Why the future of marijuana legalization remains hazy despite high public support

Source: The Conversation – USA – By William Garriott, Professor of Law, Politics and Society, Drake University

Cannabis plants are seen at Harborside Oakland Dispensary on Aug. 11, 2025, in Oakland, Calif. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Thousands of Americans will soon gather to celebrate April 20 – or “4/20” – the most important day of the year for cannabis enthusiasts.

But this year, a cloud of uncertainty will hang over these celebrations. After years of success, the movement to legalize recreational and medical cannabis has stalled.

It’s a moment unlike any that I have seen in the 12 years that I’ve been researching cannabis legalization as part of my broader interest in U.S. drug policy.

Not so long ago, the movement had so much momentum that nationwide cannabis legalization felt virtually inevitable. That momentum is now gone.

The strategy to legalize cannabis through ballot initiatives is no longer working. The coalition of supporters that made this strategy work has frayed, and new research is raising concerns about the health impact of regular cannabis use. All of this constitutes the most significant challenge to the movement since it went mainstream in the 21st century.

Years of success

As a social movement, cannabis legalization has been extremely successful. Since 2012, 24 states and Washington have legalized recreational cannabis use. Forty-nine states and Washington have legalized medical cannabis use, though programs vary from state to state.

While cannabis remains illegal at the federal level, changes have happened there, too.

The 2018 Farm Bill, for instance, legalized hemp, a non-psychoactive derivative of the cannabis plant used to make textiles, rope and other consumer goods. While it wasn’t lawmakers’ intent, entrepreneurs figured out how to make products from hemp that contain enough of the chemical compound tetrahydrocannabinol, or THC, to be psychoactive. This fueled growth of the hemp market, which in 2023 was valued at US$1.63 billion.

Additionally, the Biden administration in 2024 began the process of rescheduling cannabis under the Controlled Substances Act. It’s a course that has continued under the second Trump administration.

The scheduling system classifies substances based on accepted medical use and potential for abuse. Federal rescheduling would not legalize cannabis, but it would move it from the most restrictive Schedule I – which includes substances like heroin and LSD – to Schedule III, with substances like anabolic steroids, ketamine and codeine. It would recognize cannabis as having medical use.

A man in a cannabis store attends to a customer.
A budtender helps customers purchase marijuana at California Street Cannabis Company on Aug. 11, 2025, in San Francisco.
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Challenges emerge

With rescheduling still underway, it may seem odd to say that the legalization movement has stalled. But a closer look reveals significant challenges.

The biggest challenge can be found at the ballot box. The 2024 election was the legalization movement’s worst showing in years.

All three recreational legalization ballot measures failed. Only Nebraska’s medical legalization measures passed, but it has yet to be fully implemented due to ongoing political and legal challenges.

Then there’s the 2025 tax and spending package approved by Congress. When its new provisions go into effect later this year, they will dramatically alter the hemp market.

Many hemp products currently on shelves, like THC-infused beverages and gummies, will become illegal. Many businesses currently selling these products will be forced to close.

Some of this is already happening, as states like Tennessee and Iowa rush to pass restrictions on hemp products.

For instance, the dispensary closest to my university in Iowa has just closed. Once a growing business that employed 30 people, it was forced to shut down after new state laws significantly limited what they could sell. This crackdown on the hemp market is particularly significant in states like Iowa that have no legal market for recreational marijuana use and only a limited medical marijuana market.

No single reason for current slump

Several factors are driving these changes.

One is politics. While the vast majority of Americans support marijuana legalization, the approval is much higher among Democrats and independents than it is among Republicans.

Of the 26 states where recreational marijuana has not been legalized, 20 of them have state governments that are under total Republican control. Another four have Republican-controlled legislatures. Pennsylvania’s legislature is split between Republicans and Democrats. Only Hawaii has a Democrat-controlled state government that has not legalized recreational cannabis.

A man sitting at a desk is surrounded by people wearing white medical coats.
President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office on Dec. 18, 2025, before signing an executive order easing restrictions on marijuana.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

Then there is the health issue. A growing body of evidence is raising concerns about the negative impact of regular cannabis use that includes the risk of cannabis addiction, psychosis, anxiety and depression.

Researchers are also questioning cannabis’ efficacy as medicine. Several recent reviews have concluded that there is insufficient scientific evidence to support the therapeutic use of cannabis for most of the conditions for which it is consumed, such as insomnia and acute pain. A review of cannabis’s use for treating mental health conditions came to a similar conclusion.

Citing such evidence, The New York Times editorial board recently recanted some of its earlier support for legalization. The newspaper wrote, “The unfortunate truth is that the loosening of marijuana policies … has led to worse outcomes than many Americans expected,” adding, “It is time to acknowledge reality and change course.”

The coalition of supporters frays

Still another issue is conflict within the legalization movement itself, particularly between the business and activist wings.

The tension between these groups is long-standing, with activists often accusing members of industry of being more focused on money than justice. And as the cannabis industry has grown, these tensions have become more acute.

In 2022, for example, the pro-cannabis organization True Social Equity in Cannabis sued three Illinois cannabis companies for engaging in coordinated anticompetitive practices and violating federal antitrust laws. In court documents, they called the three companies the “Chicago cartel,” before voluntarily dismissing the case.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis used a similar strategy in 2024 in his successful campaign against the legalization of marijuana for recreational use in the state. He consistently criticized “corporate cannabis,” a catchall phrase often used by critics to describe the large cannabis companies that increasingly dominate state markets. He warned voters that the law would create a “weed cartel.”

Prominent cannabis activists like former Massachusetts regulator Shaleen Title have also called out corporate cannabis in their accounts of what’s wrong with the legalization movement.

In many ways, these challenges are the result of the movement’s earlier success. Making marijuana legal has meant more people trying it, more people studying it and more people making money from it.

The insights from the past 12 years could help inform whatever comes next. The fact that public support for legalization remains high suggests that a return to the days of blanket prohibition is unlikely.

Still, as the history of cannabis law and policy has shown, there are no guarantees.

The Conversation

William Garriott’s work has been supported by the Wenner-Gren Foundation for Anthropological Research.

ref. Why the future of marijuana legalization remains hazy despite high public support – https://theconversation.com/why-the-future-of-marijuana-legalization-remains-hazy-despite-high-public-support-279960

A Disneyland Paris, la géologie du Grand Nord mise en scène dans l’extension consacrée à la « Reine des Neiges »

Source: The Conversation – France in French (2) – By Elodie Pourret-Saillet, Enseignante-chercheuse en géologie structurale, UniLaSalle

Le nouveau « monde » du parc, avec ses montagnes en arrière-plan. Elodie Pourret-Saillet, Fourni par l’auteur

Le dimanche 29 mars a eu lieu l’inauguration en grande pompe du nouvel espace World of Frozen, inspiré de la franchise de films d’animation éponyme, dans le parc secondaire de Disneyland Paris rebaptisé pour l’occasion Disney Adventure World. Mais derrière cette extension historique du parc parisien, dans laquelle a été recréé un fjord et une « Montagne du Nord » de 36 mètres de haut, ce sont les objets géologiques emblématiques de l’environnement scandinave et alpin qui sont mis en avant et ainsi rendus visibles pour le grand public.


Rappelez-vous le film La Reine des Neige, dans lequel après avoir révélé ses pouvoirs, le personnage principal, Elsa, se réfugie dans un palais de glace qu’elle bâtit au creux de la Montagne du Nord. C’est cette Montagne du Nord, plus vraie que nature et culminant à 36 mètres de haut, qui a été recréée en surplomb du « Monde de la Reine des Neiges ». Si cet élément de décor n’a bien sûr rien de naturel dans sa fabrication, il reprend l’ensemble des formes et des types de roches présents dans la représentation imaginaire de l’environnement nordique et alpin.

Ainsi, le premier élément visible pour le visiteur qui découvre le World of Frozen est cette montagne sous la forme d’un pic pyramidal presque parfait. Cette représentation du pic montagneux « idéal » est directement inspirée du sommet du Cervin dans les Alpes Suisses (ou Matterhorn en allemand).

L’univers de la Reine des Neiges, la nuit.
Elodie Pourret-Saillet, Fourni par l’auteur

Le Cervin est une montagne devenue emblématique depuis les débuts de l’alpinisme et sa première ascension en 1865. La forme pyramidale du Cervin est issue de la combinaison entre l’érosion différentielle, c’est-à-dire l’érosion qui affecte différemment les roches en fonction de leur résistance relative, et la structure tectonique même des Alpes. Le Cervin est situé au centre de la chaîne alpine au cœur d’une large nappe de charriage, c’est-à-dire un ensemble géologique qui a subi un large déplacement latéral : la nappe de la Dent Blanche. Les roches qui composent le Cervin sont essentiellement des gneiss et des granites dans sa partie basale – des roches très dures – tandis que sa petite partie sommitale est constituée de paragneiss et de schistes bien plus facilement érodés. Les gneiss et granites très durs qui composent sa base ont permis l’émergence d’arêtes très nettes, qui ont amenés à cette forme pyramidale aujourd’hui caractéristique et reconnaissable entre toutes.

Le Cervin, vu depuis le village de Zermatt.
Wikimedia, Marcel Wiesweg, CC BY-SA

Volcan éteint et légende arthurienne

Une fois passé ce premier sommet emblématique, le regard du visiteur se déplace vers un relief qui s’adoucit : une succession de collines et de plateaux dont la base est clairement inspirée par les orgues basaltiques.

Ce paysage de collines douces et de pentes herbeuses qui surplombent un alignement basaltique et des habitations typiques est comparable au relief volcanique d’Arthur’s Seat à Édimbourg, en Écosse. Au bout du Royal Mile et jouxtant le palais de Holyrood, le relief d’un ancien volcan marque le paysage écossais. Cet ancien relief volcanique présente à sa base des orges basaltiques typiques, issus du refroidissement rapide des coulées volcaniques, et des sommets herbeux adoucis.




À lire aussi :
Images de science : d’où viennent les orgues basaltiques ?


Moins connu en France que le Cervin, Arthur’s Seat (ou Trône d’Arthur en traduction littérale) n’en est pas moins emblématique, faisant directement référence à la légende arthurienne.

A la différence du Cervin, à composition essentiellement gneissique et granitique, Arthur’s Seat est donc de composition volcanique basaltique. C’est dans cette juxtaposition entre un soubassement volcanique, sur lequel s’adosse un village typique, et un sommet pyramidal que vient s’ancrer la reconstitution des reliefs emblématiques du land. Dans la nature, il serait peu probable de retrouver un sommet gneissique surplombant directement une coulée volcanique. En revanche, la juxtaposition de sommets mythiques par leur forme fonctionne, car elle fait appel à notre imaginaire tout en s’appuyant sur des images bien ancrées dans les représentations partagées de la montagne et des paysages nordiques.

Le paysage d’Arthur’s Seat, à Édimbourg, en Ecosse.
Wikimedia, Kim Traynor, CC BY-SA

Le fjord, vallée mythique de Scandinavie

L’ensemble du nouvel espace World of Frozen, qui s’étend au pied de la Montagne du Nord s’articule autour d’un fjord recréé de toutes pièces, offrant aux visiteurs un nouveau lieu de spectacle.

Le fjord est une figure géomorphologique majeure des côtes scandinaves, issue de la combinaison complexe entre l’érosion glaciaire et la remise en eau des vallées. C’est une avancée de la mer à l’intérieur des terres, entourée de reliefs escarpés façonnés par l’érosion glaciaire.

Lors de la dernière glaciation, la calotte glaciaire descendait très au sud depuis les pôles. Les glaciers creusent alors, partout en Europe de l’Ouest, les typiques vallées glaciaires en U ou vallées en auges, caractérisées par de grandes parois abruptes et un fond plat. Ces vallées sont également très profondes en raison de la baisse simultanée du niveau des mers et des océans, qui crée un déséquilibre : les fleuves et les glaciers doivent creuser davantage pour retrouver le niveau de base des mers, dont l’eau est alors retenue sur les calottes polaires.

Lorsque la dernière glaciation prend fin il y a environ 10 000 ans, les glaciers fondent partout en Europe. L’eau, désormais sous forme liquide, entraîne une remontée du niveau des mers et des océans. Survient alors la mise en eau des vallées glaciaires abandonnées qui deviennent des fjords en Scandinavie. Mais si les fjords sont essentiellement présents sur les côtes de la Norvège et de l’Islande, ils existent aussi bien plus près de nous en France, on les appelle abers en Bretagne et calanques en Provence.

Les trolls, ou le folklore de l’érosion

Les trolls sont présents partout dans le Monde de la Reine des Neiges : dans l’attraction Frozen Ever After bien sûr, mais aussi sous forme de personnage dans le land et même disponibles à l’achat sous forme de figurines interactives à ramener chez soi. Dans La Reine des Neiges, les trolls sont des créatures rondes, trapues, qui se confondent volontiers avec des rochers. Ce n’est pas une invention fortuite des scénaristes, mais le reflet fidèle d’une croyance très ancienne du folklore scandinave, elle-même enracinée dans l’observation des paysages de granite érodé de Norvège, de Suède et du Danemark.

Le Trolltunga, toponyme norvégien signifiant « la langue du troll », est une proéminence de falaise dans le sud-ouest de la Norvège.
Wikimedia, Steinar Talmoen, CC BY-SA

La légende veut que les trolls, surpris par la lumière du soleil, soient transformés en pierre. C’est pourquoi, partout en Norvège, des formations rocheuses arrondies évoquent leurs silhouettes : une main, un dos, un gros nez. Pour les populations nordiques, ces blocs de granite aux formes anthropomorphes n’étaient pas le fruit du hasard géologique, ils étaient les restes pétrifiés de créatures nocturnes trop lentes à regagner leurs cavernes.

La réalité géologique de ces formes est tout aussi remarquable que le mythe. Les granites, roches magmatiques intrusives formées en profondeur par cristallisation lente d’un magma, présentent des fractures naturelles qui les découpent en blocs lors de leur mise en place. L’altération, sous l’action du gel, de l’eau, de la végétation et des glaciers, attaque préférentiellement les angles et les arêtes. C’est le phénomène d’érosion en boule : les coins disparaissent les premiers, et le bloc cubique se transforme progressivement en boule. On parle alors de boules de granite, ou parfois de chaos granitiques lorsqu’elles s’accumulent en amas spectaculaires.

La géologie nordique à la portée du grand public

Avec l’ouverture de son nouvel espace consacré à la Reine des Neiges, Disney s’inspire une nouvelle fois des paysages et de la géologie qui nous entourent pour ancrer ses récits et ses décors dans un imaginaire partagé. Sans le savoir, le visiteur qui franchit les portes de cet univers est immergé dans un condensé d’objets géologiques qui font appel aux interactions entre tectonique, volcanisme et processus érosifs à l’œuvre dans le nord de l’Europe.




À lire aussi :
Disneyland Paris, un parc d’attractions… inspiré de merveilles géologiques réelles


Le monde de la « Reine des Neiges », en reconstituant une montagne enneigée de trente-six mètres de hauteur surplombant un fjord, offre ainsi aux visiteurs une forme d’expérience géologique. Les enfants qui découvriront le château de glace d’Elsa, les falaises sombres de basalte et les trolls de pierre marcheront ainsi, sans le savoir, sur les traces du Cervin, des fjords norvégiens, d’Arthur’s Seat et des granites de Scandinavie !

The Conversation

Les auteurs ne travaillent pas, ne conseillent pas, ne possèdent pas de parts, ne reçoivent pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’ont déclaré aucune autre affiliation que leur organisme de recherche.

ref. A Disneyland Paris, la géologie du Grand Nord mise en scène dans l’extension consacrée à la « Reine des Neiges » – https://theconversation.com/a-disneyland-paris-la-geologie-du-grand-nord-mise-en-scene-dans-lextension-consacree-a-la-reine-des-neiges-279786

Heated Rivalry : quand le revisionnage devient un rituel d’appartenance

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Myriam Brouard, Assistant Professor, Telfer School of Management, L’Université d’Ottawa/University of Ottawa

On connaît le binge-watching. Mais autour de Heated Rivalry, le phénomène va plus loin : les fans ne se contentent pas de regarder, ils reviennent, encore et encore. Ce visionnement répété, revendiqué et partagé, révèle une expérience bien plus qu’un simple divertissement.


J’ai consacré mon doctorat aux logiques du streaming et aux excès joyeux du visionnement en rafale. Autour de Heated Rivalry, c’est du jamais vu. Ce qui frappe, ce n’est pas seulement la vitesse du visionnement, c’est la répétition. Quatre visionnements en moins d’une semaine ? Les fans ne le cachent pas. Ils en font un langage commun.

Avec la Dre Mélissa Langevin, pédiatre et doyenne adjointe à la Faculté de médecine de l’Université d’Ottawa, nous analysons ce phénomène dans le cadre d’une recherche en cours, à partir d’une analyse des interactions en ligne (une approche netnographique).

Notre corpus médiatique rassemble plus de 4000 publications (articles, entrevues, communiqués) et interactions publiques sur TikTok, Instagram et Facebook, qui contextualisent la réception de la série. L’objectif est de comprendre ce phénomène, qui produit des effets presque cliniques. Au-delà de l’intensité des réactions, nous analysons la manière dont la série devient progressivement une ressource d’appartenance, de sécurité et de confiance pour les publics.




À lire aussi :
Heated Rivalry : quand la joie queer perturbe la culture masculine du hockey


Du binge au « reheat »

Les fans ont un terme qui dit tout : « reheat », comme on ravive une braise. Il s’agit d’une forme de « revisionnage 2.0 », marquée par son intensité et sa dimension collective. Les gens partagent des scènes « confort », comparent leurs « épisodes baume », et transforment la série en point de retour. Des études en psychologie des médias suggèrent que des programmes préférés peuvent procurer une expérience de réassurance et d’appartenance.

On voit aussi des formes d’appropriation durables : certains fans se font tatouer des citations comme « Yes, it’s scary, but you are brave » (« Oui, ça fait peur, mais tu es courageux ») ou « You look pretty » (« Tu es beau ») et, plus encore, la silhouette des deux personnages au coucher du soleil. Dans un contexte sociopolitique polarisé en recul accéléré sur les enjeux d’équité, de diversité et d’inclusion (EDI), cette répétition n’est pas anodine : c’est une manière d’inscrire physiquement une promesse de sécurité et de futur.

Le pouvoir du « happily ever after »

Un élément aide à comprendre ce retour vers la série : sa structure fondée sur une promesse de bonheur à long terme. Notre corpus démontre que dans beaucoup de récits queers grand public, ou avec des personnages neurodivergents, la relation est associée au danger, à la honte, à la perte, ou à une forme de punition narrative. Ici, l’histoire se termine sur une promesse crédible de futur. Pas une fin naïve.

Cette promesse change la nature de la consommation. Quand une histoire propose un avenir plutôt qu’une issue tragique, elle devient un lieu d’appartenance. En allant au-delà du « symbole facile », elle agit comme un baume : des personnages complexes vivent des conséquences réelles, traversent la peur, la vulnérabilité, la pression d’un univers hyper masculin, mais avancent vers une identité pleinement assumée. Les fans le disent clairement : une joie queer qui n’est ni effacée ni réduite au tragique, et qui, surtout, devient réparatrice.

Quand la circulation devient du soutien

Ce qui fascine, c’est que la réception dépasse l’expérience individuelle. Sur TikTok, Instagram et ailleurs, le partage, le remix, le commentaire et le revisionnage fonctionnent comme des pratiques de soutien social. Cela rejoint des travaux montrant que, pour des jeunes LGBTQ, les réseaux sociaux peuvent renforcer l’appartenance. Des gens se répondent, se valident, se rassurent — et ainsi, l’expérience devient collective.

Les échanges sont marqués par une forme de bienveillance. Dans un fil de discussion sur TikTok, un homme gai écrit que rien n’est plus terrifiant qu’un vestiaire rempli d’hommes nus, non pas par désir, mais par peur d’être repéré et humilié. Ce qu’on observe ensuite, c’est de l’empathie face à une peur bien réelle.


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Le sport comme baromètre

Le sport, parce qu’il est encore fortement normatif, agit comme un révélateur. Lorsqu’une histoire d’amour gai est célébrée et amplifiée collectivement, cela contribue à faire évoluer les représentations. Sans effacer les risques, nos données suggèrent que la visibilité atténue la solitude.

D’abord, elle met des mots sur ce qui est souvent vécu en silence dans le sport, l’hypervigilance et la nécessité de se cacher. Ensuite, ces récits déclenchent des réponses d’empathie, de soutien, et d’alliance, ce qui transforme l’isolement en reconnaissance collective. Enfin, leur circulation — à travers les commentaires, les partages et les remix — ne se contente pas de les diffuser : elle construit un langage commun et des points de ralliement, donnant accès à une communauté, et donc à une forme de sécurité sociale symbolique et affective, même si celle-ci reste fragile et que les risques structurels demeurent.

Le témoignage vidéo (TikTok) de la joueuse de hockey Hilary Knight illustre l’enjeu : elle explique qu’après des années, la série l’a fait se sentir vue et légitime. L’appartenance qu’elle y a trouvée montre à quel point la conversation dépasse le cercle des fans et devient un signal social plus large.

Un baume, pas une solution

Aucune série ne remplace toutefois des changements institutionnels concrets dans le sport, les écoles et les milieux de travail, qu’il s’agisse de lutter contre l’exclusion, l’intimidation ou la discrimination. Le soutien culturel est essentiel, mais il ne suffit pas à lui seul à transformer les structures qui perpétuent ces risques.

Quand le premier ministre Mark Carney a déclaré que la série était un exemple de valeurs canadiennes, il a illustré que ce récit a dépassé le fandom pour devenir un repère culturel public.

Ce signal social n’est peut-être pas curatif, mais il compte : il rappelle que l’appartenance n’est pas un luxe. L’expérience collective de Heated Rivalry montre qu’elle constitue une condition de survie et de bien-être, portée par une promesse crédible d’avenir.

La Conversation Canada

Les auteurs ne travaillent pas, ne conseillent pas, ne possèdent pas de parts, ne reçoivent pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’ont déclaré aucune autre affiliation que leur organisme de recherche.

ref. Heated Rivalry : quand le revisionnage devient un rituel d’appartenance – https://theconversation.com/heated-rivalry-quand-le-revisionnage-devient-un-rituel-dappartenance-275063

The IMF enjoys preferred creditor status: why it shouldn’t be the judge when it comes to other lenders

Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Misheck Mutize, Post Doctoral Researcher, Graduate School of Business (GSB), University of Cape Town

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) should not be an arbiter of discussions about which other multilateral financial institutions should qualify for preferred creditor status. This is because the IMF is a direct beneficiary of the creditor hierarchy policy.

A preferred creditor status gives multilateral development institutions priority for the repayment of their loans should a borrower run into financial difficulties. This means preferred creditors have no non-performing loans on their balance sheets. This preserves their low-cost funding channels. Non-preferred creditors have high risk exposure and borrowing costs.

The events leading to Fitch Ratings’ downgrade in January 2026 of the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and the rating agency’s subsequent withdrawal of the bank’s ratings illustrate this IMF conflict.

Fitch acted on a statement by the IMF declaring that Afreximbank was not treated as a preferred creditor in the finalisation of Ghana’s debt restructuring.

The effect of the IMF’s statement was to throw into doubt Afreximbank’s preferred creditor status, which it qualifies for by convention and through its member shareholders.

The IMF’s interpretation was that the agreement between Ghana and Afreximbank was consistent with the comparability of treatment under the official creditors’ committee framework. Official creditors are governments, government agencies, or international organisations such as the IMF and the World Bank. Comparability of treatment is the principle that debtor countries must restructure all external debt on broadly equivalent terms. This is aimed at ensuring fairness and equal sharing of losses when a country defaults.

The official creditors committee was formed in terms of the G20 Common Framework for Debt Treatments. The framework was created by the G20 to enable low-income countries that have hit financial trouble to restructure their debts, working with creditors.

Based on my work on rating agencies and African countries, I argue that the IMF’s statement on Afreximbank should not have been treated as a fact. In addition, no attempt was made to verify the specific terms with Ghana or Afreximbank. Fitch admitted in its rating report that it did not have details of the loan terms.

And based on the same agreement between Ghana and Afreximbank, GCR, a subsidiary of Moody’s, took a different view, affirming Afreximbank’s globally comparable ratings. Most importantly, GCR revised the bank’s rating from “rating watch evolving” to stable, arguing that Afreximbank’s preferred creditor status was strong.

Despite the differences in interpretation of the agreement between Afreximbank and Ghana, the IMF statement triggered a chain reaction. Fitch Ratings first downgraded the bank’s rating and later completely withdrew its rating of the bank.

But beyond the technical jargon of debt restructuring lies a deeper, more troubling reality. The IMF is not a neutral arbiter on any discussions relating to preferred creditor status. It is itself a direct beneficiary of the very creditor hierarchy it is pushing to maintain as policy.

Ghana and Afreximbank agreement

In December 2025, Afreximbank and Ghana announced that they had reached an agreement on a US$750 million facility.

The details of the agreement were not disclosed. But both Ghana and Afreximbank said they were happy with it.

Afreximbank’s preferred creditor status is not just a matter of convention. It is granted to the bank by its member shareholders.

If Ghana had treated Afreximbank’s loan facility as commercial, it would have bundled it together with other commercial lenders in the restructuring. Eurobond holders, for example, took a nominal 37% reduction in the value of what they had lent Ghana.

The ‘baby multilateral’ prejudice

The Ghana-Afreximbank case is one example of how conflicted the Bretton Woods institutions – the IMF and the World Bank Group – are when they are engaging on matters of global financing. This conflict of interest is at the heart of key challenges bedevilling global financial governance.

The IMF, together with the Paris Club (an informal group of official creditors), has long treated African multilateral financial institutions such as Afreximbank as second-class entities.

Their associate economists have dismissively referred to African multilateral financial institutions as complicating debt restructuring by claiming to be preferred creditors. Analysts also prejudicially referenced African multilateral banks as “baby multilaterals” relative to the size of IMF and the World Bank.

They have strongly resisted any suggestion that African multilaterals should be accorded status equal to the World Bank or the IMF, or even that they should be allowed to use the term “multilateral” development banks.

But the opposite could be true. Small multilaterals need the preferred creditor status more than Bretton Woods institutions. This is because the status is a strategic advantage.

Concessional lending argument is flawed

The IMF’s justification for why African multilateral banks should be denied preferred creditor status often sounds reasonable on the surface. It suggests that this status should be reserved for institutions that lend on highly concessional terms, with long maturities and low interest rates.

By this logic, African multilaterals do not quality for the same protection because they lend at slightly higher interest rates relative to bigger institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF. But this argument is fundamentally flawed for two reasons.

First, preferred creditor status is not a reward for concessionality, it is a functional necessity for any multilateral lender that must recycle funds across multiple countries. The function of a multilateral development bank is to take wholesale risk so that its members do not have to. Size and concessionality – more favourable terms compared to commercial lenders – are not the criteria. Credibility and a developmental role are.

Second, if the IMF genuinely wanted African multilaterals to grow and lend at more concessional rates, it would have supported their access to resources. For example, through its quota system, the IMF constrained the 2021 reallocation of unused Special Drawing Rights that had been proposed for rechannelling to African multilateral financial institutions.

The Special Drawing Right is not a currency and derives its value based on a basket of currencies comprising the US dollar, the euro, the Chinese renminbi, the Japanese yen, and the British pound sterling.

Of the US$650 billion in available Special Drawing Rights, it imposed a limit of just US$15 billion for allocation across all multilateral development banks. The African Development Bank was the only African multilateral financial institution that accessed the Special Drawing Rights fund.

The argument was technical. But the effect was political – keep African institutions small and dependent, and then point to their small size as a reason to deny them equal status. That is not neutrality but gatekeeping.

What needs to change

The IMF demands that African multilaterals prove their creditworthiness without preferred creditor status, while the IMF itself would likely see its own credit rating downgraded if it were treated as a common creditor. The IMF enjoys preferred creditor status not because it is the largest or most concessional, but because the system has been designed to protect it. It can thus not credibly adjudicate on whether others deserve it.

This needs to change in the following ways.

First, the global financial architecture must confront legitimate issues affecting developing countries and their institutions with neutrality. Creditors should establish clear, transparent and consistent criteria for preferred creditor status that apply equally to all multilateral lenders across the globe.

Second, rating agencies must stop treating IMF statements as presumptively correct, especially when the IMF has a direct stake in the outcome.

Lastly, African governments and their multilateral banks must collectively challenge the “baby multilateral” narrative, not by begging for recognition but by building alternative mechanisms.

If this does not change, the global financial architecture will remain a a two-tier system with the World Bank, IMF and their associates at the top and African-led institutions holding the bottom.

The Conversation

Misheck Mutize is affiliated with the African Union – African Peer Review Mechanism as a Lead Expert on credit ratings

ref. The IMF enjoys preferred creditor status: why it shouldn’t be the judge when it comes to other lenders – https://theconversation.com/the-imf-enjoys-preferred-creditor-status-why-it-shouldnt-be-the-judge-when-it-comes-to-other-lenders-280509

About half of young Americans can’t name a single Holocaust site, repeating a pattern of ignorance seen in postwar Germany

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By Daniela R. P. Weiner, Teaching Assistant Professor of the First Year Experience and Humanities, Stevens Institute of Technology

Irene Fogel Weiss holds a photograph of her mother and brothers, who were killed during the Holocaust, during a ceremony at the U.S. Capitol on April 14, 2026, in Washington. Heather Diehl/Getty Images

In 2025, 48% of Americans ages 18-29 could not name a single concentration or death camp, according to a survey by the nonprofit Conference on Jewish Material Claims Against Germany, which works to secure compensation and restitution for Holocaust survivors.

Another 53% of surveyed Americans said that they had encountered Holocaust “denial or distortion while on social media.”

Given their ages, approximately 70% of living Holocaust survivors will likely die by 2035. As they do, more and more people will never hear firsthand experiences about the atrocities Nazis perpetuated during the genocide of European Jews.

My research shows that Holocaust education and awareness, though, doesn’t always follow a linear path.

A large brick tower is seen in front of another tower and barbed wire fence.
The grounds of the Auschwitz concentration camp in Oswiecim, Poland, in April 2026.
Klaudia Radecka/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Teaching a dark chapter

In my 2024 book, “Teaching a Dark Chapter: History Books and the Holocaust in Italy and the Germanys”, I study how Holocaust education evolved in East Germany, West Germany and Italy from the 1940s through the 1980s. In particular, I focus on the content of history textbooks that schools used for middle school students.

I also explore how two antisemitic incidents, one in 1959-60 and then another in 1977, revealed West German students’ lack of Holocaust knowledge.

Both times, international and domestic West German news outlets expressed alarm about students’ ignorance.

These antisemitic incidents also led to a series of educational reforms, in which educational leaders affirmed the need for Holocaust education and specified how educators should teach about the Holocaust.

The ‘swastika epidemic’

All of the synagogues in Cologne, Germany, were either destroyed or badly damaged during the Nazi pogroms of 1938, sometimes called Kristallnacht, or the “Night of the Broken Glass.”

The prominent, historic Roonstrasse synagogue was among the badly damaged Jewish houses of worship and was one of the few synagogues in West Germany to be rebuilt following World War II. In September 1959, West German Chancellor Konrad Adenauer attended a high-profile ceremony when the synagogue’s reconstruction was complete.

But then on Christmas Day of that year, Roonstrasse was defaced with antisemitic graffiti.

Two 25-year-old men were arrested for the vandalism. They testified during their 1960 trial that they never learned about Nazism in school. At the time, West Germany had vague guidelines on how to teach students about the Nazis and the Holocaust.

Historian James Loeffler has challenged whether these arrested men were actually responsible for the vandalism. He argues that the Soviet KGB actually drew the swastikas in order to discredit West Germany.

Regardless, following the Roonstrasse defacement, a wave of additional antisemitic vandalism spread throughout West Germany and other places, including the United States. The press called this trend the “swastika epidemic.”

Many people attributed the rise in antisemitic activity to a lack of education about the Nazi period. They questioned what West German students were learning about their country’s recent past.

New guidelines on how to teach Nazism

The swastika epidemic wasn’t happening in isolation.

In April 1959, the TV documentary “Blick auf unsere Jugend,” meaning “Focus on Our Youth”, focused on a class of West German high school students. Very few of them knew how many Jews were killed by the Nazis.

The negative media coverage coincided with representatives of German and international Jewish organizations meeting with the West German federal president, Theodor Heuss, regarding the antisemitic vandalism and the failures of the West German education system to teach about Nazism.

A committee of West German state cultural representatives called the Kultusministerkonferenz, or KMK, began issuing new guidelines in 1960 and again in 1962 about how to teach about Nazism in schools.

The West German federal states were instructed to examine how Nazism and what we now know as the Holocaust – the term was not used at the time – was depicted in school textbooks. Feedback was then provided to the textbook publishers.

How books were revised

I analyzed many versions of the same middle school history textbook called “Kletts geschichtliches Unterrichtswerk Ausgabe B,” which translates into “Klett’s Historical Instructional Materials Version B.”

Between 1959 and 1960, the textbook authors completely revised a subsection on “Terror and Crimes,” which examined how the Nazis murdered disabled people, as well as how the Nazis persecuted and murdered Jews.

The subsection tripled in size between the 1959 and 1960 textbook editions. The new version also included important new information, such as that the Nazis murdered an estimated 6 million Jews.

Previous editions had used generalizations like “many million,” without providing actual numbers.

A second controversy

Seventeen years later, in 1977, a West German teacher named Dieter Bossmann published a widely publicized study that offered more detail on the widespread ignorance among West German students, at every level.

Some students admitted to knowing almost nothing about Hitler. Some said relatively positive things about Hitler. One student thought that the Nazis had killed tens of thousands of Jews. Another thought that 16 million Jews had been killed.

The West German news magazine Der Spiegel observed at the time that the issue was perhaps not so much what students were learning, but rather how they were being taught. Although West German textbooks had been revised in the 1960s, somehow there was a disconnect between the textbook page and students’ understanding.

The KMK issued a new resolution in April 1978 that called for new curricular material for schools.

After this, more West German teachers began to prioritize an active teaching model. They encouraged students to analyze primary sources and participate in experiential learning activities, such as visiting concentration camp memorials and conducting local history research.

A man with short white hair, a black jacket and backpack and kippah on his head stands in front of a brick wall that says 4 block.
An Auschwitz camp building in the Auschwitz Museum, the former Nazi concentration camp in Poland, is seen during an educational event marking Yom HaShoah, or Holocaust Memorial Day, on April 14, 2026.
Dominika Zarzycka/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Remembering history

Holocaust education in West Germany was not perfect after 1978 – or any time since.

For example, Deutsche Welle, Germany’s public news broadcaster, quoted a Berlin history teacher saying in 2023 that among his students, “Adolf Hitler is known by most; the term National Socialism too. Some of them also know about the Holocaust, but knowledge is selective and it contains many blank spots.”

An estimated 18% of German adults incorrectly said in 2025 that 2 million or fewer Jews were killed during the Holocaust.

My particular focus on textbooks and curricular guidelines, though, demonstrates that sometimes, knowledge gaps lead to leaps forward.

Today, in part because of these developments, it’s mandatory to teach about the Holocaust in all federal states in Germany.

In the U.S., Holocaust education requirements are determined at the state level, and not all states provide Holocaust education guidance or mandates. If the West German case shows anything, I think, it is that guidance on teaching history should be continuously updated and reiterated.

The Conversation

Daniela R. P. Weiner has received funding from the Jack, Joseph and Morton Mandel Center for Advanced Holocaust Studies at the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum, the German-American Fulbright Commission, the German Historical Institute, Washington, DC, the Leibniz Institute for Educational Media | Georg Eckert Institute, the Carolina Center for Jewish Studies, the Stanford Graduate School of Education, and the Department of History at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. She is also affiliated with the Association for Jewish Studies.

ref. About half of young Americans can’t name a single Holocaust site, repeating a pattern of ignorance seen in postwar Germany – https://theconversation.com/about-half-of-young-americans-cant-name-a-single-holocaust-site-repeating-a-pattern-of-ignorance-seen-in-postwar-germany-278507

Trump sidelined Congress’ authority over war on Iran – and lawmakers allowed it, extending a 75-year trend

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Sarah Burns, Associate Professor of Political Science, Rochester Institute of Technology; Institute for Humane Studies

Congress has not used its constitutionally granted power to influence the war in Iran. Bloomberg Creative via Getty Images

Lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives set April 21, 2026, as the date to hear from and question top Pentagon officials Adm. Brad Cooper, the head of U.S. Central Command, and Gen. Dagvin R.M. Anderson, head of U.S. Africa Command, about the war in Iran. But Republican legislators put off the hearing for a month, giving up – for now – the opportunity to exercise oversight of the war.

Adam Smith, the top Democratic member of the House Armed Services Committee, told The New York Times, “We are six weeks into this conflict. And we still haven’t gotten a public briefing from anyone in the administration about the war.”

President Donald Trump’s military campaign against the Iranian regime is currently in a ceasefire. Despite the low approval rating of the war, the president has not drawn the conflict to a close, and the result of the operation is so far unclear.

The postponed hearing was only one example of how Congress has been noticeably meek about the war, with most Republicans killing the many Democratic efforts to exercise constitutionally granted power over engaging in such military conflicts. For the fourth time, the Senate on April 16, 2026, rejected a war powers resolution.

As scholars who research war powers and have a book coming out about President Barack Obama’s decision-making about the Afghan war, we know that the reluctance of Congress to assert its power is, in fact, history repeating itself, as is the president’s unilateral action.

A man standing at a lectern flanked by flags, pointing into the audience of raised hands.
President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth conduct a news conference in the White House briefing room about the war in Iran on April 6, 2026.
Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images

Historically meek Congress

Article 1 of the U.S. Constitution gives Congress the power to declare war, not the president. But most modern presidents and their legal counsel have asserted that Article 2 of the Constitution allows the president to use the military in certain situations without prior congressional approval – and have acted on that, sending troops into conflicts from Panama to Libya with no regard for Congress’ will.

Based on the 1973 War Powers Resolution – passed over President Richard Nixon’s veto – the president has an obligation to inform Congress about his actions within 48 hours of initiating military action and requires him to seek legislative authorization if the military operation will last over 60 days.

Since its passage, presidents have dutifully informed Congress within the 48-hour window when they unilaterally initiate military operations. Typically, they use the following language: “Pursuant to” their power as commander in chief and chief executive, they are initiating an operation.

Yet presidents since Nixon have never formally acknowledged the constitutionality of the War Powers Resolution. They have, however, mentioned it in their letters to Congress about their actions, and for the most part they have abided by its restrictions. So language is crucial and presidents tend to use the phrase “consistent with” the War Powers Resolution when they inform Congress about military operations.

The second Trump administration has broken with that standard. In Trump’s message to Congress about the Iran war, sent on March 2 2026, he did not acknowledge the War Powers Resolution or the Constitution, let alone pay lip service to either.

Instead, Trump has sidestepped the traditional use of the War Powers Resolution – and avoided the congressional oversight that comes with it – by relying on executive orders to convey his intent to use military power against the Iranian regime. That move, whether legal or not, has provided the president with a great deal of freedom to decide what the military can do, what tools they can use to do it and how long they can do it. His decision to send another carrier group and the addition of thousands of U.S. troops to the region is just the latest example.

Congress has proved incapable or unwilling to check this presidential unilateralism. Shortly after the start of the military campaign against Iran, Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy introduced war powers legislation to constrain Trump that failed to pass the Senate. In the House on March 5, members narrowly rejected a resolution to impede a broader or longer operation.

To a meaningful extent, we are watching history repeat itself: Over the past seven decades during times of war, members of Congress have not wanted to act, and presidents have not wanted to ask permission.

From alacrity to deference

Presidents Woodrow Wilson and Franklin D. Roosevelt made their case for war and obtained a formal declaration from Congress within three days in 1917 and within the same afternoon in 1941, respectively.

Since the start of the Korean War, however, members of Congress have demonstrated more deference and less assertiveness.

In Korea, President Truman did not get congressional authorization for the war.

Following North Korea’s invasion of the South in June 1950, Truman bypassed Congress, making his case for war to the United Nations Security Council. In July 1950, United Nations Security Council Resolution 84 “authorized the United States to establish and lead a unified command comprised of all military forces from UN member states, and authorized that command to operate under the UN flag.”

A soldier with a gun ordering soldiers on the ground to do something.
U.S. soldiers in 1951 order Chinese prisoners to the ground outside Seoul, South Korea, before U.S. and U.N. troops took the city.
AFP via Getty Images

Truman’s rhetoric about American combat operations on the Korean peninsula being part of a U.N. “police action” became increasingly tenuous, but he managed to avoid seeking congressional permission. In doing so, Truman created a precedent in which a congressional declaration of war was no longer necessary for the American military to carry out combat operations. Sen. Robert Taft, a Republican, opposed this lack of congressional deliberation, declaring that Truman’s actions represented a “usurpation” of the war powers authority.“ But Congress did nothing to stop the war as the tactical and strategic picture in Korea stalemated.

In Vietnam, in the aftermath of the 1964 Gulf of Tonkin incident – a purported attack by the North Vietnamese on American naval vessels that did not, in fact, occur – President Lyndon Johnson used the alleged crisis to push for congressional authorization for the escalation of force in Southeast Asia.

Johnson presented the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution to Congress, which quickly passed it. The resolution allowed Johnson to freely escalate American military involvement in Southeast Asia with a vague authorization to engage militarily as he saw fit, in contrast to the very clear declarations of war that came before it for previous wars.

Col. Harry G. Summers, who wrote an influential strategic analysis of the Vietnam War, points to the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution as evidence that the relevant actors – the executive, Congress and the military – failed to foresee the scale of the course of action they were embarking on.

The resolution significantly increased the president’s freedom of action – and freedom from oversight – and marked a major step toward the Americanization and escalation of the war in July 1965. Despite the deeply troubled engagement in South Vietnam and the passage of the War Powers Resolution, we still see presidents acting alone, without consulting members of Congress, let alone getting authorization.

Refusing responsibility

In Summers’ Vietnam postmortem, he relates a telling anecdote of a professor at West Point. The professor, an Army officer, remarked, “When people ask me why I went to Vietnam I say, ‘I thought you knew. You sent me,’” a comment indicative of “the civilian sector’s growing refusal to take responsibility for the kind of army it needs.”

In the case of Trump’s decision-making concerning hostilities with Iran, Americans will one day need answers to the questions: Why did the United States engage in this war with unclear political objectives? And why did Congress allow it to continue?

This story contains material from an article published on March 6, 2026.

The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Trump sidelined Congress’ authority over war on Iran – and lawmakers allowed it, extending a 75-year trend – https://theconversation.com/trump-sidelined-congress-authority-over-war-on-iran-and-lawmakers-allowed-it-extending-a-75-year-trend-280671

What if Texas’ destructive Tax Day storm had centered on inner Houston instead? It’s why cities should plan for the improbable

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By James R. Elliott, Professor of Sociology, Rice University

A couple battle floodwaters as they evacuate their Houston apartment complex on April 18, 2016. AP Photo/David J. Phillip

Ten years ago, the infamous Tax Day storm swamped the Houston area with off-the-charts rainfall. Nearly 2 feet of rain fell in less than 15 hours in parts of the region, starting on April 17, 2016. The rain flooded thousands of homes and exceeded a 10,000-year event at some gauges.

But the storm’s damage could have been much worse.

The brunt of the deluge hit Waller County, west of Houston, where the impact was largely on farms and ranches. Had the same volume of water fallen just a few miles to the east, over Houston’s dense urban core, the tragedy would have been far worse.

What made the Tax Day flood so devastating was its speed. It was a flash event that struck overnight, without warning.

People in an airboat going past buildings surrounded by water.
The strongest rains from the 2016 Tax Day flood hit less-populated areas west of Houston, but communities across the city flooded. An airboat rescued residents from a flooded neighborhood in Spring, Texas.
AP Photo/David J. Phillip

At Rice University’s Center for Coastal Futures and Adaptive Resilience, we used state-of-the-art hydrological modeling conducted by our colleagues at Rice’s Severe Storm Prediction, Education and Evacuation from Disasters Center to see what would happen if a similar storm struck more populated parts of the city today.

The results suggest that current flood planning strategies in Houston – and similar strategies used in communities across the U.S. – are dangerously narrow in how they consider what’s at risk. In today’s world of increasingly extreme downpours, preparing for flood disasters means preparing for more than just what’s probable – it means also preparing for extreme situations that are less likely but could be far more dangerous.

The perils of relying on probability

In the United States, flood risk is publicly defined by maps produced by the Federal Emergency Management Agency. These maps, suggesting which properties face flood risks, guide everything from emergency planning to decisions related to the National Flood Insurance Program.

However, FEMA’s risk maps are based on probabilistic modeling that typically stops at the 500-year flood risk level, meaning a property has 0.2% odds – a 1 in 500 chance – of being flooded in any given year. There is a mathematical reason for doing this: There are simply too few cases to reliably estimate probabilities below that threshold.

Consequently, “off the charts” events like the Tax Day flood are effectively ignored in official planning. Authorities often prefer to view them as unrealistic until more data is collected – a process that can take decades. Yet, parts of Houston suffered another 1,000-year event the following year when remnants of Hurricane Harvey stalled over the city in 2017, and Houston has seen other 500-year floods in recent years.

People carry their belongings in trashbags and adults have small children on their shoulders as they walk through waist-deep water.
Residents wade through floodwaters as they leave a Houston apartment complex on April 18, 2016, after an overnight downpour.
AP Photo/David J. Phillip

The Dutch, who are global leaders in flood science by necessity, since more than half their country is at risk of flooding, use a different approach. They take what they consider “worst credible floods” seriously. These are events that extend beyond standard probability models but are still considered by experts to be realistic, or credible, possibilities.

If the Tax Day storm hit today

To get a clearer picture of the Houston area’s credible risks, we simulated the impact of the Tax Day flood from rainfall alone if the storm had centered over two different watersheds in Houston’s Harris County.

The suburban risk: Clear Creek runs through a middle-class suburban area near NASA’s Johnson Space Center. Vast stretches of suburban concrete block its natural drainage, and thousands of homes have been built along its winding, sluggish tributaries.

Even moderate rainfall can quickly transform these waterways into destructive torrents that overflow into nearby townships, including Friendswood and League City.

Our simulations show that if the Tax Day storm had centered over the Clear Creek area, more than 13,500 properties with homes would have quickly flooded with at least 6 inches of water. Above 6 inches is the danger zone where roads become unsafe for most passenger vehicles. In a home, when drywall gets wet it begins to wick water upward, requiring tear-outs. Even in elevated homes, that much water can damage equipment and contaminate water systems. In some areas, our simulations indicate the water depths would have exceeded 3 feet within hours.

A map shows widespread flooding
In this simulation of flooding of the Houston area’s Clear Creek watershed, properties in orange would have flooded to 6 inches or more.
Center for Coastal Futures and Adaptive Resilience/Rice University

The financial “what if” is even more staggering. Our analysis of publicly available data indicates that 92% of homes in Clear Creek’s flood zone likely have no flood insurance, and 52% fall outside the 100-year flood plain in FEMA’s latest proposed maps. Even with FEMA’s latest map updates, most mortgage holders would not be required to carry flood insurance on homes in the area that would have flooded.

The equity gap: When we moved the storm over Hunting Bayou, a working-class area in inner Houston populated largely by residents of color, the results were even more severe. Here, flooding represents the legacy risk of midcentury urbanism, where a naturally shallow, sluggish stream was penned in by industrial warehouses and tightly packed residential streets long before modern drainage standards existed, restricting the waterway’s ability to expand and meander gracefully.

Because much of the area has flat, poorly draining soils, this watershed has become a bottleneck that can rapidly overflow during heavy rains. We found the Tax Day storm would have flooded more than half of all residential lots there with at least 6 inches of water, compared to 16% of residential lots in the Clear Creek area. And flood insurance in the Hunting Bayou area is nearly nonexistent.

A map shows widespread flooding
Had the Tax Day storm centered over Houston’s Hunting Bayou, this simulation shows that properties in orange would have flooded to 6 inches or more.
Center for Coastal Futures and Adaptive Resilience/Rice University

Both simulations, viewable through our interactive online tool at the Center for Coastal Resilience and Adaptive Futures, reveal a sobering reality: Devastation that local, state and federal government planning dismisses as improbable is, in fact, entirely possible.

When FEMA or state planners prioritize probabilistic mapping over “worst-case” modeling like we conducted, they treat historic deluges like the Tax Day flood as improbable anomalies rather than predictable consequences of a changing climate and rapid urban expansion. Moreover, unlike hurricanes, which typically arrive with several days’ notice, the sudden destructive force of “normal” storm systems like the Tax Day storm is discounted.

Learning from ‘worst cases’

The levels of destruction we simulated could easily occur in the coming years as global temperatures rise and storm intensity increases.

To prepare, U.S. emergency planners and flood authorities can look to three lessons from the Dutch planners’ possibilistic playbook.

Embrace flexible planning: Overly detailed plans can create a false sense of control and end up paying less attention to neighborhoods considered to be outside the flood plain. Simple and flexible plans that empower local officials to repurpose everyday assets in real time work best. That might include preemptively mobilizing high-water rescue vehicles into geographically vulnerable areas.

Map potential disruption, not just probability: Extending flood planning beyond who is in or out of the 100-year flood zone can also help identify where road networks and critical infrastructure are likely to fail during extreme events. This approach also helps identify infrastructure such as public parks that can double as temporary water retention basins.

Raise public risk perception: Residents can respond more effectively when local flood authorities share plans for “what if” scenarios with the public, along with guidance on how best to prepare.

The 10th anniversary of the Tax Day flood is a reminder of why it’s crucial to stop ignoring improbable events and start scientifically leveraging the possible to make all cities safer in an age of worsening climate change.

This article, originally published April 14, 2026, has been updated to include the Rice University SSPEED Center’s contribution to the research.

The Conversation

Dominic Boyer receives funding from the National Science Foundation and the John S. Guggenheim Foundation.

James R. Elliott and Yilei Yu do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. What if Texas’ destructive Tax Day storm had centered on inner Houston instead? It’s why cities should plan for the improbable – https://theconversation.com/what-if-texas-destructive-tax-day-storm-had-centered-on-inner-houston-instead-its-why-cities-should-plan-for-the-improbable-279964

How Islamophobic rhetoric leaves an impact on the mental health of Muslim Americans

Source: The Conversation – USA (3) – By Anisah Bagasra, Associate Professor of Psychology, Kennesaw State University

Demonstrators in New York City take part in a protest against growing Islamophobia in March 2019. Johannes Eisele/AFP via Getty Image

The war with Iran has led to a surge in anti-Muslim rhetoric – spilling into political discourse.

U.S. Rep. Randy Fine of Florida posted on X that “the choice between dogs and Muslims is not a difficult one,” and added in another post, “We need more Islamophobia, not less.” Similarly, U.S. Rep. Brandon Gill of Texas called for stopping the entry of “Muslims immigrating to America.”

A study by the Center for the Study of Organized Hate found that the average number of Islamophobic posts jumped from 2,000 to 6,000 each day on X alone in the first six days of the conflict.

I have studied the impact of Islamophobia on mental health over the past two decades, following soaring hate crimes in the wake of 9/11. Research consistently shows that negative portrayals of Muslims shape public attitudes toward Muslims and can lead to increased discrimination, hate crimes and psychological consequences.

Increase in Islamophobia

Islamophobia in the United States tends to surge during global conflicts, political campaigns and terrorist attacks. Human Rights First, an organization that works to promote human rights in the U.S. and abroad, documented surges in Islamophobia in 2015 following the Syrian refugee crisis, when a large number of people were displaced. That same year the 2015 attacks in Paris and shooting in San Bernardino, California, intensified public anxiety about terrorism, and a surge in crimes against Muslims followed.

Islamophobic rhetoric in the U.S. intensified during Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign and continued into his presidency, often framing Muslims as a security threat. Burton Speakman, a scholar of digital media, and I found an increasing acceptance of such rhetoric among the political right in social media posts from 2016-19.

Social media posts and comments showed an increasing use of dehumanizing language toward Muslims. In a study I conducted in 2020, a majority of 830 Muslim Americans reported encountering the most Islamophobic content on Facebook, followed by Twitter and Instagram. This shift was also reflected in the language and coverage of Islam in right-wing media, which often portrayed Muslims as invaders wanting to impose Sharia law and as a drain on social welfare.

Mainstream media can also amplify negative depictions of Muslims by often discussing Islam within the context of terrorism and portraying Muslims more negatively than other racial, ethnic or religious minority groups.

Hate crimes tend to increase alongside Islamophobic rhetoric. During 2016, a period with high rates of Islamophobic rhetoric, there were 307 reported incidents – the highest recorded number immediately following 9/11. The numbers dropped the following year but were followed by an increase in 2024 with the start of the Israel-Hamas war; the number of reported anti-Muslim hate crimes was 288 that year.

A 2025 poll found that 63% of American Muslims reported experiencing religious discrimination, with many reporting at least one such incident every year since 2016.

Mental health of Muslim Americans

The cumulative effects of Islamophobia have an impact an American Muslims’ mental health and access to care.

A woman wearing a headscarf speaks with another woman reclining on a bed, who is also wearing a headscarf.
Higher rates of depression among Muslim Americans are associated with Islamophobia.
triloks/ E+ via Getty images

Numerous studies since 9/11 link the high rates of discrimination experienced by the Muslim American
community to higher rates of depression. Experiences of discrimination also lead some Muslim Americans to believe they are not viewed as being American.

Thirty-one percent of participants in my 2020 study described the impact of social media on their mental health: Many said they avoided displaying their Muslim identity in social media posts, supporting a Muslim political candidate on social media, or even sharing religious content or videos. Some just withdrew – 27% deactivated or deleted their social media accounts.

In addition, many Muslims report feeling discouraged from seeking both physical and psychological treatment from non-Muslim providers, leading Muslim Americans to significantly underutilize available services compared to other ethnic and religious minority groups.

A 2015 study found that nearly one-third of Muslim Americans report experiencing discrimination in health care settings, which has an impact on their trust in providers. The majority reported being treated rudely by providers, insensitivity regarding modesty requirements, or having their pain disregarded. One participant in that study said: “Going into a surgery, health care providers didn’t recognize the importance of me keeping my hijab on and wanting most of my body covered.”

In my 2023 study, a number of participants described personal experiences with mental health professionals who seemed not to see them as individuals beyond their religious affiliation. One participant described a provider as being “quick to attribute problems” to religion or culture. “I worry about them stereotyping and end up feeling as if I’m on the defense,” this participant said.

My most recent study, conducted in 2024, which is currently under review, asked 325 Muslim Americans who had used any psychological services about their health-seeking behavior: 56% said they were worried ; 57% were worried about being misunderstood.

Following Trump’s travel ban targeting several Muslim countries in 2017, a study conducted by researchers at the Yale School of Public Health found that many Muslim Americans skipped their primary care appointments; at the same time, their visits to the emergency room went up.

Addressing the challenges

In response, a number of initiatives have emerged at the local and national levels.

One approach involves increasing mental health literacy within Muslim communities and creating networks of mental health professionals working with Muslim clients.

For example, mental health professionals and community leaders are working to increase mental health literacy through in-person education and digitally. Muslim community members learn about symptoms of mental health disorders through training, such as Mental Health First Aid. Online directories of Muslim mental health providers have also been created.

Another approach involves training mental health professionals. A team at Stanford University has created a six-part training module that provides therapists with knowledge of religious norms and an opportunity to reflect on their own possible biases.

Finally, Muslim researchers and providers have begun to develop therapies and resources that integrate Muslim beliefs and spiritual approaches with treatment. These include psychotherapy that is inspired by the Quran, the teachings of the prophet and spiritual practices such as self-reflection, prayer and mindfulness.

Muslim Americans can often feel helpless in combating the hate they experience – more awareness and advocacy could reduce Islamophobia and address the mental health needs of an already vulnerable community.

The Conversation

Anisah Bagasra received funding from Meta’s Content Policy Research on Social Media Platforms research award in 2019 to study Islamophobic rhetoric and imagery on social media platforms.

ref. How Islamophobic rhetoric leaves an impact on the mental health of Muslim Americans – https://theconversation.com/how-islamophobic-rhetoric-leaves-an-impact-on-the-mental-health-of-muslim-americans-279046

Ancient teeth reveal clues to the environment humans’ early ancestors evolved in millions of years ago

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Zelalem Bedaso, Associate Professor of Earth and Environmental Geosciences, University of Dayton

Chemicals in your tooth enamel record evidence of your diet that can last millions of years. Zelalem Bedaso

Teeth are like tiny biological time capsules. They tell stories about ancient diets and environments long after their owners have died and landscapes have changed.

After bones break down, tooth enamel stays hard and unchanged, even in fossilized teeth that have been buried under sediment and rock for millions of years and are now being uncovered by erosion or excavation.

Tooth enamel forms when an animal is young, and it remains chemically stable for the rest of that animal’s life. The food an animal eats and the water it drinks during its youth leave chemical signals within the enamel.

Because of that, hidden within the enamel of fossilized teeth, scientists can find traces of extinct forests, expanding savanna grasslands, shifting climates and evolving animal communities.

A group of oryx, a type of antelope, on a dry landscape.
A small group of oryx forage in the open savanna of Awash National Park in Ethiopia, with scattered acacia trees and dry grasses illustrating the park’s semi-arid environment.
Zelalem Bedaso

Over the past 30 years, my colleagues and I have been analyzing chemical traces in fossil teeth from Ethiopia’s Afar region in the East African Rift Valley – often referred to as the cradle of humanity – to uncover what animals ate there millions of years ago, around the time early human ancestors were evolving, and what the world looked like around them.

These clues from ancient meals are enabling scientists to reconstruct pictures of entire ecosystems, including forests, wetlands and grasslands that existed at the time. It’s a reminder that in a very real sense, organisms are what they eat.

Traces of ancient diets in fossil teeth

To determine which plants ancient animals ate, my colleagues and I collect a small amount of enamel powder from fossilized teeth. We then analyze this powder in the laboratory using specialized instruments that detect chemical signals preserved in the enamel.

Trees and grasses have different ways of using photosynthesis to convert sunlight into energy. These methods leave distinct chemical patterns in plant tissues, which then become incorporated into the teeth of animals that eat those plants.

By examining these chemical patterns in tooth enamel, we can determine whether animals primarily fed on trees and shrubs or on grass, providing insight into the vegetation that once covered the ancient landscape.

A scientist looks at a sample with layers of rock in the background.
The author conducts fieldwork in the East African Rift, collecting samples from ancient lake and river deposits.
Courtesy of Zelalem Bedaso

We can then figure out how an environment changed over time by collecting fossil teeth from different rock layers. Each layer formed at a different time in the past, so teeth found in deeper layers are typically older than those closer to the surface.

By analyzing tooth enamel from fossils across these layers, we can compare the chemical signals preserved in the teeth and see how animal diets and the plants growing in the landscape changed through time.

Adding that knowledge to data from different types of fossils, we can track long-term shifts in vegetation, climate and ecosystems.

A changing landscape in the last 4 million years

Four million years ago, the Afar region looked very different from the dry landscape you will see there today.

Fossils, including tooth enamel, reveal that the area supported a diverse range of environments. Rivers flowed through wooded areas, lakes were scattered across the landscape, and grassy plains stretched across the basin.

A map of the East African Rift Valley
Three tectonic plates are pulling apart at the Afar region, near the Red Sea.
Val Rim/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA

Fossilized teeth from animals like antelopes, giraffes, pigs, horses, hippos and elephants show a wide range of diets. Some animals browsed on leaves and shrubs, while others grazed on grass in open habitats.

The chemical signals in the teeth indicate that grasslands were expanding at the time, but forests still played an important role. They show that animals moved through this environment and adapted to the food sources around them.

A dry valley landscape with layers in the rock.
Ethiopia’s Afar Depression and Awash Valley, shaped by rifting and erosion, are among the world’s most important regions for fossil discoveries of human ancestors. Some of those fossils date back 3 million to 4 million years.
Zelalem Bedaso

Around 2 million to 3 million years ago, the environment shifted more drastically toward open grasslands.

The East African Rift Valley gets its shape from three tectonic plates that have been slowly pulling apart. This tectonic activity has changed the landscape over time, altering the regional climate and drainage. Two to three million years ago, it helped shift environments from more wooded habitats to a mix of grasslands and open savannas.

Animals that relied on grass flourished, and the populations of those that didn’t adapt declined. Horses and certain antelopes, for example, developed teeth that could grind tough, gritty plants. This adaptation is recorded on their enamel.

Early humans in a mosaic world

Early human ancestors, like the famous “Lucy,” whose skeleton was discovered in the Afar region, lived in this dynamic landscape.

Fossil teeth from Australopithecus afraensis, an early human that lived in eastern Africa between about 2.9 million and 3.8 million years ago, indicate that early human relatives did not rely heavily on grass. Instead, the chemical signal in their enamel indicates mixed diets and dietary flexibility, which included fruits, leaves and roots, depending on what was available.

The discovery of ‘Lucy’ and what bones told scientists about her life. BBC Earth.

In a landscape that combined woodland patches and open savanna, that adaptability may have been key to survival.

This period of environmental change coincided with several important evolutionary developments and morphological changes in pre-humans. Early human ancestors were walking upright. Brain size also gradually increased, allowing for more complex behavior and problem-solving.

During this time, early humans began making and using stone tools, marking a major step in technological innovation and helping them adapt to changing environments.

Diet shapes destiny

The dietary changes in the East African Rift Valley over the past 4 million years, documented through tooth enamel, are providing important clues for reconstructing the environment in which humans’ ancestors lived and how those environments changed.

They also show that species that adjusted their diets as landscapes changed were the ones most likely to survive.

This ongoing research helps explore profound questions of how environmental shifts shaped life on Earth, including human trajectories. And that is helping humanity unlock its collective past.

The Conversation

Zelalem Bedaso does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Ancient teeth reveal clues to the environment humans’ early ancestors evolved in millions of years ago – https://theconversation.com/ancient-teeth-reveal-clues-to-the-environment-humans-early-ancestors-evolved-in-millions-of-years-ago-279544

I’ve fired one of America’s most powerful lasers – here’s what a shot day looks like

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Ahmed Helal, Research Scientist, The University of Texas at Austin

Inside a laser clean room. The beam is contained within the blue pipe. Ahmed Helal

If you walk across the open yard in front of the Physics, Math and Astronomy building at the University of Texas at Austin, you’ll see a 17-story tower and a huge L-shaped building. What you won’t see is what’s underneath you. Two floors below ground, behind heavy double doors stamped with a logo that most students have never noticed, sits one of the most powerful lasers in the United States.

I was the lead laser scientist on the Texas Petawatt, or TPW as we called it, from 2020 to 2024. Texas Petawatt, which is currently closed due to funding cuts, was a government-funded research center where scientists from across the country applied for time to use specialized equipment. It was part of LaserNetUS, a Department of Energy network of high-power laser labs.

This type of laser takes a tiny pulse of light, stretches it out so it doesn’t blast optics to pieces, and amplifies it until, for a brief instant, it carries more power than the entire U.S. electrical grid. Then it compresses the pulse back to a trillionth of a second to create a star in a vacuum chamber.

On a typical shot day, the target might be a piece of metal foil thinner than a human hair, a jet of gas or a tiny plastic pellet – each designed to answer a different scientific question.

Scientists from across the country applied for time on TPW to study everything from the physics of stellar interiors and fusion energy to new approaches for cancer treatment.

Most people hear about petawatt lasers and picture something out of a movie. A “shot day” is actually hours of quiet, repetitive work followed by about 10 seconds where nobody breathes.

I now work as a research scientist at the University of Texas-Austin, studying the interaction of lasers with different materials, but a typical shot day during my time running TPW would look like this:

7 a.m.

I arrive two hours before the first scheduled shot. I put on my gown, boots and hairnet and step into the cold clean room. The laser doesn’t just turn on. You coax it awake.

I start with the oscillator, a small box that generates the first seed of light. I write down the parameters that define how the laser will behave during the shot: energy, center frequency, vacuum pressure in the tubes, cooling water level and flow. At this stage, they are fixed regardless of the experiment. The laser must perform the same way every time before the science can begin. Then I fire up the pump laser that will amplify this tiny pulse from nanojoules to about half a joule.

A diagram showing the layout of a large laser
The anatomy of a petawatt laser. A tiny pulse starts at the oscillator, gets stretched in time to avoid damaging the optics, is amplified through progressively larger stages, then is compressed back down to a trillionth of a second inside the vacuum chamber at right.
Ahmed Helal, Fourni par l’auteur

The system needs at least 30 minutes to stabilize. During that time, I check alignment through every pinhole and every camera along the beam path. A slight misalignment at this stage isn’t just a problem; it can be catastrophic – a mispointed beam at full power can burn through optics that take months to source and replace, setting the entire laser back.

Building the beam

Once the system is warmed up, I send the beam into the first amplifier: a glass rod surrounded by bright flash lamps that pump light into the glass – like charging a battery. With each pass, the beam absorbs energy from the glass and grows stronger. Then the beam travels into a larger rod, where it makes four passes, picking up more energy each time until it reaches about 12 joules, roughly the energy of a ball thrown hard across a room.

This process alone takes the better part of an hour, most of it spent checking and confirming alignment and energy at each stage.

I expand the beam and send it through the final stage: the disk amplifiers. Two amplifiers, each consisting of two massive 30-centimeter glass disks, are pumped by a huge bank of flash lamps powered by capacitor banks – essentially giant batteries that store electrical energy and release it in a sudden burst. They are so large that they have their own room on a separate floor. Fast optical shutters between each stage act as gates, controlling exactly when and where the beam travels.

The shot

When the experimental team confirms that the target is in position, it asks me to prepare for a system shot. I run through the long checklist. We test the shutters and switch to system shot mode. Every monitor in the facility changes to display the same message – “System Shot Mode” – and flashes red.

A desk with 11 monitors displaying graphs.
The Texas Petawatt control room allows scientists to track a variety of parameters and metrics. On the left is the big red emergency stop button.
Ahmed Helal

I lean into the microphone at the control desk, a vintage piece that looks like it belongs in a World War II radio room, and announce that we’re going into a system shot. Then I open the compressor beam dump: a heavy glass plate that normally blocks the beam from reaching the target. It takes about two minutes to move.

“Sweeping, sweeping for a system shot.”

The announcement goes out over speakers across the facility. I grab a small interlock key, put on my laser safety goggles and head downstairs. I walk a specific pattern through every room, checking that nobody is still inside. As I go, I lock each door with the key. If anyone opens one of those doors after I’ve locked them, the entire shot sequence aborts.

A microphone on a stand sitting on a desk.
Texas Petawatt scientists make announcements about the shot through a microphone in the control room.
Ahmed Helal

Back in the control room, I sit down and start charging the capacitor banks. At this point, there’s no going back except for an emergency shutdown, and that means losing the shot and waiting for everything to cool down.

“Charging.”

The room goes silent. Everyone’s eyes are on the monitors. Nobody talks.

I typically will share a glance with the researcher whose project the shot is for – today it’s Joe, a visiting scientist from Los Alamos National Lab, who designed the target we’re about to vaporize. He’s gripping his coffee cup like it owes him money. I turn back to the console.

“Charge complete. Firing system shot in three, two, one. Fire.”

I press the button. A loud thud rolls through the building as all that stored energy dumps into the beam. The monitors freeze, capturing everything at the moment of the shot: beam profiles, spectra, diagnostics – these metrics provide a full picture of exactly how the laser performed and whether the shot was clean. Downstairs, in the vacuum chamber, a spot smaller than a human hair just reached temperatures measured in millions of degrees.

I lean back in my chair and start recording laser parameters as everyone exhales. A radiation safety officer heads down first to check readings around the target chamber before anyone else can enter. The experimental team follows to collect data.

Sometimes it all works perfectly. Sometimes a shutter fails to open and you lose the shot.

For example, one afternoon in 2023, we’d spent three hours preparing for a high-priority shot. Target aligned. Capacitors charged. I pressed the button and heard nothing. A shutter had failed somewhere in the chain. The monitors stayed frozen, showing black. Nobody said anything. I wrote SHOT FAILED in the logbook and started the hourlong cooldown sequence. That’s the part they don’t show in movies: sitting in silence, waiting to try again. We got the shot four hours later.

This anticipation is all part of the job: hours of patience for 10 seconds you never quite get used to. Everything happens underneath a campus where thousands of people walk above, unaware that for a fraction of a second, a tiny point of matter hotter than the surface of the Sun just existed below their feet.

The Conversation

Ahmed Helal is currently the Founder and CEO of Photonics Dynamics LLC, a consulting company.

ref. I’ve fired one of America’s most powerful lasers – here’s what a shot day looks like – https://theconversation.com/ive-fired-one-of-americas-most-powerful-lasers-heres-what-a-shot-day-looks-like-279520