La OTAN está muy dividida, pero ¿por qué España es su miembro más abiertamente crítico?

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Waya Quiviger, Professor of Practice of Gobal Governance and Development, IE University

El secretario general de la OTAN, Mark Rutte, y los jefes de Estado y de Gobierno durante la última cumbre de la organización, celebrada en La Haya (Países Bajos) los días 24 y 25 de junio de 2025. NATO

Muchas voces, incluido el sitio web oficial de comunicaciones de la Organización del Tratado del Atlántico Norte (OTAN), han calificado la cumbre de la OTAN celebrada en junio como “histórica”, debido sobre todo al compromiso de los Estados miembros principales de aumentar el gasto en defensa hasta el 5 % del PIB para 2035, lo que supone un cambio significativo con respecto al objetivo actual del 2 %.

El presidente de Estados Unidos, Donald Trump, desempeñó un papel clave en la promoción de este aumento y ha calificado la cumbre como un gran éxito en materia de política exterior. “Creo que es una gran victoria para todos y que ahora estaremos en igualdad de condiciones”, declaró Trump sobre el nuevo compromiso de gasto.

Sin embargo, solo unos días antes, la negativa categórica de España a cumplir el objetivo del 5 % había amenazado con descarrilar la cumbre. Aunque España acabó firmando el comunicado final, consiguió una concesión especial del secretario general de la OTAN, Mark Rutte, que le permite aumentar su gasto militar hasta solo el 2,1 % del PIB por ahora.

España tendrá flexibilidad para evaluar si puede cumplir el objetivo del 5 %, que se revisará en 2029 (una vez que Trump ya no esté en el cargo). Pedro Sánchez afirmó que el acuerdo permite al país cumplir sus obligaciones con la OTAN sin necesidad de aumentar las inversiones.

La rebeldía de Sánchez irritó enormemente a Trump, que no dudó en reprender públicamente a España: “Quieren un poco de ventaja… pero no voy a permitirlo”.

La negativa del Gobierno español se produce en un contexto de crecientes tensiones entre la UE y EE. UU., con Trump amenazando con aranceles para que los miembros de la OTAN se ajusten a sus exigencias. Tras la cumbre de la organización celebrada en junio, afirmó: “Estamos negociando un acuerdo comercial con España. Vamos a hacerles pagar el doble”.

Pedro Sánchez hablando con la prensa
Pedro Sánchez informa sobre el acuerdo con la OTAN para destinar el 2,1 % del PIB a defensa. La Moncloa, Madrid (España), 22 de junio de 2025.
La Moncloa/Fernando Calvo

Resistencia al objetivo del 5 %

Durante décadas, el objetivo de gasto en defensa de la OTAN se situó en el 2 % del PIB, una meta que muchos miembros tuvieron dificultades para alcanzar. El nuevo objetivo del 5 %, introducido por la Administración estadounidense en un contexto de crecientes amenazas geopolíticas, fue respaldado por los principales Estados europeos, que lo consideran necesario para contrarrestar la agresión rusa y modernizar las fuerzas aliadas.

Pero para España, que actualmente destina algo menos del 1,3 % del PIB a defensa (el porcentaje más bajo de la OTAN), el salto al 5 % no solo es insostenible desde el punto de vista financiero, sino también tóxico desde el punto de vista político. La principal razón del desacuerdo de España es interna. La coalición de centroizquierda de Sánchez incluye al partido de izquierda Podemos, así como a varios partidos regionales independentistas opuestos a la militarización.

Además, el aumento del gasto en defensa no es popular entre la población en general. Los españoles preferirían que el Gobierno se centrara en cuestiones de seguridad en el flanco sur, con prioridades clave como la migración y la inestabilidad en el Sahel. El marco del 5 %, tal y como se ha presentado, refleja una percepción de la amenaza centrada en Rusia que no comparten la mayoría de la población. Para ellos, la guerra de Ucrania es demasiado lejana.

España sostiene que el reto no es gastar más, sino gastar de forma más inteligente e innovadora. Según informó InfoDefensa, los responsables españoles aprovecharon la cumbre de la OTAN para subrayar que no todas las amenazas pueden abordarse con “fragatas y armamento”. Sin duda, el Gobierno español no pasa por alto la ironía de que Estados Unidos exija un 5 % a los aliados de la OTAN, pero solo haya gastado el 3,4 % de su propio PIB en 2024.




Leer más:
El gasto en defensa de España y sus diferencias con EE. UU.


España no es el único escéptico entre las filas de la OTAN. Eslovaquia, aunque menos explícita, también ha mostrado ambigüedad hacia el umbral del 5 %. El presidente Peter Pellegrini respaldó formalmente el objetivo en La Haya, aunque solo unos días antes de la cumbre de la OTAN, el primer ministro Robert Fico declaró que “la neutralidad le conviene a Eslovaquia”.

Bélgica también ha expresado su preocupación por la viabilidad del objetivo del 5 %. El primer ministro Bart de Wever declaró que un 3,5 % en un plazo de diez años era un objetivo más realista.

Reunión del Consejo del Atlántico Norte (NAC) a nivel de jefes de Estado y de Gobierno en la última cumbre de la OTAN.
Reunión del Consejo del Atlántico Norte (NAC) a nivel de jefes de Estado y de Gobierno en la última cumbre de la OTAN.
OTAN

Las divisiones internas de la OTAN

Estas reservas reflejan divisiones más amplias entre los miembros de la OTAN, tanto de alcance geográfico como económico.

Los Estados del este de la OTAN, como Polonia y los países bálticos, impulsados por una aguda percepción de la amenaza rusa, consideran que un mayor gasto militar es una cuestión existencial. Los Estados del sur y el oeste, entre ellos España, Italia y Bélgica, se centran más en la autonomía estratégica, las amenazas híbridas y la necesidad de una postura de defensa multipolar. Eslovaquia, aunque es un país del este y comparte frontera con Ucrania, sorprendentemente parece más cercana a la mentalidad de España que a la de Polonia.

En el frente económico, algunas economías de la UE tienen deudas galopantes que van desde el 105 % del PIB en Bélgica, el 113 % en Francia, hasta un abrumador 135 % en Italia. En este contexto, destinar el 5 % del PIB a defensa parece una propuesta política inviable, ya que se verían obligados a recortar el gasto en servicios sociales como la sanidad y la educación. Aunque firmaron el compromiso del 5 %, muchos aliados de la OTAN admiten en privado que nunca lo cumplirán.

El Centro de Estudios Estratégicos e Internacionales describió el compromiso como “en gran medida simbólico”, argumentando que representa poco más que “Europa doblegándose” ante Washington, en lugar de un ajuste estratégico bien calibrado.

Los aliados de la OTAN tuvieron que mostrar un frente unido en la cumbre, lo que significó que los miembros no criticaron abiertamente la posición de Sánchez. La única excepción fue Polonia, cuyo ministro de Defensa, Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, declaró al Financial Times que “hacer excepciones es perjudicial para la unidad de la Alianza”.

¿Qué vendrá después?

La rebeldía de España podría marcar la pauta. Aunque ningún otro país ha ido tan lejos como Madrid en su rechazo público al objetivo del 5 %, el escepticismo abunda a puerta cerrada. Italia y Bélgica siguen muy por debajo de los umbrales de gasto actuales de la OTAN, e incluso Alemania, a pesar de los recientes aumentos, ha expresado sus reservas sobre la posibilidad de aumentar indefinidamente su presupuesto de defensa. Las discrepancias en el cumplimiento del objetivo probablemente agravarán las tensiones dentro de la alianza y con Estados Unidos.

Como mínimo, la postura de España ha obligado a la alianza a aceptar una simple realidad: la unidad, bajo presión, es más complicada que nunca.

The Conversation

Waya Quiviger no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. La OTAN está muy dividida, pero ¿por qué España es su miembro más abiertamente crítico? – https://theconversation.com/la-otan-esta-muy-dividida-pero-por-que-espana-es-su-miembro-mas-abiertamente-critico-262651

Cómo la gripe y la covid-19 pueden despertar un cáncer dormido

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Isidoro Martínez González, Científico Titular de OPIs, Instituto de Salud Carlos III

Representación 3D de una célula tumoral 3dMediSphere

Muchas veces pensamos que superar un cáncer es el final de la historia. Sin embargo, en algunos casos, la enfermedad deja una sombra silenciosa: células tumorales que viajan a otros órganos y permanecen inactivas durante años o incluso décadas. Ahora, un nuevo estudio publicado en la prestigiosa revista Nature revela que infecciones respiratorias como la gripe o la covid-19 pueden “despertar” a esas células dormidas, favoreciendo su proliferación y aumentando el riesgo de recaída.

Más allá del titular que ya ha circulado en diferentes medios de comunicación, la investigación abre preguntas profundas para la oncología, la inmunología y la salud pública: ¿qué mecanismos biológicos están detrás? ¿Podemos prevenir este “despertar” sin comprometer la defensa contra infecciones? ¿Deberíamos repensar las estrategias de seguimiento y vacunación para personas con cánceres en remisión?

El interruptor biológico: de la inflamación a la metástasis

Durante una infección viral en las vías respiratorias, nuestro organismo responde liberando unas pequeñas proteínas llamadas citocinas que actúan como mensajeros que activan nuestras defensas. Entre ellas destaca la interleucina-6 (IL-6), clave para coordinar la defensa, pero que también tiene un lado oscuro: puede favorecer la proliferación de células cancerígenas. De hecho, IL-6 actúa como un “termómetro” de la inflamación en infecciones respiratorias como la covid-19, en las que niveles más elevados de esta molécula se asocian con una peor evolución y mayor gravedad de la enfermedad.

El estudio encontró que, en modelos animales con cáncer de mama que ha formado metástasis en los pulmones, la infección por virus de la gripe o la covid-19 aumentó rápidamente los niveles de IL-6, y con ello, el número de células tumorales activas.

Estas no solo “despertaron” de su estado latente, sino que continuaron dividiéndose durante meses. Lo más sorprendente es que, incluso cuando la IL-6 volvió a niveles normales, las células siguieron activas, lo que sugiere que hay otros factores que toman el relevo para mantener este estado proliferativo.

Mecanismo propuesto para la alianza entre virus respiratorios y células tumorales.
Autores

El papel inesperado de las células T

El trabajo identificó además otro actor clave: las células T CD4+, que normalmente ayudan a regular la respuesta inmunitaria. En este contexto, lejos de eliminar las células cancerígenas, parecen protegerlas de ser atacadas por las células T CD8+, las verdaderas “asesinas” del sistema inmune. Cuando los investigadores eliminaron las CD4+, los tumores proliferantes disminuyeron, indicando que estas células pueden mantener encendido el “interruptor” del cáncer tras la infección.

Este hallazgo plantea una paradoja inquietante: componentes esenciales de nuestra defensa frente a virus pueden, en ciertas circunstancias, favorecer la reactivación tumoral.

Aunque la mayor parte de los resultados descritos proviene de modelos animales, análisis de grandes bases de datos humanas (como UK Biobank) sugieren un patrón similar. En personas en remisión que se infectaron por SARS-CoV-2 (el virus de la covid-19), el riesgo de muerte por cáncer se duplicó en los meses posteriores a la infección.

¿Solo gripe y covid-19? Una puerta abierta a nuevas preguntas

Aunque el trabajo se centró en gripe y covid-19, es probable que otros virus respiratorios capaces de inducir inflamación intensa tengan efectos similares. Esto abre un campo de investigación sobre cómo patógenos comunes podrían influir en la progresión de enfermedades crónicas.

También queda por aclarar si este fenómeno ocurre en otros tipos de cáncer, en órganos distintos de los pulmones, o con infecciones no virales.

De la ciencia básica a la prevención clínica

El impacto de este hallazgo no es inmediato en términos de cambiar protocolos médicos, pero plantea varios escenarios posibles:

  • Uso de fármacos que bloquean la IL-6 durante infecciones graves en personas con alto riesgo oncológico. La buena noticia es que estos fármacos ya existen.

  • Recomendaciones más estrictas de vacunación contra gripe y covid-19 para supervivientes de cáncer.

  • Mantener un seguimiento oncológico regular, especialmente en los meses posteriores a una enfermedad respiratoria.

En resumen, este hallazgo conecta dos mundos que rara vez se cruzan en la mente del público: las infecciones virales y el cáncer metastásico. No significa que una gripe cause cáncer, sino que, en personas con células tumorales latentes, la inflamación generada por el virus puede ser el empujón que esas células necesitan para volver a crecer.

La ciencia apenas empieza a descifrar este proceso, pero entenderlo podría salvar vidas en un futuro no muy lejano.

The Conversation

Las personas firmantes no son asalariadas, ni consultoras, ni poseen acciones, ni reciben financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y han declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado anteriormente.

ref. Cómo la gripe y la covid-19 pueden despertar un cáncer dormido – https://theconversation.com/como-la-gripe-y-la-covid-19-pueden-despertar-un-cancer-dormido-262646

Wildfire season is starting weeks earlier in California – a new study shows how climate change is driving the expansion

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By Gavin D. Madakumbura, Postdoctoral Researcher, University of California, Los Angeles

Firefighters battle in Pacific Palisades, Calif., on Jan. 7, 2025 David Swanson/AFP via Getty Images

Fire season is expanding in California, with an earlier start to wildfire activity in most of the state. In parts of the northern mountains, the season is now starting more than 10 weeks earlier than it did in the 1990s, a new study shows.

Atmospheric scientists Gavin Madakumbura and Alex Hall, two authors of the study, explain how climate warming has been driving this trend and why the trend is likely to continue.

What did your study find about how wildfire season is changing?

Over the past three decades, California has seen a trend toward more destructive wildfire seasons, with more land burned, but also an earlier start to fire season. We wanted to find out how much of a role climate change was playing in that shift to an earlier start.

We looked at hundreds of thousands of fire records from 1992 to 2020 and documented when fire season started in each region of the state as temperatures rose and vegetation dried out.

While other research has observed changes in the timing of fire season in the western U.S., we identified the drivers of this trend and quantified their effects.

The typical onset of summer fire season, which is in May or June in many regions, has shifted earlier by at least one month in most of the state since the 1990s, and by about 2½ months in some regions, including the northern mountains. Of that, we found that human-caused climate change was responsible for advancing the season between six and 46 days earlier across most of the state from 1992 to 2020.

Our results suggest that as climate warming trends continue, this pattern will likely persist, with earlier starts to fire season in the coming years. This means longer fire seasons, increasing the potential for more of the state to burn.

California typically leads the nation in the number of wildfires, as well as the cost of wildfire damage. But the results also provide some insight into the risks ahead for other fire-prone parts of North America.

What’s driving the earlier start to fire season?

There are a few big contributors to long-term changes in wildfire activity. One is how much fuel is available to burn, such as grasses and trees. Another is the increase in ignition sources, including power lines, as more people move into wildland areas. A third is how dry the fuel is, or fuel aridity.

We found that fuel aridity, which is controlled by climate conditions, had the strongest influence on year-to-year shifts in the timing of the onset of fire season. The amount of potential fuel and increase in ignition sources, while contributing to fires overall, didn’t drive the trend in earlier fires.

Year-to-year, there will always be some natural fluctuations. Some years are wet, others dry. Some years are hotter than others. In our study, we separated the natural climate variations from changes driven by human-caused climate warming.

We found that increased temperatures and vapor pressure deficit – a measure of how dry the air is – are the primary ways climate warming is shifting the timing of the onset of fire season.

Just as a warmer, drier year can lead to an earlier fire season in a single year, gradual warming and drying caused by climate change are systematically advancing the start of fire seasons. This is happening because it is increasing fuel flammability.

Why has the start to fire season shifted more in some regions than others?

The biggest shifts we’ve seen in fire season timing in California have been in the northern mountains.

In the mountains, the winter snowpack typically keeps the ground and forests wet into summer, making it harder for fires to burn. But in warmer years, when the snowpack melts earlier, the fire potential rises earlier too.

A map of California shows where fires season is starting earlier. Most of the state is starting at least 1 days per year earlier now.

Gavin Madakumbura, et al., Science Advances, 2025

Those warmer years are becoming more common. The reason climate change has a stronger impact in mountain regions is that snowpack is highly sensitive to warming. And when it melts sooner, vegetation dries out sooner.

In contrast, drier regions, such as desert ecoregions, are more sensitive to precipitation changes than to temperature changes. When assessing the influence of climate change in these areas, we mainly look at whether precipitation patterns have shifted due to climate warming. However, there is a lot of natural year-to-year variability in precipitation, and that makes it harder to identify the influence of climate change.

It’s possible that when precipitation changes driven by climate warming become strong enough, we may detect a stronger effect in these regions as well.

The Conversation

Gavin D. Madakumbura receives funding from the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation.

Alex Hall receives funding from the NSF, DOE, NOAA, LADWP, and State of California, among other sources.

ref. Wildfire season is starting weeks earlier in California – a new study shows how climate change is driving the expansion – https://theconversation.com/wildfire-season-is-starting-weeks-earlier-in-california-a-new-study-shows-how-climate-change-is-driving-the-expansion-262666

How to talk to your friends about climate action

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Bella Zanin, Knowledge Exchange Associate, Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations, University of Bath

DimaBerlin/Shutterstock

How often do you chat about climate change? When the weather’s been “a bit crazy”? Maybe with an estranged uncle over Christmas dinner? Recent polling reveals that over half of British adults rarely or never share their opinions about our warming planet.

Why does this matter? Because talking about climate change is one of the most important things we can do to tackle it. Conversations shape social norms, and social norms shape behaviour.

To be clear: it’s not about convincing your friends, family, neighbours or colleagues to care about climate change. Chances are they already do. It’s about letting them know you care too – that it’s normal to care, and typical to take action.

Talking about climate change is how we break the taboo, build a sense of unity, inspire hope and kickstart action. And it’s easier than you might think.

The analysis by insights platform Climate Barometer finds that 56% of Brits say they “rarely” or “never” share their opinions about climate change in day-to-day life. Its survey of 2,796 British adults, conducted in April 2025, revealed that only one in ten regularly express their climate views. This “climate silence” persists even among supporters of environmental policies.

Other studies paint a slightly chattier picture. In Ireland, 33% of people reportedly discuss climate change with family and friends “often”, while 39% of respondents to the Scottish Climate Survey had spoken about climate change at least weekly in the last month.

A similar pattern emerges in sport. Research by my colleagues at the Centre for Climate Change and Social Transformations found one-third of UK football fans speak to their friends, family and colleagues “often” or “very often” about climate change – although they are much less likely to speak to other football fans and strangers about the topic.

While climate chatter varies with things like age, social grade, education and political affiliation, generally people aren’t talking about climate change very often, especially when it involves sharing their opinion.

Yet numerous surveys show that most people are worried about rising global temperatures, willing to make sustainable lifestyle swaps, and support ambitious government climate policy. The problem is, many of us don’t know that others are feeling and behaving this way.

two women chatting outside in park
People care more about climate change than some might think.
Bricolage/Shutterstock

Polling demonstrates that 89% of people globally want stronger political action on climate issues, with eight in ten being in favour of taxing oil and gas corporations to pay for climate damages. In Britain, the public support most net zero policies, despite media reports of a shattered consensus, and want more of their energy produced by renewables.

They are acting, too. Recently, over 5,000 people travelled to Westminster for one of the decade’s largest climate lobbies. And earlier this summer, over 110,000 UK residents urged the government to ban fossil fuel advertising. Heat pump installations, electric car sales and consumption of meat-free meals are all on the rise too.

However, if we don’t talk to each other about climate issues – and climate lobbies don’t make front-page news – it’s easy to mistakenly assume that others aren’t willing to act on climate change.

This cognitive error – repeatedly making incorrect assumptions about other people’s beliefs and behaviour – is called “pluralistic ignorance”. This phenomenon, also known as “perception gaps”, is something that politicians unfortunately fall victim to as well, because they consistently underestimate public support for net zero policies.

Social influence is incredibly powerful. If you’ve ever laughed at a joke that everyone else was laughing at even though you didn’t understand it, you’ll know this to be true. People don’t like deviating from social norms. So, if we think the norm is not to care about climate change, we won’t take collective climate action.

Talking is the antidote to this “spiral of silence” – it makes climate action socially acceptable, sparking change beyond our own lives. Indeed, just knowing someone with a heat pump makes people more likely to consider installing one. So, chatting can be an effective form of climate action.

How to talk about climate change

You might be hesitant to chat about climate change. But luckily, research shows you don’t need to be an expert or get political to have effective climate conversations.

In fact, you could be the best climate messenger for the people in your life. We tend to trust information from our friends and family, and more readily accept advice from those with common interests – as researchers investigating how to encourage meat-eaters to reduce their meat intake discovered.

There’s little to be gained from discussing climate change with climate deniers, because people with strong views tend to dismiss information that challenges their beliefs. Instead, talk to the majority of people who are worried about climate change, but don’t know what to do about it.

Chatting to your mates is a good place to start: you probably already have a trusting relationship and shared interests. You could also approach your MP or local councillor to call for stronger policy action – our academic review and interviews with MPs show that voters’ views influence politicians’ engagement with climate change.

If you’re wondering how to begin a climate conversation, start by finding some common ground. Find a value or interest that you and your conversation partner share and explore how it relates to climate change. It can be as simple as asking a foodie friend: “I’m really enjoying cooking more veggie meals – have you got any good recipes?”

Climate framings that tend to unite rather than divide include improving health, benefiting the local community, protecting future generations, achieving balance with nature and avoiding waste. Your experience of climate impacts (hot days, storms, flooding) can also be a good bridging topic – Brits love talking about the weather.

Chatting about climate change is one of the most powerful (and overlooked) climate solutions. It normalises caring, boosts hope and catalyses action. You’re an expert on your own experience of climate impacts and solutions. So why not share it? Ask a question. Start a conversation. You never know who you might inspire.


Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

Get a weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 45,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.


The Conversation

Bella Zanin receives funding from The Economic & Social Research Council.

ref. How to talk to your friends about climate action – https://theconversation.com/how-to-talk-to-your-friends-about-climate-action-261023

Five ways digital nomads can have a positive impact on the places they travel to for work

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Veselina Stoyanova, Associate Professor in Strategy & International Management, University of Birmingham

oscargutzo/Shutterstock

Digital nomads are everywhere. Working and living wherever they lay their laptops, there may be as many as 40 million people who earn their keep online while they travel the world.

Some countries actively encourage these peripatetic professionals to visit, by offering specialist work visas. Costa Rica and Greece even offer tax benefits to entice digital nomads to their shores.

And while the rise of digital nomads has been accompanied by numerous concerns, research suggests they can often have a positive impact on the places they visit – leaving destinations better than they found them.

Here are five ways that digital nomads can do just that.

1. Skill sharing

Digital nomads can make a valuable contribution to the communities they join by freely sharing their expertise in areas such as technology, marketing or design. For instance, a digital marketer stopping off in rural Portugal could help a local artisan start selling their wares online. A web developer could help a neighbouring restaurant establish a digital profile.

Working with local schools and colleges is another good option. In Slovenia, for example, students at Jurij Vega Gymnasium teamed up with nomadic mentors to design sustainable tourism projects.

2. Authentic storytelling

Digital nomads help to influence how places are portrayed to the rest of the world. Instead of filtered Instagram posts or idealised social media posts, they can share real stories about local cultures and communities.

This encourages a deeper understanding and respect for the places they visit, like in Madeira, Portugal, where some digital nomads use blogs and podcasts to report on the island’s news beyond the tourism trail.

Rather than simply documenting beach life, many have shared stories about planting trees with residents and supporting local artisans. This provides a richer and more nuanced account of Madeira, and is the kind of shift which supports meaningful and sustainable connections of “regenerative travel”.

Woman planting tree.
A tree-planting nomad.
VesnaArt/Shuttterstock

3. Knowledge transfer

Digital nomads often gain valuable insights into how different places deal with social, environmental and economic challenges.




Read more:
Travelling in 2025? Here’s how to become a ‘regenerative’ tourist


For instance, they might learn how a rural community in Oliete, Spain, used digital platforms and cooperative funding to revive olive farming. Or how remote professionals in Tursi, Italy, have helped to rebuild local economies by mentoring entrepreneurs and setting up co-working hubs.

By applying these lessons to their home environments or introducing them to other communities, digital nomads act as catalysts for global innovation.

4. Be cosmopolitan

A “cosmopolitan” mindset is about switching the idea of travel from passive consumption to active participation. By supporting local businesses and collaborating on community initiatives nomads create more balanced relationships between travellers and locals.

In doing so, they contribute to cultural preservation, economic growth and a sense of mutual respect—key elements of regenerative travel. For example, in the Indonesia town of Ubud, Bali, digital nomads have engaged in community-based projects that help preserve the island’s cultural and natural heritage.

Rather than just passing through, cosmopolitan nomads see themselves as global citizens with a responsibility to engage meaningfully with the communities they visit.

5. Global networking

Digital nomads can connect local communities with international networks. For example, they might help artisans access global fair-trade platforms or connect environmental initiatives to international funding opportunities.

This is what happened in Lisbon, Portugal, where digital nomads partnered with local farmers to forge links with international customers.

By acting as bridges between grassroots efforts and global resources, digital nomads can amplify the reach and influence of local initiatives. It is the kind of collaboration which helps to ensure that the benefits of travel extend beyond tourism to create lasting change.

Empowering communities and nurturing global connections means remote workers can create a ripple effect that benefits their host destinations – and contributes to a quieter, more meaningful approach to travel.

The Conversation

Veselina Stoyanova does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Five ways digital nomads can have a positive impact on the places they travel to for work – https://theconversation.com/five-ways-digital-nomads-can-have-a-positive-impact-on-the-places-they-travel-to-for-work-255070

Russia’s decision to pull out of nuclear treaty makes the world more dangerous

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Matthew Powell, Teaching Fellow in Strategic and Air Power Studies, University of Portsmouth

Russia has announced it will no longer uphold its obligations under the intermediate-range nuclear forces (INF) treaty, signed by the Soviet Union and the United States in December 1987. The decision has raises questions about the future of nuclear deterrence and the danger of global nuclear proliferation.

The timing of this announcement from the Kremlin must be considered. It was just days after a spat on social media between the US president, Donald Trump, and former Russian president Dymitri Medvedev, a strong ally of Vladimir Putin.

Responding to the US president’s threats to punish Russia for its war in Ukraine, Medvedev took to X on July 28 to warn Trump that: “Each new ultimatum is a threat and a step towards war. Not between Russia and Ukraine, but with his own country.” Medvedev added: “Don’t go down the Sleepy Joe road!”

Trump responded by announcing that the US would redeploy two of its nuclear submarines into closer striking distance with Russia.

Russia’s decision also comes just three days before the deadline of August 8 set by Trump for Russia to agree to a ceasefire in its war with Ukraine.

It’s also important to remember that, while the Russian withdrawal from the INF treaty is attracting attention now, the US withdrew from the same treaty in August 2019, during Trump’s first presidency. So it’s tempting to see all this as diplomatic posturing.

However, when it comes to nuclear weapons – and given the rising global tensions – such moves must be taken seriously.

Arms limitation treaties

The INF treaty was part of a series of agreements between the US and Soviet Union that began with the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks (Salt) of 1972 and 1979. These led to agreements to reduce the strategic weapons held by both sides, including intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine-launched ballistic missiles and ballistic missile defences.

This was then followed in 1987 by the INF treaty, which was struck between Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev. Both sides agreed to reduce their stockpile of ground-based ballistic and cruise missiles with a range of between 500km to 5,500km (an entire category of nuclear weapon).

They also put in place provisions for inspection to ensure both were keeping to the agreement. Thanks to the treaty, 2,692 missiles were eliminated.

Despite these agreements, there remain significant stockpiles of nuclear weapons, with Russia and the US the most heavily armed nuclear powers. The size of their stockpiles is difficult to assess with complete accuracy, but the latest estimate by the non-profit Arms Control Association is that Russia is the most heavily armed nuclear power with 5,580 warheads, while the US maintains 5,225.

Both powers operate what is known as the “nuclear triad” of air, land and sea-launched systems. Russia’s decision to withdraw from the INF treaty only concerns ground-based missile systems, which in 1987 had the capability of striking targets in Europe withing a short period of time. Air- or sea-launched nuclear weapons were not seen at the time as a major concern to European security so were not covered by the treaty.

The other remaining non-proliferation treaty, New Start, which limits the US and Russia’s total number of deployed strategic missiles, warheads and launchers, does cover air and sea-launched weapons. However, its future is also in doubt.

Russia claims to still abide by the central limits of the agreement, despite having suspended official participation in February 2023. But the deal is due to expire in February 2026 and there are real concerns whether it will be possible for new negotiations to take place given the Russo-Ukrainian War and the current state of relations between Washington and Moscow.

There is also currently no treaty that covers the amount of tactical nuclear weapons a nation can hold. These are designed to be used on the battlefield (rather than against long-range targets) and, as they have never been deployed, it is not clear what damage they could do to a nation’s own forces as well as the enemy. This raises interesting questions with regards to the proximity of Nato members to Ukraine and Russia.

Defence systems

In May 2025, Trump announced a funding package of US$175 billion (£131 billion) for the development of a new “Golden Dome” defensive system that he said would render Russian strategic nuclear weapons redundant. Critics have pointed out that the US attempted something similar before without success, the Reagan-era “Star Wars” defence system, which ended up being scrapped as too expensive.

Missile defence systems against nuclear weapons do exist, such as the US ground-based midcourse defense system, which aims to track and shoot down incoming nuclear missiles. But these have never actually been tested in operational conditions. So the extent to which they provide guaranteed protection against every nuclear warhead is not known.

Russia’s decision to end compliance with the INF treaty should be viewed by the west with a great deal of concern. But it should also be seen in the context of previous Russian statements about its nuclear arsenal and willingness to use it, as well as the recent changes to the country’s nuclear doctrine to make it easier for Russia to use these weapons.

The Kremlin has made several changes to this doctrine since it started the war in Ukraine, usually to warn Kyiv’s western allies of the potential consequences of supplying more powerful and advanced weapons for use against Russia.

The true power of nuclear weapons in the 21st century is not necessarily their awesome destructive capacity, but the way that awesome destructive capacity can be used by nuclear-armed states to manoeuvre and protect their political power.

The Conversation

Matthew Powell does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Russia’s decision to pull out of nuclear treaty makes the world more dangerous – https://theconversation.com/russias-decision-to-pull-out-of-nuclear-treaty-makes-the-world-more-dangerous-262742

We fed people a milkshake with 130g of fat to see what it did to their brains – here’s what we learned

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Chris Marley, Senior Lecturer in Exercise Physiology, University of South Wales

An enormous milkshake BrittanyD/Shutterstock

A greasy takeaway may seem like an innocent Friday night indulgence. But our recent research suggests even a single high-fat meal could impair blood flow to the brain, potentially increasing the risk of stroke and dementia.

Dietary fat is an important part of our diet. It provides us with a concentrated source of energy, transports vitamins and when stored in the body, protects our organs and helps keep us warm. The two main types of fat that we consume are saturated and unsaturated (monounsaturated and polyunsaturated), which are differentiated by their chemical composition.

But these fats have different effects on our body. For example, it is well established that eating a meal that is high in saturated fat, such as that self-indulgent Friday night takeaway pizza, can be bad for our blood vessels and heart health. And these effects are not simply confined to the heart.

The brain has limited energy stores, which means it is heavily reliant on a continuous supply of blood delivering oxygen and glucose to maintain normal function.

One of the ways the body maintains this supply is through a process known as “dynamic cerebral autoregulation”. This process ensures that blood flow to the brain remains stable despite everyday changes in blood pressure, such as standing up and exercising. It’s like having shock absorbers that help keep our brains cool under pressure.

But when this process is impaired, those swings in blood pressure become harder to manage. That can mean brief episodes of too little or too much blood reaching the brain. Over time, this increases the risk of developing conditions like stroke and dementia.

What role might diet play?

After eating a meal high in saturated fat, levels of fat in the blood rise and peak after around four hours. At the same time, blood vessels become stiffer and lose their ability to relax and expand. This restricts blood flow around the body. But little is known about what happens to the brain during this time and how well its blood supply is protected.

To address this for the first time, we recruited 20 young men between the ages of 18 and 35, and 21 men between 60 and 80. We measured how well blood vessels linked to heart and brain health worked before, and four hours following, consumption of a meal high in saturated fat.

We assessed how well a blood vessel in the arm could open up in response to increased blood flow to obtain an indication of heart health. This is a method known as “flow-mediated dilatation”.

To evaluate how well blood vessels in the brain could cope with swings in blood pressure, our participants performed body-weight squats. We used ultrasound to determine how well blood flowed through vessels during both methods.

The test meal was a milkshake, which we called “the brain bomb” because it consisted mostly of heavy whipping cream. The drink contained 1,362 calories and 130g of fat, mimicking the fat load of a fast-food takeaway.

Our findings confirmed previous research that has shown that a high-fat meal impairs the ability of the blood vessels linked to heart health to open in both young and old participants. These impairments reduced the brain’s ability to buffer changes in blood pressure. This was more pronounced (by about 10%) in the older adults, suggesting that older brains may be more vulnerable to the effects of the meal.

Although we didn’t directly test for the long-term effects of a high-fat meal on mental functioning in this study, we have previously shown that such a meal increases free radicals (unstable, cell-damaging molecules) and decreases nitric oxide (molecules that help blood vessels relax and open up to transport oxygen and glucose around the body).

This may explain the reduced blood flow regulation we observed in our recent study.

This has important clinical implications. While an occasional takeaway is unlikely to cause harm on its own, our results suggest that even one fatty meal has an immediate effect on the body.

Our study highlights the importance of consuming a diet that is low in saturated fat to protect not only our heart health, but also our brain health. This is particularly important for older adults whose brains appear to be more vulnerable to the effects of such a meal and are already at increased risk of stroke and neurodegenerative diseases.

The NHS recommendeds that men consume no more than 30g of saturated fat a day, while women should consume no more than 20g. Yet many of us routinely exceed that, particularly during weekend takeaways, pub lunches or fast-food splurges.

What’s more, we may spend much of our waking lives in a post-meal state. This period, known as “post-prandial lipaemia”, is when fat levels are elevated, and when the body, it seems, may be most at risk.

Food for thought

There’s still so much more we need to learn about this topic.

Public health guidance recommends swapping saturated fats for polyunsaturated ones. These are found in foods like oily fish, walnuts and seeds, which are associated with better heart and brain health over the long term. But we don’t yet know how the brain responds to a single meal that is high in polyunsaturated fat.

Nor do we know how the female brain responds to a high-fat meal. This is a crucial gap in our knowledge since women face a greater risk of stroke and dementia in later life compared to men.

Our study offers a timely reminder that diet doesn’t just shape our long-term health. It also affects our body and brain in real time. And as we’re learning, when it comes to protecting brain health, every meal may count.

The Conversation

D.M.B. is supported by a Royal Society Wolfson Research Fellowship (Grant No. WM170007). D.M.B. is Editor-in-Chief of Experimental Physiology, Chair of the Life Sciences Working Group, member of the Human Spaceflight and Exploration Science Advisory Committee to the European Space Agency, member of the Space Exploration Advisory Committee to the UK and Swedish National Space Agencies and member of the National Cardiovascular Network for Wales and South-East Wales Vascular Network. D.M.B. is also affiliated to Bexorg, Inc. (USA) focused on the technological development of novel biomarkers of cerebral bioenergetic function and structural damage in humans.

Chris Marley does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. We fed people a milkshake with 130g of fat to see what it did to their brains – here’s what we learned – https://theconversation.com/we-fed-people-a-milkshake-with-130g-of-fat-to-see-what-it-did-to-their-brains-heres-what-we-learned-259961

China’s increased military might gives it new weapon in challenging global order

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Tom Harper, Lecturer in International Relations, University of East London

Chinese weapons are starting to show up in the world’s biggest conflict zones, underscoring its technological advancement and investment in this area.

In the 1990s and 2000s, Chinese weapons systems and military equipment were seen as being little more than imitations of old Russian or even Soviet systems. China was largely reliant on exports from Moscow and lacked the capacity to create its own systems.

However, with China’s recent economic development and technological growth, state-run Chinese firms are now increasingly significant military players. Reports suggest that China now has significantly more advanced weapons systems. An example of this is a J-20 fighter flying seemingly undetected through Tsushima Strait in June 2025, in range of US, Japanese and South Korean radar systems.

As conflicts, including the war in Ukraine, are increasingly dominated by drone warfare, China’s drone technology has become more sophisticated. It has also made advances in developing hypersonic missiles and stealth technology.

China’s recent moves in the Pacific show off its military power, most recently its unannounced naval exercises off the coast of Australia. The exercise caused significant disruption to flights in the Tasman Sea. And China’s fleet sailed close to sensitive military sites in Australia including the Amberley airbase, which hosts the US’s B-2 stealth bomber fleet. This also shows how bold China has become, as well as illustrating how sensitive assets are in striking range of China’s forces.

Latest Chinese weaponry

Chinese weapons systems were in action in the Indo-Pakistani conflict in June. Pakistan used several Chinese-made J-10C fighters to shoot down several Indian jets, most notably the French-made Rafale fighter.

The Asian conflict sparked interest in the Chinese jet, with Egypt and Nigeria now showing interest in buying the J-10. A year earlier at the Zhuhai airshow in China, several Middle Eastern nations, including the UAE, made significant purchases of Chinese systems, following up earlier purchases of Chinese drones and fighter jets.

China’s J-20 jets in action.

Chinese military companies now may have also found another potential client – Iran. Several Iranian military officials were recently photographed in the cockpit of a J-10 at the Zhuhai airshow.

The history of why China has invested significantly in military hardware is significant. Chinese military weaknesses were highlighted during the Gulf war and the third Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996. This saw China conduct missile tests in the Taiwan Strait as a signal to Taipei, which was seen as moving towards independence.

Washington deployed two carrier groups in response, consisting of two aircraft carriers and a large number of escorts. These significantly outclassed China’s ships, with more firepower and more advanced technology. At that time, Beijing was dependent on Soviet-made equipment. Its limitations were highlighted by the Chinese navy’s inability to detect US submarines in the Taiwan Strait.

The need to upgrade its military led to a continuous 10% increase in the Chinese defence budget, as well as widespread military reforms. These occurred under Jiang Zemin, chairman of the Central Military Commission (the supreme military body for the Chinese Communist Party) from 1989 to 2004, and president of China from 1993 to 2003. These changes laid the foundations for China’s modernised military systems today.

Technological power

China’s military modernisation has also been representative of its wider investment in technology. With some Chinese technology, such as AI chatbot DeepSeek, now challenging western domination.

Scholars have long argued that economic power leads to greater military power and a greater global role.

With the conflicts in Ukraine, south Asia, and the Middle East showing the limitations of more established European and Russian hardware, there are growing opportunities for Chinese weapons technology. It’s also likely that Chinese military systems will find customers among countries that are not on Donald Trump’s list of favoured nations, such as Iran. Should Iran be able to equip itself with Chinese systems, it will be better placed to go head-to-head with Israel.

All of these military advancements have given Beijing greater confidence as well as making the strategic position of the US and its allies in Asia more precarious. While the J-20 demonstrated the vulnerability of the first island chain, (a string of strategically important islands in east Asia) the latest innovation, the J-36, could reshape aerial warfare in the region. Integrated with AI and linked with drone swarms, the system has the potential to serve as a flying server, creating an integrated system not unlike the one recently used by Pakistan, but with even more advanced technologies.

All of these military manoeuvres show how China is becoming a significant player in global conflicts, and how this may give it more strength to challenge the current world order.

The Conversation

Tom Harper does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. China’s increased military might gives it new weapon in challenging global order – https://theconversation.com/chinas-increased-military-might-gives-it-new-weapon-in-challenging-global-order-262731

A parents’ guide to keeping kids safe online in the summer holidays

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Michelle McManus, Professor of Safeguarding and Violence Prevention, Co-Director of the Institute for Children’s Futures, Manchester Metropolitan University

aerophoto/Shutterstock

Parenting over the summer holidays, especially when juggling work and childcare, comes with significant challenges. One of those is screen time and staying safe online.

Children’s time online has the potential to soar in the summer, and when you’re doing your best to work from home with the kids around, it’s pretty difficult to monitor what they’re doing on the tablet or TV. Devices help us get through the day, but they also open the door to risks we may not fully see.

I get it because I live it. I’m a safeguarding expert who researches child online safety, and I’m also the parent of two children currently on their school summer holidays.

According to a 2025 Ofcom report on child media use, over half (55%) of under-13s are already using social media, although many of these apps – such as TikTok, Snapchat and Instagram – have a 13+ age limit.

Among older children, around one in five (21%) of 13- to 17-year-olds are now livestreaming their own videos, adding a further layer of visibility and vulnerability. Around 30% of children aged between 13 and 17 couldn’t correctly identify a fake social media profile.

So how do we keep kids safe online this summer without becoming full-time tech experts? Here are four real-life scenarios and some practical ways to stay ahead.

You’re working from home… and they’re on YouTube

You finally have 15 quiet minutes to answer that backlog of emails. Meanwhile, your child is watching YouTube in the next room.

Even with the best intentions, YouTube’s autoplay and content suggestions can lead children down unexpected rabbit holes. According to Ofcom, YouTube is the most-watched online platform for children aged three to 17 – and therefore likely to be one of the first platforms where they may come across unsafe or confusing content.

Use YouTube Kids for younger children, and set restricted mode on regular YouTube for older ones. Turn off autoplay, which automatically plays a new video after the one you chose finishes, and check the watch history regularly.

Watch a few videos with them when you have a moment, and make it routine to ask: “What’s the funniest (or weirdest, or most interesting) video you watched today?” Openness beats surveillance every time.

Even among younger children, Ofcom’s data shows that social media is often used unsupervised, highlighting the importance of settings, filters and shared conversations about what they’re watching.

Your kids’ friends come over, and bring their phones

You might have set your own digital rules at home: no Snapchat or TikTok yet, for instance. Then a friend visits and pulls out their phone, casually opening apps your child isn’t allowed to use.

This kind of peer-led digital exposure is a challenge for parents, especially when visiting devices come with open access and fewer restrictions. Establish clear and simple house rules that are easy to apply to all devices, such as “No phones upstairs”. Limiting where children use their devices is helpful because it encourages openness and reduces the risk of hidden or unsupervised activity.

Talk with your child about why these rules matter: they might encounter age-inappropriate content, for instance. Make communal areas like the living room or kitchen tech-visible zones: places where screens are used in plain sight. This helps normalise check-ins and casual supervision, so it feels natural rather than intrusive.

What matters most is that children feel safe talking to you when something doesn’t feel right, whether it’s their phone or someone else’s.

“Everyone’s on Snapchat – why can’t I be?”

This is the classic peer-pressure moment. Your child tells you they’re the only one without a particular app and they just want to stay in touch with friends over the holidays.

This exact situation came up in our household. My daughter told me all her friends were using Snapchat, and she didn’t want to feel left out. Instead of simply saying no, I invited her to do some research first. She wrote a short summary explaining why she wanted the app, what the benefits were for her, what the potential dangers were and how she would reduce those risks.

She took the task seriously – she wanted the app! It turned into a great learning moment for both of us and gave her a sense of ownership and responsibility.

If this comes up in your household, you could try the same approach. Ask your child to present a case for any new app, including how they plan to stay safe. Discuss age limits (Snapchat is rated 13+) and why they exist.

You can say no to their request, but talk about why, and perhaps make a plan for when they can use it. If you agree, explore the app together. Review privacy settings, turn off location visibility, and look at any built-in safety tools.

When children feel informed and included in the process, they’re more likely to come to you when something doesn’t feel right.

You’re not a tech expert – and you’re worried

Let’s face it, many of us feel outpaced by the variety of new platforms. But here’s the truth: you don’t need to master every app. What matters most is creating a home culture where communication is open, boundaries are clear, and digital safety is part of everyday life, not something reserved for a crisis.

Set screen time limits early and revisit them together as your child grows. Where possible, link accounts, use family management tools or set up parental controls (even older children can benefit from some guardrails). Don’t be afraid to pick up your child’s phone and scroll through it, but with them, not behind their back. Openness builds trust.

If something feels off, talk about it. And if you’re unsure, ask for help, from schools, other parents, or one of the many expert resources available.

You don’t need to know everything. You just need to stay curious, stay involved and let your child know that if something goes wrong, you’re the first person they can turn to for support.

The Conversation

Michelle McManus has received funding from Home Office, Department for Education and National Independent Safeguarding Board Wales. She is also currently seconded as part of a Chancellor’s Fellowship at Manchester Met, with the VKPP, which is part of the National Centre for VAWG and Public Protection.

ref. A parents’ guide to keeping kids safe online in the summer holidays – https://theconversation.com/a-parents-guide-to-keeping-kids-safe-online-in-the-summer-holidays-262361

Israel’s plans for a full occupation of Gaza would pave the way for Israeli resettlement

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Leonie Fleischmann, Senior Lecturer in International Politics, City St George’s, University of London

Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly considering an expansion of fighting and a “full occupation of the Gaza Strip”.

There is strong opposition to the idea from within Israel’s senior military ranks, amid growing international condemnation of Israel for the increasingly dire humanitarian disaster in Gaza. Yet Netanyahu is expected to present the plan to his cabinet to capture the last areas of the strip not held by the Israeli military, including areas where the remaining hostages are believed to be being held.

A majority of Israelis want the war to end and see any remaining live hostages returned safely. But a section of the population are preparing for the very real possibility that their dreams of resettling Gaza will be realised. Netanyahu’s decision is not necessarily driven by the same motives as the would-be settlers, but the consequences on the ground may end up aligning.

This reflects similar dynamics in the history of Israeli settlement building. Based on security rationale, successive Israeli governments have set about controlling the Palestinian population.

In the wake of military conquest, settlers have moved in to establish outposts. Gradually, these outposts have become settlements as families have flooded in, whether driven by secular Zionist ideology, encouraged by cheaper properties, stirred through religious beliefs, or inspired by dreams of a better quality of life.

The Gaza Strip was first occupied by Israel at the beginning of what became known as the “six-day war”. Responding to intelligence reports that its neighbours were mobilising against it, Israel launched a series of pre-emptive strikes against Syria, Jordan and Egypt.

On June 5 1967, Israel Defense Forces (IDF) major general, Yeshayahu Gavish, commanded his troops to occupy the Gaza Strip, which was then under the control of Egypt. He did so in defiance of orders from Israel’s then defence minister, Moshe Dayan, who had warned against being “stuck with a quarter of a million Palestinians” in an area “bristled with problems … a nest of wasps”.

But once it had moved IDF troops into the Strip, the Israeli government followed a policy of breaking up Palestinian-populated areas by establishing military outposts, which then became civilian settlements.

In 1970, Israel’s then Labour government established two “Nahal settlements”. Named after the Nahal brigade, founded by Israel’s first prime minister, David Ben Gurion, these settlements were agricultural communities established by military force. By 2005, there were 21 civilian settlements in the strip, with a total estimated population of 8,600, living alongside a Palestinian population of around 1.3 million.

Map of Israeli settlements in the Gaza Strip before disengagement: May 2005.
Map of Israeli settlements in the Gaza Strip before disengagement: May 2005.
US Central Intelligence Agency via Wikipedia

The settlers’ ideology at that stage did not include the sort of racist anti-Arab sentiments that have become prolific in the ultranationalist corners of the settler movement. But the disparities between the overpopulated Palestinian refugee camps and the flourishing Israeli settlements in the Gaza Strip – protected by IDF troops – led to growing Palestinian resentment.

Disengagement from Gaza

Things began to change with the second intifada (uprising), which erupted in 2000 and led to a reassessment of Israel’s settlement policy. Security considerations and a desire to reduce confrontations between the IDF and Palestinian civilians necessitated a new policy of separation.

The Israeli government also wanted to maintain a majority-Jewish population in areas under its control. So the idea of separating off majority Arab areas under the control of a Palestinian authority was appealing to the government of the then prime minister, Ariel Sharon.

Sharon had previously been known as the father of the settlement project. But in 2004 he ordered the evacuation of all Israeli settlements from the Gaza Strip and four settlements in the north of the West Bank, a project which was accomplished in 2005.

Ariel Sharon speaking into microphones.
Former Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon.
Jim Wallace/Smithsonian Institution via Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA

The previously consistent alignment between the settler movement and the state came to an abrupt end. While the majority of Israelis supported the plan, the religious right was violently opposed.

The Jerusalem Post reported: “For Religious Zionists, who link Torah, people, and land, the state’s bulldozers felt like a theological betrayal.”

The “disengagement plan” had significant consequences on the settler movement which then fragmented. A militant racist wing emerged, which has since grown in power and influence.

After the 2022 Israeli national elections, two of the wing’s leaders, Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, were included in Netanyahu’s cabinet. The pair have been able to use their leverage over the prime minister to influence the trajectory of the war in Gaza.

The call for renewed Jewish settlement

Since Israel began its onslaught in Gaza, settler groups have been calling for the resettlement of Gaza. These radicals go beyond the families that were evacuated in 2005. They include the Nachala settler organisation whose raison d’etre is establishing Jewish settlements to control the West Bank and Gaza.

The liberal newspaper Haaretz recently reported a Nachala-organised march by thousands of Israelis on July 30 to the borders of Gaza, calling for the settlement of areas of the northern Gaza Strip currently occupied by the IDF. Operational plans to establish settlements have been drawn up and 1,000 families have signed up to reestablish a Jewish community in Gaza.

It’s not yet clear whether Netanyahu will order the full occupation of Gaza – or whether he plans to allow the establishment of civilian settlements there. But historical precedent makes this a very real possibility.

The Conversation

Leonie Fleischmann does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Israel’s plans for a full occupation of Gaza would pave the way for Israeli resettlement – https://theconversation.com/israels-plans-for-a-full-occupation-of-gaza-would-pave-the-way-for-israeli-resettlement-262723