casarões não presta consultoria, trabalha, possui ações ou recebe financiamento de qualquer empresa ou organização que poderia se beneficiar com a publicação deste artigo e não revelou nenhum vínculo relevante além de seu cargo acadêmico.

ref. Trump and Lula at the White House: a relationship built on pragmatism and a broader regional calculus – https://theconversation.com/trump-and-lula-at-the-white-house-a-relationship-built-on-pragmatism-and-a-broader-regional-calculus-282470

Iran wants oil tariffs paid in Chinese yuan – is the power of the US petrodollar in decline?

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Chris Ogden, Associate Professor in Global Studies, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

Fadel Senna /AFP via Getty Images

After weeks of blockades by Iran and the United States in the Strait of Hormuz, it’s clear the narrow waterway is now pivotal to the outcome of the conflict.

The US has begun to escort ships through the narrow passage, but behind the military manoeuvring lies a deeper development: energy security in the Persian Gulf is in a state of profound flux.

As well as the desire by both Iran and the US to control the global flow of oil, gas, helium and fertilisers from the region, the United Arab Emirates (a key US ally) has withdrawn from OPEC in what’s been called a major blow to the oil cartel.

On top of this, Iran has announced plans to introduce tariffs in the Strait of Hormuz as a form of reparations for the damage caused by the war.

If imposed, these tariffs are estimated to be worth between US$40 billion and $50 billion a year to Iran, and would potentially allow it to mitigate the impact of US economic sanctions.

Crucially, tariffs would be a way to cultivate stronger relations with China because they would be denominated in Chinese yuan, not US dollars. This has the potential to significantly alter regional and global power balances.

In fact, such payments have reportedly already been made by vessels going to China, India and Japan, with the Iranian parliament working to formalise the process. (Iran has also begun accepting payments in cryptocurrency.)

50 years of dominance

If Iran can continue to charge these tariffs it could tilt regional influence away from the US towards China and Asia by eroding the historical dominance of the petrodollar.

Essentially, the petrodollar system has seen the pricing and trading of oil in US dollars. The term dates from the 1970s when the US asked Saudi Arabia to exclusively price its oil in US dollars in return for military aid.

This spread across OPEC (the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), becoming the benchmark of the global oil trade, bolstering the US dollar as the global reserve currency and underwriting US power.

Oil-producing nations amassed huge petrodollar surpluses – too much to invest only in their own economies – which were funnelled or “recycled” back into US securities and stocks, and other countries’ sovereign wealth funds.

They have become the primary source of revenue for OPEC members, as well as non-member oil exporters Qatar and Norway. This ties these countries to Washington and gives the US significant financial leverage in global affairs. The flow of petrodollars helps finance US deficits and reduce US borrowing costs.

A new paradigm?

If major regional players such as the UAE, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia pay Iranian tariffs in “petroyuans”, economist Antonio Bhardwaj has said, it would mark:

the systematic erosion of the petrodollar system and the emergence of the petroyuan as a credible, institutionally embedded alternative framework for settling global energy transactions.

It’s a sizeable “if”, but the introduction of tariffs would also pose a dilemma for countries that supported Iran in the conflict (implicitly or explicitly) and those that didn’t.

As internatinoal relations analyst Pakizah Parveen has written, we would see the emergence of:

a bifurcated global oil market: barrels from compliant parties would move through Hormuz in yuan. In contrast, non-compliant parties would incur significantly higher costs in dollar-denominated barrels.

Such a choice would affect major US allies such as Pakistan, South Korea, Japan and the Philippines, all of which have faced severe economic pressures as a result of the upheavals in the Gulf and Middle East.

Paying tariffs in petroyuan would draw them towards China and play into Beijing’s narrative of being a reliable and more stable economic force. It also mirrors Russia’s request for payment in yuan for its oil since 2025.

Decline of the petrodollar

It would be premature to argue Iranian tariffs will lead to a general “de-dollarisation” of the world economy. But they may be a step towards a devaluing of the US dollar.

By extension, any move by other countries away from the US dollar is a move away from dependence on the US financially and politically. It would also aid China’s push to internationalise the yuan.

For the first time since 1996, global central banks hold more gold in their reserves than US debt securities. The BRICS group of countries may move further away from US influence, with China, India and Brazil having all reduced their US holdings in 2025.

Overall, Iranian tariffs denominated in yuan would be another sign of an emerging multipolar world in which US preeminence is no longer a given. It would mean more strategic flexibility for all countries, great and small, but also more uncertainty.

The Conversation

Chris Ogden is affiliated with the Foreign Policy Centre in London.

ref. Iran wants oil tariffs paid in Chinese yuan – is the power of the US petrodollar in decline? – https://theconversation.com/iran-wants-oil-tariffs-paid-in-chinese-yuan-is-the-power-of-the-us-petrodollar-in-decline-281858