¿Por qué la candidiasis vaginal continúa siendo un problema médico tan frecuente?

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Guillermo Quindós-Andrés, Catedrático de Microbiología Médica, Departamento de Inmunología, Microbiología y Parasitología, Facultad de Medicina y Enfermería (UPV/EHU) & Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Biobizkaia, Universidad del País Vasco / Euskal Herriko Unibertsitatea

‘Candida albicans’ obtenido en un frotis vaginal de una paciente con candidiasis vaginal donde se observa el aspecto tubular (hifas) de este hongo. CDC/ Dr. Stuart Brown

La candidiasis vaginal es una de las enfermedades genitales más extendidas en el mundo. También conocida como vaginitis o vulvovaginitis candidiásica –y, de forma más coloquial, “tener cándida”–, se estima que ocho de cada diez mujeres sufrirán al menos un episodio agudo a lo largo de su vida. De estas, la mitad experimentará una recaída y aproximadamente una de cada diez desarrollará una candidiasis recurrente, etiquetada así cuando la paciente padece cuatro o más episodios anuales de la dolencia. En total, se calcula que 140 millones de mujeres sufren esa modalidad de la infección.

¿Por qué se producen?

La mayoría de las candidiasis vaginales son causadas por el hongo microscópico Candida albicans, que forma parte de nuestra microbiota sin causar ningún daño. En la vagina, Candida convive con bacterias beneficiosas, como los lactobacilos, en un entorno ácido que mantiene el equilibrio microbiano. Sin embargo, cuando la microbiota vaginal se altera –por ejemplo, tras el uso de antibióticos–, Candida puede causar una infección.

Los síntomas incluyen picor (prurito), ardor, presencia de lesiones blanquecinas en la mucosa vaginal y un aumento del flujo. En los casos más graves, puede aparecer dolor al orinar (disuria) y durante las relaciones sexuales (dispareunia). Otros factores favorecedores de la candidiasis vaginal son el embarazo, la terapia hormonal sustitutiva, la diabetes, ciertos factores genéticos y diversos hábitos de vida.

El diagnóstico suele ser sencillo y se basa en la identificación de los síntomas mencionados, en la observación microscópica del hongo en muestras vaginales y mediante su cultivo en el laboratorio de microbiología.

¿Cómo se cura la candidiasis?

Existen tratamientos eficaces que emplean fármacos antifúngicos, de administración local (tópica intravaginal) u oral (sistémica). Los azoles, como el clotrimazol y el miconazol, o la nistatina son los más utilizados por vía tópica. El fluconazol oral también se emplea con frecuencia. Sin embargo, el tratamiento no evita que algunas mujeres sufran nuevos episodios o que estos se vuelvan recurrentes e incapacitantes.

Con el objetivo de evitar estas complicaciones, se acaban de aprobar dos fármacos orales prometedores: ibrexafungerp y oteseconazol. Además, se está evaluando la utilidad de dos vacunas (NDV-3A y PEV7 -Pevion7-) para impedir la candidiasis recurrente.

La mujer y sus tabúes.
Elena González Miranda

La desigualdad y la pobreza, factores de riesgo

Pero la persistencia de esta infección plantea desafíos que van más allá del ámbito médico. Factores sociales, económicos y culturales influyen en el acceso a la atención ginecológica, especialmente en regiones con bajos niveles educativos, escasos recursos económicos y desigualdad de género. En muchos países de África, América y Asia, la candidiasis vaginal es más común debido a la pobreza, la baja escolarización, las ideologías religiosas o políticas dominantes y las estructuras sociales que marginan a las mujeres o las asignan un papel social limitado y subordinado.

La desigualdad es especialmente evidente en aquellos países con ingresos económicos bajos, donde la pobreza afecta de manera desproporcionada a mujeres y niñas. Esta situación restringe su acceso a una atención médica de calidad, incluyendo las consultas ginecológicas, los tratamientos farmacológicos y los productos de higiene íntima.

Incluso en los países donde existen servicios públicos de salud, estos a menudo carecen de un enfoque de género y no están diseñados para responder a las necesidades específicas de las mujeres, o bien la formación de los profesionales en temas de salud femenina es escasa. Esto también limita las oportunidades educativas, profesionales y sociales de millones de mujeres y perpetúa su exclusión.

Además, la vergüenza por considerarlo un tema tabú, la desinformación o la percepción de que es un problema menor disuaden con frecuencia a las mujeres de buscar atención médica. Esto se agrava por la escasa disponibilidad de servicios ginecológicos especializados, que en muchos sistemas de salud no se consideran prioritarios.

Por otro lado, el autodiagnóstico y el acceso limitado a las pruebas microbiológicas y los tratamientos empíricos contribuyen a la perpetuación de la enfermedad.

Un reto médico que no se limita a países con bajos recursos

La situación en países como España es bastante mejor gracias al papel más relevante de la mujer en la sociedad y su mayor presencia en las profesiones sanitarias. Sin embargo, una de las principales quejas de muchas mujeres sobre nuestros sistemas de salud sigue siendo la escasa atención que reciben las enfermedades ginecológicas, cuando los síntomas y preocupaciones de la paciente se minimizan o ignoran sin una evaluación adecuada. Es lo que se conoce como “hacer luz de gas” o gaslighting médico.

La obstreta y ginecóloga Chailee F. Moss y sus colaboradoras han publicado una encuesta, realizada con la National Vulvodynia Association, donde se revela que muchas pacientes con enfermedades ginecológicas viven experiencias negativas que les causan sufrimiento y promueven el abandono del tratamiento médico.

En este estudio participaron 447 mujeres que habían sido atendidas previamente por un promedio de 5,5 profesionales de salud. Solo el 43,5 % de estos profesionales fueron percibidos como comprensivos, mientras que el 26,6 % se describieron como despectivos y el 20,5 % no creyó en los síntomas de las pacientes. Además, el 41,6 % de las encuestadas recibió el consejo de “relajarse” y al 20,6 % incluso se les recomendó consumir bebidas alcohólicas. El 39,4 % afirmó que se les hizo sentir que tenían un problema psiquiátrico, siendo esta la experiencia referida más angustiante.

¿Es posible reducir su impacto?

La respuesta es afirmativa: una formación médica con perspectiva de género es clave para evitar tanto el infradiagnóstico como la minusvaloración de la candidiasis vaginal. Asimismo, el acceso a una información clara y una adecuada educación sexual son fundamentales para prevenir y tratar eficazmente esta enfermedad.

Desde la investigación médica, el desarrollo de métodos diagnósticos más accesibles, como pruebas rápidas que puedan realizarse en casa, podría mejorar el diagnóstico, evitar tratamientos innecesarios y facilitar el tratamiento correcto temprano. Finalmente, la búsqueda de fármacos más eficaces y el desarrollo de vacunas que prevengan la infección son otros objetivos importantes, como hemos visto, para la comunidad científica.

The Conversation

Guillermo Quindós-Andrés no recibe salario, ni ejerce labores de consultoría, ni posee acciones, ni recibe financiación de ninguna compañía u organización que pueda obtener beneficio de este artículo, y ha declarado carecer de vínculos relevantes más allá del cargo académico citado.

ref. ¿Por qué la candidiasis vaginal continúa siendo un problema médico tan frecuente? – https://theconversation.com/por-que-la-candidiasis-vaginal-continua-siendo-un-problema-medico-tan-frecuente-262463

Scientific objectivity is a myth – cultural values and beliefs always influence science and the people who do it

Source: The Conversation – USA – By Sara Giordano, Associate Professor of Interdisciplinary Studies, Kennesaw State University

People are at the heart of the scientific enterprise. Matteo Farinella, CC BY-NC

Even if you don’t recall many facts from high school biology, you likely remember the cells required for making babies: egg and sperm. Maybe you can picture a swarm of sperm cells battling each other in a race to be the first to penetrate the egg.

For decades, scientific literature described human conception this way, with the cells mirroring the perceived roles of women and men in society. The egg was thought to be passive while the sperm was active.

The opening credits of the 1989 movie ‘Look Who’s Talking’ animated this popular narrative, with speaking sperm rushing toward the nonverbal egg to be the first to fertilize it.

Over time, scientists realized that sperm are too weak to penetrate the egg and that the union is more mutual, with the two cells working together. It’s no coincidence that these findings were made in the same era when new cultural ideas of more egalitarian gender roles were taking hold.

Scientist Ludwik Fleck is credited with first describing science as a cultural practice in the 1930s. Since then, understanding has continued to build that scientific knowledge is always consistent with the cultural norms of its time.

Despite these insights, across political differences, people strive for and continue to demand scientific objectivity: the idea that science should be unbiased, rational and separable from cultural values and beliefs.

When I entered my Ph.D. program in neuroscience in 2001, I felt the same way. But reading a book by biologist Anne Fausto-Sterling called “Sexing the Body” set me down a different path. It systematically debunked the idea of scientific objectivity, showing how cultural ideas about sex, gender and sexuality were inseparable from the scientific findings. By the time I earned my Ph.D., I began to look more holistically at my research, integrating the social, historical and political context.

From the questions scientists begin with, to the beliefs of the people who conduct the research, to choices in research design, to interpretation of the final results, cultural ideas constantly inform “the science.” What if an unbiased science is impossible?

Emergence of idea of scientific objectivity

Science grew to be synonymous with objectivity in the Western university system only over the past few hundred years.

In the 15th and 16th centuries, some Europeans gained traction in challenging the religiously ordained royal order. Consolidation of the university system led to shifts from trust in religious leaders interpreting the word of “god,” to trust in “man” making one’s own rational decisions, to trust in scientists interpreting “nature.” The university system became an important site for legitimizing claims through theories and studies.

Previously, people created knowledge about their world, but there were not strict boundaries between what are now called the humanities, such as history, English and philosophy, and the sciences, including biology, chemistry and physics. Over time, as questions arose about how to trust political decisions, people split the disciplines into categories: subjective versus objective. The splitting came with the creation of other binary oppositions, including the closely related emotionality/rationality divide. These categories were not simply seen as opposite, but in a hierarchy with objectivity and rationality as superior.

A closer look shows that these binary systems are arbitrary and self-reinforcing.

Science is a human endeavor

The sciences are fields of study conducted by humans. These people, called scientists, are part of cultural systems just like everyone else. We scientists are part of families and have political viewpoints. We watch the same movies and TV shows and listen to the same music as nonscientists. We read the same newspapers, cheer for the same sports teams and enjoy the same hobbies as others.

All of these obviously “cultural” parts of our lives are going to affect how scientists approach our jobs and what we consider “common sense” that does not get questioned when we do our experiments.

Beyond individual scientists, the kinds of studies that get conducted are based on what questions are deemed relevant or not by dominant societal norms.

For example, in my Ph.D. work in neuroscience, I saw how different assumptions about hierarchy could influence specific experiments and even the entire field. Neuroscience focuses on what is called the central nervous system. The name itself describes a hierarchical model, with one part of the body “in charge” of the rest. Even within the central nervous system, there was a conceptual hierarchy with the brain controlling the spinal cord.

My research looked more at what happened peripherally in muscles, but the predominant model had the brain at the top. The taken-for-granted idea that a system needs a boss mirrors cultural assumptions. But I realized we could have analyzed the system differently and asked different questions. Instead of the brain being at the top, a different model could focus on how the entire system communicates and works together at coordination.

Every experiment also has assumptions baked in – things that are taken for granted, including definitions. Scientific experiments can become self-fulfilling prophecies.

For example, billions of dollars have been spent on trying to delineate sex differences. However, the definition of male and female is almost never stated in these research papers. At the same time, evidence mounts that these binary categories are a modern invention not based on clear physical differences.

But the categories are tested so many times that eventually some differences are discovered without putting these results into a statistical model together. Oftentimes, so-called negative findings that don’t identify a significant difference are not even reported. Sometimes, meta-analyses based on multiple studies that investigated the same question reveal these statistical errors, as in the search for sex-related brain differences. Similar patterns of slippery definitions that end up reinforcing taken-for-granted assumptions happen with race, sexuality and other socially created categories of difference.

Finally, the end results of experiments can be interpreted in many different ways, adding another point where cultural values are injected into the final scientific conclusions.

Settling on science when there’s no objectivity

Vaccines. Abortion. Climate change. Sex categories. Science is at the center of most of today’s hottest political debates. While there is much disagreement, the desire to separate politics and science seems to be shared. On both sides of the political divide, there are accusations that the other side’s scientists cannot be trusted because of political bias.

RFK Jr, Donald Trump and Dr. Oz seated at a table with flags behind them
It can be easier to spot built-in bias in scientific perspectives that conflict with your own values.
Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Consider the recent controversy over the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s vaccine advisory panel. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. fired all members of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, saying they were biased, while some Democratic lawmakers argued back that his move put in place those who would be biased in pushing his vaccine-skeptical agenda.

If removing all bias is impossible, then, how do people create knowledge that can be trusted?

The understanding that all knowledge is created through cultural processes does allow for two or more differing truths to coexist. You see this reality in action around many of today’s most controversial subjects. However, this does not mean you must believe all truths equally – that’s called total cultural relativism. This perspective ignores the need for people to come to decisions together about truth and reality.

Instead, critical scholars offer democratic processes for people to determine which values are important and for what purposes knowledge should be developed. For example, some of my work has focused on expanding a 1970s Dutch model of the science shop, where community groups come to university settings to share their concerns and needs to help determine research agendas. Other researchers have documented other collaborative practices between scientists and marginalized communities or policy changes, including processes for more interdisciplinary or democratic input, or both.

I argue a more accurate view of science is that pure objectivity is impossible. Once you leave the myth of objectivity behind, though, the way forward is not simple. Instead of a belief in an all-knowing science, we are faced with the reality that humans are responsible for what is researched, how it is researched and what conclusions are drawn from such research.

With this knowledge, we have the opportunity to intentionally set societal values that inform scientific investigations. This requires decisions about how people come to agreements about these values. These agreements need not always be universal but instead can be dependent on the context of who and what a given study might affect. While not simple, using these insights, gained over decades of studying science from both within and outside, may force a more honest conversation between political positions.

The Conversation

Sara Giordano does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Scientific objectivity is a myth – cultural values and beliefs always influence science and the people who do it – https://theconversation.com/scientific-objectivity-is-a-myth-cultural-values-and-beliefs-always-influence-science-and-the-people-who-do-it-259137

What I’ve learned from photographing (almost) every British wildflower

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Richard Milne, Senior Lecturer in Plant Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh

The author’s project took him all over Britain. Montage images: Pajor Pawel/Shutterstock (background); Richard Milne (flowers)

The wildflowers of Britain include all manner of treasures – yet many people are only aware of a few, such as bluebells and foxgloves. A lot of its other flora are rare because of Britain’s location at the northern, western or even southern edges of their natural geographic – and hence climatic – ranges.

In fact, Britain has over 1,000 native species of wildflower, including 50 kinds of orchid, a few species like sundew that use sticky tentacles to eat insects, and others such as toothwort that live as parasites, plugging their roots into other plants to suck on their sap like botanical mosquitoes. There are even a few species, such as the ghost and bird’s-nest orchids, that extort all their food from soil fungi.


Many people think of plants as nice-looking greens. Essential for clean air, yes, but simple organisms. A step change in research is shaking up the way scientists think about plants: they are far more complex and more like us than you might imagine. This blossoming field of science is too delightful to do it justice in one or two stories.

This story is part of a series, Plant Curious, exploring scientific studies that challenge the way you view plantlife.


I’ve been an obsessive plant hunter since I was seven years old. Wishing to

ref. What I’ve learned from photographing (almost) every British wildflower – https://theconversation.com/what-ive-learned-from-photographing-almost-every-british-wildflower-263656

Pets on skinny jabs? Here’s how to help them lose weight naturally

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Jacqueline Boyd, Senior Lecturer in Animal Science, Nottingham Trent University

Olya m/Shutterstock.com

Losing weight is hard. Anyone who has tried to lose weight and keep it off will describe how difficult it can be. If your pet is a little more rotund than is healthy, then helping them regain and retain their waistline can be even trickier.

Drugs such as Ozempic (the brand name for the drug semaglutide) and Mounjaro (brand name for tirzepatide), both originally intended for treating type 2 diabetes in humans, have become increasingly used to support human weight loss. Given that estimates suggest that at least 50% of dogs and cats weighed at the vets are overweight, it’s unsurprising that the future potential to use drugs to support pet weight loss is now being explored.

It’s important to note that these weight management drugs are not currently in use for our pets, but it’s undeniable that pet obesity is a growing concern, and pharmaceutical companies are looking for solutions.

Just like us, carrying excess weight is associated with several health conditions for our pets, including osteoarthritis, inflammatory conditions, metabolic disorders and even shorter lives. This means that excess body weight is a significant health and welfare concern for our pets and might even be linked to our own expanding waistlines.

Unfortunately, our pets have a number of lifestyle challenges that can make weight gain more likely. Food that is tasty, freely available, highly digestible and high in calories means it is easy for our pets to eat more than they need. Combined with the use of frequent food training rewards and even accidental or guilt-based overfeeding, pets can quickly gain weight, which is then often difficult to lose.

Spaying and neutering have been very effective at reducing pet overpopulation and lowering the risk of some health problems like mammary tumours. However, these procedures can also make pets more likely to become overweight. To help prevent this, owners usually need to adjust their pets’ diets after surgery – most often by slightly reducing food portions and keeping track of their pets’ weight and body condition.

Some animals are more likely to gain weight because of their genetics, and this tendency has been unintentionally reinforced during domestication. Labrador retrievers, often called “foodies”, are a good example. Research shows that many Labs carry a gene mutation that affects an appetite-regulating molecule called pro-opiomelanocortin. Dogs with the mutation are more food-driven and more likely to gain weight than dogs without it.

Limited exercise is another big risk factor for weight gain. Many pets spend most of their time indoors or in the garden, which reduces their activity and energy use. Regular walking is good for dogs and their owners.

However, exercise alone won’t necessarily keep your pet lean. So, what can you do without the use of weight-loss drugs to help your pet?

Helping your pet keep a healthy weight naturally

Knowing what a healthy weight looks like for your pet is essential. One of the easiest tools for this is body condition scoring. Instead of just looking at the number on the scales, body condition scoring involves feeling your pet’s ribs, waist and tummy to check whether they’re too thin, too heavy or just right.

When used alongside regular weigh-ins, it gives you a clear picture of your pet’s overall health and helps you spot small changes early. Acting quickly on slight weight gain or loss – through diet, exercise, or a vet check – can make a big difference in keeping your pet fit and well.

Keeping active with your pet can help you both stay at a healthy weight. Playing games, adding fun activities, or just making sure your pet moves more each day are simple ways to support weight loss and keep it off in the long run.

What your pet eats is just as important as exercise when it comes to a healthy weight. A diet lower in calories to support steady weight loss is helpful for otherwise healthy pets. This can be done with foods that have less fat, moderate protein and more fibre. Some nutrients, like carnitine, which is often included in weight management diets, may also help the body use energy more effectively.

You can also look for low-calorie swaps that your pet enjoys. For example, many dogs love carrots and cucumbers as healthier treats.

A small dog being offered a slice of cucumber.
Many pets enjoy healthy treats, like cucumber.
Vera Shcher/Shutterstock.com

If you are concerned about your pet’s weight, do seek veterinary advice and support. Keep records of their body weight, body condition, overall health, activity and even food intake. This can help you see where there might be easy wins for improving their health, wellbeing and even lifespan.

The choice is clear: rather than waiting for pharmaceutical solutions, we already have the tools we need to help our pets live their healthiest, happiest lives. The question isn’t whether we can help our pets maintain a healthy weight naturally – it’s whether we’re willing to make the commitment to do so.

The Conversation

In addition to her academic affiliation at Nottingham Trent University (NTU) and support from the Institute for Knowledge Exchange Practice (IKEP) at NTU, Jacqueline Boyd is affiliated with The Kennel Club (UK) through membership and as advisor to the Health Advisory Group and member of the Activities Committee. Jacqueline is a full member of the Association of Pet Dog Trainers (APDT #01583). She also writes, consults and coaches on canine matters on an independent basis.

ref. Pets on skinny jabs? Here’s how to help them lose weight naturally – https://theconversation.com/pets-on-skinny-jabs-heres-how-to-help-them-lose-weight-naturally-263481

Surzhyk: why Ukrainians are increasingly speaking a hybrid language that used to be a marker of rural backwardness

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Oleksandra Osypenko, PhD Candidate in Linguistics, Lancaster University

A Windows translator gives the option of Surzhyk. kpi.ua/surzhik

In Ukrainian dictionaries, the word “surzhyk” originally referred to a mix of grains – rye, wheat, barley and oats – or to flour made from a blend of these that was considered of lower quality. But its meaning morphed to mean a mixed or “impure” language – and today it refers to a blend of Ukrainian and Russian used by millions in Ukraine.

Often stigmatised in the past as a marker of rural backwardness, poor education or simply ignorance of Ukraine’s literary norms, the status of the Surzhyk language is now being reconsidered in wartime – not as a threat to Ukrainian identity, but as a way for native Russian speakers to communicate in a way that is more socially acceptable in a country at war with Russia.

Since the full-scale invasion of 2022, people in some central and eastern areas of Ukraine who might have primarily spoken Russian have been switching to Ukrainian, particularly in public. These are people who would have understood and occasionally used Surzhyk, but would have seen it as a form of Ukrainian “pidgin” – not to be used in formal situations. But now, it’s increasingly being used and any stigma that might have attached to it is slowly disappearing.

There has been debate about whether it’s a language in its own right, or a dialect or even slang. Most Ukrainian linguists tend to refer to it in English as an “idiom”. But it’s important to note that Surzhyk varies by region and is constantly evolving.

In the 1930s, it was heavily Russianised, reflecting Soviet language policies. More recently, after decades of Ukrainian revival, it has tilted in the other direction towards Ukrainian. And other influences are creeping in, especially from English. Words like “булінг” (buling, like the English “bullying”) and “донатити” (donatyty, meaning “to donate”) are slipping into everyday speech, showing how Surzhyk mirrors society’s shifting horizons.

But it is also a product of trauma and necessity. As Ukrainian writer Larissa Nitsoy notes, Ukrainians survived genocide – and they also survived linguicide. During the Soviet era, Russia made strenuous efforts to eradicate the Ukrainian language, punishing – often executing – those who spoke, wrote and taught in Ukrainian. To survive, they adapted.

Later, Surzhyk continued as a practical tool of social mobility. As Ukrainian-speaking villagers moved to Russian-dominated big cities in Ukraine for work or education, they adopted a hybrid idiom to “pass” as local. Laada Bilaniuk, a US-based anthropologist, calls this “urbanised-peasant Surzhyk” – a way of mimicking Russian without abandoning one’s Ukrainian linguistic roots.

In this sense, Surzhyk was both a survival strategy under Russian colonial rule, and an adaptation to urbanisation.

How widespread is Surzhyk?

In 2003, the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) estimated between 11% and 18% of Ukrainians spoke or wrote in Surzhyk – roughly one in seven people at the time. A more recent study of 104 students of the National Transport University in Kyiv in 2024 found that more than half of respondents (51%) admitted using some form of Surzhyk at home, and nearly one in five used it in messages with friends. Admittedly, the 2024 study was done on a much smaller scale, but the contrast is striking.

The question is: has the proportion of Surzhyk speakers really increased significantly – or simply the willingness to admit using it? Could it be that shame is giving way to recognition of Surzhyk as an acceptable tool for communication?

For decades, Surzhyk was a source of embarrassment. Nitsoy was voicing widespread Ukrainian nationalist views when she described it in 2021 as “a rape of the Ukrainian language by Russian”. Pavlo Hrytsenko, director of the Institute of the Ukrainian Language, argued that speaking Surzhyk signalled personal “underdevelopment”, a refusal to master the country’s literary language. Others were even more blunt, suggesting that: “By speaking Surzhyk, we humiliate ourselves.”

The assumption was that Surzhyk speakers leaned lazily toward Russian rather than making the effort to learn proper Ukrainian. These attitudes produced active campaigns to “correct” it, like the 2020 chatbot StopSurzhyk, which suggested literary alternatives for “improper” words.

This stigma was reinforced by the proportion of Ukrainian-Russian words and phrases that make up Surzhyk. Throughout the 20th century, Surzhyk was heavily Russianised, reflecting the dominance of Russian in public life. But more recently, and especially in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the balance has shifted. Surzhyk now carries more Ukrainian elements and has been increasingly viewed not as a regression, but a reversal.

A bridge for Russian speakers to Ukrainian

Today, Surzhyk is generally seen by Ukrainian scholars, writers and the wider public as transitional, even useful, and is often used by Russian speakers switching to Ukrainian.

Ukrainian linguistics experts argue that mocking or judging those speaking Surzhyk is misguided, because every language learner passes through such a stage, and that any Surzhyk is better than Russian.

Philologist Svitlana Kovtiukh likens the language to “slippers at home” – meaning that one might wear formal shoes in public but slip into something more comfortable in private. Ukrainians should be encouraged, according to Kovtiukh, to speak literary Ukrainian in official settings – as required by the Language Law – but be free to use Surzhyk in their personal life. What Soviet authorities once dismissed as “weeds” in the national language may actually be the streams that nourish it.

This reversal of perspective reflects a new hierarchy. Once a way for Ukrainian speakers to survive in a Russian-dominated world, Surzhyk is now a way back to Ukrainian for Russian speakers to Ukraine’s national language.

Once abominated by Ukrainians, it is increasingly seen as a tool of linguistic decolonisation. It’s both a practical way for Russian speakers to understand and be understood in Ukraine, and an alternative to what most Ukrainians see as the language of their oppressors.

The Conversation

Oleksandra Osypenko does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. Surzhyk: why Ukrainians are increasingly speaking a hybrid language that used to be a marker of rural backwardness – https://theconversation.com/surzhyk-why-ukrainians-are-increasingly-speaking-a-hybrid-language-that-used-to-be-a-marker-of-rural-backwardness-264280

OpenAI looks to online advertising deal – AI-driven ads will be hard for consumers to spot

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Stuart Mills, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Leeds

AI says buy. SWKStock/Shutterstock

Making AI quicker, smarter and better is proving to be a very expensive business. Companies like OpenAI are investing billions of dollars in hardware, and the likes of Meta are offering top (human) talent huge salaries for their expertise.

So perhaps it’s no surprise that these businesses have started exploring new ways of making money as well as spending it.

OpenAI, for example, is exploring a partnership with Shopify, one of the world’s largest e-commerce platforms, which helps businesses manage online selling.

The reported deal between the two companies would see OpenAI receive a cut of any Shopify sales that result from recommendations provided by ChatGPT, creating a new revenue stream for OpenAI and more online traffic for Shopify.

But this relationship could be risky for consumers if OpenAI became incentivised to push people towards products, rather than offering genuinely objective recommendations. It might even push recommendations when users of ChatGPT are not looking to buy anything at all.

This situation reminds me of the early days of online advertising when Google was under pressure from shareholders to increase revenues, following the dot-com bubble. Google was (and still is) the world’s leading search engine, in part because it had the best algorithm. But the obvious path to generating revenue – advertising – posed a big dilemma.

Loading search results with adverts would put off users and weaken Google’s position. The company’s solution was to develop targeted advertising, matching ads to search queries to maintain relevance and quality.

Similarly, OpenAI will surely not just flood ChatGPT with links to products. If it did, the quality of its own product would decline, and users would quickly go elsewhere.

So, like Google, it needs to find a subtle way to influence people to shop.

Luckily for OpenAI, the sociable, text-based interface of a chatbot creates ample opportunities to use persuasive techniques to try to influence people’s behaviour.

Processing power of persuasion

One way of thinking about online persuasion is in terms of “metacognition”, the ability to think about thinking, which is very important in the world of sales.

Research suggests that when a customer has high metacognition skills, they are more likely to be sceptical of a salesperson’s tactics, and harder to persuade. When a salesperson has high metacognition, they are good at getting into a customer’s head and making a sale.

One theory of metacognition argues that high levels are influenced by how much sellers and customers know about a product, how much they know about persuasion, and how much they know about each other.

In all three cases, AI may have an advantage.

On any given topic, ChatGPT will “know” more about it than an average person. A particularly knowledgeable person might not get caught out. But nobody is an expert on everything, while ChatGPT can at least pretend to be (like any good salesperson).

AI large language models (known as LLMs) are also up to speed on the latest research on rhetoric, marketing and psychology. They can even identify deceptive sales techniques.

AI can also be tweaked to be persuasive. For instance, research has found that people are more likely to buy something when a salesperson or advert mirrors their personality. One study found that ChatGPT can accurately predict a person’s personality from relatively little information. Over time then, ChatGPT could be programmed to make predictions about us, and then start acting like us.

When it comes to knowledge about each other, most people probably know little about how AI language tools actually work. And if people are also unaware of the incentive AI companies may soon have to recommend products, these recommendations may be met with less scepticism, because an AI chatbot would seemingly have no motive to manipulate.

Phone screen with text which reads 'Help ChatGPT discover your products'.
Chatting about products.
Koshiro K/Shutterstock

Meanwhile, like Google, companies such as OpenAI are gathering huge amounts of data about the people who use their software. Initially, this was to train future AI models. But these same data could be used to learn more about people, what makes them tick, and what makes them click “buy”.

Product recommendations from ChatGPT, Google or any other company are not inherently sinister. If data is used to suggest products people genuinely love, this can be helpful.

But being helpful is not the primary motivation here. Just as Google introduced ads because of financial pressure, deals like those between OpenAI and Shopify are a response to the economic pressures the AI industry is facing.

It is great if these systems recommend products a person wants to buy. But what might matter most to AI, regardless of the product, is that they buy it.

The Conversation

Stuart Mills does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. OpenAI looks to online advertising deal – AI-driven ads will be hard for consumers to spot – https://theconversation.com/openai-looks-to-online-advertising-deal-ai-driven-ads-will-be-hard-for-consumers-to-spot-264377

KPop Demon Hunters gives a glimpse into K-pop culture in South Korea

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Cholong Sung, Lecturer in Korean, SOAS, University of London

Thanks to the runaway global popularity of Netflix’s new animated film, KPop Demon Hunters, cinemas around the world have picked it up and are now screening a sing-along edition.

Huntr/x, the musical girl group featured in the story, has topped charts worldwide with their track Golden.

As the film smashes records and captures audiences everywhere, one question lingers: what makes this animation stand out from the rest? An answer lies in how relatable the main characters are.

The film follows three K-pop girl group members who use their music and voices to protect the world from demonic forces. While the storyline centres on the fantastical notion of “demon hunters”, grounding the protagonists in the guise of K-pop idols adds on-trend authenticity. As co-director Chris Appelhans explained, the aim was “making girls act like real girls, and not just pristine superheroes”.

Rather than dwelling solely on their heroics, the film portrays the characters’ everyday moments and ordinary behaviour. Food, clothes and familiar locations in South Korea are rendered with surprising precision, to the extent that even Korean audiences are astonished at their accuracy, despite the production being based overseas.

But how closely does the film’s version of K-pop reflect the real thing?

Take the first appearance of Huntr/x members Rumi, Mira and Zoey: with only minutes to go before a performance, they are shown devouring kimbap, ramen, fish cakes and snacks – fuel for the stage. In reality, idols may often end up grabbing a quick bite of kimbap or ramen in the car between packed schedules. More commonly, however, strict diets are the norm. There are reports that sometimes trainees – aspiring K-pop idols who are part of an entertainment company’s training programme – are even forced to shed weight by agencies: one of the industry’s darker aspects.

Yet, as idols mature, many develop their own healthier routines, not simply for looks but to ensure longevity in their careers.

Meanwhile, in the case of boy group Saja Boys, the film highlights the fans’ fascination with their sculpted abs. In reality, male idols often put themselves through intense workouts to build impressive physiques, showing off toned bodies and six-packs on stage for their fans.

Then there is the question of accommodation. In the film, Huntr/x members share a luxurious penthouse overlooking Seoul’s skyline. In reality, agencies often provide dorm accommodation to facilitate scheduling and teamwork, usually near the company, and often managers live with artists. The quality varies greatly, with newcomers typically placed in modest housing.

After debut, successful idols may upgrade their accommodation as the money starts to roll in, but a penthouse, as shown in the film, is more fantasy than fact. BTS being a notable exception, progressing from sharing a converted office (not even a proper house) to one of Seoul’s most prestigious apartments. Most idols tend to strike out on their own some years after debut, balancing solo activities with personal life. By then, their choice of home usually reflects their individual earnings.

The film mirrors K-pop reality in other respects. One Huntr/x member, Zoey, is Korean-American – reflecting the industry’s trend since the 2000s towards multinational line-ups designed to create a global audience. Blackpink, for instance, includes two Korean members with overseas backgrounds and one foreign national, which has bolstered their international reach.

The right music

The film also shows Zoey writing and composing songs: many idols are now singer-songwriters. With the industry demanding constant renewal, the shelf life of an “idol” is very short. Writing and producing music has become both a way to extend careers and secure additional income streams. BTS are all credited songwriters, while figures such as BigBang’s G-Dragon, Block B’s Zico, and i-dle’s Soyeon have all built reputations – and royalties – through their creative work.

Increasingly, even K-pop trainees now learn songwriting and production before their debut. Beyond these points, the film captures a wide slice of K-pop culture as it really exists – from fan sign events to the sea of light sticks waving at concerts.

More than any other element, it’s the music that gives the film its sharpest sense of realism.

Executive music producer Ian Eisendrath teamed up with record label THEBLACKLABEL to produce K-pop tracks that sound right at home in the current charts. Blending trendy and catchy hooks with the story itself has drawn in not only animation fans but also audiences lured by the music alone.

Co-director Maggie Kang put it plainly in an interview: “We really wanted to immerse the world in K-pop.” At the same time, she noted that the film deliberately heightens certain aspects of the genre. That kind of exaggeration is only natural in animation, where drama is part of the appeal. What matters is that every flourish is still grounded in reality.

For viewers familiar with Korean culture and K-pop, that means spotting a wealth of details that might otherwise go unnoticed – and it’s this layer of discovery that may well be among the key factors driving the popularity of KPop Demon Hunters.

The Conversation

Cholong Sung does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

ref. KPop Demon Hunters gives a glimpse into K-pop culture in South Korea – https://theconversation.com/kpop-demon-hunters-gives-a-glimpse-into-k-pop-culture-in-south-korea-264141

How to help trigger positive tipping points – and speed up climate action

Source: The Conversation – UK – By Tim Lenton, Director, Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter

The rapid transition from horse-drawn carts to cars is an example of a positive tipping point. K.E.V/Shutterstock

The collapse of a major system of ocean currents, the meltdown of major ice sheets or the dieback of the Amazon rainforest are all examples of negative climate tipping points. These are the big risks associated with a changing climate, where harmful change becomes self-propelling. Each could cause environmental disasters affecting hundreds of millions of people.

The prospect of such irreversible and massively damaging outcomes is looming ever closer, as we are set to exceed 1.5°C global warming. Every year and every 0.1°C above this threshold increases the risk of crossing negative climate tipping points. To avert them, climate action must accelerate spectacularly. We need to decarbonise the global economy five times faster than the current rate to have reasonable odds of limiting warming well below 2°C.

This sounds both frightening and daunting. We are facing existential risks and to avoid them requires extraordinary rates and scales of social and technological change. It is understandable to feel climate despair or doomism – particularly with the current spate of backsliding on climate commitments.

But there are credible grounds for conditional optimism. They lie in the evidence of positive tipping points – where changes to zero-emission behaviour and technologies become self-propelling. This is now the only plausible way we can accelerate out of trouble, because we have left it way too late for incremental change to rescue us.

Tipping points happen when amplifying feedback within a system gets strong enough to support self-propelling change. Like putting the proverbial microphone too close to the speaker. They can happen in a range of systems, and history shows us they have happened repeatedly in social systems. Think of political revolutions, abrupt shifts in social norms – like the abandonment of smoking in public, or the rapid transition from horse-drawn carriages to cars.

Happily, almost everything that contributes to human-induced greenhouse gas emissions could be positively tipped towards zero emissions. It can take a lot of work to bring a system to a tipping point, but some key sectors have already positively tipped, at least in some countries.




Read more:
Climate ‘tipping points’ can be positive too – our report sets out how to engineer a domino effect of rapid changes


Norway has tipped from buying petrol and diesel cars to EVs in the space of a decade. The UK abruptly shut down coal burning. While gas temporarily replaced some of coal’s role in electricity generation, rapidly growing renewable power has now replaced coal burning and is starting to displace gas. Neither transition happened by chance. Tipping our societies to zero emissions requires deliberate, intentional action from us all.

In Norway, change was started by social activists in the late 1980s, including members of the pop band A-ha, pushing the government to adopt a package of policies to incentivise EVs. In the UK, tipping was triggered by a rising floor price on carbon in the power sector, a policy that can be traced to the Climate Change Act, which started life as a private member’s bill, in turn born out of decades of environmental activism.

The beauty of tipping points

In my new book, Positive tipping points: How to fix the climate crisis, I highlight how just a small change can make a big difference. A minority can ultimately tip the majority. That minority activates amplifying feedback loops that get stronger with the more people who join in the change. This means we can all play a part in triggering positive tipping points.

We all make decisions about what we consume. Just by adopting a lower emission technology or behaviour (like eating less meat) we encourage others to join us. This is because people imitate one another, and the more people who adopt something the more people they can influence to adopt it too – a phenomenon known as “social contagion”.

With technologies, there are extra amplifiers of “increasing returns”: the more of us who adopt a new technology, the better it will get (through learning by doing), the cheaper it will get (due to economies of scale), and the more other technologies will emerge that make it more useful. This is how solar PV panels, wind turbines and batteries that power EVs have got ever cheaper, better and more accessible.

Policy usually also plays a crucial role in stimulating positive tipping points. Mandates to phase in clean technologies and phase out fossil fuelled ones are particularly effective. But despite polling evidence that roughly 80% of people worldwide support more decisive action on the climate crisis, governments can dither or be captured by vested interests. Sometimes they need to see what we support.

This may inspire us to get involved with social activism, which has its own tipping points. Each person joining a protest movement makes it incrementally easier for the next person to join. This can reach a critical mass – as it did for Fridays for Future and Extinction Rebellion in 2019. Or if, like me, you are not so comfortable on the march, there are other forms of social activism, like divesting from fossil fuels, or bringing civil cases against companies causing the climate crisis and governments failing to adequately respond to it.

Together a fraction of us can trigger positive tipping points to avoid otherwise devastating negative climate tipping points.


This article features references to books that have been included for editorial reasons, and may contain links to bookshop.org. If you click on one of the links and go on to buy something from bookshop.org The Conversation UK may earn a commission.


Don’t have time to read about climate change as much as you’d like?

Get a weekly roundup in your inbox instead. Every Wednesday, The Conversation’s environment editor writes Imagine, a short email that goes a little deeper into just one climate issue. Join the 45,000+ readers who’ve subscribed so far.

The Conversation

Tim Lenton is a shareholder in Transition Risk Exeter (TREX) Ltd., receives funding from the Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA), and previously received funding from the Bezos Earth Fund.

ref. How to help trigger positive tipping points – and speed up climate action – https://theconversation.com/how-to-help-trigger-positive-tipping-points-and-speed-up-climate-action-261407

Por qué seguimos usando funiculares como el que acaba de descarrilar en Lisboa

Source: The Conversation – (in Spanish) – By Peter Newman, Professor of Sustainability, Curtin University

Al menos 17 personas han fallecido tras el descarrilamiento y choque del funicular de Glória en Lisboa, Portugal, ayer miércoles 3 de septiembre. Los servicios de emergencia también han confirmado que 23 personas resultaron heridas, cinco de ellas de gravedad, en la tragedia, que se produjo al comienzo de la hora punta de la tarde.

Este accidente se suma a otro ocurrido en la misma línea en mayo de 2018, cuando uno de los vagones descarriló debido a defectos en el mantenimiento de sus ruedas, si bien en aquel caso no hubo víctimas mortales.

Aún se desconoce la causa exacta del accidente más reciente. Los testigos han informado de que el tranvía amarillo y blanco parecía fuera de control mientras bajaba a toda velocidad por la cuesta, antes de descarrilar al tomar una curva y chocar contra un edificio. Las fotos de las secuelas muestran un montón de cables y acero retorcidos.

Estos sistemas de transporte, similares a los teleféricos, son reliquias poco comunes del siglo XIX, que solo se encuentran en unos pocos lugares muy montañosos del mundo. ¿Cómo funcionan? ¿Y por qué siguen utilizándose?

¿Cómo funcionan los funiculares?

Los trenes y tranvías suelen funcionar solo en terrenos llanos. Esto se debe a que sus ruedas de acero no pueden obtener suficiente tracción sobre los raíles de acero en pendientes pronunciadas. Por el contrario, los funiculares pueden subir pendientes muy pronunciadas.

Estos aparatos suelen contar con dos vagones contrapesados que están unidos por un cable de tracción. A medida que un vagón desciende, ayuda a tirar del vagón ascendente por la ladera. El peso del vagón ascendente también evita que el descendente se salga de control. Algunos ahora tienen motores eléctricos para ayudar a impulsarlos y otros pueden activar una transmisión mecánica unidireccional solo para colinas empinadas.

Aunque los sistemas funiculares suelen ser bastante lentos y torpes, continúan siendo populares tanto entre los turistas como entre los residentes de los lugares donde se encuentran.

¿Dónde se encuentran?

La línea de funicular lisboeta de Glória se inauguró en 1885. Es una de las tres líneas de la ciudad, y conecta el centro con el Bairro Alto. Pero hay otros ejemplos de estas reliquias del transporte en todo el mundo.

Suiza, por ejemplo, cuenta con varios funiculares entre los que destaca el Stoosbahn, el más empinado del mundo. Tiene un desnivel total de unos 744 metros y alcanza una pendiente de 47 grados. Es una excursión turística muy popular.

El título del funicular más largo del mundo le corresponde al teleférico de La Paz-El Alto en Bolivia. A bordo del Genting Skyway se puede atravesar la selva malaya. En España, es famoso el de Bulnes, que funciona en la parte asturiana de los Picos de Europa. Y en Hong Kong, el Peak Tram lleva a los pasajeros hasta la Cumbre Victoria, la cima de la isla, desde 1888.

Un vagón amarillo y negro circula por una vía, con las montañas al fondo.
El Stoosbahn, en Suiza, es el funicular más empinado del mundo.
Stéphane Gottraux/Wikipedia, CC BY

La alternativa: los tranvías sin vías

Los funiculares continúan siendo útiles para las personas que viven o visitan las zonas escarpadas que recorren. Sin embargo, gracias a las nuevas tecnologías existen alternativas de transporte ferroviario más convencionales con muchas menos limitaciones a la hora de subir y bajar cuestas.

Por ejemplo, los tranvías sin vías son una especie de combinación entre un tranvía y un autobús. Utilizan GPS y sensores digitales para desplazarse con precisión por una vía invisible y tienen ruedas de goma, lo que les permite ascender pendientes de hasta un 15 %. Sin embargo, aún no se han construido para colinas más empinadas.

He disfrutado viajando en estos tranvías funiculares en varias ciudades con pendientes, pero es probable que este accidente empañe la experiencia turística. Ya es hora de que tengamos una opción del siglo XXI que sea claramente más segura.

The Conversation

Peter Newman recibe financiación del CRC RACE.

ref. Por qué seguimos usando funiculares como el que acaba de descarrilar en Lisboa – https://theconversation.com/por-que-seguimos-usando-funiculares-como-el-que-acaba-de-descarrilar-en-lisboa-264605

Retrait-gonflement des sols argileux : une explosion des risques depuis 2015

Source: The Conversation – France (in French) – By Lamine Ighil Ameur, Chercheur en mécanique des sols, Cerema

Les ravages de la sécheresse des sols sur les maisons à Cour-Cheverny (Loir-et-Cher). L. Ighil Ameur/Cerema 2022 droits réservés, Fourni par l’auteur

Les sécheresses ne posent pas seulement problème pour les stocks d’eau potable et pour l’agriculture : elles occasionnent aussi des dégâts sur le bâti à travers le retrait-gonflement des argiles. Ce phénomène est en pleine expansion en France du fait du changement climatique, avec un point de bascule notable en 2015.


Depuis 2015, la France métropolitaine connaît des sécheresses de plus en plus intenses et fréquentes, pendant des périodes plus longues du fait du changement climatique. La part des sécheresses dans les catastrophes naturelles indemnisées par le régime Cat-Nat est passée de 37 % à 60 % au cours de la période 2016-2021 en termes de charge financière cumulée.

En 2022, la France a connu, pour la sixième fois en dix ans, une sécheresse de grande ampleur. Cette sécheresse, dont le coût est aujourd’hui estimé à plus de 3,5 milliards d’euros, a battu tous les records depuis 1989, qui est l’année où la sécheresse a été intégrée dans le régime Cat-Nat.

La récurrence de telles sécheresses extrêmes accroît la vulnérabilité du bâti, notamment due au phénomène de retrait-gonflement des argiles (RGA), avec des dégâts qui se cumulent dans le temps et, parfois, sur les mêmes bâtiments vulnérables. Ces derniers nécessitent alors des travaux plus lourds et plus coûteux.

Que sait-on de l’augmentation de ce risque et du coût qu’il représente pour les assureurs ? État des lieux.

Le retrait-gonflement des argiles en question

De nombreuses études ont étudié l’impact du changement climatique sur le phénomène de RGA sous différents angles.

En 2009, une étude majeure, produite par les membres du groupe de travail « Risques naturels, assurances et changement climatique », cadrait le problème à travers plusieurs questions :

  • Le phénomène de RGA va-t-il s’intensifier ? Affectera-t-il des constructions jusque-là épargnées ? Engendrera-t-il des désordres plus conséquents sur les maisons sinistrées ?

  • La zone géographique concernée par le RGA va-t-elle s’étendre ?

  • Quel sera l’impact de l’augmentation de la fréquence des sécheresses sur les désordres occasionnés ?

Les auteurs de cette étude avaient considéré que

  • la France va continuer à se réchauffer, ce qui s’accompagnera de sécheresses estivales plus fréquentes, plus longues et plus intenses ;

  • l’extension géographique du phénomène, telle que délimitée par les cartes d’aléa retrait-gonflement, est supposée ne pas évoluer avec le changement climatique attendu entre 2010 et 2100 ;

  • le changement climatique ne devrait pas modifier l’intensité du phénomène ;

  • dans l’hypothèse de sécheresses estivales plus fréquentes, l’effet cumulatif lié à la succession rapide d’épisodes de sécheresse, s’il existe, pourrait toutefois être amplifié.

Aujourd’hui, après plus de quinze ans, ces conclusions sont-elles encore valables ?

Un risque en pleine expansion

L’année 2015 a constitué une année de bascule. La France a connu une période 2016-2022 marquée par une accélération des effets du changement climatique sur le phénomène de RGA et sur la sinistralité sécheresse.

On peut retenir plusieurs faits marquants pendant cette période :

D’abord, l’extension géographique du RGA. La part du territoire susceptible et exposée moyennement ou fortement au phénomène de RGA était respectivement de 24 % pour la décennie 2010 et 48 % pour la décennie 2020.

Au total, plus d’une maison sur deux se retrouve désormais très exposée au RGA. En 2017, un premier recensement faisait état de 4,3 millions de maisons potentiellement très exposées, soit 23 % de l’habitat individuel. Le dernier recensement de juin 2021 établissait plus de 10,4 millions de maisons en zone d’exposition RGA moyenne ou forte, soit 54,2 % du nombre total de maisons en France. Ce chiffre devrait même atteindre 16,2 millions à l’horizon 2050.

D’autant plus que la sécheresse s’étend progressivement à tout le territoire français. Alors que la sinistralité était auparavant principalement concentrée sur le croissant argileux, elle s’étend désormais sur les régions Grand Est, Bourgogne-Franche-Comté et Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, y compris sur des sols jadis épargnés, notamment les sols peu argileux.

Comparaison des charges moyennes annuelles par département, avant et depuis 2016.
MRN 2023, Fourni par l’auteur

La dessiccation des sols (suppression naturelle ou artificielle de l’humidité contenue par ceux-ci, ndlr) du fait des sécheresses est également de plus en plus profonde. Avant 2015, sous un climat tempéré, la dessiccation des sols due aux variations saisonnières de teneur en eau affectait les sols superficiels (1 mètre à 2 mètres).

Depuis 2016, avec des sécheresses intenses et récurrentes, la dessiccation des sols est désormais de plus en plus profonde. Elle peut atteindre 3 mètres à 5 mètres,ce qui nécessite alors une prise en charge plus complexe et coûteuse du bâti sinistré

La sécheresse est ainsi devenue le péril le plus coûteux, devant les inondations. La sinistralité cumulée – c’est-à-dire, le ratio financier entre le montant des sinistres à dédommager et celui des primes encaissées – a même atteint 54 % au cours des dix dernières années, ce qui fait de la sécheresse le péril le plus coûteux devant les inondations (31 %) et les autres périls (15 %).

Top 10 des sécheresses en France, en termes de coût des dommages assurés.
Données : Bilan 1982-2022 CCR/Réalisation : L. Ighil Ameur/Cerema 2025, Fourni par l’auteur

Depuis 2016, les sécheresses de grande ampleur se sont succédé, et la sinistralité a connu une forte croissance. Sur les dix années de sécheresse les plus coûteuses depuis 1989, six ont eu lieu après 2015.

De fait, la sécheresse 2022 a représenté un épisode exceptionnel à l’échelle de la France. L’année 2022 a ainsi été marquée par une sinistralité sécheresse record à 3,5 milliards d’euros, soit près d’1,5 milliard de plus que lors du précédent record de 2003.

Répartition des arrêtés Cat-Nat sécheresse.
France Assureurs 2023, Fourni par l’auteur

Au 25 février 2025, après 21 arrêtés parus au Journal officiel, il y a au total plus de 6 851 communes reconnues Cat-Nat sécheresse 2022, un record depuis 1989. En 2022, la sécheresse avait touché presque l’intégralité du territoire métropolitain : 92 départements dont 3 pour la première fois de l’histoire (Côtes-d’Armor, Finistère, Corse du Sud).

Un coût de plus en plus élevé pour les assureurs

Alors que les dégâts indemnisés par les assureurs entre 1989 et 2019 ont été chiffrés à 13,8 milliards d’euros, les dernières projections de France Assureurs estiment que ce montant cumulé devrait tripler entre 2020 et 2050 et atteindre 43 milliards d’euros, dont 17,2 milliards d’euros du fait du seul changement climatique.

En 2023, la Caisse centrale de réassurance (CCR) a publié une étude sur les conséquences du changement climatique sur le coût des catastrophes naturelles en France à horizon 2050. Si l’on considère les scénarios de réduction de gaz à effet de serre RCP 4.5 (atténuation limitée) ou RCP 8.5 (rythme d’émission actuel), tels que définis par le Groupe d’experts intergouvernemental sur l’évolution du climat (Giec), les dommages augmentent de manière significative sur l’ensemble du territoire français métropolitain.

Répartition des coûts moyens annuels dus à la sécheresse géotechnique, par département sur le territoire métropolitain à climat actuel (à gauche). Évolution du coût de la sécheresse entre le climat actuel et celui de 2050 selon un scénario RCP 4.5 (centre) et celui de 2050 selon un scénario selon un scénario RCP 8.5 (droite).
CCR, 2023, Fourni par l’auteur

Pour le département des Alpes-Maritimes, par exemple, les pertes annuelles moyennes augmenteraient de 25 à 50 %, selon le scénario RCP 4.5, et de 100 à 200 %, selon le scénario RCP 8.5.

Des solutions existent pour traiter le retrait argileux, comme l’agrafage des fissures, l’injection de résine expansive dans le sol de fondation ou encore la reprise en sous-œuvre (RSO) pour transférer les charges de la structure sur des micropieux. Mais ces techniques sont souvent inadaptées au contexte du changement climatique et peuvent engendrer une sinistralité de deuxième, de troisième voire de quatrième génération.

« Les enjeux de retrait-gonflement des argiles appliquées à la rénovation énergétique du bâti ancien », Agence Qualité Construction TV Live, 14 avril 2023.

Il est, dès lors, urgent de développer de nouvelles approches, davantage axées sur la prévention et sur l’adaptation, et important de prendre en compte le risque RGA dans tout projet de génie civil dès qu’il s’agit de terrain sensible.

D’autant plus que certaines initiatives visant à accélérer la transition écologique peuvent présenter un paradoxe vis-à-vis du RGA, par exemple la désimperméabilisation et la renaturation des sols.
Celles-ci visent à réduire le ruissellement et à rétablir le cycle de l’eau, favorisent la biodiversité et contribuant à réduire le phénomène d’îlots de chaleur urbain. Mais sur des sols exposés au RGA à proximité de maisons, routes ou des pistes cyclables, cela peut être préjudiciable, du fait de l’action racinaire qui accentue la dessiccation et l’apport d’eau indésirable, au risque de provoquer un effondrement hydromécanique des sols. D’où la nécessité de soigneusement étudier le contexte de ce type de projet avant de les implanter.


Ce texte est publié dans le cadre du colloque international « Les impacts socioéconomiques de la sécheresse », qui s’est tenu le 31 mai 2024 et dont The Conversation France était partenaire.

The Conversation

Lamine Ighil Ameur ne travaille pas, ne conseille pas, ne possède pas de parts, ne reçoit pas de fonds d’une organisation qui pourrait tirer profit de cet article, et n’a déclaré aucune autre affiliation que son organisme de recherche.

ref. Retrait-gonflement des sols argileux : une explosion des risques depuis 2015 – https://theconversation.com/retrait-gonflement-des-sols-argileux-une-explosion-des-risques-depuis-2015-254403