Meekness isn’t weakness – once considered positive, it’s one of the ‘undersung virtues’ that deserve defense today

Source: The Conversation – USA (3) – By Timothy J. Pawl, Professor of Philosophy, University of St. Thomas

Meekness used to be considered a positive trait – not being powerless, or a doormat. Halfpoint images/Moment via Getty Images

What do you envision when you think of meekness?

You probably see a mousy doormat, someone sheepishly acquiescing to the will of the stronger. When Jesus says, “Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the earth,” you might think that those wimps will hand it over without a whimper or word of objection to stronger, more ambitious people. The philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche called meekness “craven baseness.”

Indeed, one of the Oxford English Dictionary’s definitions is “inclined to submit tamely to oppression or injury, easily imposed upon or cowed, timid.” Meekness, then, is a weakness. Why would you ever want to be meek?

The same goes for docility, often characterized as a near neighbor of meekness. We can get a feel for its usage these days from the Corpus of Contemporary American English, where one finds that a docile person is slow, controllable, obedient, submissive, compliant, passive and under control.

Or consider condescension. You likely envision someone self-important looking down her nose at a service worker, or some insufferable prig unwilling to come off his high horse to mingle with the peasants. Being condescending, far from being a virtue, is universally acknowledged as a vice.

Meekness, docility and condescension: three traits with no cultural capital today. And yet, our ancestors typically understood these traits to be virtues. How in the world could that be?

As any philosopher will tell you, in a case of seeming disagreement, you need to settle the definitions of the words in play. How many arguments have been abruptly dissolved by someone saying, “Oh, that’s what you mean”? When we check the meaning of these three terms, I think we come to see that there’s been a switcheroo. As I’ve found in my philosophical research and teaching, some of the virtues that were most celebrated in yesteryear but now go undersung are traits that can help us lead good lives, even now.

Forgotten virtues

Consider meekness – but allow me to start with a little vignette.

In 2018, mixed martial-arts champion Matt Serra was having a family meal in a restaurant when a belligerent drunken man entered, threatening servers and patrons. Serra could have knocked him out cold. But instead, he calmly pinned him, waiting for security to arrive.

A similar trait is on display when exasperated parents react with control, harried teachers don’t rise to students’ provocations, and police de-escalate situations. In each case, they kept control of their emotions, especially their anger. One common feature of these stories is that the person wasn’t powerless; rather, it was precisely because they understood how much power they had that they used restraint.

Such a trait – excellence with respect to one’s anger – used to be called meekness. We hear an echo of this original meaning even today in horse training, where to “meek” a horse means training it to subjugate its great power to its master, not letting its passions take control. Likewise, meekness once meant not becoming weak, but subjugating power to reason – not letting anger take control.

A person rides a brown horse galloping across a field, with trees in the background.
‘Meeking’ a horse means more than subduing it.
Mint Images RF via Getty Images

In the Gospels, when Jesus calls himself meek, it is the same Greek word used for a meek horse: “praus.” A horse is not weaker on account of being meeked; no Greek warrior wanted a wimpy steed. The horse retains its strength, now safeguarded by self-control.

This is quite a different notion of meekness than we find in our contemporary lexicon. Yet in its traditional sense, the word names a trait almost everyone deeply values. No one wants her best friend, child, teacher, coach or deputy to be unable to control her anger.

Such control is an important character trait for living a good life, but we no longer have a concept for it. What term do people use today for being disposed to pick battles prudently, not letting anger cloud one’s judgment, not being easily baited into action they’ll come to regret – without being easily biddable or callous to real injustices? “Self-control,” a broad category that covers facing temptations, enduring difficulties and myriad things in between, is too broad a notion to do the work.

Nor do we have a word for someone excellent at receiving instruction and insights – but at the same time who’s unafraid to think for herself, to disregard the advice of a snake-oil salesman. That used to be called docility.

Condescension, the most surprising of the three, now suggests someone deigning to speak down from their lofty height. Yet it once described excellence at respecting people, regardless of their social status: easily connecting with those on a lower rung so they feel seen and valued, but without causing embarrassment or awkwardness. What term do we have now for inculcating such an important trait?

Why words matter

To be clear, I’m not here from the Language Reclamation League. I’m not necessarily advocating for a return to older language – and certainly not just because it is older. But without replacements for ethical concepts we’ve lost, we’re faced with a moral void, unable even to conceptualize the goodness that we want to see in ourselves and those we love.

Maybe you think that not much is lost. Bridges fall when engineers can’t distinguish varieties of physical strength; what’s lost if people can’t distinguish varieties of character strength?

An engineer in a yellow safety vest and white hard hat speaks into a walkie-talkie as he surveys a building site.
Precise language matters for character formation, too.
Tanison Pachtanom/E+ via Getty Images

To my mind, there are at least three reasons why it is important to have some term or other for these traits.

First, there’s good psychological evidence that goals of approach – “I want to get healthy,” “I want to get financially stable” – are a stronger motivation for us than avoidance goals – “I want to stop being sick,” “I want not to be poor.” Approach goals typically yield more effort, more satisfaction and more well-being. But they require naming the moral virtue you want to cultivate.

Second, the positive traits named by these old virtues are what you really want. You don’t merely want your loved ones to stop acting out of wrath. You want them to be able to restrain their power in the face of their anger. You are ignorant of your real goal if you don’t have a concept for it.

Third, consider the detriment caused by not having shared language for an ethical concept. The philosopher Miranda Fricker has written of the time before the term “sexual harassment” was coined in 1975. She provides multiple instances of women being wronged in the workplace, but being unable to articulate that wrong to those in power, owing to a lack of a shared label for it. And not only that, but the lack of an adequate concept prevented the victims from fully understanding the wrong themselves.

Having positive concepts for the traits we want to enable in ourselves and others is essential, then, to the moral life. The fact that we’ve let several go the way of “blatherskite” and “bumfuzzled” is telling.

We still have terms for a bloviating windbag or being bewildered, so we don’t need those archaic, though admittedly fun, words to express important truths. But when it comes to undersung virtues, we do need some way to highlight character traits that help form us into our best selves – even if the words of yesteryear no longer fit the bill.

The Conversation

Timothy J. Pawl received funding from The John Templeton Foundation for research on the topic of this article.

ref. Meekness isn’t weakness – once considered positive, it’s one of the ‘undersung virtues’ that deserve defense today – https://theconversation.com/meekness-isnt-weakness-once-considered-positive-its-one-of-the-undersung-virtues-that-deserve-defense-today-276360

Can African penguins be brought back from the brink? Better designed no-fishing zones could help

Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Jacqui Glencross, Seabird ecologist, University of St Andrews

South Africa is home to 88% of the world’s colonies of African penguins (Spheniscus demersus). The species is classified as Critically Endangered by the International Union for Conservation of Nature. This means there is a high risk the birds could go extinct in the wild following rapid population declines.

This species was once abundant along the coasts of South Africa and Namibia. But the population has fallen by about 78% over the last 30 years, driven by food scarcity, oil spills and climate-related shifts in the marine environment. African penguins mainly feed on anchovy and sardine. Changes in ocean conditions and overfishing have made it more difficult for the penguins to get enough food. In recent years, conservation organisations, scientists and government agencies have escalated efforts to halt this decline.

One of the most significant developments was a March 2025 court ruling that supported the introduction of improved no-fishing zones around key breeding colonies, to protect the penguins’ foraging grounds. Robben Island (11km north-west of Cape Town) is one of the colonies.

Protecting waters adjacent to breeding colonies is essential for the species’ long-term recovery. Food shortages in these areas, driven in part by competition with the purse-seine fishery (which uses a large net to surround schooling fish), have been directly linked to declining chick survival and the ongoing population collapse.

The court case (led by the organisations BirdLife South Africa and the Southern African Foundation for the Conservation of Coastal Birds) concluded that fish can no longer be caught within a 20km radius of Robben Island.

We are penguin researchers from the University of St Andrews, University of Exeter, the South African Department of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment, and BirdLife South Africa.
Our work has examined the interactions between penguins and fishing operations in detail, and can offer insights to guide the management of their respective needs.

Overlap with the fishing industry

Previous research into the effects of fishing on penguin populations has mostly looked at metrics such as the amount of fish removed by the fishery. But technology to track fishing locations and animal movement now enables us to look at the picture on a fine spatial scale. We can see where and how intensely commercial fishing and penguins overlaps, helping us identify areas that should be protected.

Our recent research used tracking data from penguins on Robben and Dassen islands, in the Western Cape of South Africa. We measured population-level spatial overlap between penguins and the local fishery. A small proportion of penguins were tracked using GPS devices, then we were able to simulate where more of the colony were going.

Knowing where a large proportion of the penguin population is sharing a particular space with fishing vessels makes it easier to target which areas to protect and when. It provides benefits for the fishing industry (allowing fishing in areas which are of lower importance to the penguins) and for the penguins (limiting competition with the fishery during the breeding season).

We also developed a new metric, “overlap intensity”, which captures not only how much space penguins share with fishing vessels, but how many individual penguins are affected. Traditional measures of spatial overlap simply calculate the percentage of area shared between predators (penguins) and fishing vessels. But this can dramatically underestimate the actual degree of interaction, especially when only a few areas are shared but many animals use them.

It reveals insight into ecological pressure and competition that area overlap alone misses. For example, it suggests stronger competition for prey than spatial overlap metrics imply. This method can not only be expanded to other colonies but more broadly to other species and ecosystems.

Our findings show that overlap increases sharply in years when fish are scarce. During 2016, a year of low fish abundance, around 20% of penguins foraged in the same areas as active fishing vessels. In years with healthier fish stocks, however, overlap dropped to just 4%. This pattern indicates that competition between penguins and the fishery intensifies when prey is limited. It poses the highest risk during sensitive periods such as chick-rearing, when adults must forage efficiently to provide for their young.

A new tool for risk and management

By quantifying overlap intensity at the population level, our study offers a powerful new tool for assessing ecological risk and supporting ecosystem-based fisheries management. It also provides practical guidance for designing dynamic marine protected areas that respond to real-time changes in predator–prey interactions.

Our results further show that the new no-fishing zone around Robben Island will protect a key foraging area to the north-east of the colony. This was previously one of the regions with the highest overlap between penguins and fishing vessels.

Continued monitoring will be essential to determine how overlap changes in response to the new ten-year purse-seine closures around both colonies. Similar assessments should also be conducted at additional breeding sites, including other islands involved in the closures. Foraging ranges of the penguins and the areas covered by the no-take zones vary from colony to colony.

Meanwhile, over the past few years, weighbridges have been installed at some colonies (including Robben Island) collecting penguin weights when they leave to feed and when they return. Data from these large scales will tell us more about how the closures affect penguin foraging success.

The Conversation

Jacqui Glencross does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Can African penguins be brought back from the brink? Better designed no-fishing zones could help – https://theconversation.com/can-african-penguins-be-brought-back-from-the-brink-better-designed-no-fishing-zones-could-help-271762

Could the experiences of twins help explain why we don’t trust politicians?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Edmund Kelly, PhD candidate, Department Politics and International Relations, University of Oxford

Trust in politicians may relate to our formative experiences, which is why looking at twins can help explain it. Shutterstock/The Faces

In many democracies today, trust in politics is either very low or in decline.

This is a noteworthy development in its own right, but it may be especially important because trust is associated with several other important outcomes, for example, whether we vote and whether we comply with the law. The latter became particularly apparent during the pandemic, when it turned out that people who trusted politicians more were more likely to comply with lockdown rules.

Political scientists often think about trust as a dynamic concept. When politicians perform poorly, our trust falls. And there is plenty of evidence for this. When the economy performs badly or when politicians are embroiled in scandals, trust tends to be lower.

This way of thinking about trust is obviously helpful, but one problem is that it is hard to explain why people’s levels of political trust tend to be stable. Once people reach a level of trust in early adulthood, they don’t tend to change it very much afterwards. And people don’t always have as strong a reaction to events like political scandals as we might think – so it’s not a given that current performance is the only cause of low trust.

One explanation for this apparent contradiction is that trust might also be affected by our formative experiences. Of course, this doesn’t mean that trust never changes later, it obviously does. But on this view, each person would have a stable, base level of trust informed by their early experiences with the political system.

How our parents talked about politics when we were growing up, or how governments performed when we started paying attention to politics, might affect our base level of trust. We know that these experiences affect other aspects of our relationship with politics, for example, our voting behaviour, and our political values.

However, these ideas are difficult to prove. Academics generally study political attitudes by surveying a random sample of the population. These surveys ask about our opinions, and about things that might be influencing them (for example, our household income). But they rarely ask about our formative experiences. That’s partly because people can’t be expected to accurately remember experiences from many years ago. It’s also difficult to know which experiences to ask about. We obviously can’t ask about everything (that would be expensive and tedious), but that means we might miss things.

One way around this problem is to look at twins and siblings, because we know they largely share their formative experiences and traits formed early in life. That way, we can study those factors without having to directly measure them.

By comparing non-identical twins and siblings (who share lots of traits and experiences) with identical twins (who share almost all traits and experiences) we can estimate how important these are for our political attitudes. That’s what I’ve been doing in my own work, which suggests that a substantial proportion of our trust is explained by our early experiences – perhaps as much as 40%.

Early life and political trust

One possible explanation for this is that important traits formed early in life, like our personalities, might affect our ability to trust the political system. Some people are naturally more agreeable, for example, and it seems likely that they would also be more trusting.

This is one line of argument I’ve discussed in some of my own work, but the evidence for this is less clear. Instead, it seems likely that people who share similar personality profiles are similarly trusting because they grew up in environments which predisposed them toward those personality traits and also toward having more or less trust in the system.

Another, perhaps more plausible scenario is that the environmental conditions we experience early in life might affect whether we go on to have more or less trust in politics. For example, experiencing economic hardship early in life is associated with our ability to trust the system in the long run, especially if we think the government is to blame for our hardship. We might also expect that our educational experiences affect trust, for example, by giving us the knowledge about the system that can help us make more reasoned judgements about its trustworthiness.

The relationship between trust and voting might, therefore, not be due to trust causing voting, but instead due to our formative experiences affecting both. My work with colleagues suggests that this is likely to be the case. We tested whether differences in political trust within twin pairs predicted differences in how often they voted. That way, we know we’ve accounted for all relevant formative experiences shared by the twins. When we did that, we found that the relationship between how much we trust and how often we vote is much weaker.

Another reason that trust being partly caused by our formative experiences matters is because long-run changes in trust might be generational in nature, and difficult to reverse. In the UK, for example, gen Z tends to be particularly distrusting of institutions, including political ones.

If political trust is socialised when we are young, this has the concerning implication that it might stay that way, even if performance improves. We might then expect younger voters who grow up in a low-trust environment to remain distrusting in the long run.

The Conversation

Edmund Kelly receives funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (grant number ES/P000649/1).

ref. Could the experiences of twins help explain why we don’t trust politicians? – https://theconversation.com/could-the-experiences-of-twins-help-explain-why-we-dont-trust-politicians-274069

Molecules found in Martian rock hint at ancient life – new study

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Kevin Olsen, UKSA Mars Science Fellow, Department of Physics, University of Oxford

A new study of carbon-based molecules in a Martian rock offers new hints about the possibility that the red planet once hosted life.

The researchers considered a range of possible processes that could have produced the molecules they found. They argue that high concentrations of large organic (carbon-based) compounds found in the rock cannot be fully explained by the non-biological processes they examined.

The team members say it is therefore possible that the organics were produced by living organisms. It is also feasible that molecules made by hydrothermal processes – where water is heated to high temperatures underground – also contributed to the organics found in the rock.

The scientists also believe that some of the organic compounds came from fatty acids, which are found in the cell walls of living organisms.

The complexity of the newly detected molecules is strikingly distinct. They require more complex methods for production, which helps scientists narrow down their source.

The discovery of the molecules was made with Nasa’s Curiosity rover, which examined a Martian rock named Cumberland. This is a sedimentary rock, meaning it was probably built up in layers in the presence of water billions of years ago. Curiosity has been exploring a site called Gale Crater on Mars since 2012.

The molecules include long chain alkanes in the form of decane (C₁₀H₂₂), undecane (C₁₁H₂₄), and dodencane (C₁₂H₂₆), much larger molecules than previously identified on Mars.

These measurements come from a pyrolysis experiment – where samples are heated to release gases that can then be analysed. This experiment broke down even larger molecules, and the assumption, from well-known chemistry, is that these may have been derived from carboxylic acids, or fatty acids. These are the kinds of compounds we recognise from our food.

The molecules were reported in a separate paper from March 2025. This new study, in the journal Astrobiology, considers the various ways they could have been made, both biological and non-biological.

Curiosity used its drill to extract a sample of rock from Cumberland.
Nasa/JPL/MSSS

The discovery of organics on Mars is critical to our understanding of whether the planet could have supported life (and whether it could today). Organic matter refers to molecules containing a bond between carbon and hydrogen. These comprise the essential building blocks for life as we know it.

The critical line of reasoning in the new paper is that because these long chains will break down under the ionising radiation in the harsh Martian environment (a combination of ultraviolet radiation from the Sun, heavier charged particles that don’t make it through Earth’s magnetic field, and cosmic radiation), the actual quantity of the carboxylic acids that we are measuring now must have been hundreds of times higher in the past.

Today, these molecules are present at 30–50 parts-per-billion in the rock. But the authors estimate this could have been around 120–7,700 parts-per-million before ionising radiation exposure.




Read more:
Signs of ancient life may have been found in Martian rock – new study


The authors examined several possible, but non-biological, sources for these fatty acids, such as delivery by interplanetary dust and meteorites, organic hazes in the ancient Martian atmosphere, and the act of serpentinisation – a geological process known to have occurred on Mars involving high heat and abundant liquid water.

The authors point out potential limitations with some of these processes that may make them less likely as sources for the organic molecules. For example, these limitations may relate to what we know about the ratio of simple organics, like methane, to the amount of CO₂ in the early Martian atmosphere, or where reactions like serpentinisation need to take place (underground) and how this matter could be transported to the surface.

Therefore, the authors argue, it is plausible that these carboxylic or fatty acids have a biological origin and may be remnants of an ancient, early Martian biosphere. They concede in their closing paragraph extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, as the scientist and author Carl Sagan once said, and downplay any attempt to claim evidence of life without intense scrutiny. However, it sets an optimistic tone for future projects – and there will be a busy future on Mars.

In September 2025, Nasa made a similar announcement using results from the Perseverance rover. They reported organic carbon-bearing mudstones that appeared to have participated in low temperature chemical reactions after they were deposited.

The researchers behind this study also looked at a variety of ways that the reactions could have taken place and were unable to explain them using known non-biological processes. The results hinted at the possible presence of microbial activity on Mars billions of years ago.

However, it will be impossible to say for sure whether the red planet hosted life until Martian rocks are delivered to Earth for analysis in laboratories. The findings published in September 2025 were largely seen as a rallying cry for the Mars Sample Return mission. This will gather up samples collected by the Perseverance rover and send them to our planet for examination.

Unfortunately, Mars Sample Return was effectively cancelled last month after years of being under-funded. Despite this, there remain big things ahead. The European Space Agency will send its Rosalind Franklin rover to Mars in 2028, featuring a drill that will search for signs of life up to two metres underground.

In 2026, Japan will attempt to retrieve a piece of the Martian moon Phobos with its Martian Moons Exploration mission. At the same time frame, follow-up missions from China and India are taking shape, with China also attempting to retrieve a sample from the surface.

The Conversation

Kevin Olsen does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Molecules found in Martian rock hint at ancient life – new study – https://theconversation.com/molecules-found-in-martian-rock-hint-at-ancient-life-new-study-276241

Drug murders in France: how organised crime moves in and ruins communities

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Felia Allum, Professor of Comparative Organised Crime and Corruption, University of Bath

France has reached what has been called a “turning point” in its relationship with drugs cartels after Medhi Kessaci the innocent 20-year-old brother of anti-drug activist Amine Kessaci was shot dead in Marseille last November.

The murder was taken as a warning to Amine, who had lost another brother five years earlier. Brahim had been found burnt in a car, a casualty of internal drug rivalries and business. Amine has since been very outspoken about the need to understand what is happening in Marseille and in France.

But he continues to risk his life by being outspoken. He was recently evacuated from a meeting in Aix en Provence, after a threat was made on his life.

Between 2023 and 2024, 73 people were murdered in Marseille in crimes related to the drugs business. Many of them were young people freshly recruited on the internet to make easy money by selling drugs. Similar drug-related murders have taken place in Grenoble, Paris, Nimes, Montpellier, Nice and Lyon.

Experts and commentators have invented labels such as “narcobanditism”, “narcomurder”, “narcoterrorism”, “narcostate” and “narcocracy” to try to explain what is happening in France.

Marseille is emblematic of a state’s failure to understand how drug networks function, and their relationship with local communities and drug consumers. Although the current drug group dominating in France at the moment uses the term mafia in its name (Mafia DZ), it is still different from the mafia-type associations that have developed in Italy.

These waves of drug-related crime reflect the contemporary cosmopolitan and capitalist cities that our society, governments, value systems and economic systems have created. These are places where the welfare state, with its sense of belonging and collectivity, has been downgraded in favour of individualism, money, technology and bureaucracy.

Organised crime groups in their different forms, whether local drug lines, more sophisticated drug networks or traditional mafias, do not appear out of nowhere overnight. They do not become embedded in local communities against citizens’ will. They don’t develop links with local politicians and professionals for no apparent reason. These crime groups fill the gaps that the state and society should occupy because they offer jobs, support and votes.

We know that criminal organisations take hold through two different mechanisms.

In Italy, the US, Colombia, Albania and Russia, mafia and cartel structures have developed during major state transformations. These periods of upheaval create space and even vacuums, which can be filled by other non-state organisations and structures. The classic example of this is the US in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, when there was significant economic upheaval, rapid urbanisation and industrialisation, developing political institutions and changing social makeup. Another is Naples and Sicily during the 1860s, when Italy went from being a peninsula of kingdoms to a unified state.

In other cases, as has happened in the 20th century, the state has established itself but its capitalist structural conditions create the conditions for organised crime to thrive. Social, racial, educational and economic inequalities drive crime.

Political economist Susan Strange explained how the state’s authority has evaporated and how the markets now dictate terms. Communities are left with no safety net in the wake of the state’s retreat. Gangs seize on this vulnerability and propose an alternative model for young people. They offer instant and easy money to local people and enjoy visible respect in neighbourhoods where despair has become the daily background music. They dictate the law to their drug dealing employees and seek social consensus from the local community, which feels abandoned and has little option but to live with the violence.

This is not a French-only phenomenon – it is taking place in many liberal democratic systems where the welfare state is becoming a privatised, bureaucratic and technological state based on individualism and profit.

The French government has proposed new solutions such as police and judicial tools to tackle these drug groups. The French state has made some inroads in the past, but these groups just reorganise, often controlling operations from Dubai.

France hopes to learn from the Italian anti-mafia legislation of the 1990s. It is bringing in a new anti-organised crime directorate (PNACO), which includes 16 prosecutors who will tackle drug networks across France and Europe.

In addition, it wants to introduce a new state witness protection programme for former criminals to collaborate with the state to go with their new harsh prison conditions for drug bosses and laws on confiscation of assets.

It also wants to target the consumers and increase fines for drug possession and even take away people’s driving licences or jobs if they get caught with drugs.

But when states implement reactive and punitive measures of this kind, they aren’t dealing with the roots of the problem. As Amine Kessaci recently wrote in his book, ending drug trafficking isn’t just about combating the networks in Marseille. It’s about resisting a societal model that makes these networks desirable. It’s about promoting other values and offering an alternative to escape or downfall. It’s about giving the foot soldiers of the drugs trade a positive horizon other than a cell or a grave.

The Conversation

Felia Allum does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Drug murders in France: how organised crime moves in and ruins communities – https://theconversation.com/drug-murders-in-france-how-organised-crime-moves-in-and-ruins-communities-274054

Anxiety in teenagers linked to sugary drinks – new research

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Chloe Casey, Lecturer in Nutrition and Behaviour, Bournemouth University

Teens who drank more sugary drinks had a higher levels of anxiety. Antonio Guillem/ Shutterstock

Anxiety affects an estimated one in five teenagers. The condition can seriously affect their social lives, school performance and overall wellbeing. And, worryingly, anxiety disorders that begin during adolescence often continue into adulthood.

Biological, genetic and environmental factors are all known to play a role in a person’s likelihood of developing anxiety. But a growing body of research suggests that diet may also influence mental health.

Some foods, such as fruits and vegetables and omega-3 fatty acids, have been linked to lower anxiety symptoms.

On the other hand, diets high in free sugar have been linked to poorer mental health in adolescents. Free sugars include sugar added to foods and drinks, as well as those normally present in honey, syrups and fruit and vegetable juices.

UK guidelines recommend that free sugars make up no more than 5% of our daily calorie intake. Adolescents typically consume the most free sugar of any age group, sometimes up to 20% of their daily total energy intake – much of it coming from sugary drinks.

Now, my colleagues and I have published new research showing that sugary drink consumption may be linked to higher levels of anxiety in adolescents.

This review combined data from several previous studies looking at the amount of sugary drink teenagers consume and how anxious they feel. Our research group pulled together findings from multiple studies published between 2000 and 2025. Of the nine studies included, seven found a clear link between sugary drink intake and anxiety.

The studies involved young people aged ten to 19. Sugary drink intake was usually measured through surveys. Sugary drinks included fizzy drinks, colas, sweetened fruit juices, sweetened milk drinks, energy drinks and sweetened tea or coffee.

The results of the study showed a significant positive association: teenagers who consumed high amounts of sugary drinks had 34% higher odds of being diagnosed with an anxiety disorder.

A group of three teens cheers their sugary iced drinks.
Some teens get up to 20% of their daily calorie intake from sugar.
razum/ Shutterstock

It’s important to remember that the included studies were observational. This means they can show patterns or associations, but they do not indicate that sugary drinks cause anxiety. It’s also possible that anxiety leads teenagers to consume more sugary drinks.

Other factors, such as education levels and family income, are known to influence both mental health and sugary drink intake.

The gut-brain axis, which is the network that links your brain to your gut, could also play a role in the connection between sugary drink consumption and anxiety. However, there are many things that affect gut health as well, including overall diet, stress levels and sleep – all of which have also been linked to anxiety.

Overall, our study suggests that reducing sugary drink consumption could be a helpful way to support adolescent mental health. While numerous studies have investigated the impact reducing sugary drink intake has on the physical health of adolescents, there is a need now to investigate whether this also has mental health benefits.

Reducing sugary drink intake

UK dietary guidelines recommend that adolescents and adults consume no more than 30 grams of sugar per day (approximately seven teaspoons). Given that a single can of fizzy drink can contain around 35 grams of sugar, cutting back on sugary drinks is an effective way to stay within this limit.

There are other practical ways of reducing intake of sugary drinks. This includes drinking sparkling or soda water with a slice of lemon, cucumber, berries or mint to get natural flavour without added sugar. Sugary drinks can be replaced with water, milk or sugar-free alternatives.

Another option is to switch to low-calorie, artificially-sweetened drinks (though these should only be consumed in moderation). Energy drinks can have a negative effect on sleep quality, academic performance and behaviour in adolescents so it’s a good idea to replace these with alternatives that contain less caffeine, such as tea or coffee.

With growing concerns about anxiety in teenagers, it’s becoming increasingly important to identify whether changing certain lifestyle factors can help reduce their risk of experiencing poor mental health. Although we still don’t fully understand how sugary drinks might influence anxiety, this study suggests they could play a role.

The Conversation

Chloe Casey does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Anxiety in teenagers linked to sugary drinks – new research – https://theconversation.com/anxiety-in-teenagers-linked-to-sugary-drinks-new-research-275989

DNA study uncovers continental origins of Britain’s bronze age population

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Martin B. Richards, Research Professor in Archaeogenetics, Department of Physical and Life Sciences, University of Huddersfield

The researchers analysed genetic material from remains found at excavations across Belgium and the Netherlands. Monika Knul

When ancient DNA studies began to gain attention, little more than a decade ago, the view took hold among geneticists that everything we thought we knew about the peopling of Europe by modern humans was wrong. The story was simpler than anyone was expecting: Europe was settled in just three massive migrations from the east.

First came the hunter-gatherers, more than 40,000 years ago. Then, after 9,000 years ago, there was an expansion of farming people from Anatolia during the Neolithic age.

Finally, from 5,000 years ago, the Corded Ware people expanded out of the Russian steppe to inaugurate the European bronze age. The Corded Ware were named after the cord-like impressions in their pottery and carried a distinctive genetic signature previously absent from most of Europe. Genetically, most present-day Europeans have some of each.

This was always an over-simplification, however. Our new paper, produced with colleagues from the US and across Europe, has highlighted some of the more complex interactions between ancient populations that took place in north-west Europe.

Our research untangles the origins of prehistoric populations across Belgium and the Netherlands, as well as identifying the source population for a migration into Britain during the late Neolithic that seems to have led to a 90% replacement of Britain’s Neolithic farmers.

Ancient DNA research already suggested a much more nuanced picture. For example, when early Neolithic farmers first moved into Europe, they interacted little with the local hunter-gatherer people. As a result, although they now lived far from their homeland, their genomes still resembled those of their ancestors from Anatolia.

But by 1,000–2,000 years later, they had absorbed significant local ancestry. Their hunter-gatherer ancestry swelled from only 10% to 30–40% in some regions. Clearly the hunter-gatherers had not vanished as the farmers expanded.

Hunter-gatherer ancestry in populations across Europe between 4,500BC and 2,500BC.
Nature / University of Huddersfield

Northern wetlands

The new research takes us even further from the simple picture. Almost a decade ago, our research group at the University of Huddersfield began a collaboration with palaeoecologist Professor John Stewart from Bournemouth University and archaeologists at the Université de Liège, Belgium. We analysed the genomes of Neolithic human remains excavated along the River Meuse in Belgium, dating to around 5,000 years ago.

This work became part of a larger project, led by Professor David Reich and Dr Iñigo Olalde at Harvard University, involving geneticists and archaeologists from across western Europe. This widened the focus to further sites around the Lower Rhine–Meuse area – wetlands and coastal areas as well as rivers – spanning the late hunter-gatherer cultures to the bronze age.

The fertile soils south of the Rhine-Meuse wetlands had attracted pioneer Neolithic farmer-colonists as early as 5,500BC. However, the rich resources of the northern wetlands were more suited to the lifestyle practised by hunter-gatherers. Even so, the results, generated by our research student, Alessandro Fichera, in collaboration with Harvard, came as a big surprise.

The genomes of people from later Neolithic times in Belgium carried at least 50% local hunter-gatherer ancestry, alongside the expected Anatolian farmer ancestry. Discussing these results with our collaborators led to a “eureka” moment: the same pattern appeared at other sites situated in similarly water-rich environments across the region.

Notably, many of the earlier Neolithic Dutch samples from further north – such as the Swifterbant culture, well-known for maintaining a hunter-gatherer economy alongside some adoption of agriculture – carried close to 100% hunter-gatherer ancestry.

Women’s role in the spread of farming

We then compared the Y-chromosome and mitochondrial DNA, which track the male and female lines of descent, respectively. The Y chromosomes in the Belgian remains were all characteristic of hunter-gatherers, but three-quarters of the mitochondrial DNA lineages had come from Neolithic farmers living further south. The implication was clear: farming know-how had been imported into the “waterworld” hunter-gatherer communities by women.

Our findings support a version of the “frontier mobility” or “availability” model for the spread of the Neolithic, proposed by archaeologists Marek Zvelebil and Peter Rowley-Conwy in the 1980s. They envisioned a contact zone between pioneer farming groups arriving by “leapfrog colonisation” and hunter-gatherer areas.

In the model, the “availability” phase entailed contact and small-scale movements across the frontier, with trading relationships and marriage alliances, for example, forming gradually. This would be followed by a “substitution” phase where farming develops alongside foraging in the hunter-gatherer area, and eventually a “consolidation” phase, when farming predominates.

Our results suggest that the frontier was much more permeable to women than it was to men, and that it may have been marriage of Neolithic women into the forager communities that eventually helped the hunter-gatherers to adopt farming full time. After all, because of the predominance of farming across Europe, the likely alternative long-term was extinction.

Perhaps this kind of model might also apply to other parts of Europe where we lack evidence for how the increased hunter-gatherer ancestry in the later Neolithic came about. In any case, the fact that, here, the “more advanced” farming women married into hunter-gatherer groups, contrary to many archaeologists’ expectations that hunter-gatherer women would “marry up”, suggests that perceptions need to change.

Pottery made by the Bell Beaker people, who created the bronze age of central Europe.
Alfons Åberg, CC BY-SA

Beakers, bronze age and Britain

Around 4,600 years ago, though, people were on the move again. A new wave of settlers – pastoralist-farmers hailing ultimately from the Russian steppe – began to infiltrate the Rhine area in the form of the Corded Ware culture. As growing numbers moved in from the east, they were transformed – we still don’t understand exactly how – into what is known as the Bell Beaker culture.

Within a few centuries, the genetic landscape of the Rhine-Meuse region, including the wetlands, was completely reshaped. Our colleagues found that, 4,400 years ago, less than 20% of the ancestry of the people living there traced back to the earlier farmers and hunter-gatherers. At least 80% of their ancestry was now from the steppe.

The Bell Beaker people rapidly expanded and rippled out further in all directions, creating the bronze age of central Europe. And not only central Europe – they also spread across the English Channel and throughout Britain, extending as far north as Orkney.

It looks as if the British farmers who had been building Stonehenge over the preceding centuries all but disappeared – again, for reasons which remain unclear.

But did they actually vanish? Perhaps this rather blunt picture might become more nuanced too, as we learn more fine-grained details of what happened from archaeology and ancient DNA.

The Conversation

Martin B. Richards has received funding from The Leverhulme Trust’s Doctoral Scholarship scheme.

Maria Pala has received funding from The Leverhulme Trust’s Doctoral Scholarship scheme.

ref. DNA study uncovers continental origins of Britain’s bronze age population – https://theconversation.com/dna-study-uncovers-continental-origins-of-britains-bronze-age-population-276540

How climate scientists balance the tension between research and public protest – new study

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Samuel Finnerty, Senior Research Associate, Social Psychology, Lancaster University

From marches and demonstrations to civil disobedience, scientists are increasingly turning to climate protest. As a social psychologist, I’ve been investigating why researchers – who are trained to value scientific norms of objectivity and restraint – choose to engage in such public and sometimes disruptive action.

My study, just published in the journal PLOS Climate addresses this question by exploring scientists’ own experiences and decision-making. I spent two years observing, participating with, and interviewing scientists engaged in climate activism to understand their motivations.

Science and activism are very different. Scientific training emphasises restraint, uncertainty, narrow expertise, and objectivity. Activism demands urgency, moral clarity, and visibility. This tension often fuels the critique that scientists who protest have abandoned scientific norms in favour of ideology. Yet, a significant number of scientists engage in advocacy and activism. This marks a culture change in how scientists communicate.

So, how do scientists advocate without betraying what it means to be a scientist?

Most activism does not begin with actions that risk arrest such as blocking a road. Scientists typically become involved through roles aligned closely with their professional identity: public communication, giving talks, producing evidence summaries for social movements or acting as visible “scientist” figures within protest spaces. This reflects wider research showing that continuing to “feel like being a scientist” rather than stepping outside that role altogether, is critical for scientists’ engagement in activism.

six scientists in white lab coats standing outside building, holding blue white signs highlighting hazard of fossil fuels
Scientists for Extinction Rebellion protesting at Department for Business, Energy, and Industrial Strategy in 2022.
Andrea Domeniconi, CC BY-NC-ND

The white lab coat is one tool scientists use to manage this tension. In protest spaces, it serves as visible signal of expertise, collective identity and legitimacy. Lab-coated scientists can challenge expectations of what an activist looks like, while also helping participants feel united and reassured that they are still acting as scientists. This helps reconcile identities that might otherwise appear in conflict.

However, for some social scientists who do not wear lab coats in their everyday research, this approach risks reinforcing narrow ideas about what counts as “real science”, both in public perception and within activist spaces, discouraging some from participating.

Acting alongside other scientists helps normalise and legitimise activism, reduce anxiety and build confidence. Being part of a collective also mitigates concerns about reputation damage. Participants nevertheless described activism as emotionally demanding. Continued involvement therefore depended on feeling supported by others.

Escalating actions

Some scientists choose to take part in civil disobedience, a form of peaceful protest that involves deliberately breaking the law to draw attention to an issue, such as sitting in roads or attaching themselves to buildings.

Many scientists told me this move was driven by frustration with the limits of conventional science communication. Many had spent years publishing research, advising policymakers and engaging with the media, yet saw little meaningful political response. For some, civil disobedience felt like a last resort. They framed it not as abandoning science, but as acting on it, when producing and communicating evidence no longer felt sufficient.

As one scientist, arrested during a protest at the London headquarters of the Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, said: “As scientists, we have tried to warn the world as reasonably and as rationally as possible, […] But what is the point of doing it if it just gets ignored?”

scientists answering questions from public at outside protest, ask a scientist banner in background
Researchers answer questions from the public at the Ask a Scientist stand at The Big One, a climate action protest in 2023.
Crispin Hughes., CC BY-NC-ND

The challenges of advocating as a scientist

Once scientists appear in activist spaces, their identity is not always taken at face value. Wearing a lab coat or invoking scientific credentials can open conversations and signal trust. But it may also invite scepticism, heightened scrutiny, or unrealistic expectations that one person can speak for all of science. Participants described being questioned by members of the public, journalists and sometimes other scientists about whether they were “real scientists”, whether their research field counted, or whether they were qualified to speak at all.

Many scientists therefore found themselves balancing the need to speak with authority while remaining honest about the limits of their expertise. Research on scientist advocacy shows mixed effects on public trust, sometimes positive, sometimes negative, and often context-dependent.

Scientists in my study were acutely aware of this. They sought to manage how their activism was perceived by clarifying their expertise, acting alongside other scientists, and choosing forms of participation consistent with their professional values.

Looking at the wider picture, as political inaction, hostility towards climate activism, politicisation of science and misinformation grow, scientists face growing pressure not only to produce knowledge, but to decide how to visibly stand for it. The rise of scientist activism reflects this shifting terrain, and the difficult choices it brings.


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The Conversation

Samuel Finnerty does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. How climate scientists balance the tension between research and public protest – new study – https://theconversation.com/how-climate-scientists-balance-the-tension-between-research-and-public-protest-new-study-274916

Trump désavoué par la Cour suprême sur les droits de douane : et maintenant ?

Source: The Conversation – France in French (3) – By Anne E. Deysine, Professeur émérite juriste et américaniste, spécialiste des États-Unis, questions politiques, sociales et juridiques (Cour suprême), Université Paris Nanterre

La décision était très attendue : la Cour suprême vient de juger que la promulgation d’une grande partie des droits de douane imposés par Donald Trump à de nombreux pays du monde relevait d’un abus de pouvoir. Il s’agit certes d’un net désaveu infligé au président par une Cour dont il semblait estimer qu’elle lui était totalement acquise ; il n’en demeure pas moins que le président des États-Unis dispose d’autres leviers pour poursuivre dans cette même voie.


Donald Trump a placé au cœur de sa politique économique les droits de douane qu’il impose de façon aléatoire à titre de représailles, en invoquant le plus souvent « une situation d’urgence » pour justifier ses actes. On l’a notamment constaté, dès les premières semaines de son second mandat, pour la Chine, le Mexique et le Canada, à qui il reprochait des efforts insuffisants pour combattre la circulation du fentanyl, puis le 2 avril 2025 – le fameux « Jour de la libération ».

Ce jour-là, invoquant l’International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA, texte de 1977 autorisant le président à réglementer le commerce après avoir déclaré une situation d’urgence nationale en réponse à une menace inhabituelle, extraordinaire et de source étrangère pour les États-Unis), Trump a promulgué des droits de douane tous azimuts, qui allaient ensuite être suspendus et modifiés à plusieurs reprises, en fonction du comportement de ses interlocuteurs ou des cadeaux apportés (que l’on songe à la récente controverse provoquée par le don au président d’une Rolex et d’un lingot d’or de la part de patrons suisses).

Retour sur l’histoire judiciaire et la question de droit

Plusieurs États et entreprises, conscients que ces mesures allaient renchérir leurs coûts et affecter leur activité économique, ont contesté ces décisions, certains devant une juridiction fédérale classique (qui n’était pas compétente), d’autres devant le Tribunal du commerce international des États-Unis (CIT) qui, en mai 2025, a conclu à l’illégalité du décret et suspendu sa mise en œuvre.

Le 29 août 2025, saisie par l’administration, la Cour d’appel pour le circuit fédéral (CAFC), qui a compétence en matière de commerce international sur tout le territoire états-unien, a confirmé la décision de première instance : s’appuyant sur « l’histoire législative » (les motivations du Congrès pour voter la loi IEEPA) et la séparation des pouvoirs, elle conclut que la promulgation des droits de douane au nom de l’IEEPA par Trump relève d’un abus de pouvoir du président.

Tous les droits de douane sont illégaux, sauf ceux imposés en vertu de la section 232 du Trade Expansion Act (TEA). Pourtant, malgré la décision de la CAFC, les droits de douane contestés sont entrés en vigueur et ont continué de s’appliquer… jusqu’à la décision que la Cour suprême vient de rendre le 20 février 2026.

En septembre 2025, l’administration Trump a demandé à la Cour d’intervenir en procédure d’urgence pour sauver ses droits de douane. Il faut souligner que la Cour a accepté nettement plus de recours en urgence sous Trump que sous ses prédécesseurs, ce qui traduit bien la conviction de l’actuel président que la Cour suprême (dont il a nommé trois juges, durant son premier mandat) est à son service pour lui permettre de faire ce qu’il veut, sans aucun contrôle ni contre-pouvoir. Pour autant, il lui a fallu suivre le processus normal et demander un examen au fond (merits case) en faisant une demande de certiorari que la Cour a acceptée.

La loi sur les pouvoirs économiques d’urgence (IEEPA) et la décision de la Cour suprême

Il s’est trouvé une majorité de six juges sur les neuf que compte la Cour suprême pour affirmer que le recours du président à la loi IEEPA est contraire à la séparation des pouvoirs, car la loi permet au président de « réguler » et d’« interdire » mais pas d’imposer des droits de douane, qui sont de la compétence du Congrès. Mais c’est une opinion fragmentée, avec quatre opinions convergentes et deux opinions dissidentes, chacun des juges tentant de justifier et d’ancrer ses préférences en matière d’interprétation de la loi et de la Constitution.

La loi IEEPA invoquée par Donald Trump pour imposer des droits de douane tous azimuts à quasiment tous les pays du monde est prévue pour les situations d’urgence, mais l’objectif du Congrès à l’époque de son adoption, en 1977, était de limiter les pouvoirs du président par rapport à une autre loi existante (Trading with the Enemy Act, datant de 1917). C’est ce qu’il est possible de comprendre en recherchant l’« intention du législateur » – une méthode prônée par la juge progressiste Ketanji Brown Jackson dans son opinion convergente, mais les juges « conservateurs » s’y refusent.

Le texte de l’IEEPA prévoit en cas d’urgence la possibilité pour le président de « réguler » ou de déclarer un embargo, par exemple, mais ne mentionne nulle part les droits de douane. Quant à considérer que le « dramatique déficit commercial » invoqué par Trump constitue une urgence, ce serait oublier que celui-ci n’est pas nouveau et existe depuis plusieurs décennies.

Les enjeux constitutionnels

Les enjeux économiques et constitutionnels étaient importants, ainsi qu’en témoigne le nombre élevé de pétitions amicus curiae (« ami de la cour ») que les personnes physiques (un économiste, un professeur de droit) ou morales (des groupes divers) ont la possibilité de déposer afin d’éclairer la cour sur leur lecture de l’affaire, les dangers ou le bien-fondé des positions défendues par l’administration et la solution qu’ils préconisent.

Presque toutes défendaient des arguments allant à l’encontre de la position de l’administration Trump, y compris les groupes de droite comme le Cato Institute (libertarien) ou la Washington Legal Foundation (qui défend généralement les causes de la droite, mais qui argumentait ici pour l’inconstitutionnalité du recours à la législation d’urgence).

Certains invoquaient des arguments économiques et plusieurs professeurs de droit soulignaient les dangers si la Cour ne met pas un coup d’arrêt aux velléités de cumul des pouvoirs par le président. Si la Cour ne sanctionne pas cet empiètement, expliquaient-ils, le risque est réel que le Congrès ne puisse jamais voter une loi, non seulement à la majorité simple mais, en cas de veto quasi certain, à la majorité des deux tiers.

Les juges avaient semblé conscients lors de l’audience de la quasi-impossibilité pour le Congrès de recouvrer ses pouvoirs et avaient posé de nombreuses questions sur ce sujet.

Que dit exactement la décision de la Cour suprême ?

La décision Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, traite de deux catégories de droits de douane : ceux qui ont été imposés sur le Mexique et le Canada pour lutter contre l’importation d’opiacés ; et les droits de douane plusieurs fois modifiés, instaurés le 2 avril 2025 dit « Jour de la libération ». Elle laisse en place les autres droits de douane imposés sur d’autres fondements, tels que les droits de douane de 25 % placés par la première administration Trump en vertu de la section 301 de la loi Trade Act de 1971, maintenus par le président Biden, qui ont ajouté des droits de douane de 100 % sur les véhicules électriques chinois.

Comme prévu, l’opinion de la majorité est rédigée par le Chief Justice et, comme largement anticipé après l’audience, elle statue contre le président, mais après avoir laissé les droits de douane en vigueur pendant près d’un an.

Le président de la Cour rédige une opinion courte dont la première partie, signée par lui-même et cinq autres juges, repose sur l’atteinte à la séparation des pouvoirs : la Constitution attribue au Congrès (et au Congrès seul) le pouvoir de lever l’impôt et d’imposer droits de douane et droits indirects.

Les juges progressistes ont voté avec la majorité sur le premier fondement parce que la décision permet d’interdire au président d’utiliser la loi IEEPA (qui, nous l’avons dit, prévoit interdictions ou embargos mais pas les droits de douane) et renforce la séparation des pouvoirs et la primauté du droit (Rule of Law). Mais pas sur le deuxième fondement, qui ne recueille l’adhésion que des juges conservateurs Gorsuch et Barrett (tous deux nommés par Trump).

Cette opinion de pluralité se fonde sur la doctrine de la question majeure (Major Questions Doctrine, MQD) en vertu de laquelle les décrets qui entraînent une modification majeure d’un secteur doivent être autorisés par une délégation de pouvoir précise et spécifique par le Congrès. Ici, l’imposition de droits de douane a causé une modification majeure de l’économie du pays et ne peut être autorisée. La question est développée sur près de 50 pages par le juge Gorsuch dans son opinion convergente.

Quelle signification et quelles suites ?

C’est un net revers pour Donald Trump, qui a placé les droits de douane au cœur de sa politique économique, mais la Cour ne se prononce pas sur les pouvoirs du président (et leurs limites) ni sur les multiples recours aux législations d’urgence, pas nécessairement motivés. C’est une décision limitée à la signification de la loi IEEPA et à ce qu’elle autorise (déclarer un embargo) et interdit (imposer des droits de douane).

Ce n’est pas l’annonce que la Cour suprême va dorénavant s’opposer à Trump, sauf sans doute sur le limogeage de la gouverneure de la Réserve fédérale (FED), ce qui accréditera la thèse que la majorité de droite à la Cour est du côté du business et protège l’économie du pays contre les politiques dangereuses du président.

Par ailleurs, la décision ne dit rien sur un éventuel remboursement qui serait versé aux entreprises lésées et ne prévoit aucun mécanisme en ce sens. Beaucoup soulignent que les entreprises n’ont aucun droit à un remboursement dans la mesure où elles ont répercuté l’augmentation des coûts sur les consommateurs finaux. Le gouverneur de Californie propose que chaque Américain reçoive un chèque de 1 700 dollars (1 420 euros environ) ; le gouverneur de l’Illinois a envoyé sa facture (8,4 milliards de dollars, soit plus de 7 milliards d’euros) à l’administration Trump. En d’autres termes, d’autres contentieux sont à prévoir. D’autant que les mesures ne sont pas parvenues à diminuer le déficit commercial en 2025 et que rembourser les quelque 140 milliards de dollars (plus de 118,6 milliards d’euros) indûment perçus creuserait un peu plus le déficit budgétaire.

Que peut faire Trump maintenant ?

Une autre question est elle aussi passée sous silence. Donald Trump dispose-t-il d’autres outils pour imposer d’autres droits de douane ? La réponse est oui, car, dans les années 1970, le Congrès a voté plusieurs lois (Trade Acts) déléguant de nombreux pouvoirs au président pour lui permettre de répliquer à des mesures discriminatoires prises par les partenaires commerciaux des États-Unis.

Trump, furieux de la décision de la Cour suprême, a immédiatement annoncé des droits de douane étendus à l’ensemble du monde de 10 %, puis de 15 % en recourant à la section 122 de la loi Trade Act de 1974. Dans ce cas, les droits ne peuvent dépasser 15 % et sont censés expirer au bout de 150 jours si le Congrès n’a pas voté pour confirmer la mesure. Connaissant le peu de cas que Trump fait des règles et du droit, il n’est pas impensable d’imaginer qu’il renouvellera les droits de douane pour d’autres périodes de 150 jours – en violation peut-être non pas de la lettre de la loi mais de son esprit. Ou bien il tentera d’utiliser d’autres outils (les sections 232 ou 301, par exemple).

En conclusion, la décision de la Cour ne clarifie guère la situation économique et, à ce jour, l’état du commerce international est toujours aussi instable et chaotique.

The Conversation

Anne E. Deysine ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. Trump désavoué par la Cour suprême sur les droits de douane : et maintenant ? – https://theconversation.com/trump-desavoue-par-la-cour-supreme-sur-les-droits-de-douane-et-maintenant-276613

En Europe, les politiques sociales limitent l’appauvrissement des travailleurs en situation de handicap

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Justine Bondoux, Responsable de la production de l’enquête SHARE en France, Université Paris Dauphine – PSL

Malgré des revenus de remplacement, tels que les pensions d’invalidité, le revenu global d’un salarié en situation de handicap diminue en moyenne d’environ 20 %. Simonovstas/Shutterstock

La survenue d’un handicap grave après 50 ans entraîne une dégradation significative des revenus à court terme pour tous les salariés européens. Cette perte peut être largement amortie dans les pays où les systèmes de protection sociale sont généreux et les politiques d’intégration professionnelle efficaces. Alors, quelles disparités entre les pays européens ? Les femmes et les hommes ? Les différents revenus de compensation ?


Selon Eurostat, dans l’ensemble de l’Union européenne, l’écart de taux d’emploi entre les personnes en situation de handicap et celles sans handicap atteint 24 points de pourcentage (pp) en 2024. Derrière cette moyenne se cachent de fortes disparités. L’écart n’est que de 8 pp au Luxembourg et de 14 pp en Slovénie, mais dépasse 40 pp en Roumanie et en Croatie – un point de pourcentage correspond à l’écart absolu entre deux taux exprimés en pourcentage.

Graphique réalisé par les auteurs à partir des données Eurostat.
Fourni par l’auteur

Sur le marché du travail, le désavantage des personnes en situation de handicap s’explique par plusieurs facteurs : la nécessité de soins réguliers, l’insuffisante adaptation des postes, une baisse de productivité perçue ou réelle, mais aussi des phénomènes de discrimination. Les caractéristiques du handicap telles que son intensité, son type – physique, cognitif, etc. – ou encore le moment de sa survenue – naissance, enfance, âge adulte – peuvent également jouer un rôle crucial.

Alors, que se passe-t-il lorsqu’un handicap survient en deuxième partie de carrière, chez des personnes initialement en emploi et sans limitation déclarée ? Comment cet événement affecte-t-il leurs revenus globaux deux années après ? C’est précisément la question que nous abordons dans une étude publiée dans la revue Annals of Economics and Statistics.

À partir de l’enquête Survey on Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), menée entre 2011 et 2015 auprès de plus de 2 500 individus âgés de 50 ans et plus, dans 12 pays européens, nous analysons l’effet de la survenue d’un handicap grave sur le revenu global. Nous distinguons ensuite les différents canaux à l’œuvre, en décomposant ce revenu entre salaires d’activité et revenus de remplacement, tels que les pensions ou les allocations.

Concrètement, quelles différences entre les pays européens ?

Chute de près de 79 % des salaires

À partir d’individus initialement en emploi et sans handicap en 2011, nous isolons l’effet du handicap sur le revenu global en combinant deux méthodes économétriques : le Propensity Score Matching et la méthode des différences de différences.

Cette approche permet de comparer, entre 2011 et 2015, les trajectoires de revenus d’individus déclarant un handicap en 2013 (qui perdure en 2015) à celle des individus ne déclarant pas de handicap en 2013 et 2015, tout en homogénéisant leurs caractéristiques initiales de 2011. La méthode permet de tenir compte non seulement des caractéristiques observables – âge, sexe, niveau d’éducation –, mais aussi de l’hétérogénéité non observée, comme la capacité des individus à faire face à leur handicap ou la discrimination des employeurs face aux individus en situation de handicap.

Nous postulons ensuite que cet événement va détériorer la situation sur le marché du travail comme la perte de productivité due au handicap, la réduction subie du temps de travail, voire du chômage. Tout en activant potentiellement des mécanismes de compensation. Pour tester ces hypothèses, nous décomposons le revenu global en salaire d’activité et en revenus de remplacement. Après l’apparition du handicap, les deux hypothèses sont bien confirmées : les salaires chutent fortement, tandis que les revenus de remplacement augmentent. Dans de nombreux cas, cette compensation reste insuffisante pour maintenir le revenu global.

L’apparition d’un handicap entraîne, en moyenne, une chute de près de 79 % des salaires. Malgré une augmentation massive – 200 % en moyenne – des revenus de remplacement tels que les pensions d’invalidité, le revenu global diminue en moyenne d’environ 20 %.

Différentes générosités des systèmes sociaux

Ces chiffres masquent de grandes inégalités entre pays. Dans les systèmes sociaux les plus généreux – Allemagne, Belgique, Danemark, France, Suède et Suisse –, la baisse des salaires est compensée par les revenus de remplacement comme les pensions d’invalidité. Résultat : le revenu global reste stable.

À l’inverse, dans les pays les moins généreux – Autriche, Espagne, Estonie, Italie, République tchèque et Slovénie –, ils ne suffisent pas à endiguer la perte de salaire, entraînant un appauvrissement marqué par une chute du revenu global de 27 %.

Cette hétérogénéité souligne l’importance de la générosité des systèmes sociaux et de leur capacité à protéger les individus face aux risques financiers liés au handicap. Les politiques publiques – allocations, pensions, mesures d’intégration et anti-discrimination – peuvent, par conséquent, couvrir l’intégralité de la perte de revenu lié au handicap.

Les pays nordiques combinent facilité d’accès aux prestations, mesures d’intégration sur le marché du travail et cumul des revenus de remplacement et d’un salaire. À l’inverse, certains pays d’Europe de l’Est faiblement généreux imposent, de surcroît, des conditions strictes pour cumuler pension et autres prestations, ce qui réduit fortement la protection des personnes en situation de handicap.

« Double peine » pour les femmes

Le handicap n’affecte pas les hommes et les femmes de la même manière. Chez les hommes, la baisse des salaires est souvent compensée par les revenus de remplacement, si bien que le revenu global n’est pas significativement affecté. Chez les femmes, les allocations compensent moins la chute des salaires, ce qui entraîne une diminution notable du revenu global de 32 %.

Cette « double peine » des femmes illustre des inégalités persistantes dans l’emploi et les revenus, confirmant des travaux antérieurs sur le sujet, comme ceux des économistes Morley Gunderson et Byron Lee, William John Hanna et Betsy Rogovsky ou Lisa Schur.

Vers une meilleure protection

Nos résultats montrent que la survenue d’un handicap grave après 50 ans entraîne une dégradation significative des revenus à court terme. Cette perte n’est pas inéluctable. Elle peut être largement amortie dans les pays où les systèmes de protection sociale sont généreux et où les politiques d’intégration professionnelle permettent de limiter les sorties du marché du travail.

Ils soulignent plusieurs leviers d’action pour les pouvoirs publics :

  • renforcer les dispositifs de maintien dans l’emploi ;

  • améliorer l’adaptation des postes de travail ;

  • ajuster les mécanismes de compensation financière lorsque l’activité professionnelle devient impossible.

Autrement dit, il ne s’agit pas seulement de compenser la perte de revenu, mais aussi de prévenir la rupture avec l’emploi, qui constitue un facteur majeur de fragilisation économique. Notre étude comporte néanmoins certaines limites. Elle porte exclusivement sur des Européens âgés de 50 ans et plus ; l’impact économique d’un handicap pourrait différer chez les actifs plus jeunes.

La durée de suivi, limitée à deux ans, ne permet pas de saisir pleinement les conséquences de moyen et long termes, notamment en matière de trajectoires professionnelles et de cumul des désavantages. Malgré ces réserves, les résultats apparaissent robustes : la générosité des systèmes sociaux et la capacité à intégrer durablement les personnes handicapées sur le marché du travail sont des déterminants essentiels de leur sécurité économique. À ce titre, les politiques publiques disposent de marges de manœuvre réelles pour protéger les individus face aux aléas de la santé et réduire les inégalités de revenus.

The Conversation

Cette étude a bénéficié d’un financement de la Caisse Nationale de Solidarité pour l’Autonomie (CNSA) dans le cadre du projet “Programme Handicap et Perte d’Autonomie – Session 8” de l’Institut de Recherche en Santé Publique (IReSP). Elle a également reçu le soutien du projet SHARE-France.

ref. En Europe, les politiques sociales limitent l’appauvrissement des travailleurs en situation de handicap – https://theconversation.com/en-europe-les-politiques-sociales-limitent-lappauvrissement-des-travailleurs-en-situation-de-handicap-268502