Why Donald Trump will try to declare victory in Iran well before November

Source: The Conversation – Canada – By John Duncan, Director of the Ethics, Society and Law Program; Academic Director of the Ideas for the World Program, University of Toronto

The Iranian regime is certainly brutal. But it’s also powerful as it continues to project its might after a month of illegal air strikes by the United States and Israel.




Read more:
Iran’s attacks drone on, with the U.S. at risk of losing the war


Iran is in the top 10 per cent of countries by size and population, has the third largest proven petroleum reserves and controls strategically crucial geography.

Furthermore, both the regime and many ordinary Iranians are prepared to defend the country. Since 1953, when the U.S. helped orchestrate a coup to overthrow Iran’s democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh, Iranians have understood they’re in America’s crosshairs.

This was especially true after the 1979 Islamic Revolution that overthrew the shah and during the U.S.-backed Iraq war against Iran that killed a million Iranians in the 1980s. As a result, Iran has spent decades beefing up and decentralizing its military capability.

In contrast, Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, warned U.S. President Donald Trump in February that the U.S. was short on both munitions and allied support for a war against Iran. Israel, America’s partner in war, is also short, especially in interceptor munitions. Trump and Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu dismissed the concerns, which suggests they planned a short war.

What are Trump’s options?

Critics have accused Trump of dragging the U.S. — or allowing it to be dragged — into a “forever war.” Those critics include those in his MAGA base, a problem for Trump as he anticipates November’s mid-term elections.

One unconventional option that might expedite victory, discussed during Trump’s first term, is to use nuclear weapons against Iran. Trump has said nukes won’t be used, but he’s well-known for erratic reversals.

A nuclear strike might expedite surrender, but it took two strikes on Japan in 1945 before the Japanese surrendered, and, failing an Iranian surrender, several strikes might be required to destroy the military capability distributed across Iran’s 31 provinces. Because many Americans would be appalled by a nuclear attack, putting the mid-terms at risk, the nuclear option is unlikely.

Much of the concern about Trump’s election machinations heading into the mid-terms is focused on the manipulation of procedures and officials. The legacy of the Jan. 6, 2021 attacks on the U.S. Capitol is one extreme possibility, as is manipulating the Iran war to achieve electoral gains.

Trump 2020 signs hang in front of the Capitol Building amid a riot.
Violent protesters, loyal to Donald Trump, storm the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.
(AP Photo/John Minchillo)

Trump will probably lean into his rhetorical strengths and try to convince Americans the U.S. has won when it hasn’t. Claiming victory in the face of its absence is not new to him. Even in his second term, Trump continues to push the false claim that he won the 2020 election.

Consider the bizarre drama that started on March 21 when Trump and Iran exchanged dire threats. Then, out of the blue, Trump declared the existence of peace talks, which Iran denied. Perhaps they are imaginary talks on the way to an imaginary victory for Trump.




Read more:
Why Donald Trump is such a relentless bullshitter


Mission accomplished?

It seems clear Trump is planning to declare victory well ahead of the mid-terms — and in part because of them. Such a strategy would involve baiting opponents into “forever war” criticisms, only to ridicule them in stump speeches, generating the image of a president who finishes his wars.

A declared victory in Iran and a timely exit, in addition to the liberation of Venezuela and a possible Cuban coup, might all coalesce into potent election messaging for the Republicans.

Soon enough, Trump may announce something akin to former president George W. Bush’s premature proclamations about the Iraq War in 2003 by saying something like this:

“Major combat operations in Iran have ended. The United States and Israel have prevailed. We do not know the day of final victory, but we have seen the turning of the tide.”

If successful, he will secure two more years “like nobody’s ever seen before” of Republican congressional dominance.

A grey-haired man stands a podium with the U.S. presidential insignia. Behind him a sign reads Mission Accomplished.
In this May 2003 photo, U.S. President George W. Bush declares the end of major combat in Iraq as he speaks aboard the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln off the California coast. The war dragged on for many years after that.
(AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Major obstacles

The battle for November will feature a few competing narratives in the U.S. But there are four major hurdles for Trump in particular.

  • Information: For voters to be convinced that Trump is a decisive crusader against evil rather than another “forever war” president, right-wing media must sell yet another big lie, mainstream media must continue to pull its punches and the Democrats must continue to flounder.
  • Affordability crisis: Trump also has to ensure he doesn’t “win” in Iran while losing on affordability at home. Most American oil comes from the U.S., Canada and Mexico, so the U.S. is protected from global supply disruptions, but global markets push up prices everywhere. Trump’s mere declaration of talks recently brought oil prices down, but only temporarily.
  • Allies needed: Because voters will want to see a significant military withdrawal, Trump needs other countries to manage the chaos he’s created. But after disrespecting allies for months, he is struggling to establish a “coalition of the willing” on which to offload the conflict.
  • Iranians must co-operate: But because the U.S. and Israel have twice attacked Iran during diplomatic negotiations, Iran needs other stakeholders in the process. Without them, Iran will not be incentivized to stop fighting and nothing will belie an imaginary Trump victory more than ongoing Iranian attacks.

Democracy waning

Whichever scenario prevails, Americans will likely lose. Their complete war costs could include repercussions from the unprecedented illegal bombing of Iran, as well as from unnecessarily turning regional allies into targets.

All of this is tied to what many Americans regard as increasing Israeli aggression, including the killing of 70,000 people in Gaza, which the U.S. has facilitated with funding, political cover and its widely mocked Board of Peace.

America’s democracy, economy and credibility are waning as Trump shamelessly pursues self-aggrandizement and self-enrichment.

That makes me smart,” he might say, but only a failed leader serves his own interests at the expense of his country.

The Conversation

John Duncan is affiliated with Science for Peace, a charitable organization dedicated to popular education and research on the intersections of demilitarization, decarbonization and social justice.

ref. Why Donald Trump will try to declare victory in Iran well before November – https://theconversation.com/why-donald-trump-will-try-to-declare-victory-in-iran-well-before-november-279059

Bobi Wine’s decision to flee Uganda points to a shrinking landscape for opposition politics

Source: The Conversation – Africa (2) – By Kristof Titeca, Professor in International Development, University of Antwerp

Bobi Wine’s escape from Uganda is not just a striking episode in itself, it also offers insight into the current state of the opposition – particularly his National Unity Platform party – and into the divergences within the Yoweri Museveni regime.

The Ugandan opposition leader had been in hiding for almost two months after the January 2026 presidential election, which Museveni won by 72%. Wine came second with 25% of the vote. Museveni, 81, has been in power since 1986.

Wine, born Robert Kyagulanyi, entered formal politics in 2017 when he won a parliamentary by-election.

He soon emerged as one of the leaders of the People Power movement, a loose, generationally charged mobilisation built around the slogan “People Power, Our Power”. It took shape in the aftermath of protests against the removal of presidential age limits in 2018. At the time, the opposition appeared largely exhausted and unlikely to unseat the regime. Bobi Wine and People Power therefore brought a new energy to Uganda’s opposition.

People Power later formalised into the National Unity Platform party, which Wine used to vie for the presidency in 2021. He secured about 35% of the presidential vote against Museveni’s 59%. National Unity Platform became the largest opposition force in parliament with 57 seats.

These results also highlighted the constraints of electoral politics in the face of extensive repression.

This is a pattern that would again become apparent in the 2026 elections.

As several human rights organisations noted, the 2026 elections took place in an environment marked by widespread repression and intimidation.

After the vote, Wine went into hiding. He posted photos and videos seemingly from Kampala, triggering roadblocks and searches across the capital city. On 18 March 2026, he resurfaced in the United States.

I have researched Ugandan politics for over 20 years, and recently published an article analysing the structural challenges Wine’s political party faces in Uganda’s authoritarian context.

Drawing on this work, my reading is that Wine’s escape reveals controlled tensions within Museveni’s regime, where different factions appear to disagree on how to handle the opposition – without signalling a full split. At the same time, it exposes a deeper dilemma for Wine and his party: how to balance international advocacy with maintaining grassroots legitimacy at home.

This moment matters because it highlights the structural constraints facing opposition politics in Uganda, and raises questions about whether meaningful political change can occur within the current system.

Frictions within the regime

The contrasting approaches within the Museveni regime are illustrated by events that followed the 2026 election. In the weeks following the vote, defence force chief Muhoozi Kainerugaba (Museveni’s son) issued a series of unusually explicit statements about Wine.

In a now-deleted tweet, he claimed that 22 members of the National Unity Platform – whom he labelled “terrorists” – had been killed. He added that he was praying that the next death would be Wine’s.

On 26 January, the defence chief escalated this rhetoric, stating that he wanted Wine “dead or alive”. These statements built on earlier threats, including about beheading Wine.

Taken together, they amount to sustained violent threats directed at the main opposition leader.




Read more:
Uganda’s autocratic political system is failing its people – and threatens the region


Set against this, however, is the fact that Wine was able to evade capture for nearly two months and ultimately leave the country.

It emerged that he did so with assistance from high-level state and security officials.

The same sources and regime insiders reported that intelligence services had informed Museveni about Wine’s whereabouts. The president chose not to act upon this information.

Taken together, these events suggest differences within the regime between factions in the security services, or more broadly between Muhoozi and other centres of power. Potentially even within the first family itself.

But these differences should not be overstated.

The episode does not indicate an open or consolidated split. Criticism of Muhoozi within the regime remains tightly constrained.

What this suggests is a regime where disagreements are contained within narrow limits. Wine’s escape, therefore, points less to a rupture than to an ongoing negotiation over power and strategy within the ruling elite.

And this is becoming increasingly important in light of the anticipated transition beyond Museveni.

Tensions within Wine’s party

Wine’s political strength has always come from where he came from.

He was rooted in the ghetto, and more broadly among urban youth who had long been mobilised by opposition politics but rarely felt represented by it.

Earlier figures like Kizza Besigye could appeal to this group, but Wine embodied it. He spoke the same language and made politics feel accessible to people often treated as outsiders.

That sense of authenticity was central to the early momentum of People Power. It also mattered that Wine broke with a long-standing pattern in Ugandan politics: he did not come from the western region, the core of the ruling elite.

But this “outsider” appeal has become harder to sustain over time. As People Power turned into a political party, and as Wine himself became more embedded in formal politics and international networks, parts of that original base began to feel that something had shifted.

What once felt like a movement of “one of us” increasingly risks being seen as something closer to the political establishment it set out to challenge.

As my research shows, this is not unusual. It is a core dilemma when protest movements turn into parties, especially under repression.

The social media backlash to Wine’s appearance in the United States needs to be read through that lens.

It not only echoes criticism from Museveni that Wine is an “agent of foreign interests”, but also from within the opposition where some radical voices argue that he should have stayed and faced the regime, even if that meant prison. Besigye, for instance, is facing treason charges after he was abducted and extradited from Kenya in 2024.

This criticism echoes a longstanding divide within opposition politics in Uganda: should opposition leaders embody defiance on the ground, or navigate politics through institutional spaces?




Read more:
The making and breaking of Uganda: an interview with scholar Mahmood Mamdani


Being in the US reinforces a growing perception that Wine is becoming more distant from the people who carried the risks on the ground.

If the party cannot connect its international advocacy and diaspora support back to the everyday struggles of its supporters in Uganda, this episode will likely deepen the feeling that the party has become more of the same.

What role remains for Wine?

There is an uncomfortable reality here. Wine serves a function for the regime. His presence helps maintain the appearance of political competition, particularly within the international community.

Wine now faces a choice. Engaging in electoral politics risks reinforcing the system he seeks to challenge. Stepping outside it risks isolation, repression or loss of political relevance.

How he navigates this tension will shape not only his political trajectory, but also that of his party.

The Conversation

Kristof Titeca does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Bobi Wine’s decision to flee Uganda points to a shrinking landscape for opposition politics – https://theconversation.com/bobi-wines-decision-to-flee-uganda-points-to-a-shrinking-landscape-for-opposition-politics-279475

Brutal Mau Mau camps in Kenya were an extension of Britain’s colonial prison system – historian traces their roots

Source: The Conversation – Africa (2) – By Ian Caistor-Parker, PhD student, University of Warwick

During the Mau Mau uprising between 1952 and 1960, the British colonial government confined an estimated 150,000 Kenyans in a sprawling network of “emergency” detention camps.

None of those held in the camps had been found guilty in a court of law. Instead, they were detained on suspicion of supporting the uprising.

British control over Kenya was effectively declared in 1895. A distinctive feature of colonial rule was the decision to encourage white settlement. These settlers were granted vast tracts of Kenya’s most fertile land and pushed policy in an increasingly harsh and unequal direction.

By the early 1950s, many African Kenyans were facing severe land shortages in the countryside and desperate living conditions in urban areas.

In 1952, this situation erupted into the Mau Mau uprising, a broadly anti-colonial rebellion.

The British government responded with overwhelming force. It declared a state of emergency and suppressed the uprising militarily.

Revelations about the extreme violence employed in some emergency detention camps made the continuation of British rule untenable. Particularly key was the Hola massacre of 1959. Guards beat 11 detainees to death and the colonial government attempted to cover up the crime.

Outrage at these events shattered Britain’s grip on the colony, and Kenya achieved independence in 1963 under the leadership of Jomo Kenyatta.

A great deal is known about these detention camps. They were sites of neglect and brutal violence. Detainees were forced to go through a so-called rehabilitation system designed to make them renounce their support for Mau Mau.

In practice, they were subjected to brutal compulsory labour, were at risk of assault and lived in unhygienic conditions. Some of those who refused to cooperate ultimately faced systematic, state-sanctioned torture.

I am a historian researching punishment in Kenya, and I have been investigating the deeper history of detention camps. My research shows that this emergency detention system was shaped by an earlier network of “ordinary” detention camps. These were established in 1926 and processed more than 400,000 people before the uprising.

These camps, intended as a milder alternative to prison, evolved into a poorly regulated system characterised by exploitation, overcrowding and weak accountability.

These findings challenge the idea that the detention system of the 1950s was exceptional. Instead, it was rooted in long-standing colonial practices, shaped by economic incentives, administrative gaps and coercive labour systems.

Understanding this deeper history matters because it changes how we view the Mau Mau emergency. It proves that the brutal 1950s detention system didn’t just emerge from nowhere – it was built on a foundation of state violence and disorder that had been normalised for decades.

The roots

Influenced by a draconian-minded European settler minority, the Kenyan colonial government adopted a harsh approach to punishing the local population. Judges frequently imprisoned Africans for “technical” offences lacking criminal intent. These included failing to pay tax and minor violations of coercive labour laws.

By the 1920s, Kenya’s prisons were overcrowded and “technical” offenders inevitably mixed with hardened criminals.

In response, the colonial government introduced detention in 1926 as a supposedly milder alternative for technical offenders who had simply broken administrative rules. In theory, prisons were to be reserved for those who had committed crimes involving moral violation. In practice, however, these distinctions didn’t (or couldn’t) hold.

To visibly separate detention from imprisonment, the colonial government gave day-to-day control of detention camps to district commissioners (the powerful heads of local governments), not the prison department.

However, this separation was incomplete. Detainees were legally classified as prisoners (though they were not informed of this). The prison department retained ultimate authority over the camps.

This overlapping authority produced a gap in accountability, which ultimately proved disastrous.

In 1930, seeking to divert more people from formal prisons, government officials removed almost all sentencing restrictions on detention. Subsequently, the only limitations were that sentences had to be under six months and that those with more than one prior prison conviction were ineligible.

Numbers surged immediately, with more convicted offenders sent to detention than formal prisons almost every year until 1952.

Judges increasingly used detention for serious offences, including manslaughter. A limited criminal records system meant that individuals with prior convictions – sometimes as many as 16 – ended up in detention.

Conversely, the amendment did not stop harsh magistrates from continuing to send significant numbers of minor offenders to prisons.

This blurring of populations, combined with a lack of structural and legal separation, meant detention camps mutated into a parallel prison system, serving a different colonial master, district commissioners, but lacking fundamental distinction.

Detention camp living conditions were atrocious. Most district commissioners delegated almost all duties to Kenyan African “overseers”. Overseers were under-trained. Yet they were expected to be on duty constantly and often had to guard more than 60 detainees, making meaningful supervision impossible.

Camps were generally collections of temporary wattle-and-daub huts. Over time, these decayed but were not replaced, resulting in squalid conditions.

Furthermore, overcrowding was endemic. Food rations were poor and basic facilities were often absent. Sickness rates were significant. Detainees responded by escaping at a rate of more than one a day.

Failed reform

In 1937, a high-level committee condemned the system as dangerous and inefficient. Calls for reform from London also grew.

But nothing changed.

Why?

The primary reason was economic. Detainees were a vital reservoir of free labour for cash-strapped district commissioners. When camps were introduced, local governments’ labour budgets were cut. This made detainee labour crucial for maintaining government stations.

In the late 1930s, penal officials sought to reintroduce stricter eligibility criteria for detention. However, they abandoned this idea as it would add to overcrowding in the prison system.

Trapped by bureaucratic gridlock, underfunding and economic dependency, Kenya’s detention system limped into the 1952 emergency – unreformed.

Ultimately, “ordinary” detention camps persisted until the 1980s, far outliving their emergency counterparts.

The consequences

This history exposes stark continuities between the pre-emergency and Mau Mau penal systems. Furthermore, as they were under the control of district officials and lacked standard prison regulations, existing detention camps could, and did, easily become dumping grounds for Mau Mau suspects in the early months of the emergency. Ordinary detention was both a model and enabling mechanism for emergency detention.

The Conversation

Ian Caistor-Parker receives funding from the UK Economic & Social Research Council

ref. Brutal Mau Mau camps in Kenya were an extension of Britain’s colonial prison system – historian traces their roots – https://theconversation.com/brutal-mau-mau-camps-in-kenya-were-an-extension-of-britains-colonial-prison-system-historian-traces-their-roots-277856

« Nos dix sous sont-ils vraiment allés en Chine ? » : ce que racontent les archives de la Sainte-Enfance

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Catherine Larochelle, Professeure agrégée d’histoire, Université de Montréal

Les organisations comme Vision Mondiale, Plan International ou Care, n’ont pas inventé le parrainage d’enfants : cette pratique s’inscrit dans une longue histoire. Au Québec, des générations ont grandi en « achetant des petits Chinois » par l’entremise de l’Œuvre de la Sainte-Enfance, une pratique aujourd’hui chargée de souvenirs… et de questions.


Jusqu’en 1965, les enfants d’âge primaire étaient appelés à contribuer (à hauteur de 5, 10 ou 25 sous) à cette organisation. L’expression « acheter des petits Chinois » évoque souvenirs ou incompréhensions selon l’âge de celui ou celle qui la rencontre.

Les enfants contributeurs recevaient une carte avec l’image ou la photo de « leur » enfant chinois (ou africain). L’argent, leur disait-on, servait à la conversion, à l’éducation et aux soins de ces enfants.

Plusieurs personnes ont depuis questionné cette pratique, pour ses dimensions marchandes, ses relents de supériorité raciale ou l’exploitation perçue, voire réelle, des enfants donateurs.

L’Œuvre de la Sainte-Enfance, organisation catholique de financement missionnaire fondée au XIXe siècle en France, a fait l’objet de remises en question aussi quant à la réalité de l’aide apportée et la destination finale de l’argent. Michel Tremblay fait ainsi parler sa mère dans Bonbons assortis (2002) : « Ben quoi ? La suis-tu, c’t’argent-là ? Hein ? Sais-tu où a’ s’en va vraiment ? A’ prend-tu le bateau pour la Chine ou ben le bord des tiroirs des bonnes sœurs ? »

Nous sommes trois des membres d’une équipe de recherche qui travaille depuis plusieurs années sur l’Œuvre de la Sainte-Enfance et sa mémoire au Québec. Dans ce contexte, nous avons consulté diverses archives et mené une série d’entrevues d’histoire orale. Les témoins issus de la génération du baby-boom que nous avons rencontrés ont entre autres réinterprété leur implication catholique avec une vision manichéenne du monde à la manière de celle que le contexte religieux de leur enfance leur inculquait, mais où les repères traditionnels semblent avoir été brouillés par le doute.

Notre recherche, dont l’objectif est d’ouvrir un espace de dialogue et de réflexion sur les thèmes du racisme, de la religion et de la solidarité, nous permet aussi de répondre à la question que nous posent tous les anciens enfants-contributeurs au sujet de la destination de leurs dons.

Si l’on voit d’abord l’histoire comme une discipline qui produit des faits, nous soutenons qu’elle a aussi une fonction thérapeutique et affective, mettant fin à des doutes traînés depuis l’enfance. Ces doutes peuvent être notamment liés à des sentiments de tromperie ou de manipulation institutionnelle.




À lire aussi :
Voici comment parlaient les ouvriers canadiens-français avant la Révolution tranquille


Des souvenirs révélateurs de la sécularisation

« Mais où allait donc l’argent ? » Plusieurs personnes que nous avons rencontrées questionnent la destination finale de l’argent qu’elles ont donné enfants. Le doute quant à la réalité de l’aide prodiguée, voire la certitude d’avoir été victime d’une arnaque, fait de cette question une sorte de lieu commun mémoriel.

Elle s’inscrit dans le paysage d’une foi qui se métamorphose à travers la sécularisation de la société québécoise, où s’est cultivé un embarras et une méfiance grandissants envers l’Église catholique. Nos témoins vont jusqu’à avancer qu’il est certain que les prêtres et les sœurs détournaient les fonds.

Une lecture englobante et manichéenne de l’Église comme grande entité offre une piste pour comprendre la formation d’impressions tranchantes envers les pratiques financières ecclésiastiques, témoignage d’un vague sentiment de trahison partagé par les personnes chez qui la religion a régi la compréhension du monde durant l’enfance.

Le souvenir de l’implication dans l’Œuvre est également teinté par les scandales d’abus sexuels liés à l’Église catholique ainsi que ceux concernant les finances des organisations humanitaires. Alors que le rapport que ces personnes ont développé à la foi et à l’Église comme enfant était avant tout familial et localisé, leur conception actuelle est plus globale. Dans ce contexte, l’Église n’est pas pensée dans ses complexités et ses différentes échelles.

Si les entrevues d’histoire orale mettent en lumière ce doute mémoriel et les affects qu’il suscite, les archives de l’Œuvre — autre source au centre de notre démarche — viennent offrir réponse et apaisement aux témoins.




À lire aussi :
Référendum et récit national : les angles morts de l’histoire noire au Québec


Les réponses de la recherche historique au doute mémoriel issu de l’enfance

Nous avons parcouru le Québec et ailleurs pour fouiller les archives de divers diocèses (Montréal, Ottawa, Saint-Jérôme, La Pocatière, Amos, Trois-Rivières). Dans chacun d’entre eux, des rapports annuels étaient produits à partir de la correspondance reçue des écoles, détaillant le montant donné dans chaque établissement — autant de grands couvents que des écoles de rang.

La précision allait parfois jusqu’à énumérer les montants par classe. Des rapports annuels sont aussi produits par la direction nationale du secteur du Canada français, présentant les recettes et les dépenses de chacun des diocèses. Tous ces documents circulaient dans la province.

Nous avons également été à Rome où sont situées les archives générales de l’Œuvre. Sur place, on trouve le détail des délibérations du conseil central quant à l’allocation à envoyer aux différentes missions. Les demandes faites annuellement par les missionnaires sont également conservées.

Dans les Annales de la Sainte-Enfance, publiées annuellement à Paris par la direction centrale de l’Œuvre, on retrouve non seulement un bilan des réalisations financières de chaque région du monde, mais aussi le détail de la distribution des fonds partout à travers le monde (en Asie, en Afrique, en Amérique du Sud, en Amérique du Nord, etc.). C’est donc l’institution centrale qui gère la distribution des ressources, mais celles-ci sont bien assignées à des missions, comme promis par la propagande missionnaire.

Dans ces différents dépôts, nous avons donc épluché de nombreux livres de comptes, correspondances, rapports annuels, listes détaillées des montants alloués… jusqu’aux reproches du directeur national de l’Œuvre au Canada français aux évêques qui ne favorisaient pas assez l’organisation dans leur diocèse ou aux religieuses qui gardaient l’argent de la Sainte-Enfance pour leurs propres missions. Ainsi, les archives financières et administratives de l’Œuvre permettent bien de retracer le parcours des dons et de rassurer nos témoins.

Cela exclut-il des détournements de fonds à petite échelle ? Pas du tout. Mais cela prouve néanmoins que dans son ensemble, la Sainte-Enfance remplit ses engagements auprès des jeunes associés.

Lorsqu’en fin d’entrevue, nous demandions aux témoins ce qu’ils ou elles aimeraient savoir sur l’histoire de la Sainte-Enfance, la question du destin de leurs « 10 sous » revenait souvent. Face à ces doutes qui semblaient énoncés par les enfants d’autrefois, nous étions en mesure de répondre. L’apaisement affectif qui s’ensuivait était palpable.

Si les scandales d’abus sexuels et certaines pratiques financières discutables font sans aucun doute partie de l’histoire de l’Église catholique, notre recherche montre qu’il existe parfois un décalage entre l’image publique d’une institution à un moment donné et la réalité — bien plus complexe — de son parcours historique.

La Conversation Canada

Catherine Larochelle a reçu des financements du CRSH et du FRQSC.

David Vaillant a reçu des financements de FRQSC et CRSH.

Ariane Marcheterre-Pina ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. « Nos dix sous sont-ils vraiment allés en Chine ? » : ce que racontent les archives de la Sainte-Enfance – https://theconversation.com/nos-dix-sous-sont-ils-vraiment-alles-en-chine-ce-que-racontent-les-archives-de-la-sainte-enfance-278348

Vous aimez dormir avec votre animal de compagnie ? La science révèle qu’il y a un compromis délicat à trouver

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Renata Roma, Research Associate – Pawsitive Connections Lab, University of Saskatchewan

Pour certains propriétaires d’animaux, ceux-ci font partie intégrante de leur vie, du réveil jusqu’au coucher.


Cela s’explique par le fait que les chats, les chiens et autres animaux de compagnie sont de plus en plus considérés comme des membres de la famille. Je ne parle pas ici d’un cousin éloigné, par exemple, mais de ceux qui font véritablement partie de notre quotidien.

Dans certains cas, cela inclut des moments plus calmes et plus intimes, comme l’heure du coucher. Dormir avec son chat ou son chien peut être réconfortant, voire indispensable.

En effet, selon une enquête menée par l’Académie américaine de médecine du sommeil, près de la moitié – 46 % – des personnes interrogées dorment dans le même lit qu’un animal de compagnie. En tant que chercheuse clinique spécialisée dans les interactions entre les propriétaires d’animaux et leurs compagnons, je travaille avec de nombreuses personnes qui décrivent une relation étroite avec leurs animaux et partagent divers moments avec eux.

Les bienfaits de ce lien sont étayés par la science. Des recherches montrent que les interactions quotidiennes avec les animaux de compagnie peuvent améliorer le bien-être.

Mais les recherches suggèrent également que les bienfaits potentiels qu’il y a à dormir à côté d’un animal de compagnie ne sont pas évidents : cela peut être réconfortant tout en perturbant discrètement la qualité du sommeil.

La logique émotionnelle du co-sommeil avec les animaux de compagnie

L’impact du co-sommeil peut être mesuré à l’aide d’auto-évaluations et de questionnaires, ainsi qu’avec des outils objectifs, comme des montres qui mesurent ce qui se passe physiologiquement pendant la nuit.

Dans des études utilisant des mesures subjectives, de nombreux propriétaires d’animaux de compagnie déclarent mieux dormir lorsque leurs animaux sont avec eux. D’autres avantages liés au co-sommeil comprennent une augmentation du sentiment de confort et de sécurité émotionnelle.

Dans ce contexte, le sommeil nous place dans un état de vulnérabilité perçue. Dormir avec un animal de compagnie, en particulier avec lequel nous avons un lien étroit, peut réduire ce sentiment de vulnérabilité tout en renforçant le sentiment de sécurité.

La régulation émotionnelle est un autre mécanisme possible dans ce contexte, car se sentir plus en sécurité peut réduire l’excitation émotionnelle.

En d’autres termes, la présence d’un animal de compagnie peut aider les propriétaires d’animaux à se sentir en sécurité et à l’aise. Se réveiller avec un animal de compagnie à ses côtés peut procurer un sentiment de bonheur, ce qui peut leur donner l’impression d’avoir bien dormi.




À lire aussi :
Les animaux de compagnie sont-ils des gages de bonheur ? Des recherches apportent des bémols


Dans le même temps, certaines études utilisant des questionnaires standard pour évaluer l’insomnie et la qualité du sommeil suggèrent que le fait de dormir avec un animal de compagnie n’est pas lié à une diminution du stress et peut augmenter l’insomnie et réduire la qualité perçue du sommeil.

Ces résultats mitigés suggèrent que les effets du co-sommeil sont plus complexes qu’il n’y paraît – que la façon dont nous percevons notre sommeil ne correspond pas toujours à ce qui se passe dans notre corps.

Le co-sommeil d’un point de vue physiologique

Nous pouvons également étudier les effets du co-sommeil avec des animaux de compagnie de manière plus objective, en utilisant des outils pour évaluer les habitudes de sommeil, les réveils nocturnes et la qualité globale du sommeil.

Les recherches suggèrent que même lorsque les propriétaires d’animaux déclarent mieux dormir, les mesures physiologiques montrent souvent un sommeil plus fragmenté lorsqu’ils partagent leur lit avec leurs animaux. Dans une étude, des chercheurs ont utilisé un dispositif semblable à une montre-bracelet pour mesurer les mouvements des personnes pendant la nuit alors qu’elles dormaient avec leurs animaux de compagnie.

Ils ont constaté que même lorsque les personnes avaient l’impression d’avoir bien dormi, leur sommeil avait tendance à être plus perturbé.

Dans certains cas, ces perturbations étaient liées aux mouvements de l’animal pendant la nuit. Les chercheurs ont observé une synchronisation dans laquelle les mouvements des animaux influençaient les schémas de mouvement de leurs maîtres, et vice versa.

Dormir avec un animal de compagnie peut donc affecter à la fois le sommeil de la personne et celui de l’animal. Et bien que ces perturbations ne soient pas uniformes, elles peuvent dépendre du type d’animal avec lequel vous partagez votre lit.


Déjà des milliers d’abonnés à l’infolettre de La Conversation. Et vous ? Abonnez-vous gratuitement à notre infolettre pour mieux comprendre les grands enjeux contemporains.


Pourquoi les chiens perturbent-ils davantage le sommeil que les chats ?

Il existe également des preuves que l’impact peut varier en fonction du type et du nombre d’animaux de compagnie. Les personnes qui dorment avec des chiens peuvent connaître davantage de perturbations, tandis que celles qui dorment avec des chats font souvent état de résultats mitigés.

Bien que les raisons de ces différences ne soient pas claires, elles pourraient être liées à la plus grande sensibilité des chiens aux stimuli externes, tels que le bruit des voitures, les aboiements dans le quartier et d’autres sons environnementaux.




À lire aussi :
Les animaux et le droit : vers une remise en question de nos catégories juridiques


Compte tenu de l’influence de ces expériences sur la santé mentale et le bien-être, il est important de noter qu’une mauvaise qualité de sommeil sur le long terme peut avoir un impact sur la régulation émotionnelle.

Cela peut se traduire par une tolérance moindre à la frustration ou une capacité réduite à gérer des situations émotionnellement difficiles. La fatigue, la déprime, les difficultés de concentration et toute une série d’autres symptômes peuvent également être liés à un mauvais sommeil.

Dans l’ensemble, ces résultats remettent en question l’idée selon laquelle le co-sommeil serait simplement soit bon, soit mauvais.

Repenser le débat « bon ou mauvais »

Dormir avec un animal de compagnie semble être à la fois réconfortant et perturbant.

Il s’agit d’un comportement complexe, et il est important de comprendre les motivations qui poussent les gens à partager leur lit. Dans certains cas, par exemple, le co-sommeil avec un animal de compagnie peut être très significatif, en phase avec les besoins des personnes et potentiellement lié au confort et au bien-être.

Dans le même temps, il est important de garder à l’esprit que nos perceptions ne reflètent pas toujours pleinement ce qui se passe dans le corps.

D’un point de vue pratique, une compréhension plus nuancée du partage du lit peut éclairer la manière dont il façonne les expériences quotidiennes, le sommeil et la santé globale. Prêter davantage attention à la manière dont les animaux de compagnie s’intègrent dans nos vies peut aider les propriétaires à prendre des décisions qui tiennent compte à la fois de la santé physique et mentale, sans négliger les impacts potentiels de ces décisions sur l’animal.

Plutôt que de se demander si le co-sommeil avec votre animal de compagnie est bénéfique ou néfaste, une meilleure question à se poser est la suivante : privilégiez-vous le réconfort émotionnel ou un sommeil ininterrompu ? Reconnaître ce compromis peut aider les propriétaires d’animaux à faire un choix éclairé.

La Conversation Canada

Renata Roma ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. Vous aimez dormir avec votre animal de compagnie ? La science révèle qu’il y a un compromis délicat à trouver – https://theconversation.com/vous-aimez-dormir-avec-votre-animal-de-compagnie-la-science-revele-quil-y-a-un-compromis-delicat-a-trouver-279420

Why Iran targeted Amazon data centers and what that does – and doesn’t – change about warfare

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Dennis Murphy, Ph.D. Student of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology

Smoke rises in Abu Dhabi on March 1, 2026, after Iranian drone strikes around the city, including on data centers. Ryan Lim/AFP via Getty Images

Before dawn on March 1, 2026, Iranian Shahed drones struck two Amazon Web Services data centers in the United Arab Emirates. A third commercial data center in Bahrain was hit, though it is less clear whether it was deliberately targeted. Iran has also indicated that it considers commercial data centers to be targets.

This is the first time that a country has deliberately targeted commercial data centers during wartime. Data centers have been targets of espionage and cyberattacks in the past, notably when Ukrainian hackers destroyed data stored in a Russian military-affiliated data center in 2024. This, however, was a physical attack. Drones damaged buildings.

Advances in artificial intelligence have increased the importance of data centers. The U.S. military, in particular, has made great use of AI systems for decision support in its attacks on Iran and Venezuela. Given how important data centers are, Iranian forces could be targeting the infrastructure Iran’s leaders believe is supporting strikes on Iran.

It is not altogether clear that these particular data centers were used by the U.S. military. Instead, the attacks may have been part of a broader effort to punish the United Arab Emirates for its ties with the U.S.

In my experience as a Ph.D. candidate at Georgia Tech studying how technology drives changes in international security, I don’t think the attacks signal any significant change in the nature of warfare. But they are forcing nations to recognize that data centers are targets of war – even if they don’t directly support military operations.

Data centers and the cloud

The United States military is increasingly incorporating advanced AI capabilities into its decision support systems. From the operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to supporting military strikes against Iran, the U.S. has been using AI, especially Anthropic’s Claude, for intelligence analysis and operational support.

AI is unlocking faster ways to carry out operations in war, but the AI tools the military often uses are not located on a plane or ship. When a service member uses Claude, the computing infrastructure that powers the model and its analysis usually goes to a secure Amazon Web Services cloud that hosts secret government data and software tools.

The basics of data centers explained.

Commercial data centers are where the cloud lives. The next time you pull up Netflix and watch your favorite shows, you are likely streaming the programming from a data center, possibly AWS. When AWS data centers go down, outages affect all sorts of entertainment, news and government functions.

With AI as a driver of economic growth, data centers are key forms of infrastructure. They ensure that AI can continue to run, as well as much of the underlying internet that governments and industry rely on. When Iran attacked the UAE’s data centers, it caused widespread disruption to the local banking system.

Commercial data centers enable most of the technology that runs the modern world, including AI systems. Disrupting them is key to disrupting the military and society of a country. Given that AWS provides and operates many of the commercial data centers where the cloud lives, it is likely that its data centers will continue to be targeted in conflict.

Going after US allies

Researchers at Just Security noted on March 12, 2026, that the United States requires cloud-computing service providers to store government and military data within the U.S. or on Department of Defense bases: “Moving such data to Amazon data centers in the Gulf region would require special authorization; we are unaware if that has been granted.”

Nevertheless, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claimed the strikes were against data centers supporting “the enemy’s” military and intelligence activities. And 10 days after the initial attack on the data centers, an Iranian news agency claimed that major tech company data centers and other physical assets in the region were considered “enemy technology infrastructure.”

Instead of military reasons, Iran may well have targeted the UAE to rattle the global economy and garner attention. Given the prominence of the Gulf as a major recipient of U.S. technological investment, the attack may also have been a symbolic one aimed at the heart of U.S.-Gulf cooperation. AI infrastructure such as commercial data centers is a growing part of U.S. leadership in the region, and this war could jeopardize the future of AI infrastructure in the Gulf.

men wearingwhite robes and headdresses stand over a model of an industrial park
This model shows a massive data center, part of the Stargate project involving U.S. tech companies, currently under construction in the United Arab Emirates.
Giuseppe CACACE/AFP via Getty Images

Growing importance, easy targets

Though data centers are increasingly important for national security, the economy and society at large, it can be tempting to suggest these strikes represent a fundamental shift in the nature of war. While that is a possibility, it is important to remember that Iran launched thousands of missiles and drones at targets in the UAE. Though the vast majority were intercepted, the two that struck data centers are a small portion of the ones that got through to civilian targets in UAE territory, including strikes on airports and hotels.

The relative vulnerability of commercial data centers – they are large, relatively fragile and lack dedicated air defenses – suggests that the ones in the UAE may have been targets of opportunity or convenience. In other words, they were hit because they could be hit.

Nevertheless, it seems likely that as the use of AI tools and other cloud-based resources continues to grow in importance for countries around the world, commercial data centers will be targets in future conflicts.

The Conversation

Dennis Murphy is affiliated with Georgia Tech, the Georgia Tech Research Institute, the RAND Corporation, the Notre Dame International Security Center, and the Astra Fellowship. He previously was affiliated with Lawrence Livermore National Lab, Marine Corps University, and the Cambridge University ERA Fellowship.

ref. Why Iran targeted Amazon data centers and what that does – and doesn’t – change about warfare – https://theconversation.com/why-iran-targeted-amazon-data-centers-and-what-that-does-and-doesnt-change-about-warfare-278642

Astronaut Victor Glover is the latest in a long line of Black American explorers − including York, the enslaved man who played a key role in the Lewis and Clark expedition

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Craig Fehrman, Adjunct instructor at the Media School, Indiana University

The Artemis II crew will include Victor Glover, second from left, the first Black astronaut to fly to the Moon. NASA/Frank Michaux

In April 2026, four astronauts are scheduled to fly around the Moon. As part of NASA’s Artemis II mission, they will become the first humans to do so in half a century. One crew member, pilot Victor Glover, will become the first Black astronaut to ever orbit the Moon.

Glover’s achievement is worth celebrating. But it’s also worth remembering that he belongs to a long and underappreciated history. America’s first Black explorer didn’t fly an Apollo rocket or sail with the U.S. Exploring Expedition. He traveled with Lewis and Clark, and he was known by a single name: York.

I’m a historian who spent five years writing a book about Lewis and Clark, and I found new documents that show York was one of the most important people on their expedition. Even in a party that could number as many as 45 men, York stood out – for his courage, his skill and his sacrifices that helped the famous captains reach the Pacific Ocean.

York’s life as a slave

A bronze statue of a man holding a bird and a gun, looking off into the distance
A statue of York stands at the Riverfront Plaza in Louisville, Ky. The statue is speculative, as there is no record of what York looked like.
Lucky For You/Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA

York was born in Virginia around 1770. Growing up, he was a creative and sociable child, unusually tall with dark hair and a dark complexion – “black as a bear,” a contemporary noted.

He was also enslaved by the Clarks. William Clark, who was around the same age, was also unusually tall, though his hair was a rusty red, and sometimes the boys played together. But the playing stopped once York turned 9 or 10. That’s when he joined the adult slaves in working full time. That’s also when he began to note the differences between his life and William’s – differences that became only clearer once William started ordering him around.

In the 1780s, the Clark household headed to Kentucky. York met a Black woman there and married her. He also became William’s “body servant.”

A body servant was a slave who stayed close to his owner and prioritized his comfort, laying out his clothes and serving his meals. When Meriwether Lewis asked Clark to join his expedition, in 1803, Clark ordered York to accompany him.

Perhaps York was excited for this adventure. Perhaps he was not – it would be punishing, and he would be separated from his wife.

Either way, York didn’t have a choice.

The Corps of Discovery

York proved his worth from the start. Once they reached St. Louis, the soldiers, later known as the Corps of Discovery, rushed to raise winter quarters. Working in hail and snow, York and the others built log huts. They needed rough planks for their tables and bunks, but the carpenters had only a single whipsaw to make them. They chose two men to operate this crucial tool. One of them was York.

On May 14, 1804, the corps began ascending the Missouri River. York helped row and tow the party’s barge, which was the size of a semi-truck trailer. He carried a rifle and hunted – according to the expedition’s journals, he was only the fifth named member to bring down a buffalo. York cooked for the captains. He collected scientific specimens. He nursed the sick, including several soldiers and, later on, Sacagawea, a Shoshone woman who would also prove essential to the expedition’s success.

An old photo of a river with rushing rapids
York helped Lewis and Clark’s expedition cross rapids in the Columbia River.
Carleton Watkins/Oregon Historical Society

The soldiers were not always kind in return. During this period, officers rarely brought along enslaved body servants. York’s race probably made some of the men angry or uncomfortable. One day, someone threw so much sand in his face that it nearly blinded him. Clark claimed it was “in fun,” but he also wrote that York was “very near losing his eyes,” and no one else got cruelly sprayed with sand.

That fall, during councils with Native leaders, York played a surprising and vital role. The Arikara, Mandan and Hidatsa all crowded in to see him and to touch his skin. They had never met a Black person before, and York showed off his strength and played with the Native children. Later, the Arikara said York was “the most marvelous” thing about the corps.

The next year, the expedition crossed the Rockies and the Continental Divide. York’s most important – and most overlooked – contributions came soon after. On the Columbia River and its tributaries, the party had to dig out five new canoes and then paddle them through treacherous rapids.

Lewis and Clark allowed only their best rivermen on these foaming, rock-riven waters. One of them was almost certainly York. During my research, I found an unpublished letter in which Clark praised York’s ability to “manage the boats.”

Just as important, York was a strong swimmer, a rare thing in an era when many people never learned to swim.

York’s life as an explorer

On the Columbia River, the corps survived a series of terrifying choke points – soggy hazards they referred to as the “Long Narrows” and the “Great Chute.” After that came the ocean. They had traveled together for more than 4,000 miles (6,400 kilometers), and when the captains asked the men to vote on where to put their final winter quarters, they made sure to ask York, too.

a photo of a journal scrawled with cursive handwriting
In his elk-skin journal, William Clark recorded York’s winter quarters vote.
Missouri Historical Society

It was the latest sign that his role had changed during this epic journey. But those changes began with York. In the West, he found ways to make choices and assert himself. He sent a buffalo robe to his wife in Kentucky. When Clark told him to scale back his performances for Native people, York ignored him – because he wanted to, and because he could.

York’s vote was also evidence that, like Victor Glover today, he was an official American explorer, a key member of a sprawling, federally funded mission. From 1804 to 1806, the government devoted a larger percentage of its budget to the corps than it devotes to NASA today.

Part of that money was earmarked for York. The Army gave officers who brought along their slaves a monthly ration or its cash equivalent. When the corps made it home, the government paid US$274.57 for York’s labor, a sum similar to what the privates received. But that money didn’t go to York. It went to Clark.

The hidden history of Black explorers

There have been many Black explorers in American history. Thomas Jefferson launched other expeditions besides Lewis and Clark’s, and those expeditions also included enslaved people, though their names have not survived. Isaiah Brown served on the Wheeler Survey, which mapped the West in greater detail after the Civil War. Matthew Henson accompanied Robert Peary on his Arctic expeditions, which received some federal support. More recently, NASA has depended on Black astronauts such as Guy Bluford, Mae Jemison and Jeanette Epps, among others.

York and Victor Glover are, for now, the first and most recent examples of this inspiring tradition. But their contributions go beyond that. When the captains asked York to vote on the winter quarters, they were acknowledging in some small way that he’d proven he was more than a body servant.

Of course, York had always been more than that. It just took 4,000 miles for Lewis and Clark to see it.

The Conversation

Craig Fehrman does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Astronaut Victor Glover is the latest in a long line of Black American explorers − including York, the enslaved man who played a key role in the Lewis and Clark expedition – https://theconversation.com/astronaut-victor-glover-is-the-latest-in-a-long-line-of-black-american-explorers-including-york-the-enslaved-man-who-played-a-key-role-in-the-lewis-and-clark-expedition-279168

Suplemento cultural: desde Irán hasta China

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Claudia Lorenzo Rubiera, Editora de Cultura, The Conversation

Corredor interno en las paredes exteriores para el paso de los antiguos guerreros en el castillo de Abrand, Shahediyeh, cerca de Yazd, Irán. La fortaleza fue construida durante el período sasánida. Poliorketes/Shutterstock

Una versión de este texto se publicó por primera vez en nuestro boletín Suplemento cultural, un resumen quincenal de la actualidad cultural y una selección de los mejores artículos de historia, literatura, cine, arte o música. Si quiere recibirlo, puede suscribirse aquí.


Hablemos de Irán. De hecho, más que hablar, les ofrezco leer sobre ello. Porque se menciona mucho a Irán estos días, sus ciudadanos, el islam, el velo, la represión. Decimos cosas, pero en ocasiones conocemos poco aquello que no dejamos de sacar en las conversaciones. Por eso Carlos Martínez Carrasco acudió al rescate y desarrolló, en un artículo histórico fabuloso, dónde nace la identidad iraní, su cultura.

Martínez Carrasco recorre su pasado sasaní, preislámico, y también la impronta religiosa tras la conquista árabe. Asimismo, alude a las referencias que el actual régimen hace de esos mitos antiguos para utilizarlos como propaganda. Su repaso abre la puerta a una cultura rica en matices que ha sufrido apropiaciones interesadas por demasiadas figuras. Conocer el pasado, hacer memoria y permitir que todos poseamos esa información sienta las bases de un futuro que esperamos sea mejor, pacífico y posible para esa tierra.

Y si queremos hablar de potencia cultural, China, que cuenta con 56 etnias diferentes, es otro ejemplo de ello. Al hilo de la nueva aprobación de la llamada “ley de unidad étnica”, explicamos tanto el origen de la civilización han, etnia mayoritaria en el país, como la importancia del patrimonio de esas otras 55 que ahora se ven más desprotegidas.

Los retos tecnológicos

¿Alguna vez han oído hablar del “valle inquietante”? Es ese límite que cruzan algunos avances tecnológicos cuando nos provocan, al parecerse tanto a los humanos, un poquito de yuyu; ese ver algo que se mueve como un señor, que parece que habla como un señor pero que… no es un señor.

Se solía aplicar, obviamente, a los robots, pero ahora que la inteligencia artificial está cogiendo fuerza, cada vez hay más entornos en los que notamos que algo (o alguien) no llega a ser humano del todo. Ricardo Fernández Rafael explica perfectamente qué problemas nos crea no saber si estamos viendo, escuchando o interactuando con un ente de carne y hueso o de unos y ceros.

Las salas no descansan

En las carteleras españolas coinciden dos películas de sendos pesos pesados en la industria nacional: Santiago Segura y Pedro Almodóvar.

El primero ha estrenado la sexta entrega de su saga sobre Torrente, un filme en el que este se postula a presidente del país y que, por tanto, contiene más carga política que los anteriores.

Sin embargo, la sociedad que ha recibido con los brazos abiertos esta película –lleva más de 16 millones recaudados– no es la misma de hace una década, y eso se revela tanto a la hora de percibir la ironía de la propuesta como al abrazar el mimetismo con su protagonista.

El director más internacional del cine español, por su parte, presenta en Amarga Navidad un ejercicio de metacine en el que la autoficción y la discusión sobre si es ético narrar la vida privada de otros en público ocupan el centro del argumento.

Es, también, un drama, una tendencia constante en las últimas décadas del cine de Almodóvar (salvo Los amantes pasajeros). Sin embargo, el manchego lleva días declarando que tiene ganas de volver a rodar una comedia loca como las de sus inicios. Pero ¿podemos decir que a lo largo de estos años no ha hecho ningún guiño a la risa en sus guiones?

Para rematar, les regalamos una lectura preciosa que tal vez les remita a su infancia, a su adolescencia o, como en mi caso, a la nostalgia de un tiempo que no viví pero que, tras amar Cinema Paradiso, querría haber conocido: el cine de barrio.

The Conversation

ref. Suplemento cultural: desde Irán hasta China – https://theconversation.com/suplemento-cultural-desde-iran-hasta-china-279350

Federal election observers once played a key role in securing voting rights for all − but times have changed

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Allison Mashell Mitchell, Assistant Professor of Civil Rights Studies, University of Notre Dame

Representatives from the NAACP stand outside the Supreme Court on June 25, 2013, awaiting a decision in Shelby County v. Holder. AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

President Donald Trump appeared on former Deputy FBI Director Dan Bongino’s podcast in February 2026, where he stated: “The Republicans should say, ‘We want to take over, we should take over the voting.’ The Republicans ought to nationalize the voting.”

Trump’s call to nationalize elections, to transfer the constitutionally mandated control of elections from local to federal authorities, drew bipartisan opposition and added to Democratic fears that the president may attempt to interfere with upcoming midterm elections.

Despite Trump’s call to “nationalize the voting,” the U.S. Constitution clearly notes that states run elections – not the federal government.

The federal government, however, has a role to play in national elections – as an observer. Federal observation ensures that Americans cast their votes on election day without reprisal.

Initially dispatched to deter voter discrimination against Black Americans after passage of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, election observers ensured that those qualified to vote could do so without trouble.

But with its 2013 ruling in the Shelby County v. Holder case, the U.S. Supreme Court changed the federal government’s relationship to the election process. The ruling significantly weakened the federal govenment’s ability to send federal observers to the polls.

As a scholar of civil rights and voting rights, I know that federal oversight during elections has always been a valued part of the electoral process, even when subject to criticism.

Yet, this current moment, with the Trump administration’s efforts to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the 2026 midterms, feels different. What I have noticed recently is how the public’s thinking has shifted about the federal oversight of elections. Where once it was largely welcomed as an ensurer of fairness and proper procedures, now it is seen as a misuse of authority.

Establishment of federal observers

The key contribution of the Voting Rights Act that Americans are typically taught about in school is its abolition of racial discrimination in voting. The measure put a stop to poll taxes and literacy tests, which had disproportionately reduced Black voter registration.

But the act also created the type of federal observation of elections that is most familiar to Americans today.

The measure allows the Department of Justice to deploy federal observers to polling stations. That deployment can happen through a court order or by requirement to places with documented histories of voter suppression. The latter was determined by a section of the Voting Rights Act that also details the guidelines for which places merit that designation.

Hundreds of Black people wait to vote
An estimated 1,000 Black Americans wait to vote in the Democratic primary in Birmingham, Ala., on May 3, 1966, the first major Southern election after passage of the 1965 federal Voting Rights Act.
AP Photo

Federal observers take notes, often beside poll monitors, and document potential unlawful practices by poll workers.

Unlike monitors, federal observers are stationed inside polling stations. They keep notes on the tallying of votes and verify those thrown out. And where the Justice Department requires the permission from respective districts to send monitors, federal observers are sent by the U.S. attorney general and do not require the same permission.

Historically, observers were also charged with registering voters at polling stations and local registrars’ offices with the specific goal of assisting disenfranchised minorities.

Perception of federal observers

Determined to maintain Jim Crow laws that enforced racial segregation, several Southern Democrats opposed the Voting Rights Act.

Some Americans also criticized the act as government overreach. And they castigated the U.S. attorney general in 1965 when he dispatched federal registrars to the South following the passing of the measure, and when he sent federal observers to the South for the 1966 congressional elections.

Despite this opposition to federal observers, and just months after the Voting Rights Act’s passage, the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights wrote that federal observers received “praise from registration workers and the (voter registration) applicants.”

Within a few years of the act, roughly 1 million Black Southerners had registered to vote. Over time, federal election observers began to focus less on registering voters, practically phasing out this practice by the 1980s, and serving only as observers.

The change

Over the decades, conservative politicians, as they gained more seats in Congress and state legislatures, developed new strategies – they filed lawsuits, rearranged voting districts – to circumvent what they argued was federal overreach in the election process. These changes helped them gain political influence and promoted their philosophy of states’ rights. They were successful.

The increase in conservative political influence gave way to an increasingly conservative Supreme Court. This was reflected in the U.S. Supreme Court’s 5-4 ruling in Shelby County v. Holder.

In that ruling, the court struck down the section in the Voting Rights Act outlining the guidelines for deciding whether a county or state needed federal oversight. With no guidelines to follow, the federal government removed most of its oversight.

After the court’s ruling, several states – Texas, Alabama and Mississippi, for example – made rapid changes to the voting process. Those included new voter ID laws, the purging of voter registration rolls and gerrymandering. These changes have resulted in further voter disenfranchisement, disproportionately effecting Black and Hispanic voters.

A Black woman holds a poster defending voting rights.
People wait in line outside the Supreme Court on Feb. 27, 2013, to listen to oral arguments in the Shelby County v. Holder voting rights case.
AP Photo/Evan Vucci

The Voting Rights Act guidelines had also helped determine where to send federal observers. With this section revoked, the federal government’s ability to send federal observers, in the way it had done for roughly 50 years, also disappeared.

The Justice Department sent federal observers to five states during the 2016 presidential election, compared to 23 states during the 2012 presidential election.

Since Shelby, disagreements over federal oversight persist and the role of federal observers has changed.

In 2024, the Justice Department announced it planned to send out 86 monitors on Election Day, the most federal monitors in two decades, due to concerns of possible partisan interference in elections. Some Republican-led states threatened to ban them from the polls.

To send out federal observers, the Justice Department needs a court order. But during the 2024 elections, courts determined that only four states needed federal observer oversight.

Redefining federal observers

During the Civil Rights Movement, federal election observers were the strongest line of defense to ensure fair voting.

Recently, however, the federal government’s election focus – such as attempting to require voters to provide documentary proof of U.S. citizenship when registering to vote – has shifted to what it says is voter fraud and accusations of cheating.

Still, one thing has remained certain. Federal observers are important. Their history, even now as they are less prevalent, can inform how we discuss the federal government’s role in elections.

The Conversation

Allison Mashell Mitchell does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Federal election observers once played a key role in securing voting rights for all − but times have changed – https://theconversation.com/federal-election-observers-once-played-a-key-role-in-securing-voting-rights-for-all-but-times-have-changed-275991

The Department of Justice is suing states for sensitive voter data − an election law scholar explains why federal efforts are facing resistance

Source: The Conversation – USA – By John J. Martin, Assistant Professor of Law, Quinnipiac University

The Trump administration wants a lot of voter information from states. smartboy10/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

In May 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice began sending letters to state governments demanding copies of statewide voter registration lists. The request was unprecedented: It demanded not only publicly available voter data, such as names and addresses, but also sensitive information, including driver’s license and Social Security numbers.

That data is considered highly sensitive because it can be used to commit identity theft, access financial or government records, and facilitate targeted harassment or intimidation, particularly if the data were mishandled or leaked.

Underlying these requests is the Trump administration’s stated goal of rooting out fraudulent and illegal voting. With voter data in its hands, the DOJ seeks to identify ineligible voters and mandate state election officials to remove those voters from the rolls.

States have responded in a variety of ways. Some have fully complied with the requests, some partially complied, and many outright refused to provide any voter information. For the latter states, the Trump administration has taken the fight to court and sued to get the information, claiming that federal law requires the states to hand it over.

The majority of cases are still going through the courts.

I’m an election law scholar who focuses on election administration. This battle over voter data has raised numerous questions about the Trump administration’s motives, the legality of its actions and, more generally, the role of the federal government in election administration.

The DOJ has a tough road ahead in convincing election officials and judges across the country that all of its demands in these cases are constitutionally legitimate.

Federal power grab

States have exclusive authority to govern and administer state and local elections. The federal government, on the other hand, historically has played a much more limited role in election regulation and administration. By constitutional design, Congress may regulate only the “time, place, and manner” of federal elections – in other words, the procedural elements of elections for federal offices.

And even then, states hold concurrent authority to regulate federal elections.

Nevertheless, in his second administration President Donald Trump has sought to expand the federal government’s control over elections. In February 2026 he called on Congress to “nationalize” elections. He has also made an administration priority the passage of the SAVE America Act, a bill that would mandate states to turn away any voter without documentary proof of U.S. citizenship.

Trump’s initiatives apparently stem from conspiratorial allegations that the 2020 presidential election was rigged against him, resulting in fraudulent and illegal voting that gave Joe Biden the presidency. And they are ultimately what animates the DOJ’s crusade for voter information from the states, with Attorney General Pam Bondi having recently stated that “accurate, well-maintained voter rolls are a requisite for the election integrity that the American people deserve.”

So far, the DOJ has sent requests to at least 48 states and the District of Columbia demanding their complete voter registration lists – information on every individual registered to vote in the given state.

In doing so, the DOJ has asked the states to sign onto an agreement under which they agree to remove within 45 days any voters that the DOJ flags as ineligible. But by signing this agreement, a state is effectively handing over the administration of its voter rolls to the federal government.

DOJ’s legal arguments

Only 12 states – Alaska, Arkansas, Indiana, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nebraska, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas and Wyoming – have fully complied with the requests, handing over to the DOJ private information such as the driver’s license and Social Security numbers of their registered voters.

Five states, meanwhile, have provided publicly available voter information – name, address and party affiliation – to the DOJ while withholding more sensitive information. The remaining 31 states of the 48 to receive requests, along with the District of Columbia, have refused to give any voter list to the federal agency.

The DOJ has sued 29 states for refusing to hand over voter lists and has also sued the District of Columbia, sparing only Iowa, Alabama and South Carolina. Only one sued state – Oklahoma – has thus far capitulated to the DOJ.

In these lawsuits, the DOJ cites three legal sources that supposedly give the agency the right to request voter information from state officials.

First, the DOJ points to a provision of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 that requires states to “make available for public inspection” all records necessary to ensure the accuracy of their voter registration lists. As critics note, though, this provision does not require states to reveal sensitive voter information. All 50 states are, in fact, currently in compliance with the act’s mandate.

Second, the DOJ invokes the Help America Vote Act of 2002 and its requirement that all states must maintain a computerized, statewide voter registration list. Nevertheless, no provision in that law provides explicit authority to the federal government to request these registration lists from state officials.

Finally, the DOJ has argued that the states have an obligation under the Civil Rights Act of 1960 to comply with the agency’s demands. Specifically, Title III of the act permits the U.S. attorney general to request for inspection “all records and papers” kept by state election officials relating to “any application, registration, payment of poll tax, or other act requisite to voting.”

While perhaps the strongest of the three arguments, that title of the Civil Rights Act goes on to require the attorney general to offer a “statement of the basis and the purpose” of their request.

In the DOJ’s requests to states, Bondi has apparently provided zero justification as to why the states must hand over sensitive voter information to the DOJ. Indeed, any stated purposes appear unrelated to the Civil Rights Act’s aims of combating racial discrimination.

A blond-haired woman looks stern.
Attorney General Pam Bondi wants the states’ voter information because, she says, ‘accurate, well-maintained voter rolls are a requisite for the election integrity that the American people deserve.’
J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo

What’s possible

There are further legal questions regarding whether the states could even comply with the DOJ’s proposed 45-day deadline for removing declared ineligible voters.

For example, the National Voter Registration Act forbids states from removing people from the voter rolls in certain instances without first providing notice and waiting two federal election cycles – a timeline well beyond 45 days.

In the 29 targeted states, federal courts have thus far dismissed four lawsuits in California, Georgia, Michigan and Oregon. Oklahoma, as noted above, has settled its case with the DOJ. While the remaining lawsuits have yet to fully play out, the DOJ likely faces less-than-sympathetic judges in these cases.

Even if the DOJ loses in court, though, the federal government may continue attempting to receive states’ voter information through other means.

The SAVE America Act, for instance, currently under consideration in the U.S. Senate, contains a provision that incentivizes states to submit their voter registration lists to the U.S. Department of Homeland Security on a quarterly basis or otherwise subject their residents to stringent voter ID laws. Should Congress pass the act, the executive branch would have much clearer federal authority to force voter data from state election officials.

The Conversation

John J. Martin does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The Department of Justice is suing states for sensitive voter data − an election law scholar explains why federal efforts are facing resistance – https://theconversation.com/the-department-of-justice-is-suing-states-for-sensitive-voter-data-an-election-law-scholar-explains-why-federal-efforts-are-facing-resistance-278512