Aumentar el gasto en defensa pone en riesgo la inversión pública en salud

Source: The Conversation – France – By Samuel López López, Profesor de Gestión de Servicios de Salud, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha

Sala de espera de un hospital. DC Studio/Shutterstock

El contexto histórico influye en las prioridades de quienes toman las decisiones de políticas públicas, y una de las circunstancias que determinan la toma de este tipo de decisiones son las tensiones belicistas. Las contiendas armadas hacen cambiar las preferencias de quienes deciden a qué dedicar los recursos económicos de los países.

Estos cambios atienden al criterio, básico en la gestión pública, de coste-oportunidad: si un recurso se utiliza en una cuestión determinada no puede ser utilizado para resolver otra.

Antecedentes

Ya ha sido estudiada la relación entre el aumento del gasto militar en época de conflictos bélicos y el gasto público en salud. En 2023, los investigadores Masako Ikegami y Zijian Wang analizaron el “efecto desplazamiento” (crowding-out) del gasto público en salud en 116 países, con especial atención en países en desarrollo, debido al incremento en los gastos de defensa. Esta investigación muestra que el gasto militar tiene una relación negativa y significativa con el gasto sanitario público.

Asimismo, en 2024, los profesores Nikolaos Grigorakis y Giorgos Galyfianakis evaluaron cómo afectó, entre los años 2000 y 2021, el gasto militar a los llamados pagos de bolsillo (aquellos que el paciente realiza en el momento de la atención médica, incluyendo los copagos de los seguros) en los países de la OTAN.

Los autores –que investigan el efecto de la militarización en contextos de seguridad creciente sobre la equidad y accesibilidad de los sistemas de salud– determinaron que el gasto militar se asocia con un incremento en ese tipo de pagos. El rearme genera un desplazamiento financiero que repercute en mayor carga económica sobre los ciudadanos, lo que compromete la equidad del acceso sanitario.

Los resultados de otro estudio, este de 2017, muestran que, en términos de producto interior bruto (PIB), por cada punto porcentual que sube el gasto militar, el gasto en salud pública cae de media un 0,62 %, oscilando en una horquilla de entre el 0,96 % de descenso en países de renta media-baja y un 0,56 % en países de renta media-alta.

Los datos para España

Dado que España se encuentra en la encrucijada y el debate público de si alcanzar el 5 % del PIB en gasto militar que se le pide como miembro de la OTAN, sería interesante estimar qué consecuencias tendría dicho aumento para la salud de sus ciudadanos.

Según los últimos datos oficiales disponibles, en 2023 el gasto sanitario público ascendió a 94 694 millones de euros, suponiendo el 71,7 % del gasto sanitario total (131 984 millones de euros). Esta cifra representa el 7,8 % del PIB español.

Para tratar de medir las posibles consecuencias del desplazamiento financiero de salud a defensa hemos hecho un cálculo aproximado de la reducción de las capacidades de inversión del sistema público español de salud, a partir de la referencia previa de que los países de rentas medias y altas reducen su gasto en salud en un 0,56 % del PIB por cada 1 % de aumento del gasto militar.

Entre 2020 y 2024, el gasto español en defensa ha ido aumentando progresivamente, pasando de representar de menos del 1 % del PIB en 2020 a más del 2 % para 2025 (gasto pendiente de ejecutar y cuantificar en millones de euros).

Poniendo el foco ahora en el gasto público en salud, vemos que el máximo se alcanzó en 2020, año de inicio de la pandemia.

Desplazamiento del gasto: de sanidad a defensa

Teniendo en cuenta que España ya ha manifestado su voluntad de llevar su aportación al 2,1 % del PIB, si finalmente la incrementa hasta el 5 % que exige el gobierno estadounidense a sus compañeros de alianza, el porcentaje del PIB español dedicado a la atención sanitaria se vería reducido en un 1,61 %, pasando del 7,8 % –si tomamos como referencia 2023– al 6,18 %.

Estos son 1 527 millones de euros menos de inversión pública en sanidad se traducirían en una reducción de las prestaciones y servicios y un mayor gasto de bolsillo de los ciudadanos.

Otro escenario sería el aumento de los gastos de bolsillo de los ciudadanos para acceder a los servicios de salud. Según datos de 2023, los españoles destinaron una media de 499 euros anuales a dichos gastos. Si a esa suma se le agrega la caída de la inversión pública en salud (1 526,84 millones de euros) y ese monto total tuviera que ser asumido por los ciudadanos (a 1 de enero de 2024, la población española era de 48 619 695 habitantes), esto supondría una cantidad aproximada de 31,40 € por habitante de subida del gasto de bolsillo en salud, lo que representaría un incremento del 6,29 % respecto a 2023.

Garantizar derechos

Los recursos públicos son limitados y, por ello, un incremento en la inversión en un área determinada comporta una reducción posterior del gasto público en otras. De acuerdo a las investigaciones reseñadas en el texto, el incremento del gasto en defensa afecta a los gastos del área pública de salud.

¿Las consecuencias para los ciudadanos? Posiblemente un empeoramiento de la oferta sanitaria pública y la necesidad de afrontar de manera privada los gastos en salud, en forma de pagos de bolsillo.

El debate sobre inversión pública, contexto geopolítico y gasto en defensa debe contar con datos respaldados en la investigación y un análisis profundo de sus efectos en otras áreas del gasto público para garantizar el cumplimiento de los derechos constitucionales de los ciudadanos.

The Conversation

Samuel López López no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. Aumentar el gasto en defensa pone en riesgo la inversión pública en salud – https://theconversation.com/aumentar-el-gasto-en-defensa-pone-en-riesgo-la-inversion-publica-en-salud-259972

Mundial de Clubes: ¿debe seguir el espectáculo aunque peligre la salud mental de los jugadores?

Source: The Conversation – France – By Cristina De Francisco, Profesora de Psicología de la Actividad física y el Deporte. Miembro del grupo de investigación "Psicología del Deporte: About Smocks And Jocks" (Universidad de Sevilla), Universidad de Sevilla

El pasado 8 de junio, Cristiano Ronaldo levantaba al cielo de Múnich la copa de la Nations League después de que Portugal derrotara a España en la tanda de penaltis. Mientras el entrenador español y sus seleccionados permanecían en el terreno de juego rindiendo tributo al campeón, una figura enfilaba el túnel de vestuarios tras jugar un partido gris y ser sustituido en la prórroga. Era Lamine Yamal, la nueva estrella del fútbol mundial de solo 17 años.

Una competición más, un descanso menos

Lamine ya está de vacaciones, como el resto de la plantilla del Barcelona. Pero no así muchos integrantes de otros equipos. Apenas han pasado algo más de dos semanas desde que terminó la Nations League y el nuevo Mundial de Clubes 2025 comienza con problemas. Los jugadores y entrenadores alzan la voz para señalar que no hay tiempo de descanso. Además, jugar con tanto calor aumenta el riesgo de problemas físicos y emocionales. El burnout (síndrome del trabajador quemado o del desgaste profesional) aparece como un enemigo silencioso en cada partido.

Estados Unidos acoge este nuevo Mundial de Clubes de la FIFA. Participan 32 equipos y se jugará cada cuatro años. La cita reúne, entre otros, a los clubes campeones de cada una de las seis confederaciones que rigen el fútbol a nivel mundial. A simple vista, puede parecer una fiesta del fútbol global. Pero de acuerdo con las declaraciones, la mayoría de los futbolistas lo percibe como una carga añadida.

Al comienzo de la temporada 24/25, diversos medios se hacían eco de la posibilidad de que los jugadores de la élite del fútbol europeo fueran a la huelga por la sobrecarga de partidos que conlleva el nuevo formato de la Champions League y la creación del Mundial de Clubes.

A la nueva competición mundial, hay que sumar los partidos de sus equipos, los de las selecciones y los torneos de cada continente, que en el caso de Europa incluyen más encuentros debido al nuevo formato con liguilla. Los deportistas no cuentan con tiempo suficiente para recuperarse y, además, muchos de ellos deben asumir un inicio de la pretemporada especialmente intenso.

Un rival más sobre el césped: el calor

Los organizadores del torneo priorizan los ingresos. Pero tanto jugadores como entrenadores califican la situación como insostenible.

El fuerte calor del verano en Estados Unidos no solo cansa el cuerpo. También puede afectar a la mente. Cuando hace mucho calor, las personas se sienten de mal humor y les cuesta más pensar con claridad. Si hay muchos partidos, viajes y presión, el calor lo empeora todo. El cuerpo necesita gastar fuerzas para no calentarse demasiado, lo que deja menos capacidad para concentrarse o controlar las emociones. Por eso, resulta más fácil que los jugadores puedan sufrir el síndrome de burnout, que les lleva a estar, casi literalmente, “quemados”.

¿Qué es el burnout en el deporte?

El burnout es más que estar cansado. En el ámbito deportivo, se trata de un síndrome psicológico que combina agotamiento físico y emocional, devaluación de la práctica deportiva (actitudes negativas hacia el deporte) y una sensación de fracaso o baja realización personal.




Leer más:
Cuerpos de acero, mentes quemadas: cuando los deportistas colapsan


Diversos autores lo han analizado desde distintos enfoques. Aunque todos coinciden en que es un problema complejo, cada uno ha destacado aspectos diferentes, que ayudan a entender cómo y por qué aparece.

  • Ronald E. Smith, de la Universidad de Washington, lo explica como un estrés crónico mal manejado, que surge cuando hay muchas demandas y pocos recursos para afrontarlas. A los futbolistas profesionales les pasa esto: muchos partidos, estar siempre bajo las cámaras, la presión, las lesiones y cada vez menos tiempo para descansar.

  • John M. Silva, de la Universidad de Carolina del Norte, lo enfoca desde la fisiología: un sobreentrenamiento que lleva al agotamiento, bajada del rendimiento y síntomas de malestar psicológico. Si no hay descanso, el cuerpo se fatiga. Pero si tampoco hay espacios para desconectar, es la mente la que se quiebra.

  • Jay Coakley, de la Universidad de Colorado, ofrece una mirada aún más crítica. El burnout aparece cuando el deportista pierde el sentido de autonomía y no puede desarrollar su identidad más allá del rendimiento. Cuando el deporte se convierte en una jaula que lo define todo, cualquier bajón se convierte en crisis. En los últimos años, varios jugadores han sido ejemplo de la sobreexplotación del talento joven.
    Ejemplo de ello es lo sucedido con Lamine Yamal tras la final de la Nations League que enfrentó a España y Portugal.

  • Greg W. Schmidt, de la Universidad Estatal de Middle Tennessee, y Gary L. Stein, de la Universidad de Oregón, ponen de manifiesto que algunos deportistas siguen compitiendo, aunque estén quemados. No se retiran porque no ven otras opciones o se sienten comprometidos. En el fútbol, muchos jugadores se mantiene en activo aunque estén muy cansados física y mentalmente. Piensan que ya han invertido mucho tiempo y recursos, que no saben hacer otra cosa o que defraudarían a los demás si se detienen. Esta obligación de seguir empeora el burnout, porque siguen sufriendo sin poder descansar o cambiar.

Una cultura que ignora a la persona

Lo preocupante es que, a menudo, el entorno responde con más presión. Titulares y testimonios enfatizan una versión unívoca: “rendirse no es una opción”, “hay que ser fuerte”, “el fútbol es así”, “otros querrían estar en tu lugar”.

Esta cultura del rendimiento perpetúa el silencio, el estigma y el colapso emocional. El burnout se desarrolla en sistemas que no protegen al deportista. Los clubes, federaciones y organismos internacionales priorizan el espectáculo y el beneficio económico, olvidando que los cuerpos tienen límites y las mentes también.

Mientras el negocio del fútbol crece, la salud de sus protagonistas se erosiona. No basta con servicios médicos o psicólogos de plantilla si no se reducen las causas estructurales: exceso de competiciones, falta de descansos y ausencia de políticas reales de cuidado.




Leer más:
¿De los clubes de fútbol a las empresas de fútbol? Cinco claves para entenderlo


El fútbol necesita repensarse: no solo en términos de justicia económica, sino también en cuanto a sostenibilidad humana. Si no se detiene esta espiral, el Mundial de Clubes será solo una muesca más en el calendario y una grieta más en la salud psicológica de los jugadores.

The Conversation

Las personas firmantes no son asalariadas, ni consultoras, ni poseen acciones, ni reciben financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y han declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado anteriormente.

ref. Mundial de Clubes: ¿debe seguir el espectáculo aunque peligre la salud mental de los jugadores? – https://theconversation.com/mundial-de-clubes-debe-seguir-el-espectaculo-aunque-peligre-la-salud-mental-de-los-jugadores-259648

El gasto en defensa de España y sus diferencias con EE. UU.

Source: The Conversation – France – By Silvia Vicente-Oliva, Profesora de Gestión de la Innovación, Universidad de Zaragoza

gopixa/Shutterstock

España decidió pertenecer a la alianza atlántica, la Organización del Tratado del Atlántico Norte (OTAN), en 1981, pero no sin voces discordantes dentro del país. De hecho, cuatro años después, el 12 de marzo de 1986, se celebraría un referéndum para decidir la permanencia de España en la Alianza.

En aquel momento el orden mundial enfrentaba al mundo en dos bloques liderados, de un lado, por la Unión de Repúblicas Socialistas Soviéticas y del otro, por Estados Unidos. España se decantó por la propuesta atlantista y el proceso contribuyó a su modernización, a la vez que España aportaba su granito de arena a la defensa colectiva de Occidente.

La defensa colectiva

El Tratado del Atlántico Norte recoge los acuerdos establecidos entre los países que participan en la organización. De todos, el principio de defensa colectiva (Art. 5) es el más relevante: un ataque armado contra un miembro la OTAN se considera un ataque contra todos los miembros de la alianza.

Esta respuesta conjunta proporciona un efecto de disuasión frente a potenciales enemigos. La defensa colectiva solo ha sido invocada una vez, en 2001, como respuesta a los atentados terroristas del 11 de septiembre en Estados Unidos.

Las naciones que integran la OTAN representan el 70 % de la riqueza mundial y son, además, los países con una trayectoria más larga de estabilidad democrática.

Invertir en defensa

Para poder contribuir a la defensa colectiva, los países aliados deben hacer el esfuerzo de generar y mantener capacidades que les permitan enfrentar no solo las amenazas actuales, sino también las previstas como consecuencia del desarrollo tecnológico.

Aunque este esfuerzo –desigual entre los miembros de la Alianza– se puede medir de diferentes maneras, quizás la más conocida es calcular qué porcentaje del producto interior bruto (PIB) destina cada país al gasto en defensa.

Tanques
El porcentaje del producto interior bruto (PIB) destina cada país al gasto en defensa es desigual.

Lo que dicen los datos

Según la información sobre el porcentaje del PIB destinado a defensa contenida en la base de datos de gastos militares del Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), entre 1981 y 2024 España tuvo una diferencia media con respecto a EE. UU. del 2,61 %. No obstante, en cumplimiento de los compromisos adquiridos en los últimos años, desde 2020 la brecha de gasto se ha ido acortando para situarse, en 2023, en el 1,99 %.

Si hacemos la media de este indicador desde 1981 (el año en que España comenzó el proceso de adhesión a la OTAN) hasta 2024, Estados Unidos ha gastado un 4,38 % de su PIB en defensa, mientras que España ha gastado el 1,77 %.

En la década de los ochenta del siglo pasado –los primeros años de España en la OTAN– la diferencia media entre los dos países fue del 3,59 %. En los 90, esa media se redujo hasta el 2,19 % (algunos años, la distancia fue de apenas el 1,3 %). Posteriormente, entre 2000 y 2010, la diferencia creció hasta el 2,45 %.

A consecuencia de los recortes públicos provocados por la gran recesión (2008), entre 2010 y 2020 la brecha llegó a ampliarse hasta el 2,61 %. Desde 2020, la diferencia media en gasto en defensa entre EE. UU. (3,42 %) y España (1,39 %) se ha reducido al 2,02 %.

Otro factor que ha intervenido en el acortamiento de esta diferencia es que, en los últimos diez años, Estados Unidos no ha llegado ni al 3,5 % de gasto medio en defensa con respecto a su PIB cuando, en 1986, el porcentaje fue del 6,63.

A consecuencia de la invasión rusa a Ucrania, hay socios de la OTAN que en 2024 hicieron un esfuerzo de gasto similar, o incluso superior, al de EE. UU. (3,4 %). Es el caso de Polonia (4,2 %) y Estonia (3,4 %). Para España, en cambio, el porcentaje fue del 1,47 %. No en balde, en este indicador ocupa el último lugar entre los países de la Alianza.

¿En qué se gasta el presupuesto de la OTAN?

La estructura de gasto de cada país se suele ajustar a la forma de preparar sus presupuestos, pero la OTAN la divide en cuatro grandes categorías: equipamiento, personal, infraestructuras y otros gastos.

Las diferencias entre España y Estados Unidos son relevantes en el apartado de personal, en el que España gastaba el 43,9 % (datos estimados de 2024), mientras que Estados Unidos invertía solamente el 25,22 %.

En equipamiento –que incluye los gastos de investigación y desarrollo–, el compromiso adquirido en los últimos años ha llevado a España a invertir el 30,3 % de su presupuesto, frente al 29,88 % de Estados Unidos.

En cuanto a infraestructuras, mientras España destina el 2,65 %, Estados Unidos dedica un 1,74 %.

La gran diferencia se encuentra en la partida otros gastos: para España representan el 23,14 % y para Estados Unidos el 43,16 %. Estos gastos corresponden a otros ministerios, secretarías o departamentos, a fondos de contingencia, así como otros gastos que contribuyen a la seguridad y la defensa.

¿Se gastará más?

El acuerdo alcanzado en junio de 2025 por los países miembros de la OTAN reunidos en La Haya establece elevar los gastos de defensa hasta el 5 % del PIB nacional para el año 2035, con una revisión intermedia en 2029.

Dentro de esta cifra se ha establecido que al menos el 3,5 % se destinará a necesidades básicas de defensa y el 1,5 % restante se podrá dedicar a otros asuntos como ciberdefensa, resiliencia e infraestructuras críticas.

Aunque parece haber acuerdo entre los socios de la Alianza, España busca desmarcarse de la senda de gasto pautada, asegurando que con el 2,1 % es suficiente, a lo que el presidente estadounidense ha contestado con una amenaza arancelaria: “Les haremos pagar el doble”.

The Conversation

Silvia Vicente-Oliva no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. El gasto en defensa de España y sus diferencias con EE. UU. – https://theconversation.com/el-gasto-en-defensa-de-espana-y-sus-diferencias-con-ee-uu-259922

In search of Labour’s ‘working people’ – the paradox at the heart of Keir Starmer’s first year in power

Source: The Conversation – in French – By George Newth, Lecturer in Politics and member of Reactionary Politics Research Network, University of Bath

Number 10/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND

It’s one year since Keir Starmer led the Labour party to a landslide victory. Starmer’s manifesto, “Change” had proposed “securonomics” as a solution to the UK’s many crises. This was sold as a way of ensuring “sustained economic growth as the only route to improving the prosperity of our country and the living standards of working people”.

The document mentioned “working people” a total of 21 times. It was clear this demographic had been identified as the key target beneficiary of “securonomics”, otherwise referred to as “the plan for change”.

But there is a paradox at the heart of the proposal to deliver “change” to “working people” – one that helps explain the chaos of Labour’s first year in government. By obsessively pitting this demographic against “non-working people”, Labour is in fact not promising any real change at all.


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One of the key premises of Labour’s securonomics is that growth must precede any significant investment. “Working people’s” priorities are therefore presented as being in line with that of a fiscally responsible state.

In the autumn budget, there was a pledge to “fix the foundations of the economy and deliver change by protecting working people”. To do this, the chancellor needed to fix a “black hole” of £22 billion in government finances.

The refusal to lift the two-child benefit cap, alongside “reforming the state to ensure […] welfare spending is targeted towards those that need it the most”, was framed as “putting more money in working people’s pockets”. There has, meanwhile, been a continued emphasis on encouraging those on benefits back to work.


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Besides the clear deepening of inequality wrought by similar reforms in the past, welfare cuts make no sense on an economic or societal level. They undermine the economy, and the consequences put additional pressure on already underfunded social services.

As highlighted by the Office of Budgetary Responsibility (OBR), such cuts fail to deliver the promised behavioural change to force people into work. People instead become more focused on day-to-day survival.

Despite the government’s last ditch climbdown to save its flagship welfare reform policy its cuts are still forecast to push more than 150,000 people into poverty

Such reforms carried out in the name of “working people” perpetuate a pernicious myth of us v them. Not only are people in work also affected by these cuts but people’s lives – including their jobs, income, family situations, and health – shift regularly, making the “strivers v skivers” divide both simplistic and inaccurate.

Even “secure borders” and “smashing the criminal gangs” were positioned as “grown up politics back in the service of working people”. This association of working people with anti-immigrant attitudes links to a broader homogenisation of “working people” as both “patriotic” and in search of “security”. “Fixing the foundations” has been depicted in several social media posts as a patriotic act via use of the Union Jack.

Keir Starmer with his hand on the shoulder of a man wearing a tshirt saying 'British steel'.
Starmer meets ‘working people: steel category’.
Number 10/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND

Meanwhile, stage-managed photoshoots of Starmer in factories with people wearing hard hats and hi-visibility jackets give a clear impression of the types of manufacturing jobs the government believes “working people” carry out. This gives an impressions that belies the reality of modern Britain – and an economy that is dominated by the service sector,, not manufacturing or building.

Old wine in new bottles

While Starmer framed his “plan for change” as a break with previous administrations, his “working people” narrative betrays this claim as anything but.

The idea that the deserving “working people” are different and separate from people who don’t (or can’t) work has been deployed by government after government to justify austerity and cuts to services. It has always been useful to separate the “scroungers from the strivers” and there is no sign of Labour changing course.

Keir Starmer talking to a pilot sitting in a fighter jet.
Hello! Are you working people?
Number 10/Flickr, CC BY-NC-ND

The term “working people” also builds on a previous trope of the “hard-working family”.

While initially coined by New Labour, this term has roots in Margaret Thatcher’s idea of the family, rather than the state, as the locus of welfare. It was not for the state to take care of you but your own kin.

Like “working people” now, “hard-working families” were those who played by the rules and knuckled down to earn a living. Previous Conservative administrations have depicted “hard-working families” as burdened by the unemployed, the poor, the sick and disabled and immigrants.

Add to this, the signalling continues to imply that the “authentic” working class of Britain are solely white – sometimes also male – and typically older, manual labourers, who are assumed to hold socially conservative views. This is another divide-and-rule trope which neglects the reality of the multiracial and multiethnic composition of the working classes.

In light of all this, any real “change” promised in Labour’s manifesto has been betrayed by a continuity with tired and damaging tropes of deserving and undeserving people. This is contributing to the sense, a year in, that this Labour government is merely repeating past government failures rather than striking out in a new direction.

The Conversation

George Newth works for University of Bath and is a member of the Green Party

ref. In search of Labour’s ‘working people’ – the paradox at the heart of Keir Starmer’s first year in power – https://theconversation.com/in-search-of-labours-working-people-the-paradox-at-the-heart-of-keir-starmers-first-year-in-power-260230

Mental health in England really is getting worse – our survey found one in five adults are struggling

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Sally McManus, Professor of Social Epidemiology, City St George’s, University of London

Anxiety and depression were among the most common mental health issues people struggled with. Inna Kot/ Shutterstock

The proportion of people in England with poor mental health has risen sharply over the past 30 years, according to England’s most robust national mental health survey. While in 1993 15% of 16- to 64-year-olds surveyed were found to have an anxiety disorder or depression, this reached 23% in 2024.

The Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey (APMS) is the longest running mental health survey series in the world. It began in 1993 and has published five waves of data since. The survey series is commissioned by NHS England and conducted by the National Centre for Social Research, alongside the University of Leicester and City St George’s, University of London.

The findings from this series are our best barometer of trends in the nation’s mental health because of the quality of the survey samples and the rigour of the mental health assessments. Each wave, a random sample of addresses are invited to take part. By drawing from the whole population, and not just those in contact with health services, we can examine population change.

Around 7,000 adults aged 16 to 100 took part in the most recent survey. The detailed, at-home interviews asked participants questions from the Revised Clinical Interview Schedule (CIS-R) – a detailed mental health assessment tool with over 130 questions.

This recent survey revealed many things about the state of mental health in England. While it’s clear the prevalence of several mental health conditions have risen this century, there are also signs that access to mental healthcare has also increased.

Young people are a priority group

A quarter of 16- to 24-year-olds in this latest survey had a common mental health condition – the highest level observed since the APMS series began. An upward trajectory was also evident for rates of self-harm.

Evidence from a sister survey we conducted suggests that for young people, the Covid pandemic had a sustained effect on mental health. However, both surveys show the upward trend in young people’s poor mental health predated the pandemic.

Although concerns have been linked to social media, evidence for this as a key causal factor is weak. There’s likely multiple causes: environmental, social, economic, technological and political changes may all play a part.

Anxiety disorders have increased

Generalised anxiety disorder is now one of the most prevalent types of mental health condition in England – present in one in 12 adults. The condition is characterised by feelings of stress or worry that affects daily life, are difficult to control and which have persisted longer than six months.

The proportion of 16- to 64-year-olds meeting generalised anxiety disorder criteria also doubled since the series began – from 4.4% in 1993 to 8.5% in 2023-2024. The steepest increase was seen in 16- to 24-year-olds – with prevalence rising from just over 2% in 1993 to nearly 8% in 2024.

Socioeconomic inequalities persist

The survey also confirmed that people struggling financially and those with a limiting physical health condition (such as asthma, cancer or diabetes), were particularly at risk of experiencing poor mental health. About 40% of people who were unemployed had depression or an anxiety disorder.

The survey also revealed area-level disparities, with common mental health conditions being more prevalent among those living in the most deprived fifth of neighbourhoods. In these areas, 26% of people had a common mental health condition – compared with 16% of those living in the least deprived areas.

A man sits on his bed, looking out the window.
Mental health conditions were more prevalent in deprived regions.
WPixz/ Shutterstock

Regional disparities emerged as well – with people living in more deprived regions of England experiencing worse mental health. Around 25% of adults in the East Midlands and the north-east had a common mental health condition – compared with around 19% of people living in the south-west and 16% of those in the south-east.

Age and ethnic inequalities in treatment persist

Likelihood of receiving mental health treatment varied between groups. People aged 75 and over were the least likely to receive treatment compared to people from other age groups. This could partly stem from lack of help-seeking.

Ethnic inequalities were also observed, with people from Asian or black backgrounds less likely to receive treatment compared to people from white backgrounds. Ethnic disparities in treatment access have also been noted in linked primary care data – disparities which may also have worsened during the pandemic.

Persistent treatment inequalities have been attributed to problems with recognition and diagnosis of symptoms in people from ethnic minority backgrounds by healthcare workers. Cultural variations in expressions of distress may also be missed in consultation processes – affecting whether or not treatments are offered.

Men may be seeking help more

A decade ago, the survey found that among people with a common mental health condition, women were around 1.58 times more likely than men to get treatment.

This difference was no longer evident in the latest results. It may be that mental health services have become better at recognising and responding to mental health need in men, or that reduced stigma around mental health has meant more men are seeking help.

People are now more likely to get treatment

The proportion of people with depression or an anxiety disorder receiving mental health treatment – either in the form of prescription medication or psychological therapy – has increased substantially since the survey began.

Between 2000 and 2007, one in four people with a common mental health condition received treatment. This increased to 39% in 2014 – and nearly half in the latest survey. The increase was evident for both psychological therapies (rising from 10% in 2007 to 18% in 2024) and prescription medication (rising from 20% in 2007 to 38% in 2024).

Future of mental health

The APMS has been conducted with consistent methods over decades, using the same robust mental health assessments with large, random samples of the population. This means the results are largely not affected by changes in levels of mental health awareness or stigma, and changes in levels of diagnosis or service contact.

As such, this gives us confidence in the figures: that mental health in England really is getting worse, and that access to mental health treatment among people with a condition has increased.

It will now be important for future research to consider what are the drivers of change in population mental health, and how we can improve mental health care for all.

The Conversation

Sally McManus receives funding from UKRI Violence, Health and Society (VISION) consortium (MR/V049879/1). The Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey was conducted by the National Centre for Social Research, with Leicester University and City St George’s, University of London. The latest survey in the series was commissioned by NHS England with funding from England’s Department for Health and Social Care.

Sarah Morris leads the Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey and works on the Health Survey for England at the National Centre for Social Research, which is commissioned by NHS England, with funding from England’s Department of Health and Social Care.

ref. Mental health in England really is getting worse – our survey found one in five adults are struggling – https://theconversation.com/mental-health-in-england-really-is-getting-worse-our-survey-found-one-in-five-adults-are-struggling-260120

Pets get hay fever too – how to spot it and manage it

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Jacqueline Boyd, Senior Lecturer in Animal Science, Nottingham Trent University

alexei tm/Shutterstock.com

Summer often brings with it the unmistakable sniffles and sneezes of hay fever. As plants and trees release pollen into the air, many of us start to feel the effects – itchy eyes, runny noses and general discomfort. But hay fever doesn’t just affect people – our pets can suffer too.

Like us, dogs, cats, horses and even small animals like rabbits and guinea pigs can struggle during pollen season. So how can you spot the signs – and more importantly, how can you help?


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What is hay fever?

Hay fever is an allergic reaction to airborne pollen. Grass pollen is considered the most common trigger, though pollen from trees and weeds can also play a part. Normally, the immune system protects us from harmful invaders like bacteria and viruses. But sometimes, it becomes oversensitive and reacts to things that aren’t dangerous.

Allergies like hay fever happen when the immune system mistakenly treats harmless substances – such as dust or pollen – as threats. When exposed again, the body tries to defend itself, triggering a cascade of reactions including itching, sneezing, congestion, watery eyes and coughing. These symptoms, although frustrating, are the body’s attempt to shield itself – just against the wrong enemy.

What are the signs of hay fever in pets?

Humans with hay fever usually experience an itchy throat, sneezing, watery eyes and a runny nose. Pets show many of the same symptoms: sneezing, nasal discharge and eye irritation are all common.

Dogs and cats often show signs through their skin, rubbing or scratching at itchy areas and sometimes chewing their paws or belly. These parts of the body are more likely to come into contact with pollen when outdoors. In more severe cases, pets can develop dermatitis – an intensely itchy and inflamed skin condition that may require veterinary care.

If you think your pet might be suffering, it’s important to speak with your vet. Many people with hay fever learn to tell the difference between colds, flu and pollen allergies. But our pets can also catch colds and other infections, which may look similar. To treat the problem properly, it’s best to get a clear diagnosis.

How to help your pet with hay fever

If you or your pet are dealing with hay fever, there are steps you can take to make things more manageable.

Start by keeping a diary of symptoms – it might help you connect flare-ups with particular plants or trees. In the UK, tree pollen tends to peak in April and May, while grass pollen is highest in June and July. If grass seems to be the culprit, keeping lawns short can help. You might also need to remove problem plants from your garden or restrict access to them.

Regular grooming and washing your pet – along with cleaning their bedding – can reduce the amount of pollen they’re exposed to. Less pollen means fewer symptoms.

Pollen forecasts are also a helpful tool. On days when pollen levels are particularly high – usually during warm, dry spells – you can take extra precautions.

Pollen tends to be most concentrated during the day, especially when it’s hot and humid. Try walking your dog early in the morning or later in the evening when levels are lower, which also helps protect them from dangerously high temperatures.

Keeping cats indoors and ensuring horses have appropriate shelter and rugging can also reduce exposure.

While antihistamines are a common remedy for people, don’t be tempted to use them on pets unless prescribed by your veterinary surgeon. Many over-the-counter options are not safe for animals and could cause harm. Your vet can recommend safe alternatives and help create a management plan tailored to your pet.

A vet holding a cat.
Don’t use over-the-counter antihistamines to treat your pet. Speak to your vet about the correct treatment.
Juice Flair/Shutterstock.com

Pollen allergies are expected to become more common, with climate change and pollution both playing a role. Higher temperatures prompt plants to release more pollen, and pollution can make our immune systems more reactive to it. Even thunderstorms can worsen hay fever by breaking pollen into smaller particles that are more easily inhaled.

Spotting the signs early and taking steps to limit your pet’s exposure can make a big difference, helping them stay comfortable, healthy and happy during the pollen-heavy months.

The Conversation

In addition to her academic affiliation at Nottingham Trent University (NTU) and support from the Institute for Knowledge Exchange Practice (IKEP) at NTU, Jacqueline Boyd is affiliated with The Kennel Club (UK) through membership and as advisor to the Health Advisory Group. Jacqueline is a full member of the Association of Pet Dog Trainers (APDT #01583). She also writes, consults and coaches on canine matters on an independent basis.

ref. Pets get hay fever too – how to spot it and manage it – https://theconversation.com/pets-get-hay-fever-too-how-to-spot-it-and-manage-it-259155

Can the NHS shift from treatment to prevention? What healthcare bosses think

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Lisa Knight, Head of External Engagement & Professional Programmes, Liverpool John Moores University

PongMoji/Shutterstock

Imagine a healthcare system where preventing illness is just as important as treating it. This is the vision for the English NHS – but right now, it’s still far from reality. To become more sustainable and better serve patients in the long run, the NHS needs to shift its focus from reactive care to proactive, preventative support.

On July 3 2025, the UK government published its Fit for the Future: Ten-Year Health Plan for England, laying out a blueprint to rebalance the health service toward prevention, digital transformation and localised care. The plan includes:

  • expanding up to 300 neighbourhood health centres to bring preventative services closer to communities

  • digitising services with 24/7 access through the NHS app, AI triage – the use of artificial intelligence to help prioritise and assess patients more efficiently, particularly in high-demand areas like emergency departments, GP surgeries and outpatient care – and robot-assisted surgery

  • tackling chronic illness earlier, including more support for obesity, smoking cessation and mental health

  • integrating prevention into everyday care, with a shift in national performance targets to better reflect long-term health outcomes.

Prime minister Keir Starmer described it as a shift “from a sickness service to a health service,” marking a deliberate move away from crisis response toward early intervention and community-based support.

But making this vision real won’t be easy.

System still isn’t built for prevention

In my research, I’ve looked at what good leadership should look like in the NHS – especially within England’s new integrated care systems (ICSs). A key part of these systems is place-based partnerships.

These are local collaborations between NHS services, councils, charities and community groups, all working together to improve people’s health. The idea is to better join up care in each area and tackle the broader issues that affect health, such as housing, education and access to support.

I spoke to NHS leaders, including chief executives of major health organisations, on the basis of anonymity, who agree that the system needs to change. But many of them say it will face major obstacles – especially financial constraints and fragmented funding models that continue to reward reactive care, such as A&E. As one NHS leader put it:

All the things that come down from NHS England and the Department of Health and Social Care respond to the now, rather than where we are going.

While the ten-year plan lays out ambitions for rebalanced funding, existing financial mechanisms won’t support this shift. The NHS can overspend during emergencies, but local authorities – who fund most social care and public health – must stay within strict budgets.

This undermines integration and creates unequal footing between services. One senior leader noted”

Local authorities will never consider us as a partner until we get our act together on finance… you’ve got to sit back and look at what impression that gives them – that we’re not equals.

The ten-year plan acknowledges these disparities but offers limited detail on how to resolve them. Without concrete reform of funding flows and accountability structures, prevention may remain a priority in name only.

In 2024, the health and social care secretary, Wes Streeting, described the NHS as “broken” and called for a review to expose the “hard truths” needed to fix it. He has been outspoken in championing both prevention and better integration with social care, viewing these as key to reforming a system overwhelmed by rising demand and worsening outcomes.

Improving housing, social care, education, and jobs can reduce reliance on costly hospital treatments and significantly enhance overall health. In 2022, the NHS took a structural step toward this by merging health and social care services into “integrated care systems”, aiming to better coordinate services across sectors.

However, it has now been more than a decade since key targets for emergency care, hospital waiting times, or cancer services were met – raising questions about whether structural changes alone are enough.

The COVID pandemic deepened these pressures. Waiting lists for treatment surged, while NHS staff faced soaring stress levels. Many healthcare leaders describe the current moment as a perfect storm, in which long-term planning is increasingly difficult while trying to meet immediate needs.

Why risk and measurement matter

Preventative services, new technologies and integrated care models carry uncertainty. Leaders are understandably hesitant to shift resources away from acute services when “hospitals get the headlines.” One told me:

We’re shuffling public service delivery cash around and not thinking through how we develop something fundamentally different.

National performance frameworks also reinforce this inertia. Most targets still focus on wait times, emergency response, and treatment outcomes. As one executive put it:

We manage what’s measured… If we were made to look at deprivation figures and elective recovery figures based on postcode and ethnicity, that might change the conversation.“

The ten-year plan promises new indicators and better data sharing, but it remains to be seen whether these tools will actually shift behaviour at scale.

Listening to communities?

An effective shift to prevention requires more than structural reform – it needs genuine community engagement. One of the aims of integrated care systems was to involve local people in decisions about their health. Most leaders I have interviewed support this principle, but many admit that public involvement remains limited: “We’re not doing enough to listen… We’re not giving people opportunities.”

The ten-year plan reiterates the importance of local voices and promises a stronger focus on “co-produced care,” but delivery will depend on time, trust and cultural change within the system.

My research suggests that the NHS won’t be fixed by continuing to treat illness after it happens. It must evolve into a service that prevents poor health at its root – in homes, schools, workplaces and local communities.

The government’s ten-year plan offers a renewed opportunity to make this shift. But if the plan is to succeed, it will require more than bold promises. It demands redesigned funding, rebalanced risk, shared power with communities – and, above all, the political will to change the system before it collapses under its own weight.

The Conversation

Lisa Knight is affiliated with Mersey and West Lancashire NHS Trust as a Non-Executive Director

ref. Can the NHS shift from treatment to prevention? What healthcare bosses think – https://theconversation.com/can-the-nhs-shift-from-treatment-to-prevention-what-healthcare-bosses-think-234601

Hope for a ceasefire in Gaza (but not much)

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Jonathan Este, Senior International Affairs Editor, Associate Editor

This article was first published in The Conversation UK’s World Affairs Briefing email newsletter. Sign up to receive weekly analysis of the latest developments in international relations, direct to your inbox.


Each day that has passed recently has brought another report of mass killings in Gaza. Today’s headline was as grim as any: according to reports from Gaza’s Hamas-run health ministry, another 118 people were killed in the past 24 hours, including 12 people trying to get aid supplies. This is a particularly unpalatable feature of a wretched conflict: the number of people being killed as they queue for food.

A bulletin carried on the United Nations website bore the headline: “GAZA: Starvation or Gunfire – This is Not a Humanitarian Response.” It said that more than 500 Palestinians have been killed and almost 4,000 injured just trying to access or distribute food.

There are, however, hopes of a hiatus in the violence. Donald Trump announced on July 2 that Israel had accepted terms for a 60-day ceasefire and Hamas is reportedly reviewing the conditions. Donald Trump on his TruthSocial platform wrote: “I hope… that Hamas takes this Deal, because it will not get better – IT WILL ONLY GET WORSE.”


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For his part, the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, said: “There will be no Hamas [in postwar Gaza]”. This doesn’t bode well for the longevity of any deal, writes Julie M. Norman.

Norman, an expert in international security at UCL who specialises in the Middle East, says we’ve been here before. The ceasefire deal negotiated with great fanfare as the Biden presidency passed over to Trump’s second term in January, fell to bits after phase one of a mooted three-phase deal, with accusations of bad faith on both sides.

Further talk of a new deal in May never got any further than the drawing board. And the two sides’ positions seem to remain utterly irreconcilable. Hamas wants the ceasefire to end in a permanent peace deal and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza. Israel wants Hamas dismantled, out of Gaza and out of the picture, full stop.

Netanyahu is due to visit Washington next week, for the third time in less than six months. Whether the US president can bring pressure to bear on Netanyahu to compromise remains to be seen.

As Norman points out after the 12-day war against Iran, which both Trump and Netanyahu have been trumpeting as a huge success, the Israeli prime minister may have the political clout to defy his more hardline colleagues in pursuit of a deal. Trump, meanwhile, having done everything he can to help Netanyahu, can call in some big favours in his quest to play dealmaker. Hamas is seriously weakened and its main ally in the region, Iran, seems unlikely to intervene after its recent conflict with Israel and the US.

So while recent history makes a cessation of violence in Gaza seem as far off as ever, there is at least some reason for hope.




Read more:
A new Gaza ceasefire deal is on the table – will this time be different?


As noted higher up, one of the more terrible features of this wretched conflict of late has been the number of people being killed as they queue to get food. The death toll at aid distribution centres has mounted steadily since Israel, with US backing, introduced a new system run by an American company: Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF). This organisation replaced more than 400 aid points (previously run by a UN agency) with just four, mainly in the south of the Gaza Strip.

This was always going to cause problems, writes Leonie Fleischmann of City St George’s, University of London, who specialises in the conflict between Israel and Palestine. While Israel says the new system is designed to prevent Hamas taking control of aid supplies, all reports are that the scenes around the four distribution centres are descending into anarchy. According to a UN report, “Thousands [of people] released into chaotic enclosures to fight for limited food supplies … These areas have become sites of repeated massacres in blatant disregard for international humanitarian law.”

“Arguably, this chaos and violence is inbuilt in the new aid delivery system,” writes Fleischmann, who concludes that the new system should be seen as a “a mechanism of forced displacement” which is part of a plan by the Netanyahu government “relocate Palestinians to a ‘sterile zone’ in Gaza’s far south” as it continues to clear the north of the Gaza strip.




Read more:
Chaotic new aid system means getting food in Gaza has become a matter of life – and often death


The 12-day war

But if Trump and Netanyahu think the recent short war will lead to a complete reset in the region, leaving a crippled Iran licking its wounds, they way well have miscalculated. That’s the assessment of the situation by Bamo Nouri, a Middle East specialist at City St George’s, University of London. He believes that the 12-day war may prove to have been a strategic blunder by Israel and the US.

For a start, he writes, one outcome of the conflict is that Iran suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), ending inspections and giving Tehran the freedom to expand its nuclear programme with no oversight. And its response to Israel’s airstrikes, involving more than 1,000 missiles and drones, breached the country’s “iron dome” defensive system, causing considerable damage and inflicting a serious psychological blow against Israel.

Tehran has also deepened its relationships with both Moscow and Beijing. And far from prompting regime change, the war appears to have prompted an upsurge in nationalist sentiment in Iran.

Nouri concludes: “Israel emerges militarily capable but politically shaken and economically strained. Iran, though damaged, stands more unified, with fewer international constraints on its nuclear ambitions.”




Read more:
The US and Israel’s attack may have left Iran stronger


It’s hard to get a clear picture of what was achieved, which isn’t surprising when you consider that there remains considerable doubt, even in this information age, what was achieved by the US bombing raid against Iran’s heavily fortified nuclear installations.

First they were “completely obliterated”. Or at least that was what Donald Trump posted on the night of the raid. Then it seemed that they may not have been as obliterated as first thought. In fact an initial assessment prepared by the US Office of Defense Intelligence thought that the damage may only have hindered Iran’s nuclear programme by a few months.

Cue outrage from the US president and his senior colleagues, amplified by their friends in the US media. There followed some new intelligence which seemed to favour Trump’s position. Then the head of the IAEA, Rafael Grossi, weighed in, saying Iran could be enriching uranium again in a “matter of months”. The latest contribution was from the Pentagon which is saying that timescale is actually closer to “one to two years”. Clear as mud then.

But as Rob Dover reminds us, former US defense secretary Donald Rumsfeld once pronounced: “If it was a fact it wouldn’t be called intelligence.” Dover, who is an intelligence specialist at the University of Hull, explains that intelligence almost always has a political dimension and should be viewed through that prism.

“The assessment given to the public may well be different from the one held within the administration,” writes Dover. This is not necessarily a bad thing, he concludes as “security diplomacy is best done behind closed doors”. Or at least it used to be. Now the US president seems happy to discuss sensitive information in public.




Read more:
Row over damage to Iran’s nuclear programme raises questions about intelligence


The medium is the message

But then, as Sara Polak observes, Donald Trump’s use of social media is changing the way government is conducted in the US. Polak is a specialist in US politics at Leiden University with a particular interest in the way politics and media intersect.

As she writes, for more than a century since Teddy Roosevelt cultivated print journalists, through FDR’s adept use of radio and JFK’s mastery of television, each new media platform has its master. For Trump it is social media. And he is using it to remake politics.




Read more:
How Trump plays with new media says a lot about him – as it did with FDR, Kennedy and Obama


Nowhere has Trump’s mastery of art of issuing simple messages which make for effective soundbites been displayed so clearly than in the name of his landmark tax-cutting legislation still being wrangled over in the US Congress at the time of writing: the One Big Beautiful Bill Act.

While undoubtedly big – it runs to 940 pages – its beauty is what the US House of Representatives has been debating fiercely for 24 hours or more, after it passed the Senate with the help of a casting vote from US president J.D. Vance when three Republican senators voted against it.

Dafydd Townley from the University of Portsmouth, who writes regularly for The Conversation about US politics, has written this incisive analysis of the politics around the legislation which appears set to continue for some time to come.




Read more:
Trump wins again as ‘big beautiful bill’ passes the Senate. What are the lessons for the Democrats?


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The Conversation

ref. Hope for a ceasefire in Gaza (but not much) – https://theconversation.com/hope-for-a-ceasefire-in-gaza-but-not-much-260460

NHS ten-year plan for England: what’s in it and what’s needed to make it work

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Judith Smith, Professor of Health Policy and Management, University of Birmingham

The UK government has published its eagerly awaited ten-year health plan for England, setting out how billions of pounds in NHS funding will be used to transform healthcare delivery across the country.

As anticipated, the plan is framed around the government’s three missions for the NHS: shifting care from hospital into the community, moving from analogue to digital communication, and focusing on preventing ill health rather than treating illness.

The 168-page document responds to a stark warning that the NHS is “in serious trouble”. It is remarkable for the sheer number of ideas and proposals. As well as describing major new developments to improve people’s access to local in-person and virtual NHS care and disease prevention, it sets out a blizzard of other proposals.

These include abolishing Healthwatch (a national watchdog that listens to people’s views on health and social care services to improve them), and bringing back some of the reforms of the Tony Blair era such as “new foundation trusts” and using private funding for new buildings.

From hospital to community

The big idea in the ten-year plan is a neighbourhood health service: large local health centres where people can access GP, nursing, dental, pharmacy, diagnostic and other services six days a week, 12 hours a day. These are intended to relieve pressure on hospitals and emergency departments, eventually replacing many outpatient clinics.

The idea of shifting care into the community is not new. It has been advocated for over 30 years, including in the NHS white paper of 1997, the 2006 policy paper Our health, our care, our say, the NHS five-year forward view of 2014, and the NHS long-term plan of 2019.

Some progress has been made in this direction. For example, much of the care for people living with asthma and diabetes is now provided in local general practices. Many general practices already have large teams of doctors, nurses, pharmacists, physiotherapists and other staff who offer aspects of the wider “neighbourhood care” described in the new plan.

But what has not been achieved is having larger-scale primary care teams consistently available across the NHS. The new plan proposes new contracts and shifts of funding to enable wider change, and while welcome, these will be challenging to put into practice against a backdrop of major service pressures.

From analogue to digital

The plan emphasises strongly the need to extend the role of the NHS app, with it becoming the “doctor in your pocket” and the main route into NHS services. It proposes that the app holds your full patient record, enables you to book GP and hospital appointments and becomes a key source of healthcare advice.

This sounds very attractive. However, the devil will be in the detail. There are so many NHS IT systems to harmonise, and major data security and privacy issues to overcome.

Most critically, much attention must be given to sorting out basic NHS admin systems that are too often confusing and paper-based. This will entail lots of work with NHS clinical and administrative staff, changing long-standing ways of working, introducing new technology and adapting “the way we do things round here”.

Using AI to record doctor visits, understand test results and give health advice could really change how healthcare works. But this will take lots of time and money to train staff, try out new systems and put them in place. Also, people will need clear information about what to expect from their local health services in the future.

From sickness to prevention

England is getting sicker, and there are stark inequalities between the richest and the poorest.

To achieve the plan’s goal of empowering people to make healthier choices, robust cross-government action is essential across sectors, including housing, education and welfare. While some important measures such as the tobacco and vapes bill, plans to measure supermarkets’ sales of healthy foods, and the expansion of free school meals are included in the plan, others such as minimum alcohol pricing have been notably excluded.

Integrated care boards (ICBs), the regional bodies who plan and fund NHS services in England, and local councils will be vital in enabling these public health measures to be implemented. However, this will be difficult in the short to medium term as ICBs are being forced to merge, cut headcount and reorganise their work.

Making it work

For the ten-year plan to succeed, three key elements are essential.

First, there is an urgent need to set priorities. The public expects much swifter access to on-the-day GP appointments, an end to excessive waits in accident and emergency departments, and reductions in waiting lists for operations.

The Department of Health and Social Care must guide the NHS in which aspects of the plan are to be addressed first. If everything is a priority, nothing is a priority.

Second, implementation really matters. There is only so much management capacity, staff time, funding and goodwill to introduce new technologies and services. This government has already embarked on another “redisorganisation” of the oversight agency NHS England, and now plans to axe or merge a number of other national and local NHS bodies. NHS managers are vital to implementing the plan, but need to feel valued and supported, not denigrated as superfluous.

Finally, the plan is almost silent on the two most pressing needs for government health reform. Without a properly funded system of adult social care to support older people and those living with enduring mental health needs, it is hard to see how hospital care can be transformed.

And without an urgent and significant shift of resources to general practice and community services, neighbourhood health services will remain more of a dream than reality.




Read more:
NHS unveils ten-year plan to shift from treatment to prevention – here’s what needs to change to make that happen


The Conversation

Judith Smith receives funding from the National Institute for Health and Care Research for research and evaluation. Judith is Senior Visiting Fellow at the Health Foundation.

ref. NHS ten-year plan for England: what’s in it and what’s needed to make it work – https://theconversation.com/nhs-ten-year-plan-for-england-whats-in-it-and-whats-needed-to-make-it-work-260077

¿Por qué la diabetes tipo 2 sigue ganando la batalla?

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Arantxa Bujanda, Enfermera especializada en diabetes, Universidad Pública de Navarra

Un paciente de diabetes tipo 2 se mide los niveles de glucosa. Halfpoint/Shutterstock

Si le pidiera que pensara en alguien con diabetes, es probable que conozca a una persona en su círculo cercano. No es casualidad, ya que una de cada once personas la padece. Actualmente, hablamos de 589 millones de casos en el mundo, y la cifra sigue en aumento. La Federación Internacional de Diabetes estima que en 2050 los afectados podrían alcanzar los 852 millones.

Estamos ante una de las grandes epidemias del siglo XXI. Pero lo más alarmante es que, según los expertos, la diabetes tipo 2 podría prevenirse. Entonces, ¿por qué sigue aumentando sin control?

Un proceso silencioso

Para entender la diabetes tipo 2, primero hay que hablar de una hormona clave: la insulina. Su función es permitir que la glucosa entre en las células y se transforme en energía. En las personas con esta enfermedad, las células se vuelven resistentes a la insulina. Al principio, el páncreas aumenta su producción para compensarlo, pero con el tiempo se agota. Como resultado, la glucosa se acumula en la sangre, dando lugar a la diabetes tipo 2.

Este proceso ocurre de forma progresiva y silenciosa. Los primeros signos no generan síntomas evidentes, lo cual hace que muchas personas no sean conscientes de que la padecen hasta que acuden a una revisión médica o aparecen complicaciones.

Así nos influye lo que nos rodea

Cuando pensamos en la diabetes tipo 2, solemos imaginar a una persona mayor, con sobrepeso, sentada en un sofá y con una bolsa de comida basura en las manos. Y, aunque el estilo de vida influye, esta imagen es solo una parte de la historia.

Un concepto clave para comprender el origen de la diabetes tipo 2 es el exposoma. Con este nombre nos referimos al conjunto de factores ambientales a los que estamos expuestos a lo largo de la vida y que influyen en nuestra salud. No se trata únicamente de lo que comemos o del ejercicio que hacemos, sino de todo aquello que nos rodea y de cómo interactúa con nuestro cuerpo.




Leer más:
Los casos de diabetes tipo 1 aumentan en todo el mundo, pero cada vez los gestionamos mejor


Uno de los factores más determinantes es el llamado exposoma externo, que alude al entorno en el que vivimos. Imagine a una persona que reside en una gran ciudad, en un barrio con altos niveles de contaminación, bajos ingresos y un empleo con gran carga de estrés. Pues solo por el hecho de vivir allí, tiene un mayor riesgo de desarrollar diabetes tipo 2. Las investigaciones han demostrado que la exposición prolongada a la contaminación del aire puede alterar el metabolismo y aumentar la resistencia a la insulina.

Dentro de este contexto, existe un nivel más específico conocido como exposoma externo modificable, que abarca aquellos hábitos que sí podemos cambiar. Es aquí donde entran en juego la alimentación y la actividad física, los factores que tradicionalmente se han asociado con la diabetes tipo 2. Un consumo excesivo de azúcar eleva los niveles de glucosa en sangre, y la falta de ejercicio contribuye a la resistencia a la insulina. Sin embargo, estas elecciones individuales también están condicionadas por el entorno, las normas sociales y las oportunidades que cada persona tiene a su alcance.

Mirando al interior

Y, por último, el exposoma interno, aquello que ocurre dentro de nuestro cuerpo, también desempeña un papel fundamental. Un ejemplo clave es la microbiota intestinal, el conjunto de bacterias que habitan en nuestro sistema digestivo y que influyen en cómo procesamos los alimentos. Se ha demostrado que una microbiota alterada puede afectar la regulación del azúcar en sangre y aumentar el riesgo de resistencia a la insulina.

Asimismo, ciertos fármacos, como antibióticos y corticoides, pueden modificar el metabolismo de la glucosa y contribuir al desarrollo de la enfermedad.

El entorno favorece la aparición de la diabetes

Por lo tanto, la diabetes tipo 2 no es simplemente el resultado de malas decisiones personales, sino de una compleja interacción entre factores biológicos, ambientales y sociales. Comprender esta realidad es fundamental para diseñar estrategias de prevención eficaces y abordar la enfermedad desde una perspectiva más amplia.

Hasta ahora, hemos puesto el foco en la alimentación y el ejercicio físico porque son variables modificables y dependen de decisiones individuales. Sin embargo, ¿es suficiente centrarnos solo en la responsabilidad personal? La realidad es que vivimos en un entorno que favorece la aparición de la diabetes tipo 2.

En primer lugar, la comida poco saludable es más accesible y barata que los alimentos frescos. En segundo lugar, los automóviles, los ascensores, las largas jornadas laborales y el ocio digital han reducido drásticamente la actividad física. Y, por si fuera poco, el estrés crónico eleva el cortisol, favoreciendo la resistencia a la insulina. Por todo ello, la solución no puede recaer únicamente en el individuo.

Políticas que salvan vidas

Necesitamos estrategias a gran escala que aborden el problema desde la raíz. Es imprescindible implementar políticas que limiten la publicidad y el acceso a productos ultraprocesados, reduzcan el uso de azúcares añadidos y promuevan opciones saludables asequibles.

Además, el diseño urbano debe facilitar la movilidad activa: ciudades con más espacios peatonales, ciclovías seguras y acceso a áreas recreativas pueden marcar la diferencia en la actividad física cotidiana. La educación también juega un papel fundamental si se incluyen conocimientos sobre hábitos saludables y prevención.

Aún estamos a tiempo

Si no actuamos ahora, el impacto en la salud pública y en los sistemas sanitarios será devastador. Pero aún estamos a tiempo de cambiar la historia de la diabetes tipo 2.

Porque no se trata solo de sobrevivir, sino de adaptarnos de manera inteligente a un entorno que está jugando en nuestra contra. Como decía Darwin: “No sobrevive la especie más fuerte ni la más inteligente, sino la que mejor responde al cambio”. Ha llegado el momento de cambiar las reglas del juego.

The Conversation

Arantxa Bujanda no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. ¿Por qué la diabetes tipo 2 sigue ganando la batalla? – https://theconversation.com/por-que-la-diabetes-tipo-2-sigue-ganando-la-batalla-260235