Le réseau portuaire de la Chine se concentre autour des routes les plus risquées de la planète… et ce n’est pas un hasard

Source: The Conversation – France in French (3) – By Dylan Spencer, Assistant Professor of Criminology, Georgia Southern University

La Chine a pris pied dans plus de 90 ports à travers le monde. Une nouvelle étude montre que ces investissements ne sont pas répartis au hasard : ils se concentrent près des grands goulets d’étranglement du commerce mondial et dans des corridors maritimes exposés à la piraterie.


Fin février 2026, le gouvernement panaméen a pris le contrôle de deux ports du canal de Panama qui étaient exploités depuis deux décennies par un conglomérat hongkongais. Cette décision constitue le dernier épisode d’un long bras de fer juridique, après que la Cour suprême du Panama a annulé les contrats de l’entreprise.

Mais l’affaire dépasse largement le cadre d’un simple différend local. Elle a attiré l’attention des États-Unis et de la Chine, dont la rivalité autour des ports mondiaux et des routes commerciales s’est intensifiée ces dernières années, notamment dans la zone stratégique du canal de Panama, où la présence chinoise a, à plusieurs reprises, suscité l’ire de l’administration Trump.

Des entreprises chinoises possèdent ou exploitent désormais des terminaux dans plus de 90 ports à travers le monde, dont beaucoup figurent parmi les plus fréquentés. Ce réseau s’étend de l’Afrique à l’Europe, en passant par le Moyen-Orient et l’Asie, avec une activité en croissance en Amérique du Sud.

L’ampleur de l’implication chinoise dans les ports à l’étranger a alimenté le débat sur la nature réelle de ces investissements : s’agit-il d’opérations strictement commerciales ou servent-ils des objectifs stratégiques plus larges ?

Une grande partie de ce débat s’est appuyée sur des études de cas et des analyses politiques, notamment dans le cas du canal de Panama. Pourtant, comprendre où se situent ces ports et déterminer s’il existe des caractéristiques communes aux pays qui les accueillent est essentiel, car des perturbations des grandes routes maritimes peuvent se répercuter sur l’ensemble de l’économie mondiale.

Dans une étude récente, nous – chercheurs en sécurité maritime, en infrastructures mondiales et en commerce international – avons constitué la première base de données mondiale des ports liés à des entreprises chinoises. Nous avons ensuite analysé 133 pays côtiers afin de comprendre pourquoi certains accueillent des investissements portuaires chinois tandis que d’autres n’en ont pas.

Nous avons constaté que l’expansion des ports chinois à l’étranger n’est pas aléatoire. Loin d’être principalement déterminés par le climat général des affaires, ces investissements se concentrent près des points d’étranglement maritimes et des corridors maritimes exposés à la piraterie, avec des indices plus modestes suggérant que les pays riches en ressources ont également davantage de chances d’accueillir ces ports.

L’importance des points d’étranglement

Certaines routes maritimes sont plus importantes que d’autres. Le canal de Suez, le détroit d’Ormuz et le détroit de Malacca sont des exemples de points d’étranglement – des passages étroits par lesquels transitent d’énormes volumes du commerce mondial et des flux d’énergie.

Selon nos résultats, les pays situés à proximité de points d’étranglement majeurs ou secondaires, comme le Panama ou ceux bordant le détroit du Pas-de-Calais – dont la France – sont nettement plus susceptibles d’accueillir un port lié à des entreprises chinoises. En termes simples, la proximité avec des goulets d’étranglement essentiels du commerce mondial constitue un fort prédicteur des investissements chinois.

Carte des points d’étranglement
Les points d’étranglement se situent le long de corridors maritimes particulièrement sensibles.
Spencer/Christiansen/Pires/Tsai/Gondhali/Petrossian

Cette disposition a une logique économique. La Chine dépend fortement du commerce maritime pour soutenir sa croissance. Or les ports situés près des points d’étranglement se trouvent le long des corridors maritimes les plus sensibles du monde et offrent un accès commercial durable dans des emplacements stratégiques.

Malgré les inquiétudes en Occident, selon lesquelles Pékin développerait des ports à des fins militaires, tous ne constituent pas pour autant des bases navales déguisées.

La plupart des installations liées à des entreprises chinoises sont des terminaux commerciaux. Cependant, des infrastructures commerciales peuvent aussi avoir une valeur stratégique. Ainsi la première base logistique militaire à l’étranger de la Chine, à Djibouti, se trouve à côté du complexe portuaire de Doraleh exploité par… une entreprise chinoise. Un rapport du Congressional Research Service souligne que cette installation soutient les opérations navales et l’accès régional dans l’ouest de l’océan Indien.

Cela ne signifie pas que les autres ports détenus ou exploités par des entreprises chinoises soient des installations militaires. Mais le contrôle de terminaux, de plateformes logistiques et de données sur les chaînes d’approvisionnement peut, avec le temps, influencer les relations économiques et sécuritaires.

Le rôle de la piraterie et des ressources

Les mêmes corridors maritimes dans lesquels Pékin concentre ses investissements portuaires sont aussi des points chauds de la criminalité maritime. Dans une recherche distincte, nous avons montré que les ports maritimes peuvent faciliter la pêche illégale, non déclarée et non réglementée lorsque les mécanismes de contrôle sont faibles. Nos derniers résultats indiquent que les ports liés à des entreprises chinoises sont plus fréquents dans des pays déjà confrontés à la piraterie et à l’insécurité maritime.

Ce chevauchement ne signifie pas que les ports provoquent des activités illicites, mais il montre que ces investissements se produisent souvent dans des environnements maritimes à plus haut risque. L’un des résultats les plus surprenants de notre étude concerne précisément cette relation entre la piraterie et les investissements portuaires.

Entre 1991 et 2018, des milliers d’incidents de piraterie ont été enregistrés dans le monde. Pourtant, au lieu d’éviter les zones à risque, les ports liés à des entreprises chinoises sont plus fréquents dans les pays où les niveaux de piraterie sont les plus élevés.

Pourquoi investir dans des corridors instables ? Parce que la piraterie signale les routes commerciales à la fois vulnérables et précieuses. Investir dans des ports dans des régions comme le golfe de Guinée ou certaines parties de l’Asie du Sud-Est peut aider Pékin à protéger ses intérêts maritimes. En ce sens, la piraterie peut signaler non seulement un risque, mais aussi une opportunité.

Parallèlement, nous avons examiné la richesse en ressources naturelles des pays hôtes à l’aide d’un indicateur incluant les ressources extractives, minières et agricoles. Nous avons trouvé des indices suggérant que les pays disposant de ressources plus abondantes étaient davantage susceptibles d’accueillir au moins un port lié à des entreprises chinoises, mais si cette relation n’apparaissait pas de manière constante dans tous les modèles.

De fait, certaines explications souvent avancées pour expliquer où et pourquoi la Chine investit dans des ports ne résistent pas à notre analyse.

Les indicateurs généraux du climat des affaires et de la gouvernance, tels que la facilité à faire des affaires ou la stabilité institutionnelle, ne sont pas, après examen, des prédicteurs constants de la présence de ports liés à des entreprises chinoises. Cela suggère que la géographie et les facteurs de risque maritimes comptent davantage que les indicateurs économiques ou de gouvernance plus généraux.

Implications plus larges

Quelles que soient les motivations derrière les investissements chinois, leurs effets dépassent le simple cadre du commerce local et de la logistique. Les ports ne sont plus seulement des infrastructures locales. Ils sont devenus des nœuds des chaînes d’approvisionnement mondiales et, de plus en plus, des éléments de la compétition géopolitique. Et si tous les investissements ne traduisent pas une ambition militaire dissimulée, il serait naïf de considérer que tous les projets portuaires sont politiquement neutres.

Les récentes réponses politiques américaines reflètent ces inquiétudes croissantes. Début 2026, la Maison-Blanche a présenté un plan visant à renforcer l’industrie maritime américaine et à réduire la dépendance à l’égard d’infrastructures maritimes contrôlées par des acteurs étrangers. L’administration s’est également penchée de plus près sur l’implication d’entreprises étrangères dans des installations clés de l’hémisphère occidental, notamment des ports liés au canal de Panama.

De telles initiatives suggèrent qu’à Washington, le contrôle des infrastructures maritimes n’est plus considéré comme une simple question commerciale, mais de plus en plus comme un enjeu de sécurité économique et nationale. Et comme le montre la carte des pays accueillant des ports liés à des entreprises chinoises, les investissements de Pékin suivent les routes commerciales les plus stratégiques du monde – non pas par hasard, mais par choix.

The Conversation

Les auteurs ne travaillent pas, ne conseillent pas, ne possèdent pas de parts, ne reçoivent pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’ont déclaré aucune autre affiliation que leur organisme de recherche.

ref. Le réseau portuaire de la Chine se concentre autour des routes les plus risquées de la planète… et ce n’est pas un hasard – https://theconversation.com/le-reseau-portuaire-de-la-chine-se-concentre-autour-des-routes-les-plus-risquees-de-la-planete-et-ce-nest-pas-un-hasard-277691

Masked T-cell engagers: cancer immunotherapies for the future?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Sheena Cruickshank, Professor in Immunology, University of Manchester

T-cells, a type of immune cell, can be used to attack cancer cells. Lightspring/ Shutterstock

A new immunotherapy drug has demonstrated early promise in a recent prostate cancer clinical trial. The drug, called VIR-5500, is a “masked T-cell engager”. This type of immunotherapy ignites our own immune arsenal to fight cancer.

In the trial, which is still in progress and has not yet undergone peer-review, patients with advanced prostate cancer who had failed to respond to other treatments were given VIR-5500. Remarkably, initial findings showed that in the patients who received the highest doses, 82% saw reductions in their PSA (prostate specific antigen) levels – a commonly used measure of prostate cancer.

Strikingly, nearly half of the patients within this group also showed tumour shrinkage at both the primary tumour sites as well as in metastatic tumours (tumours which had spread from the prostate into different parts of the body).

Cancer cells have mechanisms to evade being eliminated by our immune system. But immunotherapies boost our immune system’s capacity to fight cancer. They do this by combatting these evasion strategies.

Various immunotherapies have demonstrated phenomenal success in recent years. Yet many cancers, such as prostate cancer, remain difficult to treat exposing the need for more effective immunotherapies.

T-cell engagers are a specific type of immunotherapy that works by anchoring immune cells, called T-cells, and cancer cells together by engaging molecules on the surface of both cell types. This enforced proximity prompts the T-cells to produce toxic cancer-killing chemicals and generate a cascade of inflammatory processes that promote cancer killing.

There are now over 200 different T-cell engagers, many of which are in clinical trials to treat a range of tumours including multiple myeloma, leukaemia and lung cancer.

T-cell engagers

T-cell engagers are not just being trialled for cancer. They may also help with treating other viral conditions, such as hepatitis B, which can cause life-long infection. As in cancer, the virus can evade our immune responses – but T-cell engagers can promote more effective clearance of virally-infected cells.

Despite the great promise surrounding T-cell engagers, the vigorous inflammation they trigger can also be a double-edged sword. In some cases, it can cause a serious inflammatory condition called cytokine release syndrome.

Cytokines are protein messengers released by cells that can drive inflammation. Normally, their release is tightly controlled – but in cytokine release syndrome, the response is excessive and uncontrolled. This can lead to multi-organ failure with potentially life-threatening consequences.

A digital depiction of cytokines being released and attacking a cell.
T-cell engagers can also sometimes cause an uncontrolled immune response.
ALIOUI Mohammed Elamine7/ Shutterstock

Similar toxic inflammatory side-effects can be seen with other immunotherapies. It’s likely the condition is driven by the potent, acute activation of an immune response.

This is why T-cell engagers and other immunotherapy drugs need to be refined, to ensure their effects are less toxic.

One way of doing this involves producing versions of immunotherapies that are inactive but can be activated once inside tumours.

This is done by covering the drug in a “mask” that prevents it from engaging both the T-cells and cancer cells. When the drug enters tumours, molecules that are abundant in cancers can break down this mask, allowing the drug to engage its target cells. VIR-5500, the drug used in this recent, promising prostate cancer trial, is one of many new masked T-cell engagers.

As such, masking creates an effective drug that may also be safer. Tumour-specific activation should restrict the anti-cancer, inflammatory response to within the tumour, preventing widespread inflammation.

It may also enable the T-cell engagers to be more selective towards cancer cells, as some of their targets may also be expressed by normal healthy cells. This could simultaneously reduce toxicity and improve anti-cancer potency.

An additional benefit of masked immunotherapies is that the conversion from the inactive to active drug in the body takes time. This changes how the drug is dosed within patients.

In the clinic, T-cell engagers are often given in small doses that then need to be escalated to prevent acute immune over-activation. But the mask would allow the drug to be released more slowly, making delivery simpler and safer. The mask itself may also prevent the drugs from being broken down in the body and may extend their lifespan.

An important finding in this recent trial for prostate cancer was that most patients who received the highest doses of VIR-5500 suffered only mild inflammatory side effects. Given the known toxicity associated with T-cell engagers, this is an exciting finding – suggesting the masking is working to reduce the risks of excessive inflammation.

If further research proves that masking T-cell engagers creates safer, more effective drugs, then we can expand what we can do with them. They can be combined with more traditional cancer therapies, such as chemotherapy or radiotherapy, which may prove even more effective in eliminating cancer.

Other masked T-cell engagers have also shown early clinical promise in prostate cancer and trials have begun in numerous other cancers including pancreatic, colorectal and lung cancer.

As these trials are all ongoing, it’s too early to know the full extent of clinical success here. Early trials also only test within a small number of patients. The data has also not yet faced the scrutiny of peer-review and have only been presented at an oncology conferences.

Nevertheless, the initial results represent great hope for treating cancers that have proven otherwise difficult to treat with other immunotherapies.

The Conversation

Jonathan Worboys receives funding from Wellcome and the BBSRC.

Sheena Cruickshank does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Masked T-cell engagers: cancer immunotherapies for the future? – https://theconversation.com/masked-t-cell-engagers-cancer-immunotherapies-for-the-future-277437

Your toddler is likely to get 12 or more illnesses in their first year at nursery – but they’ll build immunity, too

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Lucy van Dorp, Principal Research Fellow, Microbial Genomics, UCL

Art_Photo/Shutterstock

There’s no nice way to put it: small children are snotty. A research study that tested children for multiple respiratory viruses every week for a year found that under-fives are carrying one or more viruses 50% of the time. A child aged 15 months will have 12-15 colds per year and eight or nine of those will show symptoms, such as a runny nose. If parents feel their small children are sick with a cold half the time, that’s backed up by evidence.

Our new study brings together information from different sources to understand how the immune systems of small children differ from adults, why children pass germs around so effectively and what parents can do to help.

Babies and toddlers are encountering a whole host of infectious diseases for the first time, which makes them more likely to have symptoms; this can make them more likely to pass these bugs on to others. We also found that going to nursery often accelerates a natural process of building up immunity that would otherwise take place at school. Finally, we highlighted vaccination as a major tool to reduce childhood sick days.

It’s worth saying that most of the evidence we reviewed is from studies conducted before COVID showed up. We don’t yet know whether COVID adds another virus to this mix.

Children experience about twice as many bouts of diarrhoea and vomiting per year as adults (two on average). Having an under five in your household increases your risk as an adult of having diarrhoea and vomiting three- to fivefold.

Children also pick up multiple viruses and bacteria that can cause rashes or skin infections. By 12 months of age, 70% of children have antibodies to the two viruses (HHV6A and 6B) that cause most cases of roseola (a common infection, usually causing high temperature and a rash). By age five, 65% of children in the UK have antibodies to varicella-zoster virus (chickenpox). In short, twelve colds, two rounds of diarrhoea and vomiting and one or two rash illnesses is typical between 12 and 24 months of age, with or without nursery.

Nursery bugs

But parents aren’t exaggerating when they say that starting at nursery leads to children and infants passing more germs around than might be caught at a birthday party or baby class. The process of picking up germs that cause colds, stomach bugs and rashes is sped up by starting at nursery and continues for one to two years.

However, this is a trade off against disease later.

Studies have shown that children who attend nursery have fewer infections when they start primary school than children who did not attend nursery. The idea that nursery gets bugs out of the way before starting school has evidence behind it. Whether or not this is a good thing may come down to parents’ opinions.

In some cases, delaying the age children get an infection for the first time is beneficial, such as for RSV, the cause of bronchiolitis. For others, earlier infection or vaccination (such as for varicella-zoster virus, the cause of chickenpox) seems to lead to milder symptoms than if infection is delayed to later in childhood.

We think it’s important for parents’ employers to know that all small children get ill frequently, and that this is entirely normal – their immune systems are barraged with new infections and they must develop immunity to those infections that can’t be prevented with vaccination. It’s not an indicator of poor hygiene at a nursery or parents being precious. Children can transmit before and after they show symptoms, simply keeping ill children home isn’t enough to stop transmission.

Beyond better support from employers, how do we make this situation better for young children and their parents and carers? We found in our research that vaccination is one of the most effective things we can do to prevent children from becoming sick and to reduce their symptoms.

With large outbreaks of measles in the US and UK, ensuring that young children receive their recommended vaccines, such as MMRV (for measles, mumps, rubella and, since early 2026, chickenpox) has never been more important. Between January 1 and March 6 2026, 34% of England’s measles cases were in the one to four years (nursery) age group. In summer 2025, over 96% of measles cases were in unvaccinated people.

In the future, vaccination programmes could even be designed to delay infection to the age at which it is safest for children to contract each specific infection, based on whether they are likely to be exposed at nursery.

Finally, we want to reassure parents that age, better hand hygiene and a more experienced immune system mean that rates of illness for nursery children go down by 50% each year of attendance. Things can only get better.

The Conversation

Lucy van Dorp receives funding from the UKRI Future Leaders Fellowshp Programme.

Charlotte Houldcroft receives funding from the Cambridge-Africa ALBORADA Trust and the European Research Council.

ref. Your toddler is likely to get 12 or more illnesses in their first year at nursery – but they’ll build immunity, too – https://theconversation.com/your-toddler-is-likely-to-get-12-or-more-illnesses-in-their-first-year-at-nursery-but-theyll-build-immunity-too-275587

Human vision: what we actually see – and don’t see – tells us a lot about consciousness

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Henry Taylor, Associate Professor, Department of Philosophy, University of Birmingham

Kitreel/Shutterstock

What can you see right now? This might seem like a silly question, but what enters your consciousness is not the whole story when it comes to vision. A great deal of visual processing in the brain goes on well below our conscious awareness.

Some studies have probed the unconscious depths of vision. One source of
evidence comes from the neurological condition known as blindsight, which is caused by damage to areas of the brain involved in processing visual information. People with blindsight report that they are unable to see, either entirely or in a portion of their visual field. However, when asked to guess what is there, they can often do so with remarkable accuracy.

For example, in an experiment published in 2004 on someone with blindsight, a black bar was displayed in the portion of the visual field to which the person was blind. The person was asked to “guess” whether the bar was vertical or horizontal.

Despite denying any conscious awareness of the bar, the participant could answer correctly at a level well above chance. The participant even showed evidence of being able to pay attention to the bar – they were faster to respond when an arrow (placed in a healthy area of their visual field) correctly indicated the location of the bar.

The most popular interpretation (though not the only one) is that people with blindsight can see these objects, but not see them consciously. They see what is there, but it all goes on unconsciously, below their awareness.

The phenomenon of inattentional blindness seems to show you can see without the information crossing into your consciousness. Anyone can experience inattentional blindness. The phenomenon has been known about for a long time, but we can most easily get a handle on it by looking at a well-known experiment reported in 1999.

In this experiment, participants are shown a video of people playing basketball, and told to count the number of passes between the players wearing a white shirt. If you’ve never done this before, I urge to you stop reading now and watch the video.

In many cases, people are so busy counting the passes that they completely miss a large gorilla walking across the middle of the scene and beating its chest, then walking off. The gorilla’s right there, in the centre of your visual field. Light from the gorilla enters your eyes, and is processed in the visual system, but somehow you missed it, because you weren’t paying attention to it.

The gorilla has more to teach us. In another experiment reported in 2013, radiologists were given a series of lung scans. They were told to look for nodules (which show up as small light coloured circles) on each scan. In one of the scans, a large picture of a dancing gorilla was superimposed on top of the lung scan. In this study, 83% of the radiologists failed to spot it, even though it was 48 times bigger than the average nodule they were looking for. Some of them even looked directly at the gorilla and still didn’t notice it!

The interpretation of these experiments is controversial. Some scientists suggest that in these kinds of cases, you consciously see the gorilla, but immediately forget it (although a dancing gorilla in someone’s lung doesn’t seem like the kind of thing you’d forget). Others argue that you see the gorilla, but the information never made its way into consciousness. You saw the gorilla, but unconsciously.

Let’s assume that in the case of blindsight, and inattentional blindness, the information is seen, but didn’t make it all the way to consciousness. Then, the question is: what makes some information conscious, rather than the information that stays unconscious? This is one of the central questions for consciousness studies in philosophy, psychology and neuroscience.

The brain’s loudspeaker

There’s no agreement on which is the best theory of consciousness, but in my
opinion, the strongest contender is the global neuronal workspace theory.

According to this theory, consciousness is all to do with a particular area of the brain which is the seat of the “workspace”. The workspace is a system with a small capacity, so it can’t hold a lot of information at any one time. The job of the workspace is to take unconscious information and broadcast it to lots of different networks all across the brain. Global neuronal workspace theorists say that broadcasting the information in this way is what makes it conscious.

The job of the workspace is to act like the brain’s loudspeaker, and consciousness is the information that gets broadcast. The workspace takes unconscious information and boosts it so that many of the different systems in the brain hear about it and can use that information in their own processes. The late philosopher Daniel Dennett used to call consciousness “fame in the brain”. The workspace idea is similar.

One of the most striking implications of the global neuronal workspace theory is how little information makes it to consciousness. Since the workspace has quite a small capacity, it follows that we can only ever be conscious of a little at a time. We might think there’s a rich visual world in front of us, full of details, all of which we’re conscious of, but really – according to the theory – we’re only ever conscious of a small portion of that.

Some philosophers and scientists have objected to the theory on these grounds. They suggest that consciousness “overflows” the workspace: we are conscious of more information than can “fit” into the workspace at any one time. Even with these debates still ongoing, I think the global neuronal workspace theory gives us a reasonably clear answer to the question of what consciousness is for, and how it interacts with other systems in the brain.

In our brains, consciousness is only the tip of a very large iceberg. But the global neuronal workspace theory might give us insight into what makes that tip so special.

The Conversation

Henry Taylor has received funding from the Leverhulme Trust.

ref. Human vision: what we actually see – and don’t see – tells us a lot about consciousness – https://theconversation.com/human-vision-what-we-actually-see-and-dont-see-tells-us-a-lot-about-consciousness-276310

The UK’s high electricity prices are here to stay. But could they offer an opportunity?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Renaud Foucart, Senior Lecturer in Economics, Lancaster University Management School, Lancaster University

K-FK/Shutterstock

Four years after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the world is bracing for another energy crisis. The US-Israel bombing of Iran and then the blockade of the strait of Hormuz have forced up the price of oil. The price of natural gas in Europe has also risen sharply.

In the UK, Prime Minister Keir Starmer has announced a £50 million package to support consumers who heat their homes with oil. The government is also considering a U-turn on the decision to increase fuel duty (currently almost 53p per litre of petrol or diesel) in September after a 15-year freeze. Other taxes would need to go up to compensate.

But the main question concerns what will happen to electricity prices this summer. A sustained crisis could push prices higher for both households and businesses. It could also push the Bank of England to avoid interest rate cuts, making mortgages more expensive. And the government could even end up paying part of everyone’s bills directly as it did between 2022 and 2024, piling up tens of billions of pounds of public debt.

To secure most of the future production of electricity – wind farms or new nuclear power stations for instance – the government signs what are known as “contracts for difference” with electricity producers. These contracts fix the price of electricity for decades, typically above expected wholesale prices.

These guaranteed prices correspond roughly to the expected average cost of producing electricity. Unlike gas, once a wind farm is built, each additional unit of electricity costs almost nothing to produce. So, without a guaranteed price, renewable producers would fear having to sell the electricity for free and never recouping their investment.

Consumers are shouldering the risk

The UK is not as sunny as somewhere like Spain and so will never get very cheap solar power. It is also trying to build new nuclear power plants, but the first attempt (Hinkley point C, currently expected to begin delivering electricity in 2030) is so expensive that the French state-owned energy operator EDF lost £10 billion in the process. Future projects now ask taxpayers to take most of the risk and pay upfront in the form of higher bills.

Consumers mostly notice these extra costs added to their bills (called “environmental levies”) when gas prices are low. The levies currently make up 6.5% of a typical bill, which is down from 13% after the government shifted some costs so that they would be paid for through general taxation.

So given that they’re paying upfront for the infrastructure, consumers might expect renewables to cut their bills when gas prices spike. But that is not how markets work: the price is set by the most expensive unit sold. Around 85% of the time in the UK this most expensive unit uses liquefied natural gas (LNG) transported by boat.

If one day the UK becomes like Spain where prices are mostly set by renewables (thanks to huge leaps in wind and solar), wholesale prices will often be zero. But consumers will still pay more, because they will still be charged the environmental levies that were put in place years before to invest in the infrastructure.

This is what led the CEO of energy giant E.ON, Chris Norbury, to declare in parliament that “even if the wholesale price was zero, bills would still be where they were today”. That’s true, but also a bit misleading.

Wholesale prices only go to zero because the country invested in renewables. The alternative – going back to more gas – would probably be much more expensive for everyone. It would certainly be more risky as the current conflict in the Middle East is illustrating.

Sunshine and wind do not need to pass through the strait of Hormuz and cannot be used as leverage by dictators. And what looks like a costly subsidy heaping pressure on billpayers in good times becomes insurance in a crisis.

During the peak of the energy crisis in 2022, the wholesale price of electricity was higher than the guaranteed one, and renewable generators paid money to the government instead of receiving subsidies. But because the government was helping out with everyone’s bills, consumers never saw the benefit.

Aerial photo of Ferrybridge Battery Energy Storage System under construction, part of UK renewable energy infrastructure, West Yorkshire.
Investing in storage at scale will be vital.
btimagery/Shutterstock

In 2025 in the UK, less than a third of electricity was generated using gas. Replacing renewables with gas would mean building power plants and importing more gas at ever-higher prices and greater geopolitical risk.

Gas is cheaper in the US where fracking makes the country almost energy independent. But fracking is much harder in places that are as densely populated as England. The government is currently planning to ban it everywhere in the UK.

But the UK’s vulnerable situation also gives it a chance to innovate and export. The key is making sure that consumers pay a price that reflects the real cost of electricity at any given moment.

The more we switch from fossil fuels – heating, cars, trucks – to electricity, the more battery capacity we have to fill. The price signal (the gap between cheap and expensive electricity) gives industries and households a strong incentive to innovate and invest in storage.

Most people only care about their monthly bill and won’t adapt directly. But smart appliances, home batteries and vehicle-to-grid systems (where vehicles can store electricity and sell it back to the grid when required) will do it for them.

The UK can gain in efficiency what nature has not provided in resources. This could give Britain a chance to sell its innovations to the world. Selling services is what the UK does as a country, after all. The large majority of global investments in energy are in renewables, and there will be huge opportunities for the countries that figure out how to run a grid on intermittent electricity sources.

The Conversation

Renaud Foucart does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The UK’s high electricity prices are here to stay. But could they offer an opportunity? – https://theconversation.com/the-uks-high-electricity-prices-are-here-to-stay-but-could-they-offer-an-opportunity-278584

How moss could help roads cope with heavy rain and reduce air pollution

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Pedram Vousoughi, Post Doctoral Researcher in Biological Sciences, University of Limerick

Moss grows slowly and absorbs air pollution. Herzstaub/Shutterstock

Across Europe, many banks alongside motorways are planted with grass to stabilise soil and keep roadside landscapes tidy.

But there may be a better solution. Already some countries are experimenting with using moss in built-up areas to absorb air pollution. As countries search for nature-based solutions to climate and environmental challenges, roadside moss is starting to attract attention. So could mossy motorway banks work?

Moss could offer environmental benefits over grass, from trapping air pollution to slowing rainwater runoff during heavy storms.

Mosses are small plants that grow without roots or flowers. Instead of drawing nutrients from soil like most plants do, they absorb water and minerals directly from the air. They can grow in thin soils, shaded areas and exposed surfaces where grass often struggles. Once established, moss also requires very little maintenance. Unlike grass, moss grows slowly and stays low to the ground. This means roadside moss would require far less mowing, potentially reducing labour and maintenance costs along thousands of kilometres of roads.

A large French road, with trees nearby.
Planting moss alongside motorways could help with air pollution.
Ponta shots/Shutterstock

Moss and air pollution

One of moss’s most fascinating features is its ability to absorb substances from the atmosphere. It can accumulate pollutants such as heavy metals.

Scientists have used moss for decades as a bioindicator – a living organism used to monitor environmental pollution. Experimental observations have shown that moss can also exhibit visible physical responses to air pollution. For example, moss exposed to highly polluted environments has been observed to change colour from fresh green to brownish.

Across Europe, the European Moss Survey uses moss samples to track air pollution levels in dozens of countries. Research shows moss can capture pollutants including nitrogen compounds and particulate matter, both of which are produced by traffic emissions. If moss grows beside busy roads, it may therefore help capture some airborne pollution before it spreads into surrounding ecosystems or nearby communities.

Another potential benefit involves water. Many moss species act like natural sponges. They can absorb several times their own weight in water and release it slowly over time. On roadside slopes, this property could help slow down rainwater runoff during heavy storms. Fast runoff from roads and embankments can overwhelm drainage systems and contribute to flash flooding. By temporarily storing water, moss could reduce the speed at which rainwater flows into roadside drains. The UK, for instance, has one of the densest road networks in Europe, and many major roads run close to towns and residential areas. Vegetation that can reduce pollution and water runoff could therefore provide environmental benefits.

Roadside vegetation can also play an important role in biodiversity. Road verges and embankments form long, connected strips of habitat that can support insects, mosses, lichens and other small organisms. In landscapes heavily shaped by agriculture or urban development, these narrow corridors can help species move between fragmented habitats. Moss-dominated banks may provide microhabitats for invertebrates and microorganisms that depend on moist, shaded environments. Although research on mossy roadside systems is still limited, increasing structural diversity along road verges could enhance ecological connectivity and contribute to wider efforts to support biodiversity in managed landscapes.




Read more:
An epic global study of moss reveals it is far more vital to Earth’s ecosystems than we knew


Moss thrives in cool, damp climates with frequent rainfall, conditions common across much of the UK, for instance. Shaded roadside slopes, especially where roads cut through hillsides or woodland, also favour moss growth. In such places, grass often struggles because soils are thin and sunlight is limited.

Moss growing on an old pipe.
Moss helps increase biodiversity along busy roads.
Maria Libov/Shutterstock

Best in shade

Despite its potential advantages, moss would not be a universal solution.

One problem is it grows slowly. Establishing a stable moss cover on new embankments could take several years.
Also, roadside environments can be harsh. Salt used for winter road de-icing can damage many moss species, and prolonged dry conditions may limit growth on exposed slopes.

Another issue is pollutant accumulation. Moss can absorb airborne pollutants, but these substances remain stored within the plant material. Over time this may require monitoring or periodic removal. Finally, moss generally prefers shaded and moist environments. On sunny or dry motorway banks, other vegetation may still be more suitable.

Road networks occupy vast areas of land, yet roadside vegetation is often managed simply to keep it short and tidy. Instead of treating roadside land as space that just needs mowing, it could be designed to capture pollution, manage water and support biodiversity.

Moss will not transform highways overnight. But small ecological changes along thousands of kilometres of roads could add up to meaningful environmental benefits. Sometimes, even plants at the edges of our motorways may help tackle pollution, flooding and climate change.

The Conversation

Pedram Vousoughi receives funding from Ireland’s Department of Climate, Energy, and the Environment for funding his current work under the FORESIGHT services contract for national agriculture and land-use modeling. He has also been granted EPS-IRC funding previously.

ref. How moss could help roads cope with heavy rain and reduce air pollution – https://theconversation.com/how-moss-could-help-roads-cope-with-heavy-rain-and-reduce-air-pollution-277686

Indigenous-led renewable energy projects offer benefits that reach far beyond reducing carbon emissions

Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Ian Munroe, Research Associate, Sinton Lab, University of Toronto

The number of renewable energy projects that are fully or partly Indigenous-owned is growing quickly in Canada, and our new research suggests that their benefits reach far beyond reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

The number of such projects on traditional Indigenous territories and reserve lands jumped by more than 300 per cent between 2009 and 2020. Nearly one-fifth of the country’s electricity-generating infrastructure involved First Nations, Métis and Inuit partners or beneficiaries as of 2022.

Yet little is known about the impacts of these renewable-energy projects within the participating communities beyond the physical footprint of the construction.

We aimed to fill this information policy gap in response to a request from two organizations that work extensively with First Nations, the Clean Energy Association of British Columbia and the New Relationship Trust, which obtained funding from Natural Resources Canada to conduct research.

Together we conducted a study to paint a more complete picture of these broader impacts, interviewing knowledge-holders in 14 First Nations in British Columbia involved with 36 planned or operational Indigenous-led renewable energy projects.

We found that these projects employ “placed-based” approaches, often with a high degree of community engagement early on, and revenues often allocated to support their own culture, governance, ecology, support services and economy.

Transformational change

a solar panel with wind turbines in the far distance with the setting sun
The world is entering a new era in which energy independence will be more important.
(Unsplash/Alexander Mils)

We found that when First Nations’ worldviews are centred and community control is enabled, broad social and cultural benefits result, providing greater self-determination.

As part of our research, we interviewed knowledge-holders from the West Moberly First Nations near Peace River, B.C. The nation has used wind-project revenues to support cultural camps and youth programs. As one knowledge-holder there told us:

“We are involved in it, and we are engaged in it. We are co-owners. And I know our Elders feel really good about hearing that. Knowing that we are not just sitting on the sidelines, while other people fill their pockets in our territory. And our community is doing that kind of stuff more and more. There is a connection there, right, because you are involved. More money is flowing to the community.”

In the Fraser Canyon region, the T’eqt’aqtn’mux (Kanaka Bar Indian Band), which has been affected by wildfires in recent years, has used proceeds from solar projects to reduce fire hazards and protect homes.

In the case of the Skidegate Band Council, we heard that revenues from a two-megawatt microgrid solar project would go toward funding Tll Yahda Energy, a partnership with the Old Massett Village Council to develop renewable energy projects in Haida Gwaii.

While these results demonstrate that a broad range of positive outcomes can flow from Indigenous-led renewable energy projects, the social and cultural impacts remain neglected in conventional energy practice.

An alternative to traditional energy planning

The Indigenous-led projects we heard about stand in contrast to typically used top-down decision-making, favoured by governments.

This approach is often characterized by public consultation that occurs after the decision of where to site the project has been made, often leading to local rejection of the project, and sometimes cancellation.

The bottom-up nature of the approaches we heard about hold important lessons that can enable widespread acceptance of energy transitions.

This is particularly relevant in B.C., where the provincial government is encouraging renewable energy projects to create economic opportunity and counter external economic shocks, including tariffs from the United States.

an aerial view of a group of solar panels
Indigenous-led approaches can support communities and aid progress toward decarbonization goals.
(Unsplash/Anders J)

This policy push extends to the province’s more than 200 First Nations, with a 2025 procurement call that requires at least 25 per cent First Nations ownership of a project.

The B.C. government must also meet its obligations under the Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples Act (DRIPA), which aims to bring provincial legislation into agreement with the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples.

The UN treaty requires that state parties enable self-determination and obtain free, prior and informed consent from Indigenous Peoples for projects that impact their lands or resources. Indigenous-led renewable electricity projects in B.C. could help meet requirements under DRIPA to provide pathways for First Nations to improve their economic and social conditions without discrimination.

The Indigenous-led approaches we studied provide a vehicle to support Indigenous communities and make progress toward the province’s decarbonization goals. They also hold valuable lessons for developing policy in other jurisdictions like Ontario, where the provincial government has pledged to boost support for the growing number of Indigenous energy projects.

The world is entering a new era in which energy independence will be more important. Our findings about Indigenous-led projects illustrate a radically different approach to growing the Canada’s renewables industry in a way that can provide energy and facilitate transformational social and cultural change.

The Conversation

Christina E. Hoicka receives funding from the Canada Research Chair Secretariat, the Government of Canada’s New Frontiers in Research Fund, CANSTOREnergy project NFRFT-2022-00197, New Frontiers in Research Fund Global NFRFG-2020-00339, funding from Natural Resources Canada Clean Energy for Rural and Remote Communities Program, Capacity Building Stream funding program, all of which supported this research. The research was conducted in partnership with the Clean Energy Association of British Columbia and the New Relationship Trust.

Anna Berka and Ian Munroe do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Indigenous-led renewable energy projects offer benefits that reach far beyond reducing carbon emissions – https://theconversation.com/indigenous-led-renewable-energy-projects-offer-benefits-that-reach-far-beyond-reducing-carbon-emissions-276612

When war looks like prophecy: How U.S. ‘end time’ narratives frame the war with Iran

Source: The Conversation – Canada – By André Gagné, Full Professor, Department of Theological Studies, Concordia University

After the United States and Israel began bombing Iran, killing some of the government’s top leaders — including its supreme leader, Ali Khamenei — some of U.S. President Donald Trump’s most loyal evangelical supporters quickly framed the war as a religious battle.

On the morning the attacks started, American evangelist Franklin Graham, president of the Billy Graham Evangelistic Association and founder of Samaritan’s Purse, posted on X: “Pray for our military in the operation against Iran, for President @realDonaldTrump, and that the people of Iran will be set free from the bondage of Islam.”

More than 1,000 civilians have been killed in Iran.

In my book, American Evangelicals for Trump. Dominion, Spiritual Warfare and the End Times, I explain how one of the contemporary interpretations of the “end times,” premillennial dispensationalism, remains widely influential among U.S. evangelicals.

Dispensations are seen as distinct periods in history, believed to be appointed by God to govern and organize the affairs of the world. Dispensationalism functions both as a method for interpreting the Bible and as a framework for understanding its history.

It teaches that Christ will return before the end times and inaugurate a thousand-year reign of peace and justice on Earth, commonly referred to as the Millennium

A systematic roadmap

Since the U.S. attack on Iran, Greg Laurie, founder and pastor of Harvest Christian Fellowship in California, has done a series of videos promoting his dispensational reading of current events. For Laurie, the next event on “God’s calendar” is known as the Rapture of the Church, when “born-again” believers are taken up to heaven.

In some readings of biblical prophecy, the Rapture is followed by the Great Tribulation, a seven-year period of turmoil. During that time, it is believed that the Jewish people will rebuild their temple in Jerusalem, divine judgments will strike the Earth and a political figure known as the Antichrist will rise to power.

The period culminates in a final confrontation between Jesus and the nations gathered by the Antichrist against Israel, called Armageddon. After that conflict, Christ is expected to establish his millennium of rule from Jerusalem, with the nations of the world ultimately brought under his authority.

Some evangelicals interpret the struggle between Iran and Israel through the same eschatological or “end times/end of history” lens.

According to their reading, Iran, known in antiquity as Persia, is identified in certain prophetic readings as one of the nations destined to play a role in a conflict described in Ezekiel 38–39, often called the battle of Gog and Magog.

The evangelical influencer Traci Coston also used a numerological twist to bolster characterizations of Trump as a new King Cyrus, a notion popularized by Lance Wallnau, an influential Pentecostal entrepreneur.

Coston wrote that Iran has been under “the oppressive Islamic regime” for 47 years and Trump is the 47th president. She likens Trump to “a pagan political leader” who God anoints “to break open gates and shift history for the sake of His people.”

Trump leveraged such views about himself and reposted on March 9 a 2007 prophecy by Kim Clement, a musician, pastor and popular prophetic figure who died in 2016, on his Truth Social account.

Spiritual warfare and an end times revival

Among some pro-Trump leaders in neo-Pentecostal and neo-Charismatic circles, the conflict with Iran is interpreted as spiritual warfare. They view global events as part of an ongoing struggle between divine and demonic forces and believe the prayers of Christians help push back what they see as evil powers.

Lou Engle, a U.S. neo-Charismatic prophet, posted one day before the attack, that in 2006, a group of 70 believers gathered in Boston for a prolonged period of prayer lasting 40 days and nights. He referenced the prophecy of Jeremiah 49:34-38, which names the judgment against Elam — an ancient region located in what is now southern Iran. Mobilizing this text, he said believers prayed “God would break the bow of Islam and set His throne in Iran.”

The Jewish feast of Purim, which was celebrated on March 2 and 3, was leveraged to explain the current conflict as spiritual warfare.

This framing is rooted in how some of these pro-Trump Pentecostal leaders see examples of cosmic battles in biblical texts, such as Daniel 10,12-21 which depicts supernatural forces at work in conflict among nations.




Read more:
What is the ‘Seven Mountains Mandate’ and how is it linked to political extremism in the US?


Citing such passages, influential proponents of this spiritual warfare way of thinking, like Wallnu, have argued that a “territorial spirit” fuels conflict. According to this view, only spiritual warfare can dislodge its influence; the reason to wage this spiritual battle is to dispel the nefarious influence of demonic forces that prevent the preaching of the gospel in closed areas.

Many of these pro-Trump neo-Pentecostal leaders adhere to a Victorious Eschatology, where the expansion of the Kingdom of God will be seen worldwide, and Christianity will rise in power, unity, maturity and glory before Christ’s return.

This framework is another end-times scenario, where some believe that a great spiritual awakening will occur, leading to massive conversions to Christianity.

Views not new

The idea of an end-times global awakening isn’t new. Early Pentecostals initially believed they lived in the end times and that the gift of tongues was given for the mission. Equipped with the supernatural capacity of speaking unlearned languages, they could now go throughout the world and preach the gospel before the return of Christ.

Later, the mid-20th century movement known as the New Order of the Latter Rain, a group that experienced a revival in 1948 in North Battleford, Sask., shared a similar outlook.

Their views ended up having a profound impact on the charismatic movement and the independent charismatic church movement globally. The New Order broke away from the classical Pentecostals in Canada, due to the “spiritual drought” they felt among Pentecostals and were now seeking a fresh spiritual experience.

‘Decisions on the basis of theology’

When U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio says that the Iranian regime makes “decisions on the basis of theology, their view of theology which is an apocalyptic one,” and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth states that “crazy regimes, like Iran, hell bent on prophetic Islamist delusions, cannot have nuclear weapons; it’s common sense,” the rhetoric frames Tehran as uniquely driven by religious extremism.

Yet pro-Trump Christian leaders have been welcomed into the Oval Office to lay hands on the president in prayer, while Trump has amplified prophetic messages about his rise to political power, signalling to his supporters that his presidency was divinely ordained.

The contrast is striking. When religious belief shapes the politics of rivals, it is labelled dangerous theology. Yet, when it appears in Washington, it is cast as divine providence.

The Conversation

André Gagné does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. When war looks like prophecy: How U.S. ‘end time’ narratives frame the war with Iran – https://theconversation.com/when-war-looks-like-prophecy-how-u-s-end-time-narratives-frame-the-war-with-iran-278292

Tuerie de Tumbler Ridge. Quelle est la responsabilité d’OpenAI ?

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Marianne Ozkan, Doctorante en droit, L’Université d’Ottawa/University of Ottawa

OpenAI a déclaré dans la foulée de la fusillade survenue le 10 février 2026 dans une école secondaire de Tumbler Ridge en Colombie-Britannique, que Jesse Van Rootselaar, la tueuse alléguée, avait évoqué des scénarios d’attaques armées lors de conversations avec ChatGPT. La compagnie a mis en œuvre son protocole interne de sécurité et clôturé son compte sans la dénoncer auprès des autorités policières.


En réaction, le ministre canadien de l’Intelligence artificielle et de l’Innovation numérique, Evan Solomon, a sommé OpenAI de clarifier son protocole de sécurité. Le premier ministre de la Colombie-Britannique, David Eby, a pour sa part obtenu que le PDG Sam Altman vienne s’excuser à Tumbler Ridge.

Le coroner en chef de la Colombie-Britannique a lancé une enquête, alors que la famille d’une des victimes hospitalisées poursuit OpenAI au civil. Mais quelle peut être la responsabilité d’OpenAI et quels écueils législatifs doivent être évités ?

Céline Castets-Renard et Emmanuelle Bernheim sont professeures et spécialistes respectivement en droit de l’IA et en droit de la santé mentale. Marianne Ozkan est candidate au doctorat et travaille sur les enjeux sociaux et juridiques soulevés par les agents conversationnels. Ensemble, leurs travaux portent sur l’encadrement juridique des relations intimes entre les personnes et les machines.

La responsabilité d’OpenAI

La plainte de la famille, telle que rapportée, allègue que l’entreprise « avait connaissance précise du projet à long terme du tireur d’organiser un événement causant de nombreuses victimes », mais « n’a pris aucune mesure pour agir sur la base de ces informations », ce qui caractériserait une négligence.

Ceci pose plusieurs difficultés de preuve, à commencer par savoir quel rôle ChatGPT a joué dans la tuerie. Sachant qu’un tel geste est le résultat de causes complexes et multifactorielles, le lien causal de ChatGPT avec la tuerie ne peut qu’être relatif. ChatGPT a-t-il servi d’exutoire à des idées violentes ? A-t-il encouragé ces idées ou aidé à formuler des plans pour commettre ces gestes violents ? La teneur des conversations pourrait apporter quelques éléments de réponse.




À lire aussi :
D’Anthropic à l’Iran : qui fixe les limites de l’utilisation de l’IA dans les domaines de la guerre et de la surveillance ?


Cela convoque une autre question centrale à la reconnaissance de la responsabilité d’OpenAI : le risque de passer à l’acte était-il raisonnablement prévisible ? La distinction entre l’intention et la simple idéation d’idées violentes devra être départagée et remise dans le contexte des informations limitées à disposition d’OpenAI concernant l’utilisatrice.

Une législation spécifique aux IA ?

Ces difficultés de preuve justifient peut-être de créer une législation spécifique pour encadrer les risques de l’IA, afin de ne pas dépendre des règles d’autorégulation établies par les entreprises et des décisions prises par leurs comités de sécurité internes. Le premier ministre Eby considère qu’un seuil national d’alerte et une « obligation de signalement » doivent être établis, ce qui soulève plusieurs interrogations. Quels critères pourraient s’avérer plus fiables que celui de « risque crédible et imminent » utilisé par OpenAI ? N’y a-t-il pas un risque d’atteinte à la vie privée ou de dénonciation erronée, au nom de la prévention ?

D’autres législateurs ont déjà choisi d’encadrer l’IA : l’Union européenne a adopté un règlement en 2024, tandis qu’aux États-Unis, plusieurs législations étatiques ont été adoptées, comme en Californie, ou sont en cours d’élaboration, comme dans l’État de New York pour encadrer les robots conversationnels dits « IA compagnons ».

Les protocoles de sécurité envisagés visent à détecter les idéations violentes et rediriger l’utilisateur vers des ressources d’aide, alors qu’OpenAI fait déjà l’objet de plusieurs poursuites reliées à des suicides ou des psychoses.




À lire aussi :
« Psychose induite par l’IA » : un danger réel pour les personnes à risque, selon un psychiatre


Or, au Canada, aucune loi n’a encore été adoptée sur l’intelligence artificielle ni plus spécifiquement sur les robots conversationnels, depuis l’abandon du projet de loi C-27 qui visait, d’une part, la modernisation de la loi fédérale sur la protection des données personnelles dans le secteur privé (LPRPDE) et, d’autre part, l’encadrement des systèmes d’IA et des données(LIAD).

La pente glissante de la prévention du risque en santé mentale

La discussion actuelle préconise donc une obligation de signalement aux services policiers lorsqu’un risque est identifié dans le cadre de discussions avec un agent conversationnel. Elle se déroule sans considérer les cadres légaux et les pratiques régissant déjà les interventions en santé mentale (intervention policière, admission involontaire, traitements forcés, surveillance en communauté) et qui sont fondés sur la notion de risque.

La police était intervenue à plusieurs reprises pour des enjeux de santé mentale au domicile de Van Rootselaar avant la tuerie. Ses armes lui avaient été retirées, puis remises, et elle avait fait l’objet d’une admission involontaire en vertu de la Loi sur la santé mentale. Dans ce contexte, on peut se demander si un signalement de la part d’OpenAI aurait vraiment pu changer le cours des choses. Rien ne permet de le démontrer.


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Dans les dernières décennies, le recours aux services policiers et à la coercition en santé mentale est devenu la norme faute de services accessibles. Le Canada est d’ailleurs le pays où l’hospitalisation involontaire est la plus utilisée.

Ces pratiques visent particulièrement les personnes vivant en situation de pauvreté, racialisées et immigrantes, et leurs effets thérapeutiques ne sont pas démontrés. Au contraire, les effets traumatiques des interventions policières et coercitives résultent en une perte de confiance et en une réticence à demander de l’aide lorsque nécessaire. En somme, elles n’améliorent pas l’accès aux soins et sont empreintes de violations des droits et de violence policière.

C’est ce qui a mené plusieurs villes canadiennes, mais aussi américaines, à retirer les interventions de crise de la compétence des services de police, et à abolir en tout ou en partie les équipes mixtes de police (policiers et professionnels de la santé ou des services sociaux). Par exemple, la ville de Toronto a confié les « wellness check » et les interventions de crise à une équipe communautaire, et la ville de Vancouver a confié le triage des appels en santé mentale à des infirmières, offrant une réponse non policière et « plus appropriée » à 54 % des appels.

Repenser le système

Les discussions sur les obligations de signalement aux autorités policières nous invitent à insérer OpenAI dans le système existant de gestion des risques en santé mentale sans toutefois nous inciter à réfléchir aux limites de ce système ni à envisager les enjeux structuraux à l’œuvre. Or, dans un contexte où Van Rootselaar avait fait l’objet de plusieurs interventions policières et psychiatriques dans les dernières années, ne devrait-on pas considérer l’approche en santé mentale fondée sur les risques comme un échec ? Il revient maintenant à l’enquête du Coroner de mettre au jour les failles d’un système de santé qui vise plus à gérer des risques qu’à prendre soin des humains.

Si la tuerie de Tumbler Ridge nous enjoint à réfléchir aux moyens d’empêcher de tels drames, elle doit aussi nous interpeller sur les causes du recours aux agents conversationnels et aux conditions de prise en charge de la santé mentale. Tumbler Ridge nous montre l’urgence d’adopter un cadre légal pour l’IA – et particulièrement pour les agents conversationnels – afin que les obligations imposées aux fournisseurs de ces technologies tiennent compte de la variété des risques que leurs produits peuvent engendrer. Chose certaine, la solution ne peut pas être d’appliquer une réponse unique comme le signalement à la police.

La Conversation Canada

Marianne Ozkan a reçu des financements des Fonds de recherche du Québec (FRQ).

Céline Castets-Renard et Emmanuelle Bernheim ne travaillent pas, ne conseillent pas, ne possèdent pas de parts, ne reçoivent pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’ont déclaré aucune autre affiliation que leur poste universitaire.

ref. Tuerie de Tumbler Ridge. Quelle est la responsabilité d’OpenAI ? – https://theconversation.com/tuerie-de-tumbler-ridge-quelle-est-la-responsabilite-dopenai-276927

Réforme linguistique : les nombres comptent aussi !

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Jean-Charles Pelland, Postdoctoral Researcher, Department of Psychosocial Science, University of Bergen

On connait tous Charles Darwin, l’homme derrière la théorie de l’évolution, qui permet d’expliquer les origines et le lent développement de la vie sur Terre (et ailleurs, en théorie).


Or, peu de gens savent que dans son ouvrage La Filiation de l’homme et la sélection liée au sexe, Darwin avait remarqué que les mêmes principes qui expliquent l’évolution des espèces biologiques sont aussi applicables aux traits culturels comme les langues.

L’idée ici est de voir des produits de la culture – que ce soit des mots, des sports, des danses, des coupes de cheveux, ou n’importe quelle autre pratique qui n’est pas biologiquement déterminée – comme si elles sont en lutte les unes contre les autres, comme le sont des espèces biologiques dans la sélection naturelle.

Étonnamment, malgré la précision et l’objectivité des mathématiques, une telle lutte caractérise le développement des systèmes de numérotation au fil des millénaires à travers le monde. C’est d’ailleurs sur l’évolution culturelle des systèmes de quantification que porte mon travail de chercheur postdoctoral au département des sciences psychosociales à l’université de Bergen, en Norvège.

En collaboration avec un groupe d’archéologues du laboratoire Pacea de l’université de Bordeaux et un groupe de linguistes de l’Institut Max Planck pour l’anthropologie de l’évolution à Leipzig, en Allemagne, notre équipe de chercheurs en sciences cognitives étudie l’origine et l’évolution culturelle des systèmes de numérotation pour QUANTA, un projet de recherche interdisciplinaire financé par le Conseil Européen de la recherche (ERC).

Sélection naturelle et artificielle

L’arrivée récente de l’expression « six seven » dans notre environnement linguistique illustre bien cette analogie dont je parle : tout comme des plantes exotiques peuvent envahir des écosystèmes et remplacer les espèces locales, des expressions linguistiques peuvent aussi conquérir l’espace culturel et remplacer des pratiques locales.

Ce parallèle entre l’évolution culturelle et l’évolution biologique s’applique à la sélection naturelle, mais aussi à la sélection artificielle. De la même façon que l’on intervient pour empêcher une plante d’envahir un écosystème, des institutions, comme des écoles ou des gouvernements, appliquent parfois une forme de sélection artificielle aux traits culturels.

C’est le cas du Québec, qui n’a pas froid aux yeux quand vient le temps de faire de la sélection artificielle pour protéger sa culture. On le voit avec la loi 101, ou avec le zèle (parfois excessif, diront certains) avec lequel les agents de l’Office québécois de la langue française appliquent certaines lois linguistiques : on veut protéger notre culture en empêchant une autre de la remplacer.

Comme en témoigne la réforme (ratée) de 1668, ce type d’interventionnisme linguistique existe depuis bien longtemps en France. De nos jours, si le Québec est singulier dans son recours à des lois pour encadrer certaines pratiques linguistiques, il est loin d’être seul à intervenir pour réglementer l’usage du français.




À lire aussi :
Comment les systèmes de numération façonnent-ils notre pensée et influencent-ils l’apprentissage, le langage et la culture ?


L’enjeu des nombres

Prenez la nouvelle orthographe proposée par l’Académie française en 1990, dont plusieurs éléments ont été adaptés à la culture québécoise et imposés aux élèves du primaire et du secondaire cet automne dans la Belle Province. Pour simplifier le français et le rendre plus uniforme, voire même logique, cette réforme encadre entre autres l’usage des accents, traits d’union, et trémas, en plus d’uniformiser certains pluriels et d’éliminer des anomalies.

Or, un important élément illogique n’a malheureusement pas été corrigé par cette réforme, concernant comment nous parlons des nombres dans la langue de Molière.

Certes, la réforme a corrigé une des anomalies liées nos façons de composer les expressions numériques, uniformisant l’usage du trait d’union à tous les numéraux, qu’ils soient supérieurs ou inférieurs à 100. Malheureusement, le français comporte plusieurs autres irrégularités dans sa façon de parler des nombres qui n’ont pas été touchées par cette réforme.




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Bien que plusieurs langues affichent des irrégularités entre 10 et 20, le français du Québec et de la France en rajoute avec son célèbre traitement des nombres entre 70 et 99, dont les noms sont des vestiges d’une époque lointaine où l’on comptait de vingt en vingt en France.

Désordre dans les nombres

Au lieu de continuer à appliquer le suffixe – ante comme dans quarante, cinquante, ou soixante, notre français bifurque vers une construction décimale inutilement compliquée avec soixante-dix, avant de délaisser 10 comme ancre de composition dans quatre-vingts, pour ensuite réunir 10 et 20 dans quatre-vingt-dix.

Pour une personne qui apprend à compter en français, ces montagnes russes entre 10 et 20 sont totalement imprévisibles, compte tenu de la logique décimale qui gouverne les expressions numériques pour les nombres entre 30 et 60. Pendant ce temps, en Belgique, en Suisse, et dans certains pays d’Afrique, la logique est respectée… ou presque : pour 70 et 90, on utilise des constructions plus simples comme septante et nonante. Or, pour ce qui est de huitante et ses variants, outre certaines contrées de Suisse, de France, et même de Nouvelle-Écosse (!), il peine à remplacer quatre-vingts.

C’est ici que nos institutions pourraient intervenir pour donner un petit coup de pouce à la logique, en uniformisant comment on nomme les nombres en français.


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Les conséquences de la complexité de la langue

Comme je le mentionne ailleurs, ces irrégularités ont des conséquences bien concrètes. La façon dont une langue représente la base d’un système de numérotation a des conséquences cognitives et culturelles bien réelles, comme en témoigne un numéro thématique récemment paru dans Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society.

Les langues qui contiennent moins d’irrégularités dans leur façon de nommer les nombres sont plus faciles à apprendre, requièrent moins de ressources cognitives, et mènent à moins d’erreurs de calculs et de transcription. Les irrégularités qu’affiche notre français entre 70 et 99 intensifient ces effets, comme le démontrent des études qui ont trouvé que ces constructions irrégulières peuvent nous ralentir et mener à plus d’erreurs dans une multitude de tâches, incluant la dictée, la lecture à voix haute et l’identification de nombres écrits.




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C’est précisément pour ce genre de raison que des pays comme la Norvège et le Pays de Galles ont procédé à des réformes de leurs systèmes de numérotation.

Une réforme nécessaire ?

Si la culture était laissée à elle-même, ces irrégularités auraient peut-être déjà disparu, compte tenu des coûts cognitifs liés à leur usage. Or, nos institutions contournent la sélection naturelle et continuent ainsi à rendre l’apprentissage des nombres plus difficile et moins efficace en français.

Sachant que la numératie est un élément crucial de notre vie moderne, la question se pose : Est-il temps de réformer comment on parle des nombres en français ?

La Conversation Canada

Jean-Charles Pelland est membre de ‘QUANTA: Evolution of Cognitive Tools for Quantification’ , un projet de recherche interdisciplinaire financé par le Conseil Européen de la Recherche (ERC) à l’aide d’une bourse Synergy (Subvention 951388).

ref. Réforme linguistique : les nombres comptent aussi ! – https://theconversation.com/reforme-linguistique-les-nombres-comptent-aussi-270611