After the Epping Forest case, the government needs to be bold and build asylum housing that works

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jonathan Darling, Professor in Human Geography, Durham University

Over recent weeks, the interim injunction to halt the housing of asylum seekers at the Bell hotel in Epping has thrown government plans into crisis. The Home Office has now successfully appealed this judgment but does still need to come up with another plan for housing asylum seekers in the longer term.

The case has highlighted the need to rebuild relationships with local government. In trying to stop the Bell hotel from housing asylum seekers, Epping Forest district council argued that an initial ruling in its favour was an important step in “redressing the imbalance” between the priorities of the Home Office and the interests of councils and residents. Long-standing concerns about a lack of consultation over where, and how, asylum seekers are housed suggest we should expect to see further legal challenges in places where these hotels are located.

The lack of communication with communities over the hotels has generated fertile ground for anti-migrant protests. The outcome has been an accommodation model that works for no one and increasingly fraught relationships between central and local government.

Hotels are used as emergency accommodation because the last government failed to process asylum claims, leaving a backlog of people trapped in the asylum system. They are unable to work or secure their own housing.

The Labour government has made a commitment to end the use of hotels by 2029 and has made some progress in reducing hotel use since its peak in 2023. But there are no easy alternatives.

It has tried to use former RAF bases and military barracks as sites for mass accommodation but conditions are extremely poor. The short-term holding facility at Manston has seen outbreaks of disease, severe overcrowding, and accusations of racism by contracted staff. Accommodation at RAF Wethersfield in Essex has been likened to a prison by those housed there with charities warning of a mental health crisis unfolding as a consequence of insufficient support. And the costs of running these sites are greater than hotels.

Alternatives

The government could instead look to European neighbours like Germany and Sweden, where asylum seekers are able to work after set periods in the asylum system. This means a reduced reliance on the state for housing and greater pathways to integration. Despite campaigns to support the right to work for asylum seekers, the UK continues to deny such a right. This limits the ability of asylum seekers to secure their own housing. In the current political climate, willingness to change course and grant asylum seekers the right to work seems unlikely.

The Epping Forest case should force the government to rethink. The immediate priority must be to work closely with local government to provide safe and secure community-based housing for people seeking asylum.

Achieving this will require ending the privatisation of asylum accommodation and returning control to local authorities. Empowering councils to have a stake in the future of asylum accommodation will mean that the asylum system can benefit from the knowledge and expertise of local government on housing conditions, markets and standards.

Moving asylum accommodation back under public control means an end to the excessive profiteering of private contractors. It can also offer scope for experimenting with housing models that have been ignored by profit-driven housing providers.

For example, approaches to co-housing show how investments in accommodating asylum seekers can be shared with other groups in need of housing. In Amsterdam, co-housing projects have provided accommodation for young refugees alongside Dutch students who choose to live in specially designed housing units with shared facilities and social spaces. In Berlin, co-housing accommodates asylum seekers alongside residents with German citizenship and dedicated community hubs. These models show that alternatives can both involve the local community and deliver dignified housing.

Respecting refugee rights

This summer the government has shown no leadership on asylum. Reform UK and an increasingly radical Conservative party have promised simplistic and hardline policies that show no respect for the lives and rights of asylum seekers.

In response, the government should be bold. To change the failing asylum accommodation system the government needs to make a public case for why housing asylum seekers with dignity matters. The government should communicate the importance of respecting international law and the right to asylum. That means defending the 1951 Refugee Convention against those who are seeking to remove protections for people fleeing conflict and persecution.

It also means rejecting the idea that those seeking asylum in Britain are “illegal” – a term that has become mainstream. Asylum seekers have a legal right to seek safety and their actions in doing so are not illegal. Calling asylum seekers “illegal” makes it easier to dismiss their need for protection and to justify their poor treatment.

Leadership involves challenging the divisive language used to describe asylum seekers, rather than allowing terms such as “invasion” to remain uncontested. Divisive language pits vulnerable groups in society against one another.

Legally, and morally, the state has responsibilities to support all those facing homelessness. Denying these responsibilities and restricting the rights of asylum seekers will not advance the rights of others. Instead, focus should be on developing public housing options that combine resources for all those who are homeless.

Innovative and inclusive ways to provide safe, secure, and dignified accommodation to asylum seekers and other people are available. The Epping Forest case should give the government the imperative to explore them.


Want more politics coverage from academic experts? Every week, we bring you informed analysis of developments in government and fact check the claims being made.

Sign up for our weekly politics newsletter, delivered every Friday.


The Conversation

Jonathan Darling has received funding from the Economic and Social Research Council. He is affiliated with the No Accommodation Network as a trustee.

ref. After the Epping Forest case, the government needs to be bold and build asylum housing that works – https://theconversation.com/after-the-epping-forest-case-the-government-needs-to-be-bold-and-build-asylum-housing-that-works-264060

Similarities between recharging and refuelling make the switch to electric cars an easier choice

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Nicole Bulawa, Lecturer in Marketing, Lancaster University

Amani A/Shutterstock

Charging your electric car for the first time can seem confusing. The whole process just isn’t very intuitive. There are different plug types and charging speeds, plus various ways of charging at home, at motorway stations or in car parks.

Despite how complex it may seem at first, most people find it pretty straightforward once they get used to it. One reason for this is explained in my research which shows how imitation helps people get to grips with new technology. In this case, electric car charging copied the well-known: refuelling a car.

That might seem obvious, but not all countries opted for a recharging infrastructure. China, for example, is focusing on battery swapping. As the name suggests, the battery in your electric car is swapped for a charged one. So, while imitation is not the only option, it is the approach that has made the UK’s electric vehicle infrastructure feel less alien to us.

As a result, large charging stations in the UK could easily be mistaken for petrol stations simply because of their design. They are located on or near motorways, are often sheltered, and have rows of parking spaces. Not to mention, there is usually a shop, as one would expect at any typical petrol station. Rapid chargers also resemble their petrol counterparts. These are the ones that can charge an electric car up to 80% in just 20 to 60 minutes and look like a fuel pump with their boxy, towering design and cable connections.

The basic principles of charging and refuelling are also very similar.

To refuel your car, you drive to a petrol station, park next to a fuel pump, connect the nozzle to the car, pay and drive off again. Now, imagine swapping the petrol station for a charging station and replacing the fuel nozzle with a plug. Nothing much has changed except you are now charging an electric car instead of filling a tank with petrol – apart from the environmental impact perhaps.

Inspiration for designing charging stations was taken from more than just the car industry. When it comes to payment options, you can still make one-off card payments, just as you would at any petrol station. Or, to save on charging costs, you can use one of the many charging apps and subscriptions. We often use these in everyday life, so they make the whole process of electric car charging a bit more familiar.

The limits of imitation

But new technologies also bring change and change means that we can’t just copy everything. One of the main points of difference is that charging takes longer than refuelling.

Since changes, especially those involving longer waiting times, are not very well received, something had to be done. Spoiler alert: it was not done by imitating something. Quite the opposite, in fact.

While navigation maps showed petrol and charging stations along the route, information on charging station availability had to be added to avoid electric car drivers arriving at a particular station to find it full, with hours of waiting time ahead. This allows people to see how many chargers are being used in real life. So, it shows that certain adaptations are needed for technology to be integrated into everyday life effectively.

man holding lightbulb
Even lightbulbs are an iteration of previous inventions.
Aon Khanisorn/Shutterstock

These add-ons are usually introduced to address hiccups caused by unexpected consumer behaviour, such as blocking charging stations even when the car is nicely charged. Originally, the rules for charging were very similar to those for refuelling (as a reminder: you park your car, fill it up, pay and leave).

But since charging an electric car typically takes longer than refuelling, drivers took the liberty of overstaying their welcome. In other words, drivers failed to return to their electric car once it was charged, causing a bottleneck of frustrated drivers. As a result, new rules were introduced to specify how long an electric car can remain at a bay once charging is complete, particularly for rapid charging.

We usually think of innovations as being new and exciting. However, many innovations, from Thomas Edison’s electric lightbulb to the modern circus, contain features that we have seen or used before. The traditional circus tent, for example, is still used in modern circuses, but theatrical and acrobatic performances have replaced animal shows, which was a novelty at the time. While the concept of imitation may not always have the best reputation due to its apparent lack of originality, it has played a significant role throughout history and will probably continue to do so in the future.


Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

Get a weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 45,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.


The Conversation

The study was supported by ERF funding from ESCP Business School. The funding body did not exert any influence over the study or its subsequent dissemination.

ref. Similarities between recharging and refuelling make the switch to electric cars an easier choice – https://theconversation.com/similarities-between-recharging-and-refuelling-make-the-switch-to-electric-cars-an-easier-choice-262000

I’ve researched the politics of flags in Northern Ireland for decades – here’s what England needs to understand

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Dominic Bryan, Chair professor, Queen’s University Belfast

Flags – particularly the union flag and the St George’s Cross – continue to appear in towns and cities in England, at times in response to the housing of migrants and asylum seekers in the local area.

Groups such as Operation Raise the Colours, the Weoley Warriors, Flag Force UK, and the Wythall Flaggers have claimed responsibility for putting the flags up. In many places the flags seem to be in place for the foreseeable future. In Brighton and Hove the local council began to remove flags, only to be forced to leave some up when the contractors sent to take them down were abused.

Displays of flags on street furniture and buildings, such as pubs, are not unusual. But while they are common around the celebration of royal events and major sporting occasions, it is more exceptional to see them put up in reference to political issues. This appears more coercive as an action. There is a sense of territory being marked.

We’ve heard predictable claims that the flags are just a display of pride in a British or English identity. This is an easy claim to make as it clearly is, in part, to do with nationalistic pride. The point is that they are being hung in particular places, by particular groups of people and in a particular way that clearly links them to the ongoing debates and hostility to migration.

As any anthropologist would tell you, symbols are multi-vocal. They offer a range of meanings that depend on who is using them and the context in which they are being used. If the symbols are being used to send a message, the intended recipient of that message adds another layer of meaning.

The use of flags, in what political scientist Marc Howard Ross calls the symbolic landscape, carries significant cultural value – or what sociologist Pierre Bourdieu would have termed symbolic capital. They are displays of patriotism that are common in different forms, in nations around the world. They are used by nation states in rituals and public spaces, by the elite, by politicians and by companies selling their products. They’re waved at sports events and displayed as part of everyday, banal, practices. They are the stock and trade of how the nation is imagined and performed.

Anthropologists Thomas Hylland Eriksen and Richard Jenkins’s book Flag, Nation, Symbolism in Europe and America shows that the use of flags can vary quite widely. In Denmark, the national flag adorns birthday cakes. In Canada it is the essential addition to any large cottage around the lakes of Ontario. And in the US, one of the most flag obsessed countries, it is flown at sporting events big and small.

A cake decorated with Danish flags.
Denmark’s deliciously patriotic birthday cakes.
Shutterstock/Alexanderstock23

Flags in Northern Ireland

Generally the British are seen as being more reserved in their use of the Union flag, in part because of its complex relationship with Englishness, Irishness, Scottishness and Welshness. But in Northern Ireland, flags fly from lamp-posts nearly all year around. Union flags, the Ulster Banner (the former flag for the Northern Ireland government), and Scottish Saltires often fly alongside the paramilitary flags of the Ulster Volunteer Force (UVF) and the Ulster Defence Association (UDA).

Many of these are put up in the summer and, while some are taken down in September, others remain through winter, becoming tatty as the weather turns colder and wetter, and ultimately being replaced in the spring. Flags have long been put up to commemorate the Battle of the Boyne on July 12, but the commemorative season now includes the Battle of the Somme (July 1), local band parades in June and goes through to Ulster Day (September 28) and Remembrance Sunday in November.

Flags are put up predominantly by groups of men in working-class areas. The expansion of the practice seemed to date from around 2000 when a feud between the UVF and UDA flared up and each group used flags to demarcate the areas they controlled. This was predicated on the available of cheap, mass-produced nylon flags imported from Asia.

Irish Tricolours fly in Irish nationalist areas, but not with the same density or frequency. They, too, are sometimes used as signs of demarcation between different Republican groups. The Tricolour has also recently been put up on lamp-posts in Dublin by rightwing groups.

In Northern Ireland the practice has many detractors. Some feel the flag is being disrespected (particularly as the flags quickly become tatty and dirty) while others see their presence as part of a practice of coercive control by paramilitary groups. Others long for more shared public space without these symbols and some fear their presence might reduce the value of houses in the area.

There is in fact clear legislation in Northern Ireland making it unlawful for a flag to be affixed to a lamp-post. However the Department of Infrastructure, which has authority over the lamp-posts, steadfastly refuses to remove the majority of the thousands of flags. Despite the coercive control invoked and the displays of flags by organisations proscribed under terrorism laws, the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) rarely intervenes.

A five-year, all-party Commission on Flags, Identity, Culture and Tradition (of which I was co-chair), published a report in 2021 concluding that “citizens do not have lawful authority to put up any flag on lamp posts or road signs” and calling for better coordination on the issue that should include local councils. But no new policies have developed.

Despite a dozen research and policy reports over more than two decades (including at least six with me as one of the authors) funded by British research organisations, the Northern Ireland government the Irish government and charities, the numbers of flags on lamp-posts remains in the tens of thousands.

Authorities find it difficult to decide how to handle flags in part because “policing” the use of the national flag looks unpatriotic. Nationalism and patriotism are so embedded within the discourses of nearly all of the major political parties that it’s impossible for politicians to tell the general public that they aren’t allowed to wrap themselves in the same symbols.

And so even if it is obvious the symbols are used as leverage in a racist or sectarian act of territory marking, those with authority are loathed to do anything about it.

Short of the legitimacy of “tradition” that is so powerful in Northern Ireland, the practice in England, Scotland, Wales or the rest of Ireland, might fade away. Or it might become embedded in a world of increased chauvinistic and xenophobic nationalism.


Want more politics coverage from academic experts? Every week, we bring you informed analysis of developments in government and fact check the claims being made.

Sign up for our weekly politics newsletter, delivered every Friday.


This article contains references to books that have been included for editorial reasons, and this may include links to bookshop.org. If you click on one of the links and go on to buy something from bookshop.org The Conversation UK may earn a commission.

The Conversation

Dominic Bryan receives funding from the ESRC and I have received funding from the AHRC, the Government of Northern Ireland and the Irish Government in the past.

I am a member of the Green Party.

ref. I’ve researched the politics of flags in Northern Ireland for decades – here’s what England needs to understand – https://theconversation.com/ive-researched-the-politics-of-flags-in-northern-ireland-for-decades-heres-what-england-needs-to-understand-264203

Ebony and ivory: why elephants and forests rise and fall together in the Congo Basin

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Matthew Scott Luskin, Researcher and Lecturer in Conservation Science, The University of Queensland

The forest elephants of the Congo Basin are critically endangered and face extinction.

They live in Africa’s largest forest, extending over the continent’s west and central regions. Large populations are found in Gabon and the Republic of Congo and smaller groups in Cameroon, the Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Côte d’Ivoire, Liberia, Ghana, Sierra Leone and Nigeria.

But ivory poaching means their numbers have plummeted by 86% over the past three decades.

The sharp reduction of their population has a knock-on effect on the Congo Basin forest itself. This is because African forest elephants are the rainforest’s gardeners. They disperse more plant species than any other animal, regenerating and reshaping plant communities.




Read more:
Cameroon’s Baka people say they are part of the forest: that’s why they look after it


I’m a conservation scientist and part of a research team of international and Cameroonian scientists who set out to examine how forest elephants interact with West African ebony trees.

We wanted to know if the decline of elephants had negative, cascading effects on other Congo Basin forest species. We focused on ebony because it was known to be a food for elephants and its wood is prized for numerous uses.

The research team set up tree plots and experiments in forests with and without elephants (often lost due to hunting). We used hidden cameras to record which animals ate ebony fruit and how ebony seeds enclosed in dung grew into seedlings. Our lead researcher, Vincent Deblauwe, spent years in the field conducting these experiments and even built a custom camera trap to observe ebony pollinators for the first time in the canopy.

We also collected ebony seeds from within elephant dung, manually planted them, and carefully monitored germination rates and seedling survival.

Additionally, the project developed cloning propagation methods to support future replanting of ebony trees and ebony plantations.

Our research found that forest elephants, a different and smaller species than savannah elephants, are tightly linked to ebony’s life cycle.

The impact of elephants

These little four-tonne elephants support ebony reproduction in at least two ways.

Distance matters: Elephants move the ebony seeds quite far away from the parent tree. This reduces the risk of ebony trees growing close together and inbreeding. Inbreeding weakens the genetics and lowers their chances of being resilient and adaptable to future environmental change.

Dung as armour: Elephants consume ebony fruits whole and the pulp is digested from around the seeds before they poop them out intact. We found digestion did not help the ebony seeds germinate. However, being encased in dung protected the seeds from rodents that eat and kill the seeds. This greatly improved the seeds’ chances of survival and germinating.




Read more:
DRC’s plan for the world’s largest tropical forest reserve would be good for the planet: can it succeed?


Our research found that there are nearly 70% fewer small (younger) ebony trees in the areas where elephants have disappeared. Most adult ebony trees alive today were dispersed by elephants decades ago because ebony is a slow growing wood that can take 50 years to begin reproducing, and 60 to 200 years to fully grow.

Our conclusion is that it is not certain that ebony trees in the Congo Basin will be able to survive naturally without the help of elephants.

Both elephants and rare ebony lie at the heart of the national heritage of Cameroon. By safeguarding elephants, Cameroon can protect the long-term viability of sustainably managed ebony and other valuable timbers.

A wake-up call for Central African forests

The West African ebony tree (Diospyros crassiflora) can grow up to 25 metres tall. It is a culturally iconic and economically valuable tree prized for its deep black heartwood. Ebony has been used for centuries to make carvings, piano keys and guitars due to its special harmonics.

Our research found that no other animals in the Congo Basin are able to disperse the ebony tree’s seeds in the same way. This has left a functional gap in the forest – one that current conservation strategies too often overlook. Forest elephants have been poached out of two-thirds of the ebony trees’ natural habitat so most of the Congo Basin’s adult ebony trees are in elephant-free areas. This means they won’t be able to get any help from elephants in dispersing or concealing their seeds within dung.




Read more:
Nigeria risks losing all its forest elephants – what we found when we went looking for them


It’s not only the future of ebony that’s at stake. Other large-seeded trees may also rely on elephants to move their seeds. Elephant declines could be quietly reshaping forests in ways scientists are only beginning to uncover.

The takeaway is clear: plant-animal interactions are not a luxury add-on to conservation plans; they’re foundational to keeping forests functioning.

What needs to happen next

There are already many efforts to protect elephants and the processes they drive. Sadly, these seem insufficient to date.

The most urgent conservation action is halting the killing of elephants for ivory. Reducing illegal logging of ebony trees is also important. Both of these can be accomplished by better education with local residents about the ecological and economic importance of elephants and ebony, and improved enforcement of existing poaching and logging regulations.

Another important step is monitoring less charismatic tree species that also depend on elephants. Similar plant-animal relationships and the species and services they provide might be at risk.




Read more:
Eyes in the sky and on the ground are helping forest conservation in Cameroon


Our project increases international research partnerships with Cameroon’s domestic experts and attracted expertise and funding for local institutions. For example, this research project provided education and capacity-building for Cameroonian researchers and practitioners, growing national expertise in biodiversity management.

Finally, African forest elephants don’t just live in the Congo Basin’s rainforests – they shape them. Increased poaching of elephants for ivory not only threatens the ebony tree – forest elephant declines can ripple through forest structure, biodiversity, and carbon storage.

This work was part of the Congo Basin Institute at UCLA and was largely funded by Taylor Guitars, which uses ebony for their instruments. They have invested nearly a decade in ebony research and conservation.

The Conversation

Matthew Scott Luskin receives funding from NASA, ARC, and the National Geographic Society.

ref. Ebony and ivory: why elephants and forests rise and fall together in the Congo Basin – https://theconversation.com/ebony-and-ivory-why-elephants-and-forests-rise-and-fall-together-in-the-congo-basin-264500

Lecornu en quête de majorité : comment nos voisins européens créent le consensus

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Damien Lecomte, Chercheur associé en sciences politiques, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

Dans les démocraties parlementaires européennes, des négociations – souvent longues – permettent la formation de coalitions gouvernementales fonctionnelles. En France, alors que le « bloc central » n’est pas majoritaire au Parlement, le nouveau premier ministre Sébastien Lecornu pourrait-il s’inspirer des pratiques éprouvées en Allemagne, en Belgique ou en Espagne, pour éviter l’échec de ses prédécesseurs ?


La nomination du troisième premier ministre proche d’Emmanuel Macron en à peine plus d’un an peut donner l’impression de poursuivre la même stratégie mise en échec par deux fois. En effet, ses orientations politiques et sa future coalition semblent, a priori, les mêmes que celles de Michel Barnier et de François Bayrou. Pourtant, un élément retient l’attention : Emmanuel Macron a chargé Sébastien Lecornu de « consulter les forces politiques représentées au Parlement en vue d’adopter un budget et [de] bâtir les accords indispensables aux décisions des prochains mois » avant de lui « proposer un gouvernement ». Cette démarche augure-t-elle une inflexion notable, tant sur le fond que sur la forme, et un mode de gouvernance se rapprochant des pratiques en vigueur dans les régimes parlementaires européens ?

La tradition parlementaire dans « les démocraties de consensus »

Après des législatives, dans les régimes dits « parlementaires » ou dans les « démocraties de consensus », les forces politiques consacrent souvent un temps important à négocier, dans l’objectif de conclure un accord, voire un contrat de gouvernement et de législature.
Dans la célèbre classification d’Arend Lijphart, ce dernier distingue les « démocraties de consensus » des « démocraties majoritaires » où le pouvoir est concentré dans une simple majorité, voire un seul parti et son chef, cas fréquent dans le modèle de Westminster (inspiré du Royaume-Uni, ndlr). Les « démocraties de consensus » sont celles où, par le mode de scrutin, par le système partisan et par la culture politique, des familles politiques aux orientations et intérêts parfois éloignés sont contraintes de se partager le pouvoir.

Les modalités de formation des gouvernements de coalition et des contrats de législature varient selon les pays et leurs propres traditions et systèmes partisans. Mais le principe central demeure le même : lorsqu’aucun parti ni aucune coalition préélectorale n’obtient de majorité suffisante pour prétendre gouverner, les forces parlementaires négocient un accord de compromis. Ce dernier comporte souvent deux aspects. D’une part, la répartition des postes ministériels, d’autre part, une base minimale de politiques publiques à mener – y compris pour obtenir un soutien sans participation ou une non-censure de la part des groupes qui n’entrent pas au gouvernement.

De telles négociations ont le défaut d’être souvent très longues – des semaines, voire des mois –, et parfois de passer par plusieurs échecs avant d’aboutir à un compromis à l’équilibre délicat. Toutefois, lorsque ce compromis est trouvé, il peut permettre une relative stabilité pendant plusieurs années, et a l’avantage de réunir des parlementaires qui représentent une majorité effective de l’électorat – tandis que les gouvernements français s’appuient sur un soutien populaire de plus en plus étroit.

L’Allemagne est prise en exemple pour sa tradition de coalitions. Celles-ci sont négociées pendant des semaines, formalisées dans des contrats prévoyant des politiques gouvernementales précises pour la durée du mandat. Après les élections fédérales du 26 septembre 2021, il a fallu attendre deux mois pour que soit signé un contrat de coalition inédite entre trois partis – sociaux-démocrates, écologistes et libéraux. En 2025, après les élections du 23 février, l’accord pour une nouvelle grande coalition entre conservateurs et socialistes n’est conclu que le 9 avril.

La période de discussion entre partis politiques représentés au Parlement peut même être encore plus longue. Le cas est fréquent en Belgique, où les divisions régionales et linguistiques s’ajoutent à la fragmentation partisane. Près de huit mois se sont ainsi écoulés entre l’élection de la Chambre des représentants, le 9 juin 2024, et la formation du nouveau gouvernement, entré en fonctions le 3 février 2025, composé de la « coalition Arizona » entre chrétiens-démocrates, socialistes, nationalistes flamands et libéraux wallons.

Les procédures sont largement routinisées. Après chaque scrutin fédéral, le roi des Belges nomme un « formateur » chargé de mener les consultations et négociations nécessaires pour trouver une majorité fonctionnelle pour gouverner. En cas de succès, le « formateur » devient alors le premier ministre. L’identification du formateur le plus susceptible de réussir sa mission est une prérogative non négligeable du souverain.

Lorsqu’un régime politique se heurte à une configuration partisane et parlementaire inédite, il arrive que l’adaptation à cette nouvelle donne prenne du temps. L’Espagne offre cet exemple. Après les élections générales d’avril 2019, aucune majorité claire ne s’est dégagée et Pedro Sanchez, président du gouvernement sortant et chef du Parti socialiste arrivé en tête, a d’abord voulu conserver un gouvernement minoritaire et uniquement socialiste. Ce n’est qu’après deux échecs lors de votes d’investiture en juillet, puis une dissolution et de nouvelles élections en novembre, que le Parti socialiste et Podemos se sont finalement mis d’accord sur un contrat de coalition pour un gouvernement formé en janvier 2020 – première coalition gouvernementale en Espagne depuis la fin de la IIe République (1931-1939).

Un élément notable de ces pratiques parlementaires est que l’identification du camp politique et du candidat en mesure de rassembler une majorité n’est pas toujours immédiatement évidente, et qu’un premier échec peut se produire avant de devoir changer d’option. Ainsi, en août 2023, toujours en Espagne, lorsque le roi a d’abord proposé la présidence du gouvernement au chef du Parti populaire (droite espagnole), arrivé en tête des élections de juillet. Ce n’est qu’après l’échec du vote d’investiture de ce dernier que Pedro Sanchez a pu à nouveau tenter sa chance. Grâce à un accord de coalition avec la gauche radicale Sumar et un accord de soutien sans participation avec les partis indépendantistes catalans et basques, il a finalement été réinvesti président du gouvernement.

Vers une lente parlementarisation du régime français ?

Au regard des pratiques dans les régimes parlementaires européens habitués aux hémicycles très fragmentés et sans majorité évidente, la France n’a pas su, jusqu’ici, gérer la législature ouverte par la dissolution de juin 2024. Le temps record (pour la France) passé entre l’élection de l’Assemblée nationale et la formation d’un gouvernement n’a pas été mis à profit.

Ainsi, malgré les consultations menées par le président Macron pour former le gouvernement, la coalition du « socle commun » entre le « bloc central » et le parti Les Républicains (LR), base des gouvernements Barnier et Bayrou, n’a fait l’objet d’aucune négociation préalable ni d’aucune sorte de contrat de législature. De même, les concessions faites par François Bayrou aux socialistes pour éviter la censure du budget 2025 n’ont pas donné lieu à un partenariat formalisé, et les relations se sont rapidement rompues.

En confiant à son nouveau chef de gouvernement, Sébastien Lecornu, la charge de mener les consultations pour « bâtir les accords indispensables », le président Macron semble avoir acté qu’il n’était pas en position de le faire lui-même. Reste que le premier ministre devra montrer, pour durer, une capacité à obtenir des accords et des compromis supérieure à celle de ses deux prédécesseurs – et pour cela, une volonté d’infléchir la politique gouvernementale.

Pour former son gouvernement, Sébastien Lecornu se tournera à l’évidence vers la reconduction du « socle commun » entre la macronie et le parti LR, lui qui est membre de la première et issu du second. Mais si la coalition gouvernementale est la même, le premier ministre peut innover en parvenant à un accord formel de non-censure avec au moins l’un des groupes d’opposition. Un tel accord devrait porter sur le budget 2026 et s’accompagner d’un engagement à laisser faire la délibération parlementaire sur chaque texte, en échange de l’absence de censure.

Sébastien Lecornu peut certes essayer de trouver son salut dans la tolérance de l’extrême droite, comme Michel Barnier l’a lui-même tenté à ses risques et périls. La détermination du Rassemblement national (RN) à obtenir une dissolution rend cet interlocuteur imprévisible. Si le premier ministre devait chercher la non-censure d’une partie de la gauche, alors il devrait pour cela leur faire des concessions substantielles. Car les socialistes estiment avoir été maltraités par François Bayrou malgré leur ouverture à la discussion, et risquent d’être moins enclins à faire un pas vers le gouvernement.

Une inflexion de la politique gouvernementale apte à trouver une majorité de compromis avec la gauche (solution par ailleurs plus conforme au front républicain des législatives de 2024) nécessiterait des avancés sur la taxation des plus riches, sur la réforme des retraites, sur les aides sans contrepartie aux entreprises ou sur la modération de l’effort budgétaire demandé aux ménages. Avec aussi l’impératif de faire accepter ces concessions aux membres du « socle commun » !

Le nouveau premier ministre a promis des « ruptures » tant sur la méthode que sur le fond et a donné des signaux en ce sens, avec la réouverture du débat sur les retraites. Des voix se font entendre, y compris parmi les LR, pour accepter l’idée d’une contribution des plus grandes fortunes à l’effort budgétaire. Si Sébastien Lecornu parvient effectivement à s’émanciper du bilan qu’Emmanuel Macron a, jusqu’ici, voulu défendre à tout prix, alors son gouvernement pourrait durer. Mais faute d’un vrai changement de fond de la politique gouvernementale, le changement de méthode risque de ne pas suffire à le préserver du sort de ses deux prédécesseurs.

The Conversation

Damien Lecomte ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. Lecornu en quête de majorité : comment nos voisins européens créent le consensus – https://theconversation.com/lecornu-en-quete-de-majorite-comment-nos-voisins-europeens-creent-le-consensus-265134

The digital movement that enables Indigenous people to show for themselves how the Amazon region is changing

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Carolina Machado Oliveira, Filmmaker, Senior Lecturer in Factual, Bournemouth University

Deep in the Amazon, sound designer Eric Terena has been capturing the sounds of the rainforest while sitting silently beneath the dense, towering treetops with his recording equipment. He has noticed some huge changes.

“What the environment once spoke, what biodiversity once sang, has shifted to sounds from industrial projects that have arrived in our territories,” said Terena, co-founder of Mídia Indígena, a Brazilian media and communications network which promotes and preserves Indigenous cultures.

His words describe more than a change in sound – they show how nature is gradually being replaced by machines. Ancestral songs have been drowned out by industrial noise. Terena shares these changes using digital tools to bring local stories to global audiences, turning lived experience into climate knowledge.

In our research with Indigenous communities in the Brazilian Amazon, we examine how film and other media technologies, from smartphones to social platforms, are being used to document environmental change, defend land rights and influence climate debates. Together with Indigenous leaders and the Intercultural Faculty in Mato Grosso, Brazil, we explore how “educommunication” – which combines media education with active community participation – can build the technical skills and political capacity that young communicators need to tell their stories to different audiences, from local villagers to global leaders.

As Cop30, the UN climate summit, comes to Brazil this November, our research shows how these digital tools are enabling Indigenous voices to help reshape global understanding of the climate crisis – ensuring their perspectives are present not only in cultural storytelling, but in international environmental decision-making.

A pivotal shift

This shift didn’t happen overnight. It began with a few voices that grew into a movement. Terena co-founded Mídia Indígena in 2017 at the Free Land Camp, a yearly Indigenous rights gathering in Brasília. Alongside him, a group of young Guajajara leaders (Indigenous peoples from Maranhão, Brazil) launched the platform, training 128 young Indigenous people how to report, record and share their stories. Mídia Indígena has grown quickly – its videos now receive more than 10 million views each year.

Erisvan Guajajara shares his experience of creating and growing the Mídia Indígena network.

At the heart of this work is a powerful idea: “Nothing about us, without us.” Indigenous people can now tell their own stories without relying on outsiders to speak for them. They decide what to film, how to tell a story, and who sees it.

The impact of this shift became clear during the Yanomami humanitarian crisis in early 2023. The Yanomami, one of the largest Indigenous groups in the Amazon, live across northern Brazil and southern Venezuela in territories deeply affected by illegal gold mining. That year, reports emerged of severe malnutrition, child deaths and mercury poisoning caused by mining operations contaminating rivers and destroying forest ecosystems.

Because Mídia Indígena’s reporters were already present in the territory, they were the first to document and publish evidence of the crisis. Their coverage not only exposed the immediate health emergency but also linked it to broader issues of environmental destruction and climate change. National and international outlets eventually followed with their own reports – but only after Indigenous journalists had already broken the story.

This was more than journalism; it was lived truth, rooted in a deep knowledge of the land. Mídia Indígena’s reporting had an authenticity that no outsider could match.

And they are not alone. Young communicators from Xingu+, a network from the Xingu River basin and surrounding Indigenous territories in Brazil, created a powerful video called Fire is burning the eyes of Xingu, showing illegal fires destroying parts of the Amazon. Their video caught the attention of the US Agency for International Development and the EU, emphasising how local stories can prompt global awareness.

Films by the Ijã Mytyli Manoki and Myki Cinema Collective, founded in 2020 by two neighbouring Indigenous peoples of Mato Grosso, show how traditional knowledge and rituals are being praised in Europe, even if they’re less known in Brazil. As filmmaker Renan Kisedjê said in the short film Our Grandparents Hunted Here, “we are digital warriors”. Where once bows and arrows defended the land, today cameras and smartphones continue the fight for land, rights and justice.

The short film Our Grandparents Hunted Here (www.peoplesplanetproject.org).

Challenging outdated ideas

Collectives such as Mídia Guarani are another part of this digital resistance. Their videos challenge outdated ideas about Indigenous life and show how deeply these communities are connected to both nature and technology.

But this storytelling is not only about identity – it’s about survival. These creators shine a light on urgent threat such as Brazil’s “devastation bill”, which seeks to weaken environmental safeguards by expanding environmental self-licensing and eroding protections for traditional territories. Such measures open the door to unchecked pollution and land grabs.

By reporting on dangers like this, Indigenous communicators seek to hold governments and corporations to account. Their stories do more than inform – they generate public pressure and demand change.

This shift matters internationally too. The UK has pledged £11.6 billion in climate finance between 2021 and 2026, including £3 billion for nature restoration and £1.5 billion for forests. Yet the Independent Commission for Aid Impact, an organisation that scrutinises UK aid spending, warns that changes in accounting may have “moved the goalposts”, inflating apparent spending without ensuring impact on the ground.

Much of this funding has traditionally flowed through large international charities and foundations, such as the Rainforest Foundation UK and the International Institute for Environment and Development, which work with Indigenous communities on mapping, monitoring, advocacy and sustainable policy.

Increasingly, however, Indigenous communities are speaking directly to funding donors and shaping allocations. This shift matters because they collectively manage vast areas of land critical to conservation. While many governments invest in expensive climate technologies, these communities have long protected ecosystems through practices proven over generations.

For the first time in the history of UN climate summits, large numbers of South American Indigenous people will attend Cop30 in November – both in person and online. For a long time, they’ve been building networks to fill the gap left by mainstream media. Now, these once silenced voices are loud, clear and deeply informed.

In late August, a hundred Indigenous reporters gathered in Belém for the 1st National Meeting of Indigenous Communication. Under the motto “Indigenous communication is resistance, territory and future”, they strengthened their networks and prepared collectively for COP30.

As the world’s most experienced environmental defenders gain more power in climate talks, their stories, and the way they tell them, will help shape the decisions that affect us all.


Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

Get a weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 45,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.


The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The digital movement that enables Indigenous people to show for themselves how the Amazon region is changing – https://theconversation.com/the-digital-movement-that-enables-indigenous-people-to-show-for-themselves-how-the-amazon-region-is-changing-261616

Charlie Kirk and the politics of rhetoric and division

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Rachael Jolley, International Affairs Editor, The Conversation

Republican political activist Charlie Kirk was killed as he spoke at a Utah Valley University event on September 10. Just three months earlier, Minnesotan House Democrat Melissa Hortman and her husband were shot and killed by a masked gunman.

According to a thinktank, the Institute of Strategic and International Studies, violence against those in US political life in the four years to 2024 was nearly triple the number of incidents in the previous 25 years combined.

Historically the killings of significant political figures has sometimes been the precursor to dramatic repression or further violence. The killing of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in 1914 led precipitously to the beginning of the first world war. The murder of German diplomat Ernst vom Rath by a Jewish refugee was used as a pretext for the slaying of Jews in Berlin and the justification for unleashing a wave of violence and destruction across Nazi Germany in what became known as Kristallnacht.

There are, of course, alternative lessons from historic moments. When British MP Jo Cox was slain on the streets of Birstall, near Leeds, in 2016, politicians from across the divide condemned it. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn and Conservative prime minister David Cameron visited the town where Cox was murdered together: a symbol of political unity against violence.

Violent speech

Political violence is defined by the United Nations as that which is intended to achieve political goals or intimidate opponents through the use of physical force or threats to influence a political outcome or silence dissent. Katie Pruszynski, who researches political violence at the University of Sheffield, finds that the use of polarising and extreme language in debate has stoked up something she calls “hyperpartisanship”, where opponents have become “enemies” and those with different worldviews have become “traitors”. This tension stokes distrust and radicalisation, she warns. So then, this fits within the framework of the US president’s immediate reaction. In a video published on X, Trump vowed to root out “the radical left” whose rhetoric is “directly responsible” for Kirk’s killing.




Read more:
Charlie Kirk shooting: another grim milestone in America’s long and increasingly dangerous story of political violence


Melissa Butcher, a professor emeritus at Royal Holloway, University of London, researches political polarisation, and its causes. She also spent time listening to Kirk’s speeches at the conservative rally AmericaFest in 2021.

As part of her work on the political and ideological divides in the US, Butcher has listened to conversations in all sorts of locations, from social clubs to shooting ranges and offices. Those discussions suggest a widespread feeling that community is breaking down. She has talked to Americans who believe that the promise of an affluent future is disappearing in the face of environmental collapse and successive financial crises.

News breaks of the killing of US political activist Charlie Kirk.

Her research suggests that some Americans now see the world as scary and unsafe. And these emotions can provoke rage as well as despair. But more hopefully, she found, that many people want hope, safety and to live in a caring community.




Read more:
Charlie Kirk was emblematic of a country polarised and imploding


Religion and debate

To outsiders the significant role of religion in US politics can come as a shock. Quotes from the Bible regularly make an appearance in speeches and questions about church attendance are thrown at candidates. Gordon Lynch, a professor of religion at the University of Edinburgh, has studied Kirk’s leadership in the white Christian nationalist movement within the US.

For Christian nationalists, the idea of the separation of church and state acknowledges not having an official state church. But the complete separation of Christianity from public institutions is anathema and secular institutions such as public schools and universities are often regarded as hostile ground, says Lynch.

Lynch notes the role of Kirk’s organisation, Turning Point USA, in calling on students to name and shame professors who they judged to have problematic or socialist views, and creating a watchlist. But he also feels that a different part of Kirk’s legacy could be acknowledging the activist’s commitment to debate with, and listen to, those whose views he disagreed with. And this could be extremely valuable in the current climate, if stressed by Republican leaders.




Read more:
Charlie Kirk: why the battle over his legacy will divide even his most ardent admirers


On the borders of Europe, an emergency

Meanwhile, another crisis which needs the US president’s attention is unravelling on the other side of the Atlantic, on the Polish border with Russia. Putin’s drones ventured into Polish airspace and were shot down by Nato fighter jets. Many see this as Russian president, Vladimir Putin, testing the mettle of the Nato allies to find out the level of their response.

Poland immediately invoked article 4 of the Nato treaty. The alliance’s members met to discuss the threat and the UN security council are due to meet on September 12 about the incident. Stern words have been issued and troops dispatched to Nato’s eastern border. But Stefan Wolff from the University of Birmingham, believes that Putin will not be worried by the west’s response. As Wolff observes, the Russian leader will be buoyed by his military’s recent advances on the battlefield. He’ll also be basking in the warmth of recent talks with Xi Jinping of China, Narendra Modi of India and Kim Jong-un of North Korea. So Nato’s response is hardly likely to have him rattled.




Read more:
Russian drones over Poland is a serious escalation – here’s why the west’s response won’t worry Putin


Russia’s future plans to add more territory (not just areas that it currently controls within Ukraine) were laid out in detail by the University of Aberystwyth’s Jenny Mathers, who researches the war in Ukraine, this week. At a briefing given by Russia’s chief of the general staff, Valery Gerasimov, that has now come to light, a map was shown in the background suggesting Russia’s intention to claim the areas around Odesa and Mykolaiv along the coast of the Black Sea. These would give Moscow important economic and strategic control of sea routes but also potential to create a land corridor to Transnistria, a pro-Russia breakaway region within Moldova that seeks independence.




Read more:
Russia has provided fresh evidence of its territorial ambitions in Ukraine


The upcoming Moldovan election on September 28 must be recognised as another struggle to maintain European security in the face of Russian aggression, says Amy Eagleston, a political scientist at Leiden University. Eagleston points to Russian cyber interference in a past Moldovan election as evidence for worries about what could happen this time. She stresses Moldova’s strategic position as a support for Ukraine, under its current government. Things could change fast, she warns.




Read more:
Why Moldova’s election is important for the whole of Europe


Israel’s unprecedented strike

Another strike that shook the world this week was Israel’s unprecedented airstrike on the Qatari capital of Doha where Hamas officials were discussing a peace deal. This was the first time that Israel had directly attacked a Gulf state.

Scott Lucas, an international politics professor at University College Dublin and an expert on the Israel/Gaza crisis, argues that this showed the current Israeli government was not willing to engage in any kind of peace negotiation. It was, he said, clearly ready to level parts of Gaza City, kill Hamas’s leadership and completely break up the organisation. Lucas believes there will be no more talk of a ceasefire with Hamas, only capitulation.




Read more:
Middle East leaders condemn Israel’s attack on Qatar as Netanyahu ends all talk of Gaza ceasefire – expert Q&A


Long arm of the law?

In a week when international law was being tested to its outer limits, James Sweeney, a professor of law at Lancaster University, spoke up for its long-term relevance and his belief that it would outlast political careers.

History shows that leaders who once seemed untouchable have eventually faced justice in one form or another, said Sweeney, pointing to the Nuremberg trials of Nazis and how former Chilean leader Augusto Pinochet died awaiting trial for human rights abuses to house arrest. Pinochet may well have believed that would never happen to him. It did.

Something for today’s leaders to contemplate carefully.




Read more:
International law isn’t dead. But the impunity seen in Gaza urgently needs to be addressed



Sign up to receive our weekly World Affairs Briefing newsletter from The Conversation UK. Every Thursday we’ll bring you expert analysis of the big stories in international relations.


The Conversation

ref. Charlie Kirk and the politics of rhetoric and division – https://theconversation.com/charlie-kirk-and-the-politics-of-rhetoric-and-division-265149

Bolsonaro joins a rogues’ gallery of coup plotters held to account for their failed power grab

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By John Joseph Chin, Assistant Teaching Professor of Strategy and Technology, Carnegie Mellon University

Soon to be exchanging blinds with bars? Sergio Lima/AFP via Getty Images

Jair Bolsonaro’s conviction on Sept. 11, 2025, puts the former Brazilian president in a rogues’ gallery of failed coup plotters to be held to account for their attempted power grab.

Brazil’s Supreme Court found Bolsonaro guilty of being part of an armed criminal organization and other counts relating to a coup plot to overturn the ex-president’s 2022 election defeat to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Prosecutors had earlier argued that Bolsonaro and others discussed a scheme to assassinate Lula and incited a riot on Jan. 8, 2023, in hopes that Brazil’s military would intervene and return Bolsonaro to power.

Four of the five justices on the panel voted to convict. Justice Cármen Lúcia, who was among the majority, said that the right-winger acted “with the purpose of eroding democracy and institutions.” sentenced to 27 years and three months behind bars, but is expected to appeal the verdict.

As political scientists who have documented the fate of hundreds of coup leaders in the book “Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups D’état,” we have collected a dataset of every coup attempt since the end of World War II. Bolsonaro is now one of thousands of coup plotters who have been brought to justice.

Not all coup plotters are held accountable for their actions. And even for those, like Bolsonaro, who are – it doesn’t necessarily mark the end of their political ambitions.

Men and women fill a street with smoke swirling around.
Supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro clash with police outside the Planalto Palace in Brasilia on Jan. 8, 2023.
Evaristo Sa/AFP via Getty Images

Coup and punishments

Plotting a coup is risky business. Some of those who attempt to seize or usurp power unconstitutionally are killed during their takeover bid, particularly when security forces loyal to the incumbent leader foil the attack. Christian Malanga, an exiled former army captain who led a violent attempt to seize power in the Democratic Republic of Congo, is one such example. He was killed in the ensuing shootout in May 2024.

But most leaders of failed coups survive.

And although they typically face punishment, the severity of consequences varies greatly; it often depends on whether the attempt is a self-coup, which is a power grab by an incumbent leader, or an attempt to oust a sitting government.

The most common fate of failed self-coup leaders in democracies is impeachment and removal from office, as occurred to Indonesia’s Abdurrahman Wahid in July 2001, Ecuador’s Lucio Gutiérrez in April 2005, Peru’s Pedro Castillo in December 2022, and South Korea’s Yoon Suk Yeol in April 2025.

Some coup plotters and their co-conspirators are charged in a court and, if convicted, sent to prison. Malanga’s American co-conspirators were ultimately sentenced to life in prison in April 2025.

A similar fate has now befallen Bolsonaro. His conviction means that unless successful on appeal, Bolsonaro could end his days in confinement.

Still, it could have been worse – failed coupmakers are often punished outside of independent courts, where the penalty is often more severe. Coup plotters have been summarily executed or sentenced to death by a military tribunal or a “people’s court.” The longtime Zairean dictator Mobutu Sese Seko executed over a dozen junior officers and civilians after his government uncovered an alleged coup plot in 1978.

One recent estimate suggests 40% of coup conspirators suffer relatively light punishment. Many coup backers are simply demoted or purged from the government without facing trial or execution. An especially popular move is to send coup plotters into exile to discourage their supporters from mobilizing against the regime. Former Haitian president Dumarsais Estimé was forced into exile after his self-coup attempt failed in May 1950; he died in the U.S. a few years later.

Punishment doesn’t always end threat

The problem facing governments is that failed putschists pose a lingering political threat. Ousted leaders often plot “counter-coups” to return to power. For example, former president of the Philippines Ferdinand Marcos, after being ousted in the 1986 People Power movement, masterminded coup plots from exile, though he never returned to power.

Some succeed, such as David Dacko, who returned from exile to grab power in the Central African Republic in 1979, but only with the help of French forces.

Even when convicted or exiled, coup plotters may be later freed. Some members of Brazil’s Congress had already, prior to the verdict, introduced a bill that could grant Bolsonaro amnesty.

A few former failed coup leaders manage to come to power later. Ghana’s Jerry Rawlings led a failed coup in May 1979 but went on to seize power in subsequent coups in June 1979 and 1981; Hugo Chavez was convicted and jailed for leading a failed coup in 1992 but ended up being elected president in Venezuela in 1998.

The risk of coup leaders going unpunished

Only one failed self-coup leader, as designated in our dataset, has managed to retain office – from where he worked, critics say, to successfully dismantle democracy: El Salvador’s strongman, Nayib Bukele. In February 2020, amid a standoff with the political opposition, Bukele threatened to dissolve the Legislature, bringing with him armed soldiers to occupy the legislative assembly.

Though Bukele temporarily backed down, he faced no legal or political backlash. His party won a legislative supermajority in 2021, and he won reelection in 2024. Bukele’s ruling party recently lifted presidential term limits, allowing him to potentially rule for life.

The good news about punishing unsuccessful coup plotters is that because they’ve failed, they do not have to be coaxed out of power. Thus, holding them accountable for their actions should deter future plotters from attempting the same thing. In contrast, for a leader who has done unsavory things while still in office – such as killing domestic dissidents or committing war crimes – the threat of punishment once they leave power can backfire by giving them a reason to fight to stay in power.

In the long term, failed coup leaders who escape punishment are more likely to make a political comeback.

When defeated at the polls, both Donald Trump and Bolsonaro tried to overturn the official results. Both attempted to alter vote totals after they had lost and block an election winner from being inaugurated.

But for Trump there was no censure or punishment, and he is now back in power, where he has weakened the checks and balances that we and other political scientists see as crucial for the preservation of liberty and growing economic prosperity.

In contrast, a conviction for Bolsonaro means it is now unlikely he will follow the same path to political resurrection. Even if he’s eventually pardoned, a guilty verdict makes him ineligible to compete again for Brazil’s presidency.

This is an updated version of an article that was first published in The Conversation on Sept. 8, 2025.

The Conversation

Joe Wright received funding for research on coups from the National Science Foundation and the Minerva Research Initiative.

John Joseph Chin does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Bolsonaro joins a rogues’ gallery of coup plotters held to account for their failed power grab – https://theconversation.com/bolsonaro-joins-a-rogues-gallery-of-coup-plotters-held-to-account-for-their-failed-power-grab-265170

‘Liberal’ has become a term of derision in US politics – the historical reasons are complicated

Source: The Conversation – Global Perspectives – By Russell Blackford, Conjoint Senior Lecturer in Philosophy, University of Newcastle

Statue of Liberty, New York. Celso Flores, via Wikimedia Commons, CC BY

Kevin M. Schultz is Chair of the Department of History at the University of Illinois Chicago, where he specialises in 20th- and 21st-century American history. In Why Everyone Hates White Liberals (Including White Liberals), he explores how the word liberal – and particularly its variant white liberal – became a term of derision across the American political spectrum.

Why, he asks, are so many Americans unwilling to identify as liberals, white or otherwise, even while supporting government programs that fall squarely within the American liberal tradition?


Review: Why Everyone Hates White Liberals (Including White Liberals): A History – Kevin M. Schultz (University of Chicago Press)


Why Everyone Hates White Liberals is written by an American academic for an American audience. It tries to assess the current political situation in the United States in the light of history. It asks how American liberals should respond to a situation where they are often viewed with disdain.

The book’s relevance is less obvious for those of us who live outside the US, but it promises to shed light on America’s political volatility and culture warring, which eventually affect us all in one way or another.

This thing called liberalism

Unfortunately, liberalism defies definition. Its roots can be traced to early European modernity, and especially to debates over religious toleration in the 16th and 17th centuries. Its more immediate background was the 18th-century Age of Enlightenment, culminating in great revolutions in America and France.

From the beginning of the 19th century, liberalism evolved into something distinct, with its own name, founding figures and institutions. It responded to a changed world marked by population growth, revolutionary turmoil, an expanding sphere of public discussion in Europe and North America, and the beginnings of industrialisation and corporate capitalism.

Schultz skates over this quickly, but he correctly refers to Madame de Staël and Benjamin Constant as originating figures in 19th-century France, and to Spain and Sweden as pioneers in the rise of liberal political parties.

Portrait of Madame de Staël – Marie-Éléonore Godefroid.
After François Gérard, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

It’s worth adding that, as liberalism took its early forms, it had input from numerous groups. These included religious non-conformists, free-market economists inspired by Adam Smith, utilitarian philosophers, and European thinkers (such as de Staël and Constant) who admired the French Revolution in its early years before the Reign of Terror.

Given its mix of influences, liberalism never became a unified ideology or political theory. It was more a tradition or tendency in politics. It took many directions, frequently questioned itself, discarded old ideas and embraced new ones, and changed emphases in response to emerging circumstances.

Comprehensive histories of liberalism give the impression of a chameleon-like quality. At different times, liberals have accommodated economic policies from unfettered free-market capitalism to a degree of socialism. Confronted with such a rich – or even contradictory – tradition, we might feel at a loss in giving liberalism any recognisable content.

Still, we can find some common themes. At a certain level of abstraction, liberalism favours toleration, individual freedom, acceptance of social pluralism, and cautious optimism about the possibilities for intellectual and social progress. With these core ideas go more specific political principles, including free speech, secular government, and the rule of law. To this we can add values such as individuality, creativity and suspicion of hierarchies of birth.

With that in mind, it’s usually clear enough what is being alleged if someone is accused, in a political context, of being “illiberal”. The accusation suggests intolerance, especially of opposed viewpoints or unusual ways of life, and hostility to individual freedom.

People who advertise themselves as liberals can sometimes be revealed as illiberal in this broad sense. If that sounds paradoxical, the paradox is easily resolved as long as we’re clear about what concepts are in play.

American liberals

After a sketchy introduction to liberalism, Schultz zooms in on the 1930s in the US, when the depression-era presidential rivals Herbert Hoover and Franklin D. Roosevelt each claimed to be a true liberal. As Schultz observes, few Americans before this had thought of themselves as liberals.

In the 1930s, Franklin D. Roosevelt defined the word liberal for the purposes of US electoral politics.
Vincenzo Laviosa, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.

Roosevelt succeeded in redefining the words liberal and liberalism for the purposes of American electoral politics. In Roosevelt’s usage, they meant openness to new kinds of government intervention to address social problems. Thereafter, American liberalism can trace its history from the 1930s New Deal. It came to mean, in large part, policies of wealth redistribution and economic intervention.

Roosevelt’s success as a national leader lent prestige to his redefined conception of liberalism. For several decades, it attracted allegiance across social and political divides.

For Schultz, therefore, American liberalism in the New Deal tradition means “generosity of spirit and expansion of individual freedom” or using the power of the state “to ensure individual freedom for the maximum number of people”.

These definitions fall within the general tradition of liberalism, but they have a more specific suggestion of government interventions for the common good.

That might seem attractive as a political vision – so what went wrong?

Liberalism unravels

As Schultz tells the story, by the late 1950s and early 1960s, some figures on America’s left were losing patience with what they saw as a stultifying, bureaucratic, politically timid liberal establishment.

Schultz pinpoints 1964 as a key year when American liberalism began to lose its prestige. As he describes in detail, there was a marked change in political tone between 1963 and 1964, when Black radicals started to criticise white liberal allies, whom they had come to regard as spineless and hypocritical. From this point, white liberal crystallised as a term of abuse on the political Left.

Schultz appears sympathetic to the Black civil rights leaders of the time, whose impatience with the pace of change was understandable. But he also reminds us of the considerable effort, self-sacrifice and achievements of white liberals during the 1950s and early 1960s, culminating in dramatic initiatives such as the landmark Civil Rights Act.

Part of the problem was a mismatch, not only of priorities, but perceptions of what was realistically achievable. As radical left-wing movements emerged during the 1960s, their leaders distanced themselves from liberals and liberalism.

American liberals endured much worse from the conservative side of politics. During the “long” 1960s – the decade and a half from the late 1950s to the early 1970s – there was a right-wing backlash. Key conservative figures, such as William F. Buckley, ceded the term liberal to their opponents, which Herbert Hoover had refused to do in the 1930s. Then they attacked it and everything that it stood for within their understanding.

Conservatives like William F. Buckley associated ‘liberals’ with radical politics.
Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Political conservatives associated liberals with radical politics, atheism, communism, and what Schultz refers to as “cultural effeteness”. Richard Nixon and Spiro Agnew weaponised this narrative in the the 1972 presidential election and inflicted a catastrophic defeat on the Democratic Party’s candidate, George McGovern.

Schultz sees the term liberal as having been abandoned during the 1970s, in the sense that almost nobody in politics or public debate wanted to identify with it. Instead, it was used to label others. More recently, liberalism has been blamed for the harshest outcomes of what is known as neoliberalism, although the latter has little to do with traditional liberal ideas such as individual freedom, social toleration, or the rule of law.

The term neoliberal has a history dating back to at least the 1930s, but has been applied to regimes and administrations not otherwise regarded as liberal. As Schultz reminds us, it was first applied pejoratively to the economic policies of the brutal Chilean dictator Augusto Pinochet.

Schultz emphasises an “owning the libs” strategy that has recently prevailed on the American right. Anybody with even slightly left-wing, liberal or progressive tendencies is now painted by conservatives as an unhinged radical deserving of mockery and political, if not personal, destruction. The “libs” have thus become an imaginary enemy against which disparate groups on the right can unify and rally.

Ironically, historic liberal reforms in areas such as health care and social security remain widely popular with the American electorate, but the actual words liberal and liberalism seem to have become toxic.

Some deeper issues

In explaining the challenges to American liberalism during the long 1960s, Schultz adds to our understanding. Yet Why Everyone Hates White Liberals is seriously incomplete: it glosses over important issues and entire decades.

I can only go so far in exploring what it omits, but for a start, Schultz ignores important developments in the late 1970s and the 1980s. This was a time marked by fraught debates over censorship, pornography, abortion and numerous other hot-button issues. These debates severely tested what liberalism stood for in the US.

As the legal scholar Owen M. Fiss has argued, the debates of that era revealed “liberalism divided”. On the left side of politics, identity-based demands, (mild) socialist influences, and activist approaches to legal interpretation increasingly clashed with the liberal instinct to restrain government power and support individual freedom. This rupture within American liberalism, or perhaps within America’s broader political left, has never healed.

At one point, Schultz drops a clue to some of the deeper issues. Following the historian David L. Chappell, he identifies a fundamental disconnect between white liberal reformers in the 1960s and the Black activists who came to despise them. Despite some common goals, they had different temperaments and worldviews, grounded in different experiences and cultural histories.

The white liberals’ optimism about human nature and the possibilities for incremental progress clashed with the Black activists’ prophetic sensibility, their more pessimistic view of human nature, and their demands for national repentance and total transformation of American society.

This points to a larger problem that only became more difficult in the decades that followed. It’s one thing to defend the rights and freedoms of one or another oppressed group, viewing the issues from a traditional liberal perspective. It’s a different thing to defend a group’s rights and freedoms by adopting whatever ideology or rationalisation the group itself (or its leaders) might develop.

Moreover, as oppressed groups recognise each other’s struggles and form pragmatic political coalitions, they tend to see analogies between each other’s causes and attempt an ideological synthesis. As they do so, they are likely to seek insights from whatever sources they can find. Importantly, they needn’t confine themselves to ideas and thinkers from the liberal political tradition.

A demonstration by members of the Black Panther Party on the steps of the Washington State Capitol building in Olympia, Washington, February 28, 1969.
CIR Online, via Wikimedia Commons, CC BY

Thus, liberals can find themselves supporting demographic groups whose representatives are, in turn, nourished by various kinds of religious fervour – or else by Marxism, feminism, postmodernism and other -isms that are not especially concerned with liberalism’s traditional ideas, such as freedom and toleration. Goals might be shared at a high conceptual level, but with starkly different perceptions of legitimate methods and acceptable costs.

In this setting, liberals face a conundrum. How far should they maintain traditional liberal ideals, and how far should they move towards non-liberal, and potentially illiberal, ideologies if these seem more promising for the purposes of social change?

When rapid and comprehensive change seems imperative, might this justify illiberal methods, such as attempts to control what people say and think? In the past, revolutionaries have often believed so, but the conflict with traditional liberalism is obvious.

Yet Schultz appears dismissive of any idea that American liberals sometimes veer in illiberal directions, or that this might undermine their credentials if they still claim to be part of the broader liberal tradition springing from the Enlightenment.

Useful, but frustrating

Why Everyone Hates White Liberals offers a useful, if limited, defence of America’s (white) liberals and their achievements, particularly in the face of unfair criticism and derision since the 1960s.

As far it goes, the book’s history is accurate. But it is incomplete, and hand-in-hand with this there’s a frustrating analytical shallowness.

For Schultz, the actual words liberal and liberalism are irredeemable in the US. For all I know, this might be correct (though it might also be slightly hyperbolic). Be that as it may, Schultz backs off examining how the problems for American liberals go deeper than slogans and words. These problems deserve a bolder reckoning.

The Conversation

Russell Blackford does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. ‘Liberal’ has become a term of derision in US politics – the historical reasons are complicated – https://theconversation.com/liberal-has-become-a-term-of-derision-in-us-politics-the-historical-reasons-are-complicated-262217

Charlie Kirk, le martyr du trumpisme

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Jérôme Viala-Gaudefroy, Spécialiste de la politique américaine, Sciences Po

« Du fait de cet acte de haine, la voix de Charlie est devenue plus grande et sera plus entendue que jamais auparavant. » C’est par ces mots que Donald Trump a conclu son intervention de quatre minutes consacrée à l’assassinat, ce 10 septembre, de Charlie Kirk, 31 ans, en plein discours pendant sa tournée « American Comeback Tour », sur le campus de l’université d’Utah Valley, à Orem, dans l’État de l’Utah. Qui était Charlie Kirk (dont l’assassin n’a toujours pas été arrêté au moment de la publication de cet entretien) ? Comment son influence se déployait-elle ? Que dit son assassinat du climat actuel aux États-Unis ? Et quelles pourraient en être les conséquences ? Ce sont les questions que nous avons posées à Jérôme Viala-Gaudefroy, spécialiste de la politique américaine et de la rhétorique des présidents des États-Unis.


Quelle était la place de Charlie Kirk au sein de la galaxie trumpiste ?

C’était avant tout – mais pas exclusivement, tant s’en faut – l’un des principaux porte-voix de Donald Trump auprès de la jeunesse. S’il a été assassiné à un âge très jeune, cela faisait déjà longtemps qu’il était bien connu des Américains.

En 2012, avant même d’avoir vingt ans, au moment où Barack Obama était en train d’achever son premier mandat et s’apprêtait à effectuer son second, il avait créé Turning Point USA, une organisation destinée à rassembler les étudiants conservateurs, et qui a rapidement obtenu les faveurs de nombreux riches donateurs. Kirk n’a pas terminé ses études ; il s’est lancé à corps perdu dans la politique. Les financements de TPUSA, dont Kirk est resté le président jusqu’à sa mort, n’ont cessé de croître au cours des années suivantes et l’organisation a pris une grande ampleur, cherchant notamment, à travers son programme « Professor Watchlist », à répertorier et dénoncer les enseignants universitaires jugés trop à gauche.

Kirk a été repéré par les trumpistes et, s’il n’était au départ pas convaincu par le milliardaire new-yorkais (il était plutôt proche du Tea Party), il s’est vite totalement fondu dans son mouvement, se rapprochant nettement de son fils, Donald Trump Junior, et participant activement aux campagnes de 2016, 2020 et bien sûr 2024.

Il a joué un rôle non négligeable dans la victoire de Trump contre Kamala Harris, notamment grâce au succès de ses nombreuses tournées sur les campus, où il aimait à polémiquer publiquement avec des étudiants aux idées contraires aux siennes. Il faut d’ailleurs lui reconnaître un certain courage : il n’a jamais hésité à aller se confronter au camp opposé. Et comme il avait indéniablement un grand sens de la répartie et savait très bien mettre ses adversaires en colère et les cueillir d’une petite phrase bien sentie, ses duels oratoires ont donné lieu à de nombreuses vidéos virales qui ont eu un grand succès sur le Net parmi les jeunes de droite et, aussi, auprès de certains qui s’interrogeaient encore. Au-delà, ses messages adressés à une jeunesse conservatrice qui se sentait souvent en minorité dans le monde universitaire ont porté leurs fruits.

Un peu comme les militants de la campagne Obama de 2008, il a consacré une grande partie de ses efforts à convaincre les jeunes qui n’étaient pas inscrits sur les listes électorales à s’enregistrer – et donc à voter Trump. Et une fois la victoire de Trump obtenue, il a continué à soutenir sans relâche le président. Comme une partie considérable du mouvement MAGA, il a fait la moue quand Trump a déclaré que le dossier Epstein, dont ses partisans attendaient qu’il en révèle le contenu, supposément explosif pour les démocrates, était vide. Mais il s’est vite rangé derrière le président sur ce point.

Sur le fond, son positionnement était assez classique au sein du monde trumpiste : ultra-conservatisme sur les questions sociétales (dénonciation des lois favorables aux personnes LGBT et de l’affirmative action, assimilation de l’avortement à un meurtre), religiosité portée en bandoulière (il était un fervent chrétien évangélique), hostilité assumée à l’immigration (systématiquement comparée à une invasion) et à l’islam, climato-scepticisme, rejet des mesures sanitaires prises pour endiguer la pandémie de Covid-19, refus de la moindre entrave au port d’armes, alignement sur Israël, mansuétude voire sympathie à l’égard de Vladimir Poutine, etc.

Sur la forme, il avait été très inspiré par Rush Limbaugh, le fameux animateur de radio de droite radicale, très influent durant plusieurs décennies passés, volontiers clivant et provocateur, et à qui il a rendu un hommage appuyé quand ce dernier est décédé en 2021.

Dans sa réaction postée peu après l’annonce de la mort de Kirk, Donald Trump n’a pas hésité à en imputer la responsabilité à la gauche radicale, et à rapprocher ce qui venait de se produire non seulement de la tentative d’assassinat qui l’avait visé lui-même le 13 juillet dernier, mais aussi de celle commise contre l’élu républicain Steve Scalise en 2017 et, peut-être plus inattendu, de l’assassinat du PDG de UnitedHealthcare Brian Thompson à New York en décembre dernier, et des actes de violence à l’encontre de certains agents de ses services de lutte contre l’immigration illégale (ICE) lorsque ceux-ci arrêtent des migrants supposément clandestins…

Il a parlé de ces actes de violence-là, mais il n’a pas évoqué le tout récent meurtre d’une élue démocrate du Minnesota et de son époux par un homme qui avait sur lui une liste d’élus démocrates à abattre.

Trump présente l’assassinat de Kirk non pas comme le produit de l’ambiance détestable que l’on perçoit aujourd’hui dans le monde politique des États-Unis, et dont les représentants de tous les bords politiques sont les cibles de façon récurrente, mais uniquement comme la traduction en actes concrets des discours virulents dont les trumpistes font l’objet de la part de leurs adversaires – militants politiques et médias « mainstream » confondus. Ce faisant, et comme il fallait s’y attendre de sa part, il élude totalement sa propre responsabilité dans la déréliction de ce climat politique.




À lire aussi :
Donald Trump à l’assaut des médias publics aux États-Unis


Trump n’est évidemment pas le premier politicien du pays à tenir un discours très agressif à l’encontre de ses opposants, mais jamais un président ne s’était exprimé comme il le fait chaque jour, avec une violence verbale constante encore soulignée par ses postures martiales et son recours récurrent aux messages en majuscules sur les réseaux sociaux. Cette manière de s’exprimer a largement infusé le débat public – cela dans le contexte de l’explosion des réseaux sociaux, propices comme chacun sait à la mise en avant des messages les plus virulents.




À lire aussi :
Les mots de Trump : les ressorts d’une rhétorique efficace


Les partisans de Trump, qu’il s’agisse de dirigeants politiques de premier plan ou d’éditorialistes de droite dure, rivalisent donc de formules à l’emporte-pièce. On l’a encore vu ces dernières heures après la mort de Kirk, quand des personnalités comme Elon Musk, Laura Loomer, Steve Bannon et bien d’autres ont appelé à la vengeance et dénoncé non seulement la gauche radicale mais aussi la gauche dans son ensemble, Musk tweetant par exemple que « la gauche est le parti du meurtre » – soulignons à cet égard que les trois anciens présidents démocrates toujours en vie, à savoir Bill Clinton, Barack Obama et Joe Biden, ont tous trois condamné avec la plus grande fermeté l’assassinat de Kirk, et que des leaders de la gauche du Parti démocrate comme Bernie Saunders, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ou encore Zohran Mamdani en ont fait de même.

Pour autant, et même si aucune personnalité de premier plan ne s’est réjouie de la mort de Kirk, la gauche n’est évidemment pas immunisée contre ce durcissement, cette radicalisation du discours, cette trumpisation du discours en fait, qu’on observe parfois sous une forme ironique, comme quand le gouverneur de Californie, Gavin Newsom, reprend les codes de communication de Trump, mais qui prend aussi, sur les réseaux et dans certaines manifestations, des tonalités extrêmement agressives. Ce n’est d’ailleurs pas un hasard si Trump a mentionné le meurtre de Brian Thompson par Luigi Mangione, un meurtre que certaines voix se revendiquant de la gauche radicale ont salué.




À lire aussi :
Luigi Mangione, accusé d’assassinat et glorifié sur Internet : ce que cette affaire dit des États-Unis


Les trumpistes ont beau jeu de se scandaliser des formules les plus excessives du camp d’en face, assimilé à une meute violente ; les adversaires de Trump, sous l’effet de cette intensification des débats, répondent avec encore plus de virulence ; c’est un cercle vicieux qui imprègne les esprits. Et bien qu’on ne sache rien à cette heure de l’identité du tireur, il faut souligner que cette hystérisation, cette colère mutuelle, a nécessairement des effets sur le grand public, y compris sur les nombreuses personnes ayant des problèmes psychiatriques et susceptibles de passer à l’acte – l’homme qui a essayé de tuer Trump en juillet dernier avait d’ailleurs ce profil.

Donald Trump et Charlie Kirk lors d’un meeting en juillet 2021.
Gage Skidmore/The Star News Network, CC BY-NC

Tout cela a des traductions très concrètes. L’année dernière, une étude du Brennan Center a montré que le nombre de menaces visant des personnalités politiques, locales ou nationales, avait triplé entre 2017 et 2024. Les élus, mais aussi les militants politiques, à tous les niveaux, ainsi que les juges, ont peur. Entre 2020 et 2024, 92 % des élus ont pris des mesures de sécurité supplémentaires pour réduire les risques pesant contre eux-mêmes et contre les processus électoraux. Le climat est plus délétère que jamais.

Le contexte que vous décrivez est d’autant plus crispé que Donald Trump est actuellement dans une confrontation ouverte avec plusieurs villes et États dirigés par des démocrates, où il fait intervenir l’armée afin de mener à bien ses procédures d’expulsion, et aussi en tension maximale avec de nombreux juges de divers niveaux, jusqu’à la Cour suprême, du fait de ses tentatives de s’arroger toujours plus de prérogatives. Au vu des appels à durcir le ton face à la gauche venus du camp républicain, est-il envisageable que la mort de Kirk soit le prétexte invoqué pour adopter de nouveaux décrets qui donneraient au président encore plus de pouvoir ?

C’est loin d’être impossible. Trump a du mal à faire passer de nouvelles lois – il faut pour cela disposer de 60 sièges au Sénat, ce qui n’est pas le cas. Mais il use et abuse des décrets présidentiels. Ceux-ci peuvent être contestés en justice, mais en attendant, il les met en application. Il est déjà tourné vers les élections de mi-mandat qui auront lieu dans un an, et il peut instrumentaliser ce meurtre pour, par exemple, au nom de la supposée menace exceptionnelle que la gauche fait peser sur le pays, interdire des manifestations, arrêter des gens encore plus facilement qu’aujourd’hui, les menacer de peines sévères en cas de résistance à la police, et ainsi de suite. La présence de militaires dans certaines villes, de ce point de vue, n’a pas grand-chose de rassurant.

Charlie Kirk aura alors en quelque sorte autant servi les projets de Trump dans sa mort que dans sa vie…

Tout assassinat est un drame épouvantable, et quoi qu’on puisse penser des idées de Kirk, et bien que lui-même disait mépriser le sentiment d’empathie, cet assassinat-là n’échappe évidemment pas à la règle. Mais effectivement, ce ne serait pas la première fois qu’un pouvoir radical utiliserait le meurtre de l’un de ses partisans pour justifier son propre durcissement, le renforcement de ses prérogatives et sa répression à l’encontre de ses adversaires politiques. Avec Kirk, pour lequel la Maison Blanche a ordonné que les drapeaux soient mis en berne dans tout le pays, le trumpisme tient un martyr d’autant plus poignant que l’homme était une sorte d’idéal-type : jeune, beau, blanc, charismatique, marié, deux enfants, self-made man, patriote, tué en plein meeting…

Quand Trump dit que le nom de Charlie Kirk ne sera pas oublié de sitôt, il dit sans doute vrai : lui-même et l’ensemble du monde MAGA tenaient déjà leur image héroïque avec cette photo impressionnante du 13 juillet sur laquelle Trump, ensanglanté, brandit le poing après le tir qui a failli lui coûter la vie. Il est fort à parier que l’image de Charlie Kirk parlant au pupitre quelques instants avant d’être tué rejoindra cette photo iconique au panthéon du trumpisme…


Propos recueillis par Grégory Rayko

The Conversation

Jérôme Viala-Gaudefroy ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. Charlie Kirk, le martyr du trumpisme – https://theconversation.com/charlie-kirk-le-martyr-du-trumpisme-265129