Pourquoi en France les start-ups dirigées par des femmes lèvent en moyenne 2,5 fois moins de fonds que celles dirigées par des hommes ? retour sur des biais partagés par tous (ou presque)

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Pauline Gibard, Maîtresse de conférences en entrepreneuriat, Université Jean Moulin Lyon 3

L’investisseuse est souvent perçue comme bienveillante, plus accessible et plus à l’écoute. Un stéréotype ancré chez certaines entrepreneures. Lightspring/Shutterstock

Le financement d’une entreprise n’est pas qu’une affaire d’argent. C’est une relation, une danse à deux où chaque partenaire projette des stéréotypes. Une étude donne la parole à des entrepreneures qui portent elles-mêmes ces représentations.


En France, les start-ups fondées par des femmes lèvent en moyenne 2,5 fois moins de fonds que celles fondées par des hommes. Ce constat illustre à quel point le financement reste l’un des principaux enjeux liés de l’entrepreneuriat féminin, parfois décrit comme un second plafond de verre. Il faut déjà s’imposer comme entrepreneuse, puis encore franchir la barrière de l’accès aux capitaux.

Jusqu’ici, c’est l’offre de financement qui a été principalement étudié : combien d’argent est disponible, comment fonctionnent les banques et les fonds ? Mais pour obtenir un financement, il faut d’abord… en faire la demande. Sur ce point, la recherche est encore rare.

C’est précisément ce que nous avons exploré dans notre étude publiée dans la Revue internationale PME, à travers 29 entretiens narratifs avec des entrepreneures. Leurs récits montrent que la demande de financement est avant tout une relation : une danse à deux entre entrepreneuse et financeurs, imprégnée d’attentes, de craintes et de stéréotypes.

La finance pensée comme un univers masculin

Dans cette danse, l’investisseur est spontanément imaginé comme un homme : « Quand je pense à un investisseur, je pense automatiquement à un homme » raconte une entrepreneure. Cela leur confère une légitimité « naturelle », rationnels, ambitieux, cartésiens.

Certaines entrepreneures y voient même un atout : « Je pense que les hommes investisseurs seraient plus à même de nous pousser dans nos retranchements pour faire avancer notre projet », estime l’une. Mais cette admiration s’accompagne souvent d’un malaise.

Plusieurs redoutent un regard condescendant ou un manque de crédibilité : « Si je demande un financement à un homme, j’aurais tendance à penser qu’il estime que j’ai moins de revenus », observe une autre. D’autres évoquent un sentiment de domination, voire le risque d’abus : « Je ne suis pas une friandise. Avec une femme au moins, on ne risque pas d’attouchement », insiste une fondatrice.

Les investisseuses, trop bienveillantes ?

Quand la partenaire de danse est une investisseuse, le pas change. Elle est souvent perçue comme plus accessible et plus à l’écoute « Je pense que les femmes seraient plus bienveillantes avec moi » estime une entrepreneure. Pour certaines, elles incarnent même un modèle inspirant.

On pourrait croire que les entrepreneures se tournent plus facilement vers des investisseuses. Mais la réalité est plus ambivalente. Certaines redoutent un excès de bienveillance, perçu comme un manque d’exigence :

« C’est très cliché, mais j’aurais peur qu’avec un trop-plein de bienveillance, on ne me “pousse” pas assez. J’ai l’impression qu’entre hommes, on fait plus d’argent, on pousse plus ».

D’autres craignent au contraire une rivalité ou un jugement plus sévère : « On a un peu plus de pression face à une femme, car c’est soit de la compassion, soit du mépris… » explique une autre.

« Pas prévu de faire des enfants ensemble »

Face à ces représentations contrastées, les entrepreneures apprennent à choisir leurs partenaires de danse.

Certaines privilégient les investisseuses pour des projets destinés à un public féminin, ou dans des situations particulières comme une grossesse perçue comme mieux acceptée par une femme. D’autres préfèrent des investisseurs masculins, jugés plus crédibles ou plus susceptibles de « pousser » leur projet.




À lire aussi :
Pour la première fois, une étude révèle ce qui se passe dans le cerveau d’un entrepreneur


Notons que toutes ne se laissent pas enfermer dans ce jeu de projections :

« Pour mon financement, je cherche des investisseurs qui font écho à mes valeurs profondes. Fille ou garçon, nous n’avons pas prévu de faire des enfants ensemble donc ce n’est pas un problème » raconte une fondatrice.

Une danse à deux traversée de stéréotypes

Ces témoignages rappellent que le financement entrepreneurial n’est pas qu’une affaire de capitaux ou de business plans. C’est une relation, une danse à deux, où chaque partenaire projette des stéréotypes.

Nos résultats montrent que les entrepreneures elles-mêmes portent et mobilisent des représentations. Voir les hommes comme plus rationnels, ou les femmes comme plus bienveillantes, influe sur la façon dont elles valorisent une relation de financement, et parfois sur leur capacité à s’y engager.

Améliorer l’accès au financement ne peut pas se limiter à féminiser les instances d’investissement. Il faut aussi comprendre comment ces imaginaires se construisent et orientent les relations. Car finalement, lever des fonds, ce n’est pas seulement obtenir un chèque. C’est accepter de danser, et la danse n’a de sens que si les deux partenaires trouvent l’accord.

The Conversation

Les auteurs ne travaillent pas, ne conseillent pas, ne possèdent pas de parts, ne reçoivent pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’ont déclaré aucune autre affiliation que leur organisme de recherche.

ref. Pourquoi en France les start-ups dirigées par des femmes lèvent en moyenne 2,5 fois moins de fonds que celles dirigées par des hommes ? retour sur des biais partagés par tous (ou presque) – https://theconversation.com/pourquoi-en-france-les-start-ups-dirigees-par-des-femmes-levent-en-moyenne-2-5-fois-moins-de-fonds-que-celles-dirigees-par-des-hommes-retour-sur-des-biais-partages-par-tous-ou-presque-267562

COP30 : cinq raisons pour lesquelles la conférence sur le climat a manqué à sa promesse d’être un « sommet des peuples »

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Simon Chin-Yee, Lecturer in International Development, UCL

À Belém, au Brésil, la COP30 devait réconcilier ambitions climatiques et justice sociale. Elle a finalement exposé la fragilité du processus onusien, pris en étau entre le poids des industries fossiles et les frustrations croissantes des pays les plus vulnérables, sur fond d’urgence climatique. Voici cinq raisons qui illustrent en quoi ce grand sommet tient du rendez-vous manqué.


La promesse d’un « sommet des peuples » s’est éteinte avec les feux de la COP30, samedi 22 novembre 2025. Le dernier sommet des Nations unies sur le climat, organisé dans la ville brésilienne de Belém, s’est déroulé dans le contexte géopolitique habituel, avec en prime le chaos suscité par une inondation et un incendie.

Le sommet a été marqué par des manifestations de communautés de peuples autochtones d’une ampleur sans précédent, mais les négociations finales ont, une fois de plus, été dominées par les intérêts des énergies fossiles et les tactiques pour jouer la montre. Après dix ans d’(in)action climatique depuis l’accord de Paris, le Brésil avait promis que la COP30 serait une « COP de mise en œuvre ». Mais le sommet n’a pas tenu ses promesses, alors même que le monde a enregistré un réchauffement climatique de 1,6 °C l’année dernière.

Voici nos cinq observations principales à porter au bilan de la COP30.




À lire aussi :
1,5 °C en plus au thermomètre en 2024 : quelles leçons en tirer ?


Des peuples autochtones présents mais pas assez impliqués

Le sommet se déroulait en Amazonie, ce qui a permis de présenter cette COP climat comme celle vouée aux populations en première ligne face au changement climatique. De fait, plus de 5 000 autochtones y ont participé et ont fait entendre leur voix.

Cependant, seuls 360 d’entre eux ont obtenu un laissez-passer pour la « zone bleue » ; principale zone consacrée aux négociations. Un chiffre à comparer aux 1 600 délégués de l’industrie des combustibles fossiles qui y ont été admis. À l’intérieur des salles de négociation régnait l’approche traditionnelle visant à privilégie la bonne marche des affaires (« business as usual »).

Les groupes autochtones n’avaient que le statut d’observateurs, privés du droit de voter ou d’assister aux réunions à huis clos.

Le choix du lieu, en Amazonie, était un symbole fort, mais qui s’est révélé délicat au plan logistique. Il a coûté des centaines de millions de dollars dans une région où une large partie de la population n’a toujours pas accès aux infrastructures de base.

Une image frappante de ces inégalités pourrait être la suivante : les chambres d’hôtel étant toutes occupées, le gouvernement brésilien a immobilisé deux bateaux de croisière pour les participants aux négociations. Or, ces derniers peuvent générer huit fois plus d’émissions de gaz à effet de serre qu’une nuitée en hôtel cinq étoiles par personne.




À lire aussi :
COP après COP, les peuples autochtones sont de plus en plus visibles mais toujours inaudibles


Des manifestations qui ont permis des avancées locales

Mais il s’agissait du deuxième plus grand sommet des Nations unies sur le climat jamais organisé et le premier depuis la COP26 de Glasgow en 2021 à se dérouler dans un pays autorisant de véritables manifestations publiques.

Cela avait son importance. Des manifestations de toutes dimensions ont eu lieu tous les jours pendant les deux semaines de la conférence, notamment une « grande marche populaire » menée par les peuples autochtones le samedi 15 novembre au milieu de la conférence.

Cette pression, bien visible, a permis d’obtenir la reconnaissance de quatre nouveaux territoires autochtones au Brésil. Cela a montré que lorsque la société civile a voix au chapitre, elle peut remporter des victoires, même en dehors des négociations principales.




À lire aussi :
Climat : les jeunes manifestants peuvent-ils encore peser sur les négociations pendant les COP ?


L’absence des États-Unis, à la fois un vide et une opportunité

Lors du premier mandat de Donald Trump, après son retrait de l’accord de Paris, en 2016, les États-Unis avaient malgré tout envoyé une équipe réduite de négociateurs. Cette fois-ci, pour la première fois dans l’histoire, les États-Unis n’ont envoyé aucune délégation officielle.

Donald Trump a récemment qualifié le changement climatique de « plus grande escroquerie jamais perpétrée dans le monde ». Depuis son retour au pouvoir, les États-Unis ont ralenti le développement des énergies renouvelables et relancé celui du pétrole et du gaz. Ils ont même contribué à faire échouer, en octobre 2025, les plans visant à mettre en place un cadre de neutralité carbone pour le transport maritime mondial.




À lire aussi :
Les États-Unis torpillent la stratégie de décarbonation du transport maritime


Alors que les États-Unis reviennent sur leurs ambitions passées, ils permettent à d’autres pays producteurs de pétrole, comme l’Arabie saoudite, d’ignorer leurs propres engagements climatiques et de tenter de saper ceux des autres.

La Chine a comblé ce vide et est devenue l’une des voix les plus influentes dans la salle. En tant que premier fournisseur mondial de technologies vertes, Pékin a profité de la COP30 pour promouvoir ses industries solaire, éolienne et électrique et courtiser les pays désireux d’investir.

Mais pour de nombreux délégués, l’absence des États-Unis a été un soulagement. Sans la distraction causée par les États-Unis qui tentaient de « mettre le feu aux poudres » comme ils l’avaient fait lors des négociations sur le transport maritime, la conférence a pu se concentrer sur l’essentiel : négocier des textes et des accords pour limiter l’ampleur du réchauffement climatique.




À lire aussi :
Empreinte carbone : les trois thermomètres de l’action climatique


Une mise en œuvre non plus sur la scène principale, mais grâce à des accords parallèles

Qu’est-ce qui a été réellement mis en œuvre lors de la COP30 ? Cette année encore, l’action principale s’est traduite par des engagements volontaires de certains États plutôt que par un accord mondial contraignant.

Le pacte de Belém, soutenu par des pays tels que le Japon, l’Inde et le Brésil, engage ses signataires à quadrupler la production et l’utilisation de carburants durables d’ici 2035.

Le Brésil a également lancé un important fonds mondial pour les forêts, avec environ 6 milliards de dollars (environ 5,2 milliards d’euros) déjà promis aux communautés qui œuvrent pour la protection des forêts tropicales. L’Union européenne (UE) a emboîté le pas en s’engageant à verser de nouveaux fonds pour le bassin du Congo, la deuxième plus grande forêt tropicale du monde.

Il s’agit d’étapes utiles, mais elles montrent que les avancées les plus importantes lors des sommets climatiques de l’ONU se produisent désormais souvent en marge plutôt que dans le cadre des négociations principales.

Le résultat des discussions principales de la COP30 – le « paquet politique de Belém » – est faible et ne nous permettra pas d’atteindre l’objectif de l’accord de Paris visant à limiter le réchauffement climatique à 1,5 °C.

Le plus frappant est l’absence des mots « combustibles fossiles » dans le texte final, alors qu’ils occupaient une place centrale dans l’accord de Glasgow sur le climat (en 2021, à la suite de la COP26, ndlr) et dans le consensus des Émirats arabes unis (en 2023, après la COP28, ndlr)… et qu’ils représentent bien sûr la principale cause du changement climatique.




À lire aussi :
Les textes des COP parlent-ils vraiment de climat ? Le regard de l’écolinguistique


Le texte du « mutirão » mondial, une occasion manquée

Une avancée potentielle avait toutefois vu le jour dans les salles de négociation : le texte du « mutirão (effort collectif, en tupi-guarani, ndlr) mondial », une feuille de route proposée pour sortir des énergies fossiles. Plus de 80 pays l’ont signé, des membres de l’UE aux États insulaires du Pacifique vulnérables au changement climatique.

Tina Stege, envoyée spéciale pour le climat de l’un de ces États vulnérables, les îles Marshall, a pressé les délégués :

« Soutenons l’idée d’une feuille de route pour les combustibles fossiles, travaillons ensemble et transformons-la en un plan d’action. »

Mais l’opposition de l’Arabie saoudite, de l’Inde et d’autres grands producteurs d’énergies fossiles l’a édulcoré. Les négociations se sont prolongées, aggravées par un incendie qui a reporté les discussions d’une journée.

Lorsque l’accord final a été conclu, les références clés à l’élimination progressive des combustibles fossiles avaient disparu. La Colombie, par exemple, a réagi vivement à l’absence de mention de la transition vers l’abandon des combustibles fossiles dans le texte final. Cela a contraint la présidence de la COP à proposer un réexamen dans six mois en guise de geste d’apaisement.

Ce fut une énorme déception car, au début du sommet, l’élan semblait très fort.




À lire aussi :
Comment échapper à la malédiction de la rente fossile ?


Un fossé qui se creuse

Ce sommet sur le climat a donc été une nouvelle fois source de divisions. Le fossé entre les pays producteurs de pétrole (en particulier au Moyen-Orient) et le reste du monde n’a jamais été aussi large.

Le sommet a toutefois eu un aspect positif : il a montré la force des mouvements organisés. Les groupes autochtones et la société civile ont pu faire entendre leur voix, même si leurs revendications n’ont pas été reprises dans le texte final.

Le sommet de l’année prochaine se tiendra en Turquie. Ces sommets annuels sur le climat se déplacent de plus en plus vers des pays autoritaires où les manifestations ne sont pas les bienvenues, voire totalement interdites. Nos dirigeants ne cessent de répéter que le temps presse, mais les négociations elles-mêmes restent enlisées dans un cycle sans fin de reports.

The Conversation

Mark Maslin est vice-recteur adjoint du programme « UCL Climate Crisis Grand Challenge » et directeur fondateur de l’Institut pour l’aviation et l’aéronautique durables de l’UCL. Il a été codirecteur du partenariat de formation doctorale NERC de Londres et est membre du groupe consultatif sur la crise climatique. Il est conseiller auprès de Sheep Included Ltd, Lansons, NetZeroNow et a conseillé le Parlement britannique. Il a reçu des subventions du NERC, de l’EPSRC, de l’ESRC, de la DFG, de la Royal Society, du DIFD, du BEIS, du DECC, du FCO, d’Innovate UK, du Carbon Trust, de l’Agence spatiale britannique, de l’Agence spatiale européenne, de Research England, du Wellcome Trust, du Leverhulme Trust, du CIFF, de Sprint2020 et du British Council. Il a reçu des financements de la BBC, du Lancet, de Laithwaites, de Seventh Generation, de Channel 4, de JLT Re, du WWF, d’Hermes, de CAFOD, de HP, du Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, de la John Templeton Foundation, de la Nand & Jeet Khemka Foundation et de la Quadrature Climate Foundation.

La professeur Priti Parikh est directrice de la Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction de l’UCL et vice-doyenne internationale de la Bartlett Faculty of Built Environment. Elle est membre et administratrice de l’Institution of Civil Engineers. Ses recherches sont financées par l’UKRI, la Royal Academy of Engineering, Water Aid, la British Academy, Bboxx Ltd, l’UCL, la Royal Society et le British Council. Son cabinet de conseil a reçu des financements de l’AECOM, du Cambridge Institute for Sustainable Leadership, de Water and Sanitation for the Urban Poor, de l’UNHABITAT, d’Arup, de l’ITAD et de la GTZ.

Simon Chin-Yee ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. COP30 : cinq raisons pour lesquelles la conférence sur le climat a manqué à sa promesse d’être un « sommet des peuples » – https://theconversation.com/cop30-cinq-raisons-pour-lesquelles-la-conference-sur-le-climat-a-manque-a-sa-promesse-detre-un-sommet-des-peuples-270475

Mid-Atlantic mushroom foragers collect 160 species for food, medicine, art and science

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Amy Wrobleski, Ph.D. Candidate in Ecology and Anthropology, Penn State

Pennsylvania is home to a diverse range of wild mushrooms, both edible and poisonous. Vaivirga/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Like many mushroom harvesters, I got interested in foraging for fungi during the COVID-19 pandemic.

I had been preparing for a summer of field work studying foraged desert plants in a remote part of Australia when the pandemic hit, and my travel plans were abruptly frozen. It was March, right before morel mushrooms emerge in central Pennsylvania.

I wasn’t doing a lot other than going on long hikes and taking classes remotely at Penn State for my doctoral degree in ecology and anthropology. One of the classes was an agroforestry class with Eric Burkhart. We studied how agriculture and forests benefit people and the environment.

These two things eventually led to a yearslong project on mushroom harvesting in our region.

Why people forage

Foragers have been harvesting wild mushrooms in what is now Pennsylvania and the rest of the U.S. mid-Atlantic region for generations, but the extent and specifics of the practice in the region had not been formally studied.

In 2021, Burkhart and I decided that we wanted to better understand the variety of wild mushroom species that Pennsylvania harvesters collect and what they use them for.

We conducted a series of surveys in 2022 and 2023 that revealed a wide variety of fungi are foraged in the region – though morels, chicken of the woods and chanterelles are most common. We also learned that harvesters use the mushrooms primarily for food and medicinal purposes, and that foragers create communities that share knowledge. These community based projects often use social media tools as a way for mushroom harvesters to share pictures, notes and even the results of DNA sequences.

Our findings were published in the journal Economic Botany in October 2025.

160 species

Having spent a year building connections with local mushroom harvesters, starting in central Pennsylvania, including members of mushroom clubs and mycological associations, we recruited a diverse group of harvesters from around the mid-Atlantic. We also used mushroom festivals, social media and word of mouth to get the word out.

We asked harvesters about their favorite mushrooms, common harvesting practices, resources they used while harvesting and any sustainability practices.

Over 800 harvesters responded to the survey and reported that, collectively, they foraged 160 species of wild mushrooms. Morels and chicken of the woods were the two most popular, as each were reported by 13% of respondents. About 10% of respondents reported collecting chanterelles. Other popular species were hen of the woods, oysters, lion’s mane, black trumpet, honey mushroom, turkey tail, bolete, reishi, puffball, chaga, shrimp of the woods and Dryad’s saddle, which is also known as the pheasant’s back mushroom.

Harvesters reported a variety of reasons for collecting mushrooms. Many collected morels and chanterelle to eat, and species such as turkey tail, reishi and chaga for medicinal purposes. Art was another common reason cited for foraging, with photography being the most popular use, followed by using mushrooms to create natural dyes and pigments.

Other survey respondents said they foraged to feel more connected to nature. And while there is a thriving commercial wild mushroom industry in the region, we found that only a small minority of harvesters sell their mushrooms. Most people reported giving their mushrooms to friends, neighbors and family.

Person holds basket of mushrooms as another person places a mushroom inside of it
Mushroom foraging can be a way for people to connect with nature.
Natalia Lebedinskaia/Moment Collection via Getty Images

Citizen science

We also wanted to better understand which resources mushroom harvesters turn to in order to learn more about this hobby. We asked all the harvesters what they used as a resource when they were first learning to hunt for mushrooms. A quarter of new harvesters said they used the “the internet,” followed by “family,” at 24%, and then guide books, at 20%.

Based on the survey responses, we also learned that mushroom-identification phone apps are growing in popularity, especially among new harvesters. For example, a commonly used app called iNaturalist allows harvesters to upload a few pictures of their find – one of the mushroom in its habitat, another of the underside of the cap, and a third of the entire mushroom. From there, other community members can comment and help with identification.

Harvesters also use these apps to contribute to community science projects that document biodiversity.

Some mushrooms are poisonous if eaten, which is part of why harvesters are so careful with their identification. When learning a new mushroom species, it’s important to look into multiple sources to make sure what you’re harvesting is safe to eat.

With more harvesters documenting their findings on social media and sharing information about fungal biodiversity in the region, there is much to glean and learn about the diverse world of mushrooms in the mid-Atlantic. We believe that deeper collaboration between community groups and researchers at universities and other institutions is an opportunity for scientific growth within the field of mycology. This collaboration can support long-term tracking of fungal populations and any impact that harvesters might have on them.

A wild mushroom growing out of the side of a tree trunk
Chicken of the woods mushrooms are among the most commonly foraged. When cooked, their flavor resembles that of chicken.
James Grewer/iStock/Getty Images Plus

Read more of our stories about Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, or sign up for our Philadelphia newsletter on Substack.

The Conversation

Amy Wrobleski receives funding from the Mycological Association of Washington DC.

Eric Burkhart does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Mid-Atlantic mushroom foragers collect 160 species for food, medicine, art and science – https://theconversation.com/mid-atlantic-mushroom-foragers-collect-160-species-for-food-medicine-art-and-science-268143

How will the universe end?

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Stephen DiKerby, Postdoctoral Researcher in Physics and Astronomy, Michigan State University

In a few billion years, the Milky Way and Andromeda, the nearest spiral galaxy, might collide. Future observers could be treated to fantastic views. NASA; ESA; Z. Levay and R. van der Marel, STScI; T. Hallas; and A. Mellinger

Curious Kids is a series for children of all ages. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, send it to CuriousKidsUS@theconversation.com.


How will the universe end? – Iez M., age 9, Rochester, New York


Whether the universe will “end” at all is not certain, but all evidence suggests it will continue being humanity’s cosmic home for a very, very long time.

The universe – all of space and time, and all matter and energy – began about 14 billion years ago in a rapid expansion called the Big Bang, but since then it has been in a state of continuous change. First, it was full of a diffuse gas of the particles that now make up atoms: protons, neutrons and electrons. Then, that gas collapsed into stars and galaxies.

A graphic timeline of the history of the universe, from the Big Bang on the left to accelerated expansion today on the right.
Our current theory for the history of the universe. On the left is the Big Bang roughly 14 billion years ago. The structure and makeup of the universe have changed over time.
NASA/WMAP Science Team

Our understanding of the future of the universe is informed by the objects and processes we observe today. As an astrophysicist, I observe objects like distant galaxies, which lets me study how stars and galaxies change over time. By doing so, I develop theories that predict how the universe will change in the future.

Predicting the future by studying the past?

Predicting the future of the universe by extending what we see today is extrapolation. It’s risky, because something unexpected could happen.

Interpolation – connecting the dots within a dataset – is much safer. Imagine you have a picture of yourself when you were 5 years old, and then another when you were 7 years old. Someone could probably guess what you looked like when you were 6. That’s interpolation.

A picture explaining interpolation vs extrapolation using pictures of the author at different ages
Using a picture of the author when he was 5 years old and 7 years old, you could interpolate what he looked like when he was 6 years old, but you couldn’t predict what he would look like at 29.
Stephen DiKerby

Maybe they could extrapolate from the two pictures to what you’d look like when you are 8 or 9 years old, but no one can accurately predict too far into the future. Maybe in a few years you get glasses or suddenly get really tall.

Scientists can predict what the universe will probably look like a few billion years into the future by extrapolating how stars and galaxies change over time, but eventually things could get weird. The universe and the stuff within might once again change, like it has in the past.

How will stars change in the future?

Good news: The Sun, our medium-sized yellow star, is going to continue shining for billions of years. It’s about halfway through its 10 billion-year lifetime. The lifetime of a star depends on its size. Big, hot, blue stars live shorter lives, while tiny, cool, red stars live for much longer.

Today, some galaxies are still producing new stars, but others have depleted their star-forming gas. When a galaxy stops forming stars, the blue stars quickly go “supernova” and disappear, exploding after only a few million years. Then, billions of years later, the yellow stars like the Sun eject their outer layers into a nebula, leaving only the red stars puttering along. Eventually, all galaxies throughout the universe will stop producing new stars, and the starlight filling the universe will gradually redden and dim.

An illustration of a red dwarf star and a nearby planet
Red dwarf stars are the longest-lived type of stars. Once star formation shuts down throughout the universe, eventually only red stars will be left, gradually fading away over trillions of years.
NASA/ESA/STScI/G. Bacon

In trillions of years – hundreds of times longer than the universe’s current age – these red stars will also fade away into darkness. But until then, there will be lots of stars providing light and warmth.

How will galaxies change in the future?

Think of building a sand castle on the beach. Each bucket of sand makes the castle bigger and bigger. Galaxies grow over time in a similar way by eating up smaller galaxies. These galactic mergers will continue into the future.

In galaxy clusters, hundreds of galaxies fall inward toward their shared center, often resulting in messy collisions. In these mergers, spiral galaxies, which are orderly disks, combine in chaotic ways into disordered blob-shaped clouds of stars. Think of how easy it is to turn a well-constructed sand castle into a big mess by kicking it over.

For this reason, the universe over time will have fewer spiral galaxies and more elliptical galaxies because the spiral galaxies combine into elliptical galaxies.

The Milky Way galaxy and the neighboring Andromeda galaxy might combine in this way in a few billion years. Don’t worry: The stars in each galaxy would whiz past each other totally unharmed, and future stargazers would get a fantastic view of the two galaxies merging.

How will the universe itself change in the future?

The Big Bang kick-started an expansion that probably will continue in the future. The gravity of all the stuff in the universe – stars, galaxies, gas, dark matter – pulls inward and slows down the expansion, and some theories suggest that the universe’s expansion will coast along or slow to a halt.

However, some evidence suggests that some unknown force is starting to exert a repulsive force, causing expansion to speed up. Scientists call this outward force dark energy, but very little is known about it. Like raisins in a baking cookie, galaxies will zoom away from each other faster and faster. If this continues into the future, other galaxies might be too far apart to observe from the Milky Way.

A simulated view of the night sky from a planet in a huge elliptical galaxy
After star formation shuts down and galaxies merge into huge ellipticals, the expansion of the universe might mean that other galaxies are impossible to observe. For trillions of years, this might be the view of the unchanging night sky: a single red elliptical galaxy.
NASA; ESA; Z. Levay and R. van der Marel, STScI; T. Hallas; and A. Mellinger

To summarize the best current prediction of the future: Star formation will shut down, so galaxies will be full of old, red, dim stars gradually cooling into darkness. Each group or cluster of galaxies will merge into a single, massive, elliptical galaxy. The accelerated expansion of the universe will make it impossible to observe other galaxies beyond the local group.

This scenario eventually winds down into a dark eternity, lasting trillions of years. New data might come to light that changes this story, and the next stage in the universe’s history might be something totally different and unexpectedly beautiful. Depending on how you look at it, the universe might not have an “end,” after all. Even if what exists is very different from how the universe is now, it’s hard to envision a distant future where the universe is entirely gone.

How does this scenario make you feel? It sometimes makes me feel wistful, which is a type of sadness, but then I remember we live at a very exciting time in the story of the universe: right at the start, in an era full of exciting stars and galaxies to observe! The cosmos can support human society and curiosity for billions of years into the future, so there’s lots of time to keep exploring and searching for answers.


Hello, curious kids! Do you have a question you’d like an expert to answer? Ask an adult to send your question to CuriousKidsUS@theconversation.com. Please tell us your name, age and the city where you live.

And since curiosity has no age limit – adults, let us know what you’re wondering, too. We won’t be able to answer every question, but we will do our best.

The Conversation

Stephen DiKerby receives funding from the National Science Foundation.

ref. How will the universe end? – https://theconversation.com/how-will-the-universe-end-269678

AI is making spacecraft propulsion more efficient – and could even lead to nuclear-powered rockets

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Marcos Fernandez Tous, Assistant Professor of Space Studies, University of North Dakota

Propulsion technology helps rockets get off the ground. Joel Kowsky/NASA via AP

Every year, companies and space agencies launch hundreds of rockets into space – and that number is set to grow dramatically with ambitious missions to the Moon, Mars and beyond. But these dreams hinge on one critical challenge: propulsion – the methods used to push rockets and spacecraft forward.

To make interplanetary travel faster, safer and more efficient, scientists need breakthroughs in propulsion technology. Artificial intelligence is one type of technology that has begun to provide some of these necessary breakthroughs.

We’re a team of engineers and graduate students who are studying how AI in general, and a subset of AI called machine learning in particular, can transform spacecraft propulsion. From optimizing nuclear thermal engines to managing complex plasma confinement in fusion systems, AI is reshaping propulsion design and operations. It is quickly becoming an indispensable partner in humankind’s journey to the stars.

Machine learning and reinforcement learning

Machine learning is a branch of AI that identifies patterns in data that it has not explicitly been trained on. It is a vast field with its own branches, with a lot of applications. Each branch emulates intelligence in different ways: by recognizing patterns, parsing and generating language, or learning from experience. This last subset in particular, commonly known as reinforcement learning, teaches machines to perform their tasks by rating their performance, enabling them to continuously improve through experience.

As a simple example, imagine a chess player. The player does not calculate every move but rather recognizes patterns from playing a thousand matches. Reinforcement learning creates similar intuitive expertise in machines and systems, but at a computational speed and scale impossible for humans. It learns through experiences and iterations by observing its environment. These observations allows the machine to correctly interpret each outcome and deploy the best strategies for the system to reach its goal.

Reinforcement learning can improve human understanding of deeply complex systems – those that challenge the limits of human intuition. It can help determine the most efficient trajectory for a spacecraft heading anywhere in space, and it does so by optimizing the propulsion necessary to send the craft there. It can also potentially design better propulsion systems, from selecting the best materials to coming up with configurations that transfer heat between parts in the engine more efficiently.

In reinforcement learning, you can train an AI model to complete tasks that are too complex for humans to complete themselves.

Reinforcement learning for propulsion systems

In regard to space propulsion, reinforcement learning generally falls into two categories: those that assist during the design phase – when engineers define mission needs and system capabilities – and those that support real-time operation once the spacecraft is in flight.

Among the most exotic and promising propulsion concepts is nuclear propulsion, which harnesses the same forces that power atomic bombs and fuel the Sun: nuclear fission and nuclear fusion.

Fission works by splitting heavy atoms such as uranium or plutonium to release energy – a principle used in most terrestrial nuclear reactors. Fusion, on the other hand, merges lighter atoms such as hydrogen to produce even more energy, though it requires far more extreme conditions to initiate.

An infographic showing 'fission' on the left, with an atom breaking into two smaller ones and releasing energy. The right shows 'fusion' with two atoms combining together and releasing energy.
Fission splits atoms, while fusion combines atoms.
Sarah Harman/U.S. Department of Energy

Fission is a more mature technology that has been tested in some space propulsion prototypes. It has even been used in space in the form of radioisotope thermoelectric generators, like those that powered the Voyager probes. But fusion remains a tantalizing frontier.

Nuclear thermal propulsion could one day take spacecraft to Mars and beyond at a lower cost than that of simply burning fuel. It would get a craft there faster than electric propulsion, which uses a heated gas made of charged particles called plasma.

Unlike these systems, nuclear propulsion relies on heat generated from atomic reactions. That heat is transferred to a propellant, typically hydrogen, which expands and exits through a nozzle to produce thrust and shoot the craft forward.

So how can reinforcement learning help engineers develop and operate these powerful technologies? Let’s begin with design.

A circular metal container with a glowing cylinder inside.
The nuclear heat source for the Mars Curiosity rover, part of a radioisotope thermoelectric generator, is encased in a graphite shell. The fuel glows red hot because of the radioactive decay of plutonium-238.
Idaho National Laboratory, CC BY

Reinforcement learning’s role in design

Early nuclear thermal propulsion designs from the 1960s, such as those in NASA’s NERVA program, used solid uranium fuel molded into prism-shaped blocks. Since then, engineers have explored alternative configurations – from beds of ceramic pebbles to grooved rings with intricate channels.

A black and white photo of a large, empty cylindrical structure, with a rocket releasing light in the background.
The first nuclear thermal rocket was built in 1967 and is seen in the background. In the foreground is the protective casing that would hold the reactor.
NASA/Wikipedia

Why has there been so much experimentation? Because the more efficiently a reactor can transfer heat from the fuel to the hydrogen, the more thrust it generates.

This area is where reinforcement learning has proved to be essential. Optimizing the geometry and heat flow between fuel and propellant is a complex problem, involving countless variables – from the material properties to the amount of hydrogen that flows across the reactor at any given moment. Reinforcement learning can analyze these design variations and identify configurations that maximize heat transfer. Imagine it as a smart thermostat but for a rocket engine – one you definitely don’t want to stand too close to, given the extreme temperatures involved.

Reinforcement learning and fusion technology

Reinforcement learning also plays a key role in developing nuclear fusion technology. Large-scale experiments such as the JT-60SA tokamak in Japan are pushing the boundaries of fusion energy, but their massive size makes them impractical for spaceflight. That’s why researchers are exploring compact designs such as polywells. These exotic devices look like hollow cubes, about a few inches across, and they confine plasma in magnetic fields to create the conditions necessary for fusion.

Controlling magnetic fields within a polywell is no small feat. The magnetic fields must be strong enough to keep hydrogen atoms bouncing around until they fuse – a process that demands immense energy to start but can become self-sustaining once underway. Overcoming this challenge is necessary for scaling this technology for nuclear thermal propulsion.

Reinforcement learning and energy generation

However, reinforcement learning’s role doesn’t end with design. It can help manage fuel consumption – a critical task for missions that must adapt on the fly. In today’s space industry, there’s growing interest in spacecraft that can serve different roles depending on the mission’s needs and how they adapt to priority changes through time.

Military applications, for instance, must respond rapidly to shifting geopolitical scenarios. An example of a technology adapted to fast changes is Lockheed Martin’s LM400 satellite, which has varied capabilities such as missile warning or remote sensing.

But this flexibility introduces uncertainty. How much fuel will a mission require? And when will it need it? Reinforcement learning can help with these calculations.

From bicycles to rockets, learning through experience – whether human or machine – is shaping the future of space exploration. As scientists push the boundaries of propulsion and intelligence, AI is playing a growing role in space travel. It may help scientists explore within and beyond our solar system and open the gates for new discoveries.

The Conversation

Sreejith Vidhyadharan Nair receives funding from the University of North Dakota. I have previously received external research funding from agencies such as the FAA and NASA; however, these projects were not related to nuclear propulsion systems.

Marcos Fernandez Tous, Preeti Nair, and Sai Susmitha Guddanti do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. AI is making spacecraft propulsion more efficient – and could even lead to nuclear-powered rockets – https://theconversation.com/ai-is-making-spacecraft-propulsion-more-efficient-and-could-even-lead-to-nuclear-powered-rockets-268643

Nick Fuentes is a master of exploiting the current social media opportunities for extremism

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Alex McPhee-Browne, PhD student studying the American and global far right, University of Cambridge

Right-wing influencer Nick Fuentes, center, speaks in front of flags that say ‘America First’ at a pro-Trump march on Nov. 14, 2020, in Washington. AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File

When Tucker Carlson hosted Nick Fuentes on his show last month, the response followed a familiar script. Critics condemned the platforming of a white nationalist. Defenders invoked free speech. Social media erupted.

“We’ve had some great interviews with Tucker Carlson, but you can’t tell him who to interview,” President Donald Trump said on Nov. 17, 2025. “Ultimately, people have to decide.”

Fuentes is a 27-year-old livestreamer with openly antisemitic views. He has called Adolf Hitler both “awesome” and “right.” But he has become impossible for the Republican Party to banish, despite repeated attempts by some party leaders.

This dynamic reveals how fringe ideologies operate differently today compared to the mid-20th century, when institutional gatekeepers – political parties, law enforcement, the media – could more effectively contain extremist movements.

And through their 21st-century methods of communication and operation, Nick Fuentes and his followers – the “Groypers” – have managed to get what their 20th-century predecessors could not: widespread awareness and political influence.

Atlanta, 1940: Brazen but brief fascist group

As a historian of the American far right, I have spent years examining how fascist movements adapted to the conditions of postwar America. The trajectory from the 1940s until today shows a fundamental shift: from defined organizational structures that could be dismantled to diffuse cultural movements that spread through social media.

Let me offer an example.

In 1946, barely a year after Hitler’s defeat, young men in khaki shirts marched through Atlanta, Georgia, performing Nazi salutes and promising racial vengeance.

Led by Homer Loomis Jr. – a Princeton dropout who called Hitler’s manifesto “Mein Kampf” his “bible” – this group, known as the Columbians, offered Atlanta a glimpse of explicit fascism. They conducted armed patrols, held uniformed drills and even drew up blueprints for blowing up City Hall.

Their brazenness, however, was matched by their brevity. Ten months after forming, Atlanta authorities revoked their charter and jailed the ringleaders.

The swift suppression seemed to prove that explicit fascism had no future in postwar America. And for decades that held true. Open Nazi sympathizers remained marginal, their organizations small and easily ostracized.

In the 1970s, when a group of American Nazis planned to march in Skokie, Illinois, a predominantly Jewish suburb of Chicago, the event was most notable for the counterprotests it triggered.

Mainstreaming fascism

But the Columbians’ failure, it turned out, was organizational, not ideological. The government could revoke a charter and convict leaders. They could not repress a mood.

In the digital age, Fuentes represents that mood as a diffuse sensibility rather than a structured organization. Where the Columbians wore uniforms that advertised their fascist allegiance, Fuentes wears suits and frames his worldview in the rhetoric of “America First.”

The difference is strategic. In a 2019 livestream, Fuentes explained his approach openly: “Bit by bit we start to break down these walls … and then one day, we become the mainstream.”

This packaging marks a deliberate shift. Fuentes treats plausible deniability – of fascism, of antisemitism – not as a weakness but as a central feature. The content of his message remains extreme, but the ironic wrapping enables something the Columbians never achieved – cultural saturation.

Fuentes’s followers, Groypers, have in turn mastered this diffusion strategy.

For many conservatives under 40, exposure to Groyper-style content isn’t in meetings. They absorb it through social media feeds, Discord servers and group chats. A tone of grievance and ironic provocation becomes prominent background noise, moving the marginal toward the mainstream. A generation raised on anti-woke content, 4chan and transgressive memes now shapes the neofascist movement’s tone.

At the same time, institutional authority has in many ways effectively collapsed. The Columbians faced united opposition from media, prosecutors and politicians. Those gatekeepers no longer control conservatism or the white nationalists who are adjacent to it.

A screenshot of a tweet from Donald Trump in 2022, defending having had dinner with Nick Fuentes, whom Kanye West had brought with him to dinner.
In late 2022, former President Donald Trump issued this social media post after having dinner with Nick Fuentes.
X

Achieving what predecessors could not

The Carlson-Fuentes interview has instead exposed a rift within MAGA circles.

Several board members of the Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank with deep ties to the Trump administration, have resigned over the controversy, including one this week.

They were angered that Kevin Roberts, the foundation’s president, released a video defending the interview. Roberts has apologized for some of its contents but not retracted it.

Republicans aren’t all in agreement about whether Groypers represent a threat or an important constituency. Members of Congress have given speeches at Fuentes’ conferences; Trump dined with him at Mar-a-Lago in 2022.

Last year, JD Vance, now the vice president, called Fuentes a “total loser.” Fuentes attempted, without success, to mobilize Groypers against Trump in 2024 and called the president a “scam artist” earlier this year for failing to release the files in the Jeffrey Epstein case.

Yet the broader Groyperfication of conservative youth culture proceeds apace. Trump reversed his stance on the Epstein files. In defending Carlson’s interview with Fuentes, Trump said, “I don’t know much about him.”

Trump said roughly the same thing when he sat down to dinner with Fuentes at Mar-a-Lago in November 2022. Still, that event showed that the Groypers, now six years into their existence, have achieved what their predecessors could not: genuine cultural penetration and political influence.

The old remedies no longer function. Authorities cannot ban an atmosphere or revoke the charter of a meme. Social media platforms designed to maximize engagement often maximize anger. Fuentes and imitators exploit this frustration.

They remain controversial, and the Groypers’ lack of formal institutions could mean they will at some point fade like other far-right youth movements. Trump’s eventual exit from politics may also deprive them of a central reference point.

But they might represent something new: a post-organizational extremism uniquely adapted to digital life.

The Columbians once promised to control Atlanta in six months and America in 10 years. They lasted 10 months. The Groypers have already long outlasted them. That endurance signals a new, far more successful approach.

The Conversation

Alex McPhee-Browne does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Nick Fuentes is a master of exploiting the current social media opportunities for extremism – https://theconversation.com/nick-fuentes-is-a-master-of-exploiting-the-current-social-media-opportunities-for-extremism-269776

What Robert F. Kennedy Jr. didn’t tell you about ‘Operation Northwoods,’ the false flag operation he loves to denounce

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Ken Hughes, Research Specialist, the Miller Center, University of Virginia

U.S. President John F. Kennedy, right, confers with his brother, Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy, at the White House on Oct. 1, 1962, during the buildup of military tensions that became the Cuban missile crisis later that month. AP Photo

Something’s missing from Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s accounts of “Operation Northwoods.” Something that explains the origins of this menu of false flag operations – pretexts for war with Cuba – drafted by the Pentagon in March 1962.

Something about his father.

Most people remember Robert F. Kennedy as President John F. Kennedy’s closest confidant, campaign manager and attorney general, the tough but idealistic younger brother who helped him through the Cuban missile crisis and later waged an antiwar campaign for president, before becoming the second Kennedy brother slain by an assassin.

During Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s political rise to his current position as Secretary of Health and Human Services, he capitalized on the story of “Operation Northwoods,” giving his version of it in speeches, interviews, and two separate books.

Kennedy Jr. pinned the blame for the pretexts solely on “the highest officials in the U.S. military,” accusing them of “lethal zealotry,” decrying “how badly the American military leadership had lost its moral bearings.”

To illustrate the point, he cited one pretext at length: “A ‘Remember the Maine’ incident could be arranged in several forms: We could blow up a U.S. ship in Guantánamo Bay and blame Cuba.”

In each of these accounts, Kennedy Jr. omitted the most important part of the “Operation Northwoods” story: his father’s role. I learned of that role from documents declassified by the JFK Assassination Records Review Board, in the Kennedy Library and in other archives while researching a book I’m writing, “Clandestine Camelot.”

A bearded man at a lectern with a raised arm and speaking into multiple microphones.
Robert F. Kennedy aimed to use false flag operations as a pretext to go to war with Cuba and depose its communist leader, Fidel Castro, seen here in 1963.
Keystone-France/Gamma-Keystone via Getty Images

Debacle with a chaser of deceit

In the first foreign policy memo he dictated, Attorney General Kennedy broached the idea of fabricating an attack on the U.S. naval base at Guantánamo Bay in Cuba, one of the spoils of the Spanish-American War.

It was April 19, 1961, and the Bay of Pigs invasion was in mid-collapse. Roughly 1,500 CIA-trained and -financed Cuban expatriates were mounting a doomed attempt to overthrow Fidel Castro, the Cuban revolutionary-turned-tyrant. Castro had the invaders pinned down on the beach under fire from Moscow-furnished MiG fighter jets.

It was then that the attorney general asked the president if they could get Central and South American nations “to take some action” to stop the flow of Russian arms to Cuba “if it was reported that one or two of Castro’s MiGs attacked Guantanamo Bay and the United States made noises like this was an act of war and that we might very well have to take armed action ourselves.”

Castro, of course, had not attacked the U.S. naval base. That would have meant war with America and the end of his regime.

President Kennedy didn’t act on his brother’s suggestion, but began including him regularly in foreign policymaking. Newspapers started calling RFK “the second most important man in the Western World.”

From subversion to military intervention

During the 1960 presidential campaign, JFK called Cuba a “Soviet satellite” and a “potential enemy missile or submarine base only 90 miles from our shores.” In November 1961, hoping to undo the Bay of Pigs failure, he created his own covert operation “to help Cuba overthrow the communist regime.” He put his brother Robert in charge of the secret program of subversion, code-named “Operation Mongoose.”

Fomenting revolution in Cuba faced an insurmountable obstacle: Castro was already powerful enough to crush any purely internal uprising.

CIA, State Department, and Defense Department officials agreed that the only way to overthrow Castro was a U.S. invasion.

Under Robert Kennedy’s leadership, the “Special Group (Augmented),” the interagency group JFK charged with overseeing Mongoose, proposed to change the covert operation’s goal from orchestrating subversion to justifying U.S. military intervention.

On March 5, 1962, the group asked Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs U. Alexis Johnson “to have a list prepared of various situations which would serve as a plausible pretext for intervention.” In the minutes of that meeting, someone crossed out “plausible pretext” and wrote “valid basis.”

A page of minutes from a meeting show that Robert F. Kennedy's group asked a State Department staffer 'to have a list prepared of various situations which would serve as a plausible pretext for intervention.'
The minutes of a March 5, 1962, meeting show that Robert F. Kennedy’s group asked a State Department staffer to prepare a list of various situations ‘which would serve as a plausible pretext for intervention’ in Cuba.
National Archives

The origin of ‘Operation Northwoods’

After the meeting, “in response to direction,” Mongoose operations chief Edward G. Lansdale asked the Joint Chiefs of Staff for “a brief but precise description of pretexts which the JCS believes desirable for direct military intervention.”

The Joint Chiefs of Staff responded by drafting the document now known as “Operation Northwoods.”

Fun fact: No one called it “Operation Northwoods” at the time.

“Northwoods” was just a code word the Joint Chiefs of Staff used on Mongoose documents. In the 21st century, however, historians mistook the code word for a code name and gave the pretexts their unhistorical handle. There was no “Operation Northwoods,” but that didn’t stop it from getting its own Wikipedia page.

The Special Group (Augmented) voted on March 13, 1962, to alter the Mongoose guidelines to state “that final success will require decisive U.S. military intervention.”

Three days later, the group briefed the president on the revised guidelines, including secret “plans for creating plausible pretexts to use force, with the pretexts either attacks on U.S. aircraft or a Cuban action in Latin America for which we would retaliate.”

President Kennedy said “bluntly” that they were not then able to make a decision on the use of military force.

But he did tell the group to “go ahead on the guidelines.” Since the revised guidelines said that Cubans “will be used to prepare for and justify this [U.S. military] intervention, and thereafter to facilitate and support it,” the revision transformed Mongoose into a secret program to furnish the president with a pretext to invade Cuba if he so chose.

Fortunately, he didn’t.

Apocalyptic advice

The last recorded time Robert Kennedy urged his brother to consider a false flag operation was on Oct. 16, 1962, the first day of the Cuban missile crisis.

The president’s secret White House recording system captured Robert Kennedy advising him to consider fabricating a pretext for U.S military intervention: “Can I say that one other thing is whether we should also think of whether there is some other way we can get involved in this, through Guantánamo Bay or something. Or whether there’s some ship that … you know, sink the Maine again or something.”

JFK ignored the suggestion. Taking it would have, in all likelihood, started a nuclear war.

This year marks the centennial of Robert Kennedy’s birth, the perfect occasion to stop scapegoating the military for his darkest deeds. In drafting pretexts for war, the Pentagon was complying with instructions it received through the command structure the president established for Operation Mongoose. Generals have little choice but to comply with such instructions unless and until Congress outlaws false flag operations.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wrote that the “Operation Northwoods memo should serve as a warning [to] the American people about the dangers of allowing the military to set goals or standards for our country.”

In reality, it reveals the dangers of letting someone like Robert F. Kennedy use the power of the U.S. government to deceive Americans about life-or-death matters.

The Conversation

Ken Hughes is a research specialist with the Presidential Recordings Program of the University of Virginia’s Miller Center, whose work is funded in part by grants from the National Historical Publications and Records Commission.

ref. What Robert F. Kennedy Jr. didn’t tell you about ‘Operation Northwoods,’ the false flag operation he loves to denounce – https://theconversation.com/what-robert-f-kennedy-jr-didnt-tell-you-about-operation-northwoods-the-false-flag-operation-he-loves-to-denounce-270205

More than half of new articles on the internet are now being written by AI – is human writing headed for extinction?

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By Francesco Agnellini, Lecturer in Digital and Data Studies, Binghamton University, State University of New York

Preserving the value of real human voices will likely depend on how people adapt to artificial intelligence and collaborate with it. BlackJack3D/E+ via Getty Images

The line between human and machine authorship is blurring, particularly as it’s become increasingly difficult to tell whether something was written by a person or AI.

Now, in what may seem like a tipping point, the digital marketing firm Graphite recently published a study showing that more than 50% of articles on the web are being generated by artificial intelligence.

As a scholar who explores how AI is built, how people are using it in their everyday lives, and how it’s affecting culture, I’ve thought a lot about what this technology can do and where it falls short.

If you’re more likely to read something written by AI than by a human on the internet, is it only a matter of time before human writing becomes obsolete? Or is this simply another technological development that humans will adapt to?

It isn’t all or nothing

Thinking about these questions reminded me of Umberto Eco’s essay “Apocalyptic and Integrated,” which was originally written in the early 1960s. Parts of it were later included in an anthology titled “Apocalypse Postponed,” which I first read as a college student in Italy.

In it, Eco draws a contrast between two attitudes toward mass media. There are the “apocalyptics” who fear cultural degradation and moral collapse. Then there are the “integrated” who champion new media technologies as a democratizing force for culture.

An older man with a beard, glasses and a suit poses while holding a cigarette.
Italian philosopher, cultural critic and novelist Umberto Eco cautioned against overreacting to the impact of new technologies.
Leonardo Cendamo/Getty Images

Back then, Eco was writing about the proliferation of TV and radio. Today, you’ll often see similar reactions to AI.

Yet Eco argued that both positions were too extreme. It isn’t helpful, he wrote, to see new media as either a dire threat or a miracle. Instead, he urged readers to look at how people and communities use these new tools, what risks and opportunities they create, and how they shape – and sometimes reinforce – power structures.

While I was teaching a course on deepfakes during the 2024 election, Eco’s lesson also came back to me. Those were days when some scholars and media outlets were regularly warning of an imminent “deepfake apocalypse.”

Would deepfakes be used to mimic major political figures and push targeted disinformation? What if, on the eve of an election, generative AI was used to mimic the voice of a candidate on a robocall telling voters to stay home?

Those fears weren’t groundless: Research shows that people aren’t especially good at identifying deepfakes. At the same time, they consistently overestimate their ability to do so.

In the end, though, the apocalypse was postponed. Post-election analyses found that deepfakes did seem to intensify some ongoing political trends, such as the erosion of trust and polarization, but there’s no evidence that they affected the final outcome of the election.

Listicles, news updates and how-to guides

Of course, the fears that AI raises for supporters of democracy are not the same as those it creates for writers and artists.

For them, the core concerns are about authorship: How can one person compete with a system trained on millions of voices that can produce text at hyper-speed? And if this becomes the norm, what will it do to creative work, both as an occupation and as a source of meaning?

It’s important to clarify what’s meant by “online content,” the phrase used in the Graphite study, which analyzed over 65,000 randomly selected articles of at least 100 words on the web. These can include anything from peer-reviewed research to promotional copy for miracle supplements.

A closer reading of the Graphite study shows that the AI-generated articles consist largely of general-interest writing: news updates, how-to guides, lifestyle posts, reviews and product explainers.

The primary economic purpose of this content is to persuade or inform, not to express originality or creativity. Put differently, AI appears to be most useful when the writing in question is low-stakes and formulaic: the weekend-in-Rome listicle, the standard cover letter, the text produced to market a business.

A whole industry of writers – mostly freelance, including many translators – has relied on precisely this kind of work, producing blog posts, how-to material, search engine optimization text and social media copy. The rapid adoption of large language models has already displaced many of the gigs that once sustained them.

Collaborating with AI

The dramatic loss of this work points toward another issue raised by the Graphite study: the question of authenticity, not only in identifying who or what produced a text, but also in understanding the value that humans attach to creative activity.

How can you distinguish a human-written article from a machine-generated one? And does that ability even matter?

Over time, that distinction is likely to grow less significant, particularly as more writing emerges from interactions between humans and AI. A writer might draft a few lines, let an AI expand them and then reshape that output into the final text.

This article is no exception. As a non-native English speaker, I often rely on AI to refine my language before sending drafts to an editor. At times the system attempts to reshape what I mean. But once its stylistic tendencies become familiar, it becomes possible to avoid them and maintain a personal tone.

Also, artificial intelligence is not entirely artificial, since it is trained on human-made material. It’s worth noting that even before AI, human writing has never been entirely human, either. Every technology, from parchment and stylus paper to the typewriter and now AI, has shaped how people write and how readers make sense of it.

Another important point: AI models are increasingly trained on datasets that include not only human writing but also AI-generated and human–AI co-produced text.

This has raised concerns about their ability to continue improving over time. Some commentators have already described a sense of disillusionment following the release of newer large models, with companies struggling to deliver on their promises.

Human voices may matter even more

But what happens when people become overly reliant on AI in their writing?

Some studies show that writers may feel more creative when they use artificial intelligence for brainstorming, yet the range of ideas often becomes narrower. This uniformity affects style as well: These systems tend to pull users toward similar patterns of wording, which reduces the differences that usually mark an individual voice. Researchers also note a shift toward Western – and especially English-speaking – norms in the writing of people from other cultures, raising concerns about a new form of AI colonialism.

In this context, texts that display originality, voice and stylistic intention are likely to become even more meaningful within the media landscape, and they may play a crucial role in training the next generations of models.

If you set aside the more apocalyptic scenarios and assume that AI will continue to advance – perhaps at a slower pace than in the recent past – it’s quite possible that thoughtful, original, human-generated writing will become even more valuable.

Put another way: The work of writers, journalists and intellectuals will not become superfluous simply because much of the web is no longer written by humans.

The Conversation

Francesco Agnellini does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. More than half of new articles on the internet are now being written by AI – is human writing headed for extinction? – https://theconversation.com/more-than-half-of-new-articles-on-the-internet-are-now-being-written-by-ai-is-human-writing-headed-for-extinction-268354

Writing builds resilience by changing your brain, helping you face everyday challenges

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By Emily Ronay Johnston, Assistant Teaching Professor of Global Arts, Media and Writing Studies, University of California, Merced

Writing is a way of thinking and doing. AscentXmedia/iStock via Getty Images Plus

Ordinary and universal, the act of writing changes the brain. From dashing off a heated text message to composing an op-ed, writing allows you to, at once, name your pain and create distance from it. Writing can shift your mental state from overwhelm and despair to grounded clarity — a shift that reflects resilience.

Psychology, the media and the wellness industry shape public perceptions of resilience: Social scientists study it, journalists celebrate it, and wellness brands sell it.

They all tell a similar story: Resilience is an individual quality that people can strengthen with effort. The American Psychological Association defines resilience as an ongoing process of personal growth through life’s challenges. News headlines routinely praise individuals who refuse to give up or find silver linings in times of hardship. The wellness industry promotes relentless self-improvement as the path to resilience.

In my work as a professor of writing studies, I research how people use writing to navigate trauma and practice resilience. I have witnessed thousands of students turn to the written word to work through emotions and find a sense of belonging. Their writing habits suggest that writing fosters resilience. Insights from psychology and neuroscience can help explain how.

Writing rewires the brain

In the 1980s, psychologist James Pennebaker developed a therapeutic technique called expressive writing to help patients process trauma and psychological challenges. With this technique, continuously journaling about something painful helps create mental distance from the experience and eases its cognitive load.

In other words, externalizing emotional distress through writing fosters safety. Expressive writing turns pain into a metaphorical book on a shelf, ready to be reopened with intention. It signals the brain, “You don’t need to carry this anymore.”

Person sitting at a table writing in a notebook
Sometimes you can write your way through difficult emotions.
Grace Cary/Moment via Getty Images

Translating emotions and thoughts into words on paper is a complex mental task. It involves retrieving memories and planning what to do with them, engaging brain areas associated with memory and decision-making. It also involves putting those memories into language, activating the brain’s visual and motor systems.

Writing things down supports memory consolidation — the brain’s conversion of short-term memories into long-term ones. The process of integration makes it possible for people to reframe painful experiences and manage their emotions. In essence, writing can help free the mind to be in the here and now.

Taking action through writing

The state of presence that writing can elicit is not just an abstract feeling; it reflects complex activity in the nervous system.

Brain imaging studies show that putting feelings into words helps regulate emotions. Labeling emotions — whether through expletives and emojis or carefully chosen words — has multiple benefits. It calms the amygdala, a cluster of neurons that detects threat and triggers the fear response: fight, flight, freeze or fawn. It also engages the prefrontal cortex, a part of the brain that supports goal-setting and problem-solving.

In other words, the simple act of naming your emotions can help you shift from reaction to response. Instead of identifying with your feelings and mistaking them for facts, writing can help you simply become aware of what’s arising and prepare for deliberate action.

Even mundane writing tasks like making a to-do list stimulate parts of the brain involved in reasoning and decision-making, helping you regain focus.

Making meaning through writing

Choosing to write is also choosing to make meaning. Studies suggest that having a sense of agency is both a prerequisite for, and an outcome of, writing.

Researchers have long documented how writing is a cognitive activity — one that people use to communicate, yes, but also to understand the human experience. As many in the field of writing studies recognize, writing is a form of thinking — a practice that people never stop learning. With that, writing has the potential to continually reshape the mind. Writing not only expresses but actively creates identity.

Writing also regulates your psychological state. And the words you write are themselves proof of regulation — the evidence of resilience.

Popular coverage of human resilience often presents it as extraordinary endurance. News coverage of natural disasters implies that the more severe the trauma, the greater the personal growth. Pop psychology often equates resilience with unwavering optimism. Such representations can obscure ordinary forms of adaptation. Strategies people already use to cope with everyday life — from rage-texting to drafting a resignation letter — signify transformation.

Building resilience through writing

These research-backed tips can help you develop a writing practice conducive to resilience:

1. Write by hand whenever possible. In contrast to typing or tapping on a device, handwriting requires greater cognitive coordination. It slows your thinking, allowing you to process information, form connections and make meaning.

2. Write daily. Start small and make it regular. Even jotting brief notes about your day — what happened, what you’re feeling, what you’re planning or intending — can help you get thoughts out of your head and ease rumination.

3. Write before reacting. When strong feelings surge, write them down first. Keep a notebook within reach and make it a habit to write it before you say it. Doing so can support reflective thinking, helping you act with purpose and clarity.

4. Write a letter you never send. Don’t just write down your feelings — address them to the person or situation that’s troubling you. Even writing a letter to yourself can provide a safe space for release without the pressure of someone else’s reaction.

5. Treat writing as a process. Any time you draft something and ask for feedback on it, you practice stepping back to consider alternative perspectives. Applying that feedback through revision can strengthen self-awareness and build confidence.

Resilience may be as ordinary as the journal entries people scribble, the emails they exchange, the task lists they create — even the essays students pound out for professors.

The act of writing is adaptation in progress.

The Conversation

Emily Johnston receives funding from the Andrew W. Mellon Foundation.

ref. Writing builds resilience by changing your brain, helping you face everyday challenges – https://theconversation.com/writing-builds-resilience-by-changing-your-brain-helping-you-face-everyday-challenges-265188

Comprendre la cuisson parfaite des pâtes avec ou sans gluten grâce à la science

Source: The Conversation – France in French (2) – By Andrea Scotti, Senior lecturer of Physical Chemistry, Lund University

Et si la physique des particules pouvait améliorer la cuisson des pâtes ? En scrutant leur structure à l’échelle atomique, des chercheurs ont compris comment le gluten maintient la fermeté des spaghettis et pourquoi les versions sans gluten restent si fragiles.


Que vous préfériez vos spaghettis al dente ou délicieusement fondants, il n’est pas toujours facile d’atteindre la perfection à la maison. Beaucoup d’entre nous ont déjà vu leurs pâtes se transformer en une bouillie beige – surtout lorsqu’il s’agit d’alternatives sans gluten.

Alors, quelle quantité d’eau et de sel faut-il vraiment utiliser, et combien de temps faut-il cuire les pâtes pour obtenir un résultat optimal ? Et surtout, comment adapter sa méthode de cuisson quand on utilise des pâtes sans gluten ? Une étude récente que mes collègues et moi avons menée, publiée dans Food Hydrocolloids, apporte des réponses en dévoilant la physique du processus de cuisson.

En nous tournant vers le Diamond Light Source, le synchrotron national du Royaume-Uni (un accélérateur de particules circulaire), nous avons étudié la diffusion des rayons X sur des pâtes afin d’en révéler la structure interne. Nous nous sommes ensuite rendus à Isis et à l’Institut Laue-Langevin, deux centres de recherche situés respectivement au Royaume-Uni et en France, pour analyser à l’aide de neutrons (qui, avec les protons, composent le noyau atomique) la microstructure des spaghettis classiques et sans gluten soumis à différentes conditions de cuisson.

L’étude montre comment la structure cachée des pâtes se modifie au cours de la cuisson, et pourquoi les versions sans gluten se comportent de manière si différente.

Ce dispositif nous a permis d’examiner la structure de l’amidon et du gluten dans les spaghettis à des échelles très fines, allant de plusieurs dizaines de fois le rayon d’un atome à plusieurs milliers de fois. Nous avons ainsi pu comparer les transformations qui s’opèrent dans les pâtes classiques et sans gluten selon diverses conditions de cuisson – par exemple lorsqu’elles sont trop cuites ou cuites sans sel.

Nos expériences nous ont permis de « voir » séparément les différents composants des pâtes. En mélangeant de l’eau normale et de « l’eau lourde » (qui contient un isotope appelé deutérium), nous pouvions rendre soit le gluten, soit l’amidon invisible au faisceau de neutrons. De cette manière, nous avons pu isoler efficacement chaque structure à tour de rôle et comprendre le rôle respectif de l’amidon et du gluten pendant la cuisson.

Le rôle du gluten et du sel

Notre étude montre que, dans les pâtes classiques, le gluten agit comme une armature solide qui maintient les granules d’amidon en place même pendant l’ébullition, ce qui confère aux pâtes leur fermeté et leur lenteur de digestion. Dans les pâtes sans gluten, en revanche, les granules d’amidon gonflent et s’effondrent plus facilement – ce qui explique leur texture pâteuse et leur dégradation plus rapide lorsque ce type de pâtes est cuit dans des conditions non optimales.

Nous avons également étudié l’effet du sel contenu dans l’eau de cuisson sur la structure des pâtes. Nous avons constaté que le sel ne se contente pas d’améliorer leur goût : il influence fortement la microstructure des spaghettis. Lorsque des pâtes classiques sont bouillies dans une eau salée, le gluten conserve sa structure, et les granules d’amidon sont moins altérés par le processus de cuisson.

Alors, quelle quantité de sel faut-il ajouter pour préserver la structure microscopique des pâtes ? Notre étude a révélé que l’idéal est de sept grammes de sel par litre d’eau, avec une quantité d’eau plus importante nécessaire pour de plus grandes portions de pâtes. Le temps de cuisson idéal est de dix minutes pour les pâtes classiques et onze minutes pour les pâtes sans gluten. À l’inverse, lorsque la concentration en sel était doublée, l’ordre interne se dégradait plus rapidement et la structure des granules d’amidon était significativement altérée par la cuisson.

Spaghetti is taken out of the pan with tongs
La quantité idéale est de 7 grammes de sel par litre d’eau.
Kalashnikov Dmitrii/Shutterstock

Pour les pâtes sans gluten, les conclusions étaient encore différentes en raison de l’absence de la protection offerte par le gluten. Même de petites quantités de sel ne pouvaient compenser cette absence. Les composés artificiels à base d’amidons transformés, utilisés par les fabricants pour remplacer le gluten, se dégradaient rapidement. L’exemple le plus extrême de cette dégradation est survenu lorsque les spaghettis sans gluten étaient cuits trop longtemps – par exemple treize minutes au lieu de onze – et dans une eau très salée.

La principale conclusion est donc que les pâtes sans gluten sont structurellement plus fragiles et moins tolérantes à une cuisson prolongée ou à une mauvaise proportion de sel.

Améliorer les alternatives sans gluten

Comprendre la structure des pâtes à des échelles aussi infimes, invisibles même au microscope, aidera à concevoir de meilleurs aliments sans gluten. L’objectif est notamment de créer des alternatives sans gluten plus résistantes aux mauvaises conditions de cuisson et dont la texture se rapproche davantage de celle des spaghettis classiques.

Les pâtes de blé classiques ont un faible indice glycémique, car le gluten ralentit la dégradation des granules d’amidon lors de la digestion. Les pâtes sans gluten, fabriquées à partir de farines de riz et de maïs, manquent souvent de cette structure, ce qui entraîne une libération plus rapide des sucres. Grâce à la diffusion des neutrons, les scientifiques de l’alimentation peuvent désormais identifier quels ingrédients et quelles conditions de cuisson reproduisent le mieux la structure du gluten.

C’est aussi une illustration de la manière dont des outils expérimentaux de pointe, principalement utilisés pour la recherche fondamentale, transforment aujourd’hui la recherche alimentaire. La diffusion des neutrons a joué un rôle essentiel dans la compréhension des matériaux magnétiques, des batteries, des polymères et des protéines. Elle permet désormais aussi d’expliquer le comportement de nos aliments du quotidien à l’échelle microscopique.

The Conversation

Andrea Scotti reçoit des financements de la Fondation Knut et Alice Wallenberg ainsi que du Conseil suédois de la recherche.

ref. Comprendre la cuisson parfaite des pâtes avec ou sans gluten grâce à la science – https://theconversation.com/comprendre-la-cuisson-parfaite-des-pates-avec-ou-sans-gluten-grace-a-la-science-269202