L’histoire édifiante du premier loup d’Éthiopie jamais capturé, soigné puis réintroduit dans la nature

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Sandra Lai, Postdoctoral Researcher, Ethiopian Wolf Conservation Programme, University of Oxford

Blessé par balle dans les montagnes d’Éthiopie, un loup d’Éthiopie a survécu contre toute attente. Son sauvetage, inédit, a changé bien plus que son destin individuel.


Quelle est la valeur d’un seul animal ? Lorsqu’un animal sauvage est retrouvé grièvement blessé, l’option la plus humaine consiste souvent à pratiquer l’euthanasie pour lui éviter des souffrances prolongées. C’est le plus souvent ce qui se passe, parfois à bon escient. Car quand on réunit les moyens nécessaires pour le sauver, un animal ainsi réhabilité puis réintroduit dans la nature peut être rejeté par son groupe, peiner à trouver de la nourriture ou à échapper aux prédateurs. Et même s’il survit, il peut ne pas se reproduire et ne laisser aucune empreinte durable sur la population.

Mais il arrive parfois qu’un cas isolé montre qu’une intervention peut faire bien davantage que sauver la vie d’un individu. Elle peut aussi transformer notre idée de ce qui est possible.

C’est l’histoire d’une seconde chance qui s’est jouée dans les Monts Simien, en Éthiopie. Là-bas, à 3 000 mètres d’altitude, l’oxygène se fait plus rare. Les nuits sont froides, et la vie n’offre que peu de répit. C’est aussi le territoire du loup d’Éthiopie (Canis simensis), le principal prédateur de cet habitat et le carnivore le plus menacé d’Afrique. Il ne reste plus guère que 500 loups adultes dans les hauts plateaux éthiopiens, dont environ 60 à 70 dans les Monts Simien.

Début mai 2020, l’un d’entre eux a subi une blessure grave — une fracture du fémur causée par un tir d’arme à feu. Parce qu’il n’était plus capable de suivre sa meute dans les hautes terres implacables, son sort semblait scellé. Habituellement, l’histoire s’arrête là. Mais cette fois-ci, il en a été autrement.

Je suis chercheuse en postdoctorat au sein de l’Ethiopian Wolf Conservation Programme, un programme qui se consacre depuis trente ans à la protection du loup d’Éthiopie et de son habitat montagnard. J’ai eu l’honneur de faire partie de l’équipe qui a documenté, pour la toute première fois, le sauvetage d’un loup d’Éthiopie, son traitement clinique en captivité, puis sa remise en liberté réussie après réhabilitation.

Terefe, le survivant chanceux

Des gardes du parc ont découvert le loup étendu sous un pont et ont alerté Getachew Assefa, chef de l’équipe de suivi des loups du Ethiopian Wolf Conservation Programme dans le parc national des monts Simien.

Il est rare qu’un loup d’Éthiopie soit abattu à l’intérieur du parc. Les autorités éthiopiennes chargées de la faune sauvage et l’Ethiopian Wolf Conservation Programme ont donc décidé de capturer l’animal, effrayé, et de tenter de le sauver.

Il s’agissait d’une démarche sans précédent, aucun loup d’Éthiopie n’ayant jamais été maintenu en captivité auparavant. La décision de le sauver reposait à la fois sur l’origine humaine de sa blessure et sur le faible nombre de loups encore présents dans le massif du Simien.

Un petit refuge de montagne a rapidement été transformé en enclos de fortune pour l’accueillir. C’est là que, pendant les 51 jours suivants, sa réhabilitation s’est déroulée.

Durant ces quelques semaines, il a reçu des soins vétérinaires intensifs, sous la supervision d’experts. Il a été pris en charge par Chilot Wagaye, garde issu de la communauté locale. Les progrès ont d’abord été incertains, puis les os fracturés ont commencé à se ressouder et, au bout d’un mois, le loup a pu se tenir debout seul.

On le baptisa alors Terefe, un nom qui signifie « survivant chanceux » en amharique, la langue locale.

Retour à l’état sauvage : une histoire d’espoir

Une fois sa patte rétablie, l’impatience de Terefe à quitter le refuge est vite devenue manifeste. La nuit, il hurlait, sans doute pour tenter d’appeler les membres de sa meute.

Fin juin 2020, il a été relâché près de son groupe, équipé d’un collier GPS léger — le tout premier jamais posé sur un loup d’Éthiopie. Ce dispositif a permis aux chercheurs de suivre ses déplacements et d’explorer une question cruciale : un loup réhabilité peut-il se réintégrer dans la nature ?

L’Ethiopian Wolf Conservation Programme a suivi les déplacements de Tefere après la guérison de sa blessure afin de s’assurer qu’il allait bien.

Peu après sa remise en liberté, les observations ont confirmé que Terefe avait été réintégré au sein de sa meute. Il est resté plusieurs semaines dans son territoire d’origine. Mais il a ensuite commencé à se déplacer plus largement dans les montagnes, rendant parfois visite à des meutes voisines, avant de finir par s’établir près du village de Shehano.

D’abord, les habitants ont été surpris de voir un loup s’approcher ainsi de leurs maisons et ils ont tenté de le chasser. Mais les agents de suivi, dirigés par Getachew et Chilot, leur ont raconté l’histoire de Terefe.

De cette meilleure compréhension a découlé une évolution des attitudes. Les villageois se sont alors montrés plus enclins à protéger Terefe… et les nouveaux membres de sa meute. Car le loup avait trouvé une partenaire et le couple avait donné naissance à une portée de louveteaux.

Un sauvetage historique qui a protégé bien plus qu’une vie

Aujourd’hui, la « meute de Terefe » existe toujours. Terefe a non seulement survécu, mais il a aussi laissé une descendance. Il a également modifié quelque chose de fondamental, mais difficile à mesurer : les perceptions locales. Les loups sont parfois considérés comme une menace. Avec Terefe, ils sont devenus un symbole de résilience et une source de fierté.

L’histoire de Terefe ne signifie pas que chaque animal sauvage blessé peut ou doit être sauvé. Mais lorsque l’intervention est menée avec rigueur, une seule vie peut avoir une portée bien plus grande qu’on ne l’imagine — non seulement pour une espèce menacée, mais aussi pour les populations qui vivent à ses côtés. Aujourd’hui, Getachew me répète souvent que personne n’oserait plus faire de mal à Terefe.

Sa notoriété protégera-t-elle les membres de sa meute lorsqu’il ne sera plus là ? Protègera-t-elle d’autres individus de son espèce ? Terefe a été sauvé d’une blessure infligée par la main de l’homme, alors que de nombreux autres loups disparaissent lentement et silencieusement, victimes de la rage et de la maladie de Carré transmises par les chiens domestiques — une conséquence indirecte de la présence humaine dans les montagnes.

L’histoire de Terefe rappelle toutefois que les efforts de conservation ne sont jamais aussi efficaces que lorsqu’ils sont menés de concert avec les communautés locales. Elle laisse entrevoir l’étendue de ce que l’on peut accomplir lorsque des personnes attachées à un même territoire unissent leurs forces.

The Conversation

Sandra Lai ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. L’histoire édifiante du premier loup d’Éthiopie jamais capturé, soigné puis réintroduit dans la nature – https://theconversation.com/lhistoire-edifiante-du-premier-loup-dethiopie-jamais-capture-soigne-puis-reintroduit-dans-la-nature-272622

What loving-kindness meditation is and how to practice it in the new year

Source: The Conversation – USA (3) – By Jeremy David Engels, Liberal Arts Endowed Professor of Communication, Penn State

Loving-kindness, the feeling cultivated in metta meditation, is very different from romantic love. Anna Sunderland Engels

A popular New Year’s resolution is to take up meditation – specifically mindfulness meditation. This is a healthy choice.

Regular mindfulness practice has been linked to many positive health benefits, including reduced stress and anxiety, better sleep and quicker healing after injury and illness. Mindfulness can help us to be present in a distracted world and to feel more at home in our bodies, and in our lives.

There are many different types of meditation. Some mindfulness practices ask meditators simply to sit with whatever thoughts, sensations or emotions arise without immediately reacting to them. Such meditations cultivate focus, while granting more freedom in how we respond to whatever events life throws at us.

Other meditations ask practitioners to deliberately focus on one emotion – for example, gratitude or love – to deepen the experience of that emotion. The purpose behind this type of meditation is to bring more gratitude, or more love, into one’s life. The more people meditate on love, the easier it is to experience this emotion even when not meditating.

One such meditation is known as “metta,” or loving-kindness. As a scholar of communication and mindfulness, as well as a longtime meditation teacher, I have both studied and practiced metta. Here is what loving-kindness means and how to try it out for yourself:

Unbounded, universal love

Loving-kindness, or metta, is the type of love which is practiced by Buddhists around the world. Like many forms of meditation today, there are both secular and religious forms of the practice. One does not need to be a Buddhist to practice loving-kindness. It is for anyone and everyone who wants to live more lovingly.

Loving-kindness, the feeling cultivated in metta meditation, is very different from romantic love. In the ancient Pali language, the word “metta” has two root meanings: The first is “gentle,” in the sense of a gentle spring rain that falls on young plants, nourishing them without discrimination. The second is “friend.”

Metta is limitless and unbounded love; it is gentle presence and universal friendliness. Metta practice is meant to grow people’s ability to be present for themselves and others without fail.

A guided loving-kindness meditation practice.

Metta is not reciprocal or conditional. It does not discriminate between us and them, rich and poor, educated and uneducated, popular or unpopular, worthy and unworthy. To practice metta is to give what I describe in my research as “the rarest and most precious gift” – a gift of love offered without any expectation of it being returned.

How to practice loving-kindness meditation

In the fifth century, a Sri Lankan monk, Buddhaghosa, composed an influential meditation text called the “Visuddhimagga,” or “The Path of Purification.” In this text, Buddhaghosa provides instructions for how to practice loving-kindness meditation. Contemporary teachers tend to adapt and modify his instructions.

The practice of loving-kindness often involves quietly reciting to oneself several traditional phrases designed to evoke metta, and visualizing the beings who will receive that loving-kindness.

Traditionally, the practice begins by sending loving kindness to ourselves. It is typical during this meditation to say:

May I be filled by loving-kindness

May I be safe from inner and outer dangers
May I be well in body and mind

May I be at ease and happy

After speaking these phrases, and feeling the emotions they evoke, next it’s common to direct loving-kindness toward someone – or something – else: It can be a beloved person, a dear friend, a pet, an animal, a favorite tree. The phrases become:

May you be filled by loving-kindness

May you be safe from inner and outer dangers

May you be well in body and mind

May you be at ease and happy

Next, this loving-kindness is directed to a wider circle of friends and loved ones: “May they …”

The final step is to gradually expand the circle of well wishes: including the people in our community and town, people everywhere, animals and all living beings, and the whole Earth. This last round of recitation begins: “May we …”

In this way, loving-kindness meditation practice opens the heart further and further into life, beginning with the meditator themselves.

Loving-kindness and mindful democracy

Clinical research shows that loving-kindness meditation has a positive effect on mental health, including lessening anxiety and depression, increasing life satisfaction and improving self-acceptance while reducing self-criticism. There is also evidence that loving-kindness meditation increases a sense of connection with other people.

The benefits of loving-kindness meditation are not just for the individual. In my research, I show that there are also tremendous benefits for society as a whole. Indeed, the practice of democracy requires us to work together with friends, strangers and even purported “opponents.” This is difficult to do if our hearts are full of hatred and resentment.

Each time meditators open their hearts in metta meditation, they prepare themselves to live more loving lives: for their own selves, and for all living beings.

The Conversation

Jeremy David Engels does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. What loving-kindness meditation is and how to practice it in the new year – https://theconversation.com/what-loving-kindness-meditation-is-and-how-to-practice-it-in-the-new-year-270984

AI agents arrived in 2025 – here’s what happened and the challenges ahead in 2026

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Thomas Şerban von Davier, Affiliated Faculty Member, Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy and Technology, Carnegie Mellon University

AI agents have emerged from the lab, bringing promise and peril. tadamichi/iStock via Getty Images

In artificial intelligence, 2025 marked a decisive shift. Systems once confined to research labs and prototypes began to appear as everyday tools. At the center of this transition was the rise of AI agents – AI systems that can use other software tools and act on their own.

While researchers have studied AI for more than 60 years, and the term “agent” has long been part of the field’s vocabulary, 2025 was the year the concept became concrete for developers and consumers alike.

AI agents moved from theory to infrastructure, reshaping how people interact with large language models, the systems that power chatbots like ChatGPT.

In 2025, the definition of AI agent shifted from the academic framing of systems that perceive, reason and act to AI company Anthropic’s description of large language models that are capable of using software tools and taking autonomous action. While large language models have long excelled at text-based responses, the recent change is their expanding capacity to act, using tools, calling APIs, coordinating with other systems and completing tasks independently.

This shift did not happen overnight. A key inflection point came in late 2024, when Anthropic released the Model Context Protocol. The protocol allowed developers to connect large language models to external tools in a standardized way, effectively giving models the ability to act beyond generating text. With that, the stage was set for 2025 to become the year of AI agents.

AI agents are a whole new ballgame compared with generative AI.

The milestones that defined 2025

The momentum accelerated quickly. In January, the release of Chinese model DeepSeek-R1 as an open-weight model disrupted assumptions about who could build high-performing large language models, briefly rattling markets and intensifying global competition. An open-weight model is an AI model whose training, reflected in values called weights, is publicly available. Throughout 2025, major U.S. labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Google and xAI released larger, high-performance models, while Chinese tech companies including Alibaba, Tencent, and DeepSeek expanded the open-model ecosystem to the point where the Chinese models have been downloaded more than American models.

Another turning point came in April, when Google introduced its Agent2Agent protocol. While Anthropic’s Model Context Protocol focused on how agents use tools, Agent2Agent addressed how agents communicate with each other. Crucially, the two protocols were designed to work together. Later in the year, both Anthropic and Google donated their protocols to the open-source software nonprofit Linux Foundation, cementing them as open standards rather than proprietary experiments.

These developments quickly found their way into consumer products. By mid-2025, “agentic browsers” began to appear. Tools such as Perplexity’s Comet, Browser Company’s Dia, OpenAI’s GPT Atlas, Copilot in Microsoft’s Edge, ASI X Inc.’s Fellou, MainFunc.ai’s Genspark, Opera’s Opera Neon and others reframed the browser as an active participant rather than a passive interface. For example, rather than helping you search for vacation details, it plays a part in booking the vacation.

At the same time, workflow builders like n8n and Google’s Antigravity lowered the technical barrier for creating custom agent systems beyond what has already happened with coding agents like Cursor and GitHub Copilot.

New power, new risks

As agents became more capable, their risks became harder to ignore. In November, Anthropic disclosed how its Claude Code agent had been misused to automate parts of a cyberattack. The incident illustrated a broader concern: By automating repetitive, technical work, AI agents can also lower the barrier for malicious activity.

This tension defined much of 2025. AI agents expanded what individuals and organizations could do, but they also amplified existing vulnerabilities. Systems that were once isolated text generators became interconnected, tool-using actors operating with little human oversight.

The business community is gearing up for multiagent systems.

What to watch for in 2026

Looking ahead, several open questions are likely to shape the next phase of AI agents.

One is benchmarks. Traditional benchmarks, which are like a structured exam with a series of questions and standardized scoring, work well for single models, but agents are composite systems made up of models, tools, memory and decision logic. Researchers increasingly want to evaluate not just outcomes, but processes. This would be like asking students to show their work, not just provide an answer.

Progress here will be critical for improving reliability and trust, and ensuring that an AI agent will perform the task at hand. One method is establishing clear definitions around AI agents and AI workflows. Organizations will need to map out exactly where AI will integrate into workflows or introduce new ones.

Another development to watch is governance. In late 2025, the Linux Foundation announced the creation of the Agentic AI Foundation, signaling an effort to establish shared standards and best practices. If successful, it could play a role like the World Wide Web Consortium in shaping an open, interoperable agent ecosystem.

There is also a growing debate over model size. While large, general-purpose models dominate headlines, smaller and more specialized models are often better suited to specific tasks. As agents become configurable consumer and business tools, whether through browsers or workflow management software, the power to choose the right model increasingly shifts to users rather than labs or corporations.

The challenges ahead

Despite the optimism, significant socio-technical challenges remain. Expanding data center infrastructure strains energy grids and affects local communities. In workplaces, agents raise concerns about automation, job displacement and surveillance.

From a security perspective, connecting models to tools and stacking agents together multiplies risks that are already unresolved in standalone large language models. Specifically, AI practitioners are addressing the dangers of indirect prompt injections, where prompts are hidden in open web spaces that are readable by AI agents and result in harmful or unintended actions.

Regulation is another unresolved issue. Compared with Europe and China, the United States has relatively limited oversight of algorithmic systems. As AI agents become embedded across digital life, questions about access, accountability and limits remain largely unanswered.

Meeting these challenges will require more than technical breakthroughs. It demands rigorous engineering practices, careful design and clear documentation of how systems work and fail. Only by treating AI agents as socio-technical systems rather than mere software components, I believe, can we build an AI ecosystem that is both innovative and safe.

The Conversation

Thomas Şerban von Davier does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. AI agents arrived in 2025 – here’s what happened and the challenges ahead in 2026 – https://theconversation.com/ai-agents-arrived-in-2025-heres-what-happened-and-the-challenges-ahead-in-2026-272325

The ‘sacred’ pledge that will power the relaunch of far-right militia Oath Keepers

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Alexander Lowie, Postdoctoral associate in Classical and Civic Education, University of Florida

Enrique Tarrio, left, former leader of the far-right group the Proud Boys, shakes hands with Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes in Washington on Feb. 21, 2025. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Stewart Rhodes, the founder of the Oath Keepers, a far-right militia, announced in November 2025 that he will relaunch the group after it disbanded following his prison sentence in 2023.

Rhodes was sentenced to 18 years in prison for seditious conspiracy and other crimes committed during the U.S. Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021.

In January 2025, President Donald Trump granted clemency to the over 1,500 defendants convicted of crimes connected to the storming of the Capitol.

Trump did not pardon Rhodes – or some others found guilty of the most serious crimes on Jan. 6. He instead commuted Rhodes’ sentence to time served. Commutation only reduces the punishment for a crime, whereas a full pardon erases a conviction.

As a political anthropologist I study the Patriot movement, a collection of anti-government right-wing groups that include the Proud Boys, Oath Keepers and Moms for Liberty. I specialize in alt-right beliefs, and I have interviewed people active in groups that participated in the Capitol riot.

Rhodes’ plans to relaunch the Oath Keepers, largely composed of current and former military veterans and law enforcement officers, is important because it will serve as an outlet for those who have felt lost since his imprisonment. The group claimed it had over 40,000 dues-paying members at the height of its membership during Barack Obama’s presidency. I believe that many of these people will return to the group, empowered by the lack of any substantial punishment resulting from the pardons for crimes committed on Jan. 6.

In my interviews, I’ve found that military veterans are treated as privileged members of the Patriot movement. They are honored for their service and military training. And that’s why I believe many former Oath Keepers will rejoin the group – they are considered integral members.

Their oaths to serving the Constitution and the people of the United States are treated as sacred, binding members to an ideology that leads to action. This action includes supporting people in conflicts against federal agencies, organizing citizen-led disaster relief efforts, and protesting election results like on Jan. 6. The members’ strength results from their shared oath and the reverence they feel toward keeping it.

Who are the Oath Keepers?

Rhodes joined the Army after high school and served for three years before being honorably discharged after a parachuting accident in 1986. He then attended the University of Nevada and later graduated from Yale Law School in 2004. He founded the Oath Keepers in 2009.

Oath Keepers takes its name from the U.S military Oath of Enlistment, which states:

“I, , do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States …”

Several men wearing hats cheer in front of a federal building.
From left, Stewart Rhodes, leader of the Oath Keepers, and Enrique Tarrio, Joe Biggs and Zach Rehl, members of the far-right group the Proud Boys, rally outside the U.S. Capitol on Feb. 21, 2025.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Informed by his law background, Rhodes places a particular emphasis on the part of the oath that states they will defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic.

He developed a legal theory that justifies ignoring what he refers to as “unlawful orders” after witnessing the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina. Following the natural disaster, local law enforcement was assigned the task of confiscating guns, many of which officers say were stolen or found in abandoned homes.

Rhodes was alarmed, believing that the Second Amendment rights of citizens were being violated. Because of this, he argued that people who had military or law enforcement backgrounds had a legal duty to refuse what the group considers unlawful orders, including any that violated constitutionally protected rights, such as the right to bear arms.

In the Oath Keepers’ philosophy, anyone who violates these rights are domestic enemies to the Constitution. And if you follow the orders, you’ve violated your oath.

Explaining the origin of the group on the right-wing website “The Gateway Pundit” in November 2025, Rhodes said: “… we were attacked out of the gate, labeled anti-government, which is absurd because we’re defending the Constitution that established the federal government. We were labeled anti-government extremists, all kinds of nonsense because the elites want blind obedience in the police and military.”

Rebuilding and restructuring

In 2022, the nonprofit whistleblower site Distributed Denial of Secrets leaked more than 38,000 names on the Oath Keepers’ membership list.

The Anti-Defamation League estimated that nearly 400 of the names were active law enforcement officers, and that over 100 were serving in the military. Some of these members were investigated by their workplaces but never disciplined for their involvement with the group.

Some members who were not military or law enforcement did lose their jobs over their affiliation. But they held government-related positions, such as a Wisconsin alderman who resigned after he was identified as a member.

This breach of privacy, paired with the dissolution of the organization after Rhodes’ sentencing, will help shape the group going forward.

In his interview with “The Gateway Pundit,” where he announced the group’s relaunch, Rhodes said: “I want to make it clear, like I said, my goal would be to make it more cancel-proof than before. We’ll have resilient, redundant IT that makes it really difficult to take down. … And I want to make sure I get – put people in charge and leadership everywhere in the country so that, you know, down the road, if I’m taken out again, that it can still live on under good leadership without me being there.”

There was a similar shift in organizational structure with the Proud Boys in 2018. That’s when their founder, Gavin McInnes, stepped away from the organization. His departure came after a group of Proud Boys members were involved in a fight with anti-fascists in New York.

Several men dressed in military gear stand in front of a federal building.
Members of the Oath Keepers stand on the East Front of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.
AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta, File

Prosecutors wanted to try the group as a gang. McInnes, therefore, distanced himself to support their defense that they weren’t in a gang or criminal organization. Ultimately, two of the members were sentenced to four years in prison for attempted gang assault charges.

Some Proud Boys members have told me they have since focused on creating local chapters, with in-person recruitment, that communicate on private messaging apps. They aim to protect themselves from legal classification as a gang. It also makes it harder for investigators or activist journalists to monitor them.

This is referred to as a cell style of organization, which is popular with insurgency groups. These groups are organized to rebel against authority and overthrow government structures. The cell organizational style does not have a robust hierarchy but instead produces smaller groups. They all adhere to the same ideology but may not be directly associated.

They may have a leader, but it’s often acknowledged that they are merely a figurehead, not someone giving direct orders. For the Proud Boys, this would be former leader Enrique Tarrio. Proud Boys members I’ve spoken to have referred to him as a “mascot” and not their leader.

Looking ahead

So what does the Rhodes interview indicate about the future of Oath Keepers?

Members will continue supporting Trump while also recruiting more retired military and law enforcement officers. They will create an organizational structure designed to outlive Rhodes. And based on my interactions with the far-right, I believe it’s likely they will create an organizational structure similar to that of the cell style for organizing.

Beyond that, they are going to try to own their IT, which includes hosting their websites and also using trusted online revenue generators.

This will likely provide added security, protecting their membership rolls while making it more difficult for law enforcement agencies to investigate them in the future.

The Conversation

Alexander Lowie does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. The ‘sacred’ pledge that will power the relaunch of far-right militia Oath Keepers – https://theconversation.com/the-sacred-pledge-that-will-power-the-relaunch-of-far-right-militia-oath-keepers-269775

Has the Fed fixed the economy yet? And other burning economic questions for 2026

Source: The Conversation – USA (2) – By D. Brian Blank, Associate Professor of Finance, Mississippi State University

The U.S. economy heads into 2026 in an unusual place: Inflation is down from its peak in mid-2022, growth has held up better than many expected, and yet American households say that things still feel shaky. Uncertainty is the watchword, especially with a major Supreme Court ruling on tariffs on the horizon.

To find out what’s coming next, The Conversation U.S. checked in with finance professors Brian Blank and Brandy Hadley, who study how businesses make decisions amid uncertainty. Their forecasts for 2025 and 2024 held up notably well. Here’s what they’re expecting from 2026 – and what that could mean for households, workers, investors and the Federal Reserve:

What’s next for the Federal Reserve?

The Fed closed out 2025 by slashing its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point – the third cut in a year. The move reopened a familiar debate: Is the Fed’s easing cycle coming to an end, or does the cooling labor market signal a long-anticipated recession on the horizon?

While unemployment remains relatively low by historical standards, it has crept up modestly since 2023, and entry-level workers are starting to feel more pressure. What’s more, history reminds us that when unemployment rises, it can do so quickly. So economists are continuing to watch closely for signs of trouble.

So far, the broader labor market offers little evidence of widespread worsening, and the most recent employment report may even be more favorable than the top-line numbers made it appear. Layoffs remain low relative to the size of the workforce – though this isn’t uncommon – and more importantly, wage growth continues to hold up. That’s in spite of the economy adding fewer jobs than most periods outside of recessions.

Gross domestic product has been surprisingly resilient; it’s expected to continue growing faster than the pre-pandemic norm and on par with recent years. That said, the recent shutdown has prevented the government from collecting important economic data that Federal Reserve policymakers use to make their decisions. Does that raise the risk of a policy miscue and potential downturn? Probably. Still, we aren’t concerned yet.

And we aren’t alone, with many economists noting that low unemployment is more important than slow job growth. Other economists continue to signal caution without alarm.

Consumers, the largest driver of economic growth, continue spendingperhaps unsustainably – with strength becoming increasingly uneven. Delinquency rates – the share of borrowers who are behind on required loan payments in housing, autos and elsewherehave risen from historic lows, while savings balances have declined from unusually high post-pandemic levels. A more pronounced K-shaped pattern in household financial health has emerged, with older higher-income households benefiting from labor markets and already seeming past the worst financial hardship.

Still, other households are stretched, even as gas prices fall. This contributes to a continuing “vibecession,” a term popularized by Kyla Scanlon to describe the disconnect between strong aggregate economic data and weaker lived experiences amid economic growth. As lower-income households feel the pinch of tariffs, wealthier households continue to drive consumer spending.

For the Fed, that’s the puzzle: solid top-line numbers, growing pockets of stress and noisier data – all at once. With this unevenness and weakness in some sectors, the next big question is what could tip the balance toward a slowdown or another year of growth. And increasingly, all eyes are on AI.

Is artificial intelligence a bubble?

The dreaded “B-word” is popping up in AI market coverage more often, and comparisons to everything from the railroad boom to the dot-com era are increasingly common.

Stock prices in some technology firms undoubtedly look expensive as they rise faster than earnings. This may be because markets expect more rate cuts coming from the Fed soon, and it is also why companies are talking more about going public. In some ways, this looks similar to bubbles of the past. At the risk of repeating the four most dangerous words in investing: Is this time different?

Comparisons are always imperfect, so we won’t linger on the differences between this time and two decades ago when the dot-com bubble burst. Let’s instead focus on what we know about bubbles.

Economists often categorize bubbles into two types. Inflection bubbles are driven by genuine technological breakthroughs and ultimately transform the economy, even if they involve excess along the way. Think the internet or transcontinental railroad. Mean-reversion bubbles, by contrast, are fads that inflate and collapse without transforming the underlying industry. Some examples include the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008 and The South Sea Company collapse of 1720.

If AI represents a true technological inflection – and early productivity gains and rapid cost declines suggest it may – then the more important questions center on how this investment is being financed.

Debt is best suited for predictable, cash-generating investments, while equity is more appropriate for highly uncertain innovations. Private credit is riskier still and often signals that traditional financing is unavailable. So we’re watching bond markets and the capital structure of AI investment closely. This is particularly important given the growing reliance on debt financing in some large-scale infrastructure projects, especially at firms like Oracle and CoreWeave, which already seem overextended.

For now, caution, not panic, is warranted. Concentrated bets on single firms with limited revenues remain risky. At the same time, it may be premature to lose sleep over “technology companies” broadly defined or even investments in data centers. Innovation is diffusing across the economy, and these tech firms are all quite different. And, as always, if it helps you sleep better, changing your investments to safer bonds and cash is rarely a risky decision.

A quiet but meaningful shift is also underway beneath the surface. Market gains are beginning to broaden beyond mega-cap technology firms, the largest and most heavily weighted companies in major stock indexes. Financials, consumer discretionary companies and some industrials are benefiting from improving sentiment, cost efficiencies and the prospect of greater policy clarity ahead. Still, policy challenges remain ahead for AI and housing with midterms looming.

Will things ever feel affordable again?

Policymakers, economists and investors have increasingly shifted their focus from “inflation” to “affordability,” with housing remaining one of the largest pressure points for many Americans, particularly first-time buyers.

In some cases, housing costs have doubled as a share of income over the past decade, forcing households to delay purchases, take more risk or even give up on hopes of homeownership entirely. That pressure matters not only for housing itself, but for sentiment and consumption more broadly.

Still, there are early signs of relief: Rents have begun to decline in many markets, especially where new supply is coming online, like in Las Vegas, Atlanta and Austin, Texas. Local conditions such as zoning rules, housing supply, population growth and job markets continue to dominate, but even modest improvements in affordability can meaningfully affect household balance sheets and confidence.

Looking beyond the housing market, inflation has fallen considerably since 2021, but certain types of services, such as insurance, remain sticky. Immigration policy also plays an important role here, and changes to labor supply could influence wage pressures and inflation dynamics going forward.

There are real challenges ahead: high housing costs, uneven consumer health, fiscal pressures amid aging demographics and persistent geopolitical risks.

But there are also meaningful offsets: tentative rent declines, broadening equity market participation, falling AI costs and productivity gains that may help cool inflation without breaking the labor market.

Encouragingly, greater clarity on taxes, tariffs, regulation and monetary policy may arrive in the coming year. When it does, it could help unlock delayed business investment across multiple sectors, an outcome the Federal Reserve itself appears to be anticipating.

If there is one lesson worth emphasizing, it’s this: Uncertainty is always greater than anyone expects. As the oft-quoted baseball sage Yogi Berra memorably put it, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”

Still, these forces may converge in a way that keeps the expansion intact long enough for sentiment to catch up with the data. Perhaps 2026 will be even better than 2025, as attention shifts from markets and macroeconomics toward things that money can’t buy.

The Conversation

The authors do not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and have disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Has the Fed fixed the economy yet? And other burning economic questions for 2026 – https://theconversation.com/has-the-fed-fixed-the-economy-yet-and-other-burning-economic-questions-for-2026-272127

La dieta deja huella: el impacto oculto de la alimentación en la fertilidad masculina

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Marc Llavanera, Investigador posdoctoral en Biotecnología Reproductiva, Universitat de Girona

Según un estudio publicado por los autores del artículo, consumir habitualmente productos de origen vegetal ultraprocesado, como las patatas fritas, puede alterar el ADN de los espermatozoides. Pixel-Shot/Shutterstock

La infertilidad afecta a una de cada seis parejas, y la causa es de origen masculino en casi la mitad de ellas. Actualmente, sabemos con bastante certeza que el estilo de vida influye de manera importante en la salud reproductiva del hombre, y la alimentación es uno de los factores clave.

Pero no se trata solo de “comer sano”. El espermatozoide es una célula muy sensible a distintos componentes de la dieta. Algunos nutrientes pueden favorecer su funcionamiento, mientras que otros lo perjudican. Estas influencias afectan a su capacidad para cumplir su misión: entregar la mitad del material genético al óvulo para dar inicio a una nueva vida.

La fertilidad también se cocina con hábitos

Entonces, ¿qué hay que comer? La pregunta parece simple, pero la respuesta no lo es tanto. A menudo los hombres que desean ser padres buscan alimentos o suplementos para mejorar la calidad de su esperma. Y es cierto que estudios con alto grado de evidencia muestran que algunos componentes como los ácidos grasos omega-3, el zinc o la fibra dietética pueden favorecer la salud espermática, mientras que otros como las carnes procesadas, los azúcares simples o el café en exceso se asocian a un efecto negativo.

Sin embargo, la mirada ingrediente por ingrediente se queda corta para entender el impacto real de la alimentación en la fertilidad masculina. La ciencia apunta cada vez más hacia el concepto de “patrón dietético”, es decir, el conjunto de hábitos alimentarios y la combinación de alimentos que caracterizan la dieta global.

Dicho de otro modo, es la forma en que comemos cada día, y no un alimento específico, lo que realmente marca la diferencia en nuestra salud y fertilidad.

Los estudios muestran que los patrones dietéticos saludables, como la dieta mediterránea, se asocian con una mejor calidad seminal. En cambio, los patrones de estilo occidental, ricos en ultraprocesados, fritos, carnes procesadas y azúcares añadidos, se relacionan con peores resultados. El mensaje es claro: la fertilidad masculina no depende de un “superalimento”, sino de la coherencia del conjunto de hábitos alimentarios.

La dieta deja huella en el ADN

Hasta hace poco se pensaba que la dieta influía sobre todo en parámetros clásicos del semen, como su movilidad, concentración o morfología. Sin embargo, estudios recientes han mostrado un hallazgo más profundo: puede modificar la integridad molecular del espermatozoide.

En un estudio que publicamos recientemente en Reproductive BioMedicine Online, dentro del proyecto internacional Led‑Fertyl y en colaboración con la Universitat Rovira i Virgili (URV), el Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Pere Virgili y la Universitat de Girona , observamos que la dieta también puede influir en el ADN del esperma.

En concreto, detectamos que los hombres que seguían un patrón alimentario basado en productos de origen vegetal pero con un alto nivel de procesamiento –como snacks, fritos, bollería o bebidas azucaradas– presentaban niveles más elevados de un marcador que refleja un empaquetamiento anómalo del ADN del espermatozoide. Este tipo de alteración se ha relacionado, en diferentes estudios, con una menor probabilidad de fecundación y con un peor desarrollo embrionario.

Y aún hay más que tener en cuenta. Buena parte de la evidencia actual en este campo procede de estudios con animales, donde se ha observado que dietas paternas muy ricas en grasas pueden modificar pequeñas moléculas del esperma llamadas sncRNA (siglas de small non coding RNAs). Los sncRNA actúan como “sensores metabólicos” y pueden transmitirse al embrión. En este tipo de modelos, la descendencia mostró un mayor riesgo de alteraciones metabólicas, aunque estos resultados no pueden extrapolarse de forma directa a humanos.

Y por si fuera poco, la literatura científica también señala la existencia de cambios epigenéticos inducidos por la dieta: modificaciones químicas que actúan como pequeños “interruptores” en el ADN, capaces de apagar o encender genes. La alimentación paterna podría modular estos “interruptores” del esperma sin alterar la secuencia de ADN, influyendo en las primeras etapas del desarrollo del embrión.

Aunque la magnitud de tales efectos aún se está investigando, todo ello refuerza la idea de que la dieta no solo afecta a la fertilidad masculina, sino también al material genético que transmite el espermatozoide.

La paternidad empieza mucho antes del embarazo

El espermatozoide responde a lo que come regularmente el padre y esa respuesta puede dejar una huella funcional e incluso heredable. Pero esto no significa que pequeños desajustes dietéticos tengan consecuencias inevitables: hablamos de modificaciones del riesgo, no de determinismo biológico. Por eso, más que buscar alimentos “milagro”, lo esencial es mantener un patrón dietético saludable y sostenido en el tiempo, basado en alimentos frescos, mínimamente procesados y ricos en nutrientes.

The Conversation

Las personas firmantes no son asalariadas, ni consultoras, ni poseen acciones, ni reciben financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y han declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado anteriormente.

ref. La dieta deja huella: el impacto oculto de la alimentación en la fertilidad masculina – https://theconversation.com/la-dieta-deja-huella-el-impacto-oculto-de-la-alimentacion-en-la-fertilidad-masculina-271218

More women, same inequalities: How symbolic violence quietly persists in Indonesian diplomacy

Source: The Conversation – Indonesia – By Kanti Pertiwi, Assistant Professor in Organisation Studies, Universitas Indonesia

Although the world of diplomacy often seen as glamorous and progressive, women and men continue to operate within a gender order that privileges masculine norms, while women still struggle to be recognised fully as diplomats and as independent subjects, beyond their social roles as wives or mothers.

Our recently published policy brief reveals a side of diplomacy that is rarely discussed, and is even considered taboo: how symbolic violence — a form of domination in everyday life by the dominant group through written and unwritten rules — is reproduced through formal and informal institutional practices.

We focus particularly on the everyday experiences of women in diplomacy — both female diplomats and the wives of diplomats.

Everyday diplomacy in postcolonial Indonesia

In Indonesia, diplomats are also civil servants, making them subject to a range of written and unwritten bureaucratic rules, including the legacy of “state ibuism” — a state-sponsored gender ideology formulated during Suharto’s New Order era.

Our research is the first to integrate an analysis of everyday diplomatic practices with a historical understanding of how state ibuism operates in and around diplomatic institutions.

In everyday diplomacy, both female diplomats and diplomats’ wives are expected to embody the ibu (mothers) ideal — that women should be fully responsible in taking care of their children, skilful in hospitality, catering, decoration, and femininely dressed.

In various ways, the women diplomats in our study narrated how they are often assigned to handling catering duties, shopping for office needs, and attending arisan, a rotating savings gathering.

These are akin to symbolic violence maintained through rules and social punishments. They normalise and reproduce gender hierarchy through everyday organisational routines, often sustained by those who, having internalised these norms, become complicit in reproducing them and consider them as neutral.

The wives of diplomats are also expected to be loyal partners who support their husband’s mission abroad without pay. This often means mastering traditional cooking, performing traditional dances, and playing traditional musical instruments such as gamelan and angklung.

Such practices are consistent with the research finding that 42% of our study participants, consisting of diplomats and their spouses, reported experiencing unpleasant treatment because of their gender.

Indonesian embassies and consulates around the world often treat diplomats’ wives as cultural agents, a practice rooted in the New Order institutional legacy of Dharma Wanita (women’s virtue), a social organisation composed of the wives of civil servants.

Despite claims of reforms, it continuously promotes state ibuism.

One of our participants elaborated on how those who are not willing to participate fully in Dharma Wanita often face intimidation and social sanctions.

These seemingly mundane practices quietly reinforce a patriarchal gender order and constitute forms of symbolic violence, creating distressing experiences for many of our participants, both diplomats and their spouses.

Debunking myths

Many assume that having more women in diplomacy automatically signals a more equitable diplomatic field. This perception is misleading.

Symbolic violence continues to operate quietly through everyday norms and expectations, reproducing gendered hierarchies despite numerical gains.

As a result, broader representation does not necessarily translate into equal access to social capital, visibility, or strategic opportunities. Women may enter in greater numbers, yet still find themselves constrained by gendered expectations that determine the roles they can take on and how their contributions are valued.

Another myth worth debunking is the belief that empowered, educated women from privileged backgrounds are somehow immune to violence. This is simply untrue.

First, examining how gender functions within elite institutions reveals how power operates at the top tiers of society. Women holding “elite” state positions show how the state shapes and enforces a narrative of the “ideal woman.”

Second, privilege does not erase gendered power. Even privileged women continue to experience structural inequalities – often in more subtle ways. Privilege can mask, rather than eliminate, systems of gender domination.

Why gendered practices endure in MoFA

Our research shows despite the growing number of women entering the diplomatic corps, especially within the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MoFA), everyday gendered practices continue to persist.

Gendered practices persist in elite diplomatic institutions.
Pancasila Building at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Office in Jakarta.
Influez Studio/Shutterstock

This persistence is deeply shaped by MoFA’s militaristic organisational style inherited from the New Order era. Following the 1965–66 purge, Suharto embedded military logic into MoFA’s structure and culture through the hybridisation of Cold War anti-communist ideology with US military family norms.

This influence continued even after the Reform era. MoFA retained key New Order legacies, such as rigid hierarchy, a culture of seniority, and moral conservatism regarding gender roles. These cultural residues form the institutional terrain in which State Ibuism continues to take hold.

As a result, the logic of housewifisation persists: women diplomats and diplomats’ wives are expected to embody ibu-like morality, supporting representational roles such as event hosting and cultural performances, and adhere to gendered norms of behaviour and appearance.

The military-style gender regime of the New Order thus continues to shape diplomatic femininity and constrain women’s authority in Indonesia’s foreign service.

Possibilities for disruption

To move forward, MoFA must begin by recognising the limitations of its existing organisational culture. Our policy brief offers three recommendations:

First, the current gender mainstreaming strategy should continue, but it needs to move beyond performative metrics. A rigorous audit is essential to assess its real impact on women and on others whose voices are rarely heard within the bureaucracy.

Second, strong leadership commitment is essential to chart a meaningful path forward and strengthen the institution. Leaders serve as key gatekeepers, determining how far gender mainstreaming can move beyond symbolic compliance.

Finally, MoFA needs a permanent gender task force capable of sustained coordination, monitoring, and cultural change. Such a task force should provide consistent leadership and oversight, ensuring that gender mainstreaming achieves continuity and quality rather than remaining a collection of isolated activities.

The Conversation

Kanti Pertiwi terafiliasi dengan Akademi Ilmuwan Muda Indonesia (ALMI)

Fitri Hariana Oktaviani terafiliasi dengan Akademi Ilmuwan Muda Indonesia (ALMI)

ref. More women, same inequalities: How symbolic violence quietly persists in Indonesian diplomacy – https://theconversation.com/more-women-same-inequalities-how-symbolic-violence-quietly-persists-in-indonesian-diplomacy-269281

Choosing a career? In a fast-changing job market, listen to your inner self – counsellor

Source: The Conversation – Africa – By Kobus Maree, Professor of Educational Psychology, University of Pretoria

The world of work today, in the 21st century, is far more unpredictable than it was in the 20th century. Jobs come and go, roles change constantly, and automation and digital disruption are the only constants. Many young people will one day do jobs that don’t yet exist or did not exist a few years ago. Change is the new normal.

In this world, career counselling focuses on navigating repeated transitions and developing resilience. It is about employability and designing meaningful work-lives – not about finding a single “job for life”. It recognises that economic activity is part of wider social realities.

At its heart is the search for a sense of purpose.

As a career counsellor and academic, I’ve been through decades of innovation, research, and practice in South Africa and beyond. I have found that the work of US counselling psychologist Mark Savickas offers a useful way to understand how people build successful and purpose-filled careers in changing times.

His career construction theory says that rather than trying to “match” people to the “right” environment, counsellors should see their clients as authors of their own careers, constantly trying to create meaning, clarify their career-life themes, and adapt to an unpredictable world.

In simple terms, this means in practice that career decisions are not just about skills or interests, but about how we make sense of our lives. They are about our values and how we adapt when the world shifts.

In my own work I emphasise that career counselling should draw on people’s “stories” (how they understand themselves) as well as their “scores” (information about them). This is why I developed instruments that blend qualitative and quantitative approaches to exploring a person’s interests.

I also think career counselling should be grounded in context – the world each person lives in. For example, in South Africa, young people face multiple career-life transitions, limited opportunities and systemic constraints, such as uneven and restricted access to quality education and schooling, lack of employment opportunities, and insufficient career counselling support. My work in this South African context emphasises (personal) agency, (career) adaptability, purpose, and hope.




Read more:
Millions of young South Africans are without jobs: what are the answers?


This goes beyond “what job suits you best”, into a richer, narrative-based process. Clients recount their career-life story, identify “crossroads”, reflect on their values and purpose, and design their next career-life chapters. Essentially, this approach helps them listen to themselves – to their memories, dreams, prospects, values, and emerging self- and career identities – and construct a story that really matters to the self and others.

I also believe that career counsellors should try to help people deal with their disappointments, sadness and pain, and empower them to heal others and themselves.

Tips for career builders

Adaptability is a central theme in current career theory. It has four dimensions:

  • concern (about the future)

  • control (over your destiny)

  • curiosity (exploring possibilities)

  • confidence (in your capacity to act).

When you develop these capacities, you are better equipped to manage career-life transitions, redesign your career appropriately and promptly, and achieve a meaningful work-life balance.




Read more:
It’s important to rethink the purpose of university education – a philosopher of education explains why


I have found that in practice it’s helpful to:

  • reflect on key “turning points” in your career-life and earliest memories

  • integrate self-understanding with awareness of what’s happening in an industry, technology and the economy

  • draw on “stories” (subjective information about yourself) and “scores” (objective data)

  • develop a sense of mission (what the job means for you personally) and vision (your contribution to society, not just your job title).

I invite you to reflect deeply on your story, identify the key moments that shaped you, clarify your values, and decide what contribution you want to make. Then (re-)design your way forward, step by step, one transition at a time.

If it’s possible, a gap year can be a good time to do this reflection, learn new skills and develop qualities in yourself, like adaptability.

One of the best pieces of advice for school leavers I’ve ever seen was this: “Get yourself a passport and travel the world.”

How a counsellor can help

One of the key tenets of my work is the belief that career counselling should be beneficial not only to individuals but also to groups of people. It should promote the ideals of social justice, decent work, and the meaningful contribution of all people to society.




Read more:
Millions of young South Africans are jobless: study finds that giving them ‘soft’ skills like networking helps their prospects


For me, the role of practitioners is not to advise others but to enable them to listen to their inner selves.

To put it another way: in a world of uncertainty, purpose becomes a compass; a North Star. It gives direction. By helping you find the threads that hold your life together and your unique career story, a counsellor helps you take control of your career-life in changing contexts.

There’s also a shift of emphasis in career counselling towards promoting the sustainability of societies and environments on which all livelihoods are dependent.

Career counselling is more vital than ever – not a luxury. It’s not about providing answers but about helping people become adaptive, reflective, resilient and hopeful.

The Conversation

Kobus Maree does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Choosing a career? In a fast-changing job market, listen to your inner self – counsellor – https://theconversation.com/choosing-a-career-in-a-fast-changing-job-market-listen-to-your-inner-self-counsellor-268920

Comment s’assurer que l’eau est potable : quatre conseils pratiques

Source: The Conversation – in French – By Jo Barnes, Senior Lecturer Emeritus, Stellenbosch University

L’eau est une ressource vitale. La vie sur Terre, telle que nous la connaissons, serait impossible sans accès à une eau potable sûre. Depuis longtemps, la qualité de l’eau distribuée par les municipalités inquiète de plus en plus les consommateurs.

En Afrique du Sud, les problèmes généralisés liés à la disponibilité et à la qualité de l’eau potable dans les zones urbaines ont été bien documentés. Ils provoquent souvent des protestations.

Par exemple, la municipalité d’eThekwini, une grande ville portuaire, a connu des manifestations à cause de coupures d’électricité et d’eau. Johannesburg, centre économique du pays, fait face aux mêmes difficultés

Il existe de nombreux types de contaminants qui peuvent menacer la sécurité et la qualité de l’eau potable. Les principaux polluants de l’eau sont les organismes pathogènes (agents pathogènes) et les produits chimiques toxiques.

L’eau potable ne se limite pas à la quantité relativement faible que l’on boit. L’eau utilisée pour se brosser les dents, laver les aliments, se laver les mains (surtout avant de s’occuper des enfants) ou nettoyer la vaisselle est tout aussi importante. En période de pénurie, elle doit être prioritaire.

En tant que chercheur travaillant depuis des décennies sur les questions liées à l’eau, à la santé et à la qualité de l’eau, je propose ici quelques conseils sur la manière dont on peut purifier l’eau et faire face aux coupures d’eau.

Il n’est pas possible pour le grand public de purifier à domicile toute l’eau qui lui est fournie chaque jour. Cela serait tout simplement trop coûteux et trop laborieux. Les conseils ci-dessous se concentrent donc sur les situations où des catastrophes ou des urgences obligent les habitants à purifier temporairement l’eau potable pour eux-mêmes et leur famille.

Rendre l’eau potable

Un filtre simple : si la seule eau disponible n’a pas été purifiée par un système officiel, versez-la dans un tamis recouvert d’une ou plusieurs couches de papier absorbant ou d’un torchon. Lorsque le « filtre » est bouché, remplacez-le par une couche propre. Ne réutilisez pas le torchon sale sans l’avoir soigneusement lavé à l’eau chaude et au savon et séché au soleil.

Ébullition : faites bouillir l’eau filtrée pendant au moins 3 minutes. L’ébullition de l’eau filtrée éliminera les organismes pathogènes. Elle ne supprimera pas les produits chimiques nocifs qui pourraient être présents, mais elle peut réduire la concentration de certains d’entre eux.

Eau javelisée : ajoutez une cuillère à café d’eau de Javel ménagère non parfumée (5 millilitres d’une solution d’hypochlorite de sodium à 3,5 %) à 25 litres d’eau pour le traitement de l’eau potable. Mélangez bien, couvrez le récipient et laissez reposer l’eau pendant au moins deux heures avant de l’utiliser.

Cela devrait désinfecter la plupart des organismes pathogènes et rendre l’eau beaucoup plus sûre à utiliser. Important : n’utilisez jamais de produits contenant de la Javel mélangée à des détergents. Utilisez uniquement de la Javel non parfumée.

Désinfection solaire de l’eau : surnommée SODIS, cette méthode permet de désinfecter l’eau en tuant les organismes pathogènes à l’aide de la lumière du soleil. Remplissez des bouteilles en verre (de préférence) ou en plastique avec de l’eau contaminée et placez-les en plein soleil pendant au moins six heures par temps ensoleillé ou jusqu’à deux jours si le temps est couvert. La chaleur et les rayons ultraviolets du soleil désinfectent l’eau en tuant la plupart des organismes pathogènes.

Un problème qui prend de l’ampleur

La qualité de l’eau fournie aux populations d’Afrique du Sud continue de se détériorer. Cela est dû au vieillissement ou à la dégradation des infrastructures, à l’insuffisance du traitement de l’eau et des eaux usées, au manque de formation du personnel et à la présence de sources de pollution importantes et incontrôlées.

Le rapport Blue Drop de 2023 est la dernière publication officielle du ministère de l’Eau et de l’Assainissement. Il a révélé que seuls 26 systèmes d’approvisionnement en eau ont obtenu une note Blue Drop d’environ 95 %. Ce chiffre est en baisse par rapport aux 44 systèmes d’approvisionnement en eau qui avaient obtenu cette distinction en 2014. À l’échelle nationale, 29 % des systèmes d’approvisionnement en eau ont été identifiés comme étant dans un état critique.

L’organisation non gouvernementale AfriForum a testé la qualité de l’eau potable municipale de 210 villes et villages à travers l’Afrique du Sud en 2024 (soit 17 sites de plus qu’en 2023).

Les tests ont montré que 87 % de l’eau potable municipale était propre à la consommation humaine et répondait aux exigences minimales. Cela représente une baisse de neuf points de pourcentage par rapport aux 96 % jugés sûrs l’année précédente.

La qualité de l’eau n’est pas le seul aspect de l’approvisionnement en eau qui affecte la santé et la sécurité des citoyens. La disponibilité de l’eau est cruciale pour l’hygiène et la sécurité des conditions de vie. Depuis des années, certaines régions du pays connaissent des coupures d’eau généralisées en raison d’une combinaison de facteurs : sécheresses induites par le changement climatique, infrastructures vieillissantes et mal entretenues, croissance démographique et mauvaise gestion. Des perturbations fréquentes et prolongées ont été observées, en particulier dans la région de Johannesburg.

Cela a contraint les municipalités à mettre en place des mesures de restriction, de limitation et de rationnement de l’eau. Le rationnement de l’eau survient généralement lorsque la demande en eau dépasse l’offre disponible. Cette situation oblige les autorités à rationner l’eau. Cela peut se traduire par des coupures d’eau programmées, une réduction de la pression de l’eau, voire une interruption totale de l’approvisionnement dans certaines zones pendant une période donnée. La limitation de la consommation d’eau consiste à réduire la pression de l’eau afin de diminuer la consommation, tandis que le rationnement de l’eau signifie que seule une certaine quantité d’eau est disponible par jour ou par semaine.

Un nouveau rapport publié par le ministère de l’Eau et de l’Assainissement met en garde contre le fait que les provinces de Gauteng et du Cap-Occidental, en particulier, vont être confrontées à une pénurie d’eau croissante en raison de l’augmentation de la population due à l’immigration.

The Conversation

Jo Barnes does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Comment s’assurer que l’eau est potable : quatre conseils pratiques – https://theconversation.com/comment-sassurer-que-leau-est-potable-quatre-conseils-pratiques-271549

El nuevo impuesto europeo al carbono puede transformar el comercio global y nuestros hábitos de consumo

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Simona Sagone, Visiting PhD Candidate, Ecological Transition, Lund University

Puerto de Barcelona, España. Elxeneize/Shutterstock

Para los ciudadanos de la UE, el precio de su próximo coche, la reforma de su vivienda e incluso los productos locales podrían verse pronto afectados por una política climática que muchos ni siquiera conocen. Esta nueva normativa, que entrará plenamente en vigor el día de Año Nuevo, no solo afecta a la industria pesada, sino también a los productos de uso cotidiano, que ahora se enfrentan a un coste adicional por las emisiones de carbono cuando entran en Europa.

El mecanismo de ajuste en frontera por emisiones de carbono (CBAM) impone un precio al carbono a muchos productos importados, lo que significa que los importadores con sede en la UE pagarán por los gases de efecto invernadero emitidos durante la producción de determinados materiales intensivos en carbono.

Si los productos proceden de países con normas climáticas menos estrictas, el cargo será más elevado. Para vender a la UE, las empresas tendrán que demostrar que sus productos no son demasiado intensivos en carbono.

El objetivo es evitar que las compañías trasladen su producción a lugares con normativas menos estrictas, garantizando una competencia leal entre las firmas de la UE y las de fuera de la UE, al tiempo que se incentiva la descarbonización global.

Tras una fase de prueba, las obligaciones de pago completas comenzarán el 1 de enero de 2026, cuando los importadores tendrán que comprar certificados CBAM para cubrir las emisiones incorporadas en productos como el hierro y el acero, el aluminio, el cemento, los fertilizantes, el hidrógeno y (eventualmente) la electricidad.

Aunque se trata de una política climática de la UE, el CBAM parece destinado a cambiar las reglas del juego en el comercio mundial. Los países que dependen de las exportaciones de la UE pueden verse obligados a realizar costosas inversiones en tecnologías más limpias y en un mejor seguimiento de las emisiones, o correr el riesgo de perder cuota de mercado.

gráfico del globo terráqueo, dos manos sosteniendo un barco, dinero
Cada vez más países están introduciendo sistemas de fijación de precios del carbono.
Buravleva stock/Shutterstock

Ya se está produciendo un cambio positivo: cada vez más empresas miden y comunican sus emisiones con precisión, respondiendo a la creciente demanda de datos fiables sobre el carbono. Al mismo tiempo, un número cada vez mayor de países está introduciendo sus propios sistemas de fijación de precios del carbono para mantenerse en consonancia con la UE y proteger la competitividad de sus exportaciones.

Marruecos es un ejemplo destacado: su ley de finanzas de 2025 introduce gradualmente un impuesto sobre el carbono a partir de enero de 2026. Dado que las empresas marroquíes ya pagarán un precio por el carbono a nivel nacional, es probable que sus exportaciones eviten los cargos adicionales del CBAM en la frontera de la UE, lo que les ayudará a seguir siendo competitivas.




Leer más:
¿Aceptaríamos en España un impuesto al carbono?


En muchos países, el CBAM también está acelerando el interés por las energías renovables y los procesos industriales más ecológicos. Algunos no lo ven como una amenaza, sino como una oportunidad para atraer inversiones y posicionarse como centros de fabricación con bajas emisiones de carbono.

Sin embargo, este mecanismo sigue siendo controvertido. Para las empresas, el CBAM es complejo y supone una gran carga administrativa. Las empresas necesitan sistemas sólidos para medir las emisiones incorporadas, recopilar datos de los proveedores y elaborar declaraciones medioambientales de los productos. Muchas también necesitarán nuevos contratos de energía renovable para reducir su huella de carbono.

En todo el mundo, el CBAM ha sido objeto de fuertes críticas. India y China la describen como “proteccionismo verde”, argumentando que ejerce una presión injusta sobre las economías en desarrollo. Al mismo tiempo, la UE aún no ha creado una financiación específica para ayudar a los exportadores de los países con ingresos más bajos a adaptarse. Sin este apoyo, es posible que el mecanismo no logre los resultados deseados.

¿Qué pasa con los consumidores?

Aunque el CBAM está dirigido principalmente a la industria, sus efectos secundarios llegarán a los consumidores de la UE. Es poco probable que los importadores absorban la totalidad del coste adicional, lo que significa que es probable que los precios aumenten, especialmente en el caso de los productos que dependen en gran medida del acero, el aluminio o el cemento. Esto podría significar que Europa se enfrente a un aumento de los costes de los automóviles, los electrodomésticos, los productos electrónicos, los materiales de construcción e, indirectamente, la producción de alimentos (a través de los fertilizantes).

Al mismo tiempo, el CBAM puede aportar más transparencia. Dado que los importadores deben informar de las emisiones incorporadas en sus productos, los consumidores pueden acabar disponiendo de información más clara sobre el impacto climático de lo que compran.

El mecanismo también generará ingresos para la UE procedentes de la venta de certificados. Se espera que estos ingresos sirvan para ayudar a los hogares vulnerables de muchos países europeos, así como para financiar tecnologías limpias y mejorar la eficiencia energética. La forma en que se utilicen los fondos será crucial para la aceptación pública del nuevo impuesto sobre el carbono de Europa.

Incluso antes de su plena aplicación, el CBAM ya está remodelando las cadenas de suministro e influyendo en las políticas gubernamentales mucho más allá de las fronteras de Europa. Puede desencadenar disputas comerciales, empujar a los exportadores a adoptar la fijación de precios del carbono y poner de relieve la necesidad de más financiación climática para apoyar a los países en desarrollo que están llevando a cabo transiciones industriales ecológicas.

Para muchos consumidores europeos, es probable que esto signifique un aumento gradual de los precios y, potencialmente, decisiones de compra más conscientes del clima. Entre bastidores, supone un cambio significativo en la forma en que el comercio mundial contabiliza el carbono y en cómo la política climática llega a la vida cotidiana de las personas.

The Conversation

Simona Sagone no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. El nuevo impuesto europeo al carbono puede transformar el comercio global y nuestros hábitos de consumo – https://theconversation.com/el-nuevo-impuesto-europeo-al-carbono-puede-transformar-el-comercio-global-y-nuestros-habitos-de-consumo-272408