Meet today’s hunt saboteurs – ‘doctors, teachers, even farmers’ working with police to bring illegal fox hunts to justice

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Amy Stevens, Research Associate, School of Sociological Studies, Politics and International Relations, University of Sheffield

Pseudonyms are used throughout this article. The authors’ interviews with hunt saboteurs and police officers were carried out on condition of anonymity.

Alison joined her local hunt saboteur group in her late 30s after seeing an anti-fox hunting stall at a local festival. At that time she had “no idea” that fox hunting was still taking place across the UK, despite it having been illegal in England and Wales since 2005 – and earlier in Scotland.

Alison has since made strong friendships through “sabbing” which, she admits, has become “close to almost an obsession” for her:

It’s normally a Saturday … We dress up. We make sure our camera batteries are charged, all the equipment is ready. We get into the sabotage cars, go to the location … and basically follow them in the field. The name of the game is to keep an eye on the hunt at all times with cameras, and observe what they are doing.

Numerous hunt saboteurs across the UK follow this routine throughout each fox hunting season, which runs from September to May. Time spent in the field following the hunt can be strained and perilous. “We drag each other out of the mud … and keep each other’s back,” Alison says.

Saboteurs deliberately attempt to disrupt the hunt, placing themselves in dangerous situations, often on foot as they run after hunters on horseback. As tensions run high, threats and physical assaults can come from both sides of this long-standing argument. With some hunts now regularly employing private security, the levels of violence have reportedly escalated.

Our research on the changing nature of hunt sabotage is part of a broader study of “citizen-led policing”. We see this as a contemporary phenomenon in many different walks of life – from antisocial behaviour in neighbourhoods to acquisitive retail crime – whereby concerned citizens take action against what they regard as security issues which are not being adequately addressed. In some instances, the boundaries between concerned citizens acting with good intentions and vigilantism can become blurred.


The Insights section is committed to high-quality longform journalism. Our editors work with academics from many different backgrounds who are tackling a wide range of societal and scientific challenges.


In our conversations with saboteurs spanning the last three hunting seasons, many have reported being threatened by hunt members and supporters, physically assaulted, vehicles damaged, followed home, doxxed online and dead animals left at their properties. But what keeps them coming back, according to Stuart, is a unifying commitment to ending the “cruelty” of fox hunting: “Everything stems from that, and we must never lose sight of that.”

‘The law needs revisiting’

Lizzie is a middle-class professional working full-time in a demanding job. But she spends much of her spare time roaming farmland in the south of England, disrupting fox hunts and gathering evidence of law breaking.

In this sense, Lizzie is typical of many hunt saboteurs we have encountered in our research. She reflects a move away from hunt sabotage as an activity often seen as a clash of classes – a working-class struggle against upper-class hunt groups. She explains:

For a long time, hunt sabs were just seen as hippies that don’t work; just these nutty animal rights extremists. [But] there’s nurses, there’s social workers, there’s an electrician – we’re all working, we’re all in responsible jobs … I think the police are coming around to thinking this isn’t a class issue. [We] are just looking for the law to be upheld.

Saboteurs dressed in black follow a fox hunt with riders in red jackets.
‘This isn’t a class issue’: saboteurs follow a fox hunt in Monmouthshire, January 2020.
pwmedia/Shutterstock

Twenty years after Tony Blair’s government brought in the initial ban on hunting wild mammals with dogs under the Hunting Act (2004), Labour’s 2024 election manifesto included a promise to ban trail hunting in England and Wales, in order to end the “smokescreen” that both police and saboteurs claim allows illegal hunting to continue.

This has been followed through as part of the government’s new animal welfare strategy, launched on December 22. A public consultation will be held at the start of 2026 to seek views on the precise details of the ban, with the government yet to give a timeline for its introduction.

The existing powers afforded to the police regarding fox hunting have been described by senior police officer Matt Longman as a “leaky sieve”. In 2023, Longman, the National Police Chiefs’ Council lead on fox hunting crime, described the current Hunting Act as “not working effectively”, and claimed that “the simplest reason for the lack of prosecution is that the law needs revisiting”.

History of hunt saboteurs

The origins of hunt sabotage in the UK are not clear. There is some evidence that a group called Band of Mercy sabotaged shooting rifles in 1883. Around the same time, members of the Humanitarian League are said to have followed hunts to expose cruel practices.

According to the Hunt Saboteurs Association (HSA), the first documented saboteur in England was a man called Harrison who disrupted a grouse shoot on the Duke of Rutland’s land in 1893 and was arrested for trespassing. The first modern hunt sabotage took place in 1958, when members of the League Against Cruel Sports laid false trails to disrupt a stag hunt in the Devon and Somerset area.

In the 1970s and ‘80s, hunt saboteur groups were associated with anarchist movements and the punk music scene, as well as anti-vivisectionists. But according to Kat, that image of hunt saboteurs is a far cry from today’s saboteurs:

[Hunt supporters] push this theory that sabs are uneducated, unemployed, unwashed hippies. But it’s really interesting, the diverse group of people that belong to anti-hunting campaigning. You can have anyone from doctors, nurses, veterinary professionals, teachers – even farmers. I just don’t think [the hunters] would ever in a million years believe that I’m in a high-powered role in my industry.

Stuart, a member of a sabotage group in the south of England, is quick to distinguish the highly organised approach his group takes from some others operating today:

Some saboteur groups aren’t very organised. They’ve got these anarchic principles they work to … I believe in having large numbers, well trained, a structured training programme – and everyone knowing what they’re doing. It just seems to work.

Stuart raises concerns about new recruits being overly motivated by political concerns – people he describes as “class warriors” interested only in violence against an upper-class enemy:

I like to meet people to make sure they want to be in the group for all the right reasons, because sometimes you do get class warriors … It’s happened in some groups before. It’s not nice: someone’s turned up, gone out on their first or second hit, they’ve just gone up and whacked a huntsman and pulled him off his horse … You can’t do that.

A legacy of mistrust

The history of hunt sabotage is beset by violence against saboteurs by hunt members and supporters. Incidents of serious violence against saboteurs are perceived within the movement as going largely unpunished, with instances of saboteurs being killed or seriously injured having led to short custodial or suspended sentences – or, often, no prosecutions against hunt members and supporters at all.

Some of the most high-profile and controversial forms of protest on the issue of fox hunting have arguably been perpetrated by hunt supporters. In 2004, eight supporters stormed the House of Commons during a debate on hunting, disguising themselves as builders before confronting MPs. They received an 18-month custodial discharge, with the judge finding no evidence that their actions had resulted in either harassment or distress. In 2009, Lush Cosmetics stores were vandalised and staff verbally abused after the company worked alongside the HSA as part of an anti-fox hunting campaign.

Hunt saboteurs’ mistrust of the state was cemented further when the full scale of the undercover infiltration of saboteur groups by police officers was revealed during the spy cops scandal, which emerged in 2010. Several officers who infiltrated saboteur groups have been accused of inciting others to commit crimes and forming romantic relationships with saboteurs, all the while concealing their real identity. Saboteurs largely retain a deep mistrust of the state, as Stuart explains:

There is distrust … the Old Bill haven’t always helped themselves. In the ’90s, they were infiltrating groups like ours – committing statutory rape [on some] female activists [and we] haven’t forgotten about that … It’s diabolical, absolutely sick. So that’s the sort of thing that lingers on.

This deeply embedded sense of suspicion and antipathy from hunt saboteurs towards the police continues to affect relationships between the two – despite the fact they share, in theory at least, a common pursuit of holding fox hunters accountable to the law. Where positive relationships have been forged, the role of individual police officers has been key – overcoming decades of saboteur-police antipathy to build new alliances.

Reflecting on the support provided by saboteurs during prosecutions of hunts flouting the law, Dan, a police wildlife crime officer, tells us simply: “Without [saboteur] involvement, we’d have no chance.”

Forging unlikely alliances

At first, Kat is reluctant to meet us. We had been put in touch with her by James, a police wildlife crime officer with whom Kat had worked to bring about a hunt prosecution. When she finally agrees to meet us with her partner Carl, also a saboteur, they recount experiencing years of mistreatment at the hands of police officers, and of police protecting hunts while still treating saboteurs as the ones breaking the law.

After one particularly bad experience with the police – when they reported being threatened and having damage done to their vehicle – a friend and former saboteur put them in contact with James. Kat says he “really had his work cut out” with regards to building any sort of relationship with her and Carl.

James asked if they could share any footage of the hunting they had witnessed that season. With low expectations, they agreed to share what they had gathered and James drew on this footage to pursue and ultimately secure the conviction of hunt members. This success was a significant turning point for Kat in recognising there might be mutual benefits in working with the police. She calls James “the first police officer I’ve ever had anything positive to say about”, explaining:

He’s the first police officer that’s actually taken the time to very neutrally listen to what we have to say and look at the footage we’ve had. I have very low standards for the police … but he’s the first cop that’s ever done that.

At the time of the prosecution against the hunt, Kat had preferred to hide her saboteur identity in order to separate this from her professional life – particularly as she worked in a role which brought her into contact with rural businesses. Acknowledging these concerns, James agreed to put measures in place to make Kat and Carl feel safe at home. Kat explains:

James gave us personal protection alarms and alarms for the home, so that if we pressed the button we got an instant response, with the knowledge that we were witnesses.

Ultimately, the prosecution succeeded, giving Kat a sense that times really are changing. “Seeing the actual hunts coming to justice,” she says, “it does feel that maybe the tides are changing.”

Carl echoes this sentiment: “I’m not a fan of the police but I do feel that getting convictions against hunts is the way forward. It makes it very, very visible to the public, and to the government.”

Both Kat and Carl still view James as “one in a million” within the police. As Carl puts it: “If it had been any other copper, it wouldn’t have even got to court. They wouldn’t have wanted the evidence.”

And while Kat continues to bear the psychological scars of having been let down and mistreated by the police, she does sound slightly more hopeful about the potential for future collaboration with like-minded police officers:

If there are more officers like James out there who actually want to do their job, then hopefully we can play a key part in closing multiple hunts down or getting more and more convictions.

The ‘smokescreen’

Many police officers told us that collaborating with saboteurs is the only path towards enforcing the law against fox hunting. A combination of low investigatory resources, the difficulties of meeting evidential thresholds, and the resources that hunt members and supporters can bring to bear during court proceedings reduces the prospect of successful prosecution at every stage. As James put it:

I honestly think there is a need for [the saboteurs]. The hunts wouldn’t like me to say that – my boss probably wouldn’t like me to say that – but if the hunts were [only] trail hunting, there would be no need for the sabs at all.

The formulation of the UK’s current Hunting Act (2004) is also challenging. The legislation contains exemptions which allow for trail hunting – a practice only introduced after the act was passed. Using pre-laid scent trails which simulate real hunting is considered a compromise to allow the foxhound packs to be kept and traditions to continue in a way that is legally compliant. The law, however, does not make any provision for the accidental killing of a fox by hounds, making it difficult to prove a kill during a trail hunt was not accidental.

Anti-hunt groups have long accused trail hunting of being a legal loophole used to hide continued fox hunting. In 2020, a leaked webinar held by The Hunting Office, the sport’s now-defunct governing body, saw leading huntsman Mark Hankinson explaining: “It’s a lot easier to create a smokescreen if you’ve got more than one trail layer operating. That is what it is all about – trying to portray to the people watching that you’re going about your legitimate business.”

Hankinson was initially convicted of encouraging people to hunt illegally in October 2021, receiving a £1,000 fine, but later won an appeal against his conviction. According to Hankinson, his leaked words had in fact been referring to the practice of laying dummy trails to fool saboteurs – and the appeal judge accepted that the Hunting Office was committed to lawful hunting.

According to the police officers we spoke to, working alongside hunt saboteurs and using their evidence to build a case against any hunt that is breaching the law is critical to the likelihood of a successful prosecution.

According to James, the resources available to some saboteur groups can outstrip those available to the police when building up such evidence. “They use drones, they use cameras, they use bodycams,” he explained. “Their tactics obviously have worked because we’ve had quite a few convictions around the country.”

Saboteurs are not subject to the same legal stipulations as the police with regard to evidence capture. While the police must abide by the Regulations of Investigatory Powers Act (2000), which places a series of limits on the police’s capacity to carry out covert surveillance, saboteurs can operate with much more flexibility, including covert filming of illegal hunting. So long as saboteurs do not break the law in capturing their footage, their evidence can be used to support prosecutions.

Working with evidence captured by saboteurs also allows the police to pursue creative avenues for action. In some cases, they have been able to draw on measures designed to tackle antisocial behaviour as a mechanism to address issues linked to hunting – often referred to as “hunt havoc” – such as hounds running into private gardens or through school fields, as well as hunts blocking roads.

Police accused of bias by both sides

Police officers still find themselves navigating a complex terrain of suspicion, paranoia and sometimes outright hostility from saboteur groups. Even James, with successful prosecutions behind him and examples of productive collaborations with hunt saboteurs, reflected that:

Short of giving them a kidney, I don’t think they’ll ever fully [trust the police] … I think across the country it is changing and there are lots of prosecutions going through. But the past has tainted things with the sabs, unfortunately.

He admitted that some saboteurs will flatly refuse to work with him, despite repeatedly trying to explain to saboteur groups that their refusal to engage with police is counter-productive.

I’ve said to them: ‘If you don’t report it then it doesn’t look like it’s happened and then nothing’s going to ever happen.’ You can spend all your time slagging the police off and putting all over Facebook how rubbish the police are, but if you’re not reporting it to us, then it doesn’t look like an issue.

While these feelings are rooted in historical controversies, more recent scandals have reinforced accusations of police preferential treatment towards hunts. In 2024, senior officers in the Warwickshire police force were accused of agreeing a “secret deal” with the Warwickshire Hunt, after potential court proceedings against it were averted following a protocol agreed between senior officers and the hunt.

While an independent report later found that Warwickshire Police had acted with “clear operational independence” when dealing with the hunt, some rural crime officers were angry at what they alleged to Channel 4 reporters were senior officers in the force giving it preferential treatment and “deciding which laws to enforce and which ones not to”.

The contents of the protocol were only exposed after a campaign by saboteurs and local residents, who demanded that the policing of the hunt should be transparent. The protocol has since been dropped, and Warwickshire Police’s incoming chief constable, Alex Franklin-Smith, committed to seeking advice from other forces regarding trail hunting, which he said can be “a challenging area for policing”. But he added that when it comes to fox hunting: “Warwickshire Police will operate without fear or favour.”

Accusations of double standards are levelled at police from both sides of the hunt dispute. In recent years, hunt members and their supporters have frequently accused forces of lacking neutrality when policing fox hunting, with claims of biased practices levelled at some officers.

Matt Longman, the National Police Chiefs’ Council lead on fox hunting, has been subject to regular criticism from hunt supporters, some of whom have described him as an “activist” who displays “blatant prejudice” against hunting. A number of politicians have called for his removal, with former defence secretary Sir Ben Wallace commenting in 2024: “[Longman] is supposed to police without fear or favour. If he can’t then he should be removed, because that is part of this debate about two-tier policing.”

In fact, both the Hunt Saboteurs Association and the British Hound Sports Association have accused the police of two-tier policing in their approach to fox hunting – but the police officers we spoke to refuted accusations of bias on either side. Wildlife crime officer Dan said that while his job is “to uphold the law without fear or favour … the hunt [lobby] obviously massively think that I am anti-hunt”. He explained:

I hate the term ‘two-tier policing’ for obvious reasons … The hunting fraternity believe they are more entitled than others, and that does remain an issue. You can see that in some of the complaints we get.

A 2020 report by campaign group Action Against Foxhunting found evidence of police officers regularly turning a blind eye to law-breaking by hunts. In a foreword to the report, former police officer and animal cruelty investigator Richard Barradale-Smith wrote:

The systemic failure in dealing with hunting crimes since the hunting act came into force has been deliberate. The legislation introduced was designed to make the act virtually unenforceable and successive chief constables and senior officers across the country have chosen to turn a blind eye to it ever since. This places many frontline officers sent to deal with those incidents in an impossible position.

James, Dan and the other officers we spoke to all acknowledge that the legacy of poor police practices has created a deep institutional mistrust of the police among hunt saboteurs. They also accept that some poor police practices continue, and that, as James puts it, saboteurs “don’t always get the best service from the police” – which can undermine relationships carefully built between individual officers and saboteur groups.

But they were unanimous in saying that police-saboteur collaboration is the foundation from which successful convictions of illegal fox hunting must be built, as saboteur evidence is almost always the trigger that starts an investigation. The HSA has recognised this, claiming that in the last five years, all convictions of hunt groups have been the result of evidence gathered by saboteurs.

Yet for all the successful convictions described to us in our research, many more examples were recounted of investigations being discontinued for a variety of reasons.

Meanwhile, the new fox hunting season is well under way. In the last season, there were a reported 411 incidents of foxes being chased or killed by hounds – a figure that some campaigners told us barely scratches the surface. This, inevitably, causes frustration for all involved and, at times, tests the fragile alliances between police and saboteurs.

Whatever happens while Labour is in power regarding the prospective ban on trail hunting, saboteurs tell us they will not leave the field until they are confident that no animal will be hunted and killed again. Continuing their complicated alliance with some police officers will be a key step in achieving this goal.


For you: more from our Insights series:

The Conversation

Amy Stevens receives funding from The Leverhulme Trust.

Keith Spiller receives funding from The Leverhulme Trust.

Xavier L’Hoiry receives funding from The Leverhulme Trust.

ref. Meet today’s hunt saboteurs – ‘doctors, teachers, even farmers’ working with police to bring illegal fox hunts to justice – https://theconversation.com/meet-todays-hunt-saboteurs-doctors-teachers-even-farmers-working-with-police-to-bring-illegal-fox-hunts-to-justice-272124

Syria’s incomplete security transition has left gaps for Islamic State to exploit

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Haian Dukhan, Lecturer in Politics and International Relations, Teesside University

The US military launched a wave of strikes against targets in central Syria on December 19 in response to an attack on US forces near the ancient city of Palmyra one week earlier. That attack saw a lone Islamic State (IS) gunman kill two US service members and one American civilian at a fortified base in the city.

The perpetrator, whose identity has not yet been released, had recently enlisted in Syria’s internal security forces. He had reportedly already attracted suspicion from local security leadership over his possible extremist sympathies.

The attack has exposed deep vulnerabilities within the Syrian transitional government’s security architecture. It also illustrates how IS has adapted from being a territory-holding “proto-state” into an insurgent movement designed to exploit Syria’s institutional weaknesses.

When the regime of Bashar al-Assad collapsed in late 2024, Syria’s new authorities faced the urgent and daunting task of imposing security across a country strained by institutional collapse and a complex network of competing armed groups. The new president, Ahmed al-Sharaa, moved quickly to assemble national security forces.

His government prioritised speed and territorial coverage over comprehensive vetting. Thousands of fighters from diverse former factions were absorbed into new security units in an effort to establish an immediate state presence.

A map showing control of terrain by Syria's major combat forces.
Syria’s security landscape is a complex patchwork of competing armed groups.
Institute for the Study of War

The Palmyra attacker emerged from this process. He was one of roughly 5,000 individuals to be recruited into a desert-region security division. Despite concerns about IS infiltration being raised and the individual concerned being reassigned to guard equipment at the base, the security services were still unable to prevent the attack.

The incident underscores how deeply fragmented Syria’s security landscape remains one year after Assad. Kurdish-led forces, tribal and communal militias, armed Druze groups and remnants of former regime networks continue to operate with varying degrees of autonomy in different parts of the country.

This fragmented environment weakens command structures, complicates accountability and creates openings for infiltration by extremist groups. Security sector reform in such a context should be less about rapid centralisation and more about managing a hybrid and uneven security system. This is something the current transition has so far failed to achieve.

Logic of insurgency

While the Syrian transitional government has struggled to consolidate control and secure its territory, IS has been recalibrating its strategy. Having lost its territorial control in Iraq and Syria in 2019, IS has shifted from governing territory to waging a low-visibility insurgency.

Central Syria’s geography has helped IS adapt. Syrian state forces have struggled to penetrate the desert areas surrounding Palmyra. These areas offer conditions that favour insurgent mobility and concealment, such as difficult terrain and logistical links to former IS strongholds.

The objective of IS is no longer to rule, but to erode the legitimacy of the Syrian authorities. Its attack in Palmyra fits squarely within this logic, occurring as Syria was deepening cooperation with the US-led international coalition against IS. The group’s aim seems to be to disrupt emerging security partnerships and deter further international engagement with Syria.

The Palmyra attack places al-Sharaa’s government in a strategic bind. International partners like the US expect a professional and reliable security apparatus capable of preventing infiltration and protecting joint operations. And in the aftermath of the attack, the recruitment and vetting procedures of Syria’s internal security forces have come under scrutiny.

The US president, Donald Trump, said the attack took place in an area of Syria the interim government “doesn’t have much control over”. Then, a few days later, he added Syria to a list of countries subject to a full US travel ban. Part of Washington’s justification for the move was Syria’s continuing security challenges.

At the same time, the government faces significant domestic constraints. Aggressive purges or the abrupt restructuring of security forces risk destabilising the fragile coalition of armed groups upon which the state currently relies to maintain security, manage territorial control and counter possible threats from remnants of the regime.

It’s possible that rival power centres such as the Syrian Democratic Forces in the north-east or the Sweida Military Council in the south may also seize on the Palmyra incident to argue that the central government is unfit to exercise exclusive control over security. This would strengthen demands for decentralised or autonomous arrangements.

Moving forward, Syria’s transitional authorities will need to perform a difficult balancing act. They will have to accelerate meaningful security reform to satisfy international partners and counter IS, while managing internal power dynamics that remain unsettled and highly sensitive. This tension between reform and survival is precisely what IS seeks to exploit.

The Palmyra attack is a reminder that the defeat of IS’s territorial project did not bring lasting security. Syria’s transition now hinges less on battlefield victories than on the slow and contested process of building credible and accountable security institutions.

Until security reform moves beyond emergency measures and tackles the underlying weaknesses in the Syrian security apparatus, attacks like the one in Palmyra are likely to remain a persistent threat both to Syria’s stability and its international partnerships.

The Conversation

Rahaf Aldoughli’s research into armed groups in Syria is funded by XCEPT.

Haian Dukhan does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Syria’s incomplete security transition has left gaps for Islamic State to exploit – https://theconversation.com/syrias-incomplete-security-transition-has-left-gaps-for-islamic-state-to-exploit-272302

Peace and austerity: how Britain celebrated Christmas in 1945

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Tim Luckhurst, Principal of South College, Durham University

Eighty years ago, Britain celebrated its first peacetime Christmas since 1938. It was a time of hope indeed, but a look through newspaper archives reveals a complex picture. Christmas 1945 was an austerity Christmas. One in which grief and suffering, remembrance and loneliness mingled with reunions, church attendance and muted celebration.

It was the first Christmas under the Labour government elected in 1945, though Prime Minister Clement Attlee did not address the nation. The Christmas address was by King George VI, who noted that Britons still had to “make a little go a long way”.

The government had negotiated a colossal loan from the United States because Britain was close to bankruptcy. The Times reported that extra meat, margarine, sugar and sweets “allocated in good time” would permit “a near approach to traditional fare in most homes”. However, rationing remained in force and for many, the top priority was simply to get back to their families.

On December 22, the mass circulation Daily Mirror reported that “with only three days to go till Christmas, mainline stations throughout the country were jam-packed with servicemen and civilians anxious to get home for the greatest get together holiday for six years”. It noted that “here and there was a lucky passenger with a turkey or goose wrapped in brown paper to take home for the Christmas feast”.

The Labour-supporting Daily Herald reflected that “You may not have a turkey or much coal. Toys are scarce and taxes heavy. But have you reflected how much better off we are than a year ago?”

It reported that the railway network was running “duplicate and triplicate trains” on some routes, but could not meet the demand for seats. The Daily Herald noted that “the first Christmas of the peace began with a battle – the battle of Waterloo”. There were “long queues four abreast at Euston” and parcels piling up at King’s Cross Station. Such scenes might feel familiar to today’s travellers trying to make it out of London in the days before Christmas.

Joy amid mourning

Some travellers would not reach their families. Staunch in its defence of servicemen, the Daily Mirror reported that a “War Office Muddle” meant that men who had “spent five Christmases abroad” were “still being sent overseas, despite a War Office promise that they would not be”. This situation arose because men were still required to fill essential posts.

Many such jobs were in Berlin. The Manchester Guardian’s correspondent reported from the German capital that Germany and Austria had no fuel to heat homes. The defeated nations faced “a Christmas of hunger or black market”. However, “in Berlin Christmas will at least be cheap. Bread is four pence a two-pound loaf, potatoes are three half-pence a pound”.

The Daily Mail remained cheerful. It reported a BBC broadcast of Johann Sebastian Bach’s Christmas Oratorio: “A young BBC singer stepped straight from the chorus to a leading part” in this performance. Gladys Ripley, a leading contralto, had fallen victim to “a severe cold”. Into her place stepped the unknown Miss Maud Baker who gave “a magnificent performance”.

Still, many citizens were mourning. Britain had lost about 348,000 military personnel and 70,000 civilians. Atomic bombs had brought about the surrender of Japan. Losses were mourned in churches across the land. The Times displayed pictures of choristers at Salisbury Cathedral practising for a carol service. Carols were sung on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Many readers attended services at churches throughout the UK.

The Listener, a magazine published by the BBC, captured the mood in an editorial headlined, simply, “Christmas 1945”:

It would be useless to pretend that this, the first Christmas of peace, is all that we should like it to be. Our chief pleasure in it must indeed lie in the fact that it is the first peacetime Christmas for a very long time … Most of us can be happy, if not extravagantly merry this Christmas. Most of us, but not all. There will be gaps in many family circles, faces missing, some of whom will not be seen again.

Today, many people around the world are facing destruction and deprivation comparable to that which Britons experienced between 1939 and 1945. This Christmas, our thoughts as we enjoy peace and plenty should, perhaps, be with them.

The Conversation

Tim Luckhurst has received research funding from News UK and Ireland Ltd. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Arts and a member of the Society of Editors and the Free Speech Union.

ref. Peace and austerity: how Britain celebrated Christmas in 1945 – https://theconversation.com/peace-and-austerity-how-britain-celebrated-christmas-in-1945-272306

Ecological myopia: the blind spot holding back climate action

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Tom Pegram, Associate Professor in Global Governance and Deputy Director of UCL Global Governance Institute, UCL

Khanthachai C/Shutterstock

Global debate about how to navigate the climate crisis often centres on high-level pledges and whether national targets are being met. Yet focusing on these technical outcomes obscures a deeper problem that keeps climate action falling short.

This problem is ecological myopia: treating climate change as one issue among many rather than as a sign of wider Earth system disruption. It narrows how we understand risk and allows politics, business and daily life to proceed as if planetary stability could still be taken for granted.

Set against the backdrop of a drying and burning Amazon, the UN climate summit in Brazil in November 2025 showed why this way of seeing no longer works.

Ecological myopia interprets climate change as a conventional environmental problem rather than as a planetary one. It assumes climate sits in a box labelled environment or sustainability while the rest of social and economic life sits in separate silos. But this is short sighted.

Political geoecology – an approach that sees politics as inseparable from the Earth’s ecological systems – offers one way to understand what this leaves out. The idea is that politics and ecology cannot be separated because modern societies are built into the Earth system through energy use, land change and industrial infrastructures. These connections shape climate risks and inequalities yet remain largely invisible.

In many people’s conversations, record heat or flooding are still described as odd weather rather than recognised as signs of a shifting climate that affects food prices and public health. Companies announce net-zero plans yet expand activities that embed new emissions.

Meanwhile, governments hand responsibility to environment ministries even though the main drivers sit in finance or security. We need to see much more clearly.




Read more:
To address the environmental polycrisis, the first step is to demand more honesty


The past ten years have been the hottest on record. The Amazon, host of this year’s UN climate summit, is experiencing droughts so severe that they disrupt river transport and rainfall patterns across the Americas. These developments are not isolated. They reflect mounting pressure on the Earth system.

Modern societies also forget that their prosperity rests on a simple physical process: burning things. Contemporary civilisation has been built around combustion, from coal and oil to natural gas that run homes and industries.

This has turned humanity into a planetary force of disruption, reshaping the atmosphere, the oceans and the ecosystems on which all life depends.

Yet ecological myopia makes it difficult for governments and institutions to respond with the urgency required. When climate is treated as a sector, action is funnelled into narrow channels such as emissions targets or carbon markets, while the deeper forces reshaping the planet continue largely unchecked. Land use, fossil-fuel infrastructure and global supply chains remain the structural drivers of destabilisation.

planet earth
The cure for ecological myopia is to reframe how we see planetary systems.
Negro Elkha/Shutterstock

A planetary lens

A cure for ecological myopia requires using the planetary lens that political geoecology offers. It starts from a simple premise: Everything people depend on, including energy, water, food and health, is embedded in the Earth system.

Looking through this lens shifts priorities. Climate policy becomes inseparable from economic and social policy. Emissions targets are linked to land use and infrastructure, and what societies produce and build.

Indigenous and local knowledge systems are recognised as essential sources of resilience. Protecting ecosystems such as the Amazon is understood as protecting the processes that sustain rainfall and regional stability.

This perspective echoes ideas in research and policy circles on planetary governance, which is not simply global governance at a larger scale. It focuses on how societies can govern within ecological limits and in response to feedbacks – the knock-on effects the Earth system sends back as conditions change – rather than managing climate as an external problem.

For example, shrinking river flows that threaten hydropower or severe flooding that disrupts food production and transport show how Earth system changes spill across sectors, not just climate policy.

Seeing more clearly is the first step toward wiser action.

The central challenge is not only to cut emissions. It is to rethink how societies understand and organise their relationship with the living Earth and to overcome ecological myopia in media narratives, institutional design and economic choices.

The Amazon is often described as the lungs of the planet. It is also a mirror that shows how closely human life is bound into the wider Earth system and how vulnerable that system has become. Now, it’s time to use this mirror to tackle our ecological myopia.


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The Conversation

Prior to retirement Simon Dalby was funded by the Canadian Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council.

Tom Pegram does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Ecological myopia: the blind spot holding back climate action – https://theconversation.com/ecological-myopia-the-blind-spot-holding-back-climate-action-270912

The universe may be lopsided – new research

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Subir Sarkar, Emeritus professor, University of Oxford

The shape of the universe is not something we often think about. But my colleagues and I have published a new study suggests it could be asymmetric or lopsided, meaning not the same in every direction.

Should we care about this? Well, today’s “standard cosmological model” – which describes the dynamics and structure of the entire cosmos – rests squarely on the assumption that it is isotropic (looks the same in all directions), and homogeneous when averaged on large scales.

But several so-called “tensions” – or disagreements in the data – pose challenges to this idea of a uniform universe.

We have just published a paper looking at one of the most significant of these tensions, called the cosmic dipole anomaly. We conclude that the cosmic dipole anomaly poses a serious challenge to the most widely accepted description of the universe, the standard cosmological model (also called the Lambda-CDM model).

So what is the cosmic dipole anomaly and why is it such a problem for attempts to give a detailed account of the cosmos?

Let’s start with the cosmic microwave background (CMB), which is the relic radiation left over from the big bang. The CMB is uniform over the sky to within one part in a hundred thousand.

So cosmologists feel confident in modelling the universe using the “maximally symmetric” description of space-time in Einstein’s theory of general relativity. This symmetric vision for the universe, where it looks the same everywhere and in all directions, is known as the “FLRW description”.

This vastly simplifies the solution of Einstein’s equations and is the basis for the Lambda-CDM model.

But there are several important anomalies, including a widely debated one called the Hubble tension. It is named after Edwin Hubble, who is credited with having discovered in 1929 that the universe is expanding.

The tension started to emerge from different datasets in the 2000s, mainly from the Hubble space telescope, and also recent data from the Gaia satellite. This tension is a cosmological disagreement, where measurements of the universe’s expansion rate from its early days don’t match up with measurements from the nearby (more recent) universe.

The cosmic dipole anomaly has received much less attention than the Hubble tension, but it is even more fundamental to our understanding of the cosmos. So what is it?

Having established that the cosmic microwave background is symmetric on large scales, variations in this relic radiation from the big bang have been found. One of the most significant is called the CMB dipole anisotropy. This is the largest temperature difference in the CMB, where one side of the sky is hotter and the opposite side cooler – by about one part in a thousand.

The cosmic microwave background is relic radiation from the Big Bang.
ESA/Planck Collaboration

This variation in the CMB does not challenge the Lambda-CDM model of the universe. But we should find corresponding variations in other astronomical data.

In 1984, George Ellis and John Baldwin asked whether a similar variation, or “dipole anisotropy”, exists in the sky distribution of distant astronomical sources such as radio galaxies and quasars. The sources must be very distant because nearby sources could create a spurious “clustering dipole”.

If the “symmetrical universe” FLRW assumption is correct, then this variation in distant astronomical sources should be directly determined by the observed variation in the CMB. This is known as the Ellis-Baldwin test, after the astronomers.

Consistency between the variations in the CMB and in matter would support the standard Lambda-CDM model. Discord would directly challenge it, and indeed the FLRW description. Because it is a very precise test, the data catalogue required to perform it has become available only recently.

The outcome is that the universe fails the Ellis-Baldwin test. The variation in matter does not match that in the CMB. Since the possible sources of error are quite different for telescopes and satellites, and for different wavelengths in the spectrum, it is reassuring that the same result is obtained with terrestrial radio telescopes and satellites observing at mid-infrared wavelengths.

The cosmic dipole anomaly has thus established itself as a major challenge to the standard cosmological model, even if the astronomical community has chosen to largely ignore it.

This may be because there is no easy way to patch up this problem. It requires abandoning not just the Lambda-CDM model but the FLRW description itself, and going back to square one.

Yet an avalanche of data is expected from new satellites like Euclid and SPHEREx, and telescopes such as the Vera Rubin Observatory and the Square Kilometre Array. It is conceivable that we may soon receive bold new insights into how to construct a new cosmological model, harnessing recent advances in a subset of artificial intelligence (AI) called machine learning.

The impact would be truly huge on fundamental physics – and on our understanding of the universe.

The Conversation

Subir Sarkar receives funding from the UK Research & Innovation (UKRI) councils.

ref. The universe may be lopsided – new research – https://theconversation.com/the-universe-may-be-lopsided-new-research-265256

Emily Ryalls’ Divine Archives explores women’s collective and individual experiences with pain

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jessica Mary Bradley, Senior Lecturer in Literacies and Language, University of Sheffield

Pain is not experienced equally. Nor is it believed equally.

Research consistently shows that chronic pain conditions disproportionately affect women and people assigned female at birth. Yet the ways pain is recognised, recorded and treated within healthcare systems puts women at a disadvantage. Research repeatedly demonstrates that women and girls face greater barriers to diagnosis and treatment, with practitioner scepticism contributing to unequal access to care.

A 2024 study by researchers at King’s College London found that women were not only less likely than men to be prescribed pain relief, but also less likely to have their pain scores formally recorded. The authors suggest this disparity is driven by enduring biases around gender and pain intensity, including assumptions that women may “over-report” their symptoms. Similarly, a 2024 parliamentary report by the Women and Equalities Committee identified what it termed “medical misogyny”, describing how the normalisation and dismissal of women’s pain leads to delayed diagnoses and diminished quality of life.

These gendered experiences of bodies and pain are not new. They have long been interrogated by writers, poets and artists, from Frida Kahlo’s uncompromising self-portraits of physical suffering to Tracey Emin’s ongoing, autobiographical explorations of illness, vulnerability and endurance.

Women’s embodied experiences of pain – how pain is felt, understood and lived through the body – sit at the heart of Divine Archives. This is the first solo exhibition by Yorkshire-based interdisciplinary artist Emily Ryalls, which is currently showing at The Art House in Wakefield.




Read more:
Frida Kahlo’s record-breaking painting El Sueño positions death as a roommate


Working across photography, sculpture and performance, Ryalls explores the blurred boundaries between artist and subject, often through close collaboration with others. Her work brings individual experiences into collective dialogue.

The exhibition is also rooted in place. The workshops that led to Divine Archives took place in the grounds of the Yorkshire Sculpture Park, where Ryalls recently completed a residency. Ryalls designs artistic processes that invite participants to perform with the natural environment, their bodies and their memories. While self-portrait sessions focused specifically on medical contexts, other making processes – including ceramics and cyanotype printing – were used to explore wider lived experiences of pain.

Curated by the gallery’s co-executive director, Damon Jackson-Waldock, the exhibition offers a multi-sensory document of this collective experience of creating. On show are multimedia artworks, films projected onto large transparent screens, remnants of ceramic pots, and large-scale cyanotype prints. Visitors are invited to participate and to explore the creative processes and outputs.

With Divine Archives, Ryalls draws on her own knowledge and experiences as a creative practitioner and researcher (she recently studied for an MA in the University of York’s Centre for Women’s Studies). Building on previous work in which she explored her own engagements with healthcare systems (and experience of failures of recognition of pain symptoms), Ryalls brings together a collective of 46 women to co-create, using photography and film to document the experience.

In the book she produced to accompany the exhibition, Ryalls describes this practice as “the act of archiving”. She encouraged her collaborators to use the collective space to think about bodies as “beautiful and radical archives”. Ryalls will continue to develop these themes, practices and ideas through a Pilgrim Trust-funded creative health project, Photovoices.

Archives of the human body are presented here as partial, messy, complex and intertwined, foregrounding the intricate connections between the individual and the collective. They show us a possible way forward, a reworking of how women’s experiences might be made visible and audible, challenging failures of recognition.

Emily Ryalls: Divine Archives is at The Art House Wakefield until March 7 2026.


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The Conversation

Jessica Mary Bradley has worked with The Art House including research and evaluation for diverse community arts-focused projects since 2022.

Jessica Mary Bradley receives funding through the British Academy / Leverhulme small grants scheme (2025) in collaboration with the Wellcome Trust.

ref. Emily Ryalls’ Divine Archives explores women’s collective and individual experiences with pain – https://theconversation.com/emily-ryalls-divine-archives-explores-womens-collective-and-individual-experiences-with-pain-272119

Fossil-fuel propaganda is stalling climate action. Here’s what we can do about it.

Source: The Conversation – Canada – By Samuel Lloyd, PhD Candidate, Department of Psychology, University of Victoria

2025 has been a year of setbacks for Canada’s climate policy. In November, the federal and Alberta governments signed a memorandum of understanding to remove strict climate policies in the province and to support the construction of a new pipeline from Alberta to northern British Columbia.

The government also cancelled the federal carbon tax this year, while ending funding for home energy-efficiency programs and delaying sales mandates for zero-emission vehicles.

These steps have pushed Canada even further from meeting its climate goals, which were already too weak to limit global warming to 1.5 C, as outlined in the Paris Climate Agreement.

What’s behind these changes and why is Canadian progress on tackling climate change so slow? Put simply, it’s because climate action threatens the profits of the fossil-fuel industry, and they’ve spent the past 50 years doing everything they can to prevent it.

While the industry has used many tools in this endeavour, perhaps its most effective has been its propaganda machine — a global network of foundations, think tanks and lobbyists known as the Climate Change Counter Movement.

In our newly published study, we review the academic and non-academic literature to map how this movement has used its influence to delay climate action in Canada.




Read more:
Why Mark Carney’s pipeline deal with Alberta puts the Canadian federation in jeopardy


The Climate Change Counter Movement

For years, the movement’s main strategy was to deny that climate change was happening or to claim that humans weren’t causing it. However, as summers got hotter and wildfires, floods and hurricanes became increasingly common, this narrative became less convincing.

The propaganda machine then adopted a new tactic. Rather than denying climate science, it exploited legitimate debates about how climate policy should be designed to sow confusion, cause political deadlock and suggest policies that don’t threaten their profits.

Three examples of these new narratives are particularly widespread in Canada: fossil-fuel solutionism (that fossil fuels can be part of efforts to tackle climate change), “whataboutism” and appeals to well-being.

Together, they uphold the claim that fossil fuels are a necessary and unavoidable part of everyday life and that Canadian fossil fuels are less carbon-heavy than those produced in the rest of the world, meaning that supporting the Canadian fossil-fuel industry would supposedly reduce greenhouse-gas emissions.

These arguments are logically flawed — fossil fuels are incompatible with a world below 1.5 C warming. They’re also based on a falsehood, because oil from the Canadian oilsands is roughly 21 per cent more polluting than conventional crude oil.

Another common argument is that fossil fuels are essential to the Canadian economy, but this narrative overstates the costs of transitioning away from fossil fuels and understates the enormous costs of allowing climate change to continue unmitigated.

While these narratives do originate from elite members of the Climate Change Counter Movement, our case study found evidence that they’re already being repeated by members of the general public and might even explain why many Canadians falsely believe that a clean energy future could include fossil fuels.

How can we tackle false fossil-fuel narratives?

1. Know ourselves

If we want to challenge false narratives about fossil fuels, we should begin by reflecting on how the Climate Change Counter Movement might have affected us already. Fossil-fuel propaganda is everywhere, and it’s hard to avoid internalizing some of it. It’s also important to consider whether challenging the fossil-fuel industry might expose us to physical or financial danger before taking action.

2. Know our enemy

Next, it’s important for us to learn as much as we can about the Climate Change Counter Movement. Who are its members? What propaganda are they spreading, and where are they spreading it? Which narratives work and which don’t? Answering these questions will be the work of academics, journalists and citizen researchers, who can take cues from efforts like the Corporate Mapping Project in their approach.

3. Target them directly

Once we have that information, we can use it to hold the fossil-fuel industry legally (and thus financially) accountable for their role in delaying climate action. Examples of these kinds of lawsuits are appearing all over the world, including in Canada where the Sue Big Oil campaign is uniting B.C. municipalities in suing fossil-fuel companies for their role in the escalating costs of climate change.

These campaigns not only discourage future meddling, but also move funds directly from the fossil-fuel industry to the communities they’ve affected, allowing them to build their own defences against future attacks.

4. Heal our wounds

However, even if lawsuits successfully discourage future activity by the Climate Change Counter Movement, we’ll still need to undo the damage they’ve already done to our society. Their efforts have left the public polarized, untrusting of governments, confused about fact versus fiction and feeling hopeless. We must reinvest in our communities and heal these societal wounds. Climate assemblies, an approach to government which emphasizes public engagement, offer a promising pathway towards many of these goals.

5. Pick our battles

It’s also vital for governments to continue advancing climate action, even when public appetites have been damaged by propaganda campaigns. They can do this by strengthening policies that are relatively unknown, yet still effective and popular.

These policies have not been exposed to the same levels of propaganda as others like the carbon tax and are therefore still popular, while also being effective enough to account for the majority of emission reductions in Canada, the United Kingdom and California.

6. Challenge the structural roots of their power

Finally, we need to remove the root of the fossil-fuel industry’s economic and cultural power. Within our current economic system, this means redirecting financial flows away from the industry by removing fossil-fuel subsidies and implementing stringent compulsory policies to realign markets with climate goals.

The Climate Change Counter Movement is several steps ahead of us, but it hasn’t won yet. If climate change is to be stopped, we have to stop ignoring the elephant in the room and unite against the fossil-fuel industry.

The Conversation

Samuel Lloyd received funding from the Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions for the research project that inspired the research in this article. He wrote that paper while receiving funding from the Canada First Research Excellence Fund as part of the University of Victoria-led Accelerating Community Energy Transformation Initiative.

Katya Rhodes receives funding from Canada First Research Excellence Fund as part of the University of Victoria-led Accelerating Community Energy Transformation Initiative.

ref. Fossil-fuel propaganda is stalling climate action. Here’s what we can do about it. – https://theconversation.com/fossil-fuel-propaganda-is-stalling-climate-action-heres-what-we-can-do-about-it-272227

La nueva burocracia invisible: ¿puede la IA convertir la administración en una “caja negra”?

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Edgar Alejandro Ruvalcaba Gómez, Professor, Universidad de Guadalajara

icedmocha/Shutterstock

Imagine que solicita una ayuda del Gobierno y un algoritmo decide si la recibe o no. Nadie le explica por qué, nadie revisa la decisión, simplemente “el sistema” dice que no es para usted. ¿Le parecería justo? ¿Democrático? Pues esto ya está ocurriendo en muchos países. Y es solo el principio.

La inteligencia artificial ha dejado de ser ciencia ficción para convertirse en algo tan cotidiano como pedir comida a domicilio o buscar información en Google. Pero cuando estos mismos sistemas empiezan a tomar decisiones que antes tomaba personal de la función pública, a quién conceder una beca, a quién investigar, qué información mostrarle sobre su gobierno…, surge una pregunta incómoda: ¿quién controla a los algoritmos que nos controlan?

El problema: decisiones sin rostro

Los gobiernos de todo el mundo están adoptando la IA a marchas forzadas. Prometen eficiencia, rapidez, mejores servicios. Y en parte tienen razón: un algoritmo puede analizar miles de solicitudes en minutos, detectar patrones de fraude o personalizar la información que cada persona necesita. El problema aparece cuando nadie puede explicar cómo se llegó a una determinada decisión.

A esto se le llama “la caja negra”: el algoritmo funciona, pero ni siquiera sus creadores saben exactamente por qué elige A en lugar de B. Es como tener un funcionario que toma decisiones importantes, pero se niega a dar explicaciones. Inaceptable en una democracia, ¿verdad? Pues con la IA está ocurriendo constantemente.

¿Qué se está haciendo al respecto?

En varios países están empezando a tomarse esto en serio. España, por ejemplo, ha creado una Agencia de Supervisión de Inteligencia Artificial, básicamente, un organismo que vigila que estos sistemas no se pasen de la raya y ha desarrollado una Carta de Derechos Digitales que pone límites claros: la tecnología está al servicio de las personas, no al revés.

Estos esfuerzos, que se han debatido en encuentros internacionales como la reciente Cumbre de Gobierno Abierto celebrada en la ciudad de Vitoria, apuntan a una idea central: no basta con publicar datos públicos en internet si los algoritmos que los procesan son opacos e imposibles de auditar.

El reto, según expertos de diferentes países, es triple:

  1. Tecnológico: automatizar procesos gubernamentales sin perder el control humano sobre las decisiones importantes. Un algoritmo puede sugerir, pero ¿debe decidir por sí solo quién recibe una ayuda o quién va preso?

  2. Legal: las leyes van lentas, la tecnología va rápida. Para cuando se aprueba una regulación, la IA ya cambió tres veces. Se necesitan marcos legales ágiles que puedan adaptarse sin quedarse obsoletos al año siguiente.

  3. Cultural: que la gente confíe. Y aquí está lo más difícil. ¿Cómo convencer a la ciudadanía de que un algoritmo es justo si no podemos explicar cómo funciona?

El lado oscuro: cuando la transparencia se automatiza… pero al revés

La gran paradoja es que la IA podría hacer a los gobiernos más transparentes que nunca. Imagine información pública adaptada a cada necesidad, explicaciones automáticas en lenguaje sencillo, datos presentados de forma que cualquiera los entienda. Pero si se hace mal, ocurre exactamente lo contrario: lo que los expertos llaman “opacidad automatizada”. Los gobiernos nos dicen: “el algoritmo lo decidió”, y se lavan las manos. No hay a quién reclamar, no hay forma de apelar, no hay manera de entender qué pasó. Es como si la burocracia kafkiana se hubiera multiplicado por mil y además se hubiera vuelto invisible.

¿Democracia o “algoritmocracia”?

El politólogo Manuel Alcántara lo planteó recientemente de forma cruda: estamos en una democracia mediada por pantallas donde la información llega tan rápido y tan sesgada que los ciudadanos cada vez están más alienados del poder real. Los algoritmos deciden qué noticias vemos, qué debates aparecen en nuestro timeline, qué imagen tenemos de nuestros gobernantes.

No es que la tecnología sea mala en sí misma. Es que estamos dejando que moldee nuestra forma de entender la política sin preguntarnos si eso es lo que queremos. ¿El resultado? Una sociedad fragmentada en burbujas, donde cada grupo vive en su propia realidad informativa y la conversación democrática se vuelve imposible.

Cómo domesticar la tecnología

La buena noticia es que hay salidas. Y no pasan por rechazar la tecnología, sino por domesticarla. Algunas propuestas concretas:

  • Algoritmos explicables: si un sistema toma una decisión que le afecta, debe poder justificarla en términos que usted entienda. No vale eso de que “el algoritmo lo ha dicho”.

  • Auditorías independientes: equipos expertos que revisen regularmente si estos sistemas están siendo justos o están discriminando sin que nadie se dé cuenta.

  • Participación ciudadana real: que la gente común participe en decidir cómo se usan estas tecnologías. No solo los ingenieros y los políticos.

  • Regulación con principios claros: que la ley establezca líneas rojas –hay decisiones que un algoritmo nunca debería tomar solo– y obligaciones de transparencia.

El futuro se escribe ahora

Al final, la discusión sobre la inteligencia artificial no es una simple cuestión técnica, sino política en el sentido más profundo. Se trata de decidir qué tipo de sociedad queremos: ¿una donde las máquinas toman decisiones que no podemos cuestionar? ¿O una donde la tecnología amplifica nuestra capacidad de participar, entender y controlar a nuestros gobiernos?

La experiencia de países como España muestra que regular y abrir no son opuestos: la regulación protege derechos, la apertura da legitimidad. Otros países, como México, tienen la oportunidad de construir sus propias estrategias nacionales poniendo la equidad y los derechos humanos en el centro.

El futuro de la democracia no se va a decidir solo en las urnas o en las manifestaciones. También se decide en el código de los algoritmos que median cada vez más las decisiones colectivas. Por eso, el control democrático de la IA no puede ser asunto solo de especialistas. Es una responsabilidad de todos y todas.

Porque al final, se trata de algo simple: que la tecnología sirva para empoderarnos como ciudadanos, no para convertirnos en datos que un algoritmo procesa sin preguntarnos qué pensamos.

The Conversation

Edgar Alejandro Ruvalcaba Gómez no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. La nueva burocracia invisible: ¿puede la IA convertir la administración en una “caja negra”? – https://theconversation.com/la-nueva-burocracia-invisible-puede-la-ia-convertir-la-administracion-en-una-caja-negra-269137

Las desigualdades agravan las pandemias y viceversa: ¿cómo podemos romper este círculo vicioso?

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Nísia Trindade Lima, Ministra da Saúde, de janeiro de 2023 a fevereiro de 2025; presidente da Fiocruz, de 2017 a 2022, e pesquisadora titular da Casa de Oswaldo Cruz, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz (Fiocruz)

Las pandemias agravan las desigualdades y las desigualdades hacen que las sociedades sean más vulnerables a las pandemias. Esta es la conclusión principal del informe publicado en noviembre por el Consejo Global sobre Desigualdades, Sida y Pandemias, vinculado al Programa Conjunto de las Naciones Unidas sobre el VIH/sida (ONUSIDA).

El documento muestra que las desigualdades no solo son el resultado de las crisis sanitarias, sino que contribuyen a que estas sean más frecuentes, letales y prolongadas. Las pruebas recopiladas revelan un círculo vicioso: las desigualdades internas y globales aumentan la vulnerabilidad de las sociedades. Y las pandemias refuerzan esas mismas desigualdades, una dinámica que se observa en emergencias como las de la covid-19, el VIH/sida, el ébola, la influenza y el mpox.

Mi participación en este foro, coordinado por Joseph Stiglitz, Monica Geingos, Michael Marmot y Winnie Byanyima, contribuyó a expresar la visión de Brasil y a reflexionar con otros países sobre los retos que tenemos por delante.

Los datos del informe señalan que, en el caso de la covid-19, alrededor de 165 millones de personas se vieron empujadas a la pobreza entre 2020 y 2023, mientras que la fortuna de los más ricos creció un 27,5 % en los primeros meses de la pandemia. Con contribuciones de diversos especialistas, el documento refuerza la urgencia de abordar las raíces sociales de las crisis sanitarias.

Menos recursos, más probabilidades de morir

Los determinantes sociales de la salud son uno de los ejes principales del informe. La educación, los ingresos, la vivienda y las condiciones ambientales definen los grupos más afectados por las emergencias.

En Brasil, según el informe de ONUSIDA, las personas sin educación básica tenían hasta tres veces más probabilidades de morir por covid-19 que aquellas con educación superior. Las poblaciones negras, indígenas y residentes en favelas y periferias también registraron tasas más altas de infección y mortalidad. Casos similares se repitieron en otros países. Según los datos, la densificación urbana y las viviendas superpobladas aumentaron las muertes en Inglaterra.

Acceso a las vacunas

Las desigualdades entre países también aumentan las vulnerabilidades. Cuando los países de bajos ingresos no tienen acceso a vacunas, diagnósticos o recursos fiscales, todo el planeta se expone a riesgos. En 2021, solo diez países concentraban el 75 % de las dosis administradas contra la covid-19, lo que dejó al mundo entero susceptible al surgimiento de variantes.

Seis meses después de la aprobación de las vacunas, los países de ingresos altos tenían dosis suficientes para cubrir al 90 % de sus poblaciones prioritarias, mientras que los países de bajos ingresos solo tenían suficientes para inmunizar al 12 % de esos grupos.

El informe de ONUSIDA estima que esta desigualdad puede haber causado 1,3 millones de muertes evitables. En contraste con la práctica del llamado nacionalismo vacunal, el concepto de seguridad sanitaria se redefine a partir de una interdependencia radical, que debe reflejar una coordinación de la preparación para ampliar el acceso. La descentralización de la investigación y el desarrollo y de la producción e innovación de productos sanitarios son partes esenciales de este proceso.

Gestión desastrosa

Brasil fue uno de los países más afectados por la covid-19. En marzo de 2022, concentraba el 10,7 % de las muertes, a pesar de representar el 2,7 % de la población mundial. Una proporción cuatro veces superior a la media mundial.

Esto no se debió solo al virus, sino a la desastrosa gestión de la pandemia, que desalentó las medidas preventivas, retrasó acciones como la compra de vacunas, difundió desinformación y negacionismo científico, y aún debe ser profundamente revisada para pensar en la rendición de cuentas.

Si una región no está segura frente a una amenaza sanitaria, ninguna lo estará. Ante estas constataciones, el informe de ONUSIDA enfatiza que las respuestas sensibles a la desigualdad, con acciones intersectoriales y comunitarias, son más eficaces que las estrategias exclusivamente biomédicas para romper el ciclo.

Recomendaciones

Prepararnos para futuras emergencias requiere sistemas de salud resilientes, una gestión cualificada e inversiones continuas en políticas sociales, ciencia, tecnología e innovación. Hoy en día se reconoce que fortalecer la producción local y regional de vacunas, pruebas diagnósticas, medicamentos y otros suministros es una vía esencial para garantizar el acceso a los recursos sanitarios.

El informe de ONUSIDA plantea algunas recomendaciones en este sentido. La primera es hacer frente a las barreras financieras globales, con propuestas como la renegociación de la deuda de los países vulnerables y mecanismos automáticos de financiación de emergencias, evitando políticas de austeridad que reduzcan el gasto social.

La segunda es invertir en los determinantes sociales: protección social, educación, vivienda, trabajo decente y reducción de las desigualdades regionales. Fortalecer la producción local de tecnologías sanitarias, tratando los conocimientos esenciales como bienes públicos y, de acuerdo con lo establecido en la Declaración de Doha de 2001, entendiendo que el derecho a la propiedad intelectual no puede prevalecer sobre el derecho a la salud y a la vida, es la tercera recomendación.

Y por último, pero no menos importante, es necesario construir una gobernanza multisectorial que integre al Estado, la ciencia, las comunidades y las organizaciones de la sociedad civil.

A partir de 2023, la reanudación de las políticas sociales permitió a Brasil participar en la construcción de este entendimiento expresado en el informe. El fortalecimiento del Sistema Único de Salud, con la recuperación de la cobertura vacunal, el fortalecimiento del Complejo Económico-Industrial de la Salud, la Atención Primaria y la Atención Especializada, junto con el fortalecimiento de programas sociales, entre otras acciones, reducen las vulnerabilidades.

Solidaridad global para romper el ciclo de desigualdad-pandemia

La política exterior brasileña actúa en el mismo sentido: en el G20, en el BRICS y en la COP30. El país defendió acciones integradas entre el clima, la salud y las desigualdades, además de iniciativas como la Alianza Global contra el Hambre y la Coalición Global para la Producción Local y Regional, la Innovación y el Acceso Equitativo, así como el fortalecimiento del Acuerdo sobre Pandemias de la OMS.

Los debates recientes del G20, incluidos los cumbre de noviembre en Sudáfrica, muestran avances en el reconocimiento de temas centrales del informe, especialmente en lo que respecta a la deuda, la producción regional y las desigualdades.

Pasos como estos son importantes para avanzar en las recomendaciones estructurales del documento, poniendo en la agenda la deuda de los países y su canje por inversiones en salud, la protección social y la revisión del actual sistema de propiedad intelectual, entre otros temas. Hay dificultades en este camino, como la ausencia de Estados Unidos en el Acuerdo sobre Pandemias y la persistencia del negacionismo científico, que está presente no solo en sectores de la población, sino también en las políticas públicas de algunos países.

Romper el ciclo de desigualdad-pandemia es un imperativo ético y práctico para garantizar la seguridad sanitaria mundial. La dimensión biológica de las pandemias es evidente, pero las dimensiones social, política y fiscal siguen siendo subestimadas. Ignorar las desigualdades es perpetuar los riesgos de futuras emergencias sanitarias e impedir que enfermedades como el sida y la tuberculosis sean finalmente superadas.

El mundo tiene una oportunidad decisiva, con los resultados de la COP30 y las agendas en curso en el G20 y la OMS. El informe pone de manifiesto que invertir en equidad genera resiliencia y que la omisión tiene un alto precio, tanto en la economía como, sobre todo, en vidas humanas.

Necesitamos solidaridad global y compromiso con los avances sociales, a fin de transformar las economías y hacer efectiva la salud para todos, antes de que una nueva pandemia nos recuerde, una vez más, los costes de la inacción.

The Conversation

Nísia Trindade Lima no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. Las desigualdades agravan las pandemias y viceversa: ¿cómo podemos romper este círculo vicioso? – https://theconversation.com/las-desigualdades-agravan-las-pandemias-y-viceversa-como-podemos-romper-este-circulo-vicioso-272143

El acceso a la vivienda de alquiler, peor en 2025

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Sergio Nasarre Aznar, Derecho civil, Derecho de la vivienda, Universitat Rovira i Virgili

Tetyana_Pidkaluyk/Shutterstock

Este año comenzó con doce promesas del Gobierno español para mejorar el acceso a la vivienda. Finalizando 2025, y según las estimaciones del Observatorio del Alquiler, vemos que en España la renta media de los alquileres de vivienda ha pasado de 1 118 euros a 1 187 euros, un récord histórico. Y si las viviendas ofertadas en el mercado de alquiler fueron el año pasado 717 338, la previsión al cierre de este es de solo 696 118.

En cuanto al acceso a la vivienda en propiedad, 2024 cerraba con una media nacional de 2 271 euros el metro cuadrado. En noviembre de 2025 el precio era ya de 2 605 euros, según el portal inmobiliario idealista.com, casi un 15 % mayor.

De esas doce promesas, dos llegan in extremis para cerrar el año: la creación de una empresa pública de vivienda y de un sistema de garantías frente al impago de alquileres.




Leer más:
Las doce promesas del gobierno en materia de vivienda con las que España comienza 2025


Casa 47: el nuevo sistema público de vivienda

A principios de diciembre, el Ministerio de Vivienda y Agenda Urbana presentó Casa 47, una empresa estatal creada para sustentar el sistema público de vivienda mediante la promoción de suelo y la gestión de alquileres.

Hay un antecedente fracasado: entre 2005 y 2012 funcionó en España una entidad similar, la Sociedad Pública de Alquiler. En siete años de funcionamiento apenas gestionó 19 038 contratos de alquiler y fue liquidada dejando una deuda de más 37 millones de euros.

Los inmuebles que va a gestionar Casa 47 son, en un principio, 2 400 suelos y 40 000 viviendas que provienen de la SAREB, el banco malo. De participación público-privada, este se creó en 2012 (tras la disolución de la Sociedad Pública de Alquiler) para agrupar y gestionar los activos tóxicos inmobiliarios (de alto riesgo en cuanto a la recuperación de la inversión). Estas viviendas proceden del rescate del sistema bancario tras la crisis de 2007.

La cuestión es que, en un contexto de déficit habitacional, estas viviendas llevan años inmovilizadas o en situaciones que dificultan su incorporación al mercado de alquiler social. Como por ejemplo, con reclamaciones por impago, okupadas, ya arrendadas o en lugares donde nadie quiere o puede vivir.

Casa 47, gestión del alquiler de la vivienda pública

La nueva entidad prevé la construcción de 55 000 viviendas para crear un parque de alquiler social estable. Sin embargo, experiencias de gestión pública similares en el País Vasco, Cataluña y Madrid nos han mostrado que los costes de mantenimiento y gestión son muy elevados.

El plan es hacer contratos de arrendamiento de hasta 75 años, con una duración inicial de 14 años y sucesivas prórrogas de 7 años. Los alquileres tendrán un tope de precio de un 30 % de la renta media de los hogares en la comunidad autónoma donde se encuentre la vivienda.

Tendrán acceso a este programa las familias con ingresos de entre 2 y 7,5 veces el IPREM. Esto es, un rango de entre 14 400 y 63 000 euros, con lo que el Gobierno estima que alcanzará al 60 % de la población española (clases media y media-alta). Quienes no lleguen al nivel más bajo exigido recibirían otras ayudas para vivienda.

El IPREM (Indicador Público de Renta de Efectos Múltiples) es la referencia económica que fija el umbral de ingresos para acceder a ayudas públicas, prestaciones, subvenciones y becas en España.

Los interrogantes alrededor de Casa 47

Todavía está pendiente de definir cómo será la gestión de las viviendas. De ahí que surjan una serie de dudas. Si la demanda potencial es de unos tres millones de familias, ¿quién va a promover tal cantidad de viviendas y cuándo y dónde estarán disponibles? ¿Cuál será el coste público de mantener y gestionar un creciente stock de inmuebles y qué impacto tendrá en los impuestos de los ciudadanos? ¿Se desahuciará a las familias beneficiadas si no cumplen con los pagos? ¿Cada cuánto se revisará si los beneficiarios siguen cumpliendo con las condiciones para mantenerse en esas viviendas? ¿Una permanencia asegurada por hasta 75 años podría acabar impidiendo el acceso a nuevas familias y generar privilegios? ¿En qué medida podría distorsionar la libre competencia y encarecer las compraventas y alquileres que queden fuera del sistema?

Además, habrá que tomar en cuenta el riesgo de que la oferta de Casa 47 no satisfaga la demanda de viviendas y de que estas no se construyan según las necesidades geográficas y económicas, acentuando así las desigualdades.

Un aval para facilitar el acceso al alquiler

El aval a los alquileres a precios asequibles implica que el Estado (y, por tanto, los contribuyentes) harán frente a impagos eventuales, a los daños causados en las viviendas y al coste de suministros debidos (luz, agua, gas). Esta cobertura será gestionada por las comunidades autónomas y está destinada a jóvenes menores de 35 años y a personas vulnerables (según lo establecido en cada comunidad). Para su disfrute, arrendador y arrendatario deberán suscribir el compromiso correspondiente ante la Administración.

La renta no podrá superar el índice de referencia establecido por el Ministerio de Vivienda y Agenda Urbana, y la fianza deberá depositarse en los organismos oficiales designados. Estas medidas se aplicarán con carácter retroactivo a los contratos que estuvieran vigentes el 30 de enero de 2025.

Los interrogantes alrededor del aval

De nuevo, sobre el papel la medida parece prometedora. Especialmente porque este aval público puede ayudar a reducir la desconfianza de los arrendadores respecto a los mencionados colectivos. Sin embargo, su eficacia es dudosa por dos motivos:

  1. La media nacional de solicitantes por cada vivienda en alquiler que sale al mercado es de 136 (el triple en Cataluña), de manera que los caseros tienen donde elegir fuera de dichos grupos.

  2. Se exige que el alquiler cumpla el índice de control de rentas establecido en marzo de 2024, al amparo de la Ley de Vivienda 12/2023. Por ello, serán pocos los arrendatarios que elijan sumarse a esta medida donde no sea obligatoria. Es decir, en la mayor parte de España.

Además, este aval público puede provocar efectos indeseados, como el aumento de rentas a estos colectivos si antes estaban alquilados por debajo del índice (“como paga el Estado, les subo la renta”), o el riesgo moral de que el casero gestione peor la vivienda y que le dé igual no cobrar del inquilino si sabe que tiene la garantía de que cobrará del Estado. También podría considerarse una validación indirecta de la morosidad: a la dificultad para ejecutar desahucios que introdujo el Real Decreto de 2020 se sumó la Ley de Vivienda 12/2023, y ahora los arrendadores cobrarán igual aunque sus arrendatarios sean morosos.

En definitiva, y pese a los esfuerzos, siguen faltando medidas estructurales para agilizar y mejorar el acceso a la vivienda
de las familias, y para garantizar la seguridad jurídica en el mercado de alquiler.

The Conversation

Sergio Nasarre Aznar no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. El acceso a la vivienda de alquiler, peor en 2025 – https://theconversation.com/el-acceso-a-la-vivienda-de-alquiler-peor-en-2025-271758