Think society is in decline? Research gives us some reasons to be cheerful

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Paul Hanel, Senior Lecturer, Department of Psychology, University of Essex

Tinnakorn jorruang/Shutterstock

Talk to a random member of the public and they’re likely to say that people’s behaviour is getting worse. From brazen shoplifting, to listening to music out loud on public transport, to violence against retail workers, there are plenty of reasons we might feel bleak about other people.

This perception is backed up by research: a study published in June 2023 found that people in over 60 countries believe that basic decency is declining. A 2025 poll of 9,600 Americans found that 46% believed that rudeness is overall increasing, whereas only 9% found it was decreasing compared to pre-pandemic levels.

But people’s perception can be inaccurate. In my research, I investigate how accurate people’s perceptions about other people are, the implications of inaccurate perceptions, and what happens when those misperceptions are corrected.

And it’s clear that there are some misperceptions at play here. If we look at people’s values, those abstract ideals that guide our behaviour, there are reasons to be positive about society.

In a 2022 study of 32,000 people across 49 cultural groups, the values of loyalty, honesty and helpfulness ranked highest, while power and wealth ranked lowest. The results offer little support for claims of moral decline. An interactive tool, developed by social scientist Maksim Rudnev using data from the European Social Survey, shows that the pattern remained consistent between 2002-23 across over 30 European countries.

Further studies show people’s values are broadly similar across over 60 countries, education levels, religious denominations and gender (there are exceptions of course). That is, there is substantial overlap between the responses between both groups.

Even the values of 2,500 Democrats or Republicans in the USA in 2021-23, or of 1,500 Leave and Remain voters of the Brexit referendum in 2016-17, are remarkably similar. This suggests an alternate narrative to perceptions of countries being divided and polarised.

One limitation of these findings is that they are based on people’s self-reports. This means these results can be inaccurate, for example because people wanted to portray themselves positively. But what about people’s actual behaviour?

Good citizens

Quite a few studies suggest that most people are actually behaving morally. For example, when researchers analysed actual public conflicts recorded by CCTV, they found that in nine out of ten conflicts a bystander intervened (in cases where bystanders were present). These findings, from 2020, were similar across the Netherlands, South Africa and the UK.

People intervene in knife or terrorist attacks, even when they put themselves in danger. While these cases are rare, they demonstrate that many people are willing to help even under extreme circumstances.

In less dramatic situations we can also observe that people are considerate of others. For example, a 2019 study found that in 38 out of 40 countries investigated lost wallets were, on average, more likely to be returned if they contained a bit of cash rather than no cash, and even more likely to be returned when they contained a fair bit of cash. This is likely because finders recognised that the loss would be more harmful to the owner of the wallet.

In another experiment (2023), 200 people from seven countries were given US$10,000 (£7,500) with almost no strings attached. Participants spent over $4,700 on other people and donated $1,700 to charity.

But what about changes over time? It might be that people 50 or 100 years ago behaved more morally. There are not many studies that systematically track behaviour change over time, but one study found that Americans became slightly more cooperative between the 1950s and the 2010s when interacting with strangers.

Why misperceptions persist

Why do quite a few people still believe that society is in moral decline? For one thing, news outlets tend to focus on negative events. Negative news is also more likely to be shared on social media. For example, numerous studies noticed that when disasters strike (hurricanes, earthquakes), many media stations report panic and cruelty, even though people usually cooperate with and support each other.

In addition, people who hold more extreme political views – on either the left or the right – are more likely to post online, as are bots from Russia and elsewhere. In other words, what we see on social media is by no means representative of the population.

Of course, none of this denies that a minority of people can cause serious harm, or that some aspects of public life, such as online abuse of children, may be worsening. Further, these trends do not necessarily reflect how the average person behaves or what they value.

A young woman and older woman smiling at a table outdoors
People still value helpfulness and honesty.
Dmytro Zinkevych/Shutterstock

It matters if people are overly pessimistic about others. People who wrongly believe that others care more about selfish values and less about compassionate ones are, on average, less likely to volunteer or vote. This is not surprising: why invest your time in people you think would never return the favour?

Numerous experiments have found that showing people that others share, on average, similar values and beliefs to their own, can make them more trusting and hopeful for the future. Talking to others, be it friends, people you only know loosely or strangers, can make us realise that other people are mostly friendly, and it can also make us feel better.

Volunteering, joining local groups or attending neighbourhood events can be a good idea: helping others makes us feel better. Finally, reading positive news stories or focusing on other people’s kindness can also help our outlook.

In a nutshell, the evidence suggests that moral decline is not happening, even if there are examples of some bad behaviour on the rise. If we all were to stop talking to other people assuming they would mean us harm, cease to go the extra mile for other people and so on, there is a risk we all become more self-centred and decline would eventually happen. Luckily, we, as a society, can influence our own fate.

The Conversation

Paul Hanel received in the past funding from the Economic and Social Research Council as well as Research England.

ref. Think society is in decline? Research gives us some reasons to be cheerful – https://theconversation.com/think-society-is-in-decline-research-gives-us-some-reasons-to-be-cheerful-268834

Mary, Queen of Scots’ last letter is going on display in 2026 – five interesting facts about her other writing

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Emily Hay, PhD Candidate in Scottish Literature, University of Glasgow

The last letter of Mary, Queen of Scots goes on display in 2026 for the first time in almost a decade. Deposed from her Scottish throne in 1567, Mary spent 20 years in captivity across Scotland and England before she was executed for plotting against her cousin and captor, Elizabeth I of England. Writing that final letter was one of the last things Mary did before mounting the scaffold on February 8, 1587.

As I explore in my PhD thesis, writing was a key concern for Mary throughout her captivity. She wrote hundreds of letters as well as poems and prose essays, using her words as a means of influence with her supporters, jailers and a reading public at large. Here are five things you should know about her from her writing.

1. French was her language of choice – but it wasn’t all she could write

Sent to France at the age of five, Mary developed a lifelong attachment to the country and its language. Studying under the French poet Pierre de Ronsard, she had a particular fondness for French poetry. It was here that Mary first began composing poems of her own, with short verses penned in prayer books belonging to her female family members. French also remained her language of choice for writing throughout her life, even after she returned to rule Scotland in 1561.

However, contrary to popular myth, Mary was also fluent in her native Scots, speaking and writing letters in it throughout her reign.

2. She was deposed and imprisoned for poems she (allegedly) wrote

In February 1567, Mary’s husband, Lord Darnley, was killed, and by May of the same year she had married the Earl of Bothwell – the man widely believed to have killed him.

According to her rebellious lords, her own poetry attested to her guilt of adultery and murder. In the “casket sonnets” – so-called for the silver gilt casket they were discovered within – Mary had apparently declared her love for Bothwell while Darnley was still alive. The poems were even produced as evidence against her at the hearings held to decide her fate after she escaped to England in 1568.

Mary, Queen of Scots
Mary, Queen of Scots.
National Portrait Gallery, CC BY-NC

To this day literary historians remain divided on whether the sonnets were actually written by Mary or forged by her enemies. Whatever the truth may be, they highlight the political stakes Mary’s writing entailed.

3. Propaganda painted her as a monster and a witch – but she had very different views of herself

Following Darnley’s murder, Mary became the subject of a slew of derogatory propaganda. One Edinburgh placard painted her as a naked mermaid (a symbol of prostitution). Elsewhere across Britain, written propaganda also imagined her as monstrous classical women like the snake-haired Medusa and the witches Medea and Circe.

Even in prison, Mary didn’t take such slander lying down. In one letter to Elizabeth I in 1568 she wrote: “I am not an enchanter” and “I am not of the nature of the basilisk.” The basilisk was a mythical creature interchangeable with Medusa because both were known for their serpentine nature and ability to kill with a mere look. In these written rejections of her negative public image, Mary hoped to prove her propagandists wrong and persuade the English queen to help restore her to her throne.

4. She saw herself as more a king than a woman

Popular culture has always contrasted the masculine, intellectual Elizabeth against the feminine, emotional Mary – most notably, the 2018 film had Saoirse Ronan’s Mary wishing she had emulated Elizabeth’s decision to remain unmarried. Yet, while Elizabeth I famously declared that she had “the heart and stomach of a king”, Mary’s writing reveals she also saw herself as more a king than a woman.

In two poems written and published during her imprisonment, she notably compares herself to the biblical kings Solomon and David. Both were common figures of comparison for monarchs who wanted to display their power and virtue – Henry VIII, Elizabeth and James VI and I (Mary’s son) had all done so during their reigns.

Mary’s message was clear: though ousted from her throne, she would never stop projecting herself as a monarch. She too was a king first, and a woman second.

A painting of a skull and Mary, Queen of Scots.
Anamorphosis, called Mary, Queen of Scots by an unknown artist. The painting should be looked at from left to right to reveal the human head changing into a skull.
National Galleries Scotland, CC BY-NC

5. She wanted to control her public persona – even in death

Though she had been charged with treason by the English government, in her final letter Mary told her brother-in-law, Henry III of France, that she was dying for her Catholic faith. Throughout her imprisonment Mary tried to control the public view disseminated of her through writing – on several occasions even trying to stop the circulation of derogatory books published about her in England and France.

Her conscious attempts to control the narrative only strengthened in the lead up to her execution. In a letter to the Spanish ambassador, written after she had received news of her death sentence, Mary claimed she could hear construction in the great hall of her prison at Fotheringhay, stating: “I think it is to make a scaffold to have me play out the final act of the tragedy.”

For Mary, her end was a performance that she sought to influence and control, and her presentation on the scaffold – carrying a crucifix and wearing a petticoat in the red of martyrdom – only played into this. Given how enduring the view of Mary as a martyr became in the years following her death, it would seem, on that count at least, that she won.


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The Conversation

Emily Hay has previously received funding from the Arts and Humanities Research Council (AHRC).

ref. Mary, Queen of Scots’ last letter is going on display in 2026 – five interesting facts about her other writing – https://theconversation.com/mary-queen-of-scots-last-letter-is-going-on-display-in-2026-five-interesting-facts-about-her-other-writing-272754

US action against Greenland would undermine Nato, but now is not the time to panic

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Stefan Wolff, Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham

Donald Trump sees Greenland as national security priority for the US. muratart / Shutterstock

Shortly after the US military operation to capture Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro on January 3, US president Donald Trump restated his claim to Greenland. The White House sees Greenland, which is part of the kingdom of Denmark, as crucial for national security and is reportedly considering a range of options to acquire the island. This includes “utilising the US military”.

Trump’s proclamations have led to a sense among Europeans that US aspirations for dominance over the western hemisphere extend beyond Latin America. And the fact that Trump’s secretary of state, Marco Rubio, told congressional leaders in Washington that the administration wants to buy Greenland, not invade it, is unlikely to make them feel much better.

Their worries that Trump is serious about annexing Greenland are not unfounded: the US president has repeatedly expressed his desire to make Greenland part of the US, starting back in his first term. But some of the presumed implications, like the dissolution of Nato as foreseen by Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen, are at least for now overblown.

Assuming there is an American move against Greenland, this would not be the first time two Nato allies have been at loggerheads. France pulled out of Nato’s military structures in the late-1960s over concerns about losing its foreign policy autonomy and possibly being drawn into the Vietnam war.

Greece withdrew from military participation in the alliance in 1974 after neighbour and fellow Nato member Turkey invaded Cyprus and occupied the northern, predominantly Turkish-Cypriot, part of the island. Tensions between the two Nato members continue to this day but have not brought the alliance down.

Nato also rode out the Suez crisis in 1956. This crisis saw Britain and France, together with Israel, invade Egypt to regain control of the Suez canal before withdrawing after intense US pressure.

The alliance also survived the “cod wars” between the UK and Iceland in the 1970s. And Nato did not disintegrate during the rift that emerged between its members in the run-up to – and in the aftermath of – the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.

What sets all of these previous examples apart from an American move against Greenland is that this would be the first time the US engages in an aggressive act against a Nato ally. This would hardly be something that Denmark and its European allies could accept, especially if it involves the use of force.

But not accepting US aggression can come in many different forms. On the spectrum of possible responses, the least likely is an activation of the EU’s mutual defence clause, which would be followed by military hostilities between European states and the US. The EU does not have the military capabilities, nor is it likely to have the political will, to go to war with the US.

A mass European exodus from Nato is also far from a foregone conclusion. Nato’s founding treaty does provide an option for members to leave in its article 13, which foresees a “notice of denunciation” and a 12-month period until an exit takes full effect. But given the security threats that Europe currently faces from Russia, even a temporarily dysfunctional Nato would be better than no Nato at all.

In the event that the US moves to take control of Greenland, political paralysis within Nato would almost be certain. This would probably involve escalating rhetoric on both sides of the Atlantic and a Danish withdrawal from military participation in Nato.

European diplomatic protests against American action over Greenland might lead Trump to declare that the US is withdrawing from Nato. But that, too, is not straightforward. Such a move would require approval in the US Senate and consultation with members of both houses of Congress.

There would probably be significant pushback both from US lawmakers and from the Pentagon. This is because a US withdrawal from Nato would entail a possibly rushed and almost certainly chaotic transfer of responsibilities in the Nato command structure and would raise major questions about US military bases in Europe.

None of this would be in the interests of American security and would certainly undermine US abilities to project force outside the western hemisphere.

Europe’s next steps

So, for Europe, the first order of the day is not to panic and rush into any ill-advised actions. While it is important to match Trump’s aggressive rhetoric, it is also key not to be drawn into needless escalation. In the long-term, an even deeper transatlantic fracture is ill-suited to the European interest in a revitalised Nato.

Security in the Arctic is a joint priority for the alliance, not just for the US. Greenland is a critical node in north Atlantic security, but so are Iceland and Norway as well as US bases in Europe. Emphasising these shared interests may not cut much ice with Trump but it is likely to strengthen congressional resolve to push back against the president’s threats to the transatlantic alliance.

At the same time, Europe should not rush into any hasty deals with Trump over Greenland. While US security concerns, and possibly even economic interests, could be accommodated in existing arrangements, anything beyond that – such as selling Greenland to the US in exchange for renewed US commitments to Nato and Europe – would be foolish.

Not only can Trump not be trusted to keep any promises he might make in order to get a deal done but he could also not credibly commit his successors. Hence, any arrangement that the Europeans may now undertake to manage American hostility may be counterproductive if it cannot be undone should the mood in Washington change to become less anti-European.

And there is still a faint hope in Europe that things might get better either after the US mid-term elections in 2026 or the presidential elections in 2028. As always, there is also the possibility that Trump’s strategic focus might zoom in on some other issue – such as a protracted failure of US policy in Venezuela – and so take his eyes off Greenland.

The Conversation

Stefan Wolff is a past recipient of grant funding from the Natural Environment Research Council of the UK, the United States Institute of Peace, the Economic and Social Research Council of the UK, the British Academy, the NATO Science for Peace Programme, the EU Framework Programmes 6 and 7 and Horizon 2020, as well as the EU’s Jean Monnet Programme. He is a Trustee and Honorary Treasurer of the Political Studies Association of the UK and a Senior Research Fellow at the Foreign Policy Centre in London.

David Hastings Dunn has previously received funding from the ESRC, the Gerda Henkel Foundation, the Open Democracy Foundation and has previously been both a NATO and a Fulbright Fellow.

Mark Webber is Senior Non-resident fellow at the NATO Defence College in Rome and a trustee of NATO Watch. He has previously received funding from the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) and the British Academy to carry out research on NATO.

ref. US action against Greenland would undermine Nato, but now is not the time to panic – https://theconversation.com/us-action-against-greenland-would-undermine-nato-but-now-is-not-the-time-to-panic-272911

What I’ve learned from studying the wild pigeon

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Will Smith, Leverhulme Early Career Fellow, University of Nottingham

Wild rock doves such as these are endangered, following interbreeding with feral ‘city pigeons’. Mike Pennington/Wikimedia , CC BY-NC-SA

Domestic pigeons have surprising cultural significance. They inspired Charles Darwin in his thinking about evolution, delivered wartime messages to save lives, and have symbolic meaning around the world.

The domestic pigeon is among the best understood animals on the planet, with research published weekly on various aspects of their biology. Yet we know very little about their wild ancestors. Because of this, I have been visiting Scotland’s Outer Hebrides since 2019 to study the truly wild pigeon.

Millennia of human-pigeon interactions arose from the domestication of a small, blue-grey bird – the rock dove – 5,000-10,000 years ago, probably in the Middle East. Most of us are familiar with feral pigeons. Found cooing and strutting throughout the world’s cities, these animals descend from escaped domestic birds.

Unlike feral pigeons, which thrive in attics (or outside McDonald’s), the rock dove is shy, and mostly found on cliffs or mountains. Domestic pigeons, feral pigeons and rock doves all belong to the same species – Columba livia.

Although rock doves are native to vast swathes of Europe, Africa and Asia, their modern geographic distribution is unclear, thanks to interbreeding with feral pigeons. Across much of their original range, rock doves have gone extinct, replaced by pigeons with a mixture of wild and feral ancestry. For example, they have been completely subsumed into the feral pigeon gene pool across England and Wales.

Nevertheless, wild-looking pigeons were known to live in parts of Scotland and Ireland. Among ornithologists and casual birdwatchers, these birds were sometimes said to be “proper” rock doves, and sometimes wild-feral hybrids. It was this mystery that inspired me to study these birds which, living in remote habitats (and being difficult to distinguish from feral pigeons), had been neglected by scientists for decades.

In 2022, my colleagues and I published the first genetic study of these Scottish and Irish populations. We confirmed that they are wild rock doves, but that wild-feral interbreeding is common. We found that rock doves have thinner beaks and rounded heads, whereas feral pigeons have an engorged cere (the white fleshy lump above the beak).

Most interestingly, the rock doves of the Outer Hebrides, off the west coast of Scotland, remain genetically distinct, with limited evidence of interbreeding with feral pigeons. Future genetic research will hopefully identify similar colonies surviving elsewhere (wild-looking populations are also seen in parts of Asia, north Africa, and the Mediterranean).

For now though, Outer Hebridean rock doves represent the “wildest” (having the least feral pigeon ancestry) known contemporary population in the world. Foraging in meadows, and roosting in sea caves, they have, against scientists’ expectations, escaped the impacts of domestication. This is probably because pigeon keeping has always been rare in the Outer Hebrides, and few feral pigeons make it across the sea from mainland Britain.

Each year, I spend several weeks in the Outer Hebrides studying the rock doves. To allow individual birds to be followed throughout their lives, they need to be fitted with coded leg rings. Urban feral pigeons can be captured with a hand net and some birdseed, but their warier cousins require a more thoughtful approach.

We find that the best way is to target them overnight, when they are roosting. We take measurements, photographs and blood samples, before returning them to sleep. We have so far incorporated over 1,200 birds into our study.

Outer Hebridean rock doves are sparsely distributed, in colonies of up to a hundred birds. They rest and breed in caves, rocky crags and ruined buildings. Living among golden eagles and red deer, it’s a completely different lifestyle to that associated with feral pigeons.

In 2025, we published the results of a GPS tracking trial. We tracked rock doves from a colony in a disused barn, to see whether life in a human-built environment affects their behaviour.

Although naturalists have long discussed a classic rock dove “commuting” behaviour (travelling many miles each day, between roosting and foraging sites), this is not what we observed with our barn-dwelling birds. While many Outer Hebridean rock doves still commute (they are seen traversing the islands each morning and evening), the doves we tracked had abandoned this behaviour, associating almost exclusively with farmland.

This may give us a rare window into the earliest stages of domestication in this species. Our observations suggest that, instead of being deliberately retrieved from nature and actively farmed, rock doves were probably first attracted by agriculture, abandoning their natural commuting behaviour to live alongside us. Providing roosting structures likely enhanced this process – and we started building dovecotes at least 4,000 years ago.

The exciting thing about working with rock doves is that much of their biology
remains a mystery. We now know that genetically distinct populations persist, but there’s little information about their reproduction, predators or diseases.

Studying wild rock doves gives us a rare chance to establish how one of science’s model species lives in nature. This may yield insights into domestication, wild-feral hybridisation, and human-wildlife relationships – contributing to the wider understanding of our place in the natural world.

The Conversation

Will Smith’s research on rock doves has previously been funded by the Edward Grey Institute and the John Fell Fund (both of the University of Oxford), the British Trust for Ornithology, the Scottish Ornithologists’ Club, the British Birds Charitable Trust, the Houghton Trust, and the John Muir Trust. His research is currently funded by the Leverhulme Trust (as an Early Career Fellow), the Genetics Society, and the British Ecological Society.

ref. What I’ve learned from studying the wild pigeon – https://theconversation.com/what-ive-learned-from-studying-the-wild-pigeon-269116

Iran protests have put the country’s political system on trial

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Arash Beidollahkhani, Research Fellow at the Global Development Institute, University of Manchester

Protests that began in late December over rising prices and a collapsing currency have now spread to most of Iran’s 31 provinces, with demonstrators taking aim at the country’s rulers. The demonstrations signal a deep challenge to a political order that many Iranians see as incapable of delivering stability, dignity or a viable future.

The unrest poses the most serious challenge to Iran’s political establishment since 2022. That year, nationwide protests erupted over the death of 22-year-old Mahsa Amini in police custody after she was arrested for violating hijab rules. Those demonstrations were ultimately suppressed through force.

Iran’s political establishment has for decades defined itself through permanent confrontation on multiple fronts: with Israel, the US and what it sees as global imperialism. This posture has reshaped domestic life by subordinating the economy, governance and social stability to ideological resistance.

What the latest protests reveal is not simply frustration with the hardship that has accompanied this political stance. They seem to reflect a growing consensus among Iranians that this order cannot be reformed into something functional and must therefore be replaced.

Iranian security forces confront a lone protester during demonstrations.
Iranian security forces confront a lone protester during demonstrations in late December. This widely shared image has become a symbol of the protests.
Instagram

This has been apparent in the language used by the protesters. Many demonstrators have linked their daily hardships to the regime’s foreign policy priorities, expressed perhaps most clearly through one chant that has echoed through the streets of various Iranian cities in recent days: “Not Gaza, not Lebanon, I sacrifice my life for Iran.”

The slogan is a rejection of the regime’s official stance that sacrifice at home is necessary to fulfil ideological goals of “resistance” abroad. Iran has long pursued a policy of supporting militant groups like Hamas and Hezbollah to counter the influence of the US and Israel in the Middle East.

Chants of “death to the dictator” – a reference to Iran’s ageing supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei – are yet more evidence of the broad rejection of the political order among the Iranian population. They signal that many Iranians now view their economic survival as inseparable from fundamental political change.

The protests have spread across wide sections of Iranian society. What began as strikes by bazaar merchants and shopkeepers in Iran’s capital, Tehran, quickly drew in students, professionals and business owners elsewhere in the country. Protests have even been reported in Qom and Mashhad, cities whose populations have traditionally been loyal to the state.

The state’s initial response to the protests was muted. The government recognised the protests and promised to listen to the “legitimate demands” of the demonstrators. However, despite a warning from US president Donald Trump of US intervention should security forces “kill peaceful protesters”, at least 36 people have died so far. Over 2,000 more people have been detained.

A social media post by Donald Trump warning of American intervention should Iran's authorities kill protesters.
Donald Trump posts on his Truth Social media platform in response to the protests in Iran.
@realDonaldTrump / Truth Social

Post-war paralysis

The protests come six months after Iran’s brief but destabilising war with Israel. This conflict severely strained the state’s capacity to govern, with Khamenei largely withdrawing from public view since then due to heightened fears over his safety. Major decisions in Iran require Khamenei’s approval, so his absence has slowed decision-making across the system.

The effects of this have been felt nationwide. Universities and schools have been hampered by repeated closures, shortened schedules and the sudden suspension of in-person classes. Transport networks have faced repeated disruption and economic planning has become nearly impossible.

Prices are now rising fast. The official annual inflation rate stands at around 42%, with food inflation exceeding 70%. The prices of some basic goods have reportedly risen by more than 110% compared with a year ago, and are expected to rise further in the coming weeks.

Iran’s authorities have also intermittently suspended routine daily and weekly activities since the end of the war, such as school days, public office hours, transport services and commercial operations. They cite energy shortages, pollution or security concerns as the reasons for doing so.

Underlying these disruptions is a governing system braced for the possibility of renewed war, either with Israel or possibly the US. The regime is operating in a prolonged state of emergency, which has pushed Iranian society itself deeper into crisis.

Iran’s governing paralysis has been strained further by intensifying competition within the ruling elite. The war with Israel led to the deaths of several senior Iranian military and security figures, which has created gaps in networks of power.

With authority fragmented, rival political, military and security factions have sought to position themselves for influence in a post-Khamenei order. Networks associated with figures such as former president Hassan Rouhani, former foreign minister Javad Zarif and current president Masoud Pezeshkian are pursuing negotiations with western powers to address Iran’s foreign policy challenges.

But others appear to be engaging in talks aimed at securing backing from ideological allies such as Russia and China. These include people in security and intelligence circles, along with figures ideologically aligned with Khamenei like his second-eldest son Mojtaba, current speaker of parliament Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf and conservative clerics such as Mohammad-Mahdi Mirbagheri.

These rival strategies have not produced coherent governance. Instead, they have reinforced perceptions among the Iranian public that the system is preoccupied with survival rather than addressing everyday breakdowns in basic administration, public services and economic coordination.

Iran stands at a crossroads. One path leads toward deeper militarisation, elite infighting and prolonged paralysis. The other points towards a reckoning with a political order that large segments of Iranian society no longer believe can deliver stability or welfare.

The protests suggest that the central question for many Iranians is no longer whether the system can be repaired, but whether continuing to live under it is viable at all. What is clear is that Iran is at a critical political moment, with significant changes likely to unfold in the weeks and months ahead.

The Conversation

Arash Beidollahkhani does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Iran protests have put the country’s political system on trial – https://theconversation.com/iran-protests-have-put-the-countrys-political-system-on-trial-272781

Surprising number of foods contain microplastics. Here’s how to reduce the amount you consume

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Catherine Rolph, Lecturer in Environmental Engineering, The Open University

Microwaving food in glass containers could help reduce the microplastics you consume. Reiko Gitzbrecht/Shutterstock

The public is starting to understand that they can find microplastics in their food, particularly seafood, but exposure from other foods is far more common than most people realise.

Studies have shown that your daily intake of microplastics from food and drink is estimated to be anywhere from zero to 1.5 million microplastic particles per day. The biggest source is likely to be coming from bottled water.

Here are five of the more surprising sources of microplastics in your food and drink.

1. Chewing gum

When you chew gum, you are essentially chewing a lump of plastic. Most chewing gum is made from a gum base (plastics and rubber), to which sweeteners and flavourings are added. As you chew, the gum base releases microplastics. A single gram of chewing gum can release up to 637 microplastic particles.

Natural gums made with plant polymers are not much better. They release a similar number of microplastics as the synthetic gum. This suggests that microplastics aren’t just coming from the gum base but could be due to the introduction of microplastics during the production or packaging process.

Most microplastics were released within the first eight minutes of chewing, so to reduce your exposure, chew one piece of gum for longer, rather than constantly popping in fresh pieces.

2. Salt

Salt may seem like a pure, simple ingredient but studies have shown that 94% of salt products tested worldwide are contaminated with microplastics. The contamination is so widespread that sea salt has even been proposed as an indicator of microplastic pollution in the marine environment.

Contamination has been found to be higher in terrestrial salts, such as Himalayan salt, rather than marine salts. New technologies are being investigated to help clean up sea salt, however, it is likely that much of the contamination comes from production and packaging.




Read more:
Plastic ‘bio-beads’ from sewage plants are polluting the oceans and spreading superbugs – but there are alternatives


Your salt grinder might also be making things worse. Disposable plastic spice grinders can release up to 7,628 particles when grinding just 0.1g of salt using a plastic grinder. To minimise your exposure, switch to a grinder with a ceramic or metal grinding mechanism and store salt in non-plastic containers.

How microplastics affect our health.

3. Apples and carrots

Microplastic contamination of fruit and vegetables has been identified in several studies. Nanoplastics, which are plastic particles smaller than 1,000 nanometres, can enter plants through the roots. Microplastics have also been found on the surface of a variety of fruit and vegetables.

One study found apples and carrots to be the most contaminated and lettuce the least. However, microplastic contamination remains relatively small when compared with more highly processed foods.

While we don’t yet know what the effects of the microplastics are, we do know that antioxidants in fruit and vegetables, such as anthocyanins, which give fruits and vegetables their red, blue and purple colours, keep people healthy, so do keep eating them.

4. Tea and coffee

Teabags are not the only source of microplastics in your hot beverage. Tea leaves, coffee and milk can all be contaminated with microplastics. The use of disposable plastic-lined takeaway cups is one of the biggest sources of microplastic contamination in hot drinks. High temperatures can cause the release of microplastics from the container into the beverage.

Hot drinks contain more microplastics than the iced equivalents so switching to a cold beverage can reduce your exposure. Buying milk in glass bottles has also been shown to result in a lower microplastic load. This doesn’t extend to all drinks, though. A study of bottled drinks demonstrated that soft drinks and beer stored in glass bottles had higher microplastic contamination than plastic bottles, possibly due to contamination from the painted metal bottle caps.

There are a few truly plastic-free teabags available – they use cotton rather than biodegradable plastics to seal their bags. Identifying these brands, however, can be tricky as there is no standard approach to labelling and not all companies are transparent about the composition of their product.

Overall, switching to loose leaf tea and using metal or glass reusable cups are good strategies for reducing microplastic contamination.

5. Seafood

While studies have shown that most seafood is contaminated with microplastics, what is perhaps most surprising about seafood is the amount of attention it receives compared to other food sources. One study showed the levels of microplastics in so-called “filter feeders”, such as mussels, was just 0.2-0.70 microplastic particles per gram. This is significantly less than the 11.6 billion microplastics released when brewing a single cup of tea with a plastic tea bag.

Other steps you can take

Storing food in plastic containers and eating highly processed food are both associated with high concentrations of microplastics in stool samples, so you could try and avoid these. Microwaving food in glass containers rather than plastic is also a good idea to prevent microplastics leaching into your food.

Finally, the single biggest source of microplastics in food and drink is likely to be bottled water with up to 240,000 particles per litre. Switching to tap water can help to significantly reduce your exposure.

While eliminating plastics entirely from our diets may be impossible, making these swaps should help to reduce your exposure.


Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

Get a weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 47,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.


The Conversation

Catherine Rolph does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Surprising number of foods contain microplastics. Here’s how to reduce the amount you consume – https://theconversation.com/surprising-number-of-foods-contain-microplastics-heres-how-to-reduce-the-amount-you-consume-270832

Introducing Strange Health – a new video podcast from The Conversation

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Katie Edwards, Commissioning Editor, Health + Medicine and Host of Strange Health podcast, The Conversation

Enamul Hasan Code/Shutterstock

I have a confession.

When I am stressed, overwhelmed or trying to switch my brain off after a long day, I do not meditate. I do not do breathwork. I am rarely mindful. Instead, I watch YouTube videos of draining boils and earwax extraction.

Deeply satisfying. Genuinely calming. Extremely unsettling to anyone who happens to walk into the room.

I am not alone, although my husband tells me I soon will be if I continue watching acne “removal” videos in bed, particularly at full volume. Gross-out health content is everywhere, and it is wildly popular. Videos of extractions, parasites, clogged pores and bodily “build-ups” rack up millions of views. Articles about strange symptoms, mystery lumps and alarming bodily discoveries consistently top health reading lists.

This is not because people like me are weird. Or at least, not only because we are weird.

It is because bodies are strange, unpredictable and often poorly explained. When something feels embarrassing, frightening or just plain confusing, curiosity kicks in hard.

As a health editor, I commission articles from experts about the parts of the body we are usually taught not to talk about. Time and again, the most-read stories are the ones that make people recoil slightly before clicking anyway. Worms. Smells. Leaks. Stones. Toxins. The things you Google at midnight and hope nobody ever finds in your search history.

Behind the gag reflex, there is usually a serious question. Is this normal? Is this dangerous? Has the internet just convinced me I am dying?

That is why we have launched Strange Health, a new podcast series from The Conversation. In it, I’m teaming up with Dan Baumgardt, a practising GP and lecturer in health and life sciences at the University of Bristol, to decode wellness trends and explore what’s weird and wonderful about the body.

On Strange Health, Dan I will take the health questions people are already obsessing over online, especially the bizarre, gross or misunderstood ones, and examine them properly. In each episode we’ll also be talking to academic experts who are actively researching these issue. We ask where these ideas come from, what the science really says, and why misinformation spreads so easily when bodies get involved.

From guilty pleasure to public health problem

Some of The Conversation’s most popular health articles sit firmly in this territory. Pieces about pina colada-scented vaginas, body stones, brain “holes” and “miracle cures” have attracted hundreds of thousands of readers.

That popularity tells us something important. People are not just looking for reassurance. They are looking for explanations that make sense of what their bodies are doing, and what might genuinely help, without judgement or jargon.

It also explains why misinformation thrives here. The more uncomfortable the topic, the less likely people are to ask a professional, and the more tempting it is to trust a confident stranger online.

Each episode of Strange Health focuses on a single strange or controversial health topic. Some are familiar. Some are genuinely disgusting. All of them have been circulating widely online. There will be gross details. There will be moments of disbelief. There will also be solid science and practical explanations.

If you have ever found yourself spiralling after watching a TikTok, reading a wellness blog, or eyeing up a suspicious supplement advert, Strange Health is designed for you. And we want you to become part of the conversation by submitting your own burning questions about the human body – no matter how strange they may be – to strangehealth@theconversation.com.


Strange Health launches on 20th January and the first episode is about detoxing. New episodes will be available every Tuesday throughout February and March. You can listen wherever you get your podcasts, or watch on YouTube and Spotify.

Strange Health is hosted by Katie Edwards and Dan Baumgardt. The executive producer is Gemma Ware, with video and sound editing by Sikander Khan. Artwork by Alice Mason.

Listen to The Conversation Weekly via any of the apps listed above, download it directly via our RSS feed or find out how else to listen here. A transcript is available via the Apple Podcasts or Spotify apps.

The Conversation

Dan Baumgardt does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. Katie Edwards works for The Conversation.

ref. Introducing Strange Health – a new video podcast from The Conversation – https://theconversation.com/introducing-strange-health-a-new-video-podcast-from-the-conversation-272766

What will 2026 look like for the UK’s electric vehicle market?

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jagannadha Pawan Tamvada, Professor of Entrepreneurship, Kingston University

Vivid Brands/Shutterstock

In the UK, as in many other countries, the shift towards electric vehicles (EVs) has been rapid. Incentives, increased choice and some positive PR took the electric car sales to nearly 500,000 vehicles in 2025 – around 24% of the market. But the government’s budget in late November, which outlined new charges for EV owners, may have slammed the brakes on this momentum.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves revealed that EV owners will face a new 3p-per-mile road charge from April 2028, marking a significant shift in how the government taxes cleaner forms of transport. The owners of plug-in hybrids will pay 1.5p per mile. These new levies will apply alongside other motoring taxes that EVs are also now required to pay.

This is the UK’s first major step towards replacing declining fuel-duty revenues, which have fallen as more drivers move from petrol and diesel vehicles to electric alternatives. The pay-per-mile tax is expected to raise more than £1 billion in its first full year.

These charges don’t mean that the government is cooling on EVs, however. Some sweeteners still remain. An electric car grant (ECG), launched in July 2025, offers up to £3,750 off eligible new electric vehicles and is aimed at keeping the transition to cleaner transport affordable for consumers.

But critics argue that introducing running-cost charges risk slowing EV uptake at a time when the government is still trying to accelerate the shift away from fossil-fuel vehicles.

And industry experts are warning that discounts of up to £11,000 per vehicle offered by carmakers to boost demand are not sustainable. At the same time, industry groups warn that higher operating costs could also reduce demand, particularly for price-sensitive customers.

The shift signals a maturing phase for the UK’s EV market: incentives remain, but the era of untaxed electric motoring is drawing to a close. So what could it mean for sales – and is it a good time for drivers to make the change? Here’s what 2026 might have in store for the EV market.

1. Prospective buyers are likely to hold back

The demand for EVs is likely to be affected in the short run. Forecasts from the independent Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) suggest that nearly 440,000 fewer EVs will be sold by 2031 because of the new charge. However, 320,000 of these are expected to be offset by increased sales due to other measures in the budget (an increase to the threshold for the “luxury car tax” for EVs, for instance, and widening the electric car grant).

To put that into perspective, nearly 1.95 million new cars were sold in 2024 in the UK. Battery-powered EVs accounted for one in five of these new sales and, together with plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), they exceeded 40% of the market share. The secondhand market is likely to feel the impact as well: with overall ownership costs rising, demand for used EVs may weaken alongside new-car sales.

2. Less confidence in EV ownership costs

Prospective buyers are likely to scrutinise the long-term costs of EV ownership, as the new system introduces more uncertainty. There will inevitably be questions: what happens if the per-mile charge increases from 3p to 4p, or if inflation pushes these rates higher? This unpredictability around future running costs could dampen consumer confidence, particularly among buyers who are already cautious about making the switch to a still-evolving technology.

3. Car producers will find it challenging

Carmakers are also likely to face challenges. The automotive industry is already investing heavily in factories, tooling and technology to support the shift to electric production.

Several manufacturers, including Jaguar, are planning to phase out internal combustion engines entirely. A sudden change in the policy environment could complicate these long-term commitments.

Some companies may scale back or delay investment in EV technologies if they anticipate weaker consumer demand, while others might double down – accelerating production, lowering costs through building more cars, and innovating more aggressively to keep electric models attractive despite the new charges their customers will face.

BMW, for example, is expected to introduce several new EV models over the next two years, with its new iX3 travelling more than 1,000 kilometres (621 miles) on a single charge recently. The leaders of Polestar and Volvo have no intentions of slowing down either as they strive to hold on to market share in the face of Chinese competition.

4. Commuters will feel most penalised

Commuters are likely to feel the greatest impact. For many people, lower living costs are a key reason for living outside major cities, and long daily journeys make fuel efficiency a central consideration. Drivers who planned to switch to EVs to reduce commuting costs may now feel penalised for living further from their workplaces. Every extra mile will add to their running costs under the new system.

a rural ev charging point with greenery in the background.
Every mile will come at a cost to commuters.
Rito Succeed/Shutterstock

5. Impact on other sustainability initiatives

The new charge also highlights a broader reality: sustainability subsidies are rarely permanent. The closure of the feed-in tariff scheme for solar power in 2019 is a recent example. But although there were warnings against its removal, solar adoption actually continued to rise. A similar dynamic could play out in other areas of clean technology.

6. EV prices are likely to go down

There is a potential silver lining for buyers – the pay-per-mile policy could indirectly bring down EV prices. With projected demand dropping, manufacturers may feel pressure to reduce margins to attract customers. Some Chinese carmakers operating in the UK have already introduced additional incentives to offset the impact of the new charges. This could signal that competitive pricing strategies will intensify in response to the policy.

The risk of the new charge is that it creates the impression that sustainability incentives are not only being withdrawn but replaced with new costs for drivers switching to cleaner vehicles. This may make petrol cars seem like a lower-risk option for would-be EV buyers. But over time, falling EV prices, improved battery efficiency and lower operating costs compared with traditional vehicles are still expected to make the transition economically compelling.

The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. What will 2026 look like for the UK’s electric vehicle market? – https://theconversation.com/what-will-2026-look-like-for-the-uks-electric-vehicle-market-271441

Why disabled young people with life-shortening conditions need better support for intimacy

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Sarah Earle, Professor of Social Science, School of Social Sciences, Nottingham Trent University

Yiistocking/Shutterstock

Until relatively recently, children and young people with life-shortening conditions were not expected to survive into adulthood.

Conditions such as cancer, cystic fibrosis and Duchenne muscular dystrophy were widely understood, particularly in the late 20th century and early 2000s, as diagnoses that would likely result in death during childhood or adolescence. Today, there are more than 400 recognised life-shortening conditions, and many infants and children with these diagnoses still do not reach adulthood.

However, advances in medical treatment, specialist care and assistive technologies have begun to change this picture. Increasing numbers of children and young people with life-shortening conditions are now living into adulthood, sometimes well beyond what clinicians and families were originally told to expect.

Although most young adults with these conditions still face shorter lives, increased life expectancy has made new aspects of social and family life possible. This includes the opportunity to think about sexual relationships, intimacy and reproduction.

For the past 15 years, I have worked with colleagues in the Sexuality Alliance, which advocates for the sexual and reproductive rights of disabled young people living with life-shortening conditions.

Leah and Lewis Leyland, co-researchers and members of the Sexuality Alliance.
Alison Cooke, CC BY

Our research, which was co-produced with disabled young people, shows that many feel unsupported and overlooked when it comes to their sexual and reproductive lives. Families and carers often report feeling unprepared.

In many cases, they had been told that their child would die, only to find that they were continuing to live, becoming teenagers and then adults. Professional staff, including nurses, doctors and therapists, were often unaware of these issues or felt anxious about addressing them.

The risk of death remains a constant presence in the lives of young adults with life-shortening conditions. Uncertainty shapes everyday experience, but it is not always at the forefront of how young people understand themselves.

The young people we interviewed told us that they want to live life to the full, and that this includes exploring sexual intimacy and forming romantic relationships. They described this as a normal part of growing up, and many saw it as a rite of passage. They also explained how important intimacy can be for both physical and emotional wellbeing.

One participant said that being in a relationship gave him a reason to live. Another said it helped him stay healthy by reducing loneliness and depression. For many participants, taking part in our research was the first time they had ever been able to talk openly about this part of their lives.

Addressing the sexual and reproductive citizenship of disabled young people who were not expected to live into adulthood is sensitive work because it confronts longstanding taboos around sexuality, youth and death. Disabled people frequently reported feeling marginalised, infantilised and treated as asexual. Many participants felt they were seen primarily as vulnerable rather than as people with desires, agency and rights.

They also told us that safeguarding practices, which are intended to protect vulnerable people and the organisations that support them, could sometimes unintentionally reinforce silence. Many had little or no access to sex education.

One young person explained that she had been removed from sex education at school. This was not only because she was expected to die, but also because staff believed the topic might distress her or be inappropriate. The result was the same: exclusion from information that her peers received.

Families, carers and professionals are well placed to support young people in realising their sexual and reproductive citizenship, but many report lacking the training or confidence to do so. A starting point is to challenge everyday disablist assumptions that presume disabled people cannot, should not, or do not want to have sex or children.

As part of our work, we co-produced resources to help young people and carers talk openly about sex and intimacy.

These resources encourage carers to reflect on their own attitudes and beliefs. They also provide a clear legal overview of issues such as consent and mental capacity, helping professionals feel more confident. Young people are supported to understand their rights and responsibilities, and to develop the skills needed for honest conversations about their sexual and reproductive wishes.

Despite the risks and uncertainties they face, many young people see intimacy and relationships as central to their wellbeing and identity. This work highlights the need to challenge disablist assumptions, improve access to inclusive sex education, and equip carers and professionals with the tools to support young people in realising their sexual and reproductive rights.

The Conversation

Sarah Earle does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Why disabled young people with life-shortening conditions need better support for intimacy – https://theconversation.com/why-disabled-young-people-with-life-shortening-conditions-need-better-support-for-intimacy-271263

Microcapteurs pour suivre la qualité de l’air : gadgets ou véritables outils de suivi ?

Source: The Conversation – France (in French) – By Marie Bellugue Duclos, Doctorante, Université Paris-Saclay

Le suivi de la qualité de l’air s’est grandement démocratisé grâce à l’essor de microcapteurs électroniques accessibles à tout un chacun. Ces dispositifs sont-ils performants, et à quelles conditions peuvent-ils fournir une information utilisable ? État des lieux.


La pollution de l’air extérieur peut être liée au trafic routier, au chauffage au bois, aux activités industrielles ou encore aux feux de forêt et aux éruptions volcaniques. La diversité des particules qui en résulte illustre bien la nature diffuse et mobile de cette pollution. Celle-ci a des conséquences graves en termes d’effets sur la santé, allant des troubles respiratoires immédiats à des maladies chroniques incurables.

Selon l’Organisation mondiale de la santé (OMS), la pollution de l’air, tous polluants confondus, est responsable de 7,4 millions de décès par an dans le monde dont 4,2 millions liés à l’air extérieur et 3,2 millions à l’air intérieur. En France, le fardeau sanitaire des particules fines entraîne à lui seul 40 000 décès chaque année, et est associés à un coût socio-économique estimé à 13 milliards d’euros.

Aujourd’hui, suivre la qualité de l’air auquel chacun est exposé n’a jamais été aussi simple. En quelques clics, il devient possible d’acheter des microcapteurs, d’accéder à des cartes en ligne ou de télécharger des applications mobiles fournissant un accès à ces données en temps réel. Tout comme la météo guide le choix de prendre un parapluie, cet accès offre aujourd’hui aux citoyens et aux décideurs un outil pratique pour orienter leurs actions.

Pourtant, derrière cette démocratisation, se pose la question de la performance de ces microcapteurs opto-électroniques. S’agit-il vraiment de sentinelles de confiance ? Faisons le point.




À lire aussi :
Le potentiel oxydant : un nouvel indice pour mesurer la pollution atmosphérique


Des microcapteurs dans l’air du temps

Commençons par rappeler comment est menée la surveillance réglementaire de la qualité de l’air en France. Elle est coordonnée par le Laboratoire central de surveillance de la qualité de l’air (LCSQA) et mise en œuvre au niveau régional par les associations agréées pour la surveillance de la qualité de l’air (AASQA). Les données, librement accessibles grâce au site régional des AASQA, sont produites selon des protocoles normés afin de s’assurer qu’elles soient comparables d’une station de mesure à l’autre et d’une région à l’autre.

Exemple de station de mesure officielle de la qualité de l’air.
Michael Coghlan, CC BY-SA

Toutefois, le nombre de stations de mesure mises en place résulte d’un compromis entre couverture géographique et coûts. La modélisation, basée sur les modèles Chimere ou Sirane par exemple, permet d’extrapoler la qualité de l’air sur un territoire donné, mais elle reste dépendante de la qualité et du nombre des mesures locales.

Afin de renforcer la couverture sans augmenter les coûts, la directive européenne, dont la réglementation française découle, autorise les réseaux de surveillance réglementaire à procéder à des mesures indicatives, pour lesquelles les exigences de qualité sont plus souples. Ce cadre favorise l’intégration des microcapteurs de 10 à 100 fois moins coûteux que les équipements utilisés pour les stations de référence, tant à l’achat qu’en fonctionnement.

Ce marché a le vent en poupe. En 2023, il pesait plus de 6 milliards d’euros, marché qui pourrait s’élever en 2032 à 13,5 milliards. En 2022, l’Agence nationale de sécurité sanitaire de l’alimentation, de l’environnement et du travail (Anses) dénombrait 60 000 références produits disponibles sur les plateformes de vente en ligne.

On y retrouve donc des microcapteurs à bas coût prêts à l’emploi capables de collecter et de transmettre les données en temps réel. Le prix des composants se limite à quelques dizaines d’euros, tandis que le coût total du dispositif varie d’environ une centaine à plusieurs milliers d’euros selon les fonctionnalités.

Une mesure facile, mais une interprétation parfois délicate

Que valent ces différents types de microcapteurs ? Pour le savoir, il faut d’abord définir ce que l’on souhaite mesurer lorsqu’on parle de particules fines. Loin d’être un mélange défini, les particules dans l’air forment un ensemble hétérogène et variable par leur forme, leur taille et leur état.

Trois catégories se distinguent :

  • les hydrométéores (pluie, neige, brouillard),

  • les aérosols (suie, poussières, embruns, composés organiques…)

  • et les bioaérosols (pollens, bactéries, virus, spores…).

Par convention, la matière particulaire en suspension (ou Particulate Matter, PM) est décrite en fonction de la taille de ses constituants, dans lesquels les hydrométéores doivent être exempts. Ainsi, par convention, les particules grossières PM10, les particules fines PM2,5 et les particules ultrafines PM0,1 représentent respectivement des ensembles hétérogènes de taille inférieure ou égale à 10, 2,5 et 0,1 micromètre (µm).

Plus les particules sont petites, plus elles sont susceptibles de pénétrer profondément dans les voies respiratoires. Les PM1,0 peuvent être également suivies par des microcapteurs et des équipements de référence, mais elles ne font pas l’objet d’une réglementation spécifique ni ne sont associées à des seuils sanitaires!




À lire aussi :
Freinage et particules fines : une pollution routière oubliée des évolutions réglementaires ?


Or, les microcapteurs bas coût pour le suivi des particules, dont la mesure est basée sur leur comptage grâce à un principe optique, sont sensibles aux conditions environnementales et aux caractéristiques des particules, ce qui fragilise les performances. Leur fonctionnement repose sur la diffusion de la lumière par le passage d’une particule à travers un faisceau laser. Il s’agit du même principe qui rend visible un rayon lumineux dans la fumée. L’intensité détectée dans une direction donnée dépend de la taille, de la forme, de la composition et de l’orientation des particules.

Il faut également noter que ces microcapteurs sont calibrés avec des particules de polystyrène, loin de refléter l’hétérogénéité réelle de la pollution de l’air extérieur. S’ajoutent à cela leur encrassement et leur vieillissement, qui dégradent les performances dans le temps. L’interprétation des données exige donc une connaissance fine de ces limites.

Des données précieuses… mais sous conditions

Pour autant, les microcapteurs ne sont pas à exclure. En effet, en cas d’épisode de pollution, ils détectent les mêmes tendances que les stations réglementaires, justifiant leur usage pour des mesures indicatives.

Pour s’y retrouver, les organismes pour la surveillance de la qualité de l’air ont mené des évaluations en confrontant les microcapteurs aux équipements réglementaires. Accessibles en ligne, les résultats du challenge Airlab (Airparif, France) et de l’AQ-SPEC (South Coast AQMD, États-Unis) révèlent des corrélations satisfaisantes entre microcapteurs et ces équipements pour les PM1,0 et PM2,5. En revanche, elles sont moins bonnes pour les PM10 , car la conception des microcapteurs et le principe de la mesure ne permettent pas de bien les détecter.

Ces microcapteurs peuvent être achetés autant par des citoyens, des collectivités, des industriels, des associations ou des chercheurs. Tous ces acteurs peuvent publier leurs données sur des cartes interactives, ou y contribuer ponctuellement.

Contrairement aux cartes des AASQA, qui sont comparables entre elles grâce à des protocoles stricts, chaque plateforme adopte sa propre présentation.

Il est donc essentiel de bien comprendre l’information affichée : les points de mesure peuvent fournir une information visuelle qui représente une concentration (Atmotube par exemple) ou un indice de qualité de l’air (IQAir par exemple) avec un jeu de couleurs propre aux plate-formes comme des données chiffrées sans repère pour interpréter la donnée (OpenSenseMap par exemple). De plus, selon les plateformes, une même carte peut afficher tout un ensemble d’indicateurs de pollution de l’air, pas seulement ceux liés à un polluant spécifique comme les particules.

D’un service à l’autre, les cartes de la qualité de l’air peuvent varier considérablement, comme le montre cette comparaison du 17/11/2025 à 05h00 entre les cartes disponibles via IQAir (en haut) et Waqi (en bas).
IQ Air/Waqi.info

Par ailleurs, peu de plateformes précisent si les mesures sont faites en intérieur, en extérieur, en mobilité ou en point fixe. De plus, une donnée en temps réel et une donnée moyennée sur une période donnée ne sont pas comparables. De ce fait, pour une même zone géographique, la qualité de l’air affichée peut varier d’une plateforme à l’autre, selon l’emplacement de la mesure, l’indicateur utilisé et la période considérée. En France, les données des AASQA restent la référence pour une information de confiance.

Les microcapteurs n’en restent pas moins des sentinelles utilisables sous réserve d’une excellente maîtrise de leurs limites. L’utilisation individuelle de microcapteurs par le grand public peut être encadrée par un protocole rigoureux pour assurer la qualité des données et accompagner leur interprétation. Le projet d’OpenRadiation, qui porte sur la mesure de la radioactivité, en est un exemple : lorsqu’une mesure faite par l’utilisateur d’un microcapteur apparaît inhabituelle sur la carte, un gestionnaire contacte alors ce contributeur pour comprendre l’origine de cette déviation. La cartographie de la qualité de l’air s’appuie sur une plus grande quantité de microcapteurs, ce qui rend plus difficile un suivi individualisé. Néanmoins, une validation des données à l’instar de ce qui est réalisé pour le suivi réglementaire pourrait être envisagée à l’aide d’un traitement adapté, avec un filtrage par exemple.

Ainsi, comme en témoignent la Captothèque (Atmo Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes) ou Ambassad’air (Rennes), programmes de sciences participatives basés sur la mesure citoyenne de la qualité de l’air, les microcapteurs peuvent non seulement fournir des indications, mais aussi contribuer à l’engagement citoyen pour l’observation environnementale.




À lire aussi :
Ces citoyens qui mesurent la radioactivité de leur environnement


The Conversation

Marie Bellugue Duclos a reçu des financements du CNRS pour sa thèse. Elle utilise des micro-capteurs pour ses recherches.

Denis Machon a reçu des financements du CNRS et de l’ANR (France), du CRSNG (Canada) et du FRQ (Québec).

Michael Canva a reçu des financements du CNRS et de l’ANR (France), du CRSNG (Canada) et du FRQ (Québec).

ref. Microcapteurs pour suivre la qualité de l’air : gadgets ou véritables outils de suivi ? – https://theconversation.com/microcapteurs-pour-suivre-la-qualite-de-lair-gadgets-ou-veritables-outils-de-suivi-270124