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October 2, 2025

Where does Trump’s peace plan leave the Palestinians?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jonathan Este, Senior International Affairs Editor, Associate Editor, The Conversation

This article was first published in The Conversation UK’s World Affairs Briefing email newsletter. Sign up to receive weekly analysis of the latest developments in international relations, direct to your inbox.

As the world waits for what remains of the Hamas leadership to respond to Donald Trump’s 20-point peace deal – which the US president says they had better accept or “pay in hell” – it’s important to remember that there’s no certainty that the deal, as published this week, will make it past Netanyahu’s cabinet either.

Trump announced on September 29 that the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, had agreed to the terms of the deal, which includes what on the face of it appears to be a highly conditional reference to Palestinian self-determination. “While Gaza re-development advances and when the PA reform programme is faithfully carried out, the conditions may finally be in place [my italics] for a credible pathway to Palestinian self-determination and statehood, which we recognise as the aspiration of the Palestinian people.”

As they thrash out each clause of this, Hamas negotiators will be mindful of the fact that, on his return to Israel, Netanyahu said he had not agreed to a Palestinian state. He posted on social media saying that a promise of statehood was not written anywhere in the agreement and that Israel would “forcibly resist” such an outcome.

They will also note that according to the terms of the deal, their organisation is supposed to disband and disarm and they will be excluded, as representative of Hamas at least, from taking any further part in the governance of Gaza or indeed a Palestinian state.

Meanwhile, in the West Bank, Hamas’s counterpart Fatah, which runs the Palestinian Authority (PA), has lost the support of most Palestinians (a recent poll found just 6% would vote for Fatah leader Mahmoud Abbas, the PA president). Abbas is 89 years old and has surrounded himself with elderly supporters. The PA has been dogged by corruption scandals for years.

It’s clear that to have any chance of forming a coherent and credible government for a future Palestinian state, a new generation of leaders will be needed. The man who many think should lead that government is currently serving five life sentences in an Israeli jail.

Marwan Barghouti has been called “Palestine’s Mandela”. This is clearly partly for his lengthy spell of incarceration. But it’s also a reference to his preference for peaceful resistance – although, to be clear, he has not renounced violence as a means to political ends, either. Barghouti is respected by both Palestinian secularists and Islamist leaders, many of whom he has become friendly with in prison. Last year, the former head of the Israeli intelligence agency Shin Bet, Ami Ayalon, said releasing Barghouti would be a meaningful step towards constructive negotiations.

But as Leonie Fleischmann notes, powerful people want to keep him locked up. Fleischmann, an expert in Middle East conflict from City St Georges, University of London, says that the PA leadership has repeatedly opposed his release in prisoner swaps. And Netanyahu said, in response to an op-ed by Barghouti that was printed by the New York Times, that: “Calling imprisoned Fatah leader, Marwan Barghouti, a Palestinian leader and parliamentarian is like calling Syrian president, Bashar Assad, a paediatrician.”

It was interesting that, while the peace deal was largely pulled together in the fringes of the recent United Nations general assembly meeting in New York, representatives of the Palestinian authority were not there as the US had cancelled their US visas.

It’s not the first time that the US has undermined the ability of the PA to represent its people. And the irony, as Anne Irfan points out, is that the PA was actually set up as part of the Oslo Accords, the settlement famously signed at the White House by PLO chief Yasser Arafat and Israeli prime minister Yitzhak Rabin, with Bill Clinton presiding.

US president Bill Clinton holds his hands wide as Israeli prime minister Yitzhak Rabin and Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat shake hands. — US president Bill Clinton with Israeli prime minister Yitzhak Rabin and Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat at the Oslo Accords signing ceremony on 13 September 1993.
Vince Musi/The White House

As Irfan, a historian of the Middle East from UCL, observes that not only did the accords favour Israel, giving Palestinians limited scope for self-governance, the summit that followed at Camp David was stage-managed to ensure a failure to reach an agreement. Successive US administrations, says Irfan, have undermined the ability of the PA to exercise leadership.

Still, the deal as presented – flawed as it is – does offer Palestinians some significant concessions. The violence will stop and the flow of aid into Gaza will resume – significantly, overseen by the UN and the Red Crescent rather than the widely discredited Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF). The GHF has been running the system of aid distribution, which has seen so many Palestinians killed as they wait to get food for their families.

Israel has pledged not to annex Gaza or the West Bank. Nobody will be forced to leave. And the deal offers amnesty to Hamas members who give up their weapons and renounce violence. Julie Norman believes Hamas would be well advised to accept the deal. First, if they don’t, Trump has given the green light to Israel to “finish the job” in Gaza.

Norman, an expert in the Middle East and National Security at UCL and the Royal United Services Institute, also believes this is the best offer Hamas is going to get. As she observes: “Gazans are desperate for the devastation to end.” They may not react well to Hamas prolonging the violence for its own ends.

A regional perspective

A big factor in all this is what appears to be an enthusiastic buy-in from Israel’s Arab neighbours. As Scott Lucas says, they also want the killing to stop. There is a considerable economic upside in ending the conflict and pushing for further normalisation with Israel. There will also be money to be made in the reconstruction of post-war Gaza.

But at the same time, they will be aware of the need not to antagonise their own people, who are largely sympathetic to the Palestinian cause. Bringing an end to the violence in Gaza will ease those tensions while at the same time offering the chance to restore a measure of calm to a region that has been riddled with violence over the past two years.

Lucas, an expert in Middle East politics at University College Dublin, thinks that it will take time and the rebuilding of trust for normalisation to resume. But there is no chance of that at all while the killing continues in Gaza.

Good news from Moldova

There were serious concerns ahead of last weekend’s election in Moldova that Russian interference might affect the result of the poll, which pitted pro-EU president, Maia Sandu, against the pro-Russian Patriotic Electoral Bloc led by Igor Dodon.

In the end, despite reports of widespread attempts to sway voters towards Russia (including recruiting Russian Orthodox clergy to try to persuade their flock to cast their votes for Dodon) it wasn’t even close. Sandu’s Party of Action (PAS) and Solidarity won with more than 50% of the votes cast, compared to the Patriotic Electoral Bloc’s 28.14%.

Stefan Wolff, an expert in international security at the University of Birmingham, pointed to the low turnout and the fact that the vast majority of votes cast by Moldova’s sizeable diaspora in Europe were for PAS is an indication of how deeply divided the country remains over its future direction.

Maga’s Viking obsession

There’s been a degree of hilarity over words uttered by the FBI boss, Kash Patel, at a press conference to announce that a suspect in the shooting of the rightwing influencer Charlie Kirk had been apprehended. Assuring Kirk that his work would continue, Patel signed off with the words: “I’ll see you in Valhalla.”

Some of those commenting thought it weird to eulogise a Christian nationalist with a reference to a pagan afterlife. Others pointed out that Viking mythology has long been an obsession with far-right movements and was an important part of Nazi iconography.

Tom Birkett, a professor of Old English and Old Norse at University College Cork, explains where the idea of Valhalla fits within Nordic myth systems and recounts the way it has subsequently been colonised by the far-right. He believes it’s far more likely that Patel was using the reference to elevate Kirk to hero warrior status than sending any kind of coded message to America’s far-right extremists.

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– ref. Where does Trump’s peace plan leave the Palestinians? – https://theconversation.com/where-does-trumps-peace-plan-leave-the-palestinians-266523

October 1, 2025

The man who could lead an independent Palestine

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jonathan Este, Senior International Affairs Editor, Associate Editor, The Conversation

A regional perspective

Good news from Moldova

Maga’s Viking obsession

Sign up to receive our weekly World Affairs Briefing newsletter from The Conversation UK. Every Thursday we’ll bring you expert analysis of the big stories in international relations.

– ref. The man who could lead an independent Palestine – https://theconversation.com/the-man-who-could-lead-an-independent-palestine-266523

October 1, 2025

The UK has a regional inequality problem – levelling the playing field for entrepreneurs could help

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Colin Mason, Emeritus Professor of Entrepreneurship and Honorary Senior Research Fellow, Adam Smith Business School, University of Glasgow

Regional inequality is a long-standing problem in the UK that successive governments haven’t been able to get to grips with. The Labour government is aiming for economic growth, but this will only happen by boosting the UK’s regions and nations along with London and south-east England.

The UK’s economy is the most regionally imbalanced in the industrialised world. This has a damaging effect on productivity and economic performance, both key enablers of rising living standards.

Although “levelling up” is not part of the government’s vocabulary, reducing the wide economic divide between London and the rest of the UK remains high on its agenda. However, levelling-up policies have been criticised for being fragmented and lacking coherence, particularly because of the emphasis on large infrastructure investments. Infrastructure is only one of many factors that play into the long-term productivity differences in the UK.

Entrepreneurship and innovation are also central to regional economic competitiveness. But business start-up and scale-up rates are significantly higher in London and the south of England, particularly along the M4 and M3 corridors. These geographical variations are persistent over time.

The lack of high-growth start-ups in the rest of the UK is particularly important. These businesses are mainly located in and around London, with only a thin spread across the rest of the country. In a list of the UK’s 100 fastest-growing companies, 36 are in London, with a further 15 in south-east England.

These rapidly growing companies make a disproportionate contribution to job creation, innovation and economic growth. A 2009 report found that 6% of high-growth firms create more than 50% of jobs. This proportion has remained stable over the years, even during times of recession.

Entrepreneurship needs the right environment to thrive – places that offer a “fertile soil” with support, talent, finance, markets and connections to start and grow companies. As such, entrepreneur-led levelling up needs an approach that develops these “ecosystems” in the parts of the UK that have fallen behind more prosperous areas.

Entrepreneurial ecosystems are environments that bring together not only those who want to start businesses but also the people and institutions who support them. They need mentors with expertise and experience, employees with the right skills, investors who take calculated risks and intermediaries who can make connections.

Nurturing new businesses

So what does it take to build all of this? Our research on the emergence and maturing of ecosystems offers some important lessons.

It needs foundations. Particularly important are educational institutions that equip students with an entrepreneurial mindset. They support enterprise creation and companies that attract and nurture skilled employees – the kind of people who may be future entrepreneurs or early hires in high-growth companies.

But it takes time. The foundations of today’s successful ecosystems were laid more than a decade ago. Progress is often slow and hard to measure because elements in the ecosystem interact and evolve in unpredictable ways. As such, it is important to focus on long-term indicators of success. This includes those that are difficult to capture – things like willingness to pursue business opportunities despite the risk of failure, for example.

Thriving entrepreneurial ecosystems are characterised by virtuous circles, with success creating the ingredients that drive further success. Successful entrepreneurs, managers and investors frequently reinvest their wealth and experience in their local ecosystem as serial entrepreneurs, business angels, mentors or board members.

And even business failures can have positive effects on the ecosystem. Failures can trigger a recycling process as former employees are hired by other local companies.

Recognising that it takes an ecosystem to raise a start-up means that collaboration is vital. Outcomes will be limited if ecosystem players – companies, investors, experienced entrepreneurs, support organisations and so on – focus only on their own narrow interests. But if they connect and work together for the wider benefit of the ecosystem then everyone can gain from the successes.

a group of people chatting and networking — Connecting with others is a vital part of building entrepreneurial ecosystems.
Rawpixel.com/Shutterstock

Many of the features that underpin successful ecosystems are about building culture and relationships. This includes events, mentoring and networks that enable peer-to-peer learning and celebrate role models.

And it’s not always about having a local focus. Some activities to support high-growth entrepreneurs benefit from being delivered at the national or regional level. For example, public sector venture capital funds (government money that’s invested in start-ups that might struggle to source private investment) are more effective if delivered at scale. Ecosystems also need to develop links with other locations to tap into their knowledge, skills and resources.

As successful ecosystems are typically based around large cities, it is essential that they develop strong connections with the smaller communities around them to prevent inequalities emerging within regions.

Ultimately, building ecosystems requires government funding but not government management. For example, the Scottish government’s Ecosystem Fund provides financial support for grassroots initiatives that may otherwise struggle to get off the ground.

Successful systems are built from the ground up, with community members – typically successful entrepreneurs – taking on the leadership role. The role of government should be funding it, not running it. Public funding can give ecosystems momentum to drive the growth that narrows the UK’s regional inequalities.

Colin Mason received funding from The Regional Studies Association to undertake some of the research on Atlantic Canada’s entrepreneurial ecosystem.

Dr Michaela Hruskova has previously received funding from the Economic and Social Research Council for research underpinning insights in this article.

– ref. The UK has a regional inequality problem – levelling the playing field for entrepreneurs could help – https://theconversation.com/the-uk-has-a-regional-inequality-problem-levelling-the-playing-field-for-entrepreneurs-could-help-261822

October 1, 2025

How different mushrooms learned the same psychedelic trick

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Fabrizio Alberti, Associate Professor in Life Sciences, University of Warwick

Magic mushrooms have been used in traditional ceremonies and for recreational purposes for thousands of years. However, a new study has found that mushrooms evolved the ability to make the same psychoactive substance twice. The discovery has important implications for both our understanding of these mushrooms’ role in nature and their medical potential.

Magic mushrooms produce psilocybin, which your body converts into its active form, psilocin, when you ingest it. Psilocybin rose in popularity in the 1960s and was eventually classed as a Schedule 1 drug in the US in 1970, and as a Class A drug in 1971 in the UK, the designations given to drugs that have high potential for abuse and no accepted medical use. This put a stop to research on the medical use of psilocybin for decades.

But recent clinical trials have shown that psilocybin can reduce depression severity, suicidal thoughts and chronic anxiety. Given its potential for medical treatments, there is renewed interest in understanding how psilocybin is made in nature and how we can produce it sustainably.

The new study, led by pharmaceutical microbiology researcher Dirk Hoffmeister, from Friedrich Schiller University Jena, discovered that mushrooms can make psilocybin in two different ways, using different types of enzymes. This also helped the researchers discover a new way to make psilocybin in a lab.

Based on the work led by Hoffmeister, enzymes from two types of unrelated mushrooms under study appear to have evolved independently from each other and take different routes to create the exact same compound.

This is a process known as convergent evolution, which means that unrelated living organisms evolve two distinct ways to produce the same trait. One example is that of caffeine, where different plants including coffee, tea, cacao and guaraná have independently evolved the ability to produce the stimulant.

This is the first time that convergent evolution has been observed in two organisms that belong to the fungal kingdom. Interestingly, the two mushrooms in question have very different lifestyles. Inocybe corydalina, also known as the greenflush fibrecap and the object of Hoffmeister’s study, grows in association with the roots of different kinds of trees. Psilocybe mushrooms, on the other hand, traditionally known as magic mushrooms, live on nutrients that they acquire by decomposing dead organic matter, such as decaying wood, grass, roots, or dung.

Mushrooms on brown leaves — Inocybe corydalina.
jimmiev/Wikimedia, CC BY-SA

The observation that mushrooms that inhabit two different niches make the same psychedelic compound raises questions regarding the ecological role of this molecule. A possible explanation as to why both mushrooms produce psilocybin could be that it is intended to deter predators, such as insects, that may be tempted to eat their fruiting bodies. This would be similar to the role of caffeine, which is also known to act as a natural pesticide, deterring insects and other pests from feeding on certain plants.

Turning discovery into opportunity

This study may provide scientists with additional tools to produce psilocybin to use for medical purposes. Mushrooms tend to grow slowly both in nature and in the laboratory. Psilocybe (magic mushrooms) take about two months to grow from spores to mature mushrooms.

If large amounts of psilocybin are needed for testing in clinical trials or for future medical use, quick and sustainable ways of producing it should be investigated. Currently, psilocybin is produced using synthetic material because it is faster than extracting the compound from mushrooms and has higher yields. This has its drawbacks though. The current synthetic extraction methods that scientists use generate hazardous waste and include key steps that can only be carried out on a small scale.

In a separate study published in April 2025, Hoffmeister and his coworkers came up with a new approach to produce psilocybin. His team used enzymes derived from fungi to catalyse the reactions to make psilocybin, rather than a fully synthetic approach, which uses lab-made materials and catalysts. This approach can be carried out on a larger scale than the usual, fully synthetic method. The immobilised enzymes they used are also reusable, making the process more sustainable.

Enzymes are inherently more sustainable than non-biological catalysts because they generally operate in mild conditions (such as low temperature and neutral pH) and are easier to purify, which reduces energy consumption and waste. Also, enzymes are biodegradable, which helps decrease the environmental impact of industrial processes.

Hoffmeisters’ most recent work provides the scientific community with additional enzymes that can be used to make psilocybin.

While we can only speculate as to why different mushrooms would come
up with alternative ways of making the same psychedelic compound, this discovery
opens new avenues for the large-scale production of a promising candidate drug.

Fabrizio Alberti receives funding from UKRI through grants MR/V022334/1, BB/X018369/1 and EP/X039587/1, and from the British Council through grant 1203466293.

– ref. How different mushrooms learned the same psychedelic trick – https://theconversation.com/how-different-mushrooms-learned-the-same-psychedelic-trick-266401

October 1, 2025

An AI tool is trying to predict your risk of getting many diseases years in advance – here’s how it works

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Natalia Levina, Professor, Department of Information Systems Management & Analytics, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick; New York University

The Delphi-2M model seeks to predict a person’s next health event, and when it will happen in the next 20 years. Nan_Got/ Shutterstock

Being able to instantly and accurately predict the trajectory of a person’s health in the years to come has long been seen as the pinnacle of medicine. This kind of information would have a profound effect on healthcare systems as a whole – shifting care from treatment to prevention.

According to the findings of a recently published paper, researchers are promising just that. Using cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) technology, the researchers built Delphi-2M. This tool is seeking to predict a person’s next health event and when it’s likely to happen in the next 20 years. The model does this for a thousand different diseases including cancer, diabetes and heart disease.

To develop Delphi-2M, the European research team used data from nearly 403,000 people from the UK Biobank as an input into the AI model.

In the final trained AI model, Delphi-2M predicted the next disease and when it would occur based on a person’s sex at birth, their body mass index, whether they smoked or drank alcohol, and their timeline of prior diseases.

It was able to make these predictions with a 0.7 AUC (area under the curve). AUC aggregates false positive and false negative rates, so can be used as a proxy for accuracy in a theoretical setting. This means the model’s predictions could be interpreted to have about 70% accuracy across all disease categories – although the accuracy of these predictions have not yet been tested in terms of real-world outcomes.

They then applied the model to Danish Biobank data to see whether it was still effective. It was able to predict health outcomes with similar theoretical accuracy rates.

AI tools

The purpose of the paper wasn’t to suggest the Delphi-2M is ready to be used by doctors or in the medical field. Rather, it was to illustrate the power of the team’s proposed AI architecture, and the benefit it could have in analysing medical data.

Delphi-2M uses a “transformer network” to make its predictions. This is the same technology architecture that powers ChatGPT. The researchers modified the GPT2 transformer architecture to use time and disease features to predict when and what will happen.

Although other health prediction models have used transformer networks in the past, these were only designed to make predictions about a person’s risk of developing a single disease. Plus, they were primarily used on smaller-scale hospital record data.

But transformer networks are particularly well-suited for predicting a person’s risk of multiple diseases. This is because they can adapt their focus easily and are able to work out complex interactions between many different diseases from multiple distinct data points.

Delphi-2M has also proven to be slightly more accurate than other multi-disease prediction models which use a different architecture.

For example, Milton uses a combination of standard machine learning techniques and applied them to the same UK Biobank data. This model showed somewhat lower predictive power for most diseases compared with Delphi-2M – and needed to use more data to do so.

Moreover, non-transformer models are hard for others to improve by adding more data layers. This means these models cannot be as easily adapted and improved upon as transformer models for use in different contexts and studies.

A person writes on a tablet using a stylus. There is an anatomical human body popping out from the tablet. — The model can be adapted to other contexts by using different data.
raker/ Shutterstock

What’s special about the Delphi-2M model is that it can be released to the public as an open-source model without compromising patients’ privacy. The authors were able to create synthetic data that mimics the UK Biobank data while removing personally identifiable information – all without a significant drop in predictive power. Moreover, Delphi-2M requires less computing resources to train than typical AI transformer models.

This will allow other researchers to train the model from scratch and possibly tailor the model and information for their needs. This is important for the advancement of open science and is generally difficult to do in medical settings.

Still too early

Whether or not Delphi-2M becomes the foundation model for AI tools that are designed to predict a patient’s future health risks, it demonstrates that models such as this are on the way.

Due to its layered architecture and open-source nature, future models similar to Delphi-2M will continue to evolve by incorporating even richer data – such as electronic health records, medical images, wearable technologies and location data. This would improve its predictive powers and accuracy over time.

But while the ability to prevent diseases and provide early diagnosis holds great promise, there are a few key caveats when it comes to this predictive tool.

First, there are numerous data-related concerns associated with such tools. As we have written before, the quality of data and training that an AI tool receives makes or breaks its predictions.

The UK Biobank dataset used to create Delphi-2M didn’t have sufficient data on diverse races and ethnic groups to allow for in-depth training and performance analysis.

While some analysis was performed by the Delphi-2M researchers to show that adding ethnicity and race didn’t sway the results too much, there was still insufficient data in many categories to even conduct the assessment.

If ever used in the real world, personal healthcare data will probably be used and layered on top of foundation models such as Delphi-2M. While the inclusion of this personal data will improve prediction accuracy, it also comes with risks – for example, around personal data security and out-of-context use of the data.

It may also be difficult to scale the model to countries whose healthcare systems differ from those that are used to design the dataset. For instance, it may be harder to apply Delphi-2M to the US context, where healthcare data is spread around multiple hospital systems and private clinics.

At present, it’s too early for Delphi-2M to be used by patients or doctors. While Delphi-2M provided generalised predictions based on the data that was used to train it, it’s too early to use these predictions for personalised health recommendations for an individual patient.

But hopefully, with continued investment into researching and building Delphi-2M-style models, it will someday be possible to input a patient’s personal health data into the model and get a personalised prediction.

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

– ref. An AI tool is trying to predict your risk of getting many diseases years in advance – here’s how it works – https://theconversation.com/an-ai-tool-is-trying-to-predict-your-risk-of-getting-many-diseases-years-in-advance-heres-how-it-works-265909

October 1, 2025

As Hamas considers a peace deal, the man most Palestinians want to lead them sits in an Israeli jail

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Leonie Fleischmann, Senior Lecturer in International Politics, City St George’s, University of London

Since the White House released Donald Trump’s plan to end the Gaza conflict on September 29, the chances of an end to Israel’s war on Gaza is as high as they have ever been. If it succeeds, the idea of a Palestinian state being established alongside Israel will also be on the table for the first time in decades.

Palestinians were notably excluded from drafting the plan, and no measures exist to hold Israel accountable for the destruction it has caused. But the 20-point plan includes clauses that could eventually lead to Palestinian self-determination.

Under the terms of the plan, Palestinians will be allowed to remain in Gaza and there will be an amnesty for militants who commit to peaceful coexistence once the deal is agreed. Israel has committed not to occupy or annex Gaza. The plan also acknowledges the Palestinian people’s aspiration for self-determination and statehood and says a pathway to achieve that may be achievable under certain conditions.

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said he supports the plan. But on his return to Israel, he said Palestinian statehood was not written into the agreement and that Israel would “forcibly resist” the establishment of a Palestinian state. The US president’s deal will have to be approved in a vote of Netanyahu’s cabinet. It has already come in for severe criticism from at least one cabinet member: Bezalel Smotrich. Smotrich described the deal as a “resounding diplomatic failure” that will “end in tears”.

For Hamas, too, the plan crosses a number of red lines. Reports suggest that Hamas faces an existential dilemma. On one hand the plan explicitly removes any role for Hamas in the future governance of Gaza. On the other, the US president has said that a Hamas rejection would give Israel the green light to continue their military onslaught.

So, whether the next steps are a ceasefire or the continued destruction of Gaza, what has become clear is that time is running out for Hamas as rulers of the Palestinian people in Gaza. This raises the question of who could take over the reins of government for Palestinians.

The obvious answer is the Palestinian Authority (PA), which holds leadership of the Palestinians in the West Bank. The PA was formed by the Oslo Accords to administer the West Bank and Gaza. Since 2005 it has been led by Mahmoud Abbas of Fatah. In 2007, a brief civil war between Fatah and Hamas left Hamas in power in Gaza, creating a deep division between the two parties and the Palestinian people.

While the PA argues it should be the sole governing authority in Gaza, Fatah and Abbas are deeply unpopular among Palestinians. In a recent poll conducted by the Palestinian Centre for Policy and Survey Research, just 6% of Palestinians said they would vote for Abbas in an election.

The waning legitimacy of the current PA leadership puts into question its ability to rule. Corruption, lack of democracy and Abbas’s age has led for calls for someone new to lead the Palestinians into the next chapter of their history. One name has resounding popularity: Marwan Barghouti.

‘Palestinian Mandela’

Barghouti has long been seen as the key to uniting the Palestinian factions and achieving Palestinian statehood. He was described in a 2009 article in Foreign Policy magazine as “Palestine’s best hope”. More recently, in July 2024, The Economist described him as “the world’s most important prisoner”.

Despite being imprisoned in Israel since 2002, Barghouti has consistently topped polls of potential future PA leaders. His supporters have named him the “Palestinian Nelson Mandela” in the hope that he can emulate the South Africa leader by transitioning from political prisoner to the man who can unify a divided people.

Born in the West Bank in 1959, Barghouti rose to prominence as a youth leader in the years leading up to the first intifada and was elected to the Palestinian Legislative Council in 1996. But in 2002 he was arrested by the Israeli security services at the height of the second intifada and convicted in 2004 for involvement in the murder of five people. Barghouti refused to recognise the authority of the Israeli court and offered no defence at trial. He was subsequently handed five life sentences.

Barghouti’s appeal lies in his ability to garner broad support among different stakeholders – Palestinian, Israeli and international.

He gained respect from militant Palestinian factions for his armed resistance and his incarceration. Hamas reportedly placed him at the top of previous potential prisoner swap deals. Alongside this, his declared preference for unarmed resistance and his vision for democratic Palestinian governance garner him support from the Palestinians who have grown tired of PA corruption.

He is supported by Israeli peace activists as the Palestinian solution to ending the cycle of violence. Veteran activist, Gershon Baskin, explained in the Times of Israel, in April 2025, that Barghouti is “still committed to Palestinian Israeli peace based on the two-state solution”.

Voices in Israel’s security establishment also see the value of Barghouti as the Palestinian leader. Ami Ayalon, the former chief of Israel’s Shin Bet intelligence organisation, argued in January 2024 that it was time to release Barghouti and initiate negotiations with him as the popular leader of the Palestinians.

But it has been reported that PA leaders, mindful of the political threat Barghouti poses to them, have consistently opposed his release as part of potential Israel-Hamas prisoner swaps.

Unsurprisingly, for different reasons, Netanyahu is vehemently opposed to his release, stating in 2017 in response to an opinion piece by Barghouti published by the New York Times that “calling imprisoned Fatah leader, Marwan Barghouti, a Palestinian leader and parliamentarian is like calling Syrian president, Bashar Assad, a paediatrician”.

Barghouti could be an important missing piece in the unfolding puzzle towards Palestinian statehood. And it should be up to the Palestinian people who leads them. But it seems the keys to his cell are held by people who don’t want to see the Palestinian Mandela set free.

Leonie Fleischmann does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

– ref. As Hamas considers a peace deal, the man most Palestinians want to lead them sits in an Israeli jail – https://theconversation.com/as-hamas-considers-a-peace-deal-the-man-most-palestinians-want-to-lead-them-sits-in-an-israeli-jail-266492

October 1, 2025

The overlooked service that could make plans for a library in every primary school in England a reality

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Lucy Taylor, Lecturer in Education, University of Leeds

In a speech delivered at the Labour party conference, Chancellor Rachel Reeves committed to “providing a library in every single primary school in England by the end of this parliament”.

This new scheme should help to achieve the goal set by the Libraries for Primaries campaign, established in 2021, to ensure that every primary school in the UK has a library or dedicated library space.

This is a welcome development. Our research focuses on the value well-stocked libraries can provide to schools and pupils.

School libraries are a vital resource for enriching learning across the curriculum. They provide graduated texts to support learners from the very start of their reading journeys and give children access to a wealth of information, ideas, perspectives and stories.

This investment comes at a time when reading for pleasure is rapidly decreasing. According to a 2025 survey by the National Literacy Trust, only a third of children aged eight to 18 enjoy reading in their free time. Government data shows that 25% of pupils leave primary school unable to read at the level expected.

Some school libraries are very well stocked and are inviting spaces for children to read and share books. However, these spaces need constant investment to keep them up to date and relevant with high-quality texts. Doing so can be difficult for many schools whose budgets are tight.

School library services

To keep pace with developments in children’s book publishing is a substantial undertaking. Schools need to ensure that within their staff team there is sufficient knowledge and expertise to manage and maintain a vibrant library collection. It is also important that school libraries are aligned with the curriculum. Libraries should be an inclusive resource for communities of children with diverse cultural and linguistic backgrounds and learning needs.

Many people don’t know that school libraries can draw on the resources and expertise of local School Library Services to keep their stock up to date and changing on a regular basis. They are typically funded and run by local authorities and employ trained librarians who can help schools run their own libraries. However, our research has shown that they are not available in all areas of England, and they are not financially secure in the long term.

School libraries can be refreshed every term by new stock borrowed from the School Library Services, curated by expert librarians. For example, the Leeds School Library Service serves 180 primary schools. It delivered 9,514 boxes of resources throughout the academic year 2022–23.

School Library Services have a wider range of books and resources than a single school could hold. As items borrowed from School Library Services are returned after a set period and then shared with other schools, they offer a model of library resourcing that is more sustainable that a single investment in a school library stock update. One teacher we spoke to said: “You don’t want 30 books to store, you want to use them and send them back and get 30 different ones. I think that’s a huge benefit.”

Some School Library Services help schools to set up their libraries, reorganise them and select great quality texts so that their libraries are current, appealing and easy to manage. School Library Services typically employ specialist children’s librarians with an understanding of the local area, and in some instances can even provide artefacts such as objects and costumes to further stimulate learning. Investment is needed in these services to ensure that they can replenish stock and train new school library specialists.

Boy in wheelchair looking at titles in library — Finding a book they connect with is really important for young readers.
AnnGaysorn/Shutterstock

The wide choice of reading material a library provides gives children more opportunity to find a book they connect with than, for instance, a classroom reading corner. Being able to find a book that they want to read is important to becoming an engaged reader.

Some children will want to read about their favourite video game, others may be more interested in sport, and some will relish the opportunity to delve into a fantasy world of imagination. Talking about the children in their class, a teacher we interviewed said that a good choice of books “spurred some of them on to actually start reading”. Another teacher reported that school libraries “helped promote reading in school because kids have had more access to books”.

The renewed focus on school libraries is long overdue and we look forward to seeing the benefits that schools will reap from this new funding. But in addition to investment directly in primary school libraries in the short term, financial commitment to strengthening School Library Services will also pay dividends for future generations of child readers.

Lucy Taylor has received funding from UK Literacy Association, and the Association of Senior Education Librarians (ASCEL) via Arts Council England (ACE) for projects related to this topic.

Paula Clarke has previously received funding from the UK Literacy Association, and the Association of Senior Education Librarians (ASCEL) via Arts Council England (ACE), for projects related to this topic.

– ref. The overlooked service that could make plans for a library in every primary school in England a reality – https://theconversation.com/the-overlooked-service-that-could-make-plans-for-a-library-in-every-primary-school-in-england-a-reality-266394

October 1, 2025

What the gut microbiome of the world’s oldest person can tell us about ageing

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Rachel Woods, Senior Lecturer in Physiology, University of Lincoln

When María Branyas Morera died in 2024 at the age of 117, she left more than memories. She left science a gift: samples of her microbiome.

Researchers discovered her gut was as diverse as someone decades younger: rich in beneficial bacteria linked to resilience and longevity. Her daily yoghurt habit and Mediterranean diet may have helped. While we can’t all inherit “lucky genes”, nurturing our microbiome may be one way to support lifelong health.

In a recent paper in Cell Reports Medicine, researchers presented what may be the most detailed scientific investigation of a supercentenarian (a person aged 110 or older). Before her death, Branyas agreed to participate in research aimed at uncovering how she lived such a long and healthy life.

When scientists compared her samples with those of people who had not reached such exceptional ages, the genetic results were unsurprising: Branyas carried protective variants that guard against common diseases. But they also looked at something over which we have more control – the gut microbiome.

This microbiome is the vast community of bacteria, fungi and other microorganisms that live in the intestines. They help digest food, produce vitamins, influence our immune system and even communicate with the brain. While our genes play only a small role in shaping our microbiome, diet and lifestyle are far more important.

Normally, as people age, gut microbiomes lose diversity – the variety of microbial species – and beneficial microbes such as Bifidobacterium decline. This reduction in diversity has been linked to frailty.

Branyas’s gut told a different story. Her microbiome was as diverse as that of a much younger adult and was especially rich in the bacterial family Bifidobacteriaceae, including the genus Bifidobacterium. In most older people these bacteria decline, but Branyas’s levels matched previous reports of elevated Bifidobacterium in other centenarians and supercentenarians. The researchers concluded that this unusually youthful microbiome may have supported her gut and immune health, contributing to her extraordinary longevity.

Bifidobacteria are among the first microbes to colonise an infant’s gut and are generally considered beneficial throughout life. Studies link them to supporting immune function, protecting against gastrointestinal disorders and helping regulate cholesterol.

Her diet offered a clue to why she maintained such high levels of Bifidobacterium. Branyas reported eating three yoghurts every day, each containing live bacteria that are known to support the growth of Bifidobacterium. She also followed a largely Mediterranean diet, a pattern of eating consistently linked to gut microbiome diversity and good health.

Other foods that encourage Bifidobacterium include kefir, kombucha and fermented vegetables such as kimchi and sauerkraut. These contain probiotics – live bacteria that can settle in the gut and confer health benefits. But probiotics need fuel. Prebiotics – dietary fibres we can’t digest but that our microbes thrive on – are found in foods like onions, garlic, leeks, asparagus, bananas, oats and legumes. Together, probiotics and prebiotics help maintain a balanced microbiome.

Of course, this was a study of a single individual, and the scientists are not claiming that her microbiome alone explains her long life. Her extraordinary longevity was almost certainly the result of many interwoven factors: protective genes, efficient metabolism, low inflammation – and, quite possibly, the support of a diverse gut microbiome.

Microbiome research is advancing rapidly, but no one yet knows what the “perfect” microbiome looks like. Greater diversity is generally associated with better health, but there is no single recipe for a long life. Even so, Branyas’s case reinforces a growing consensus: nurturing a diverse, beneficial microbiome is linked to better health and resilience.

While we cannot choose our genes, we can support our gut microbes. Simple steps include eating fermented foods, such as live yoghurts, kefir, kimchi and sauerkraut, as well as fruit, vegetables, legumes and whole grains, which supply the prebiotics that healthy microbes need.

Following a Mediterranean-style diet – built around vegetables, fruits and whole grains, with olive oil as the main fat, fish and legumes eaten regularly, and red meat, processed foods and added sugars kept to a minimum – has been repeatedly linked to both microbiome diversity and reduced disease risk.

These habits will not guarantee a lifespan beyond 110, but they are associated with lower risks of cancer, type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease.

María Branyas Morera’s life is a reminder that longevity depends on a delicate balance of genetics, lifestyle and biology. We cannot control every factor, but tending to our gut microbiome is one meaningful step toward lasting health.

Rachel Woods does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

– ref. What the gut microbiome of the world’s oldest person can tell us about ageing – https://theconversation.com/what-the-gut-microbiome-of-the-worlds-oldest-person-can-tell-us-about-ageing-266161

October 1, 2025

Caravaggio’s Medusa: why we need to look the Gorgon in the eye

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Marie-Louise Crawley, Assistant Professor in Dance and Cultural Engagement, Coventry University

Caravaggio’s Medusa (1597-1598). Uffizi Gallery/Canva

The image is stark and shocking. A decapitated head, her eyes open, her mouth agape in a silent scream, her hair a nest of still-hissing snakes. Blood pours out from her severed neck. She is not quite alive, but she is not yet dead either.

Michelangelo Merisi da Caravaggio’s Head of Medusa (1597) remains one of the most memorable images of Italian baroque art. Now in Florence’s Uffizi gallery, it tells the story of the “monster” Medusa, the snake-headed Gorgon whose stare turns whoever dares look at her to stone.

In classical mythology, it is the dashing young hero Perseus who manages to slay the monster, avoiding her deadly gaze by using his shield as a mirror and beheading her in one fell swoop. Caravaggio’s Head of Medusa portrays the moment just after the beheading, Medusa’s eyes wide in anguish, her brows furrowed, still seemingly in disbelief at her death.

What is clever about the painting is that Medusa’s gaze is cast slightly downwards, so that she does not look directly at the viewer and turn us to stone. Rather, we are the ones given the power to look at her.

Intriguingly, Caravaggio’s work is also reputed to be a self-portrait. In this way, Caravaggio – like the viewer – manages to escape the Gorgon’s fatal gaze, and the painting itself becomes a meditation not only on violence but also on the artist’s power of immortality – his features frozen in time forever.

This article is part of Rethinking the Classics. The stories in this series offer insightful new ways to think about and interpret classic books and artworks. This is the canon – with a twist.

In a feat of technical prowess, Caravaggio painted Medusa onto an actual shield, the very object of her own demise. Its convex surface means that, as you walk around it, you see different angles. Depending on your viewpoint, some elements are hidden while others are revealed.

This choice echoes the layers of the Medusa story. This fictional femicide tells more than the simple story of man kills monster and saves the day.

As the Roman poet Ovid tells it in book four of his epic poem Metamorphoses (where it is, in fact, Perseus who gets to tell her story, the man speaking for the woman as he brandishes her impotent head around for all to see), Medusa was transformed into a monster as a punishment. Her crime? That she was raped by the sea god Poseidon. The woman punished for her own rape, deemed monstrous, while the male perpetrator gets off scot-free. It’s the ancient equivalent of “she was asking for it”.

Unmasking Medusa

It was Medusa’s own story – the face of the woman behind the monster’s mask – that I aimed to re-collect and re-frame in my dance piece Likely Terpsichore? (Fragments), which I made for the Ashmolean Museum in Oxford in 2018.

This performance work forms part of my wider research investigating the radical power and potential of dance in the museum as an innovative way of reading, viewing and understanding ancient history and culture differently. It’s something I term “radical archaeology”.

The author’s dance performance.

Medusa has been appropriated by both psychoanalysis and feminism (see, for example, French second-wave feminist Helene Cixous’ powerful 1975 essay The Laugh of the Medusa). She is, as classics scholar Helen Lovatt puts it, “a pin-up for female objectification”. Medusa is monstrous and petrifying, but also raped and objectified.

Her story continues to resonate in our post-MeToo times. In her book Women and Power (2017), classicist Mary Beard points to Medusa’s decapitated head as a defining image of the radical separation – real, cultural and imaginary – between women and power in western history.

Beard brings the image up to date with an exploration of how it is still used today to separate women from political power. She cites, as one example, the nastier merchandise on offer to supporters of Donald Trump during the US election campaign of 2016. Mugs and T-shirts bore the image of Trump as Perseus brandishing the dripping head of Hillary Clinton as Medusa.

Beard also points to the occasion when Dilma Rousseff, a former president of Brazil, opened a major Caravaggio show in São Paolo. She was asked to stand in front of the Medusa at a photo opportunity the baying press could simply not resist.

Interestingly, Medusa’s head was itself popularly represented in antiquity on an object known as a gorgoneion – an amulet designed to avert evil. It was a powerful image, one of protection, able to ward off danger.

I believe it’s time to reclaim this symbolism – to see Medusa as a symbol of female empowerment, of legitimate rage and resistance. So take another look at Medusa – dare to look her in the eyes and perhaps even, like Caravaggio, let her face take on your own features.

Beyond the canon

As part of the Rethinking the Classics series, we’re asking our experts to recommend a book or artwork that tackles similar themes to the canonical work in question, but isn’t (yet) considered a classic itself. Here is Marie-Louise Crawley’s suggestion:

Readers wanting to know more about Medusa might enjoy Natalie Haynes’ novel Stone Blind (2022).

A classicist and comedian, Haynes can often be found “standing up” for the classics as part of her lively BBC Radio 4 series of the same name, here offers an energetic feminist retelling of the Medusa and Perseus story.

Pointing to the male violence at the centre of the story, Haynes’ novel bitingly flips the question of who is the hero and who is the real monster.

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This article features references to books that have been included for editorial reasons, and may contain links to bookshop.org. If you click on one of the links and go on to buy something from bookshop.org The Conversation UK may earn a commission.

Marie-Louise Crawley receives funding from the British Council (‘Kinaesthetic Heritage’ Springboard Project 2025).

– ref. Caravaggio’s Medusa: why we need to look the Gorgon in the eye – https://theconversation.com/caravaggios-medusa-why-we-need-to-look-the-gorgon-in-the-eye-255800

October 1, 2025

Labour to revive maintenance grants and further education – but can it improve skills and social mobility at the same time?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Helena Gillespie, Associate Pro Vice Chancellor for Student Inclusion and Professor of Learning and Teaching in Higher Education, University of East Anglia

Keir Starmer’s recent speech at the Labour conference placed the UK at a “fork in the road”, telling the audience that there is a choice between “renewal or decline”.

Schools, colleges and higher education providers might be pleased to hear that the prime minister sees that education has an important role to play in this renewal. However, the details of the plans contain some challenges – as well as opportunities – for universities, colleges and young people.

Starmer’s vision for a changed education sector in England attempts to use the same measures to tackle two separate problems. On the one hand, proposed reforms attempt to remedy gaps in skills in the workforce. On the other, they address the need to promote social mobility. This is a precarious path to walk.

A key announcement that preceded Starmer’s speech was the limited return of student maintenance grants. At present, students from disadvantaged backgrounds are able to access a maintenance loan to support their study.

This must be paid back once the recipient starts to earn above the threshold of £25,000 for students starting their degree since 2023. The threshold is higher for those who began their studies earlier. The proposed grants will not need to be repaid, lowering student debt for those who are eligible.

However, these grants will only be available to students from lower-income backgrounds studying “priority” courses. These include computing, engineering, the mathematical sciences and health and social care.

This announcement has received a cautious welcome from some quarters. A spokesperson for the Access Project, an organisation focused on improving access to higher education, said: “While we welcome the decision to reintroduce maintenance grants for priority subjects, we hope future funding extends grant eligibility to all higher education courses.”

But some responses have been distinctly negative. These grants seem to be based on taking funding directly from universities in the form of a levy on international student fees. This has resulted in much concern in the already cash-strapped higher education sector.

This is now accompanied by the scrapping of Labour’s long-standing target of half of all young people entering university – now a reality. This will perhaps not be unexpected for those in higher education, who have seen the sector and its students struggle with decreasing resources in the last decade.

Instead, Starmer announced that the aim is now for two-thirds of young people to enter either higher education or an apprenticeship by the age of 25. Starmer spoke directly about attempting to change perceptions about further education, which he described as “the Cinderella service, ignored because politicians’ kids don’t do it”.

This is a valuable and welcome initiative. A more integrated approach to funding and regulation for further and higher education also provides opportunities for the education sector to undergo meaningful renewal.

But again, there is a focus on skills: 14 new technical excellence colleges will concentrate on “high-growth sectors such as advanced manufacturing, clean energy, and digital”.

A social shift that would raise the status of further education to equal that of university will take significant time to achieve – especially when so many careers now require a degree. It is likely to be well into the next parliament and beyond before the target of two-thirds of young people in apprenticeships or higher education can be realised.

What’s more, widespread concerns about the value of university and especially of the worth of “rip-off” degrees can be misplaced. Higher education remains an incredibly powerful tool for social mobility for young people from poor backgrounds.

I believe that many parts of the higher education sector are ready to adapt to become part of the “renewal” the government seeks. Extra funding and opportunities for further education are also to be welcomed.

However, the funding problems colleges and universities face remain serious, despite the government’s investment. And a focus on specific skills means that education in the arts, for instance, remains far more accessible for wealthier young people.

While I appreciate the ambition of trying to address the thorny problem of a skills gap alongside social mobility, there is a risk that in trying to do both, the government achieves neither.

Helena Gillespie receives funding from TASO.

– ref. Labour to revive maintenance grants and further education – but can it improve skills and social mobility at the same time? – https://theconversation.com/labour-to-revive-maintenance-grants-and-further-education-but-can-it-improve-skills-and-social-mobility-at-the-same-time-266409